GPP.developing a Commercial Roadmap

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    ©2012 IC2 Institute at the University of Texas atAustin

    Developing aCommercialization

    RoadmapStrategy and Trajectory:

    A Technology to Product Plan

    Gregory P. Pogue, Ph.D.

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    ©2012 IC2 Institute at the University of Texas atAustin

    or!"hop Topic"

    #. De"igning a Technology to $ar!et Plan

    %. Commercialization Roadmapping &ithCa"e Studie"

     – '(ecution Ri"! – Co)*nnovation Ri"!

     – Adoption Chain Ri"!

    +. Developing a Commercialization Roadmap

    . Conclu"ion"

    %

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    $odel Product-ur Previou" earning Tool

    • A device that &ill enhance the "olu/ility o0 "ugar in co1ee.

    • Some e(ample":

    +

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    2- $-R' SP--2S3333

    •  Ta!e out your *R home&or! 0or yourteam technology

    •Get into your team"•  Time to get to &or!3333

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    '(ecutional Ri"!"

    4

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    ro uct ea zat onAccording to the 56ig 6ang

     Theory7

    8

    Raj: Indian Ph.D.physicist who

    cannot speak to

    women

    Leonard: Ph.D.physicist in love

    with Penny;

    roommate of

    heldon

    heldon:!heoretical Ph.D.

    physicist who is

    hi"hly socially

    inept

    Penny: #spirin"actress who works

    at the $heese

    $ake %actory&oward: '..(n"ineer who

    desires women)

    *+t can,t interestone

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     Technology to $ar!et

    9

    (arly ta"e

    !echnolo"y

    'arket-%itted

    Prod+ct Profit

    Risk Red+cin"

    Developmental

    'ilestones

    Risk Red+cin"

    o-to-'arket

    'ilestones

    !eam

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    '(erci"e: Development StepAnaly"i"

    Market-ReadyAttribute

    ExistinAttribute

    !eve"o#$enta" %te#s

    (ach !eam sho+ld list key market-ready attri*+tes and compare with the

    e/istin" attri*+tes in the prod+ct prototype. 0sin" the differential) list the key

    developmental steps re1+ired.

     #dapted from $liff 2int"raff. – I$3 Instit+te – 4+ly) 3566

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    '(erci"e: Development StepAnaly"i"

    !eve"o#$enta"%te#

    A##roxi$ate Cost

    A##roxi$ate Ti$e

    Res#onsib"e &rou#

    I'Invo"ve$ent ()*+,

    ;

    (ach !eam sho+ld list developmental steps re1+ired from previo+s ta*le

    and appro/imate the cost and time re1+ired to accomplish each.

     #dapted from $liff 2int"raff. – I$3 Instit+te – 4+ly) 3566

    t t

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    eve opmenta tepDependency and Time

    Re

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     Team

    • hat team e(perti"e i" re

    ##

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    ©2012 IC2 Institute at the University of Texas atAustin

    ?ocu"

    • $o"t companie" 0ocu" attention one(ecutional "trategy:

     – Technology ena/lement @ completing ri"!

    reducing developmental mile"tone"• Some companie" "top here, other" move

    to:

     – $ar!et realization @ completing ri"! reducing

    Go)to)$ar!et mile"tone"

    • 6ut, i" thi" enough>

    #%

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    '(ternal Ri"!"

    • Co)*nnovation Ri"!

    • Adoption Chain Ri"!

    #+

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    $ichelin" PAB Sy"tem

    • 2eed: "olution 0or at tire" – 8= o0 S driver" e(perience a at tire every 4 year"

     – %4=,=== accident"Eyear due to lo& tire pre""ure

    • *n0erior competition

     – Sel0 "upporting, run)at tire" o0 Goodyear, 6ridge"tone,etc. &ere too heavy, "ti1 ride, poor $PG

     – The"e occupied F# o0 mar!et

    • PAB Sy"tem

     – Run)at tire &ith "upport ring clamped to alloy &heel &ith

    pre""ure monitoring device – $o"t radical and 0unctional change "ince the radial tire

    #

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 3563

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     The PAB Sy"tem

    #4

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    '(pectation" and Reality

    • $ichelin and Goodyear colla/oration lauche"product in %==#

    • Rapid adoption on high end car"

    • *n %==, HD Po&er" predict" = o0 car" &illhave 5run)at7 tire" /y %=#=

    • %==4, in! &ith Ionda, PAB on -dde""y ande(tended %)year &arranty

    • *n %==9, the PAB "y"tem &a" di"continued&ith huge corporate lo""

    #8

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

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    hat Iappened>

    #9

    'ichelin,s Bormal C+siness Practice:

    @hat @as Re1+ired for +ccessf+l P# C+siness Practice:

    Vehicle Manufacturer Driver/Customer  Michelin Tires

    Tire Dealer Driver/Customer  Michelin Tires

    Vehicle

    Manufacturer  Driver/Customer 

    Michelin PAX

    Tire System

    Tire

    Dealer 

    Service Garage

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

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    earning"

