Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 1
SIDE EVENT: WEDNESDAY 22 MAY 2013
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION: GOVERNMENT TO GOVERNANCE
FROM DISASTER MANAGEMENT TO INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT: THE PARADIGM SHIFT IN DRR
Walter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, Davos, Switzerland
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 2
DRR?• Disaster management (how to deal with
a risk which has just become reality)• Risk reduction (how to prevent or limit
potential future disasters)
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION DRR
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 3
Processes
RISKS: THE HAZARD SIDE
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 4
Values exposed to hazardsVulnerabilityDamage potential
RISKS – THE VALUES AND VULNERABILITIES
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 5
ProcessesValues exposed to hazardsDamage potential
RISK
RISK – EXISTING VALUES AND DAMAGE POTENTIAL
Risks and opportunities (values) are twins no development without risks
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 6
What has to be done?
Measures to be taken
What can happen?
Risk Analysis
What is acceptable to
happen?
Risk Assessment
Hazard analysis (hazard intensity and exposure analysis, vulnerability, Scenarios important
What is an accepted safety level? (Protection goals, acceptable risk levels)
How safe is safe enough?
DRR – CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
Paradigm shift:• Risk based approach (ex-ante): proactive
prevention
Instead of:
• Disaster centered approach (ex-post): intervention/ recovery
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 7
FLOODS
SEVERE WINDSTORMS
EARTHQUAKES/ TSUNAMIS
DROUGHTS, DESERTIFICATION
RESOURCE SCARCITIES
SOCIAL UNRESTs
BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS
TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
TERRORISM
LAND DEGRADATION
PANDEMICS
FINANCIAL CRISES
BIOLOGICAL THREATS
GOVERNANCE TO ENSURE MULTI RISK APPROACHENSURE COMPARABILITY OF RISKS
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 8
GOVERNANCE TO LINK ALL THE VARIOUS STAKEHOLDERS AND SCALES
Policy makers
Media
Society
Administration
Decision makers
Private Sector
Practitioners
Scalelocal - community/city - regional – national - international
Critical Infrastructures’
facilitators(private/public)
GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013
Walter J. Ammann 9
• National risk strategy• Risk concept (unifying the risk based
approach)
Governance is key!
HOW TO ACHIEVE THE PARADIGM SHIFT
