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GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Global Risk Identification Programme - GRIP
Thematic Platform for the implementationof HFA’s Priority 2: Risk Identification
Carlos Villacis, Ph.D. – GRIP Coordinator
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Overview
Motivation – Preparedness and development
GRIP as a Thematic Platform
The National Perspective
The Global Perspective
Interagency collaboration – Examples and a Proposal
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
The impact of disasters
In 2008,
• 354 natural disasters were reported
• 235,000 persons were killed (138,366 by Cyclone Nargis, Myanmar)
• More than 214 million people were affected (~ 10 times Mozambique’s population!)
• USD 190 billion in economic damages (~ 19 times Mozambique’s GDP!)
Note: These are only major reported events (≥10 killed, ≥100 affected, state of emergency, call for international assistance)
Source: Annual Disaster Statistical Review, CRED, 2009
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Disaster-related mortality risk
Underweight children
Epidemic meningitis
Epidemic malariaSource: Columbia University
Disaster risk and the MDGs:
Disaster impacts have become impediments to sustainable development in Africa (Report on Disaster Risk Reduction for Sustainable Development in Africa, 2004)
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Global Distribution of Natural Hazards and Poverty
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Understanding of the problem
Risk Assessment
Proper Planning
Evidence-based decision making
Disaster Risk Reduction + Safe Development Processes
Effective Actions
The Problem
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
• Goal:– Promote sustainable development by reducing the impact of
natural hazards in high risk areas
• Specific objectives:– To improve risk information – To ensure its application in disaster risk management and
development processes
Global Risk Identification Programme - GRIP
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Programme Steering Committee
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
GRIP as Thematic Platform
Three main activities:
•Improve Coordination• Avoid duplication• Optimize resources• Increase effectiveness
•Promote Quality• Develop minimum standards• Establish QC mechanisms
•Provide Support• Capacity development resources• Support local implementation
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
• Risk Information– Risk assessment studies done in the country– Data available and their sources– Information needs and requirements for decision/policy making
• Institutional capabilities – Mandates– Experience
• Existing DRR strategy, framework, programmes, etc.– Legal, political, financial frameworks
The National perspective – What already exists
Country Situation AnalysisSystematic Inventory and Evaluation
for Risk Assessment (SIERA)
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
• Comparable Country Profiles• E-Libraries• Implementation Plan for NRA• Multi-stakeholder engagement• National coordination mechanism
Key Outputs
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Learning from the past - NDO
• Local authorities• Sectors• Civil society
Strong institutional coordination
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Estimating future losses - NRIS
Hazards
Vulnerabilities
Exposure
National Risk Information System
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
– GRIP Portal: Comprehensive service provider for Risk Assessment at every level
• The Disaster Analyst – Analysis of past disasters• The Risk Informer – Estimation of potential losses• The Capacity Developer – Capacity development
The global perspective
National and local
observatories& RISs
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Integration of Loss Databases 66 Loss databases
15 Global43 National 2 Multi-national 4 Sub-national
Disaster country profiles
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Fact sheetCountry profileFull reportE-libraryKey contactsUNDP Portfolio
Regional Risk Information
Systems
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Tracking progress in Risk Assessment
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Project tracking system
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Interagency Collaboration
• Integration and coordination• Standardization and QC• Comprehensive support
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
WHO – Integration and coordination
Vulnerability and Risk Analysisand Mapping (VRAM) Platformfor Health Risk Reduction
Compatible and complementary country profiles
Joint implementation:Development of
Sierra Leone’s risk profile
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
WMO – Coordination and collaboration
Capacity development:
Flood R. A. – IstanbulDrought R. A. - Slovenia
Joint capacity assessment for South
East Europe
Coordinated National
Assessments
Regional initiatives
Strengthen Met ServicesImprove risk information and applications
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
AGREEMENT OF COOPERATIONbetween
UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME
Risk Mapping for Strategic Planning of Shelter Response in Tijuana, Baja California, México.
H. AYUNTAMIENTO TIJUANA B.C.
Antonio Rosquillas and Luis Moreno
Municipio de Tijuana
June 2009
CENTRO DE INVESTIGACIÓN CIENTÍFICA Y DE EDUCACIÓN
SUPERIOR DE ENSENADA.
Emergency Shelter Cluster-PDSP Methodology
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
MUNICIPIODE
TIJUANA B.C.
6 possible earthquakes
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Damage Evaluation
c c c c c c c c c c c d c c c b d d c c c b c c c c c c b a b c a c c c b c c c c c b a a a c c c c b c c d c b c b a a c c c b b c c c d c b a c b b b c c a a c c d d c b a a b c b c b a a b c b c b c b a a b a b a a a a a b c a b b a a a a a a a a a a b a a a a a a a a a a b b a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a b a a a a a a a a a a a a b b a a a b a a a a a a b a b b b a a a a b b a a a b b b b b a a
a a a b b b b a a b a a b a a a
a a a a a a a a a b b a a a a a
a a a a a a a a a a a b a a a a a
a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a
a a a a a a a a a a a a
a a a a a a a a a a a a a a
Color ID
Automatic Range Manual Range
From To From Toa 0 18 0 18b 18 35 18 35c 35 53 35 53d 53 70 53 70
Estimated distribution of buildings damage
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Results
SAB CEN CTO CCO CVE LME PRE OTA PLA TAB TotalEQ1 10,000 4,622 8,917 3,282 1,226 5,839 7,276 4,497 6,372 6,246 58,277EQ2 12,392 4,593 6,853 3,661 3,184 7,012 8,576 3,341 5,335 9,503 64,449EQ3 3,025 2,792 1,942 2,400 1,360 2,751 8,457 1,266 947 3,648 28,588EQ4 12,465 10,140 11,085 6,676 1,703 9,942 15,133 7,984 6,019 10,169 91,316EQ5 4,986 4,504 2,900 4,289 2,581 5,317 16,561 1,993 1,456 6,338 50,925EQ6 6,411 6,063 5,761 3,581 1,032 4,979 8,437 3,985 3,216 4,979 48,444
Number of persons with shelter needs estimated for the six earthquake scenarios
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Shelter plan uploaded on Google Map
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Concrete Proposal
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Integrated Risk Information Portal
- Standardization- Quality control- Coordination
Multi-sectoral risk information
Health - WHO Schools - Unicef,Unesco
Settlements – UN-Habitat
Community - IFRC
Risk Information Portal
…..
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Integrated Risk Information Portal
- Standardization- Quality control- Coordination
Information components
Basic dataHazard, exposure
ProductsCountry profilesStudies
ResourcesTools, contacts,methodologies
Risk Information Portal
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Integrated Risk Information Portal
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Integrated Risk Information Portal
Standard Hazard Classification and
Definitions
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Integrated Risk Information Portal
Standardized disaster loss data collection– CRED, Munich-Re, ADRC, La Red, ISDR,UNDP
Munich – Feb 08
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Proposed mechanism
• Expansion of Steering Committee– Incorporate beneficiaries & agencies– Revise terms of reference
• Active engagement of Agencies– Secondment of staff– Focal points Risk information portal– Risk Assessment units Coordinated Sectoral Risk
Assessments
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
Proposed mechanism
• Coordinated initiatives– Methodologies (PDSP with Habitat)– Standards– Capacity development programmes (CADRI)
GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, [email protected], www.gripweb.org
IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010
THANK YOU!