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American Chemical Society The ACS International Center presents…. Global Scientific Collaboration: A Key to Scientific Success Preparing for a future in global science Joe Francisco, PhD (University of Nebraska-Lincoln) ACS Past-President Matt Michalska-Smith (University of Chicago) Author: The Scientific Impact of Nations Christopher LaPrade Office of International Activities-ACS

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American Chemical Society

The ACS International Center presents….

Global Scientific Collaboration: A Key to Scientific Success Preparing for a future in global science Joe Francisco, PhD (University of Nebraska-Lincoln) ACS Past-President Matt Michalska-Smith (University of Chicago) Author: The Scientific Impact of Nations Christopher LaPrade Office of International Activities-ACS

Moderator: Joe Francisco, PhD Dean, College of Arts & Sciences, University of Nebraska-Lincoln ACS Past-President 2010

Dr. Francisco is Dean of the College of Arts & Sciences at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. As an atmospheric chemist, Dr. Francisco has worked across borders with collaborators around the globe. Dr. Francisco is a recipient of numerous honorary degrees and an award for U.S. Senior Scientist from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation of Germany.

In addition to his many awards and positions of leadership in the scientific community, Dr. Francisco was ACS Past-President in 2010. He has over 475 peer review publications in the field.

Speaker: Matthew J. Michalska-Smith University of Chicago

Matthew received his B.S. from the University of Notre Dame in biological sciences. He is now a second year graduate student at the University of Chicago in the department of Ecology & Evolution. His research interests center around theoretical ecology, especially the interactions between network structures and biological processes. He also has a deep interest in the "science of science," looking critically at the processes behind science and publication. Matthew was author of the article, “The Scientific Impact of Nations: Journal Placement and Citation Performance” published in PLoSONE in October 2014.

American Chemical Society

American Chemical Society

20.8%23.4%

26.8%27.7% 29.3%

39.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Educational institution Government Business/industry

International Collaboration by Employment Sector of U.S. Scientists and Engineers, 2006

Females Males

Source: Frehill, Lisa M. 2010, analysis of National Science Foundation restricted-use Survey of Doctorate Recipients, 2006. The use of NSF data does not imply NSF approval of the research, research methods or conclusions. This work was support by NSF #0936970.

13.3%

25.0%

45.6%

23.0%27.7%

48.4%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

Academic Institution* Government Business/Industry

International Collaboration Among U.S. Doctoral-Degreed Chemists, 2006

Females Males

* Academic Institutions includes four-year colleges/universities and medical institutions.

Source: Frehill, Lisa M. 2010. Weighted analysis of National Science Foundation, public use Survey of Doctorate Recipients, 2006. The use of NSF data does not imply NSF approval of the research, research methods or conclusions. This work was support by NSF #0936970.

The Scientific Impact of Nations…

Global Scientific Collaboration:A Key to Scientific Success

Matthew J. Michalska-SmithUniversity of Chicago

25 February 2015

http://olihb.com/2014/08/11/map-of-scientific-collaboration-redux/

Question: Some inspirations

1982 Peer-review practices of psychologicaljournals: The fate of published articles,submitted again (Peters and Ceci 1982)

1997 The scientific wealth of nations (May 1997)

2004 The scientific impact of nations (King 2004)

2013 Collaborations: The fourth age ofresearch (Adams 2013)

Question: Some inquiries

Does the number of countriesrepresented in a paper’s author listpredict publication performance?

Do the identities of those countriesmake a difference?

Question: Some inquiries

Does the number of countriesrepresented in a paper’s author listpredict publication performance?

Do the identities of those countriesmake a difference?

Data: Collection methods

I Extracted 1.25 million “article” records fromscopus.com from subject-specific journals in 8disciplines

I For each article, we recorded:Date of publicationJournal of publicationNumber of authorsCountries found in affiliationsJournal Impact FactorNumber of citations received

History: Shoulders to stand on

1982 Peer-review practices of psychologicaljournals: The fate of published articles,submitted again (Peters and Ceci 1982)

1997 The scientific wealth of nations (May 1997)

2004 The scientific impact of nations (King 2004)

2013 Collaborations: The fourth age ofresearch (Adams 2013)

History: Room to grow

(King 2004)

Method: Quantifying success

I What journal did you get your paper into?I How many citations did your paper receive?

