Getting Clever About Smart Cities New Opportunities

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    Making Leaders Successul Every Day

    November 2, 2010

    Geng Cever Abo Smar Ces:New Oppornes Reqre NewBsness Modesb Jenner Bssen, Ph.D.

    or Vendor Sraeg Proessonas

    http://www.forrester.com/
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    2010, Forrester Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited. Inormation is based on best availableresources. Opinions refect judgment at the time and are subject to change. Forrester, Technographics, Forrester Wave, RoleView, TechRadar,and Total Economic Impact are trademarks o Forrester Research, Inc. All other trademarks are the property o their respective companies. Topurchase reprints o this document, please [email protected]. For additional inormation, go to www.orrester.com.

    For Vendor Sraeg Proessonas

    ExECutiVE SuMMARy

    Population growth and urbanization are stretching many cities inrastructure and resources to

    breaking point. Policymakers and public leaders are increasingly looking to IC solutions to eectively

    provide public services like education, healthcare, saety, transportation, and utilities. At the same time,

    municipal bankruptcies and public-sector nancial crises create a gap between the ends required and

    the means to get there. Public-sector I leaders are less optimistic about the outlook or their sector

    than those in other industries. Yet, they do report plans to increase spending or certain hardware andsoware categories, particularly industry-specic applications and networking equipment that underpin

    smart city initiatives. Demand rom local governments, along with similar conglomerations like

    universities and company towns, will drive incremental opportunities or IC suppliers in the coming

    years. o capitalize on these opportunities, vendor strategists must partner with urban leaders, providing

    guidance not only on the technology solutions and services but also on the business models and delivery

    options that will ensure the long-term viability o smart city projects.

    tABlE OF CONt ENtSUrban Dmograpics Ruir Nw

    Approacs To Public Srvics

    T Smart Cit A Framwor For

    Addrssing Global Issus Locall

    T Smart Cit Opportunit For Tc Vndors

    Srvics And Products

    Smart Cit Solutions Must Start Wit T

    Cit, Not T Smart

    RECOMMENDAtiONS

    Trs No Cras Cours To Bcoming A

    Smartr Cit

    Supplmntal Matrial

    NOtES & RESOuRCESForreser nervewed echnoog vendors

    and c pocmakers. technoog vendorsncded Accenre, Acae-lcen, Capgemn,

    Csco Ssems, CSC, HP, iBM, logcas Grop,

    MercSream, Orace, Orange Bsness Servces,

    SAP, Semens, Sohwes One, and teenca.

    Rlatd Rsarc Documnts

    Ompc Oppornes in Emergng Markes

    March 10, 2010

    Hepng CiOs undersand Smar C inaves

    Febrar 11, 2010

    Smar Compng Drves the New Era O itGrowh

    December 4, 2009

    November 2, 2010

    Geng Cever Abo Smar Ces: NewOppornes Reqre New Bsness Modesb Jnnifr Blissnt, P.D.wh Chrsopher Mnes, Edward Radce, and yahor Darashkevch

    2

    3

    17

    20

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    mailto:[email protected]://www.forrester.com/http://www.forrester.com/go?docid=53336&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55590&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55157&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55157&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55157&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55157&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55590&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=53336&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/http://www.forrester.com/mailto:[email protected]
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    URBAN DeMOGRAPhICS ReqUIRe NeW APPROACheS TO PUBLIC SeRVICeS

    Global population growth and urbanization give rise to new social and economic challenges.

    Between 2009 and 2050, the world population will increase by 2.3 billion reaching 9.1 billion

    people. Over the same period, the population living in urban areas is projected to grow by 2.9

    billion reaching 6.3 billion people, or nearly 70% o the worlds population, in 2050.1 Tese

    global numbers mask a signicant dierence between mature and emerging markets, with the least

    developed countries experiencing some o the most dramatic population growth and urbanization

    (see Figure 1).2

    Many cities are stretched beyond the capacity o their existing inrastructure and resources. Te

    growing inux o migrants into cities requires new thinking about how to meet the demand or

    public services. Even where overall population growth is smaller or even negative, urbanization

    is increasing. Population growth in developed countries will only be 3% between 2010 and 2050,

    but the size o the urban population will increase by 18%. In both developed and developingcountries, policymakers must address the need to provide more services to more people. And in

    developed countries where overall populations are not growing as quickly, cities oen ace a limited

    and shrinking tax base, meaning that many ace the age-old challenge o having to do more with

    less. Innovative governments and public organizations undertake smart city initiatives to bring

    inormation and communications technology (IC) to bear in response to the demands o an

    increasingly urban population.

    Population growth pressures global resources. More people means competition or limitedresources and eventual scarcity. Demand or water and energy illustrates these pressures. In

    1990, 20 countries aced water scarcity up rom only seven in 1955. By 2025, an additional

    10 countries and by 2050, another our will ace water scarcity, accounting or a total

    o 18% o the worlds population. Another 24% will experience water stress or shortage.3

    Combined, thats almost hal the worlds population with most in developing countries. Te

    demand or energy use is also growing more rapidly in developing countries. Te Organisation

    or Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) estimates that energy consumption

    will increase by 84% in non-OECD countries, compared with a 14% increase in energy use

    among the 33 OECD countries. Te two largest uses o energy consumption are industry and

    transportation, both o which are expected to increase more rapidly in non-OECD countries.4

    Rapid urbanization concentrates eects in cities and new megacities. Te phenomenon

    o the megacity a city with more than 10 million inhabitants exacerbates the eects opopulation grown and urbanization. In 1950, there were just two megacities in the world:

    New York and okyo. Since then, megacities have cropped up like mushrooms, with most

    emerging in developing countries. oday, Asia has 11 megacities, Latin America has our, and

    Arica, Europe, and North America have two each. Tese 21 megacities account or 9.4% o the

    worlds urban population. By 2025, when the number o megacities reaches 29, Asia will have

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    gained another ve, Latin America two, and Arica one or a total o 10.3% o the worlds urban

    population. Nine o these cities will have more than 20 million inhabitants turning urban

    issues such as trafc, public saety, healthcare, education, and housing into megachallenges.

    Uneven distribution means that services requirements vary across cities. As developingcountries grow and ace the pressures o megacities, the more mature markets are also acing

    pressures that o increasingly aging and oen shrinking populations. By 2050, the percentage

    o the population that is 65 or older will be 32%in Germany, 33% in Italy, and almost 38% in

    Japan. Germanys overall population will all by 14% between 2010 and 2050. By contrast, the

    over-65 population will be just 13% in India, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the Philippines.5 For

    the mature markets, such high concentrations o older people bring a whole new set o issues,

    particularly with ewer people in the workorce to support the unding o services required.

    Cities in these more rapidly aging markets need to attract and retain citizens and businesses

    through programs that increase the competitiveness and attractiveness o their cities rom both

    commercial and residential perspectives.

    The SMART CITy A FRAMeWORk FOR ADDReSSING GLOBAL ISSUeS LOCALLy

    As policymakers address these demographic shis, the concept o a smart city serves as shorthand

    or the complete menu o initiatives that city leaders could undertake. Smart or other adjectives

    associated with technological innovation, such as uture or digital city initiatives will drive

    technology adoption into the public sector at an increasing rate, particularly in emerging markets

    where demographic challenges are most acute.

    Forrester denes the smart city as:

    A city that uses inormation and communications technologies to make the critical inrastructure

    components and services o a city administration, education, healthcare, public saety, real estate,

    transportation, and utilities more aware, interactive, and efcient.6

    Tis new approach to urban governance is enabled by the next macro cycle o inormation

    technology innovation, which Forrester labels Smart Computing, using real-time awareness and

    data analytics to support better decision-making.7 Each system that makes up a citys inrastructure

    can be made smarter by enabling real-time interaction either human or machine to acilitate

    decision-making based on the data produced. In the system o systems that is a city, the potential

    or efciency grows as more systems interconnect and interact. Computing technology transorms a

    citys core systems, enabling them to capture, analyze, and act on the data they produce. As a result,

    a smart city can optimize the use o and return rom nite resources.

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    Figur 1 Goba Markes Face Pressres From Popaon And urbanzaon Growh

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Source: United Nations Web site (http://esa.un.org/unpp/)*More developed regions comprise Europe, North America, Australia/New Zealand, and Japan.Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean,and some Pacific Islands.

