21
Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting Gwendalyn Bender Vaisala, Solar Offering Manager for 3TIER Assessment Services

Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    15

  • Download
    1

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting Gwendalyn Bender

Vaisala, Solar Offering Manager for 3TIER Assessment Services

Page 2: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Vaisala is Your Weather Expert!

We have been helping

industries manage the impact of

weather for nearly 80 years

Our weather analysis and

consulting services are based

on proven science

We help you understand the

true impact of weather on your

business, allowing you to

improve efficiency and

profitability

6/16/2016 2

Page 3: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Solar Experience

Developed the world’s first high resolution

solar irradiance dataset in 2009

Delivered over 500 resource assessment

projects on all 6 continents

Produced financial grade energy

assessments for more than 50

photovoltaic projects in countries including

the United States, Brazil, India and others

Supported over $5.5 billion dollars worth

of project financing for some of the largest

PV and CSP plants in the world

6/16/2016 3

Page 4: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Observations

Equipment Design

Uncertainty

Environment

Derates and Losses

Net Energy

Solar Energy Assessment Process

Satellite Data

Page 5: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

What Data is Available

Page 6: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Available IRENA Dataset

6/16/2016 6

Page 7: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

What Are We Looking For?

GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance

DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance

DIF – Diffuse Irradiance

Global horizontal irradiance is the total amount of shortwave radiation received from

above by a horizontal surface. This value is of particular interest to photovoltaic

installations and includes both direct radiation and diffuse radiation.

Direct radiation is solar radiation that comes from the direction of the solar disk in the sky.

This value is important for concentrating solar power installations and tracking photovoltaic

installations.

Diffuse radiation is solar radiation that has been scattered by molecules and particles

in the atmosphere and comes equally from all directions.

On a clear day, most of the solar radiation received by a horizontal

surface will be direct radiation, while on a cloudy day most will be diffuse

radiation.

Page 8: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Available IRENA Dataset 10 year annual means of GHI

Temporal Coverage

Region Covered Satellites Used Dates

Western

Hemisphere

GOES 8-13 January 1997 -

December 2010

South Asia and

Middle East

Meteosat 5 and 7 January 1999 –

December 2010

East Asia and

Oceania

GMS 5, GOES 9,

MTSAT 1-2,

Himawari8

December 1998 –

December 2010

Europe and Africa Meteosat 7, Meteosat

9-10

July 1998 –

December 2010

Spatial Coverage

Data is available between 60 degrees North

and 58 degrees South.

Page 9: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Satellite Derived Assessments IMS Daily

Northern

Hemisphere

Snow and Ice

Analysis

Shuttle Radar

Topography

Mission

(SRTM)

Perez SUNY

methodology

MODIS

Atmosphere

Daily Global

Product

Proprietary

3TIER Services

cloud algorithm

5 Geostationary

Satellites

Page 10: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Satellite Derived Assessments

Considerations

Greater uncertainty than

observations (over the same time

period)

Known issues with satellite

modeling include areas of high

albedo, turbidity modeling, areas

of snow cover and satellite

degradation

Benefits

Consistent global approach.

Interannual variability captured with

multiple years of data

Satellite derived data is known to be

the most accurate source of irradiance

information beyond 25 km of a well-

maintained ground station (Zelenka et

al., 1999)

Page 11: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Independent Validation of Accuracy

6/16/2016 11

Percent bias for GHI against 100+ independent ground stations for an overlapping period of time

Page 12: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

How to Use the Data

6/16/2016 12

Page 13: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Comparing Locations in IRENA

6/16/2016 13

Page 14: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Comparing Locations in IRENA

6/16/2016 14

Page 15: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Comparing Locations in IRENA

6/16/2016 15

Page 16: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Comparing Locations in IRENA

6/16/2016 16

Page 17: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Next Steps

Page 18: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Get to Know the Variability at Your Site

6/16/2016 18

DNI

Variability in

India by

month and

year.

Page 19: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

2015 Solar Resource Variability

6/16/2016 19

Percentage of normal

%-10% 10%

2015 Annual Average GHI Departure from Normal

Q1

Q3 Q4

Q2

Page 20: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Maps are Step 1. Time series are Step 2.

6/16/2016 20

Page 21: Global Solar Dataset for PV Prospecting - ISES · GHI – Global Horizontal Irradiance DNI – Direct Normal Irradiance DIF – Diffuse Irradiance Global horizontal irradiance is

Page © Vaisala

Questions? Gwendalyn Bender [email protected]

6/16/2016 21