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    Experience in Acute Gouty Arthritis Studies:Introduction

    Agustin Melian, MD

    DirectorClinical Research

    Merck Research Laboratories (MRL)

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    Merck Research Laboratorys Experience withAcute Gout Studies

    1999 Conceptualize and design studies

    Ralph Schumacher, MD U of Penn and Philadelphia VA

    David Daikh, MD, PhD, UCSF and San Francisco VA

    Study 040: Published 2002: Schumacher et al. British Medical Journal.2002; 324:1488-92

    Study 049:

    Published 2004: Rubin et al. Arthritis & Rheumatism.

    February 5, 2004; 50 (2): 598-606

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    Agenda

    David Daikh, MD, PhD

    Design Considerations in Acute Gouty Arthritis Studies

    Agustin Melian, MD

    Experience with Etoricoxib and Indomethacin in AcuteGouty Arthritis

    David Daikh, MD, PhD

    Lessons Learned

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    Sources of Information

    Scientific Literature

    Clinical Experience

    Data from Etoricoxib/Indomethacin Studies

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    Key Points

    In appropriately selected patients, acute gouty arthritis is a highlypredictable disease

    In the absence of drug intervention, bouts of moderate to

    severe acute gouty arthritis do not spontaneously resolve withinthe first 5 to seven days

    Although existing gout medications may have side effects, manyare highly efficacious and provide a highly predictable response

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    Design Considerationsin Acute Gouty Arthritis Studies

    David I. Daikh, MD, PhD

    University of California at San FranciscoSan Francisco Veterans Administration

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    Topics

    Pathophysiology and Clinical Expression of Disease

    Literature

    Design Issues and Recommendations to Merck

    Research Laboratories Control/Comparator

    Patient Selection

    Endpoints

    Timing of Assessments

    Approach to Data Analysis

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    Henry VIII

    B. Franklin

    W. Churchill

    O. Welles

    Acute Gout:King of the Diseases, Disease of the Kings

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    Pathophysiology

    An acute form of peripheral arthritis resulting from the deposition ofmonosodium urate crystals in one or more joints

    Most common in first metatarsophalangeal joints especially the big toe,heels, ankles and knees

    Causes

    Overproduction of uric acid

    Under excretion of uric acid Chronic hyperuricemia is necessary but not sufficient for the development

    of gout

    Usually idiopathic (> 99%) but can be secondary to hyperuricemia due to:

    Rare inherited metabolic disorders

    High dietary purine content

    Impaired renal urate secretion

    Chronic renal insufficiency of any cause

    Alcohol

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    Diagnostic CriteriaAcute Gout Study

    A)The presence of characteristic urate crystals in the joint fluid (ifat past attack thenC1 andC4 also)

    Or

    B) A tophus proved to contain urate crystals by chemical or polarized light microscope andC1 andC4

    Or

    C) Presence of 6 of the following 12 clinical, laboratory, and X-ray phenomenon:

    1) Maximum inflammation developed within 1 day

    2) More than 1 attack of acute arthritis

    3) Presents with monoarticular arthritis

    4) Redness is observed over the affected joint(s)

    5) First metatarsophalangeal pain or swelling

    6) Unilateral first metatarsophalangeal joint attack

    7) Unilateral tarsal joint attack

    8) Tophus is suspected

    9) Hyperuricemia

    10) Asymmetric swelling within a joint

    11) Subcortical cysts without erosions on X-ray

    12) Joint fluid culture negative for organisms

    Wallace et al., Arth and Rheum. 1977 (20): 895-900.

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    Treatment of Gout

    Prevention

    Allopurinol

    Probenecid

    Colchicine

    Diet modification

    Alcohol avoidance

    Medications (diuretics)

    Treatment

    NSAIDs

    Colchicine

    Corticosteroids

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    Previous Studies

    What quantitative information is available on natural

    history of gout to assist in design?

