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Resource upgrade…on track to rival worlds’ largest Uranium +/- REE deposits...momentum building
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Page 1 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au - Please read the disclaimer for terms.
A number of key milestones have been met or are imminent this year including a
significantly expanded resource based on drilling at Zone 2 (recently completed) and
Zone 3 (imminent), the completion of Pre-Feasibility (“PFS”), environmental (“EIS”) and
social impact assessment (“SIA”) studies in late CY 2012 and a Definitive Study in early
CY 2013, Greenland Mineral and Energy Limited (ASX: GGG) appears to be finally
building some momentum. The Company also expects to lodge an exploitation license
application for Kvanefjeld in the near term.
The critical issues appearing to fall GGG’s way include:
Important technical breakthroughs are being made on the metallurgy and an
optimised process flow sheet is imminent;
The JORC resource has been increased to a level (512Mlb U3O8, 9.22mt REE),
giving further support to a world class deposit capable of producing uranium and
rare earth elements (“REE’s”) for many decades to come;
The two principal products from Kvanefjeld, uranium and REE, have market
structures undergoing significant change with most analysts forecasting buoyant
pricing over the next several years;
GGG is moving to 100% ownership of the Kvanefjeld Project in the process
bringing the legal dispute with Westrip/Rimbal to an end, clearing the way for a
strategic investor to step in and help finance the project;
The Greenland government appears to be warming to the idea of uranium
mining, certainly as a by-product of REE mining and it is expected that an
exploitation license will be issued in the near term.
The ability of GGG to secure the exploitation license will hinge on the quality of the EIS
and SIA reports and their relevant conclusions.
With a contained metal content of over 9mt TREO and 500mlb U3O8 (defined over 2
deposits totalling 860mt) the project is no longer a question of size – the resource will
sustain many decades of mining - but rather the focus now shifts to how to economically
extract the REE and uranium.
The DFS, based on a finalised process flow sheet and tested in a pilot plant in 2H 2012, is
likely to put technical and project execution questions to rest. With moderated capital
costs, improving markets in uranium and REE’s, the timing appears to be right for GGG.
The technical studies and pre-development activity undertaken by GGG during 2012 will
be critical in determining the future of their flagship project and potentially set the timeline
to development. With some key milestones out of the way and critical penultimate ones
due for completion in the next 12 months, RM Research believes it is now time for
investors to get set in this exciting company.
Our short term price target is A$0.90 with a medium term target of A$1.80 to A$6.36 as
the project moves closer to the development phase and more emphasis is placed on cash
flow based methods of valuation. RM Research believes the exploration target could be
in the range of 2-10bt at similar grades which may approach, over time, the giant Olympic
Dam Deposit of BHP Billiton Limited (ASX: BHP) of 8.3bt Measured, Inferred and
Indicated Resources @ 0.88% Cu, 0.31g/t Au and 280ppm U3O8.
Capital Structure
Sector Materials
Share Price (A$) 0.46
Fully Paid Ordinary Shares (m) 416
Perf Opt (exA$1.75 exp 8/13) (m) 7.0
Perf Opt ($1.5/$1.85,$2.5 5/14) (m) 16.45
Empl Opt (ex $0.25, 3/13)(m) 0.75
Market Cap (undil) (A$m) 191.4
Share Price Year H-L (A$) 1.41-0.41
Approx Cash (A$m) 10.0
Directors & Management
Michael Hutchinson Chairman
Roderick McIllree Managing Director
Dr John Mair Exec Director
Jeremy Whybrow Exploration Director
Simon Cato Exec Director
Tony Ho Non-Exec Director
Major Shareholders
Citicorp Nominees Pty Limited 16.8%
JP Morgan Noms Aust Ltd 14.9%
HSBC Cust Noms (Aust) Ltd 10.0%
GCM Nominees Pty Limited 8.4%
Roderick Claude McIllree 2.7%
Analyst
Guy T Le Page
+61 8 9488-0800
Share Price Performance
Greenland Minerals and Energy LtdResource upgrade…on track to rival worlds’ largest Uranium +/- REE deposits...momentum building
16thApril 2012
ASX Code: GGG
Speculative Buy
Medium term target A$1.80-A$6.36
Page 2 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research - www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
INVESTMENT CASE
WORLD CLASS REE + URANIUM RESOURCE KEEPS EXPANDING: Indisputably the
Kvanefjeld project is world class. Indeed it is probably more accurate to describe the project
as covering the Ilmaussaq Complex, encompassing Kvanefjeld, Zone 2, Zone 3 and
Steenstrupfjeld. Mineralisation can be traced on a regional scale for 6 kilometres between
Kvanefjeld and Zone 2 with broad spaced drilling indicating good continuity.
LEVERAGE TO URANIUM PRICE:
Our cash flow analysis suggests a
15% lift in uranium prices would
drive NPV10 calculations past A$4b.
We believe that over time GGG will
be valued more on cash flow
methods which are bound to drive
the valuation and share price
higher.
PEER ANALYSIS POINTS TO
MISPRICING: GGG appears
undervalued compared to peers
and we believe a value uplift is
imminent as the project moves
closer to development and key
milestones are met.
Recent takeover premiums for
advanced uranium plays have been
a significant higher multiples.
IMPROVING REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT IN GREENLAND: Recent regulatory changes,
most significantly the inclusion of uranium in a prospecting license, point to a softening of
attitudes towards uranium mining in Greenland.
OPTIMAL FLOW SHEET NOT FAR OFF: GGG appear to be close to selecting their preferred
development scenario and designing the optimal flow sheet that will be the subject of pilot
testing. Recent beneficiation test work has been encouraging.
STRONG DEMAND FOR REE & URANIUM: REE’s and uranium are strategic minerals
whose importance is only set to increase, particularly in countries concerned about security of
supply. GGG can leverage off the trends occurring in emerging markets (hunger for energy)
and mature markets (need for advanced electronics).
IMPROVING ECONOMIC BENCHMARKS: RM Research anticipates improved economic
fundamentals as a result of process flow sheet optimisation where significant capital savings
should be achieved and there is scope to greatly improve REE recoveries.
CONSOLIDATED PROJECT OWNERSHIP: The ongoing uncertainty surrounding the legal
activity and dispute stemming from the Westrip/Rimbal JV is about to come to an end and
result in a consolidated project ownership - a likely catalyst for a re-rating of GGG.
