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Characteristics:Globalization /
internationalisation hasbecome identified with anumber of trends, most of which may have developedsince World War II. These
include greater internationalmovement of commodities,money, information, andpeople; and the developmentof technology, organizations,
legal systems, andinfrastructures to allow thismovement. The actualexistence of some of thesetrends is debated.
• Economically o Increase in international
trade at a much faster rate
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than the growth in theworld economy
o
Increase in internationalflow of capital includingforeign direct investment
o Creation of internationalagreements leading to
organizations like the WTO and OPEC
o Development of globalfinancial systems
o Increased role of
international organizationssuch as WTO, WIPO, IMF that deal with internationaltransactions
o Increase of economic
practices like outsourcing,by multinationalcorporations
• Culturally
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o Greater internationalcultural exchange,
o
Spreading of multiculturalism, andbetter individual access tocultural diversity, forexample through the
export of Hollywood andBollywood movies.However, the importedculture can easily supplantthe local culture, causing
reduction in diversitythrough hybridization oreven assimilation. Themost prominent form of this is Westernization, but
Sinicization of cultures alsotakes place. o Greater international travel
and tourism
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o Greater immigration,including illegal
immigration o Spread of local foods such
as pizza, Chinese andIndian food/Pakistani Foodto other countries (often
adapted to local taste) o World-wide Fads and Pop
Culture such as Pokemon,Sudoku, Numa Numa,Origami, Idol series,
YouTube, MySpace, andmany others. o Increasing usage of foriegn
phrases. Example..."Amigo" and "Adios" are
Spanish terms many non-speaking spanish people inthe US understand, MostAmericans understand
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some French, Spanish or Japanese without actually
knowing the language. • Development of a greater
transborder data flow, usingsuch technologies as theInternet, communication
satellites and telephones • Increase in the number of
standards applied globally;e.g. copyright laws andpatents
•
Formation or development of a set of universal values • The push by many advocates
for an international criminalcourt and international justice
movements
Barriers to international tradehave been considerably lowered
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since World War II throughinternational agreements such
as the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT).Particular initiatives carried outas a result of GATT and theWTO, for which GATT is the
foundation, have included:• Promotion of free trade
o Of goods: Reduction or elimination
of tariffs; construction of
free trade zones withsmall or no tariffs
Reduced transportationcosts, especially fromdevelopment of
containerization forocean shipping.
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o Of capital: reduction orelimination of capital
controls o Reduction, elimination, or
harmonization of subsidies for local businesses
• Intellectual property
restrictions o Harmonization of
intellectual property lawsacross nations (generallyspeaking, with more
restrictions)o Supranational recognition
of intellectual propertyrestrictions (e.g. patents granted by China would be
recognized in the US)
Anti-globalization:Critics of the economic aspects of
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globalization contend that it isnot, as its proponents tend to
imply, an inexorable process thatflows naturally from theeconomic needs of everyone. Thecritics typically emphasize thatglobalization is a process that is
mediated according to eliteimperatives, and typically raisethe possibility of alternativeglobal institutions and policies,which they believe address the
moral claims of poor and workingclasses throughout the globe, aswell as environmental concernsin a more equitable way. In termsof the controversial global
migration issue, disputes revolvearound both its causes, whetherand to what extent it is voluntaryor involuntary, necessary or
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unnecessary Increase ininternational flow of capital
including foreign directinvestment Critics of theeconomic aspects of globalizationcontend that it is not, as itsproponents tend to imply, an
inexorable process that flowsnaturally from the economicneeds of everyone. The criticstypically emphasize thatglobalization is a process that is
mediated according to eliteimperatives, and typically raisethe possibility of alternativeglobal institutions and policies,which they believe address the
moral claims of poor and workingclasses throughout the globe, aswell as environmental concernsin a more equitable way. In terms
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of the controversial globalmigration issue, disputes revolve
around both its causes, whetherand to what extent it is voluntaryor involuntary, necessary orunnecessary; and its effects,whether beneficial, or socially
and environmentally costly.Proponents tend to see migrationsimply as a process wherebywhite and blue collar workersmay go from one country to
another to provide their services,while critics tend to emphasizenegative causes such aseconomic, political, andenvironmental insecurity, and
cite as one notable effect, thelink between migration and theenormous growth of urban slumsin developing countries.