    The least developed countries according to standard United Nations designation

    United Nations world population prospects: the 2008 revision1-1

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    5,000,000

    6,000,000

    7,000,000

    8,000,000

    9,000,000

    10,000,000

    WorldMore

    developed*Less

    developedLeast

    developed

    2010 2050

    Growth32%

    Growth3%

    Growth29%

    Growth96%

    United Nations world urbanization prospects: the 2009 revision1-2

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    5,000,000

    6,000,000

    7,000,000

    8,000,000

    WorldMore

    developed*Less

    developedLeast

    developed

    2010 2050

    2010

    2050

    2010

    2050

    6,908,688

    9,149,984

    1,237,228

    1,275,243

    4,816,763

    6,202,328

    854,696

    1,672,414

    Growth80%

    Growth18%

    Growth85%

    Growth267%

    50%75%

    48%29%

    3,486,326

    6,285,881

    929,851

    1,099,730

    2,307,033

    4,271,781

    249,442

    914,370

    69%86%

    69%55%

    World Moredeveloped*

    Lessdeveloped

    Leastdeveloped

    Urban population as a percentage

    2010 2050

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    Smart Cit Initiativs Improv Critical Infrastructur And Srvics

    A sampling o smart city initiatives stretches across the critical inrastructure and public services

    that city governments provide or citizens (see Figure 2):

    ransportation. ransportation systems can reroute buses or open new lanes o trafc toaccommodate in real time the ows o trafc on city streets. Stockholm and London are two

    places with sophisticated smart transportation initiatives leveraging IBMs Smart ransportation

    solutions. Another example o I-enabled transportation initiatives is the mobile payment

    program or parking launched in San Juan Province in Northwest Argentina, where drivers pay

    or parking via SMS. Leveraging its network and billing inrastructure, elenica works with

    local governments to develop these mobile payment initiatives. Streetline, a provider o smart

    technologies or cities, oers solutions that leverage sensors and real-time networks to identiy

    available parking spaces and improve monitoring o parking meters. Several bus rapid transit

    initiatives have also launched in cities in many regions, building on basic inrastructure, such asdedicated bus routes, to also include integrated scheduling and ticketing systems.

    Utilities. Smart energy grids deliver only as much energy as needed to reduce waste; theyinorm users o how much they are consuming to inuence demand. Services rms such

    as Accenture and Capgemini oer a range o consulting and systems integration services to

    help local utilities and governments improve energy distribution and to change consumption

    patterns through increased awareness enabled by smart meters. Yet, in some regions, knowing

    how much energy is being used is not the problem; rather, its getting any electricity at all. In

    these regions, a lack o reliable electricity limits the use o technology and prevents expansion o

    smart initiatives. New designs or solar-powered data centers enable cities to leverage alternative

    energy sources and control energy use based on available solar input and by prioritizing critical

    applications. Suppliers like Inveneo and Green Wi provide products and solutions to enable

    connectivity in remote and underserved locations.

    Healthcare. In healthcare, electronic patient records acilitate inormation sharing andcollaboration across clinics, pharmacies, and hospitals.8 elemedicine extends the reach

    o medical acilities and improves access to medicine. Such eHealth initiatives are being

    implemented worldwide. At the national level, countries such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia

    are implementing eHealth programs as a way to accommodate the needs o a rapidly

    growing population. At a more local level, cities such as rikala in Greece have implemented

    telemedicine pilot programs to remotely monitor elderly, disabled, and chronically ill patients.9

    Vendors such as Cisco, GE, IBM, and Siemens work with industry-specic partners, including

    InterSystems and McKesson, to deliver smart healthcare solutions. MN and elenica oer

    mobile healthcare services.

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    Education. Within higher education, educators and administrators recognize the power o newtechnology to improve the efciency and eectiveness o universities. Tey are increasingly

    interested in leveraging new technologies to both increase access to educational content and

    improve collaboration among students and aculty. For example, the Blue Sky eLearning

    initiative in China provides students in rural areas with remote access to educational content

    and urban aculty members.10 However, more broadly, universities are aced with the reality o

    managing the campus city. From campus transportation to public saety to administration,

    advanced technologies such as broadband and Wi-Fi, sensors, and analytics are improving

    the efciency and cost-eectiveness o university services. Universidad Nacional Autnoma

    de Mxico (UNAM) launched an initiative UNAM Digital to promote strategic and

    efcient use o IC to support the broader mandate o the university (education, research,

    and dissemination o culture) as well as the overall management o the campus (public saety,

    transportation, and buildings maintenance).11

    Public saety. Initiatives to improve public saety are oen high on public ofcials prioritylist. Ofcials reap political benets rom public saety initiatives that serve to: optimize the

    capacity and response time o emergency services; secure and control mass events; secure public

    administration transactions and workows; and provide surveillance o public places. In Ceuta,

    Spain, located on the northernmost tip o Arica, or example, 250 cameras were positioned

    around town and connected to emergency services. Feeds rom cameras are combined with

    video analysis and a centralized emergency command center. ech vendors and service

    providers alike provide public saety solutions. Ciscos Video Surveillance Manager provides

    cameras and command centers with policy-based access to live and archived video. elenica

    leverages its mobility and network assets to provide enhanced 911 (E911) services to improve

    the response times o emergency services.

    Building management. Buildings are the building blocks o cities, and real estate boomshave changed the landscape in many major cities, particularly in Asia. Te buildings sector

    both residential and commercial accounts or about one-h o the worlds total delivered

    energy consumption.12 In the US, buildings account or about 70% o energy use: Tink o

    the HVAC system, lights, water, elevators, the power and cooling or I, and the heating and

    cooling or people. Optimized and modernized heating, ventilation, and air conditioning

    alone can signicantly reduce building energy consumption. Integrated building and room

    automation systems urther cut energy and operating costs. Long-time building automation and

    management vendors, such as Honeywell and Johnson Controls, provide building technologysolutions. Etisalats E-Real Estate and E-Facilities Management (FM) oering manages

    intelligent building technologies and integrated FM solutions, with noted clients including

    several airports, mosques, and government buildings in Dubai.

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    Constituent services both or citizens and businesses. eGovernment portals enable citiesto better communicate with their constituents, be they citizens, employees, suppliers, or local

    businesses. Te Spanish city o Ceuta provides extensive online services, with our portals or

    basic inormation, citizen services, business, and tourists, all based on a common inrastructure.

    For example, live eeds rom hundreds o digital cameras located around the city provide real-

    time views o historical sites or tourists but also link to emergency services departments. Even

    businesses benet rom more efcient interaction with the city through more streamlined and

    transparent procurement policies, as well as registration and taxation processes. An Accenture

    project in South Arica ound one company with 196 dierent points o tax registration a

    constituent that would truly benet rom streamlined business registration and taxation

    processes.13

    City management. City administrations can integrate systems to enable win-win budget

    decisions across competing city departments: Imagine the transportation and sanitationdepartments leveraging data to resolve joint issues, rather than competing or budget to solve

    the issue in a silo. Citywide planning and technology implementations enable efciencies across

    departments, such as the use o surveillance cameras or both transportation and security

    solutions. Siemens City o the Future demonstration center in Singapore gives city managers a

    hands-on introduction to a range o solutions to address cross-system city management, such as

    its City Dashboard.

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    Figur 2technoog Soons Make C Ssems Smarer

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Source: Siemens AG; Siemens One, Copyright: Siemens AG

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    Figur 2technoog Soons Make C Ssems Smarer (Con.)

    Smart Citis Will Com In All Saps And Sizs

    We see existing cities that ace crumbling inrastructure and pressures to improve services as

    demographics shi aging in some regions and growing in others. We also see new cities emerging

    to absorb the growing demand or urban areas. In China alone, population growth and migration

    will give rise to 81 new cities by 2025.14 However, traditional cities are not the only opportunity or

    target or smart city initiatives. Other entities are equally systems o systems and ace a similar

    array o issues. We dene three categories o targets that will provide opportunities or technology

    vendors, systems integrators, and service providers (see Figure 3):

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Public safetyand security

    Smart public safety solutions use sensor-activated video surveillance cameras, video analytics,and workflow to identify and route suspicious or anomalous observations to the appropriateauthorities. Enhanced 911 systems automatically identify a callers location either through thefixed telephone location, or via cell triangulation or GPS in the case of mobile calls.