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    Acute Gout LiteratureAvailable in 1999 at Time of MRL Study Design

    Drug

    Indomethacin vs. phenylbutazone

    Indomethacin vs. proquazone

    Sulindac vs. phenylbutazone

    Fenoprofen vs. phenylbutazone

    Feprazone vs. phenylbutazone

    Indomethacin vs. meclofenamate

    Flurbiprofen vs. phenylbutazoneIndomethacin vs. flurbiprofen

    Observational

    Indomethacin + allopurinol vs. azapropazone

    Tenoxicam

    Colchicine vs. placebo

    Indomethacin vs. ketoprofenEtodolac vs. naproxen

    Etodolac vs. naproxen

    Indomethacin vs. ketorolac

    28

    18

    47

    30

    24

    20

    3329

    11

    93

    10

    43

    5960

    61

    20

    No. of Patients Year

    1973

    1978

    1979

    1979

    1980

    1983

    19851986

    1987

    1987

    1987

    1987

    19881990

    1991

    1995

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    Nontreatment Observational Study inAcute Gouty Arthritis

    Bellamy et al. 1987

    Rationale: to serve as natural history data for future studies

    Design:

    Entry criteria: Classical podagra with a prior history of acutegout

    Measurements: Pain, tenderness, swelling erythema andarticular skin temperature (0- to 4-point scales)

    Observed in an in patient setting with bed rest provided

    Baseline characteristics

    Mean time from onset of attack to entry was 2.8 days (range

    of 1-5 days) Baseline pain was severe to very severe

    Mean pain at entry was 3.73 (SD = 0.47)

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    Patient Assessment of Painin a Nontreatment Observational Study

    P 0.05 for comparison with baseline: Observed = *. Bellamy et al., Br J Clin Pharmacol. 1987 (24):33-36.

    3

    2

    1

    X

    Observed

    4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    XX

    X

    *

    **

    *

    3 4 5 6 7 8 9

    N=11

    Pa

    inSeverity

    M

    ean(SD)

    Study Day

    Mean Days sinceonset of attack

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    Patient Assessment of Painin a Nontreatment Observational Study

    P 0.05 for comparison with baseline: Observed = *, LVCF = . Bellamy et al., Br J Clin Pharmacol. 1987 (24):33-36.

    Pa

    inSeverity

    M

    ean(SD)

    Study Day

    3

    2

    1

    X

    Observed

    LVCF

    4

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    XX

    X

    *

    **

    *

    3 4 5 6 7 8 9Mean Days since

    onset of attack

    N=11

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    Conclusions: Nontreatment Observational Study

    Essentially no resolution over first 5 days from onset of attack

    Minimal resolution over first 7 days from onset of attack

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    Placebo-Controlled Colchicine Study

    Design: Patients with podagra Study duration: 48 hours

    Entry criteria: Crystal proven gout

    Observed in an in patient setting with bedrest provided

    Measurements:

    Pain (100 mm VAS;0 = No Pain, 100 = Maximal Pain)

    Overall clinical score

    Comprised of pain, tenderness, swelling, and erythema

    Baseline characteristics

    Mean time from onset of attack to randomization was 38 hours

    Estimated mean pain at randomization was ~60-70 mm

    P ti t A t f P i

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    Patient Assessment of PainPlacebo Controlled Colchicine Study

    Ahern et al.

    Study Days 2.0

    Placebo (N=21)

    Colchicine (N=22)

    P

    ainScore

    Mean9

    5%CI

    0 0.5 1.0 1.5

    70

    80

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    Mean Days SinceOnset of Attack 3.51.5 2.0 2.5 3.0

    Ahern et al., Aust NZ J Med, 1987, 17; 301-304.

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    Literature Supports Conventional Wisdom

    Moderate to severe attacks do not resolvespontaneously over first 5 to 7 days

    Little to no placebo effect

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    Issues Considered in the Design of Gout Studies

    Control/comparator

    Placebo versus active comparator control

    If active comparator, what comparator is appropriate

    Patient selection Endpoints

    Timing of assessments

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    Design Issue: Active vs. Placebo Control

    Placebo control Pros:

    Could simplify interpretation of results

    Cons:

    Patients and referring physicians understand how painful

    the disease is and know that standard medications work Extremely difficult/impossible to enroll

    Is it ethical to withhold treatment when effective therapyis available?