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According to "The Challenge of Slums," a 2003 UN-Habitat
report, "the cyclical nature of capitalism, increased demand forskilled versus unskilled labour,and the negative effects of globalisation "in particular, global
economic booms and busts thatratchet up inequality anddistribute new wealth unevenly"contribute to the enormousgrowth of slums.
Various aspects of globalizationare seen as harmful by public-interest activists as well asstrong state nationalists. Thismovement has no unified name.
"Anti-globalization" is themedia's preferred term; it canlead to some confusion, as
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activists typically oppose certainaspects or forms of
globalization, not globalizationper se. Activists themselves, forexample Noam Chomsky, havesaid that this name ismeaningless as the aim of the
movement is to globalize justice.Indeed, the global justicemovement is a common name.Many activists also unite underthe slogan "another world is
possible", which has given riseto names such asaltermondialisme in French.
Economic arguments by fairtrade theorists claim that
unrestricted free trade benefitsthose with more financialleverage (i.e. the rich) at the
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expense of the poor. Many "anti-globalization" activists see
globalization as the promotion of a corporatist agenda, which isintent on constricting thefreedoms of individuals in thename of profit. Some "anti-
globalization" groups argue thatglobalization is necessarilyimperialistic, is one of thedriving reasons behind the Iraqwar and is forcing savings to
flow into the United Statesrather than developing nations;it can therefore be said that"globalization" is another termfor a form of Americanization, as
it is believed by some observersthat the United States could beone of the few countries (if not
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the only one) to truly profit fromglobalization.
Some argue that globalizationimposes credit-basedeconomics, resulting inunsustainable growth of debt and debt crises. The financial
crises in Southeast Asia, thatbegan in the relatively small,debt-ridden economy of Thailand but quickly spread toMalaysia, Indonesia, South Korea
and eventually was felt allaround the world, demonstratedthe new risks and volatility inrapidly changing globalizedmarkets. The IMF's subsequent
'bailout' money came withconditions of political change(i.e. government spending
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limits) attached and came to beviewed by critics as undermining
national sovereignty in neo-colonialist fashion. Anti-Globalization activists pointed tothe meltdowns as proof of thehigh human cost of the
indiscriminate global economy. The main opposition is tounfettered globalization(neoliberal; laissez-fairecapitalism), guided by
governments and what areclaimed to be quasi-governments (such as theInternational Monetary Fund andthe World Bank) that are
supposedly not held responsibleto the populations that theygovern and instead respond
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mostly to the interests of corporations. Many conferences
between trade and financeministers of the core globalizingnations have been met withlarge, and occasionally violent,protests from opponents of
"corporate globalism".Some "anti-globalization"activists object to the fact thatthe current "globalization"globalizes money and
corporations, but not people andunions. This can be seen in thestrict immigration controls innearly all countries, and the lackof labour rights in many
countries in the developingworld.
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Another more conservativecamp opposed to globalization is
state-centric nationalists whofear globalization is displacingthe role of nations in globalpolitics and point to NGOs asencroaching upon the power of
individual nations. Someadvocates of this warrant foranti-globalization are PatBuchanan and Jean-Marie LePen.
The movement is very broad,including church groups,national liberation factions, left-wing parties, environmentalists,peasant unionists, anti-racism
groups, anarchists, those insupport of relocalization andothers. Most are reformist,
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(arguing for a more humaneform of capitalism) while others
are more revolutionary (arguingfor a more humane system thancapitalism). Many have decriedthe lack of unity and direction inthe movement, but some such
as Noam Chomsky have claimedthat this lack of centralizationmay in fact be a strength.
Protests by the global justicemovement have forced high-
level international meetingsaway from the major citieswhere they used to be held, intoremote locations where protestis impractical.
Pro-globalization(globalism):Supporters of democratic
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globalization can be labelledpro-globalists. They consider
that the first phase of globalization, which wasmarket-oriented, should becompleted by a phase of building global political
institutions representing thewill of world citizens. Thedifference with otherglobalists is that they do notdefine in advance any
ideology to orient this will,which should be left to thefree choice of those citizensvia a democratic process.
Supporters of free trade point
out that economic theories of comparative advantage suggestthat free trade leads to a more
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efficient allocation of resources,with all countries involved in the
trade benefiting. In general, thisleads to lower prices, moreemployment and higher output.
Libertarians and otherproponents of laissez-faire
capitalism say higher degrees of political and economic freedomin the form of democracy andcapitalism in the developedworld are both ends in
themselves and also producehigher levels of material wealth. They see globalization as thebeneficial spread of liberty andcapitalism.