Stage # of companies 43-101/JORC
EV/lb U3O8
Producer 6 $6.85
Developer 4 $5.11
Feasibility 11 $0.87
Pre-feasibility 8 $1.52
Exploration 31 $1.03
All Categories 60 $1.86
Good resource continuity
points to significant
resource upside
Kvanefjeld represents
excellent leverage to
increasing uranium
prices
Demand fundamentals
for uranium and REE
improving
RM Research believes
that the critical issue of
political risk in
Greenland is
progressively being
resolved in the
company’s favour with a
very positive medium
term outlook...
Consolidated project
ownership should see a
re-rating of Greenland
Minerals and Energy
Page 3 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
COMPANY OVERVIEW
Greenland Minerals and Energy Ltd (“Greenland Minerals and Energy”, “GGG” or “the
Company”) (ASX: GGG) is an exploration and development company focusing on the
Kvanefjeld specialty metals deposit in southern Greenland. The deposit contains potentially
economic rare earth elements, uranium and zinc.
The Company's 61% interest in Kvanefjeld is held through a joint venture with Westrip
Holdings Limited, a UK domiciled private company holding 39%. While there have been
various legal issues between the joint venture partners in the past, a recent agreement has
sought to settle the litigation and allow GGG to move to 100% ownership.
Kvanefjeld is one deposit within a larger geological unit called the Ilmaussaq Complex located
not far from the southern tip of Greenland near the town of Narsaq.
While Kvanefjeld is GGG’s principal project and the site of the main JORC compliant
resource, the wider project area includes Zone 2 (also with JORC resource), Zone 3 and
Steenstrupfjeld.
The Company has been operating in Greenland since 2007, and although Greenland's "zero-
tolerance" policy to uranium has been widely known, political developments and changing
attitudes have slowly been turning the Governments policy on uranium to GGG's favour.
GREENLAND With a population of a little over 50,000, Greenland does not often feature on the newswires
but its gradual political separation from Denmark has been occurring at a steady pace. The
key factor today is that Greenland now controls its own mineral rights which are seen as an
important future funding source to substitute the current subsidies from Denmark.
Greenland is essentially an autonomous country within the Kingdom of Denmark (the latter
handling foreign affairs and defense) holding the right to exploit its mineral and hydrocarbon
resources and diversify an economy currently dominated by the fishery industry and grants
provided by the Danish Government.
FIGURE 1: Aerial
overview of the Ilmaussaq
Complex in Southern
Greenland, centre of
Greenland Minerals and
Energy's activities
(source: Greenland
Minerals and Energy
Presentation, April 2011).
FIGURE 2: The Northern
portion of Ilmaussaq
Complex illustrating the
project area and the 4
current zones of interest
(source: Greenland
Minerals and Energy
Presentation, April 2011).
The broader project area
encompasses over 56
square kilometres
Greenland is now
determining its own
future with regard to
mineral rights
Page 4 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
As an indication of how far the Greenland government and regulators have come in recent
times, GGG's exploration licenses were recently modified to include uranium. While not
guaranteed at this stage, this step provides the framework in which the Company can now
apply for an exploitation license to produce uranium as a by-product of a multi-commodity
operation at some stage in the future.
The Company is now preparing an EIA and SIA in parallel with its Definitive Feasibility Study
(“DFS”). These documents will be important to help the process of bringing the community
and political stakeholders further down the road to mine development.
RESOURCES AND RESERVES
Kvanefjeld Only Tonnes and Grade Contained Metal U3O8
150ppm cut-off Tonnes
Mt TREO ppm
U3O8
ppm Zn
ppm TREO
Mt U3O8
mlb Zn Mt
Indicated 437 10929 274 2212 4.77 263 0.97 Inferred 182 9763 216 2134 1.78 86 0.39
Totals 619 10585 257 2189 6.55 350 1.36
Zone 2 Only Tonnes and Grade Contained Metal U3O8
150ppm cut-off Tonnes
Mt TREO ppm
U3O8
ppm Zn
ppm TREO
Mt U3O8
mlb Zn Mt
Inferred 242 11022 304 2602 2.67 162 0.63
Global Resource Tonnes and Grade Contained Metal U3O8
150ppm cut-off Tonnes
Mt TREO ppm
U3O8
ppm Zn
ppm TREO
Mt U3O8
mlb Zn Mt
Indicated 437 10929 274 2212 4.77 263 0.97 Inferred 424 10480 266 2401 4.45 249 1.02 Totals 861 10708 270 2305 9.22 512 1.98
Note: TREO refers to Total Rare Earth Oxide and includes the rare earth elements in the lanthanide series plus yttrium.
Uranium is used as a cut-off due to the greater coverage of historical spectral assays across the deposit.
EXPLORATION OVERVIEW
Kvanefjeld
Location and Access
The Kvanefjeld project is situated about 10 kilometres from the town of Narsaq which in turn is
approximately 45 kilometres from the Narsarsuaq international airport. This area is on the
southern tip of Greenland with access to the north Atlantic shipping lanes and is well placed
between the US east coast and Europe.
Due to inclement weather during winter, GGG undertakes its drilling activities during the
northern hemisphere summer (May-August) although technically, there should be no reason
why a modern mining operation could not operate year round.
Tenure
GGG holds six granted tenements covering a large strategic area around the project area.
License 2010/02 is the critical one covering the Kvanefjeld Project and the three satellite
targets, Zone 1, 2 and 3.
Kvanefjeld is
strategically located
between US and Europe
TABLE 1: JORC
Resources at Kvanefjeld
only (source: Greenland
Minerals & Energy,
January 2012).
The Company has defined
a resource in excess of
800 million tonnes
containing over 500mlb
of uranium and 9.22mt of
rare earths.
Page 5 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Geology & Mineralisation
Kvanefjeld is located within the Ilmaussaq Complex, comprising a suite of layered intrusives
defined by several stages of magma, from syenite to peralkaline granite, each with its own
chemistry. The mineralization at Kvanefjeld is hosted in a rock type called lujavrite with the
layered intrusive sequence having been subject to variable amounts of erosion. At Kvanefjeld
the mineralized units have been exposed as the roof of the magma chamber has been
stripped away by erosion. In other areas of the Complex, the lujavrite rock typically occurs at
depth.
Mineralisation occurs as “steenstrupine”, a rare form of sodic phosphor-silicate mineral
hosting most of the rare earths and uranium. Lesser amounts of REE’s and uranium are
hosted in vitusite, a phosphate mineral. Zinc is hosted in sphalerite.
FIGURE 3: Greenland
Minerals and Energy
tenement map (source:
Greenland Minerals and
Energy ASX Release,
May 2011).
