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GOES-R Proving Ground CIRA / RAMMB Progress Report

PG All-Hands Meeting 14 January 2013

Fort Collins High Park Fire

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Outline

• Selected User Interactions

• Recent Product Examples

• Systems Report

• Conferences and Meetings

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• Hawaii – Pacific Center: Interaction with Roy Huff regarding ORI and new lightning products.

• WFO Boulder: More use of synthetic imagery for wave clouds in late November.

• WFO Cheyenne & Buffalo: Recent feedback on MODIS cloud layer & snow cover discriminator products.

• WFO Los Angeles: Instructions for getting synthetic imagery on AWIPS sent on 7 Jan per request from WFO after taking VISIT course.

• WFO Gaylord, MI: Began using synthetic imagery on 13 Dec 2012 – sent nice feedback via AFD.

• WFO Kansas City, MO: Began using synthetic imagery in early Dec 2012 – sent nice feedback via AFD and email.

• WFO Columbia, SC: Nice interaction with forecasters from the WFO following the 12 December VISIT Live Satellite Chat session (CIRA and CIMSS hosting). Made blog entry on their 3 Dec fog event highlighting synthetic and other products.

Selected User Interactions

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New Jersey

Philadelphia

New York City

Long Island

Nov 1, 2012Nov 4, 2012Nov 9, 2012

Gold: City LightsRed: Power Outages

‘Super Storm’ SandyPower outages

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ORI (Orographic Rain Index) Case28 Nov – 2 Dec 2012 heavy rains in Northern California - Seeking a more quantitative look at the ORI product: Comparison of ORI values is underway for coastal stations in Northern California and elsewhere.Beginning to look at Hawaii. Points with gage data on terrain map

ORI over Northern CA (image) with 850 mb winds

100 200

2 Dec/1200 UTC

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ORI vs. Accumulated Precipitation

11/28 12:0011/28 13:0011/28 14:0011/28 15:0011/28 16:0011/28 17:0011/28 18:0011/28 19:0011/28 20:0011/28 21:0011/28 22:0011/28 23:0011/29 0:0011/29 1:0011/29 2:0011/29 3:0011/29 4:0011/29 5:0011/29 6:0011/29 7:0011/29 8:0011/29 9:0011/29 10:0011/29 11:0011/29 12:0011/29 13:0011/29 14:0011/29 15:0011/29 16:0011/29 17:0011/29 18:0011/29 19:0011/29 20:0011/29 21:0011/29 22:0011/29 23:0011/30 0:0011/30 1:0011/30 2:0011/30 3:0011/30 4:0011/30 5:0011/30 6:0011/30 7:0011/30 8:0011/30 9:0011/30 10:0011/30 11:0011/30 12:0011/30 13:0011/30 14:0011/30 15:0011/30 16:0011/30 17:0011/30 18:0011/30 19:0011/30 20:0011/30 21:0011/30 22:0011/30 23:0012/1 0:0012/1 1:0012/1 2:0012/1 3:0012/1 4:0012/1 5:0012/1 6:0012/1 7:0012/1 8:0012/1 9:0012/1 10:0012/1 11:0012/1 12:0012/1 13:0012/1 14:0012/1 15:0012/1 16:0012/1 17:0012/1 18:0012/1 19:0012/1 20:0012/1 21:0012/1 22:0012/1 23:0012/2 0:0012/2 1:0012/2 2:0012/2 3:0012/2 4:0012/2 5:0012/2 6:0012/2 7:0012/2 8:0012/2 9:0012/2 10:0012/2 11:0012/2 12:0012/2 13:0012/2 14:0012/2 15:0012/2 16:0012/2 17:0012/2 18:0012/2 19:0012/2 20:0012/2 21:0012/2 22:0012/2 23:0012/3 0:000

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1 hr Accumulated Precipitation at ZENC1 for 11/28 - 12/3, 2012 versus maximum ORI value within 9 km of site

Maximum ORI value within 9 km 1 hr Accumulated Precipitation

Date / Time (UTC)

Prec

ipita

tion

(inch

es)

Max

imum

ORI

val

ue w

ithin

9 k

m

Station Zenia (south of Eureka) – elevation = 3963 ft

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MODIS Cloud Layers and Snow Cover Discriminator Product for 3 January2013 from WFO Cheyenne

sent by forecaster/satellite Focal Point Becca Mazur

Summary of forecaster comments on this product:• Generally well liked despite infrequent imagery • Much easier to determine clouds from snow cover• Cloud layer product can be useful for TAFs• “We can’t wait to get this in high spatial and temporal resolution!”