    Dropouts due to patients who need to rescue may

    confound analysis May require an in-patient study due to compliance issues

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    Design Issue: Active vs. Placebo Control

    Active comparator control

    Pros

    Standard therapies (NSAIDs, corticosteroids, to a lesserextent colchicine) known to be highly efficacious and arereadily available

    More humane; does not withhold therapy from patients inneed

    Minimizes enrollment/dropout concerns to make a short-term, acute study possible

    Cons

    More complex statistical requirements

    Demonstration of assay sensitivity

    Assignment of clinically meaningful comparability bound

    D i I A i Pl b C l

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    Design Issue: Active vs. Placebo ControlRecommendation to MRL

    Active comparator control study

    Cons of active comparator control are manageablewhile those of a placebo control are not

    Indomethacin 50 mg TID as the active comparator

    FDA approved treatment for acute gout Clinical gold standard

    Most commonly prescribed treatment for acute gout

    IMS database

    Most often used active comparator

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    Design Issue and Recommendations: Endpoints

    Endpoints should assess key characteristics of the diseaseprocess as well as a global assessment of response to therapy

    Primary

    Pain: Symptom of primary importance to patients

    Secondary Tenderness

    Swelling

    Global assessments by both patients and investigator

    Exploratory

    Erythema: More difficult to assess

    D i I d R d ti

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    Design Issue and Recommendations:Patient Selection

    Should a minimum degree of pain be required? Patients with mild disease may resolve more quickly Need minimum degree of pain to observe treatment effect

    Recommendation: Patients should require moderate, severe,

    or extreme pain at baseline

    Should maximum amount of time since onset be mandated? Need to balance time required to seek medical advice

    versus the time to spontaneous resolution Recommendation: Enroll within 2 days of the onset of an attac

    D i I d R d ti

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    Design Issue and Recommendations:Patient Selection (Contd)

    Can patients who self medicated prior to enrollment be randomized?

    Prior Treatment will confound study results

    Recommendation:

    No NSAIDs or corticosteroids taken for the current attack

    Patients on stable preventive therapy allowed to enroll(e.g., colchicine, allopurinol)

    D i I

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    Design Issue:Timing of Assessments

    Primary assessment should integrate response across a clinicallyrelevant time period

    Need to choose time in which spontaneous resolution unlikely

    Additional assessment of pain should evaluate a typical

    treatment period Limited information regarding onset of treatment effect

    Onset of effect in this disease might take longer than otheracute analgesia models due to highly inflammatory natureof disease

    Recommendations:

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    Recommendations:Timing of Assessments

    Primary time period over Study Days 2-5

    Spontaneous resolution unlikely during this time period

    Secondary time period over Study Days 2-8

    A 7-day treatment period is typical for patients with acute gouty

    arthritis

    Onset of treatment effect should be explored

    Collect Assessment of Pain at 4 hours after initial dose on Day 1

    Assessment of Assay Sensitivity

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    Assessment of Assay Sensitivity(Is Indomethacin Effective?)

    Clinical (qualitative) approach: If the observed response is consistentwith clinical expectations

    then the effect is attributed to the treatment

    Indomethacin is a reliable, approved comparator

    Gold standard for treatment

    Predictable response

    Gouty attacks do not resolve spontaneously over 5 days, especiallyin patients with moderate to severe disease

    Placebo effect is small

    Quantitative approach

    Set a boundary for response which indomethacin must exceed

    Need sufficient data from literature to determine magnitude ofindomethacin effect

    No precedent for setting the minimal effect size

    Recommendation: Assessment of Assay

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    Recommendation: Assessment of AssaySensitivity (Was Indomethacin Effective?)

    Clinical approach is acceptable

    Quantitative approach include as supportive

    Assessment of Clinical Comparability

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    Assessment of Clinical Comparability(Is the Test Drug Effective?)

    Approach: Set a boundary for difference fromindomethacin which study drug must fall within

    This needed to be based on

    Clinical judgment Extrapolation from other conditions

    Recommendation: Comparability Bounds

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    Recommendation: Comparability Bounds(Was the Test Drug Effective?)