FIGURE 4: Geological
map of southern
Greenland (source:
Greenland Minerals and
Energy Presentation,
April 2011).
Page 6 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Previous Exploration
Discovered in 1956, Kvanefjeld has had several phases of exploration, the earliest of which
was under the direction of the Danish Atomic Energy Agency and the Danish Geological
Survey. More than 11,000 metres of drilling, two 500 metres of adits, metallurgical testing and
a PFS were completed during this period up to 1980.
Prior to GGG taking over the project in 2007, several companies worked on the deposit but
only more limited channel sampling appears to have taken place.
Recent Exploration
Since 2007 GGG have picked up the pace significantly. Major drill programs were completed
in 2007 and 2008 and another geotech/metallurgical drill program was completed in 2009.
Altogether RM Research estimates that more than 37,000 metres of drilling have been
completed by GGG since 2007.
Metallurgy
Work completed by GGG leading up to the prefeasibility in 2010 demonstrated that due to the
alkaline nature of the layered intrusive host, conventional treatment of ore using sulphuric acid
were likely to be uneconomic due to very high acid consumption levels. The complex and
unique nature of the mineralization pointed to the possibility of carbonate pressure leaching
for uranium (and a separate acid leach circuit for the REE’s) as a way to process the ore –
although recoveries achieved varied significantly depending on the ore type and were quite
low for REE’s.
Recent testwork by GGG has resulted in two important improvements:
1. Kvanefjeld REE-U ore has been beneficiated using a froth flotation method,
subsequently demonstrated at pilot scale (GGG ASX Announcement, October 2011)
achieving an upgrade ratio of approximately 6.7:1 (or about 15% or the original mass);
2. Mineral concentrate (post beneficiation) has been subject to conventional acid leach
and solvent extraction techniques and achieves leach extracts of 90-95% for uranium
and heavy REE’s under atmospheric conditions.
These significant advances open the way for GGG to develop a more conventional process
flowsheet (Figure 5) and significantly reduce the technical risk of the project. RM Research
expects these developments to lead to lower CAPEX and improved recoveries in the revised
PFS due for completion in CY 2012.
Kvanefjeld was
discovered in 1956
RM Research estimates
that over 37,000 metres
of drilling have been
undertaken by
Greenland Minerals
and Energy
Two recent major
metallurgical
breakthroughs
FIGURE 5: Conceptual
flow sheet representation
of potential new
Kvanefjeld process
(source: Greenland
Minerals and Energy
ASX Release, February
2012).
Page 7 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Conceptually, it is envisaged that flotation will first produce a zinc concentrate, then a uranium
and REE rich mineral concentrate that is subsequently leached with conventional acid
solutions under normal atmospheric conditions. Uranium is then recovered using solvent
extraction. REE’s are precipitated after an impurity removal step. It is RM Research’s’
understanding that light REE’s will report to a tailings/stockpile and that the heavy REE and
uranium will be optimized to maximize returns. The light REE’s could potentially be processed
in the future according to demand and supportive pricing.
Infrastructure
The project area is adjacent to deep water fjords that should allow direct year round access by
ship from the north Atlantic. An international airport is located about 35 kilometres away and
elevated lakes in the district have been assessed for hydroelectric power (Figure 6).
Notwithstanding this, GGG has included substantial infrastructure costs in their interim PFS
CAPEX estimate of US$432 million, including the cost of a new port.
Zone 2, Zone 3 and Steenstrupfjeld
Recent Exploration
GGG has recently picked up the pace in exploring satellite deposits having announced during
the course of 2010-11 the discovery of Zone 2, Zone 3 and Steenstrupfjeld (Figure 7). These
satellite deposits are now the subject of further resource drilling programs with the maiden
resource of 242 Mt @ 304ppm U3O8, 1.1%TREO, 0.26% Zinc for 162mlb U3O8 and 2.67Mt
TREO, adding 46% and 39% respectively to the metal inventory.
FIGURE 6: Kvanefjeld
and surrounding
prospects showing
possible hydro-plant
location (source:
Greenland Minerals and
Energy Presentation,
April 2011).
FIGURE 7: Recent drill
coverage of satellite
deposits (source:
Greenland Minerals and
Energy Quarterly Report,
January 2012).
Page 8 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Recent results from Zone 2 include:
Hole S018 66m @ 474ppm U3O8, 1.55% TREO, 0.34% Zn
Hole S019 60m @ 486ppm U3O8, 1.15% TREO, 0.34% Zn
Hole S020 52m @ 452ppm U3O8, 1.49% TREO, 0.33% Zn
It appears that the upper mineralized horizon at Zone 2 (Figure 8) is of a higher grade tenor with a true thickness of between 50-100 metres-something that has been confirmed by recent resource definition work (119mt @ 400ppm U3O8, 1.2%TREO).
For Zone 3, initial results have also been encouraging including the following recently reported intercepts:
Hole NO23 101m @ 435ppm U3O8, 1.56% TREO, 0.30% Zn
Hole N009 68m @ 410ppm U3O8, 1.35% TREO, 0.31% Zn
Hole N011 67m @ 401ppm U3O8, 1.49% TREO, 0.33% Zn
The mineralogy and tenor appear to be similar to Kvanefjeld and Zone 2 underlying the possibility of one continuous super-system. A maiden JORC resource for Zone 3 is imminent.
Resource Potential
Conceptually it is
believed that the
layered igneous
intrusive complex is
continuous or semi-
continuous between
Kvanefjeld and Zone
2 (Figure 9), and
possibly the other
satellite areas. If this
turns out to be the
case, then the scale
of the deposit is truly
world class, possibly
underpinning
production at the site
for many decades.
FIGURE 8: Zone 2 cross
section illustrating the
higher grade upper lens
characterised by uranium
grades >350ppm (source:
Greenland Minerals and
Energy Quarterly Report,
January 2012).
FIGURE 9: Schematic
geological representation
of the possible contiguous
nature of the mineralised
lujavrite rock between
Kvanefjeld and Zone 2.
(source: Greenland
Minerals and Energy
Presentation, April 2011).
Page 9 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Given that a 861mt resource containing 9.2mt of TREO and 512mlb of uranium has so far
been defined at Kvanefjeld, regional continuity of the lujavrite sequence suggests that the
ultimate resource (albeit significant component of which will likely be exploited by underground
operations) may approach 5bt containing more than 50mt of TREO and 3b lb uranium, or
roughly a deposit that is 10 times the size of what is defined to date.
PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY (2010) AMEC Minproc completed an interim PFS on Kvanefjeld in December 2009. The study tapped
the expertise of Coffey Mining, Hellman & Schofield (resource definition and mine plans),
ANSTO, SGS, CSIRO (metallurgy) and others. This study drew heavily on the historical PFS
completed in 1983.
Key outcomes from the PFS included:
Mine studies indicated a large open pit with low strip ratio was possible, with LOM
ore mined at 239Mt @314ppm U3O8 and ~1%TREO;
The use of carbonate pressure leaching (CPL) to extract both uranium and REE’s
and a 10.8Mtpa plant and associated infrastructure was proposed;
Mine life was estimated at over 23 years based on the JORC resource at the time
(457Mt @ 279ppm U3O8 and ~1% TREO);
CAPEX was estimated at US$2.31 billion with the CPL plant achieving recoveries of
83.8% for U3O8 and 34% for REE’s;
OPEX was estimated at US$29.61/lb U3O8and US$3.36/kg REO.
Assuming a uranium price of US$80/lb and US$13.50/kg REO, GGG estimated a pre-tax
ungeared internal rate of return of 24%, pre-tax NPV10 of US$2.2 billion and a 5-6 year
payback period.
Given recent developments in optimization of the process flowsheet (see Metallurgy), the
substantially expanded resource size, the identification of higher grade upper layers in the
intrusive complex and the recent work towards concluding the final prefeasibility study, RM
Research expects substantially improved economic metrics to be announced in 2012.
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS OF REVISED FEASIBILITY RM Research has conducted a high-level review of the original financial model results against
revised expectations on the new feasibility. Based on the 2010 PFS the after-tax NPV10 and
IRR of the Kvanefjeld project was estimated at approximately US$1,300m and 19%
respectively. Table 2 outlines the principal high-level assumptions that are behind this
estimate, alongside revised estimates of the new proposed process flow sheet.
2010 Pre-feasibility
(GGG Reports)
2012 Feasibility
(RM Research Est.)
Comment/ Rationale
Capex, US$m 2,310 1,500 35% lower
Opex, US$/lb U3O8 29.61 32 See note below.
Opex US$/kg REO 3.36 9.0 Escalation
Uranium Price, US$/lb 80 70 JP Morgan l/t
REO Price, US$/kg 13 80 Mt Weld proxy
Uranium Production p.a. 8.6mlb 10mlb ~15% uplift
REE Production p.a. 43.7kt REO 8kt HREO Focus now HREO
Mine Life, years 23 31 35% increase
After-tax NPV10%US$m 1,282 3,483
After-tax IRR, % 19% 35%
The above assumes a 35% CAPEX saving due to greatly simplified process plant and a mine
life increased in proportion to recent resource expansion (35%). Also assumed is a much
higher proportion of more valuable REO content to the final product and for the purposes of
this exercise RM Research has assumed a product value that approaches that of Lynas
While the interim PFS
indicated positive
economics it was based
on a complex
metallurgical circuit
with sub-optimal REE
recoveries.
The final PFS is expected
to describe a very
different development
proposal and greatly
improved economic
outcomes.
TABLE 2: High-level
comparison of economic
parameters and outcomes
for the Kvanefjeld Project
(source: Greenland
Minerals and Energy
PFS, January 2010 and
RM Research internal
modelling April 2012).
Page 10 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Corporation Limited (ASX: LYG) Mt Weld Project, or approximately US$80/kg. Also
assumed is an approximate 15% uplift on prior annual production levels (producing ~10mlb
U3O8, 8kt HREO per annum).
Operating costs for uranium have been lifted to the low-30’s as there are very few uranium
projects internationally that operate below this level (low cost in situ leach operations in
Kazakhstan or high grade deposits in Canada being the exception).
Using this very simplistic approach, it is easy to see significant economic improvements at
Kvanefjeld off the back of;
An improved process flow sheet;
A 172% increase in after-tax NPV to US$3.5b, and
An after tax IRR lifting to the mid 30’s.
These are all compelling financial metrics for equity investors to take note of.
RARE EARTHS MARKET OUTLOOK First, what are Rare Earth Elements?
They are a unique group of chemical elements that have specific properties exploited in
electronics, optics, magnetics and catalytic functions. Sometimes referred to as the
Lanthanide Series, REE’s also include scandium (Sc) and yttrium (Y). Because of their special
properties the REE’s have a wide variety of niche uses such as:
Refining or catalysing fuels;
Special magnets or electronic componentry;
Metal alloys and ceramics;
Glass with special applications.
The REE’s are often associated with the “new economy” or renewable energy due to their
special role in advanced electronic and magnets used in those applications.
The REE’s are often characterised as either “light REE” (atomic number of 60 or less) or
“heavy REE” (atomic number of 61 or more). In general the heavy REE are more valuable on
an equivalent weight basis, however this rule of thumb needs to be used with some caution.
Each REE deposit has a unique metal association and it will be the combination of elements
that will determine the value of product.
Importantly in the context of this paper the value of the REE’s has been increasing
significantly in recent times with Dysprosium, Europium and Terbium attracting the highest
prices:
REE Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011
La 6 7 6 75 145 160 125
Ce 4 5 4 77 150 170 135
Pr 31 14 26 117 215 280 270
Nd 31 14 27 125 255 320 265
Eu 435 435 490 725 1,850 6,000 4,000
Dy 105 92 140 405 980 2,850 2,300
Tb 70 360 405 690 2,750 4,000 3,200
Y 14 15 11 95 160 180 160
Gd 6 7 44 150 320 225 225
Sm 5 3 14 72 125 130 110
Plenty of scope for
improving financial
metrics at Kvanefjeld
REE have a wide variety
of uses…
…often associated with
the “new economy”
TABLE 3: recent price
increases for key REE’s
(source: Metal prices from
DJ Carmichael REE
Sector Review, 11
October 2011).
Page 11 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Like many commodity
markets, China features
prominantly dominating
the REE market both in
terms of supply (it is
responsible for more than
95% of world supply) and
demand (it consumes
about 60% of world
supply). Looking out to
2015, this dominant
position is expected to be
eroded, especially with respect to the light REE’s. Critically however, China is expected to
dominant supply of the heavy REE such as dysprosium for some time to come.
China has recently tightened up export quotas, forced the price of REE’s up and increased
concerns in the West about security of supply, especially for defence applications. Some
REE’s are predicted to be more critical than others. For example dysprosium, neodymium and
terbium are all expected to be restricted (and expensive) into the medium term.
