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Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Is Venture Capital Dead ?
Victor V Vurpillat Ph.D.
Global Software II
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Thanks to Donald R. DixonManaging Director
Trident Capital
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
The US Venture Industry Has Grown
Source: 2000 NVCA Yearbook
Year # Venture Firms
Capital Under Mgt
1980 87 $3B
1990 375 $32B
2000 693 $210B
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$B Raised 8 10 12 18 30 60 105 34
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 9m01
VC Funds Raised
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Corporate VCs in ¼ of All Deals
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
% of $ 4.80% 4.50% 5.90% 8.40% 16.70% 16.80% 13.50%
% of Deals 7.50% 7.70% 11.90% 16.20% 28.40% 33.00% 26.10%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 9M01
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Return to Normal
$0
$10
$20
$30
Total VC $B 7.3 12.6 14.1 24.8 26.9 27.4 28.5 21.3 12.17 11.13 7.71
1Q99 2Q99 3Q99 4Q99 1Q00 2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
After Setting Records In 1999 and 2000, IPO Markets Are Quiet Now
After Setting Records In 1999 and 2000, IPO Markets Are Quiet Now
$0
$10
$20
$30
IPO $B 4.7 8.3 11.6 4.7 3.6 17.8 21.1 3.2
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Acquisitions Are An Increasingly Important Exit StrategyAcquisitions Are An Increasingly Important Exit Strategy
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
Acq $B 3.2 3.7 5.4 7.6 8.4 35.4 68.7 11.8
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 9M01
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Is There Sufficient Capital For Follow-on Financing?
Is There Sufficient Capital For Follow-on Financing?
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$B In
vested
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
P
Investable dollars (“overhang”) estimated at $45B as of 9/30/2001
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Where Do U.S. VCs Invest? Information Technology
– Internet Specific– Communications and Media– Computer Software & Services– Semiconductors & Other Electronics– Computer Hardware
Life Sciences– Medical Devices/Healthcare Services– Biotechnology
Other– Consumer-related– Industrial/Energy– Other Products
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
U.S. Venture Capital Investments into European Companies – By
Stage
U.S. Venture Capital Investments into European Companies – By
Stage
StageNumber of
CompaniesNumber of
Firms
Early Stage 541 171 3,259$
Late Stage 923 301 8,675$
Acquisition 41 15 2,497$
Other 11 7 439$
TOTAL 1,516 494 14,869$
Total Investment ($M)
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
U.S. Venture Capital Investments into European Companies – By Industry Group
U.S. Venture Capital Investments into European Companies – By Industry Group
Industry GroupNumber of
CompaniesNumber of
Firms
Information Technology 1003 388 11,505$
Life Sciences 153 72 1,063$
Other 228 89 2,532$
TOTAL 1384 549 15,100$
Total Investment ($M)
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Venture Capital Investments into European Companies By U.S. Firms
Venture Capital Investments into European Companies By U.S. Firms
10951
161
60
331
103
931
243
616
160
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
No. of European Companies No. of U.S. Firms
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Venture Capital Investments into European Companies By U.S. Firms
Venture Capital Investments into European Companies By U.S. Firms
$0.8B $1.1B
$3.2B
$4.7B
$10.3B $7.7M
$11.1M
$9.5M
$7.1M$7.5M
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Total Investment ($B) Avg Investment Per Company ($M)
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
How VCs Make Decisions
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Company Life Cycle$Markets Management
Products/Services
Revenue
Profits
Liquidity (IPOs, Acqs)
Customers
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
How Do U.S. Venture Capitalists Decide Which Deals To Fund?
How large is the company’s market?Focus on large markets, but markets where there is the potential to dominate at least one segment.
What is the capital intensity of the proposed venture? Venture capital funds usually invest multiple millions of dollars
in each deal.
What is the quality of the company’s management team?Probably single most important factor for long term success.
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
How Do U.S. Venture Capitalists Decide Which Deals To Fund?
What is proprietary or unique about the company? How does it differ from competitors?
Proprietary content often effects valuation.
How large and profitable can the company get?Generally looking for large opportunities…$100+ million profitable company in 5-7 years. Looking for a compelling idea not just marginal improvement over the status quo.
Other factors include deal structure and terms, co-investors, etc.
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
What Are the Characteristics of a Typical U.S. Venture Capital Transaction?
An equity (convertible preferred stock) investment in a private earlier stage or emerging growth company typically seven figures
Long-term relationship (3 - 8 years)
Board seat
Staged financing
Syndication with other VC firms
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Valuation Gap
Valuation Parameters
Source: Morgan Stanley, Trident
Valuation
$50M@ 250M
$10M@ 50M
$5M@ 25M
$1M@ 5M
Declining Risk
Product Launch
Proven Consumer
Acceptance Profitability
Recent Cycle
1st Round
Seed
Mezz
IPO
1st Round
Seed
IPO
2nd Round
Traditional Cycle1st RoundSeed
IPO
2nd Round
Current Cycle
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
What Type of Help and Guidance Do U.S. Venture Capitalists Typically Provide Their
Portfolio Companies? Initial and ongoing source of cash - as a direct provider
and as a facilitator in raising funds from others
Give credibility to company - especially in establishing
corporate partnerships and customer relationships.
Help recruit key executives, individual contributors, and
board members
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Typical Issues To Resolve
Location of R&D Team
Location of Sales & Marketing Organization
Location of Headquarters
Founder to CEO transition
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
Venture Capital is not Dead After All
BUT!
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
•Less than 3 out of 100 deals get funded
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
•The Golden Rule is alive and well
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002
•Expect to be replaced
Global Software II Introduction
Paving the Way to the US Market For Finnish Software Companies
Copyright Global Software II 2002