    Boundary set at 0.5 for 0- to 4-point scale

    More stringent than Delphi consensus for OA

    0.7 on a 0- to 4-point Likert Scale

    Consistent with judgment of clinically relevantmagnitude of effect on an individual patient basis

    Analysis of Statistical Equivalence Between Treatments:

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    Analysis of Statistical Equivalence Between Treatments:Test Drug vs. Active Comparator

    ChangefromBaseline

    Baseline Value

    Randomization

    Mean Difference

    Over Days 2-5:

    Test Drug Minus

    Comparator 95% CI

    0

    Upper Bound of ClinicalEquivalence

    Lower Bound of Clinical

    Equivalence

    0.5

    -0.5

    -4.0

    -3.5

    -3.0

    -2.5

    -2.0

    -1.5

    -1.0

    -0.5

    0

    Day 4Day 2 Day 3 Day 5

    BetweenGroupDifference

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    Summary of Recommendations: Design Issues

    The study of treatment effects in acute gout presents a number offormidable challenges

    Relative paucity of data in the literature likely reflects thesechallenges

    Key design issues

    Active vs. placebo control Challenges of comparator control manageable while those

    of a placebo control were not

    Endpoints

    Choose those that define the disease

    Timing of Assessments Choose period least likely to be affected by spontaneous

    resolution

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    Experience with Etoricoxib and Indomethacinin Acute Gouty Arthritis

    Agustin Melian, MD

    DirectorClinical Research

    Merck Research Laboratories (MRL)

    St d S h f P t l 040 d 049

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    Study Schema for Protocols 040 and 049

    Etoricoxib 120 mg QD (N~80)

    Indomethacin 50 mg TID (150 mg Daily) (N~80)

    Screen/

    Randomize/Dose

    Study Day 8

    48 Hours

    Maximum

    R/1 2 5

    Onset of

    Attack

    7-90-2 1-3 4-6Days SinceOnset of Attack

    Effi H th

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    Efficacy Hypotheses

    Primary

    Etoricoxib 120 mg will demonstrate clinical efficacycomparable with indomethacin 150 mg in the treatment ofacute gout over 4 days (Days 2-5) as evaluated by PatientsAssessment of Pain

    Secondary

    Etoricoxib 120 mg will demonstrate clinical efficacycomparable with indomethacin 150 mg in the treatment ofacute gout over 7 days (Days 2-8) as evaluated by PatientsAssessment of Pain

    E d i t

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    Endpoints

    Primary

    Patients Assessment of Pain (0- to 4-Likert Scale; None toExtreme)

    Primary time period: Days 2-5

    Secondary time period: Days 2-8

    Exploratory time period: 4 hours after the initial dose (Day 1)

    Key Secondary

    Patients Global Assessment of Response to Therapy (0- to 4-Likert Scale; Poor to Excellent)

    Investigators Global Assessment of Response to Therapy (0- to

    4-Likert Scale; None to Excellent) Assessment of Study Joint Tenderness (0- to 3-point scale; NoPain to Pain, Winces, and Withdraws)

    E d i t (C td)

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    Endpoints (Contd)

    Other Secondary

    Investigators Assessment of Study Joint Swelling (0- to 3-point scale; None to Bulging beyond joint margins)

    Proportion of Patients Discontinuing Due to Lack of Efficacy

    Exploratory

    Proportion of Patients Exhibiting Erythema of the Study Joint(Present/Absent/Not Assessable)

    Endpoint Assessments:

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    pTiming

    Study Day R/1 2 5

    Pain Assessment

    Patients Global

    Investigators Global

    Study Joint Tenderness

    Study Joint Swelling

    Study Joint Erythema

    3 4 6 7

    x x x x x x x x x

    x x x

    x x x x

    4 hrs

    Selection Criteria

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    Selection Criteria

    Randomized within 48 hours of attack onset

    Met Wallace Criteria for diagnosis for acute gout

    Moderate, severe, or extreme pain

    Patients who took NSAIDs/COXIBs/corticosteroids totreat current attack were excluded

    Stable baseline gout meds (e.g., colchicine, allopurinol)

    Enrollment Characteristics

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    Enrollment Characteristics

