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Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network EDITION 1

Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

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Page 1: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

Global Bankruptcy Report 2017Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network

E D I T I O N 1

Page 2: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

2DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

INDEX

INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................... 3

OVERALL COMMENTARY BY OANA ARISTIDE ........................................................................ 4

CHARTS

AFRICA

Morocco ............................................................................................................................. 9 South Africa ........................................................................................................................ 9

ASIA/OCEANIA

Australia ............................................................................................................................. 9 China .................................................................................................................................. 9 Hong Kong ....................................................................................................................... 10 Indonesia .......................................................................................................................... 10 Japan ................................................................................................................................ 10 Singapore ......................................................................................................................... 10 South Korea ...................................................................................................................... 11 Taiwan ............................................................................................................................... 11 Thailand ............................................................................................................................ 11 Vietnam ............................................................................................................................ 11

EUROPE

Austria .............................................................................................................................. 12 Belgium ............................................................................................................................ 12 Bosnia ............................................................................................................................... 12 Bulgaria ............................................................................................................................ 12 Czech Republic ................................................................................................................ 12 Denmark ........................................................................................................................... 12 Finland .............................................................................................................................. 13 France ............................................................................................................................... 13 Germany ........................................................................................................................... 13 Italy ................................................................................................................................... 13 Netherlands ...................................................................................................................... 13 Norway ............................................................................................................................. 13 Poland .............................................................................................................................. 14 Portugal ............................................................................................................................ 14 Russia ................................................................................................................................ 14 Serbia ............................................................................................................................... 14 Slovakia ............................................................................................................................ 14 Slovenia ............................................................................................................................ 14 Spain ................................................................................................................................. 15 Sweden ............................................................................................................................. 15 Switzerland ....................................................................................................................... 15 United Kingdom ............................................................................................................... 15

MIDDLE EAST

Israel ................................................................................................................................. 16 Turkey ............................................................................................................................... 16

NORTH AMERICA

Canada ............................................................................................................................. 16 USA ................................................................................................................................... 16

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3DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

INTRODUCTION

Welcome to the Dun & Bradstreet Global Bankruptcy Report. This report is compiled for you by the members of the Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network (WWN).

Since 2005, our network of partner organizations has offered customers across the globe access to the best local data, whilst maintaining a consistent high-quality standard. Today, the network consists of 16 partners and six Dun & Bradstreet-owned markets, collecting business information on over 200 countries. We work together to provide the best data, analytics and insights to help you manage your business relationships.

As cross-border transactions increase, more and more customers have been expressing a need for the analysis of bankruptcy trends to cover global markets as an index of real economic conditions. It was to satisfy this need that we started compiling the Global Bankruptcy Report.

We are pleased to share that the number of markets covered has increased to 38. I would like to extend a special thanks to the following WWN members who contributed local bankruptcy data from their respective markets:

Altares, Bisnode, CRIBIS D&B, D&B Indonesia, D&B Israel, D&B Singapore, D&B Thailand, D&B Vietnam, D&B Turkey, Huaxia D&B China, ICAP, Informa D&B, Interfax, NICE D&B and TSR.

The data compiled has been analyzed and edited by Dun & Bradstreet’s Country Insight team of experienced economists.

We hope you find the report beneficial.

Sabine Leferink Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network Leader

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ECONOMIC GROWTH IS SLOWING, BUT BUSINESS BANKRUPTCIES ARE DECLINING

Global economic growth forecasts have been revised downwards almost every year since

the financial crisis, with a lack of growth engines, fiscally hampered governments, and the preceding overinvestment all playing a part in establishing this pattern. However, despite the sluggish growth environment, global corporate failure rates have declined, reaching record lows in some major economies. And 2016 was no exception: out of a total of 38 countries in our analysis, 26 experienced falling bankruptcy rates relative to the previous year; meanwhile the failure rate stagnated in two countries, and only ten countries saw the rate increase. This two-tier development – low growth but resilient businesses – illustrates on the one hand the severity of the previous financial crisis and the significant debt overhang left in its wake, and on the other the ultra-low interest rates and loose monetary policy across most of the developed world. The latter has not only supported businesses in developed countries, but has also stimulated a surge in capital flows to higher-yield emerging markets. The ensuing capital flow reversal (expected to take

