Glenn Ayers Adaptive Execution Office - APAN … Advanced Research Projects Agency . Glenn Ayers . Adaptive Execution Office . Briefing prepared for 2014 Pacific Operational …

Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency

Glenn Ayers Adaptive Execution Office

Briefing prepared for 2014 Pacific Operational Science and Technology Conference

26 August 2014

Distribution Statement A: Approved for Public Release, Distribution is Unlimited.

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AEO

• Technology Transition

• Warfighter Engagement

• Technology Demonstrations & Field Trials

• Rapid Response Technology

DARPA Organization

BTO

• Restore & Maintain Warfighter Abilities

• Harness Biological Systems

• Apply Biological Technology at Scale

DSO

• Physical Sciences

• Mathematics

• Transformative Materials

• Supervised Autonomy

• Novel Sensing & Detection

• Complexity

I2O

• Cyber

• Data Analysis at Massive Scales

• ISR Exploitation

TTO

• Air Systems

• Ground Systems

• Marine Systems

• Space Systems

STO

• Battle Management, Command & Control

• Communications & Networks

• ISR

• Electronic Warfare

• Positioning, Navigation & Timing

MTO

• Biological Platforms

• Computing

• Electronic Warfare

• Manufacturing

• Novel Concepts

• Photonics

• Positioning, Navigation & Timing

• Thermal Management


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Prevent strategic surprise from negatively impacting U.S. national security and create strategic surprise for U.S. adversaries by maintaining the

technological superiority of the U.S. military.

AEO Mission

Accelerate transition of game-changing DARPA technologies into DoD capabilities

AEO Strategy:

Provide full spectrum support to DARPA PMs for warfighter engagement and technology transition


Undersea Domain Programs

Distributed Agile Submarine Hunting Heterogeneous unmanned distributed systems to find diesel-electric submarines, hard-to-detect threat to our carrier strike groups, ships and submarines

• Operating at full depth allows for large field of view overhead

• Fixed systems provide “barriers” to detect traversing submarines

• Mobile systems hold submarines for handoff to platforms for trail or prosecution

• Acoustic-RF network supported by wave-harvesting buoys

• Build and demonstrate an unmanned sea surface vehicle with ocean-spanning range,

months of endurance, and substantial payload

• Demonstrate high level autonomy for independent operations under sparse supervisory control

• Demonstrate game-changing approach to ASW track and trail mission; explore other potential missions.

ASW Continuous Trail Unmanned Vessel (ACTUV)

Upward Falling Payloads Deployable, unmanned, nonlethal distributed systems that lie on the deep-ocean floor in special containers for years at a time • Concept of Operations: Wake nodes up as they are needed & launch to surface • Command UFPs to deploy to any point: Coverage > 300,000 nmi2, latency < 2 hrs, from depth > 6 km


Responsive Launch Programs

Airborne Launch Assist Space Access (ALASA) aims to enable small satellites to be deployed to orbit from an airborne platform, allowing performance improvement, reduced range costs, and more frequent flights, which drives down cost per pound • Mature and demonstrate technologies for cost effective, routine,

reliable access to low earth orbit (LEO) from airfields

• Cost: $1M/flight in the 100 lb mass payload class

• Responsiveness: 24-hour call-up to fit in the air tasking order cycle

Experimental Spaceplane (XS-1) XS-1 aims to break the cycle of escalating space system costs, enable routine space access and hypersonic aircraft and provide responsive launch of approximately 3,000 – 5,000 lbs • Fabricate and fly a subscale X-plane that meets the following requirements:

• Reusable first stage

• Fly 10 times in 10 days

• Fly to Mach 10+

• Launch at less than $5M each for cargoes of approximately 3,000 to 5,000 lbs (compared to $55M for current commercial)

All images are artist’s concepts 5 Distribution Statement A: Approved for Public Release, Distribution is Unlimited.