Medium Term (5-15 years)
4
Neodymium
Dysprosium
(high)
3
Gallium Indium
Europium
Terbium
Lithium Ytrium
Tellurium
2
Cerium
Cobalt
Lanthium
Praseodymium
1
(Low)
Samarium
1
2
3
4
(Low)
(high)
Supply Risk
So what will underpin REE prices going forward?
Under the China quota system, it is predicted that the Rest of the World will need to contribute
supply to bridge the gap. Given the capital intensive nature of REE developments and the
high regulatory barriers in most countries hosting REE deposits, typical supply response and
development timelines are very long-10 years being not uncommon. It would not be surprising
to see a supply lag response and more volatile pricing reflecting this.
RARE EARTHS SUPPLY
GROUP 2010 2015
China ROW China ROW
Light 94% 6% 67% 33%
(La, Ce, Pr & Nd)
Mediums 97% 3% 89% 11%
(Sm, Eu & Gd)
Heavies 100% 0% 96% 4%
(Tb, Dy, Er & Y)
TABLE 4: Market
structure: China vs Rest
of the World “ROW”
(source: IMCOA from DJ
Carmichael REE Sector
Review 11 October 2011).
FIGURE 9: US
Department of Energy
Projections on relative
supply risk in relation to
clean energy programs
(source: USDOE from DJ
Carmichael REE sector
Review 11 October 2011).
Supply response times in
REE tend to be very long
Imp
ort
an
ce
to
cle
an
en
erg
y
Page 12 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
RM Research forecasts volatile but elevated REE pricing reflecting supply constraints and
steadily growing industrial demand, especially for the manufacture of sophisticated portable
computing devices, hybrid cars and the renewable energy expansion plans in Western
countries.
URANIUM MARKET OUTLOOK
The uranium industry has been undergoing resurgence since around 2002. Sometimes
referred to by industry promoters as the “Nuclear Renaissance”, interest in uranium and
nuclear power has been driven by:
(1) Increasing energy demand, especially from the major emerging economies of China
and India;
(2) Concerns about global warming in the Western developed nations, and
(3) Concerns about energy security in an increasingly uncertain world, in particular in
regard to access to Russian gas or Middle Eastern oil.
Of course this “Renaissance” was interrupted by the Fukushima nuclear incident in Japan in
March 2011. Although no lives were lost due to radiation releases (and the expectation is
none ever will), the public perception of the event was very negative and this has resulted in
several countries with strong Green political parties or anti-nuclear movements to re-evaluate
their use of nuclear power.
But pronouncements of the death of nuclear power in our view are premature. Internationally,
a lot has been going on despite the Fukushima incident with 62 reactors under construction
(adding to a fleet of 433 currently operating, although Japan has yet to re-start the majority of
its reactors) and the total number of reactors either planned or proposed actually increasing
by 15% since Fukushima.
Forecast Date Reactors Under
Construction
Reactors Planned or
Proposed
Forecast New
Reactors
December 2009 53 435 488
December 2011 62 499 561
Change +17% +15% +15%
There are a number of “big ticket” items that collectively or even individually could have a
major effect on prices:
Japanese Inventory is building: Japanese reactors are forced to shut down for
maintenance every 13 months. To re-start they need prefecture (or local
government) approval which, post-Fukushima, has not been forthcoming. This
means that Japan’s reactor fleet has been progressively switching off since
Fukushima and they are now down to 2 of 51 reactors still in service.
FIGURE 10: Forecast
supply and demand graph
to 2015 (source: IMCOA
from DJ Carmichael REE
Sector Review 11 October
2011).
Internationally, a lot has
been going on regarding
reactor development
since the Fukushima
incident
TABLE 5: Forecast
reactor construction
pipeline (source: WNA).
Page 13 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
New mine supply is being constrained: Very few new uranium projects are
currently proceeding as planned pre-Fukushima. At best, several companies are on
a go-slow while others have gone on hold and/or changed their commodity of
interest. Uranium, being a highly regulated industry, will not be quick to respond and
when prices turn for the better new production options will be extremely limited.
Some major projects have been deferred indefinitely (Trekkopje/AREVA
Corporation, Yeelirrie/BHP Billiton).
Olympic Dam expansion overestimated: The contribution of uranium from the
Olympic Dam expansion is being massively over-estimated by some analysts. One
industry analyst for example has BHP Billiton reaching its full expansion capacity of
19,000t U3O8 in 2016 – even before the pre-strip is finished! BHP Billiton has made
it clear that the Stage 1 expansion is a copper-gold investment decision and any
future expansion of uranium production will be a separate investment decision.
The Russia-US “Megatons for Megawatt’s” program is coming to an end: In
November 2013 the equivalent of 24mlb of uranium will come off the market as the
HEU deal comes to an end. This is the equivalent of shutting down the world’s
largest uranium “mine” in under two years’ time. While some analysts believe the
material will still find its way onto the market, Russia has made it clear in public
comments that it considers the HEU to be strategic material and no longer for sale.
Kazak Production Expansion starting to “tail off”: Kazakhstan has completed a
remarkable uranium production expansion over the last 10 years, from producing
around 9mlb of uranium in 2002-03 to around 17mlb in 2007 then 50mlb in 2011. In
recent press and industry publications Kazataprom has indicated that production will
be moderated for 2012 with growth either flat or possibly even slightly negative.
China’s true intentions? The 2020 target of 80GWe has come and gone and come
again. China is the main driver behind the new reactor build pipeline, building 26 of
the 62 currently under construction. Conservative estimates put their 2020 target at
60GWe and even with the Fukushima “pause” this target is still intact. Recent
announcements from state organisations in China have pointed to a restoration of the
80GWe target. If true, this will be very positive for the miners.
The key to uranium pricing going forward will be the interplay of all of the above factors. Will
the Japanese re-start their reactors? If so, when will they? How much uranium production is
ODEX really going to contribute this decade? Has the market fully factored in the HEU deal
falling away and the amount of new primary mine supply to fill the gap?
RM Research believes that the industry transition from a market dominated by inventory
overhang (and active selling) to one requiring a new primary mine supply response funded by
the international capital markets (requiring an equity return) will unfold in a volatile manner.
One factor of this market often overlooked by analysts is its relative inelasticity. Uranium is
not substitutable in most nuclear reactors. The closest thing to a substitute product is
electricity which is used to concentrate U235
(measured in Separative Work Units or SWU) and
in times of high uranium prices more SWU is used to extract more U235
. But of course the
limiting factor on this is the price of electricity. The cost of uranium fuel in a typical nuclear
reactor constitutes only around 5% of their operating cost so plant operators are more
concerned with keeping their very expensive nuclear units online that they are about uranium
prices – they will pay what they need to!
