GOING GLOBAL, BUT HOW TO MANAGE COMPLEXITY?

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    GOING GLOBAL, BUT HOW TO MANAGE COMPLEXITY?

    Company History

    1926: Created by Weimar government

    1931: Had established most comprehensive air route network in Europe

    1935: Expanded to the USSR and China

    Early 1940s: Led coup against Nazi leadership

    1954: Allies allowed the recapitalization of Duetsche Lufthansa

    1966: Resumed service behind the Iron Curtain under partner company names

    1990: The reunification of Germany

    1991: Lufthansa operates in the red for the first time since 1973

    Mid 1990s: Formed Star Alliance

    Early 2000s: Began to sell of diversified business components

    Relative Current Situations Operates more than 500 aircraft from hubs in Frankfurt, Munich, and Zurich

    Services approximately 250 destinations

    Acquired full ownership of SWISS

    Acquiring significant stakes in other airlines

    KEY STRATEGIC ISSUES

    International Strategieso Industry changes, deregulation and the economic pressures of sustaining a profitable business,

    Lufthansa formed The Star Alliance with other airlines to provide a seamless network of

    intercontinental connections.

    o Mergers and acquisitions were costly and ran into governmental regulations and limitations. The

    alliance would provide the needed expansion sought by Lufthansa with limited regulatory hurdles

    and reduced investments.

    o

    Emphasis is on maintaining a Global strategy that offers the customers a similar level of service

    throughout the network.

    o Formed Lufthansa Regional a regional airline to compete with the low cost carriers that sprung up

    as a result of deregulation.

    o Lufthansa Regional was a regionalized part of the International strategy adding to the economies of

    scale and to the Lufthansas market size.

    o Recently acquired 100% stake in Austrian Airlines.

    Cooperative Strategieso The Star Alliance was a global strategy requiring efficient operations across the network.

    Coordination and cooperation were vital to its success.

    o

    As a cross border strategic alliance the goal was to increase market share and profits.

    o Limitations in domestic growth and foreign government policies made the alliance an attractive

    strategy.

    Organizational Structure and Controlo Organizational structure was accomplish by restructuring into 6 business segments.

    o Goal was to avoid duplication of functions among the business segments and resulted in a more

    focused corporate strategy.

    o Main controls: cost cutting, removal of intermediaries in tickets sales, wetleases for regional

    airline.

    o Maintain strong financial discipline, high credit rating, low debt service. Currently it owns 70% of

    the air fleet debt free.

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    Miscellaneouso Integration of personnel across globe, employee training programs, diversity, safe place to work.

    o Increased CRM strategy customer centric focused services and products.

    How is Lufthansa dealing with the challenge of sustainability?o Airlines being scrutinized for CO2 and NOX emissions. More of an issue as air travel increases.

    o

    Fuel currently not taxed.o Present day testing by other airlines on Bio-Jet and synthetic fuel look very promising.

    o Lufthansa initiatives:

    Technical progress

    Improved Infrastructure

    Operational Measures

    Economic Instruments

    EXTERNAL ANALYSIS

    Industry Definition

    Lufthansa competes in the international airline industry Its business segments include passenger business, logistics, repair and overhaul, catering, leisure

    travel and IT services.

    Defining the IndustryLow Low Profit High Growth

    Industry Price Movements

    The elasticity of demand, the economy, IT, socio-cultural, political/legal, demographics, from the general

    environment has claimed massive movements in this industry and Lufthansa core business units.

    Passenger Transportation

    Maintenance Repair and Overhaul (MRO)

    IT Logistics (Cargo)

    Catering (Passenger Food Service)

    Lufthansa will continue to do what it does best: focusing on the customers by providing the best customer

    service, ramping up their IT, and reducing cost; in addition, conservative risk management practices.

    General Environment Global

    Demographics

    Sociocultural

    Economic IT

    Political/Legal

    Demographic

    Each of Lufthansa's customer segments has different profitability and different service level

    requirements and expectations.

    Each service offerings are tailored differently to each of the segments.

    Differentiating customers by demographic factors but by more business related attributes such as

    their purchase history or profitability.

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    Economic

    Economic forces can have an effect on Lufthansa daily business operations.

    Lufthansa/Consumer Fear Index

    Wars Systemic

    Terrorist attack Systemic

    Plane crash Not Systemic Banking industry Systemic

    Swine Flu Not Systemic

    Unemployment Rate Systemic

    Oil Not Systemic

    Risk Management

    Terrorist attack Plane crash

    Swine Flu

    Oil

    Hedging

    Airlines % of Hedged Oil Level of Savings

    British Air 46% 5.3%

    Southwest 80% 7.5%

    Delta 0% (Paid Spot price)

    How does hedging work?