OVERALL COMMENTARY

Global Bankruptcy TrendsOana Aristide | Dun & Bradstreet Economist

“ Our analysis shows that bankruptcy rates have declined in the majority of both developed and developing countries. Regionally, 16 out of 23 European countries and 9 out of 11 Asia-Oceana countries have seen decreasing bankruptcy rates—a good sign in a slow-growth economy.”

place as the Federal Reserve slowly normalizes monetary policy) counts as one of the main global risks in 2017.

Analysis of the results based on the income status of the countries in our sample reveals that bankruptcy rates have declined in a majority of both developed and developing countries. The results are more overwhelmingly positive in the case of developed economies, but the trend is evident in emerging markets as well (more than twice as many countries had declining rather than increasing bankruptcy rates). In terms of regions, failures have declined in 16 out of 23 European countries in our sample, with only one large economy – the UK – represented in the ‘deteriorating’ group. Nine out of eleven countries in our Asia-Oceania region had declining failure rates, including China (the largest economy in the region and a key global growth engine). The other global economic behemoths – the US, Japan and Germany – also experienced declining failure rates in 2016.

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BANKRUPTCY TRENDS IN CHINA

Lower Corporate Failures in China are Paired with Predicted Soft Growth Deceleration

Patchy data coverage has prompted us to disregard total failure rates in H2 2016; as such, our China bankruptcy data covers July 2015-June 2016. In this period there were 8.8% fewer corporate failures in China, which is suggestive of the Chinese authorities’ efforts to achieve a soft landing for the economy.

Despite the investment slowdown and crisis affecting large swaths of industrial China, economic growth was just 0.2 percentage points lower in 2016 (6.7%, down from 6.9% in 2015). Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China has shifted towards incrementally tightening its monetary policy. It issued directives to banks to keep new mortgage lending growth in Q1 2017 below that of Q4 2016, on pain of financial penalties, and in January it also raised its medium-term lending facility rates. The context for this is that bank credit still rose faster than growth in nominal GDP in 2016. The concern is that debt-servicing problems could proliferate and injure growth: Reuters reported 45 credit stress, and technical or full bond default events, in 2016, including those of state-owned borrowers. These represented the tip of the iceberg of state-owned ‘zombie’ companies. Lists are being drawn up by bankruptcy courts due to form in at least 11 provinces to implement the (so far) little-used 2007 bankruptcy law, while the large banks are being encouraged to take equity in debt-distressed companies deemed to be of strategic value.

The nuanced swing towards policy tightening suggests that the authorities have shifted away from concerns over a short-term hard landing and back toward fears that excess credit growth will endanger financial stability over the medium term into 2018; there are already danger signs around real estate developers’ credit risk, as any crunch in the real estate market will severely crimp local government revenues (these depend on land sales for almost half their revenues). Dun & Bradstreet forecasts continued soft deceleration in China, to 6.3% in 2017 and 5.8% in 2018.

BANKRUPTCY TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES

Failure Rates in the US are Declining, but Much Slower than in 2016

Failure rates in the US declined by 2.3% in 2016, a far smaller improvement than in Dun & Bradstreet’s 2016 Global Bankruptcy Trends Report (when bankruptcies were down by 10.7%). This echoes overall macroeconomic developments: economic growth in the US decelerated to 1.6% in 2016, down from 2.4% in 2015. Our proprietary Small Business Health Index1 suggests that the stability of small businesses is a particular concern.