relative to “peer” publications?I i.e., papers published in the same journal:year

Method: Quantifying success

I What journal did you get your paper into?I How many citations did your paper receive?

relative to “peer” publications?I i.e., papers published in the same journal:year

Method: Statistical analysis

Bin Data small differences in performance may bedue to stochasticity or reporting error

Run Models Proportional Odds Model and LinearModels

Compare Models Evaluate relative fit vs number ofexplanatory parameters using AIC

Metadata Multiple regression with country-specificeconomic data

Results

Aside: Cumulative Probability Distribution

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

V IV III II I Ranking

Pro

port

ion

Results: Effect of number of countries

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

V IV III II I V IV III II IJournal Tier Citation Tier

Pro

port

ion

Art

icle

s

Number of Countries

1

2

3

4

5+

Results: Effect of number of countriesCondensed−Matter Physics Ecology

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

V IV III II I V IV III II IJournal Tier

Pro

port

ion

Art

icle

s

1

2

3

4

5+

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

V IV III II I V IV III II ICitation Tier

Pro

port

ion

Art

icle

s

Discussion: Effect of number of countries

I International collaboration is correlated withbetter journals and more citations

I Not all Countries are created equal andcountries can combine non-linearly

I Discrepancies between citation performanceand journal placement can indicate bias ordifferences in academic culture

I Journal placement has strong predictive powerin determining number of citations, but somecountries still over or underperform