    • ?or "ucce""0ul product" to produce revenue,you mu"t manage more than your internaleco"y"tem Jinnovation, mar!eting ande(ecutionK, you mu"t manage your e(ternaleco"y"tem a" &ell3

    • $ichelin learned and 0ound an eco"y"tem 0orthe PAB Sy"tem @ the S $ilitary:

    #

    DefenseDepartment

    Defense ServiceGarage

    Michelin PAXTire System

    Vehicle Manufacturer 

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

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    Ri"!" to Realizing *nnovationLalue

    • Co-Innovation Risk re

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    6egin &ith the 'nd in $ind

    •  Traditional $ar!eting training 0ocu"e" onthe internal company eco"y"tem:

     – *nnovation management

     – Cu"tomer deMnition and engagement – '(ecution o0 adverti"ing, "ale", di"tri/ution,

    legal IR and Mnance

    • Io&ever, the /roader e(ternal eco"y"tem

    i" o0ten ignored or addre""ed in too littledetail

    %=

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    Co)*nnovation Ri"!

    %#

    'o"ia

    (G Phone )perator 

    Component *

    Component (

    Component +

    )perator 

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

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    Co)*nnovation Ri"!

    %%

    • $olla*oration E Dependence

    • !he joint pro*a*ility that all

    innovations are s+ccessf+l will

    determine when and if yo+r

    prod+ct will *eF

    •  #li"nment is re1+ired:• Reso+rces

    • Profits• trate"y• Relationship

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

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    ho Are Nour Co)*nnovator">

    %+

    Co-Innovators I$#ortan.e to )our 'rodu.t(-/ to / ith 0averaei$#ortan.e,

    (ach !eam sho+ld +se its technolo"y9prod+ct description to identify at least

    two co-innovators important to yo+r prod+ct and rate these accordin" to

    yo+r +nderstandin" of their importance to yo+r s+ccess.

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    Adoption Chain Ri"!

    • Cu"tomer /eneMt" are perceived a" 2-T A6S-T',/ut R'AT*L' to: – Pre"ent product" J-Oce %==+ v" -Oce %==9K

     – Competition

     – Current activitie" or operating procedure"

     – Co"t o0 change

     – Revenue up"ide

     – -perational "treamlining o1ered

    •  Thu" mar!et upta!e and price agreement i" dependent

    on the CST-$'RS P'RSP'CT*L' and your a/ility to&or! in the eco"y"tem to get them to adopt Jpay 0orand u"eK your product

    %

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    Digital ?ilm

    *nnovation": Digital Mlmproce""ing andprojection•5DLD7 0orm, rapid

    di"tri/ution, le"" piracy,improved picture re"olution,cheap reproduction, +D

    •Iuge /eneMt" to Mlmindu"try and Mlm goer"

    •#;;8 @ DP projector

    •#;;; @ T+ line"

    •All in order @ /ut no adoption

    hat a/out the theater"&ho "ho& the Mlm">•9=)#==,=== to purcha"e theprojector

    •S&itching co"t" too high•2o regulation or incentive o0increa"ed cu"tomer valuecould create adoption

    %4

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

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    hat Are Nour AdoptionChain Ri"!">

    %9

    %u##"iers3Inter$ediaries and4a.i"itatin 4a.tors

    I$#ortan.e to )our 'rodu.t(-/ to / ith 0averaei$#ortan.e,

    (ach !eam sho+ld +se its technolo"y9prod+ct description to identify at least

    three s+ppliers) intermediaries and facilitatin" factors important to yo+r

    prod+ct and rate these accordin" to yo+r +nderstandin" of their importance

    to yo+r s+ccess.

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    Commercialization Roadmap• *denti0y your cu"tomer" needJ"K

    • *denti0y your part, your product, &hat you &ill deliver

    • *denti0y your Mnancial and e(ecutional ri"!"• *denti0y your "upplier" and negotiate deal "tructure"

    • *denti0y intermediarie" and channel", tho"e &ho "tand /et&een you and yourcu"tomer

    • *denti0y the 0acilitating 0actor" J&hat align" the "upplier" and intermediarie" tocolla/orateK

    • *denti0y e(ternal eco"y"tem ri"!" – Co)invention ri"!"

     – Adoption chain ri"!"