MODIS Product Visible image

1805 UTC 1800 UTC

CYS

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Cloud/Snow Discriminator Product for 7 Jan 2013 from BUF WFO – sent by SOO Dave Zaff

Forecaster commentto Dave Zaff: product was useful in forecasting skies to clear the evening of 7 January.

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CIRA NSSL-WRF synthetic Imagery• Synthetic imagery is now produced in real-time based on the

4 km NAM Nest model – so far one band only.

• In November, synthetic GOES-R ABI imagery from the NSSL WRF produced by CIRA was mentioned multiple times by the WFO Boulder in their Area Forecast Discussions (AFDs).

• Mountain wave clouds are a persistent forecast problem and the synthetic imagery typically does a very good job predicting these temperature-forecast-busting clouds. An example from the 24 November morning AFD:

“WILL LIKELY KNOCK DOWN AROUND 5 DEGREES ALONG THE ADJACENT PLAINS AND ADD MORE CLOUDS FOR THE TODAY PERIOD. THE WRF SIMULATED SAT IMAGERY HAS WAVE CLOUDS LOCKED IN FROM MUCH OF TODAY BEFORE DISSIPATING LATER THIS EVENING.”

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CIRA NSSL-WRF synthetic Imagery – 24 Nov

The WRF forecast imagery does a good job predicting the thick mountain wave cloud over the Colorado Front Range.

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Email to Chad Gravelle from KC forecaster Jenni Laflin on synthetic imagery

From: Jenni Laflin <jennifer.laflin@noaa.gov>Date: Fri, Dec 14, 2012 at 11:14 AMSubject: Using the simulated WRF for my TAFs!To: Chad Gravelle - NOAA Affiliate <chad.gravelle@noaa.gov>

Hey Chad,

Just thought I'd send you a couple screen shots of the WRF simulated products today -- super helpful with the timing of precip, narrowing down when precip looks convective-y and identifying/timing that low stratus and drizzle in behind the system. If the text is hard to read, image 1 is valid at 0400z and image 2 is valid at 0700z.

These products are awesome -- they should definitely become operational! We really need hourly model data (especially satellite, I think) for the new ESTF stuff. Thanks!

Jenni LaflinGeneral ForecasterNational Weather ServiceKansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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15 Dec case sent by Jenni showing 4 synthetic bands

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Systems ReportAWIPS1 Orographic Rainfall Index (ORI) for Pacific OPS available on LDM at CIRA

S. Kidder ORI product for Hawaii is being distributed via LDM. The Pacific ORI data ingest for LDM instructions sent to Eric Lau of Pacific Region HQ

Configuration of new AWIPS1 WES completed

AWIPS2 AWIPS2 products to CRH

Real-time AWIPS2 format 1 KM east & west CONUS GeoColor & 4 KM east & west CONUS CIRA low cloud/fog decision aid products, and 4 KM SIMWRF IR & WV are now being sent to LDM via new CIRA ldm server.

Test of the above products at Omaha WFO will begin soon. Efforts are underway to convert Hawaii ORI product to AWIPS2 format. AWIPS2 localization

change to HFO is more complex than expected (99 page instructions???). Currently trying to implement via AWIPS1 components & config_awips2 script.

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Conferences / Meetings

Recent:

December 3-7: AGU, San Francisco – Steve Miller January 7-10: AMS Annual Meeting, Austin, TX

CIRA/RAMMB Participants : Mark DeMaria Steve Miller Don Hillger Scott Longmore Kate Musgrave Andrea Schumacher

Upcoming: March 18-22: NOAA Science Week April 8-12: NOAA Satellite Conference

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Thanks!

Questions..?