    Buildingmanagement

    Smart building management solutions use smart meters, monitoring devices, and sensors toconnect heating, air-conditioning, lighting, security systems, and other appliances in homesand businesses, enabling users to better track and control use of electricity and water.

    Cityadministration

    Smart city administration solutions facilitate the automation of city processes, from reportingof complaints to registration of a business or renewal of a drivers license. Rules engines andautomated workflows streamline processes and facilitate interactions with city administration.

    Wastemanagement

    Smart waste management solutions use sensors (e.g., capacity sensors to trigger waste removal,electronic noses to detect toxicity in landfills), automatic notification, and collaboration amonglocal authorities to improve the efficiency of waste collection and treatment.

    City system Examples of smart solutions

    Transportation Smart transportation solutions use sensors and analytics to predict the arrival of a bus or train,and notify passengers via SMS or through information boards at city bus and train stations.Parking information is also available in response to an SMS query or information signsadvertising free parking spaces using sensors to detect available spaces. Payment may bemade via SMS. Municipal fleet management solutions use onboard sensors in vehicles todetect and notify drivers or fleet owners when there is a problem with the vehicle, if there is anaccident, or when maintenance procedures are needed.

    Healthcare Smart healthcare solutions include telemedicine applications, electronics recordsmanagement, health information exchanges, hospital and clinic asset management, andsupply chain optimization. Patients can be fitted with ID bracelets that include GPS capabilitiesthat track a patients location, medication administration, and medical condition. Data fromremote diagnostics equipment in a patients home can monitor the status of vital signs, bloodpressure, and glucose levels and can be used as an alternative to visiting a doctors office.

    There are also remote monitoring system for disabled, chronically ill, or elderly patients.

    Education Smart education solutions range from eLearning to connected campuses. Learning solutionsfocus on increased access to educational content and improved collaboration among studentsand faculty through connectivity, content management, and unified communicationtechnologies. Large universities also leverage broadband, Wi-Fi, sensors, and analytics toimprove the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of university services from campustransportation to public safety to administration.

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    Figur 3 Ces Come in Mpe Favors

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Smart cities are currently in three different stages of development . . .3-1

    City type

    New cities Start from scratch with asmart city vision

    Define objective of the city

    Design overall architecture

    Develop and deploy acomprehensive ICTinfrastructure andapplications plan

    Explore funding options andidentify appropriate businessmodels

    Explore partnerships in

    public and private sectors

    Establish political will tocreate new city from theground up

    Identify land allocation andfunding sources

    Enlist key IT, political, andcorporate stakeholders

    Engage major developer toexecute

    Songdo (Korea)Lavasa (India)Meixi (China)Masdar (UAE)Skolkovo (Russia)

    Evaluate existinginfrastructure

    Define objective of the city

    Design overall architecture

    Identify immediate needsand prioritize smart cityinitiatives

    Develop and deployprioritized projects

    Explore funding options andidentify appropriate businessmodels

    Explore partnerships in

    public and private sectors

    Establish political will toundertake new initiatives

    Address issues with existinginfrastructure

    Enlist key IT, political,corporate, and residentialstakeholders

    Prioritize and establishtimelines

    Identify funding sources

    Sao Paolo (Brazil)Monterrey (Mexico)Lima (Peru)Stockholm (Sweden)

    Start from scratch with asmart city vision

    AND/OR

    Evaluate existinginfrastructure

    Define objective of the city

    Design overall architecture

    Identify immediate needsand prioritize

    Develop and deployprioritized projects

    Explore funding options and

    identify appropriate businessmodels

    Overcome limited sense of aunique whole oridentification as a city

    Address and accommodatemore diverse stakeholdersand cultural factors than in atraditional city

    Identify funding sources

    UNAM (Mexico)Aramco (Saudi)Six Flags (US)

    Existing cities

    Noncities

    Opportunity Obstacle Example

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    Figur 3 Ces Come in Mpe Favors (Con.)

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Songdo IBD, South Korea

    Global business district

    Renewable energy

    Smart transportation

    Smart buildings

    Smart city operations

    Hwaseong Dongtan,South Korea

    Business district

    Smart traffic andtransportation

    Smart buildings

    U-city framework

    Masdar City, Abu Dhabi

    Sustainable city

    Renewable energy

    Waste management

    Economic zone Smart real estate

    Meixi District, China

    Business district

    Renewable energy

    Smart transportation

    Smart buildings

    Smart city operations

    Lavasa, India

    New urbanism

    Eco-friendly planning

    Smart buildings

    Smart transportation eGovernment

    Skolkovo Technopolis,Russia

    Smart buildings

    Smart transportation

    R&D centerUNAM, Mexico

    Connected campus

    Smart identification

    Smart transportation

    Smart public safety

    Smart administration

    eLearning

    So Paulo, Brazil

    Connected stadiums

    Smart buildings

    Sustainable hospitality

    Urban mobility

    Smart public safety

    Smart transportation

    Existing cityNoncityNew city

    . . . and they are spread all across the globe3-2

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    1. New cities that are smart rom the start. New cities have the luxury o incorporating the

    smart city vision rom inception. Tese cities are oen purpose-built, strategically placed,

    and designed to attract businesses and residents with a master plan that incorporates

    IC inrastructure and world-class services. Tey oen include broadband connectivity,incorporation o green belts, renewable energy, green buildings, smart transportation, and

    other intelligent city systems. Tere are an increasing number o such cities around the globe,

    particularly in emerging markets, including: Songdo IBD, South Korea; Meixi Lake, China;

    Masdar City, Abu Dhabi; King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia; Lavasa, India; and the

    newly announced Skolkovo, Russia. While some new cities have government sponsors, others

    are privately owned. Lavasa is run as a private corporation, and another ve new cities planned

    along a corridor between Delhi and Mumbai will be mostly privately owned.15 Te ownership

    structure o these new cities described by one Stanord economist as charter cities itsel

    challenges the denition o a city, and o the public sector.16

    2. Existing cities that address challenges with retrofts and upgrades. From Manchester to

    Monterrey, existing cities are addressing issues with their inrastructure and the services they

    provide. Cisco and the City o Holyoke, Massachusetts recently announced new technology-

    based initiatives that empower the city to collaboratively work toward generating new economic

    opportunities, improving the delivery and quality o education, and bolstering population

    retention via a ramework o strategic network solutions. Shenyang, the capital city o Liaoning

    Province in Northeast China, has recently launched a revitalization eort to transorm the city

    into a regional hub and address the eects o an industrial legacy. Note that the issues dier

    rom those aced by ast-growing megacities; existing cities are more oen trying to attract

    or retain residents. Other existing city initiatives aim to improve job creation and workorce

    retraining, eliminate blight and improve property maintenance, improve public saety, andreduce the environmental impact o aging manuacturing inrastructure. Tese cities arguably

    need to become smart in order to remain cities at all.

    3. Noncity cities that also provide opportunities, sometimes with ewer obstacles.17 I a city

    is a system o systems, there are actually a number o cities that all outside o the more

    traditional denition o a city.18 Universities, company towns, and even amusement parks

    such as Disney World can be considered cities. With their own I departments acing many

    o the same issues as traditional cities, many o these entities certainly strive to be smarter.

    For example, Saudi Aramco the national oil company in Saudi Arabia acts as a city in

    many ways, providing extensive services to its 350,000 employees. Te company provides the

    communities it operates with electricity, healthcare acilities, public saety services, schools, and

    other cultural services, such as a mobile libraries program and an annual childrens art contest. It

    operates an electrical power grid, health center acilities, and nearly 135 schools, and it has been

    active in community education initiatives, such as health campaigns, extensive environmental

    awareness campaigns, recycling campaigns, and campaigns on trafc and re saety. Vendors

    pay attention: Saudi Aramco is a candidate or smart city solutions.