So what are they likely to pay?
Today uranium trades for around US$51/lb on the spot market and US$60-US$63/lb on the
long term market. About 80% of Uranium is transacted on the long term market and is the
most critical price for the majority of producers, especially the majors. The spot market tends
to drive sentiment and is the market of financial investors, utility traders, hedge funds and
smaller producers who cannot secure contracted terms (small US operations for example).
Until one of the “big ticket” items above changes expect uranium to trade flat and remain at
current levels.
No decision on uranium
expansion has yet been
made at Olympic Dam
Kazak production is
beginning to drop…flat
to declining outlook
China remains a driving
force in the growth of
nuclear reactors
…we anticipate supply
side pressure is likely to
set the scene for price
volatility
Short term outlook for
uranium remains flat
Page 14 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
JP Morgan Forecast
Analysis by JP Morgan concludes that the average incentive price for the start of new uranium
production is US$80/lb. In this context term uranium prices were forecast as follows (US$/lb):
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
US$68 US$75 US$90 US$80 US$75 US$70 US$65 US$65 US$65
FIGURE 11: Spot and
long term uranium prices
since Fukushima (source:
Bloomberg/JP Morgan
Report 10 January 2012).
TABLE 6: Forecast term
uranium pricing (source:
JP Morgan Report 10
January 2012).
Page 15 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
PEER COMPARISON AND ESTIMATE OF VALUE
Peer Comparison
Looking at uranium benchmarks first, GGG has an Enterprise Value per pound of U3O8
(ignoring the value of REE and using the global resource base of 512mlb) of A$0.36/lb. In the
uranium space the following broad metrics apply (Table 7):
Stage # of companies 43-101/JORC
EV/lb U3O8
Producer 6 $6.85
Developer 4 $5.11
Feasibility 11 $0.87
Pre-feasibility 8 $1.52
Exploration 31 $1.03
All Categories 60 $1.86
Although this table illustrates the typical dip that companies experience as they enter the
Feasibility stage, GGG is somewhere in between this and pre-feasibility. In any event, the
metrics would suggest that GGG’s multiple is somewhat low, especially when you consider
there is no allowance for value from the REE’s in this analysis.
The other feature of this table is the significant uplift by moving into the development phase
and ultimately production. This is when billion dollar market caps may be possible. In the near
term, we would expect GGG to trade toward an EV/lb U3O8 A$1.50lb, or a A$525 million
market capitalisation, the equivalent of A$1.28/share.
TABLE 7: EV/lb U3O8
averaged by development
stage (source: Versant
Partners Report 17
February 2012).
FIGURE 12: EV/lb
multiples for producers
(Uranium Energy Corp,
Cameco, Uranium One,
Denison), developers,
(Uranerz, Alliance and Ur-
Energy) and various
companies in feasibility
studies (source: RM
Research internal
modelling).
Page 16 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
As GGG transitions from a pre-development company into one close to development and
production, it will attract a multiple approaching development multiples or strategic uranium
value of A$4/lb-A$5/lb (Figure 12). In this scenario GGG share price should trade at x10
current levels or approximately A$4.50 per Share.
Another feature of the uranium market is the recent corporate activity with uranium projects
being acquired by takeover at multiples around $4-$10/lb uranium. For the large scale low
grade deposits, this tends to be at the lower end of the range, for example:
Acquirer Target Deposit EV/lb U3O8
CGNPC/ Taurus Kalahari/Extract Husab6 A$4.30
KEPCO Strathmore Gas Hills A$3.90
In the event a strategic investor took a position in the Kvanefjeld project, we would expect
multiples approaching A$3/lb-A$4/lb, or the equivalent of A$3/share, clearly a value-additive
position on current multiples (Table 8).
Looking at EV multiples against the contained REO resources of some of the major
companies in the REE space, we can see that GGG’s Kvanefjeld is by far the largest at
9.22mt REO equivalent. GGG’s multiple of A$19/ tonne of REO is the lowest in the group with
Molycorp and Lynas Corp giving some indication of the sorts of valuation multiples
achievable on moving to production (Table 9, Figure 13).
Market Cap Cash EV REO EV/tREO
$m $m $m mt A$/tREO
GGG $190 $10 $180 9.22 $19
MolyCorp $2,750 $420 $2,330 2.10 $1,110
Lynas Corp $1,903 $215 $1,688 1.00 $1,688
Arafura Resources $123 $26 $97 1.15 $84
Avalon Rare Metals $250 $63 $187 2.30 $81
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
Molycorp Lynas Corp Avalon Rare Metals Arafura GGG
Enterprise Value/t REO
In pre-development we
would expect a share
price in excess of A$4.50
TABLE 8: EV/lb U3O8
acquisition values for
recent low grade
resources (source: RM
Research internal
modelling).
TABLE 9: EV/t REO
based on approximate
market capitalisation,
latest reported cash
position and REO
resources (source:
Company reports and with
Greenland Minerals and
Energy REO adjusted for
recent Zone 2 upgrade).
FIGURE 13: Enterprise
Value/t REO for selected
ASX listed REE
explorers/developers
(source: RM Research
internal modelling).
Page 17 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Valuation
RM Research has estimated the GGG value per share in two different timeframes:
1. Short-term estimate based on expectations in the next 6-18 months;
2. Mid-term estimate based on significant developments over the next 1-3 years.
A number of benchmarks (Table 10) are used: EV/lb U3O8 uranium multiples based on
corporate transactions in the uranium space, EV/lb U3O8 multiples and EV/t REO multiple
based on current industry benchmark pricing, and a proportion of NPV approach based on
2010 economics and anticipated 2012 outcomes.
