Goal 2025: The College Completion Imperative for

Ohio

Presented by

Dr. James L. ApplegateVice President, Lumina Foundation

Goal 2025To increase the percentage of

Americans who hold high-quality college credentials to 60 percent by

2025.

Ohio’s Path to Success

How Will We Get There: One Scenario

Improved high school graduation and college going 3,631,000

Improved public college completion rates 5,314,629

Adults, first time in college 1,531,371

Returning adults (some college no degree) 7,241,956

High-value certificates 6,689,022

Total additional degrees by 202524,407,978

WHY IS ACHIEVING GOAL 2025 IMPORTANT?

626058565452504846444240383634323028262422

Canada/Japan

Korea

Massachusetts

Minnesota

North Dakota/Iowa/Connecticut

Colorado

New Hampshire/NebraskaSouth Dakota/Illinois/Pennsylvania/Vermont

Wisconsin/Washington/Hawaii

Virginia/Kansas/Rhode Island

Indiana/CA/DE/NC/MI/IDFlorida/Oregon/South Carolina/Maine

Wyoming/Georgia

Mississippi/AlabamaKY/TN/OK/AZ/AK/TX

New MexicoNevada

Louisiana/West VirginiaArkansas

Ireland

FinlandNetherlands/Switzerland

Greece

Luxembourg

Poland/Chile

Germany

Sweden

Norway/New Zealand

France/Israel

Iceland

Hungary

US states25 to 34 year olds

Missouri/Montana

New York

New JerseyMaryland United Kingdom/Australia

Belgium/United States

SpainEstonia/Denmark

Slovenia

Utah/Ohio

Selective Recovery

Income inequality grows along with the postsecondary skills gap

Why Must Ohio Achieve Goal 2025?

1. By 2018, 53% of Ohio’s jobs will require postsecondary education.

2. By 2018, 967,000 of the projected 1,700,000 job openings will require postsecondary credentials.

WHAT MUST WE DO TO ACHIEVE GOAL 2025?

To Succeed We Must Focus on College Access and Success

Participation

Completion

Attainment

To Succeed We Must Focus On 21st Century Students

Of the 17.6M undergrads now enrolled 75% are juggling work, family, and school

To Succeed We Must Focus on Adults

To Succeed Ohio Must Focus on Adults

To Succeed We Must Achieve Equity

To Succeed Ohio Must Achieve Equity

Source:

Closing Equity Gaps is a Demographic Necessity

Population Division, Population Projections, U.S. Census Bureau. Released 2008.

Millions

African American

Asian / Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander

Latino

American Indian / Alaska Native

White

0 20000000 40000000 60000000 80000000 100000000

Projected Population Increase, 2010 to 2050

Data for all races exclude Hispanics.

Source:

To Succeed We Must Close Income Gaps

B.A. Rate by Age 24 (2010)

Young People from

Highest Income Quartile

79%

Young People from

Lowest Income Quartile

11%

Postsecondary Education Opportunity, “Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Age 24 by Family Income Quartiles, 1970 to 2008.

Source:

Yet flagships give about the same amount of aid to higher-income students as they do to low-income students

“Opportunity Adrift,” The Education Trust, 2010.

. Family Income (2007) Total Institutional Grant Aid (2007)

$0 – 30,200 $394.2

$30,201 - 54,000 $388.3

$54,001 - 80,400 $368.4

$80,401 – 115,400 $399.9

$115,400 + $361.4

Source:

And We Serve Those Least Who Need Us Most

College Board

Source:

To Succeed We Must Focus on Learning

WHAT is 21st Century Learning Computational Thinking

Novel and adaptive thinking

Emotional intelligenc

e

Sense making

Virtual collaboratio

n

Cross cultural

competency

Design mindset

Physical and mechanical skills are on the decline

Cognitive skills are on the rise

To Succeed We Must Create 21st Century Systems To Deliver Learning

Source:

A Learning Based System Is NOT1. Focused on courses and seat

time2. Organized around semesters3. Reliant on proxies for learning4. A “one size fits all” approach

Source:

A Learning Based System IS1. Outcomes based2. Defined by transparent and

assessable learning aligned with 21st century needs

3. Student centric4. Open to acceleration5. Open to innovative affordable delivery

models for customized learning at scale

Why a College Completion Imperative?

• The Economy Demands It• Our Quality of Life Depends On It• The Health of Our Democracy

Depends On It• Our People Will Suffer Terribly

Without It

How Does Ohio Reach Goal 2025? By Focusing On:• 21st Century Students• Transparent Data/Coordinated

Action• Quality Learning Aligned with 21st

Century Demands• Greater Investment In and

Productivity Of Higher Education to Increase Our Capacity to Serve

Goal 2025: Ohio’s Imperative and Their Necessity for a Decent Life