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    UNAM, a university in Mexico, is also a city or all practical purposes. In act, the central

    campus is known as Ciudad Universitaria, or University City, and encompasses several square

    kilometers. UNAM is the largest university in the Americas, serving about 314,000 students

    with 35,000 aculty members and 30,000 administrative sta. Te city provides extensiveservices that include housing, transportation, public saety, health, administrative services, and,

    o course, education. UNAM Digital is the smart city agenda or the university, which clearly

    deserves to be considered a city.19

    Citis Fac Considrabl Constraints Non Insurmountabl

    Te media worldwide is not short on stories o public debt and municipal bankruptcy. Even those

    governments unencumbered by public debate or voters potential wrath still ace political and

    economic constraints: budget balancing, constituent concerns, and competing political agendas.

    One municipal CIO pithily characterized his top I-related priority simply as survival. Despite the

    universal appeal o many smart city initiatives, governments do not have carte blanche. But theseconstraints dont amount to insurmountable obstacles because:

    Public-sector budget challenges exist, but I decision-makers fnd unds or some projects. Te scal challenges o the public sector are reected in Forresters surveys o I organizations

    but not as dramatically as one might expect. More public-sector respondents see 2010 as a

    challenging year compared with their counterparts in other industries 70% characterized

    2010 as a challenging or somewhat challenging year versus 64% overall; only 26% o public-

    sector respondents saw the year as a good one versus 33% overall (see Figure 4). But public-

    sector I budgets appear more stable with ewer decreases than others and, in act, a ew

    increases. More public-sector I decision-makers planned spending increases in industry-

    specic soware applications and in networking equipment than those in other industries (seeFigure 5). Te combination o these categories suggests the adoption o network-based,

    industry-specic initiatives to make these cities smarter.

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    Figur 4 the Pbc Secor Sees More Chaenges than Ohers ye S Epecs Bdge increases

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Source: Forrsights Budgets And Priorities Tracker Survey, Q2 2010

    *Note: Percentages do not total 100 because responses for About the same have been excluded.Note: Percentages will not total 100 because responses for About the same, Decrease 5% to 10%, andDecrease more than 10% have been excluded.

    Overall (N = 2,803)

    What is your industry outlook for 2010?*

    How do you expect your spending on the following categories to change in 2010?

    Total IT spending(operating plus capital budget)

    Media, entertainment, and leisure (N = 220)

    Public sector (N = 380)

    Utilities and telecommunications (N = 165)

    Business services/construction (N = 575)

    Retail and wholesale (N = 276)

    Financial services and insurance (N = 454)

    Manufacturing (N = 716)

    Overall (N = 2,803)

    Media, entertainment, and leisure (N = 220)

    Public sector (N = 380)

    Utilities and telecommunications (N = 165)

    Business services and construction (N = 575)

    Retail and wholesale (N = 276)

    Financial services and insurance (N = 454)

    Manufacturing (N = 716)

    A somewhat challenging yearA very challenging year A somewhat good year A very good year

    38% 25% 8%

    38% 17% 8%

    36% 19% 7%

    42% 22% 8%

    36% 25% 7%

    41% 24% 8%

    39% 27% 8%

    37%

    26%

    28%

    34%

    25%

    28%

    22%

    23%

    22% 30% 8%

    29% 12%

    26% 11%

    25% 13%

    23% 17%

    29% 12%

    31% 10%

    30% 11%

    31% 13%

    Increase 5% to 10% Increase more than 10%

    Base: global IT executives and technology decision-makers inenterprise companies with 100 or more employees

    Base: global IT executives and technology decision-makers inenterprise companies with 100 or more employees

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    Figur 5 Ces Are More Bsh than Ohers in Some Areas More Repor Spendng increases

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Base: global IT executives and technology decision-makers inenterprise companies with 100 or more employees

    Source: Forrsights Budgets And Priorities Tracker Survey, Q2 2010*Note: Responses for About the same, Decrease 5% to 10%, and Decrease more than 10% have beenexcluded from this analysis.

    Security software

    Information management

    Industry-specific applications

    Collaboration applications

    Infrastructure software

    Packaged process applications

    Platform softwarePublic sector (N = 380)

    Overall (N = 2,803)

    Public sector (N = 380)

    Overall (N = 2,803)

    How do you expect your firms spending on the following software

    categories to change in 2010?(responses = Increase 5% to 10% and Increase more than 10% combined)*

    How do you expect your firms spending on the following hardwarecategories to change in 2010?

    (responses = Increase 5% to 10% and Increase more than 10% combined)*

    36%37%

    33%39%

    30%25%

    30%32%

    25%28%

    20%29%

    17%25%

    Monitors, printers, andperipherals

    Infrastructure-as-a-service

    Server hardware

    PCs and workstations

    Networking equipment

    Storage products

    20%19%

    29%21%

    33%29%

    32%32%

    34%

    33%31%

    33%

    Base: global IT executives and technology decision-makers inenterprise companies with 100 or more employees

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    Politics and potential turnover require alliance building. As a system o systems, a city isalso a system o stakeholders the mayors ofce, city council, the utilities authority, the

    nurses union, the PA, among others, including constituents with competing interests that

    can result in delays and even cancellation o projects. In many cases, public-sector projects are

    controlled by politicians; they are beholden to voters and campaign supporters, ace regular

    elections, and manage limited resources. Te value propositions and business cases o projects

    are thus subject to political interpretation. In Indiana, a new governor canceled a $1.3 billion

    deal signed in 2006 with IBM to overhaul the states welare system on the grounds that it

    was a awed concept.20 Te Kochi smart city project in Kerala, India has been in planning

    or nearly 10 years; the project has been hindered by existing regulation designed to support

    the tech industry as well as other controversies and conict between developers and the local

    government.21 Vendor strategists can mitigate such obstacles by identiying the larger ecosystem

    o stakeholders and casting a wide net o alliances. Pursuing specic projects that appeal to

    constituents also provides political benets. For example, elenica helps governments in LatinAmerica implement E911 initiatives that have broad political appeal, as saety is a perennial

    voter concern.

    Te threat o social unrest can be an impetus or new policy initiatives. In the public sector,the stakeholders o a project include the broader public. While ear o constituent dissatisaction

    and opposition can be an obstacle to new projects, it can also be a driver o smart initiatives.

    Chinas Blue Sky Education initiative, or example, is designed to alleviate the disparity in the

    availability o qualied education between well-developed cities and poorer regions o China.

    As cities grow and standards o living improve in China, constituents in rural areas increasingly

    sense the disparity in services. Te Ministry o Education designated 21 pilot schools in which

    they trained teachers and technicians to use and maintain network-based classrooms. Teycollected educational materials across multiple academic subjects and shared them remotely

    with the pilot schools. Other countries have shown an interest in the program, with two cities

    and our schools in India starting pilot programs.22

    Overcoming inertia requires a solid value proposition and hard sell to some stakeholders.IC vendors are used to hearing, Tats how weve always done it, Were not goaled on

    it, or, Were not accountable or the outcome, only the administration o the process rom

    prospective local government customers. Overcoming public-sector inertia requires a value

    proposition that clearly demonstrates a projects ability to make citizens lives and local

    administration easier and better. Te automation o processes that enable case workers toprocess applications more quickly, or to audit a program more eectively, provides incentives or

    recalcitrant administrators.

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    The SMART CITy OPPORTUNITy FOR TeCh VeNDORS SeRVICeS AND PRODUCTS

    Cities and their private-sector partners will invest in all layers o IC inrastructure in order to

    realize smart city initiatives (see Figure 6). And, technology vendors have and will continue to

    actively pursue these opportunities to map their products and services to the goals and initiatives o

    smart cities (see Figure 7). Particular hotspots or growth will be:

    Consulting services or city governments. Cities ace myriad issues and as many (or more)vendors with solutions to sell. In some cases, city leaders are seeking help to develop their

    overarching vision, dene objectives, and design a road map, architecture, and integration

    plans. Tese engagements oen start with a vision or what type o city they would like to

    be: a business hub, a tourist and heritage destination, or a manuacturing or retail center.23

    For other cities, the starting point is an obvious, acute problem like trafc congestion that

    requires an urgent redress o transportation management. In both cases, and others in between,

    technology integrators and consultants are devising approaches and partnerships to help urbanpolicymakers choose where to start identiying specic planning objectives, prioritizing

    initiatives, and segmenting a big plan into easible, more aordable steps. For example, IBM

    Global Services oen takes a top-down approach, working with city leaders to help them map

    out a long-term plan, starting with their vision or the city. Others, such as Accenture, work

    outwards rom a more ocused initiative, such as smart grid and smart metering, and then

    expand to a broader vision o a smart city.