    If an Airline does not hedge it can severely impact their profitability

    June Spot Price 70/barrel of OIL (locked in)

    August Spot Price Forecasted by Lufthansa85/Barrel

    (actual 80)

    Lufthansa Can buy Oil at 70 vs. 80

    Most Important Force is Economic

    Market vicissitudes

    Travelers psychologies

    Ongoing Airline expense

    Porters Five Forces Model

    Competitive RivalryExtremely High

    o

    So many competitors

    o Saturated market

    o High exit barriers

    o Difficult to differentiate

    Threat of New EntrantsLow/Moderate

    o Economic barriers

    o Brand recognition of existing companies

    o Economies of scale

    o Low cost carriers

    Supplier PowerHigh

    o Mainly dominated by Boeing and Airbus

    o

    Suppliers goods are critical to buyers success

    Buyer PowerHigh

    o Low switching cost

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    o Low differentiation

    Availability of SubstitutesLow

    o Road, rail, and ship

    o Internet

    Five Forces Analysis

    Competitive RivalryExtremely High

    Buyer/Supplier PowerHigh

    Unattractive

    Low profit potential

    Competitor Analysis

    o American Airlines

    o British Airways

    o Cathay Pacific

    o Finnair

    o Iberia

    o JAL

    o LAN

    o Malv

    o Quantas

    o

    Royal Jordanian

    o Aeroflot

    o AeroMexico

    o Air France

    o Alitalia

    o

    China Southerno Continental Airlines

    o Czech Airlines

    o Delta

    o KLM

    o Korean Air

    o Northwest Airlines

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    Oneworld SWOT

    SkyTeam SWOT

    LUFTHANSA: INTERNAL ANALYSIS

    Tangible and Intangible Resources

    Fleet - owns and operates about 350 aircrafts

    Transportation to and from airports

    Lounges at more than 60 airport destinations

    Catering services

    Core Competencies

    Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO)

    Logistics

    IT Services

    Strengths:

    Focus on quality

    Complementary global

    networkNone of its members

    declared bankrupt

    Opportunities:

    Anti-trust immunity

    JALs presence

    Expecting growthMexicana joining in

    2009

    Weaknesses:

    Smaller than the other

    two

    Cant compete in equal

    terms

    North America

    Threats:

    Economy

    Members bankruptcy

    Member may leave for

    other alliances

    Strengths:

    2ndbiggest alliance

    Market share in the

    North America

    Opportunities:

    Vietnam Airlines joining

    in 2010

    Growth in Asia

    Weaknesses:

    Oceania and Middle

    East

    Lost $19.5 billion in 10

    years

    Threats:

    Economy

    No Japanese Airlines

    Loss of Continental

    Airlines

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    Who is the Customer

    Corporate

    Individuals

    Government

    Travel Agencies

    ECONOMICAL SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS

    RETURN ON ASSETS

    COMPARISON DATA

    0

    10000

    20000

    30000

    40000

    50000

    60000

    20012002200320042005200620072008

    Total Assets

    Long-termDebt

    -0.1

    0

    0.1

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    CASH VS. CAPITAL EXPENDITURE RATIO

    RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT

    MOZAIC - Measurement of ozone, water vapor, carbon monoxide and nitrogen oxides aboard

    Airbus in-service aircraft

    CARABICCivil Aircraft for the regular Investigation of the Atmosphere

    IAGOS - aims to create a measuring infrastructure that records atmospheric trace substances.

    SWOT ANALYSIS: LUFTHANSA

    Strengths: Lufthansa

    Global Operations

    Largest Star Alliance Member

    Refocusing of Diversification and establishment of Divisions

    Lease planes

    IT Division Strategic ability to predict future trends

    00.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1.8

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    Cash vs. Cap. Exp. Rat

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    Weaknesses: Lufthansa

    Largest Star Alliance Member

    Development of low cost airline structure

    Opportunities: Lufthansa

    Encourage Growth of Star Alliance

    Increase Ownership Stakes in Different markets

    Use IT Division to Develop Operational Stakeholder Relationships

    Use Wet Leasing to Improve Regional Network

    Expand presence in growing market

    Threats: Lufthansa

    Other Alliances

    Low Cost Providers

    Alternative Travel Options for Short Distances

    Strategic Alternative 1

    Low-End Investment / Responsiveness / Action

    Status quo keeping the cost saving, leasing regional airlines and reducing intermediaries,

    controlling air ticketing fees

    o Cost leadership focus

    o Help maintain debt rating and good financial investment standing

    Strategic Alternative 2

    Moderate Investment / Responsiveness / Action

    Focus on customer segmentation using IT CRM implemented on a detailed level

    o

    Data mine CRM information to get higher level of profitability

    o Accounts for changing customer needs to maximize profit potential

    o Differentiate customers by new market divides: purchase history, profitability, expected

    lifetime worth as opposed to demographic, geographic, and economic means

    o Through implementation of new technologies, like mobile device check-in, they will be able

    to adjust service to a wider audience

    Strategic Alternative 3

    High-End Investment / Responsiveness / Action

    Attempt to acquire stakes in other airlines within anti-trust government regulations in EU and other

    countries

    o Will diversify their holdings and increase profit potential

    o

    Increases the Star Alliances reach in servicing global air travel

    o Allows them to be prepared for a changing market

    o Must limit stakes in international acquisitions to not encourage government interaction

    o Improves air route network and increases flight availability to loyal Lufthansa customers

    o Allows increased presence in new, emerging, and current markets

    Recommended Actions

    Hybrid Strategy of Alternative 2 and 3

    Focus on customer segmentation through newly developed IT systems while attempting to acquire

    legal stakes in either competitor or partner airlines.

    Reasoning

    Why are they going to do it?

    Hedges company stability given global and current economic situation

    Prepare to gain entrance to new markets given the possibility of relaxed antitrust laws

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    Allows focus on customers changing needs as they continually become more demanding

    Encourages the use of technology to increase ease of access and use of services

    How are they going to do it?

    Continue to use their strong IT Division to develop innovative technologies

    Use their positive debt rating to encourage financial growth and the purchase of stakes in

    competing/partner airlines

    Use their influence as the largest member of the Star Alliance to encourage some troubledmembers to allow partial ownership or acquisition