THE FUTURE OF LOGISTICS

Greg BoldBay of Plenty Polytechnic

So what is the EU up to?

White paper 2011

Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area - Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system

The European Commission adopted a roadmap of 40 concrete initiatives for the next decade to build a competitive transport system that will increase mobility, remove major barriers in key areas and fuel growth and employment. At the same time, the proposals will dramatically reduce Europe's dependence on imported oil and cut carbon emissions in transport by 60% by 2050.

By 2050 EU key goals will include:

No more conventionally-fuelled cars in cities.

40% use of sustainable low carbon fuels in aviation; at least 40% cut in shipping emissions.

A 50% shift of medium distance intercity passenger and freight journeys from road to rail and waterborne transport.

All of which will contribute to a 60% cut in transport emissions by the middle of the century.

The current truth?

Is the EU actually headed in this direction?

What are the current international statistics saying?

BackgroundA basket of countries used for statistics

•Australia•Belgium•Finland•France•Germany•Greece

•Ireland•Netherlands•New Zealand•Norway•United Kingdom

All statistics used were sourced from the World Bank and analysed online at

Note: No NZ data available

Ports

The New Zealand Context

Domestic Coastal Shipping

So?

How do we manage freight corridors?

The public see bigger trucks as bigger threats

As they now do bigger ships!

Roundabouts are used to ease traffic congestion but have a large impact on vehicle economy

Separate freight and commuter corridors

Another Study

DHLPredict 1 of 5 futures

Scenario 1: Untamed Economy – Impending Collapse

Scenario 2: Mega-efficiency in MegacitiesScenario 3: Customized LifestylesScenario 4: Paralyzing ProtectionismScenario 5: Global Resilience – Local Adaptation

Where will we be?

Paradise Lost? Rising fuel costs drove costs on imported goods

beyond the reach of the average NZer

Exports were stifled by a mixture of high carbon footprint taxes and inflated transport costs

Larger ships reduced the number of port calls and inventory duty cycles went from 4 to 6 then to 8 weeks

Cost of holding inventory doubled – costs were passed directly onto consumers

Or Paradise Found?

The development of the ROIL (Road/Rail) network and internal super-hubs connected by self powered trailer units allowed easy modal transfers.

Renewable green energy sources, particularly solar, reduced the reliance on fossil fuels

The development of separate freight and commuter corridors increased the logistics sector efficiencies.

2050 Where will we be.....