Sources: 1 http://visual.ly/data-never-sleeps 2 SINTEF 3 Forrester Research estimates

• 571 web sites created every minute of every day 1

• 48 hours of YouTube video is uploaded every minute of every day 1

• 90% of world's data has been generated over last two years 2

• Organizations use less than 5% of available data because the rest is too expensive to deal with 3

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Data is exploding


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Big Data Programs

Deep web content behind forms and

redirects

Web-domains with shared content

Temporary pages

Organizational Structure Regional

content

• Develop next generation of search technologies to revolutionize the discovery, organization, and presentation of domain-specific content

• Create a new domain specific search paradigm to discover relevant content and organize it in ways that are more immediately useful to specific missions and tasks

• Extend the reach of current search capabilities to the deep web and non-traditional content

Applications - Counter-terrorism, counter-drug, anti-money-laundering, and anti-human-trafficking, with transition partners from DoD and other USG activities.

X-DATA

• Develop computational techniques and software tools for analyzing large volumes of data

• Semi-structured (e.g., tabular, relational, categorical, meta-data)

• Unstructured (e.g., text documents, message traffic)

• Demonstrate technology in variety of applications such as transactional data and financial analysis

Visit www.darpa.mil/opencatalog for open source software library and publications

Data noisy/ imperfect

Visualization

ex: seized media

Analytics

MEMEX


http://www.darpa.mil/opencatalog

Sub-systems

Multifunctional control systems Repurpose concepts Less sys. complexity

Fixed-wing / rotary-wing cross-pollination High lift / low drag Lift sharing

Propulsion and power systems Improved efficiency Distributed systems

Improved power loading Downwash shaping Better hover efficiency

Configurations Integration

High efficiency designs Address physics Fewer trade-offs

Vertical Take-Off and Landing Experimental Plane (VTOL X-Plane)

Performance Objectives State-of-the-Art (Helicopter)

VTOL X-Plane (Objective)

Sustained max. speed 150-170 kt ≥ 300 kt Hover efficiency (Aircraft FM) 60% ≥ 75% Cruise efficiency (Aircraft L/De) 4-5 ≥ 10 Useful Load 35-40% GW ≥ 40% GW GW 10,000 lb - 12,000 lb (Scalable)

Technology demonstrator that simultaneously enables high speed VTOL flight, efficient hover, and efficient cruise


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Long Range Anti-Ship Missile

Demonstrating an entirely new approach for penetrating sophisticated enemy air defense systems from long range -- with fewer missiles, striking from greater distances, at lower cost DARPA-Navy Demonstration Program Benefits:

Current Anti-ship Missiles LRASM

Large Salvos required for hit Small Salvo achieves hit

Attack within enemy’s kill zone Significantly greater standoff

Less sophisticated target discrimination; Complex cueing Self-correcting

Different air and ship systems Common for air or ship launch; multi-service


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LRASM Deployment Office (LDO)

• Clean launch from B-1B

• Transition to sustained flight

• Receipt of IFTU

• Fly pre-planned waypoints to autonomous handoff point

• Fly to BAA range

• Predict max range IFD-1 could have flown

2 Flight Tests - All Test Objectives Achieved • Long range target acquisition

and geolocation

• Target discrimination

• Transition to ARH homing

• Acquire / track MST with IR sensor

• Aimpoint selection

• Terminal guidance to MST impact

• BHI to ground stations

LRASM Accomplishments

• Accelerated Acquisition for Offensive Anti-Surface Warfare/Increment 1

• Acquisition Decision Memorandum signed by Mr. Frank Kendall, USD AT&L

• Co-located Air Force, Navy and DARPA Program Office

LRASM Deployment Office (LDO) established to deliver early operational capability


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• Identification of viral mutations/resistance to selected MCM (e.g. Tamiflu) • Predict “vaccine strain” sequence that will elicit appropriate immunity and proper fitness • Predict ability of virus to adapt and/or switch to new animal or human host (emergence

of new disease) • Vector-host adaptations for prediction of emerging diseases

Accomplishments- • oRACLE Chip: Demonstrated passage of viruses in droplet

system that allows 1X108 reactions/day (up from 70K) • Vector-Host adaptation: Mapped mosquito (540 proteins),

human (495 proteins) for dengue, of which 134 overlap (interlogs); critical for understanding interspecies fitness.

• Sequencing: Decreased sequence error rate by 103 for Dengue, allowing for unprecedented description of quasi-species.