Critics argue that the anti-globalization movement usesanecdotal evidence to support
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their view and that worldwidestatistics instead strongly
support globalization:• the percentage of people in
developing countries livingbelow US$1 (adjusted forinflation and purchasing
power) per day has halved inonly twenty years, althoughsome critics argue that moredetailed variables measuringpoverty should instead be
studied. • Life expectancy has almost
doubled in the developingworld since WWII and is
starting to close the gap tothe developed world wherethe improvement has beensmaller. Child mortality has
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decreased in everydeveloping region of the
world. Income inequality forthe world as a whole isdiminishing.
• Democracy has increaseddramatically from almost no
nation with universal suffrage in 1900 to 62.5% of allnations in 2000.
• The proportion of the world's
population living in countrieswhere per-capita foodsupplies are less than 2,200calories (9,200 kilojoules) perday decreased from 56% in
the mid-1960s to below 10%by the 1990s. • Between 1950 and 1999,
global literacy increased from
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52% to 81% of the world.Women made up much of the
gap: Female literacy as apercentage of male literacyhas increased from 59% in1970 to 80% in 2000.
• The percentage of children in
the labor force has fallen from24% in 1960 to 10% in 2000.
• There are similar trends forelectric power, cars, radios,
and telephones per capita, aswell as the proportion of thepopulation with access toclean water.
However, some of these
improvements may not be dueto globalization, or may bepossible without the currentform of globalization or its
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negative consequences, towhich the global justice
movement objects.Some pro-capitalists are alsocritical of the World Bank andthe IMF, arguing that they arecorrupt bureaucracies controlled
and financed by states, notcorporations. Many loans havebeen given to dictators whonever carried out promisedreforms, instead leaving the
common people to pay thedebts later. They thus see toolittle capitalism, not too much. They also note that some of theresistance to globalization
comes from special interestgroups with conflicting interests,like Western world unions.
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However, there are also manyanti-capitalist who are against
the World Bank and the IMFbecause they believe they aretoo capitalist and only ininterests for profit.
Others, such as Senator Douglas
Roche, O.C., simply viewglobalization as inevitable andadvocate creating institutionssuch as a directly-elected UnitedNations Parliamentary Assembly
to exercise oversight overunelected international bodies.
Other uses:"Globalization" can mean:
• Globalism, if the concept isreduced to its economicaspects, can be said tocontrast with economic
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nationalism andprotectionism. It is related to
laissez-faire capitalism andneoliberalism.
• It shares a number of characteristics withinternationalization and is
often used interchangeably,although some prefer to useglobalization to emphasizethe erosion of the nation-state or national boundaries.
•
Making connections betweenplaces on a global scale. Today, more and more placesaround the world areconnected to each other in
ways that were previouslyunimaginable. In geography,this process is known ascomplex connectivity, where
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more and more places arebeing connected in more and
more ways. Arjun Appadurai identified five types of globalconnectivity:
o Ethnoscapes: movementsof people, including
tourists, immigrants,refugees, and businesstravellers.
o Financescapes: globalflows of money, often
driven by interconnectedcurrency markets, stockexchanges, andcommodity markets.
o Ideoscapes: the global
spread of ideas andpolitical ideologies. Forexample, Green Peace has
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become a worldwideenvironmental movement.
o
Mediascapes: the globaldistribution of mediaimages that appear on ourcomputer screens, innewspapers, television,
and radio. o Technoscapes: the
movement of technologiesaround the globe. Forexample, the Green
Revolution in ricecultivation introducedwestern farming practicesinto many developingcountries.
Although Appadurai'staxonomy is highlycontestable, it does serve to
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show that globalization ismuch more than economics
on a global scale.• In its cultural form,
globalization has been a labelused to identify attempts toerode the national cultures of
Europe, and subsume theminto a global culture whosemembers will be much easierto manipulate through massmedia and controlled
governments. In this context,massive legal or illegalimmigration has beenallowed, mainly in Europeancountries.
• The formation of a globalvillage closer contactbetween different parts of the
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world, with increasingpossibilities of personal
exchange, mutualunderstanding and friendshipbetween "world citizens", andcreation of a globalcivilization.