    • "e 5&reen 5iht,7 5 )e""o 5iht,7 and 5Red 5iht7 to identi0y alignment,agreement and incentive to participate &ith you

    • All )e""o and Red 5ihts @ &or! to Mnd an alternative, via/le "olution *TIthem

    • pdate Roadmap

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    hat Do the Color" $ean>

    • &reen – Alignment o0 intere"t" and goal"

     – *ncentive plan &ith accepta/le mutual /eneMt

     – Plan deMned, &ith re"pon"i/ilitie", con"e

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    2avigating a Changing Road

    +=

    )l% Commerciali2ation

    !oa%map 3ith

    !oa%4loc"s

    !elocate

     #re there elements that arec+rrently *+ndled in one location

    that co+ld *e more prod+ctively

    *+ndled in a different locationG

    A%%

     #re there elements that arec+rrently a*sent whose addition

    wo+ld facilitate prod+ctive new

    connections or increased

    efficiencyG

    Su4tract

     #re there elements whoseelimination wo+ld add more via*ility)

    or +ltimate ease of operation) than

    wo+ld *e taken away from val+e

    creationG

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

    'e Commerciali2ation

    !oa%map 3T5)6T

    !oa%4loc"s

    Com4ine

     #re there elements thatare c+rrently separated

    that co+ld *e

    prod+ctively com*inedG

    Separate

     #re there elements thatare c+rrently com*ined

    that co+ld *e

    prod+ctively separatedG

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    ©2012 IC2 Institute at the University of Texas atAustin

    Sony Reader v" AmazonQindle

    +#

    Sony

    !ea%er  !etailers

    # n" Screen

    )ther 

    Components

    Sony D!M

    #n% Customer 

    Authors Pu4lishers Sony Connect7com

    Ama2on8in%le Ama2on7com

    3ireless

    Connectivity

    Ama2on D!MAn% )ther 

    Components

    #n% Customer 

    Authors Pu4lishers

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

    o ove r"t r ot o

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    o ove r"t, r ot o$ove ?ir"t> @ That i" the

    ue"tion

    +%

    Co$#"e$entor Co-Innovation Cha""ene5oer 6iher

    Innovator

    Exe.ution

    Cha""ene

    5oer

    uadrant #: First in Getsthe Win: 6a"eline level o0

    early)moveradvantage

    uadrant +:Hurry Up andWait: Reducedlevel o0 early)

    moveradvantage

    6iher

    uadrant %:Winner TakesMore: *ncrea"ed level

    o0 early)moveradvantage

    uadrant :Depends: evelo0 early)moveradvantage

    depend" on&hich challengei" re"olved Mr"t

    %irst-mover matri/ for determinin" relative advanta"e from early entry as a f+nction of the

    level of innovator e/ec+tion challen"e and complementor co-innovation contri*+tion and

    challen"e. 7#dapted from #dner and Hapoor) 35658.

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    ©2012 IC2 Institute at the University of Texas atAustin

     The iPhone '(ample

    ++

    lide adapted from ?!he @ide LensA *y Ron #dner 

    iPhoneSingle 'etor"

    )perator 

    i)SCarryover:

    iTunes

    (Carryover):

    #n% Customer 

    Carryover:iTunes Softare

    Expansion Stage 1

    DevelopersExpansion Stage 1

    App Store

    Expansion Stage 2 Multi-Carriers

    Expansion Stage 2 

    3ireless Synch

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    2o& it i" Pure Competition

    +

    Developing Nour -&n

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    ©2012 IC2 Institute at the University of Texas atAustin

    Developing Nour -&nCommercialization Roadmap

    Develop an -utline o0 the 0ollo&ing a" it addre""e" N-R

    PR-DCT:•Chie0 cu"tomer" needJ"K

    •hat part &ill you &ill deliver>

    • Nour !ey Mnancial and e(ecutional ri"!"

    • Nour !ey "upplier", intermediarie" and channel"

    • The !ey 0acilitating 0actor" 0or each•*denti0y e(ternal eco"y"tem ri"!"

     – Co)invention ri"!"

     – Adoption chain ri"!"

    •"e 5&reen 5iht,7 5 )e""o 5iht,7 and 5Red 5iht7 to identi0yalignment, agreement and incentive to participate &ith you

    •All )e""o and Red 5ihts @ !no& that you mu"t &or! to Mnd analternative, via/le "olution *TI them

    +4

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    +8

    $ap *t3333

    Supplier *

    Supplier (

    Supplier +

    Co-innovation Partner 

     9our 

    Pro%uct

    Delivery nterme%iary

    Co-nnovation Partner 

    6ser 

    Delivery nterme%iary

    Co-A%option Partner 

    Co-A%option Partner 

    Mar"et !ea%y

    Pro%uct

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    Conclu"ion"

    • hat are the !ey e(ecutional ri"!" 0acing yourtechnology>

    • hat are the !ey co)innovation ri"!" 0or yourtechnology> ho can "upply the"e innovation" @

    partner"hip", product development partner",other">

    • hat are the !ey adoption chain ri"!"> homu"t you partner &ith to allo& rapid and deep

    adoption o0 your technologyEproduct>• hat i" your mo"t important 2'BT ST'P>

    +9

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    Contact

    Gregory P. Pogue, Ph.D.*C% *n"titute

     The niver"ity o0 Te(a" at Au"tin

    gpogueic%.ute(a".eduJ4#%K 48=)+9#9 JcellKJ4#%K 94);8# JoOceK

    S!ype *D: pogo49=

    &&&.ic%.ute(a".edu 

    +

    mailto:[email protected]://www.ic2.utexas.edu/http://www.ic2.utexas.edu/mailto:[email protected]