    Networking, telecommunications, and other hardware inrastructure. Te oundation osmart city initiatives is typically a communications backbone to support the collection and

    transer o data. For new smart cities, creating broadband access to all residential and business

    locations is the rst order o business. Cisco provided the networking inrastructure to wire

    every square inch o Songdo IBD, a new smart city in South Korea.24 Existing cities also invest

    in networking and telecom inrastructure, oen starting with municipal Wi-Fi. Te city o

    rikala in Greece oers a ree Wi-Fi network covering the whole city via 34 nodes across the

    city. Logicalis, a systems integrator with a strong ocus on IC and networking deployments,

    deployed a common public-sector broadband network in Wales; it initially served the education

    district, the healthcare district, and 22 local councils but is currently expanding to emergency

    services and other public-sector constituents. Another network element is the oundation or a

    smart electrical grid. RFID, sensors, and video cameras also leverage the network to deliver real-

    time data or smart initiatives in transportation and public saety.

    Middleware inrastructure. All smart city initiatives require middleware to link physical assetmonitoring with databases and analytical engines. Tese run the gamut rom identity and

    access management to application, Web, and portal servers that power citizen services and Web

    sites and to integration soware that ensures a single view o the citizen and real-time updates

    o inormation across city systems. Cities are leveraging communications applications like

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    Microso OCS and Google Apps to increase collaboration across departments and interaction

    with constituents. And, content management soware enables the coordination and reresh o

    content across multiple city administration Web sites both internal and external. Business

    analytics soware, such as IBMs Cognos portolio and Oracles Hyperion portolio, enablesanalysis o the data generated by the sensors, cameras and networks in order to improve

    decision-making and better tailor the services available across the city.

    Sector-specifc applications and solutions. All technology components rom networkingand hardware to middleware and applications come together in sector-specic solutions,

    which address a particular slice o the smart city challenge in an integrated ashion. Large

    solutions vendors oer a portolio o such capabilities, such as IBMs Smart ransportation,

    Smart Public Saety, and other oerings. GEs imagination concept provides sector-specic

    applications or smarter cities through programs like Healthymagination electronic

    medical records, image sharing and workow, and eHealth real-time collaboration and

    Ecomagination solutions to reduce the water use, carbon ootprint, and energy costs o

    cities. GE located its rst Ecomagination center in Masdar City, Abu Dhabi, as part o a larger

    partnership with the Abu Dhabi government to accelerate the development and implementation

    o new energy solutions in the region.

    Smart city governance and city management. Managing a system o systems and the solutionsthat integrate them is not easy. Siemens I Solutions and Services couples its extensive array

    o sector-specic solutions with the tools to manage them, like the City Cockpit a real-

    time dashboard or monitoring city systems, including an online city hall, budgeting and

    accounting, and electronic payment and access cards.25 At the other end o the vendor spectrum,

    MetricStream also oers solutions to help city authorities manage smart city policies andensure the necessary controls and procedures are in place or better governance. Coming rom

    a background in governance, risk, and compliance, the MetricStream approach enables cities

    to address complaint management, energy policy management, building management, city

    disaster and emergency management, as well as healthcare, transportation, and nancial policy

    management.26

    Systems integration. Many systems integrators and service providers are going beyond thedene, design, develop, and deploy oerings or specic smart city initiatives by integrating

    multiple initiatives or by oering to manage and run them on behal o city administrations.

    Accenture clearly sees the integration opportunity; as it describes it, Many cities are doing

    isolated initiatives but the aggregate benets get lost i it is not all integrated.27 Having started

    with smart grid projects, it recognizes the need to get the city itsel involved, rather than just the

    electrical company or local utility, and to leverage common inrastructure across city initiatives.

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    elecom and managed services. Both global and regional service providers oer to manageand run city applications and services. B oers unied communications as a service based on

    Cisco Unied Communications and Microso Ofce Communications Suite, with a number

    o public-sector customers. CSC oers ofce productivity applications on-demand based on

    Google Apps, with the City o Los Angeles as its lighthouse account. Other service providers

    oer more industry-specic oerings. elenica provides a wide range o managed services,

    ocusing on those that leverage its core business o networks and mobility. Services include

    mobile payments or parking, networked image sharing and storage or hospitals, and E911, to

    name just a ew. Etisalats building management service and MN Nigerias healthcare initiative

    and mobile banking initiatives across Arica illustrate the role o regional service providers in

    providing smart services. o help navigate these new opportunities, Orange Business Services

    (OBS) works with new and existing service providers to develop and deliver their own smart

    city services. Its solutions or operators portolio helps identiy new opportunities or IP-

    based smart services, such as home automation, intelligent building control systems, videosurveillance, and eGovernment. OBS designs, builds, and operates the networks and will create

    and deliver services on the service providers behal, or train them and transer operations to

    the provider itsel. OBS works with Mobily in Saudi Arabia and Solidere, a real estate developer

    cum service provider in Lebanon.28

    Figur 6 Ces inves in iCt inrasrcre From the Grond up

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Smartcitiesadvisoryandmanagedservices

    Smart city governance and management

    Smartcity

    infrastructure

    Smartcity

    middleware

    Smartcity

    applications

    Workflow Emergencycommand andcontrol

    City dashboard

    Public safety Virtual city hall Digital campus

    eHealth Buildingautomation

    Mobile parking

    Businessintelligence

    Unifiedcommunication

    Web, app, andintegration software

    Networkinfastructure

    Server and servervirtualization

    Data captureinfrastructure (RFID,

    sensors, cameras)

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    Figur 7 Smar Ces Provde Mrad Oppornes For technoog Vendors

    SMART CITy SOLUTIONS MUST START WITh The CITy, NOT The SMART

    Despite the very visible pressures on city governments and services, the market or some smart

    city solutions eatures more vendor push than city government pull at present. Tat is to say, tech

    vendors are instrumental in driving technology solutions into the public sector and, specically, into

    local governments. However, or smart city initiatives to be sustainable opportunities, tech vendors

    must ground their strategies and solutions in the context o the cities and the systems within them.

    Tis means developing new engagement and business models that start with the dynamics o city

    administration and service provision, rather than with the capabilities o technology systems.

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Define

    Design

    D

    evelop

    Deploy/deliver

    Telecom andmanaged

    service providers

    Businessapplication

    vendors

    Middlewarevendors

    Infrastructurevendors

    Servicescompanies and

    systems integrators

    Offerings Technologies

    Example

    initiatives

    Example

    vendorsHosted andmanaged services

    Cloud computingand servicesmanagement

    e911 service,eHealth,Mobile parking

    Telefnica, OrangeBusiness Services

    Industry-specificsolutions

    Custom andindustry-specificapplications

    Mobile parking,traffic routing,e911, eHealth,distance learning

    GE, Siemens, IBM

    Softwareinfrastructure

    Data warehouse,master datamanagement,business analyticssoftware, contentmanagement, and

    unifiedcommunications

    eGovernmentportals, singlecitizen view, andemployeecollaboration

    IBM, SAS, SAP,Oracle

    Hardware andtelecommuni-cationsinfrastructure

    Networking,telecommuni-cations, RFID,sensors, and videocameras

    Broadbandconnectivity, videosurveillance, andreal-time datacapture

    Cisco, Huawei,Juniper, IBM

    Design andplanning, andsystemsintegration

    Identify objectivesand vision,develop businessarchitectures, andunderstand policyrequirements

    Strategy andvision planning,and policy advisory

    Accenture, IBMTelefnica,OrangeBusiness Services

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    Crativ engagmnt Modls Will Strngtn Smart Initiativs

    Te nancial prospects o cities across the globe vary dramatically. While some are unded through

    sovereign wealth, as in many o the Gul States and parts o Asia, others are in dire straits. In many

    countries, public nance is highly regulated, with bond measures subject to voter approval and long-

    term vendor contracts subject to provincial approval and public scrutiny. As a result, identiying

    unding sources and making tough prioritization decisions is a political challenge. Who is going to

    pay and at what cost? One creative city council in the UK recently ran an online campaign asking

    citizens what services the council should provide. Te catch was that respondents couldnt leave the

    page until they had balanced the books by identiying the source o unding either tax increases,

    program cuts, or asset sales. o help cities accelerate smart initiatives, tech vendors must pursue

    creative engagement models, such as (see Figure 8):

    Helping clients secure external unding. Regional banks such as the Asian Development

    Bank and Inter-American Development Bank and investment unds oen provide undingor new I-based city initiatives. Organizations within the EU have provided unding or

    Eastern and Southern European projects, such as rikala in Greece. Country-level development

    banks have also been active in smart city investments. Estruturadora Brasileira de Projetos is a

    joint venture o the Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES) and several private banks that help

    Brazilian government entities und development o inrastructure projects. Vendors must be

    aware o possible unding options to help potential clients explore alternatives and must help

    negotiate i appropriate.