Moreover, when small business performance faltered in 2016, balance sheets followed suit – as reflected in Dun & Bradstreet’s Overall Business Health Index. Overall balance sheet health declined in 2016, falling from the all-time high recorded in December 2015 to end the year 1.5% lower. However, despite the annual decline the index has stabilized in recent months, and the slowing rate of year-on-year decline may indicate that the trend is starting to switch back towards a positive trajectory. Encouragingly, following four straight quarters of negative or zero growth, fixed investment rebounded strongly in Q4 with 4.2% growth, and added 0.7 percentage points to headline GDP. It remains to be seen whether the pickup in business spending is sustained. The new US administration has promised changes in the tax and regulatory regimes; to the extent that expected corporate tax reform and deregulation aid business continuity and make it easier for US businesses to invest domestically, we will see an acceleration in the growth of business spending. Further, given what we know so far about the potential fiscal policy stimulus expected from the new government, we have slightly upgraded our near-term growth forecast for the US: we now expect 2.3% growth in 2017 and 2.4% in 2018.

“ Failure rates in the US declined by a mere 2.3% in 2016—a far smaller improvement compared to our 2016 report showing a 10.7% decline. Yet, we have upgraded our near-term growth forecast in a positive direction and expect 2.3% growth in 2017 and 2.4% in 2018.”

“ China saw 8.8% fewer corporate failures from July 2015-June 2016. There are some danger signs regarding credit risk into 2018. Dun & Bradstreet forecasts continued soft deceleration to China, to 6.3% in 2017 and 5.8% in 2018.”

1 The Small Business Health Index measures year-on-year small business performance through payment patterns and credit use. The U.S. Overall Business Health Index provides a year-on-year weighted average of Dun & Bradstreet’s Viability Score, Delinquency Predictor and Total Loss Predictor. The index ranges from zero (with all businesses recording high levels of risk) to 100% (with all businesses recording low levels of risk). Data quoted based on data available as of January 30, 2017.

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BANKRUPTCY TRENDS IN JAPAN

Corporate Failures are Declining, but More Failures Expected This Year

Corporate failures in Japan continued to decline in 2016, by 4.2%, reaching a new record low. Meanwhile, GDP growth picked up pace over the course of 2016, but the country is yet to achieve escape velocity from the low-growth, low-inflation trap in which it has been mired for the past few decades.

Even when considering the declining failure rate, the evident improvement is not so much due to robust demand conditions as to banks’ leniency with regard to rescheduling payments, SME financing facilities, as well as the widespread practice of winding down operations rather than going through a costly legal bankruptcy.

Recent surveys also reveal that many companies have severe difficulties filling positions, which should eventually translate into higher wages – and implicitly higher costs for businesses. Meanwhile, the considerable seesawing of the Yen determines which segment of the economy is most at risk of payment difficulties and bankruptcy: at the current level (a weak yen), the currency benefits large corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet forecasts economic growth of 1.0% in 2017 and 1.5% in 2018, but we also expect failure rates to start increasing as of this year.

“ Corporate failures in Japan declined by 4.2%, reaching a new record low. Dun & Bradstreet does expect failure rates to increase this year and forecasts economic growth at 1% in 2017 and 1.5% in 2018.”

BANKRUPTCY TRENDS IN GERMANY

Germany Shows a Positive Growth Trend and Large Decline in Bankruptcies

The number of corporate failures declined by 6.1% in 2016 as the German economy reaped the benefits of the structural reforms it implemented more than a decade ago. The weak euro was also a factor: the country reported the largest current account surplus in the world in 2016 (remarkably, bigger even than China’s). Dun & Bradstreet predicts the number of business failures to stay on a generally downward trend in 2017-18, helped by a still supportive monetary policy in the euro zone and robust domestic and external demand. Recently, we upgraded Germany’s risk rating outlook from ‘deteriorating’ to ‘stable’ due to generally positive economic trends. On the labour market front, the harmonized unemployment rate has dropped below the 4.0% threshold, the lowest rate since the start of the data series. With virtually full employment, domestic consumption is likely to support growth, but companies doing business in Germany should factor in growing wage pressures over the coming years, especially as the country’s minimum wage was increased in January 2017.

Federal elections are scheduled for September 2017, but these create less cause for concern than in other EU states. The Social Democrats have nominated Martin Schulz, the former president of the European parliament, as new party chairman and lead candidate. While it seems that Schulz’s chances of ousting Chancellor Angela Merkel are relatively slim, it is likely that under his leadership the Social Democrats would renew the current EU-friendly Grand Coalition with Merkel’s Conservatives. We forecast German GDP growth of 1.5% in 2017 and 1.9% in 2018.

