20
Government Pension Fund Global Second quarter 2019 Oslo, 21 August 2019

Government Pension Fund Global

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    3

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Government

Pension Fund

Global

Second quarter 2019

Oslo, 21 August 2019

Highlights

2

▪ The market value of the fund increased by 224 billion kroner to 9,162 billion kroner

▪ The fund returned 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2019

▪ The return on the fund was 0.19 percentage point lower than the return on the

reference index

▪ At the end of the quarter, the fund was invested as follows:

• Equity investments 69.3 percent

• Unlisted real estate investments 2.7 percent

• Fixed-income investments 28.0 percent

Market value increased to 9,162 billion kronerBillions of kroner. As at 30.06.2019

3

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Fixed income

Real estate

Equity

Value Percentage share

Equity investments 6,348 69.3

Unlisted real estate investments 247 2.7

Fixed-income investments 2,567 28.0

Fund 9,162 100

Source: Norges Bank Investment Management

256 billion kroner in returnBillions of kroner

4

-750

-500

-250

0

250

500

750

-750

-500

-250

0

250

500

750

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Return

Inflow/withdrawal

Q2 2019

Return 256

Inflow 6

Source: Norges Bank Investment Management

-750

-500

-250

0

250

500

750

-750

-500

-250

0

250

500

750

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Krone rate

Return

Inflow/withdrawal

Total

256 billion kroner in returnBillions of kroner

5

Q2 2019

Return 256

Inflow 6

Krone rate -38

Total 224

Source: Norges Bank Investment Management

3.0 percent quarterly returnMeasured in the fund’s currency basket. Quarterly return. Percent

6

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

09 10 11 11 12 13 14 14 15 16 17 17 18 19

3.0

Source: Norges Bank Investment Management

Strongest return for fixed incomeMeasured in the fund’s currency basket. Percent

7

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Equity investments

Real estate investments

Fixed-income investments

2019 Q2 2019

Equity investments 15.6 % 3.0 %

Unlisted real estate

investments 2.5 % 0.8 %

Fixed-income investments 6.0 % 3.1 %

Source: Norges Bank Investment Management

Fund’s relative returnQuarterly return relative to reference index. Percentage points

8Equity and fixed-income investments until end of 2016.

Source: Norges Bank Investment Management

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

-0.19

Changes in value since 1996Billions of kroner

9

30.06.2019 31.03.2019 31.12.2018

Total inflow of capital* 3,382 3,376 3,371

Total return on fund 4,660 4,404 3,666

Total management fees -46 -45 -44

Changes due to fluctuations in krone 1,165 1,203 1,263

Market value of the fund 9,162 8,938 8,256

Source: Norges Bank Investment Management

*Total inflow of capital is adjusted for accrued, not paid, management fees.

Key figures per second quarterMeasured in the fund’s currency basket. Annualised. Percent

10

Since 1.1.1998 Last 10 years

Return on fund 5.91 8.83

Annual inflation 1.79 1.73

Annual management costs 0.08 0.07

Annual net real return on fund 3.97 6.91

Source: Norges Bank Investment Management

Developments in equity sectorsMeasured in USD. Indexed total return (31.12.2018 = 100)

11

90

100

110

120

130

140

90

100

110

120

130

140

Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19

Technology

Industrials

Financials

Oil & gas

Health care

Technology Industrials Financials Oil and gas Health care

Q2 2019 3.7% 5.2% 5.2% -1.3% 1.2%

Year-to-date 22.5% 21.2% 15.9% 13.2% 9.9%

Source: FTSE Russell

90

100

110

120

130

140

90

100

110

120

130

140

Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19

FTSE Global All Cap index*

Equity part of the fund'sreference index

S&P 500 (US)

Stoxx Europe 600 (Europe)

MSCI Asia Pacific (Asia)

Developments in equity marketsMeasured in the fund’s currency basket (S&P 500 and MSCI Asia Pacific in

USD, Stoxx Europe 600 in EUR). Indexed total return (31.12.2018 = 100)

12

FTSE Global

All Cap index*

Equity part of the fund’s

benchmark index S&P 500

Stoxx

Europe 600

MSCI Asia

Pacific

Q2 2019 3.1% 3.2% 4.3% 3.4% 0.9%

Year-to-date 16.2% 15.5% 18.5% 17.1% 10.7%

Source: Bloomberg

* Excluding Norway

10-year government bond yieldsPercent

13

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19

Germany

US

Japan

UK

Spain

Italy

Source: Bloomberg

Large holdings with negative yieldPercent of fixed-income investments

14

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

5

10

15

20

25

Dec-14 Sep-15 Jun-16 Mar-17 Dec-17 Sep-18 Jun-19

10-year government bond yieldsPercent

15

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19

Turkey

Brazil

South Africa

Indonesia

Mexico

Source: Bloomberg

Real estate acquisitions and disposals

ACQUISITIONS

DISPOSALS

Announced in the second quarter of 2019. Unlisted real estate

16

Location Sector Purchase price Share

Extended partnership 12 assets in Hudson

Square-area, New York, US

Office 831 million kroner 48 percent

Logistics properties in US/ Spain and the

Netherlands

Logistics 1.2 billion kroner 45/50 percent

Location Sector Sale price Share

«Die Welle» in An der Welle, Frankfurt, Germany Office 3.0 billion kroner 50 percent

Peak season for voting

▪ The second quarter accounts for around two-thirds of our voting in a year

• Voted at 6,918 meetings

• Evaluated and voted at 81,237 proposals

▪ We published three voting intentions during the quarter

• Voting at board members on regular intervals

• Board candidates for voting should be made public

• Reporting on water management

17

Observation and exclusions

18

▪ June: Revokal of exclusion of seven companies

▪ March: Exclusion of one company

▪ January: Exclusion of three companies

Announced in first half 2019

Highlights

19

▪ The market value of the fund increased by 224 billion kroner to 9,162 billion kroner

▪ The fund returned 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2019

▪ The return on the fund was 0.19 percentage point lower than the return on the

reference index

▪ At the end of the quarter, the fund was invested as follows:

• Equity investments 69.3 percent

• Unlisted real estate investments 2.7 percent

• Fixed-income investments 28.0 percent

Government

Pension Fund

Global

Second quarter 2019

Oslo, 21 August 2019