    Identiying revenue-generating (or cost-cutting) initiatives. Revenue-generating initiatives and, ideally, sel-unding initiatives appeal to cash-strapped municipal governments and are

    great rst projects. Fee collection or building permits, drivers license renewal, car

    registration, property taxes, or other local taxes and electronic government procurement are

    both candidates here. Adquira, a B2B commerce exchange, provides a local government solution

    that enables cities in Spain to easily collect ees and taxes.29 Malaysia, South Arica, and

    Argentina have invested heavily in IC as part o tax administration overhauls: South Arica

    integrated multiple tax systems and streamlined processes; Malaysia enabled eFiling and other

    online services.

    Forming revenue-sharing agreements. Going a step urther, some cities give up the ranchiseor oer revenue sharing or a revenue-generating service, such as a toll road, high-speed rail, or

    other ee collection services. For their part, tech vendors or service providers share the risk oinvestment by entering into the agreement. elenica has engaged in a number o projects on

    a shared revenue basis, including a mobile parking program in San Juan, Argentina. Customers

    pay or parking rom a prepaid balance or rom a local bank account via SMS; elenica will

    also bill customers who are not on prepaid accounts. For the service, elenica charges the

    local government a small xed ee per month plus a percent o the revenue generated.

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    Brokering public-private partnerships. Public-private partnerships come in many orms. In thecase o Saudi Arabias economic cities, the Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority (SAGIA)

    acts as a acilitator, regulator, and promoter, while private participation provides capital and acts as

    land owner, developer, and even, eventually, the city services provider (see Figure 9). On the other

    side o the world, as Brazil prepares or the Olympics, the BNDES has reached out to the private

    sector to help und inrastructure development. Investment unding is targeted at 60% government

    and 40% private, with BNDES announcing lines o credit or stadiums, public saety and security

    projects, urban mobility/transportation projects, and hotel construction. In some cases, there will

    be revenue sharing. For example, private developers will operate and generate revenues rom the

    stadium or a period o time with rights to sell sponsorships, merchandise, and ood and beverages.

    ech vendors are also engaging in partnerships: IBM and the Singapore Land ransport Authority

    (LA) partnered to integrate IBMs rafc Prediction ool and LAs i-ransport System. 30 Te

    joint project was then replicated in Ireland, enabling Singapores LA to generate revenue rom its

    partnership and investment. Although a long-term investment, tech vendors see public-privatepartnerships as inevitable in a competitive global environment.

    Enabling larger city I departments to become service providers. Some cities want tomonetize their own investments by oering services to others. For example, the City o

    Cape own recently won approval to provide broadband services to smaller neighboring

    municipalities with similar requirements but that wouldnt otherwise have the unding to

    invest on their own. Now, Cape own envisions providing additional business applications as

    a service to these cities. In this model, the larger municipality with excess capacity built in

    rom the start oers shared services in a local government cloud. But, cities arent necessarily

    in the business o selling I services. In the case o Cape own, the city wasnt interested in

    implementing and on-boarding a municipality. It expects tech vendors, systems integrators, orservice providers to help with this.

    Facilitating multicity initiatives. Economies o scale certainly lower the cost per user o an Iinvestment. Working with other cities or agencies enables smaller cities to undertake projects

    otherwise outside o their budget; it allows larger cities to better justiy their investment,

    especially i they are getting revenues rom the use o their inrastructure. Logicalis worked with

    22 unitary authorities (district councils), health services, and the education sector in Wales to

    create a common broadband network. Te implementation surpassed the projected number

    o connections in the rst year, with the cost per connection alling with each subsequent

    organization brought onto the network. In another example, Southwest One is a joint ventureset up between Somerset County Council, aunton Deane Borough Council, Avon and

    Somerset Constabulary, and IBM to create efciencies in I procurement and delivery or

    both back-ofce applications and customer-acing services. Southwest One expects to realize

    savings o 150 million over a 10-year period through economies o scale, strategic procurement

    practices, and operational efciencies.

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    Enabling data monetization. Instrumented systems within cities produce data. By exposing thedata that city systems capture and making it available or commercial use, cities can monetize

    their investments in smart inrastructure. ransport or London (L) recently opened its doors

    to the commercial use o large numbers o primary data sets and live eeds. Te newly available

    data includes: ube and train trafc data; eeds rom live trafc cameras; Oyster card top-up

    locations; pier and station locations; cycle hire locations; and riverboat timetables. L has also

    announced plans to release urther inormation on bus stops, routes, timetables, and schedules.31

    Access to this data represents an opportunity or developers to create travel applications based

    on real-time inormation, or advertisers to predict the eyeballs passing specic locations, or

    or real estate agents and developers to compare the potential value o alternative business or

    building locations. Tese data-enabled services provide a potential source o revenue or the

    data owners.

    Vendors are using more traditional business models in smart city contexts as well:

    Leasing and fnancing. Cities traditional unding option, bond nancing, oen isnt appropriateor technology investments: Bonds have a 15- or 20-year time horizon, whereas the reresh rate on

    technology might be just three to ve years. More importantly, bond issues require voter approval.

    Cities need to match the term o nancing with the type o product. Many tech vendors provide

    nancing options to customers, and public-sector nancing is big business. IBM sees its global

    nancing as a major competitive lever or its smart cities projects. It is not unding bridges but

    maybe the sensors on them and is seeing signicant interest in vendor nancing options. HP

    Financial Services also sees growth in the public sector, particularly as capital budgets shrink and

    more I departments shi to opex-based business models. By nancing through a lease, cities

    can also terminate and return the equipment i they dont have the money in subsequent years which is reassuring or both city leaders and their constituents.

    Exchanging products and services or resources and reerences. Many vendors oer deepdiscounts to the public sector to secure product placement particularly in the case o higher

    education. Universities oen act as a test bed or new products, trading the inconvenience o beta

    testing and the obligation to take a call rom a potential customer or the associated price tag. ech

    vendors get additional headcount or testing and (hopeully) a good reerence customer.

    ailoring products to customers fnancial profles. While most cities do not have unlimited

    resources, some are better endowed than others either due to sovereign wealth rom oil orother natural resources or due to a strong economic base. elenica approaches its product

    portolio with two city proles in mind. For those cities with deeper pockets, external unding,

    or oen more extensive economies o scale, elenica provides tailor-made solutions and has

    implemented well over 100 custom-made smart city initiatives; Ceuta Digital is an example. For

    smaller and less well-endowed cities, elenica has a portolio o standard solutions hosted

    in elenica data centers. One example is its Localek tools, which include Web page design,

    content management, and hosting and allow a local government to create its own Web site or

    services to their citizens.

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    Figur 8 Aernave Engagemen Modes Ensre the Vab O it inaves

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Engagement models

    External investment Regional banks and investments funds such as the Asian Development Bank,Inter-American Development Bank and the Brazilian Development Bank, providefunding for public-sector IT initiatives.

    Revenue-generating and cost-cutting initiatives, such as fee and tax collection orelectronic government procurement, can become self-funding and prove appealingboth for budgetary and political reasons.

    Partnerships with a vendor, service provider, systems integrator, or even real estatedeveloper on a revenue-sharing basis can defray upfront costs and risks of a newinitiative.

    Excess capacity from large municipal IT infrastructure or applications deployments canbe provided to neighboring cities or organizations, with the larger city IT departmentacting as a service provider or through a managed service provider.