“ Germany reaped the benefits of structural reforms, experiencing a corporate failure decline of 6.1% in 2016. We forecast German GDP growth of 1.5% in 2017 and 1.9% in 2018, taking into account low unemployment, the election, and monetary policy.”

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BANKRUPTCY TRENDS IN FRANCE

France’s Bankruptcy Rates Declined Significantly, Yet Political Risk is Elevated

In line with most of the EU countries in our sample, France saw bankruptcy rates fall in 2016 (8.8%). Meanwhile, the latest available macroeconomic data surprised on the upside, highlighting an underlying improving trend in the French economy. The harmonized unemployment rate has fallen to its lowest value since late 2011, and the Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI, compiled by Markit) in the manufacturing, retail and service sectors are all moving higher. However, the upcoming presidential (April/May) and parliamentary (June) elections continue to cause elevated levels of risk. For the presidential elections, Dun & Bradstreet predicts that no candidate will win an outright majority in the first round on April 23, requiring a runoff on May 7.

Current polls indicate that Marine Le Pen from the far-right Front National and independent centrist Emmanuel Macron (a 39-year-old former banker) will reach the second round. Although a victory for Le Pen (who presents herself as an anti-establishment candidate) cannot be ruled out completely given the evident populist trends around the world, we predict that Macron will eventually secure the presidency.

Both election outcomes, however, are problematic from a country risk perspective: Macron lacks a party to back him and has little political experience apart from a short stint as economics minister in 2014-16. Le Pen, on the other hand, wants to take France out of the EU and is also thinking about ending the country’s NATO membership; she is also campaigning against free trade. With parliamentary elections taking place shortly after the presidential elections, and with support being split between three major parties and several smaller political movements, a hung parliament seems to be a realistic outcome. We recommend monitoring the situation closely and frequently as political risk is likely to stay elevated throughout 2017.

“ France’s bankruptcy rates fell in 2016 by 8.8%. Yet, political risk is likely to stay elevated throughout 2017 regardless of France’s election outcome.”

BANKRUPTCY TRENDS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM

UK Only Major Economy to Show Increasing Bankruptcy Rates

Despite being the only major European economy to record increasing bankruptcy rates in 2016 (+10.1%), the UK economy is paradoxically also one of the fastest-growing. However, the increase in the failure rate is entirely due to a spike in Q4 2016, which chimes with our view that Brexit clouds the 2017 outlook. Real GDP growth data for 2016 as a whole shows that the economy expanded by a healthy 2.0%, only marginally down from the 2.2% seen in 2015. At the same time, confidence indicators are holding up well, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index in the manufacturing sector reaching 55.9 points in January, higher than the euro-zone average of 55.2 and comfortably above the neutral 50-points line. However, input price inflation is building up rapidly, with the relevant sub-index rising at the fastest rate since the start of the data series in 1992.

The lack of impact on macroeconomic data from Brexit so far is unsurprising. Ultra-loose monetary policy, boosted by a further interest rate cut in August 2016 and by the government’s fiscal response, have helped maintain good refinancing conditions for companies, while Brexit is yet to produce any concrete effects on trade or on the free movement of labour and capital. Business and consumer confidence has held up well due to optimism about the terms of the eventual Brexit. However, we consider this optimism to be misplaced, and we expect sentiment to deteriorate as Brexit starts producing noticeable effects.

With the government expected to invoke Article 50 by the end of March, the economic impact of the Brexit vote will be felt harder in the coming quarters, limiting growth to just 1.5% in both 2017 and 2018.

“ The UK is the only European economy to record increasing bankruptcies in 2016 (10.1%). Low growth of 1.5% is expected in 2017 and 2018 due to Brexit.”

