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Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington

Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

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Category Audit StoreLocationSKUs Unique SKUs Wal-MartMLK Blvd (6 th )52 42 WalgreensSchool9 1 Harp’sFiesta Square6 0 AldiCollege10 Marvin’s IGALafayette8 1 Complete Audit69 54 Only 7 Brands/Manufactures found plus 2 private label. 5 stores were audited

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Page 1: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Granola Bars

Fall, 2011Aaron Buffington

Page 2: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker

dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Management Facing don’t go down with lower

margins Brands are kept together

Page 3: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Category Audit

Store Location SKUs Unique SKUs

Wal-Mart MLK Blvd (6th) 52 42

Walgreens School 9 1

Harp’s Fiesta Square 6 0

Aldi College 10 10

Marvin’s IGA Lafayette 8 1

Complete Audit 69 54

• Only 7 Brands/Manufactures found plus 2 private label.

• 5 stores were audited

Page 4: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Category Demographics Large household High income Young members and kids Early stages of the family life cycle

Page 5: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Category DemographicsAnnual Income

  CASCADIAN FARM - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

KASHI - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

NAT VAL - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER CHEWY - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER CHEWY DIPPS - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

  DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

INC - <$20,00063.6 32.1 36.8 42.3 44.0 78.0

INC - $20,000-29,99928.9 42.2 67.1 62.0 62.6 75.7

INC - $30,000-39,99970.4 59.8 79.6 73.2 85.2 106.2

INC - $40,000-49,99973.1 92.9 92.8 93.4 103.5 118.1

INC - $50,000-69,999179.3 85.5 117.8 113.1 107.9 112.9

INC - $70,000-99,999105.6 182.2 123.1 137.0 140.0 136.9

INC - $100,000+141.6 173.4 161.9 156.3 143.5 80.9

Page 6: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Category DemographicsAge and Member Size

SIZE - 1 MEM 58.3 60.7 50.9 37.9 42.3 52.8

SIZE - 2 MEM 88.8 136.0 122.8 70.8 68.4 66.5

SIZE - 3-4 MEM 149.3 103.5 118.0 152.0 147.4 152.5

SIZE - 5+ MEM 95.1 77.0 99.8 192.6 202.4 167.4

AGE FH - UNDER 35 222.7 103.6 74.4 167.5 164.8 178.4AGE FH -

35-44 118.2 117.5 121.1 173.5 164.5 155.3AGE FH -

45-54 107.3 132.0 121.1 114.4 106.9 86.4AGE FH -

55+ 35.6 72.2 94.1 58.9 54.2 83.8AGE FH -

55-64 43.9 102.0 109.4 72.1 63.4 82.1AGE FH -

65+ 27.2 41.7 78.5 45.4 44.9 85.5

CASCADIAN FARM - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

KASHI - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

NAT VAL - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER CHEWY - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER CHEWY DIPPS - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

  DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

Page 7: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Category DemographicsKids and Life Stage

CASCADIAN FARM - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

KASHI - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

NAT VAL - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER CHEWY - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

QUAKER CHEWY DIPPS - GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS

  DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEX

DOLLAR VOLUME INDEXKIDS - NONE

< 18 79.0 102.2 98.3 60.3 60.0 60.5

KIDS - ANY < 18 139.1 96.0 103.1 173.8 174.3 173.5

KIDS - ANY < 6 150.4 101.5 74.3 185.8 179.6 182.8

KIDS - ANY 6-12 131.2 92.6 93.8 191.0 192.8 180.4

KIDS - ANY 13-17 118.7 89.5 122.0 164.7 181.4 159.6

Page 8: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Category Role Based off of an (item $) of

$1,586,118,100 and relatively high gross margins, the category fits the role of a flagship.

Page 9: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Category Role Category has a penetration of 60%

both nationally and in the West South Central region.

    ITEM $ (000) DOLLAR SHARE

ITEM BUYERS (000)

ITEM PENETRATION

DEPT- DRY GROCERY TOTAL U.S. 150,066,179.2 36.5 116,061.4 100.0

WEST SOUTH CENTRAL 15,430,104.8 35.3 12,982.6 99.9

GRANOLA & YOGURT BARS TOTAL U.S. 1,586,118.1 100.0 70,534.5 60.8

WEST SOUTH CENTRAL

160,744.8 100.0 7,814.5 60.1

Page 10: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Dominating Brands Nature Valley and Quaker are

brand leaders Typically have the highest Facings

% and Gross Margin % Even when they have lower GM%,

there is a higher number of facings.

Evidence of supplier control

Page 11: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Dominating Brands Highest stocking rates:

Nature Valley= 28/(16x5) = 35% Quaker = 25/(17x5) = 29% Cliff = 3/(93x5) = 20% Millville (PL) = 10/(10x5) = 20%

No brand was found at every store. Nature Valley and Quaker found at

4 out of 5 stores

Page 12: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Dominating BrandsGross Margins, SKUs, and Facings

Manufacturer Wal-Mart Aldi Walgreens Marvin’s Harps

Nature Valley GM % 37.70% 0.00% 63.20% 68.30% 58.10%

SKUs 12 0 5 8 3

Facing% 23.10% 0.00% 55.60% 57.10% 50.00%

Quaker GM % 11.20% 0.00% 36.80% 22.50% 41.90%

SKUs 14 0 4 4 3

Facing % 26.90% 0.00% 44.40% 28.60% 50.00%

Keebler GM % 2.90% 0.00% 0.00% 9.20% 0.00%

SKUs 2 0 0 2 0

Facing % 3.80% 0.00% 0.00% 14.30% 0.00%

Private Label GM % 7.90% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

SKUs 5 10 0 0 0

  Facing% 9.60% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

Page 13: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Estimated Gross Margins Gross margins are consistent with

the category’s role Private Label’s absence is

noticeable There is evidence of supplier

control with dominating brands.

Page 14: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Private Label Private label is weak in this

category Wal-Mart and Aldi are the only two

stores carrying PL Aldi is committed to PL with

average to lower then average GM%

Page 15: Granola Bars Fall, 2011 Aaron Buffington. Overview Suppliers are in control Nature Valley and Quaker dominate Few private label Evidence of Supplier Category

Recommendations PL will increase in this category

only if retailer can gain more control

If Retailers remain heavy on national brands, they need to increase assortment.

Walgreens specifically needs to increase merchandising- not enough shelf space for increase in assortment