• Algorithm development: Demonstrated platform capability under anti-viral and antibody selective pressures for defining the fitness landscape of Influenza A Virus

Prophecy

Transform the vaccine and drug development enterprise from observational and reactive to predictive and preemptive by spurring development of a multidisciplinary approach to

predicting viral evolution

Comparison PPI from DENV-human cells and DENV-

mosquito cells

Dengue protein (7) Host protein (137)

Host-host PPI (1141) Dengue-host PPI (137)


Participation in Upcoming Exercises and Experiments

12 Distribution Statement A: Approved for Public Release, Distribution is Unlimited.

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Mission-oriented Resilient Clouds (MRC) Network Path Diversity

• Network Path Diversity (NPD) enables end users to fight through network attacks • Software supports both TCP and UDP packets. • Scheduled to participate in Valiant Shield 14 15-23 September 2014 in Oahu, HI • Objective: Sustain delivery of designated network traffic between NPD nodes

while networks are attacked.


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Participation in Ulchi Freedom Guardian, August

• Users - USFK J33 PIB, US 8th Army G3 (CUOPS and FUOPS), 2 ID (G3/5/7), US 7th AF PJ

• Document types - FRAGOs, OPORDs, CUBs, BUBs • Locations- 8A G3 7th AF Osan 2ID G39 USFK J33

Multilingual Automatic Document Classification, Analysis and Translation for Korea (MADCAT-K)

Development and transition activities

• Deploy updated MT, onsite MT model adaptation using onsite data (vice developer created updates), and OCR capability

• Complete CENTRIX-K connection and accreditation • Fully integrated capability for all units peninsula

wide (Yongsan, Uijeongbu, Osan, Daegu) • Final delivery of MADCAT-K capability 4QFY15

Machine Translation

Text Extraction

OCR

Korean (English) Text

Domains: • CUB/BUBs • OPORDS • MISO

Domains: • ATOs • Intel

Scan

ned

Doc

umen

ts

New Tasks/Domains

Bi-directional text translation of military documents


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All Source Positioning and Navigation (ASPN)

Example ASPN Test Result

Truth Filter 1 ASPN fusion)

Sensors: MEMS IMU, Imagers, compass, magnetometer

PLATFORM OBJECTIVES

Shipboard Real-time configuration changes of a suite of non-GPS navigation sensors

Airborne

Dismount/ Ground Vehicle

Indoor and urban operations Unmanned Ground vehicle

ANS Goal: GPS-equivalent location accuracy in GPS-denied areas, through flexible navigation systems that can be rapidly integrated and reconfigured to support air, land, and sea platforms in their operational environments.

Accuracy (3D RMS) Better than or equal to GPS in the open *

Flexibility and stability Any combination of sensors; <5 seconds downtime due to physical addition/subtraction of sensor.

Power/performance tradeoff Self optimization for navigation accuracy with fewest sensors necessary for a given environment or platform.


Schaft

December 2013 top 2 performers

1st place 2nd place

DARPA Robotics Challenge

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Atlas

The goal is to generate groundbreaking research and development in hardware and software that will enable future robots, in tandem with human counterparts, to perform the most hazardous activities in disaster zones, thus reducing casualties and saving lives

Robots must be adaptable and require four key capabilities to be effective:

• Mobility and dexterity to maneuver in the degraded environments typical of disaster zones;

• Ability to manipulate and use a diverse assortment of tools designed for humans;

• Ability to be operated by humans who have had little to no robotics training;

• Partial autonomy in task-level decision-making based on operator commands and sensor inputs

Next challenge : June 5-6, 2015 in Pomona CA $2 million prize 1 hr to complete tasks • No tethers • No Physical human intervention • Degraded & intermittent

communications

Theroboticschallenge.org


Chairman’s Assessment of the QDR (2014)

My greatest concern is that we will not innovate quickly enough or deeply enough to be prepared for the future, for the world we will face two decades from now.

The true risk is that we will fail to achieve the far-reaching changes to our force, our plans, our posture, our objectives, and our concepts of warfare. I believe that dramatic changes will be needed in all of these by 2025. Some of these changes are well-known and outlined in the QDR. Some of these changes are only dimly perceived today and need encouragement and direction. Innovation is the military imperative and the leadership opportunity of this generation. It’s a fleeting opportunity.


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Thank you

www.darpa.mil


Documents

Glenn Ayers Adaptive Execution Office - APAN … Advanced Research Projects Agency . Glenn Ayers . Adaptive Execution Office . Briefing prepared for 2014 Pacific Operational …