Page 8: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

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8DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

Oana Aristide is a Senior Economist on Dun & Bradstreet’s Advanced Analytics team. Based in the UK, she covers three Scandinavian countries as well as Romania, Japan, Malaysia, and the Philippines as a contributor to Dun & Bradstreet’s Macro Market/Country Insight Products. She has a background in central banking.

OUTLOOK

Growth to Increase Slowly, Yet Deglobalization Remains a Concern

Returning to the wider global context, overall we expect global growth of 2.7% in 2017 (up from an estimated 2.2% in 2016) and 3.0% in 2018. We believe the risks associated with doing cross-border business in the global economy still remain elevated, the main three being de-globalization, the breakup of the EU, and adverse effects from monetary policy tightening in the US. With regard to the first risk, while the popularity of anti-globalization politicians has been surging, there is little reason to believe that protectionism will benefit the world economy. Consequently, should policy-makers address this discontent by tearing up trade agreements and increasing protectionism, rather than by attempting to mitigate the losses of those who are at a disadvantage from globalization, it will be to the detriment of every open economy, and particularly to those sectors most reliant on international trade (manufacturing, whole-sale and retail trade). The second, EU-related risk, is more of a long-term concern, while the US monetary policy tightening chiefly exposes emerging markets to the risk of large capital outflows, and thereby to a reversal of the mostly benign bankruptcy trend we have seen in the past years.

“ We expect global growth to go up 2.7% in 2017 (up from 2.2% in 2016) and 3% in 2018. Cross-border business risk due to deglobalization, the breakup of the EU, and adverse effects from monetary policy tightening are the main gating factors affecting global growth. Fortunately, the overall decline of global bankruptcies is a positive sign.”

COUNTRY BANKRUPTCY (%)

SERBIA -50.8

BOSNIA -32.5

SOUTH KOREA -26.9

INDONESIA -26.3

HONG KONG -23.2

PORTUGAL -22.9

BULGARIA -21.8

SPAIN -17.9

NETHERLANDS -16.2

AUSTRALIA -15.3

RUSSIA -13.8

THAILAND -11.3

TURKEY -10

SINGAPORE -9.3

FRANCE -8.8

CHINA -8.8

POLAND -8.7

ITALY -7.7

SLOVAKIA -7.5

BELGIUM -6.2

GERMANY -6.1

FINLAND -5.1

SWEDEN -5

CANADA -4.7

JAPAN -4.2

ISRAEL -4

USA -2.3

SOUTH AFRICA -1.4

TAIWAN -1.3

NORWAY 3.9

SLOVENIA 4.4

AUSTRIA 6.6

SWITZERLAND 9.3

UNITED KINGDOM 10.1

VIETNAM 11.8

CZECH REPUBLIC 21

MOROCCO 24.7

DENMARK 69

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CHARTS – AFRICA

Source: Statistics South Africa

2015

CHARTS – ASIA/OCEANIA

CHINA

Source: Huaxia Dun & Bradstreet China: Websites of Chinese Courts

2015

AUSTRALIA

2015

Source: Australian Securities and Investments Commission

Source: Altares

20162014 2015

MOROCCO

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

1200

1400

1000

800

600

400

200

0

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

200

250

150

100

50

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

20162014 2015

250

300

200

150

100

50

0

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

SOUTH AFRICA

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 1200

1000

1100

800

900

600

700

500

400

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

10DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

CHARTS – ASIA/OCEANIA

Source: Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong

HONG KONG

Source: PT. Dun & Bradstreet Indonesia

INDONESIA

Source: Tokyo Shoko Research

JAPAN

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Singapore

SINGAPORE

18000

16000

14000

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

900

700

800

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015JA

N

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

900

700

800

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

1000

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 30

20

25

10

15

0

5

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GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

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CHARTS – ASIA/OCEANIA

Source: Ministry of Economic Affairs, R.O.C.