    Upfront agreements to pool resources and share infrastructure facilitate the launch of

    large IT initiatives.

    Traditional financing remains an alternative for the purchase of IT infrastructure,particularly hardware and networking, and provides flexibility in case of budgetshortfall or other political contingencies.

    Exchange of product testing or customer references for new technologies is a way ofovercoming budget shortfalls, particularly for universities or research facilities withskilled developers and users.

    Revenue-generating(or cost-cutting)initiatives

    Revenue-sharing andpublic-privatepartnerships

    Capacity reselling

    Multicity initiatives

    Leasing and financing

    Barter or in-kindexchange

    Data monetization The use of primary data generated by instrumented infrastructure provides a potentialrevenue source for data owners.

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    Figur 9 Pbc-Prvae Parnershps Share Responsbes

    R E C O M M E N D A t i O N S

    TheReS NO CRASh COURSe TO BeCOMING A SMARTeR CITy

    Governmens pca aren age, as-movng nnovaors; man ace chaenges sch as

    enrenched neress, voer edcaon, and he perenna qeson o ndng. Even where he

    don ace he hrea o eecon rnover, akes me o edcae ces o make hem smar.

    tha reqres sk, creav, and me. Vendor sraegss shod keep a ew crca varabes n

    mnd as he approach he smar opporn:

    Location, location, location. to edcae a c, ech vendors need o address he specfcsses o he c even hepng den hem as a frs sep. Hep defne he vson and

    he road map o new naves based on he needs and prores o he sakehoders n he

    c. iden creave, oca-marke-specfc soons ha resonae wh c eaders and

    consens as a frs sep: ood raceab n regons hgh dependen on ood epors;

    mobe bankng n regons wh hgh nbanked popaons; and eEder care n hose areas

    wh agng popaons.

    Source: Forrester Research, Inc.56701

    Source: SAGIA presentation, IBM Analyst Day, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

    SAGIA

    Define and enforce minimumstandards

    Continuously introducingpro-business environment

    Regulations andpolicies

    Investment andlaunch

    Operations

    Promote investmentopportunities globally

    Support developers in securingattractive incentive packages

    Develop operating model

    Identify and sign up private investors

    Co-invest in specific opportunities

    Guarantee coverage of all cityservices either through providingitself or others

    License operators, commercial,residents, and issue permits

    Sign up strategic partners forkey services

    Ensure high level of service quality

    Developers

    Split of responsibilities for city administration and services between SAGIA and developers

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    Audinc, audinc, audinc. Ces are made p o mpe consences. incorporangmpe sakehoders no he smar c pannng process means baancng neress, b

    beas havng obsaces srace we no he process. ths cross-consen adenceaso reqres a common angage. Speak n erms ha non-eches ndersand; speak o

    he panners and pocmakers, and o he parens and oca parners. lsen aenve.

    Ancpae and parcpae n he poc dscsson or debae. Engage awmakers o sponsor

    projecs and ndersand he egsaon needed o make projecs mos eecve sharng

    daa, negrang ssems, consodang nrasrcre. the dscsson s no echnca b s

    abo achevng a parcar objecve. Havng he smar c dscsson reqres cang on

    new peope and sppors he sh rom it o bsness echnoog (Bt).

    Funding, funding, funding. Js as mporan as he objecves and he adence s hebsness mode mos approprae o he gven c. Do oca governmens have he poca

    aonom o defne and fnance new naves? ths s ke n edera ssems, ahoghnds-machng programs mgh come wh src edera gdenes. in naona ssems wh

    srong cenra governmens, hose gdenes mgh be more resrcve. undersand he

    poca srcre and s consrans as par o or homework.

    Partnr, partnr, partnr. Recognze ha o can do a orse. Bgger soonvendors can bd p her sree cred wh sma, ndsr-specfc iSVs and regona ssems

    negraors. Smaer, oca paers rde he coaas and channes o he bg paer. Goba and

    regona rea esae deveopers sch as Emaar, Gae inernaona, Nakhee, and Sodere

    (Ber) are nsrmena n anchng new smar c deveopmens.

    Rptition, rptition, rptition if possibl. Smar c soons ms address ocareqremens whn a oca cone and wh oca paers. However, vendors w wan odeveop repcabe soons. ths s a ogh reqremen. Framework soons based on

    common bdng bocks wh pggabe archecres or oca appcaons or parners

    ncrease he degree o repcab. undersand smares and derences across ces n

    erms o sze and scae, geograph, resorce base, pocs, and economc acves. We are,

    aer a, akng abo beng smar.

    SUPPLeMeNTAL MATeRIAL

    Forresters Forrsights Budgets And Priorities racker Survey, Q2 2010 was elded to 2,803 I

    executives and technology decision-makers located across the world rom SMB and enterprise

    companies with 100 or more employees. Tis survey is part o Forresters Forrsights or Businessechnology and was elded rom March to May o 2010. Forrester produced a custom lter to weed

    out anomalies and incomplete data. Survey participants were asked or their company revenue, total

    I budget, and what they believe they spend on I as a percentage o revenue. Participants that were

    unable to report I budget as a percentage o revenue within one percentage-point o the value they

    calculated were removed rom this sample to enorce quality.

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    Forresters Forrsights or Business echnology elds 10 business-to-business technology studies

    in 12 countries each calendar year. For quality control, we careully screen respondents according

    to job title and unction. Forresters Forrsights or Business echnology ensures that the nal

    survey population contains only those with signicant involvement in the planning, unding, andpurchasing o I products and services. Additionally, we set quotas or company size (number o

    employees) and industry as a means o controlling the data distribution and establishing alignment

    with I spend calculated by Forrester analysts.

    We have illustrated only a portion o survey results in this document. For access to the ull data

    results, please contact [email protected].

    Companis Intrviwd For Tis Documnt

    Accenture

    Alcatel-Lucent

    Capgemini

    Cisco Systems

    CSC

    HP

    IBM

    Logicalis Group

    MetricStream

    Oracle

    Orange Business Services

    SAP

    Siemens

    Southwest One

    Streetline

    elenica

    eNDNOTeS

    1 Te urban areas o the world are expected to absorb all o the expected population growth and more as

    migration depletes rural areas: Urban population growth will be higher than overall population growth.

    In China, or example, population growth will actually slow to about 5% between 2010 and 2050, while

    urban population growth is expected to grow by 63%. In aster-growing countries, such as Saudi Arabia

    expected to grow by 66% between 2010 and 2050 urbanization will be more pronounced at 82%. Even in

    countries that are expected to shrink, cities are still growing. In Poland, the overall population will all by

    16% rom 2010 to 2050, but cities will grow by 2%. Source: World Population Prospects: Te 2008 Revision

    Population Database, United Nations (http://esa.un.org/unpp/index.asp?panel=1).

    2 Te UN projects that the global urban population will increase globally by 80% between 2010 and 2050,

    with only 18% growth in more developed countries compared with 267% in the least developed countries.

    From 2005 to 2010, migration to the cities accelerated, with an average growth rate in more developed

    regions o 0.6 and in least developed countries o 4.1. Source: Te State O World Population 2009 (http://

    www.unpa.org/swp/2009/en/pd/EN_SOWP09_DemSocialEcon.pd).

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    3 Countries experiencing water scarcity include those or which the availability o renewable water per person

    per year is less than 1,000 cubic meters. Source: I Industries Guidebook to Global Water Issues, I

    Industries (http://www.itt.com/WAERBOOK/intl_scarcity.asp).

    4 Energy consumption or transportation is expected to grow by 12% between 2005 and 2035 in OECD

    countries compared with 89% in non-OECD countries. Source: International Energy Outlook 2010 -

    Highlights, U.S. Energy Inormation Administration press release, May 25, 2010 (http://www.eia.doe.gov/

    oia/ieo/highlights.html).

    5 Source: World Population Prospects: Te 2008 Revision Population Database, United Nations (http://esa.

    un.org/unpp/index.asp?panel=2).