Basis Short Term Mid Term
Uranium
Endowment
Assumed
+35% in mid
term
512mlb ~700mlb
REO Endowment
Assumed
+35% in mid
term
9.22mt ~12.5mt
$EV/lb U3O8 Industry
Benchmarks
~A$1/lb
Feasibility
A$512m n/a
$EV/lb U3O8 Industry
Benchmarks
~A$5/lb
Developer
n/a A$3,500m
$EV/t REO Industry
Benchmarks
~A$80/t REO
Feasibility
A$737m n/a
$EV/t REO Industry
Benchmarks
~A$400/t REO
Developer
n/a A$5000m
$EV/lb U3O8 Corporate
Transactions
~A$3/lb n/a A$2100m
NPV $1282m 2010 PFS 25% of after tax NPV
$1282m
A$320m n/a
NPV $3483m
RM Research
Estimate
2012 PFS 25% of after tax NPV
short term
50% of after tax NPV
mid term
A$870m A$1,741m
In the short term, RM Research can see valuations in the range of A$300-A$700 million, with
a mid-point of ~A$500 million or approximately A$0.90/Share (assuming 550 million Shares
on issue following a A$60 million equity raise at 45 cents to settle Westrip). In the mid-term,
assuming GGG can leverage better value for its REE resource and move into the “developer”
benchmark level, RM Research envisages valuations in the range of A$1.0 billion-A$3.5
billion although to achieve this, shareholders are likely to experience some dilution as the
project is progressively financed. Nevertheless, RM Research can still see share price levels
around the A$1.80-A$6.36 range in the medium term.
At what risk is this mid-long term valuation? On a purely economic analysis basis (ignoring
social issues and intangibles such as Greenland political developments), we can project a
range of prospective NPV10 outcomes by flexing for capital costs and REO/uranium pricing in
the mid-term.
TABLE 10: Valuation
multiples and estimated
company values in the
short and medium term
(source: RM Research).
Our short term price
target is A$500 million
based on the 2012 PFS
estimate…
…or A$0.90 per Share
Our medium term price
target is A$1 billion to
A$3.5 billion based on
the 2012 PFS estimate…
…or A$1.80 to A$6.36 per
Share
Page 18 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Flexing capital costs and product pricing by 25% and 15% respectively (for example uranium
prices are lifted from US$70/lb to just under US$75/lb) results in a full range of NPV10
outcomes between A$1.3b to A$3.1b (Figure 14).
While RM Research expects it will be some time before such valuations are realised, it does
illustrate the immense upside that is possible should the project secure approvals and finance.
In particular, the Company is very leveraged to the uranium price with the potential for very
significant upside should it trend to US$80/lb as expected by RM Research in the medium
term.
FIGURE 14: Projected
after tax NPV10%
estimates under various
flex scenarios (source:
RM Research internal
modelling).
A 15% lift in uranium
prices is likely to see
NPV10 calculations surge
past A$3.0 billion
Page 19 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
CORPORATE
In August 2011, GGG announced an agreement between GGG, Westrip and Rimbal on a no-
admission basis that allows the resolution of certain ownership issues between the parties and
allows court action to cease. Importantly for GGG, it allows the project to be consolidated to a
100% ownership structure by acquiring the 39% of the JV vehicle it does not already own. In
exchange GGG was to pay A$39 million in cash and issue 8.125 million shares and 5 million
options ($1.50 exercise price).
In December 2011, the settlement deadline of this agreement was extended to 15 June 2012
and certain adjustments were made to the deposit requirements.
RISK ANALYSIS
POLITICAL RISK: Positive political developments in Greenland with respect to uranium
exploitation in recent times could be reversed by political backtracking and the exploitation
license declined or deferred. Progress on GGG's EIA and SIA will be critical to the success of
managing the political process.
PROJECT ONWERSHIP: If GGG fail to fund the resolution agreement with Westrip/Rimbal
and legal uncertainties return to the project, an air of uncertainty and possible legal conflict
may prevail. The A$39 million cash settlement component in particular may be a challenge in
current equity markets and in this stage of the uranium cycle.
REE & URANIUM OUTLOOK: Opaque markets in REE and uranium could surprise on the
downside and not perform to expectations even though supply-demand fundamentals point to
elevated pricing in the mid-term. Uranium in particular could suffer a depressed period of
several years post Fukushima with the market largely turning on the ability of Japan to
overcome political hurdles and re-start their reactors. REE on the other hand suffer from a
concentration of supply from a single source (China) that may not act in a typically market
induced fashion.
METALLURGY: Process recoveries could be stubbornly low, in particular for REE's. While the
beneficiation process improvements are encouraging and improve the base from which to
work from, process flow sheet optimisation will remain a key focus of the investment market.
GEOLOGICAL RISK: Mineralisation may not be as continuous as predicted, especially
between zones 2, 3 and Kvanefjeld and may limit the ultimate size of the resource base. This
risk is a second order issue given the substantial size of the project even to date and while
RM Research expects some significant variations on grade at this project scale, broad
correlation is likely to be maintained between Kvanefjeld and Zone 2 providing significant
upside on the resource base.
MARKET RISK: Further declines in equity markets may continue to put pressure on junior
resource companies as investors switch out of “risk” into perceived safe haven investments
such as cash, gold and counter cyclical equities. Our medium term view is that the risk
premium has been eroded for many junior resource companies and we see near term upside.
Securing finance to
complete the deal with
Westrip/ Rimbal could
be a challenge in current
equity markets.
Further declines in
equity markets could see
a move out of riskier
asset classes such as
junior resource
companies
Page 20 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
DIRECTORS AND MANAGEMENT
Michael Hutchinson, B.Sc. CHAIRMAN
Mr Michael Hutchinson has had a distinguished career in resources and commodity trading,
having served as Director of the London Metal Exchange, the world’s largest market in options
and futures contracts on base and other metals. Michael has also served as Chairman of RBS
Sempra Metals Limited, and Wogen PLC; a trader of off-exchange metals that sources
metals worldwide for industrial end users. In addition, Mr Hutchinson previously served as a
director of MG PLC.
Roderick McIllree, B.Sc., Grad Dip. (Min Econ) MAusIMM MANAGING DIRECTOR
Mr Roderick McIllree graduated from Curtin University of Technology in 1996 with a Bachelor
of Science degree (Mineral Exploration and Mining Geology) and then commenced working in
Western Australia’s goldfields for companies including Placer Dome and Wiluna Gold.
Roderick gained international experience in Chile, before returning to Australia’s gold sector.
After completing a graduate diploma in Mineral Economics, Roderick worked as an analyst
and advisor for broking houses active in Australian and international capital markets.
Roderick was the founding Managing Director of ‘The Gold Company’ (now Greenland
Minerals and Energy), and was instrumental in the Company’s push into Greenland and the
acquisition to Kvanefjeld project in 2007.