Results: Specific country effectsAnalytical Chemistry—Journal Placement

Singa

pore

Sweden

Aust

ria

Hong

Kong

Nethe

rland

s

Irela

nd

Spain

Switzer

landUK

Canad

a

Taiw

anUSBel

gium

Ger

man

y

Finl

and

Isra

el

US+Ger

man

y

Aust

ralia

South

Kor

ea

Denm

ark

Fran

ce

Italy

Canad

a+US

Czech

Rep

ublic

Portu

gal

Thai

land

Hong

Kong

+Chi

na

US+Chi

na

Gre

ece

US+Jap

an

South

Afri

ca

Norway

UK+US

Argen

tina

Japa

n

Oth

er

China

Brazil

Japa

n+Chi

na

Iran

Hunga

ry

Mex

ico

Indi

a

Turk

ey

Egypt

Pola

nd

Roman

ia

Pakis

tan

Russia

Ukrai

ne

Iran

Switzer

land

Singa

pore

Turk

ey

Pakis

tan

Norway

Denm

ark

UK+US

US+Ger

man

y

Ger

man

y

UK

Nethe

rland

s

Aust

ria

Sweden

Irela

nd

Belgi

um

Brazil

USAust

ralia

Spain

Japa

n+Chi

na

Canad

a

Czech

Rep

ublic

US+Chi

na

Hong

Kong

Canad

a+US

Finl

and

Indi

a

China

Gre

ece

Thai

land

Egypt

Portu

gal

Italy

South

Afri

ca

Isra

el

Oth

er

Japa

n

Taiw

an

Hong

Kong

+Chi

na

Fran

ce

Russia

Pola

nd

Roman

ia

Hunga

ry

South

Kor

ea

Argen

tina

US+Jap

an

Mex

ico

Ukrai

ne

Singa

pore

Hong

Kong

Sweden

Aust

ria

Nethe

rland

s

Irela

nd

Switzer

land

Ger

man

y

Taiw

anUK

Canad

a

Belgi

um

Spain

USUS+Ger

man

y

Finl

and

Denm

ark

Isra

el

South

Kor

ea

Fran

ce

Aust

ralia

Italy

Czech

Rep

ublic

Canad

a+US

Thai

land

Portu

gal

Hong

Kong

+Chi

na

Norway

South

Afri

ca

US+Chi

na

Argen

tina

Gre

ece

US+Jap

an

Oth

er

UK+US

China

Brazil

Japa

n+Chi

na

Iran

Japa

n

Mex

ico

Hunga

ry

Pola

nd

Indi

a

Egypt

Turk

ey

Roman

ia

Russia

Pakis

tan

Ukrai

ne

Iran

Switzer

land

Singa

pore

Turk

ey

Norway

Pakis

tan

Brazil

Aust

ria

Denm

ark

Irela

nd

SwedenUK

Gre

ece

Thai

land

China

UK+US

Czech

Rep

ublic

Hong

Kong

US+Ger

man

y

Nethe

rland

sUSG

erm

any

Finl

and

Spain

Indi

a

Canad

a

Canad

a+US

Portu

gal

Japa

n+Chi

na

Belgi

um

Aust

ralia

US+Chi

na

Hong

Kong

+Chi

na

Taiw

an

Italy

Egypt

South

Kor

ea

Isra

el

Argen

tina

Oth

er

South

Afri

ca

Pola

nd

Japa

n

Fran

ce

US+Jap

an

Roman

ia

Hunga

ry

Mex

ico

Russia

Ukrai

ne

Journals Citations

Pro

port

iona

l Odd

sLi

near

Results: Specific country effectsAnalytical Chemistry—Citation Performance

Singa

pore

Sweden

Aust

ria

Hong

Kong

Nethe

rland

s

Irela

nd

Spain

Switzer

landUK

Canad

a

Taiw

anUSBel

gium

Ger

man

y

Finl

and

Isra

el

US+Ger

man

y

Aust

ralia

South

Kor

ea

Denm

ark

Fran

ce

Italy

Canad

a+US

Czech

Rep

ublic

Portu

gal

Thai

land

Hong

Kong

+Chi

na

US+Chi

na

Gre

ece

US+Jap

an

South

Afri

ca

Norway

UK+US

Argen

tina

Japa

n

Oth

er

China

Brazil

Japa

n+Chi

na

Iran

Hunga

ry

Mex

ico

Indi

a

Turk

ey

Egypt

Pola

nd

Roman

ia

Pakis

tan

Russia

Ukrai

ne

Iran

Switzer

land

Singa

pore

Turk

ey

Pakis

tan

Norway

Denm

ark

UK+US

US+Ger

man

y

Ger

man

y

UK

Nethe

rland

s

Aust

ria

Sweden

Irela

nd

Belgi

um

Brazil

USAust

ralia

Spain

Japa

n+Chi

na

Canad

a

Czech

Rep

ublic

US+Chi

na

Hong

Kong

Canad

a+US

Finl

and

Indi

a

China

Gre

ece

Thai

land

Egypt

Portu

gal

Italy

South

Afri

ca

Isra

el

Oth

er

Japa

n

Taiw

an

Hong

Kong

+Chi

na

Fran

ce

Russia

Pola

nd

Roman

ia

Hunga

ry

South

Kor

ea

Argen

tina

US+Jap

an

Mex

ico

Ukrai

ne

Singa

pore

Hong

Kong

Sweden

Aust

ria

Nethe

rland

s

Irela

nd

Switzer

land

Ger

man

y

Taiw

anUK

Canad

a

Belgi

um

Spain

USUS+Ger

man

y

Finl

and

Denm

ark

Isra

el

South

Kor

ea

Fran

ce

Aust

ralia

Italy

Czech

Rep

ublic

Canad

a+US

Thai

land

Portu

gal

Hong

Kong

+Chi

na

Norway

South

Afri

ca

US+Chi

na

Argen

tina

Gre

ece

US+Jap

an

Oth

er

UK+US

China

Brazil

Japa

n+Chi

na

Iran

Japa

n

Mex

ico

Hunga

ry

Pola

nd

Indi

a

Egypt

Turk

ey

Roman

ia

Russia

Pakis

tan

Ukrai

ne

Iran

Switzer

land

Singa

pore

Turk

ey

Norway

Pakis

tan

Brazil

Aust

ria

Denm

ark

Irela

nd

SwedenUK

Gre

ece

Thai

land

China

UK+US

Czech

Rep

ublic

Hong

Kong

US+Ger

man

y

Nethe

rland

sUSG

erm

any

Finl

and

Spain

Indi

a

Canad

a

Canad

a+US

Portu

gal

Japa

n+Chi

na

Belgi

um

Aust

ralia

US+Chi

na

Hong

Kong

+Chi

na

Taiw

an

Italy

Egypt

South

Kor

ea

Isra

el

Argen

tina

Oth

er

South

Afri

ca

Pola

nd

Japa

n

Fran

ce

US+Jap

an

Roman

ia

Hunga

ry

Mex

ico

Russia

Ukrai

ne

Journals Citations

Pro

port

iona

l Odd

sLi

near

Discussion: Specific country effects

I International collaboration is correlated withbetter journals and more citations