    # of Patients Randomized

    Total # of Study Centers# of Centers Who Enrolled1 Patient

    Number of Countries Participated

    Protocol 040

    N=150

    4331

    11

    Protocol 049

    N=189

    5842

    10

    Baseline Characteristics

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    Protocols 040 and 049 Combined

    # Randomized

    Mean age (years)

    Men (%)

    Race (%)

    White

    Black

    Asian

    Hispanic

    Other

    Indomethacin150 mg

    N=161

    50.9

    91.3

    44.1

    6.8

    22.4

    18.0

    8.7

    Etoricoxib120 mg

    N=178

    50.0

    96.1

    46.1

    6.2

    22.5

    18.5

    6.7

    Total

    N=339

    50.5

    93.7

    45.1

    6.5

    22.4

    18.3

    7.7

    Other Baseline Disease Characteristics

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    # Randomized

    Disease type (%)

    Monoarticular gout

    Polyarticular gout

    Baseline pain (%)Moderate

    Severe

    Extreme

    Mean baseline pain (Likert)

    Time from onset to randomization (%)

    Day of onset

    1 Day

    2 Days (within 48 hours)

    Indomethacin

    150 mgN=161

    72.0

    28.0

    20.8

    50.9

    24.5

    3.00

    16.764.6

    18.6

    Etoricoxib

    120 mgN=178

    71.3

    28.7

    33.3

    45.8

    20.9

    2.88

    16.364.6

    19.1

    Protocols 040 and 049 Combined

    TotalN=339

    71.7

    28.3

    27.7

    49.7

    22.6

    2.94

    16.564.6

    18.9

    Patient Disposition

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    178 Randomizedto Etoricoxib

    161 Randomizedto Indomethacin

    8 (4.5%)Discontinued Due to

    Lack of Efficacy

    9 (5.6%)Discontinued Due to

    Lack of Efficacy

    7 (3.9%)Discontinued Due to

    Clinical AE

    13 (8.1%)Discontinued Due to

    Clinical AE

    1 (0.6%)Discontinued Due to

    Laboratory AE

    0 (0.0%)Discontinued Due to

    Laboratory AE

    3 (1.7%)Discontinued Due to

    Other Reasons*

    7 (4.3%)Discontinued Due to

    Other Reasons*

    159 (89.3%)Completed Trial

    132 (82%)Completed Trial

    Protocols 040 and 049 Combined

    Patient Assessment of PainMean Change From Baseline

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    Mean Change From BaselineProtocol 040

    LS = Least squares. SE = Standard error.

    Indomethacin 50 mg TID

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Mean Days Since Onset of Attack

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    LSMeanChangeS

    E040

    Patient Assessment of PainMean Change From Baseline

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    Mean Change From BaselineProtocol 040 and Observational Study

    Indomethacin 50 mg TID Observational Study

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

    Mean Days Since Onset of Attack

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    LSMeanChangeS

    E040

    LS = Least squares. SE = Standard error.

    Patient Assessment of PainMean Change From Baseline

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    Mean Change From BaselineProtocol 040 and Observational Study

    Indomethacin 50 mg TID Observational Study

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

    Mean Days Since Onset of Attack

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    LSMeanChangeS

    E040

    LS = Least squares. SE = Standard error.

    Patient Assessment of PainMean Change From Baseline

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    Mean Change From BaselineProtocol 040 and Observational Study

    Indomethacin 50 mg TID Observational StudyEtoricoxib 120 mg

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

    Mean Days Since Onset of Attack

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    LSMeanChangeS

    E040

    LS = Least squares. SE = Standard error.

    Patient Assessment of PainMean Change From Baseline

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    Mean Change From BaselineProtocols 040 and 049 and Observational Study

    Indomethacin 50 mg TID Observational StudyEtoricoxib 120 mg

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

    049

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Mean Days Since Onset of Attack

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    LSMeanChangeS

    E040

    LS = Least squares. SE = Standard error.

    Consistent Efficacy Demonstrated in SecondaryE d i t A T St di

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    Endpoints Across Two Studies

    Etoricoxib 120 mg Indomethacin 50 mg TIDLS = Least squares. SE = Standard error. (0 to 3-point Scale).