•
Economic globalization thereare four aspects to economicglobalization, referring to fourdifferent flows acrossboundaries, namely flows of
goods/services, i.e. 'freetrade' (or at least freer trade),flows of people (migration), of capital, and of technology. Aconsequence of economic
globalization is increasingrelations among members of an industry in different partsof the world (globalization of
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an industry), with acorresponding erosion of
national sovereignty in theeconomic sphere. The IMF defines globalization as thegrowing economicinterdependence of countries
worldwide through increasingvolume and variety of cross-border transactions in goodsand services, freerinternational capital flows,
and more rapid andwidespread diffusion of technology (IMF, WorldEconomic Outlook, May,1997). The World Bank
defines globalization as the"Freedom and ability of individuals and firms toinitiate voluntary economic
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transactions with residents of other countries".
•
In the field of management,globalization is a marketing orstrategy term that refers tothe emergence of international markets for
consumer goodscharacterized by similarcustomer needs and tastesenabling, for example, sellingthe same cars or soaps or
foods with similar adcampaigns to people indifferent cultures. This usageis contrasted withinternationalization which
describes the activities of multinational companiesdealing across borders ineither financial instruments,
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commodities, or products thatare extensively tailored to
local markets. Globalizationalso means cross-bordermanagement activities ordevelopment processes toadapt to the emergence of a
globalized market or to seekand realize benefit fromeconomies of scale or scopeor from cross-border learningamong different country-
based organizations. • In the field of software,
globalization is a technicalterm that combines thedevelopment processes of
internationalization andlocalization. • Many, such as participants in
the World Social Forum, use
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the term "corporateglobalization" or "global
corporatization" to highlightthe impact of multinationalcorporations and the use of legal and financial means tocircumvent local laws and
standards, in order toleverage the labor andservices of unequally-developed regions againsteach other.
•
The spread of capitalism fromdeveloped to developingnations.
• "The concept of globalisationrefers both to the
compression of the world andthe intensification of consciousness of the world as
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a whole" - BenediktKiesenhofer
Measurement of globalization: To what extent a nation-stateor culture is globalized in aparticular year has until most
recently been measuredemploying simple proxies likeflows of trade, migration, orforeign direct investment. Amore sophisticated approach
to measuring globalization isthe recent index calculated bythe Swiss think tank KOF. Theindex measures the threemain dimensions of
globalization: economic,social, and political. Inaddition to three indices
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measuring these dimensions,an overall index of
globalization and sub-indicesreferring to actual economicflows, economic restrictions,data on personal contact, dataon information flows, and data
on cultural proximity iscalculated. Data are availableon a yearly basis for 122countries. According to theindex, the world's most
globalized country is the USA,followed by Sweden,Canada, the UnitedKingdom, and Luxembourg. The least globalized countries
according to the KOF-indexare Togo, Chad and theCentral African Republic.
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Global Falsehoods: How theWorld Bank and the UNDP
Distort the Figures on GlobalPoverty:
According to Professor MichelChossudovsky ,until the 1998financial meltdown ("black
September" 1998), the Worldeconomy was said to bebooming under the impetus of the "free market" reforms.Without debate or discussion,
so-called "sound macro-economic policies" (meaning thegamut of budgetary austerity,deregulation, downsizing andprivatisation) continue to be
heralded as the key to economicsuccess and poverty alleviation.In turn, both the World Bank and
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the United Nations DevelopmentProgramme (UNDP) have
asserted authoritatively thateconomic growth in the late20th Century has contributed toa reduction in the levels of World poverty. According to the
UNDP, "the progress in reducingpoverty over the 20th century isremarkable andunprecedented... The keyindicators of human
development have advancedstrongly."
The Devastating Impacts of Macro-economic Reform arecasually denied:
The increasing levels of globalpoverty resulting from macro-economic reform are casually
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denied by G7 governments andinternational institutions
(including the World Bank andthe IMF); social realities areconcealed, official statistics aremanipulated, economic conceptsare turned upside down.
The World Bank frameworkdeliberately departs from allestablished concepts andprocedures (eg. by the USBureau of Census or the United
Nations) for measuring poverty.It consists in arbitrarily setting a"poverty threshold" at one dollara day per capita. It thenproceeds (without even
measuring) to deciding thatpopulation groups with a per
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capita income "above one dollara day" are "non-poor".
The World Bank "methodology"conveniently reduces recordedpoverty without the need forcollecting country-level data. This "subjective" and biased
assessment is carried outirrespective of actual conditionsat the country level. The onedollar a day procedure is absurd:the evidence amply confirms
that population groups with percapita incomes of 2, 3 or even 5dollars a day remain povertystricken (ie. unable to meetbasic expenditures of food,
clothing, shelter, health andeducation).