TAIWAN

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Thailand

THAILAND

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Vietnam

VIETNAM

Source: NICE D&B

SOUTH KOREA

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

90

70

80

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

100

20162014 2015

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

3000

2000

2500

1500

1000

500

0

3500

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

C

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

12000

8000

10000

6000

4000

2000

0

14000

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

Page 12: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

12DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – EUROPE

CZECH REPUBLIC

Source: Bisnode (Czech Rep)

AUSTRIA

Source: Bisnode (Austria)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

900

700

800

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

1000

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

Source: BelgoStat

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

DENMARK

Source: Bisnode (Southern Market: Bosnia)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

400

300

350

250

200

150

100

50

0

100

BOSNIA

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

900

700

800

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

1000

Source: Bisnode (Denmark)

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 1200

800

1000

400

600

0

200

BULGARIA

2014

Source: ICAP (Bulgaria)

20162014 2015

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

200

250

150

100

50

0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 1400

1000

1200

600

800

200

400

0

BELGIUM

Page 13: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

13DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

Source: Bisnode (Finland)

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y 250

150

200

50

100

0

FINLAND ITALY

NETHERLANDS

CHARTS – EUROPE

NORWAYGERMANY

FRANCE

7000

5000

6000

3000

4000

1000

2000

0

Source: Altares

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

Source: Bisnode (Germany)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

2000

1000

1500

500

0

2500

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

Source: Cribis Dun & Bradstreet Srl

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015JA

N

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

1800

1400

1600

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

2000

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Netherlands

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

800

600

700

500

400

300

200

100

0

900

Source: Bisnode (Norway)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

800

600

700

500

400

300

200

100

0

900

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

Page 14: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

14DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

CHARTS – EUROPE

Source: Bisnode (Slovakia)

PORTUGAL

Source: Bisnode (Poland)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

100

60

80

40

20

0

120

POLAND

Source: Informa

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

500

300

400

200

100

0

600

RUSSIA

1800

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

Source: Interfax

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

Source: Bisnode (Southern Market: Serbia)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JUL

MA

R

SEP

NO

V

MA

Y

JAN

JUL

MA

R

SEP

MA

Y

JAN

JUL

MA

R

SEP

NO

V

MA

Y

25

15

20

10

5

0

30

SERBIA

SLOVAKIA

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

1000

600

800

400

200

0

1200

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

SLOVENIA

180

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Source: Bisnode (Southern Market: Slovenia)

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

Page 15: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

15DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

Source: National Statistics Institute (INE)

20162014 2015

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

2000

2500

1500

1000

500

0

JUN

JUN

JUN

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

DE

C

DE

C

SPAIN

CHARTS – EUROPE

SWEDEN

SWITZERLAND

UNITED KINGDOM

Source: Bisnode D&B Schweiz AG

20162014 2015

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

600

700

500

400

300

200

100

0

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

Source: Statistics Sweden

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

700

500

600

400

300

200

100

0

800

Source: Office for National Statistics

20162014 2015

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

JUN

JUN

JUN

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

DE

C

DE

C

5000

3000

4000

2000

1000

0

6000

Page 16: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT

16DUN & BRADSTREET WORLDWIDE NETWORK |

TURKEY

CHARTS – MIDDLE EAST

ISRAEL

UNITED STATESCANADA

CHARTS – NORTH AMERICA

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Israel

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

100

60

80

40

20

0

120

Source: Dun & Bradstreet Turkey

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015JA

N

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

DE

CN

OV

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

3000

2000

2500

1500

1000

500

0

3500

20162014 2015

JAN

JAN

JAN

JUN

JUN

JUN

FEB

FEB

FEB

JUL

JUL

JUL

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

AU

G

AU

G

AU

G

AP

R

AP

R

AP

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

NO

V

NO

V

NO

V

MA

Y

MA

Y

MA

Y

OC

T

OC

T

OC

T

DE

C

DE

C

Source: Statistics Canada

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts.

No

. of

com

pan

ies

dec

lare

d b

ankr

uptc

y

20162014 2015

JUN

JUN

JUN

MA

R

MA

R

MA

R

SEP

SEP

SEP

DE

C

DE

C

DE

C30000

20000

25000

15000

10000

5000

0

35000

Page 17: Global Bankruptcy Report 2017 - D&B · corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small companies that chiefly target the domestic market while relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet

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