Dr John Mair, PhD EXEC DIRECTOR – BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT
Dr John Mair completed a Bachelor of Science with Honours, majoring in geology, at the
University of Western Australia. He commenced working in gold exploration and mining in
Western Australia’s goldfields. He completed a PhD in 2004 and returned to the minerals
industry working in exploration for porphyry Cu-Au deposits in New South Wales, and gold
deposits in China. In mid-2005, John took the position of Post-Doctoral Research Fellow at
the University of British Columbia, with a focus on the metallogeny of southwest Alaska.
At completion of the project in 2006, John returned to the minerals industry as a project co-
coordinator for Vancouver-based exploration group Geoinformatics Exploration Inc., who in
alliance with Kennecott, were exploring for Cu-Mo-Au deposits in western North America from
Mexico to Alaska. In mid-2008 John returned to Australia to join Greenland Minerals and
Energy Limited as General Manager.
Simon Cato, B.A., MSDIA EXEC DIRECTOR
Mr Simon Cato has had over 20 years capital markets experience in both broking and
regulatory roles. He has been employed by ASX in Sydney and in Perth in the company’s
department that oversees the activities of listed companies. Over the last 12 years, he has
been an executive director of two stockbroking firms. As a broker he has also been involved in
the underwriting of a number of initial public offerings.
Mr Cato is also a director of Transactions Solutions International Limited, Advanced
Share Registry Limited, Queste Communications Limited and Convergent Minerals
Limited.
Jeremy Whybrow, B.Sc, Grad Dip. (Min Econ), MAusIMM EXPLORATION DIRECTOR
Mr Jeremy Whybrow and has had over 15 years’ experience in the minerals industry both
domestically and internationally. Jeremy has worked for companies such as Sons of Gwalia
Ltd, PacMin Ltd, Teck Australia Ltd, Mount Edon Gold Mines Ltd and Croesus Mining
NL. His experience has been mainly in the operational environment and includes significant
exposure to exploration and mining operations, project evaluation and feasibility studies.
Jeremy also has extensive international exploration experience having worked in China, Africa
and the Philippines as well as numerous localities in Australia. Jeremy is also an executive
director of Convergent Minerals Ltd.
Michael previously
served as director of the
LME
Rod has been with
Greenland Minerals and
Energy since inception in
2007 and has been the
main driver of the
Company
John brings valuable
technical expertise to
bear on what is a unique
geological context with
challenging metallurgy.
Simon has over 20 years
capital markets
experience
Jeremy has global
mineral exploration
experience
Page 21 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research – www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Tony Ho, B.Com., CA, FAICD, FCIS NON-EXEC DIRECTOR
Mr Tony Ho is an experienced company director having held executive director and chief
financial officer roles with a number of publicly listed companies. Mr Ho is currently a non-
executive director of Dolomatrix International Limited. He is also non-executive director and
chairman of the Audit Committee of Apollo Minerals Limited, Metal Bank Limited,
Hastings Rare Metals Limited and Mariposa Health Limited.
CONCLUSION
RM Research is attracted to GGG because it has demonstrable scale with world class
uranium and rare earth resources, a process flow sheet that is improving rapidly and ticking all
the right boxes and the jurisdiction of Greenland, which has suffered from scepticism in the
past, appears to be coming round to a pro-uranium position, albeit in the special context that
is Kvanefjeld with its REE resource.
We expect to see this resource expand significantly in the near term, technical issues to be
systematically resolved in the mid-term and GGG put in place all the right building blocks to
complete their DFS sometime early 2013. With challenging equity markets attention will turn to
how they will fund the project but by the time the question is asked RM Research suspects
GGG will introduce a strategic partner to take the company to the next stage. Speculative
Buy.
Tony has acted as
executive director and
CFO for a number of
public companies
We believe an extended
period of speculation and
doubt is nearing an end
Page 22 – Copyright © 2012 RM Research - www.rmresearch.com.au
16 April 2012
Registered Offices
Perth
Level 2, 6 Kings Park Rd
West Perth WA 6005
Phone: +61 8 9488 0800
Fax: +61 8 9488 0899
PO Box 154 West Perth WA 6872
Email / Website
www.rmresearch.com.au
RM Research Recommendation Categories
Care has been taken to define the level of risk to return associated with a particular company. Our recommendation ranking system is as follows:
Buy Companies with ‘Buy’ recommendations have been cash flow positive for some time and have a moderate to low risk profile. We expect these to outperform the broader market.
Speculative Buy We forecast strong earnings growth or value creation that may achieve a return well above that of the broader market. These companies also carry a higher than normal level of risk.
Hold A sound well managed company that may achieve market performance or less, perhaps due to an overvalued share price, broader sector issues, or internal challenges.
Sell Risk is high and upside low or very difficult to determine. We expect a strong underperformance relative to the market and see better opportunities elsewhere.
Disclaimer/ Disclosure This report was produced by RM Research Pty Ltd, which is a Corporate Authorised Representative of RM Capital Pty Ltd (Licence no. 221938). RM Research will receive payment of A$17,500 for the compilation and distribution of two research reports. RM Research Pty Ltd has made every effort to ensure that the information and material contained in this report is accurate and correct and has been obtained from reliable sources. However, no representation is made about the accuracy or completeness of the information and material and it should not be relied upon as a substitute for the exercise of independent judgement. Except to the extent required by law, RM Research Pty Ltd does not accept any liability, including negligence, for any loss or damage arising from the use of, or reliance on, the material contained in this report. This report is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities. The securities recommended by RM Research carry no guarantee with respect to return of capital or the market value of those securities. There are general risks associated with any investment in securities. Investors should be aware that these risks might result in loss of income and capital invested. Neither RM Research nor any of its associates guarantees the repayment of capital.
WARNING: This report is intended to provide general financial product advice only. It has been prepared without having regarded to or taking into account any particular
investor’s objectives, financial situation and/or needs. Accordingly, no recipients should rely on any recommendation (whether express or implied) contained in this document without obtaining specific advice from their advisers. All investors should therefore consider the appropriateness of the advice, in light of their own objectives, financial situation and/or needs, before acting on the advice. Where applicable, investors should obtain a copy of and consider the product disclosure statement for that product (if any) before making any decision.
DISCLOSURE: RM Research Pty Ltd and/or its directors, associates, employees or representatives may not effect a transaction upon its or their own account in the investments referred to in this report or any related investment until the expiry of 24 hours after the report has been published. Additionally, RM Research Pty Ltd may have, within the previous twelve months, provided advice or financial services to the companies mentioned in this report. As at the date of this report, the directors, associates, employees, representatives or Authorised Representatives of RM Research Pty Ltd and RM Capital Pty Ltd may hold shares in Greenland Minerals and Energy Limited.