    6 Cities are becoming smarter, as governments, businesses, and communities increasingly rely on

    technology to overcome the challenges rom rapid urbanization. What makes a smart city smart

    is the combined use o soware systems, server inrastructure, network inrastructure, and client

    devices which Forrester calls Smart Computing technologies to better connect seven critical cityinrastructure components and services: city administration, education, healthcare, public saety, real

    estate, transportation, and utilities. Te concept o the smart city is pushing the CIOs in ederal, state, and

    local governments and their technology teams to urther evaluate emerging technologies and engage with

    key stakeholders within and outside o their organizations. o successully deliver on the smart city vision,

    CIOs should have a clear understanding o what the smart city is, its key drivers, and their role in it. See the

    February 11, 2010, Helping CIOs Understand Smart City Initiatives report.

    7 Forrester denes Smart Computing as a new generation o integrated hardware, soware, and network

    technologies that provide I systems with real-time awareness o the real world and advanced analytics

    to help people make more intelligent decisions about alternatives and actions that will optimize business

    processes and business balance-sheet results. See the December 4, 2009, Smart Computing Drives Te NewEra O I Growth report.

    8 elenicas Colabor@ solution enables health networks hospitals, clinics, labs, and pharmacies to

    share diagnoses, medical les, and images, as well as to engage in direct contact. In Latin America, the

    solution is in use at a large health services provider in Argentina and in pilots in Colombia and Chile.

    9 In rikala, the program created an integrated network o tele-care using telematics inrastructure to support

    services or vulnerable groups (the elderly, disabled, and chronically ill); it has served 300 patients to

    date. Patient inormation is recorded and transmitted either via mobile or xed-line telecommunications

    interaces and transerred to the computer system at the County Hospital o rikala or a similar private

    physician. Te program was partially sponsored by Vodaone. Source: e-trikala (http://www.e-trikala.gr/

    taxonomy/term/2).10 Te primary objective o the Blue Sky eLearning initiative is to, Seek a easible technical solution to address

    the educational disparity between developed cities and western rural areas in China. Source: Proessor Zheng

    Qinghua, Blue Sky Project: Innovation in Education echnology presentation, IBM, 2010 (http://www.ibm.

    com/smarterplanet/global/les/us__en_us__government__pro_zheng_nal_6-3-2010.pd).

    http://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55590&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55157&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55157&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55157&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55157&src=56701pdfhttp://www.forrester.com/go?docid=55590&src=56701pdf
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    11 UNAM is considered to be the largest university in the Americas, serving about 314,000 students with

    35,000 aculty members and 30,000 administrative sta. For more details on its UNAM Digital initiative,

    visit Jennier Belissent, What Is A City, Let Alone A Smart One? Jennier Belissents Blog For Vendor

    Strategy Proessionals, May 21, 2010 (http://blogs.orrester.com/jennier_belissent/10-05-21-what_city_let_alone_smart_one).

    12 Source: International Energy Outlook 2010 - Highlights, U.S. Energy Inormation Administration press

    release, May 25, 2010 (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oia/ieo/highlights.html).

    13 Andre van der Post, who is responsible or strategy, architecture, innovation, and research in the [South

    Arican Revenue Services] technical services division, knew that urgent action was needed: Organisations

    were separately registered or income-tax, value added tax (VA), pay-as-you-earn (PAYE) and employee

    insurance, and these organisations oen had multiple subsidiaries, each o which appeared as a separate tax

    account in our systems. One company had 196 dierent points o tax registration. o provide a perspective

    on the situation, it could take a member o the Revenue Service sta up to three weeks to consolidate

    the tax inormation associated with a major South Arican corporation, simply because we needed to

    drill down through so many dierent systems and screens. Source: South Arican Revenue Service:

    Customer Relationship Management, Accenture (http://www.accenture.com/Global/Services/By_Industry/

    Government_and_Public_Service/PS_Global/Client_Successes/Southaxpayer.htm#SectionButtons).

    14 Source: McKinsey Global Institute, Preparing or Chinas urban billion, McKinsey & Company, March 2009

    (http://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/reports/pds/china_urban_billion/China_urban_billion_ull_report.pd).

    15 Tese cities are being developed by the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC), a $90 billion

    government-led project that is in act only 49% government-owned. Although unded by the Indian

    government, the overall project and the cities to be developed are private. Source: James Fontanella-Khan,

    India, the nation o villages, aces urban uture, Financial Times, September 21, 2010 (http://www..com/cms/s/0/9670a02-c50-11d-b785-00144eab49a.html).

    16 Source: Jennier Belissent, Redening Te Public Sector?Jennier Belissents Blog For Vendor Strategy

    Proessionals, October 18, 2010 (http://blogs.orrester.com/jennier_belissent/10-10-18-redening_the_

    public_sector).

    17 Source: Jennier Belissent, What Is A City, Let Alone A Smart One?Jennier Belissents Blog For Vendor

    Strategy Proessionals, May 21, 2010 (http://blogs.orrester.com/jennier_belissent/10-05-21-what_city_let_

    alone_smart_one).

    18 A city is dened ofcially as an administrative district established by state or other government charter. But

    in broader terms, a city is a densely populated area.

    19 Te UNAM Digital initiative constitutes the universitys smart city agenda, with plans to incorporate

    technology across the systems o the university. UNAMs public saety and unied ID card initiatives

    provide an illustration o its use o technology. UNAM has its own security orce and maintains

    inrastructure to control access to acilities. Cameras monitor building access and streets, and there

    are plans to expand the use o cameras as well as to launch an integrated ID card system with common

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    authentication or access to parking, libraries, sports acilities, health services, transportation, and some

    university services such as class registration. Te integrated ID will be used or all university activities,

    including one that is reminiscent o the Vlib bicycle program in Paris: Bicipuma allows students to check

    out a bicycle with their university ID. Both the public saety initiative and the integrated ID are part othe UNAM Digital initiative, designed to promote strategic and efcient use o IC to support the work

    o the university (education, research, and dissemination o culture) and the administrative processes and

    academic-related administration.

    20 Source: Mel Duvall, IBM, Indiana Sue Each Other Over Welare Project, CioZone, May 14, 2010 (http://

    www.ciozone.com/index.php/I-Services/IBM-Indiana-Sue-Each-Other-Over-Welare-Project.html).

    21 Conicts between ecom, the real estate developer, and the Kerala state government have also hindered

    the advancement o the project. Source: Smart City delay sending wrong signals, Expressbuzz,

    May 5, 2010 (http://expressbuzz.com/cities/kochi/%E2%80%98smart-city-delay-sending-wrong-

    signals%E2%80%99/170824.html).

    22 Source: Proessor Zheng Qinghua, Blue Sky Project: Innovation in Education echnology presentation,

    IBM, 2010 (http://www.ibm.com/smarterplanet/global/les/us__en_us__government__pro_zheng_

    nal_6-3-2010.pd).

    23 Numerous other examples o smart city programs evolving out o specic visions or objects exist. ake

    tourism, or example: Knowledge Economic City in Medina, Saudi Arabia has incorporated tourism into

    its smart city vision in order to better serve the inux o millions during the month o the annual Hajj

    to Mecca. Venices 20 million annual visitors now enjoy new mobile apps that provide tourist maps and

    inormation. Ceutas eGovernment portal provides tourist inormation and real-time video o key sites

    throughout the city.

    24 Source: Greg Lindsay, Ciscos Big Bet on New Songdo: Creating Cities From Scratch, Fast Company,February 1, 2010 (http://www.astcompany.com/magazine/142/the-new-new-urbanism.html).

    25 Source: City o the Future, Siemens (http://www.it-solutions.siemens.com/country/belgium/en/sectors/

    public-sector/cities/city-o-the-uture/Pages/city-o-the-uture.aspx).

    26 Source: MetricStream (http://metricstream.com/solutions/smart_cities.htm).

    27 Source: Forrester interview with Accenture, July 2, 2010.

    28 Mobily in Saudi Arabia has entered the smart cities arena to provide I services or the new economic cities

    across the Kingdom. Source: Mobily, Orange to create smart IC services or Saudi real estate market,

    Saudi Gazette, 2009 (http://www.saudigazette.com.sa/index.cm?method=home.regcon&contentID=200910

    2752715).

    In Lebanon, Solidere, the real estate developer responsible or the reconstruction and development o

    downtown Beirut, obtained a license to install and operate a high-speed ber-optic network as part o the

    master plan or the city. Te developer will provide broadband servi