I Not all Countries are created equal andcountries can combine non-linearly

I Discrepancies between citation performanceand journal placement can indicate bias ordifferences in academic culture

I Journal placement has strong predictive powerin determining number of citations, but somecountries still over or underperform

Results: Comparing measures

ARG

AUS

AUT

BEL BRA

CAN

CAN+USA CHN

CZE

DNK

EGYFIN

FRA

DEU

GRC

HKG

HKG+CHN

HUN

IND

IRN

IRL

ISR ITA

JPN

JPN+CHN

KOR

MEX

NLD

NOR

Other

PAK

POL

PRT

ROMRUS

SGP

ZAF

ESP

SWE

CHE

TWN

THA

TUR

UKR

GBR

GBR+USA

USA+CHN

USA+DEU

USA+JPN

USA

0.403 (p = 0.0040)

Analytical Chemistry

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 10 20 30 40 50Rank of Country by Journal Placement

Ran

k of

Cou

ntry

by

Cita

tion

Per

form

ance

Results: Comparing measures

ARG

AUS AUT

BEL

BRA

CAN

CHE

CHN

CZE

DEU

DEU+FRA

DEU+RUS

EGY

ESP

FIN

FRA

GBR GBR+DEU

GBR+USA

GRC

HKG

HKG+CHN

IND

IRN

ISR

ITA

ITA+FRA

JPN

JPN+CHN

JPN+DEU

KOR

MEX

NLD

Other

POL

ROM

RUS

RUS+FRA

SGP

SWE

TUR

TWN

UKR

USA

USA+CHN

USA+DEU

USA+FRA

USA+JPN

USA+KOR

USA+RUS

0.288 (p = 0.0427)

ARG

AUS

AUT

BEL

BRA

BRA+USA

CAN

CAN+GBR

CAN+USA

CHE

CHE+USA

CHLCHN

CZE

DEU

DNK

ESP

FIN

FRA

GBR

GBR+AUS

GBR+DEU

GBR+ESPGBR+FRA

GBR+USA

IND

ISR

ITA

JPNMEX

NLD

NOR

NZL

OtherPOL

PRT

RUS

SWE

TUR

USA

USA+AUS

USA+CHN

USA+DEU

USA+ESP

USA+FRA

USA+JPNUSA+MEX

USA+NZL

VEN

ZAF

0.615 (p < .0001)

Condensed−Matter Physics Ecology

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50Rank of Country by Journal Placement

Ran

k of

Cou

ntry

by

Cita

tion

Per

form

ance

Discussion: Comparing measures

I International collaboration is correlated withbetter journals and more citations

I Not all Countries are created equal andcountries can combine non-linearly

I Discrepancies between citation performanceand journal placement can indicate bias ordifferences in academic culture

I Journal placement has strong predictive powerin determining number of citations, but somecountries still over or underperform

Results: Performance through time

Analytical Chemistry

0.15

0.20

0.25 United S

tates

1996 2001 2006 2011

Results: Performance through time

Analytical Chemistry Condensed−Matter Physics Ecology

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.050.100.150.200.25

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.03

0.06

0.09

0.12

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.025

0.040.050.060.07

0.010

0.015

0.020

0.015

0.020

0.025

0.030

United S

tatesC

hinaJapan

Spain

1996 2001 2006 2011 1996 2001 2006 2011 1996 2001 2006 2011

Discussion: Performance through time

I International collaboration is correlated withbetter journals and more citations

I Not all Countries are created equal andcountries can combine non-linearly

I Discrepancies between citation performanceand journal placement can indicate bias ordifferences in academic culture

I Journal placement has strong predictive powerin determining number of citations, but somecountries still over or underperform

Summary: What does it all mean?

I Why are international collaborations beneficial?I Increased sphere of visibilityI Increased generality

I Getting into “good” journals still pays off ...I Yet, the journal ranking systems are imperfect

and can lead to inequality

Future: time and resolution

I Do papers experience a lag before becomingcitation classics?

I How does this aging process differ for differentcompositions of authors?

I Use university affiliations to better refine thepositive effects of who’s who in an author list

I Does predictability of citation performancefrom journal placement change through time?

thank youStefano AllesinaCody WeinbergerEmilio M. Bruna

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