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Authoritative" World Bank Numbers:
These authoritative World Banknumbers are those whicheverybody quotes, --ie. 1.3billion people below the povertyline. But nobody seems to have
bothered to examine how theWorld Bank arrives at thesefigures.
The data is then tabulated inglossy tables with "forecasts" of
declining levels of global povertyinto the 21st Century. TheseWorld Bank "forecasts" of poverty are based on anassumed rate of growth of per
capita income, --ie. growth of the latter implies pari passu acorresponding lowering of the
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levels of poverty. Its a numericalgame!
The UNDP Framework:While the UNDP HumanDevelopment Group has inprevious years provided theinternational community with a
critical assessment of key issuesof global development, the 1997Human Development Reportdevoted to the eradication of poverty broadly conveys a
similar viewpoint to thatheralded by the Bretton Woodsinstitutions. The UNDP's "humanpoverty index" (HPI) is based on"the most basic dimensions of
deprivation: a short life span,lack of basic education and lack
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of access to public and privateresources".
Based on the above criteria, theUNDP Human DevelopmentGroup comes up with estimatesof human poverty which aretotally inconsistent with country-
level realties. The HPI forColombia, Mexico or Thailand,for instance, is of order of 10-11percent (see Table 1). The UNDPmeasurements point to
"achievements" in povertyreduction in Sub-Saharan Africa,the Middle East and India whichare totally at odds with country-level data.
The human poverty estimatesput forth by the UNDP portray aneven more distorted and
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misleading pattern than those of the World Bank). For instance,
only 10.9 percent of Mexico'spopulation are categorised bythe UNDP as "poor". Yet thisestimate contradicts thesituation observed in Mexico
since the mid-1980s: collapse insocial services, impoverishmentof small farmers and themassive decline in real earningstriggered by successive currency
devaluations. A recent OECDstudy confirms unequivocallythe mounting tide of poverty inMexico since the signing of theNorth American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA).Double Standards in the"Scientific" Measurement of
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Poverty:"Double standards" prevail in
the measurement of poverty:the World Bank's one dollar aday criterion applies only to the"developing countries". Both theBank and the UNDP fail to
acknowledge the existence of poverty in Western Europe andNorth America. Moreover, theone dollar a day criterion is inovert contradiction with
established methodologies usedby Western governments andintergovernmental organisationsto define and measure povertyin the "developed countries".
In the West, the methods formeasuring poverty have beenbased on minimum levels of
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household spending required tomeet essential expenditures on
food, clothing, shelter, healthand education. In the UnitedStates, for instance, the SocialSecurity Administration (SSA) inthe 1960s had set a "poverty
threshold " which consisted of "the cost of a minimumadequate diet multiplied bythree to allow for otherexpenses". This measurement
was based on a broad consensuswithin the US Administration.
Conversely, if the US Bureau of Census methodology (based onthe cost of meeting a minimum
diet) were applied to thedeveloping countries, theoverwhelming majority of the
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population would be categorisedas "poor". While this exercise of
using "Western standards" anddefinitions has not been appliedin a systematic fashion, it shouldbe noted that with thederegulation of commodity
markets, retail prices of essential consumer goods arenot appreciably lower than inthe US or Western Europe. Thecost of living in many Third
World cities is higher than in theUnited States.
Moreover, household budgetsurveys for several LatinAmerican countries suggest that
at least sixty percent of thepopulation the region does notmeet minimum calorie and
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protein requirements. In Peru,for instance, following the 1990
IMF sponsored "Fujishock", 83percent of the Peruvianpopulation according tohousehold census data wereunable to meet minimum daily
calorie and proteinrequirements. The prevailingsituation in Sub-Saharan Africaand South Asia is more seriouswhere a majority of the
population suffer from chronicundernourishment.
The investigation on poverty byboth organizations take officialstatistics at face value. It is
largely an "office basedexercise" conducted inWashington and New York with
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few insights or awareness of "what is happening in the field".
The 1997 UNDP Report points toa decline of one third to a half inchild mortality in selectedcountries of Sub-Saharandespite the slide in State
expenditures and income levels.What it fails to mention,however, is that the closingdown of health clinics and themassive lay-offs of health
professionals (often replaced bysemi-illiterate health volunteers)responsible for compilingmortality data has resulted in ade facto decline in recorded
mortality. The IMF-World Banksponsored macro-economicreforms have also led to a
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collapse in the process of datacollection.