    -3

    -2

    -10

    LSMean

    ChangeS

    E

    049040

    Tenderness

    0 1 2 5 8

    Mean Days Since Onset of Attack

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    0 1 2 5 8

    Swelling

    Percentage of Patients with Good/Excellent ResponseProtocols 040 and 049

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    Protocols 040 and 049

    Etoricoxib 120 mg Indomethacin 50 mg TID

    Patient GlobalAssessment of

    Response to Therapy

    Investigator Global

    Assessment of

    Response to Therapy

    0

    50

    100040 049

    2 5 8Mean Days Since Onset of Attack

    0

    50

    100

    Percento

    fPatientswith

    Good/ExcellentResponse

    2 5 8

    Percentage of Patients with Erythema of the Study JointProtocols 040 and 049

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    Protocols 040 and 049

    Etoricoxib 120 mg Indomethacin 50 mg TID

    1 2 5 8Mean Days Since Onset of Attack

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Percent

    ageofPatients

    with

    Erythema

    040

    1 2 5 8

    049

    Demonstration of Assay SensitivityClinical (Qualitative) Approach

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    Clinical (Qualitative) Approach

    Indomethacin the gold standard performs as expected based onclinical experience

    There was marked improvement in pain and other clinicalparameters in patients treated with indomethacin

    Treatment effects were rapid: Seen within 4 hours

    The majority of improvement occurs within the first 24-48 hours

    By day 2 (the second day of dosing) the majority of patientsexperienced a clinically meaningful response

    Demonstration of Assay SensitivityQuantitative Approach

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    Quantitative Approach

    Indomethacin change from baseline in ketoprofen study Only study with pain on a Likert and associated variability

    Note: 0-3 Likert Scale re-scaled on 0- to 4-point LikertScale

    FDA guidance: 1988 Guidelines for the Clinical Evaluation ofAnti-Inflammatory & Antirheumatic Drugs

    60% of effect size in active comparator studies lackingplacebo recommended

    Criteria: Upper 95% confidence limit of indomethacin mean

    change from baseline over 5 days needs to be -1.46 or better

    Indomethacin Treatment EffectPatient Assessment of Pain

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    LS Mean Change and 95% CI: 0- to 4-point Likert Scale

    The prespecified benchmark of -1.46 for the LS mean change, used for defining a 'response' in the indomethacin

    group is indicated by a dotted line.

    040 049

    Average Over Study Days 2 to 5

    -3.0

    -2.5

    -2.0

    -1.5

    -1.0

    -0.50.0

    LSMe

    anand95%C

    I

    -1.46=

    Comparability Assessment: Patient Assessment of PainLS Mean Change and 95% CI

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    LS Mean Change and 95% CI

    The prespecified comparability bounds of0.5 for containing the 95% CI for between-group differences are indicatedas dotted lines.

    FavorsEtoricoxib

    Favors

    Indomethaci

    -0.7

    -0.5-0.3

    -0.1

    0.1

    0.3

    0.5

    0.7

    LSM

    eanDifference

    and95%C

    I

    040

    AverageOver

    Study Days

    2 - 5

    AverageOver

    Study Days

    2 - 8

    049

    AverageOver

    Study Days

    2 - 5

    AverageOver

    Study Days

    2 - 8

    Conclusions

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    This acute gout study design is robust

    Indomethacin performs reliably and as expected in our studies

    Endpoints are highly reproducible between studies and resultsare consistent across endpoints

    In replicate studies, etoricoxib and indomethacin performedcomparably based on predefined criteria

    Meaningful results can be obtained in the absence of placebo

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    Lessons Learned

    David I. Daikh, MD, PhD

    University of California at San FranciscoSan Francisco Veterans Administration

    Lessons Learned andPotential Future Design Considerations

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    Potential Future Design Considerations

    Lessons learned

    Recruitment was very difficult even though it was not aplacebo-controlled trial

    Potential considerations for future studies

    Collect additional onset data

    May be beneficial to evaluate earlier times Explore use of pain measurement over multiple, earlytime points

    Explore use of stop watch

    Explore use of alternative scales to enhance precision

    0- to 10-point Numeric Rating Scale

    10 cm Visual Analog Scale

    Consider adding a physical function measure