Table 1
SELECT SPEECHES India and Globalisation
This is a truly momentousoccasion in the life of thisInstitute, its students, itsteachers, and its friends. Let mebegin by conveying my heartiest
congratulations to the studentswho are receiving their degreestoday. For all of them, it is aculmination of years of hardwork, and a recognition of their
high academic merit. All the teachers of this greatInstitute, who have put in so
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much time and effort to makethis day possible, also deserve
our gratitude. I would like to specially welcomethe parents of the students, whoare present at this Convocation.
Without some sacrifice and agood deal of support, successfulcompletion of higher studies byyoung men and women, who arehere today, would not have
been possible.I am personally grateful to thePresident of the IndianStatistical Institute, Prof.M.G.K.Menon and Director, Prof.K.B.Sinha, for inviting me to bea part of this occasion. Ascientist, a scholar and a public
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figure, Prof. Menon has led thisInstitute with great distinction.
He has been a source of inspiration for all thoseconnected with ISI and itsteachers and students. It is aparticular privilege and honour
to deliver this address in hisesteemed presence.
On this important occasion, Iwould also like to pay homage
to the memory of ProfessorP.C.Mahalanobis, founder of theISI and the builder of themodern statistical system inIndia. His technical contribution
to the development of statisticsas a science are fundamentaland well known all over theworld. What was even more
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remarkable, in a developingcountry context, was his desire
to use statistical methodsincluding sample surveys tounderstand and solve theproblems of an underdevelopedeconomy, including low
productivity agriculture. The high quality, the depth, andthe breadth of research andteaching in statistics and other
inter-related subjects at thisInstitute are tributes to thevision of Prof. Mahalanobis andhis confidence in our country’sfuture.
While I am thankful for beinghere on this occasion, I am alsoa little daunted by the task of
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having to say something usefulwhich may be of interest to this
varied audience from so manydifferent walks of life. Aftersome reflection, I have chosento speak to you on "India andGlobalisation", or how we in
India should look at the processof so-called "globalisation" thatthe world has been passingthrough in recent years. I hadan occasion to speak on this
subject at Mumbai UniversityConvocation a couple of weeksago. This is a matter of considerable contemporarydebate, and I thought somereflection on this may also be of interest here in Kolkata.
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There is a debate not only inIndia but all over the globe
about the pros and cons of "globalisation". There is hardlyany important global meetingwhich does not witness vigorousprotest marches or picketing by
the opponents of theglobalisation process. Equally, on the opposite side,there are those who regard it as
panacea for all the world’sproblems and key to unmixedprosperity and well being for allthe countries and all the people.If you take a poll in any
assembly, including I am surethis one, you will find some arestrongly for and some arestrongly against globalisation.
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To my mind, neither view – foror against – is correct. The only
rational view is to accept it asan emerging and powerful globalreality which has a momentumof its own. Our job as anindependent nation / state is to
ensure that we maximise theadvantage for our country andminimise the risks. It has bothpluses and minuses like anyother major global economic
change – say, the industrialrevolution of the 18th century.Some countries gained, somelost – partly because of the thenprevailing politicalcircumstances. India, forexample, lost because of colonialism and fragmented
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nature of our polity. U.K.,Europe, U.S. – and later Japan
prospered. Same is the casewith globalisation. One bigdifference, however, is thatunlike the olden days, today ourdestiny is in our own hands.
Before we look at ouropportunities and challengesfrom globalisation, it is good tobe certain of facts – where
exactly India is in terms of globalisation. If we look at someof our own debate, it wouldseem as if we were already wellon the way to globalisation,
which was shaking up oureconomy. A most commonmeasure of globalisation isopenness to trade and a
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country’s participation in trade.By this measure, the extent of
India’s globalisation isinsignificant – it is one of thelowest in the world. India’sshare in world trade is a meagre0.7 per cent or so. If a map of
the world were drawn on thescale of a country’s participationin trade, India with a populationof more than 1,000 million willoccupy a smaller area than
Singapore with a population of only 3 million. You would need amagnifying glass to locate Indiaon that map! A second commonly usedmeasure of globalisation is acountry’s participation ininternational capital flows,
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particularly Foreign DirectInvestment (FDI). As you know,
annual flow of FDI across theglobe is more than $ 1 trillion,i.e., $ 1,000 billion. Annual FDIinflows into India is $ 3 – 4billion only or 0.3 – 0.4 per cent
of the total – that is all. Same istrue of Foreign InstitutionalInvestment (FII). Therefore, the first point that I
would like to emphasise is thatdespite all the talk, we arenowhere even close to beingglobalised in terms of anycommonly used indicator of
globalisation. In fact, we are stillone of the least globalisedamong major countries –however we look at it.
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An equally important point isthat whether the so-called
globalisation is considered to begood or bad for a countrydepends crucially on the sensein which the word is used. Theword may be used in a purely
descriptive sense to describe a"shrinkage" of distance amongnation states due totechnological changes intransport and communication
and closer integration of productand financial markets across theworld.
Another sense in which the word
may be used is the effect of such changes on differentcountries or groups of countries,such as, developed and
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developing. In yet anothersense, the word may also
represent a "globalisation of ideas or ideology" and may beused as a synonym for triumphof capitalism or dominance of unfettered markets. In discussing the issue of globalisation in the Indiancontext, I propose to confinemyself largely to the factual and
descriptive sense in which theword is used, i.e. thetechnological changes, andassociated policy changes, thathave brought the world
economies closer and madethem more integrated with eachother.
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In this particular sense, I believethat the changes that have
occurred in the patterns of tradeand capital flows in recent yearsare to India’s advantage –although, unfortunately, so farwe have not made much use of
it. Today, in terms of thepotential benefits of globalisation, India is in a verydifferent position than wouldhave been the case 50 or even
20 years ago. This is because the sources of what economists call"comparative advantage" have
changed dramatically in India’sfavour in the 1990s because of the technological revolution. Inthe old days, comparative
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advantage was largelydetermined by "factor
endowments", i.e. land, labourand capital. Geographicallocation and early starts inindustry also conferred greateradvantages.
Thus, at one time, a country’strade pattern, was determinedby its natural resources and theproductivity of its land. Leaving
aside political and institutionalfactors, a country’s level of income was also largelydetermined by the globaldemand for its natural resources
and its relative efficiency inexploiting them. The importanceof land as a source of comparative advantage,
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however, changed dramaticallyafter the industrial revolution.
Today, it is almost insignificant.Thus, except for the UnitedStates, countries accounting fora predominant share of theworld GDP have a relatively
small share of global land area.
After the industrial revolution,the availability of "capital" orinvestible resources became the
most dominant source of comparative advantage. At thisInstitute, established by thegreat Prof. P.C.Mahalonobis, Ihardly need to elaborate on the
importance that was attached todomestic capital accumulation inearly development economics.In fact, scarcity of capital and
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low domestic savings wereconsidered to be, and rightly so,
as principal causes of acountry’s underdevelopment. Today, availability of capital andproductivity are still crucial in
determining a country’s growthrate. However, there has been adramatic change in the globalmobility of capital, and nationalboundaries are no longer
important determinants of sources and uses of capital. Adramatic illustration of this isthe fact that the most developedcountry in the world, which
enjoyed unprecedented growthduring the 1990s, is actually acapital-importing country, i.e.
the United States. Similarly, the
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fastest growing developingcountry, i.e. China, is one of the
largest recipients of capital fromoutside. Similary, labour is no longer animportant element in cost of
production and in determining acountry’s comparativeadvantage. In mostmanufacturing industries in theworld, it is no higher than 1/8th
of total costs. In India, it maybe somewhat higher because of our domestic laws, but theimportant fact to note is thatIndia no longer needs to
specialise only in the productionof labour-intensive plantationcrops or primary commodities.
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A related development which islinked to the above changes, is
the "Services Revolution". Thefocus of attention inconventional economics, was onproduction of goods –manufactured products and
agricultural commodities. It was,of course, recognised that theservices sector (which includestransport, communication,trade, banking, construction and
public administration, etc.) wasan important source of incomeand employment in mosteconomies. However, overall,the growth of services wasperceived at best as a by-product of developments in theprimary and secondary sectors,
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and at worst as a drag on theprospects for long-term
economic growth. In the last few years, there hasbeen a phenomenal change inthe conventional view of
services and their role in theeconomy. This change has beenfacilitated by unprecedented andunforeseen advances incomputer and communication
technology. As a result, thedevelopment of certain servicesis now regarded as one of thepreconditions of economicgrowth, and not as one of its
consequences. The boundary between goodsand services is also
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disappearing. Many industrialproducts are not only
manufactured, but they are alsoresearched, designed,marketed, advertised,distributed, leased and serviced.
An important aspect of the"services revolution" is thatgeography and levels of industrialisation are no longerthe primary determinants of the
location of facilities forproduction of services. As aresult, the traditional role of developing countries is alsochanging – from mere recipients
to important providers of long-distance and high valueservices.
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From India’s point of view, thesedevelopments provide
opportunities for substantialgrowth. For example:
• The fastest growing segmentof services is the rapid
expansion of knowledge-based services, such as,professional and technicalservices. India has atremendous advantage in the
supply of such servicesbecause of a developedstructure of technological andeducational institutions, suchas this one, and lower labour
costs. • Unlike most other prices,world prices of transport andcommunication services have
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fallen dramatically. By 1960,sea transport costs were less
than a third of their 1920level, and they havecontinued to fall. The cost of a telephone call fell morethan ten-fold between 1970
and 2000. Moreover, the costof communication is alsobecoming independent of distance. The most dramaticexample in this area is, of
course, provided by the"Internet". India’sgeographical distance fromseveral important industrialmarkets (for instance, NorthAmerica) is no longer animportant element in the cost
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structure of skill-basedservices.
• It is now feasible to"unbundle" production of different types of goods andservices. India does notnecessarily have to be a low-
cost producer of certain typesof goods (e.g., computers ordiscs) before it can becomean efficient supplier of services embodied in them
(e.g., software or music). At the same time, it must berecognised that the "death of distance" and the growing
integration of global product,services and financial markets inrecent years have alsopresented new challenges for
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management of the nationaleconomy – not only in India but
all over the world. The trendtowards integration of markets,particularly financial markets, isby no means an unmixedblessing. Unlike the old days, a
heavy price may have to be paidby national economies forsomnolence, sloth and non-conformity to generally acceptedinternational norms and
standards of macro-economicmanagement, disclosure,transparency and financialaccountability. Another consequence of recentglobal trends is the greatervulnerability of nationaleconomies to developments
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outside their own borders. Acrisis in any one or a group of
countries, can be transmitted toother countries – includingcountries which may not haveany strong economic linkageswith crisis-affected countries.
Thus, the ’nineties have beenmarked by a large number of currency crises (for example, inMexico, Russia, East Asia andBrazil – and currently Argentina
and Turkey); substantial swingsin exchange rates (including theexchange rate of three leadingcurrencies – the dollar, the Euroand the Yen); and run ups inasset prices followed by sharpcollapse (for example in Japanand East Asia earlier and the
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United States last year). Whilethe crises initially occur in one
or two specific countries, theiradverse effects are felt acrossthe world.
While we must be careful, on
the whole, in my view, – thedeath of distance, the servicesrevolution, and the mobility of capital – which characteriseglobalisation – present
unprecedented opportunities forIndia. The primary source of comparative advantages todayare : skills and ability to adaptand change. And, India has the
advantage – of skills, of entrepreneurship and of managerial competence in
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taking advantage of thesechanges.
If what I have said is correct,then, why are we not jumpingwith joy and optimism? Why arewe so "unglobalised" in terms of
our share in trade, investmentor communication?
Transition from a closed to avibrant, open and a moreglobally dominant economy will
certainly take time and will notbe painless. As of now, we also have muchgreater tolerance for waste,
non-work and survival of theinefficient, and the self-seekingthan other fast growingcountries. Somehow to make
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this transition – from a lessproductive and less challenging
economy to a more work-oriented and competitiveeconomy – is the real challengeof globalisation.
If we continue in our old ways, Isee real social problems andinequalities emerging in oursociety. We will have islands of prosperity and excellence – IT,
beauty parades and mediaentertainment amidst growingdisparity, rising unemploymentand immiserisation. And as hashappened in several countries in
the 1990s, including Turkey andArgentina - just now, those whoare with us today will be thefirst to leave.
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The principal lesson of recenteconomic and technological
developments, and growingtensions and inequalities withinand across countries, is that ourfate is in our hands. Our publicpolicies have to respond to our
own requirements rather than toany fixed global ideology or apre-determined andinternationally prescribed modelof economic progress. In my
view, this is the real lesson of the 1990s.
My fervent hope is that as you –the best and the brightest of our
country – go out and face a"globalising" world, you willkeep India’s interest, itsintegrity, its indivisibility and its
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future potential close to yourhearts and your minds. I have
no doubt that, with your help,India of 2025 will be a verydifferent place, and a muchmore dominant force in theworld economy, than was the
case twenty five years ago or atthe beginning of the newmillennium.
Thank you.