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The Department of Government and Sociology at Georgia College & State University has conducted its second Georgia’s State of the State Poll to find out about key issues facing the state and information about our political leaders. The survey was conducted from February 9-16, 2015 by Survey Sampling International (SSI), a leading national firm. The margin of error for the weighted sample is +/- 4.4 percentage points.
Citation preview
State of the StateGeorGia’S
Poll
Costas Spirou, Ph.D. and Min Kim, Ph.D.Department of Government and Sociology
Georgia College
TALLULAH GORGE
1 Introduction3 Executive Summary5 Overall Direction
and Key Issues 9 Economy11 Government17 Education21 Health Care25 Immigration25 Gun Control26 Same-Sex Marriage27 Senate Bill 36529 Survey Methodology
Contents
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 1
Georgia’s State of the State Poll (GSSP) is a statewide general survey ofadults, age 18 and over, who are residents of the State of Georgia. TheGSSP survey was conducted for the second time in the spring of 2015and included a combination of community, governmental, economicand special topical issue questions. Demographic data — age, location,gender, race, education, political ideology and income — offeradditional information. A central aspect of public policymaking is theneed for relevant, timely and accurate information. The GSSP willcontinue to make a significant contribution to effective planning byengaging the state’s citizenry and increasing the understanding ofvarious issues among policymakers and their constituents. The goalsof the GSSP are to:
• Gain a better understanding of resident attitudes and perceptions onkey social, economic and political issues;
• Educate Georgians about various issues facing the state;• Contribute to a statewide conversation; and • Inform current policy debates in order to improve the socioeconomic
well-being of the state’s residents.
We would like to thank the Office of the Provost and the Office of theCollege of Arts and Sciences Dean for their support of this project. Anumber of students assisted with this effort including Lauren Crapo,Sophia Markowitz, graduate students in the Master in PublicAdministration program. Lea Dickinson and Erin Sims,undergraduate students in the Political Science program, contributedto data analysis. Jon Scott was invaluable in helping us prepare the2015 report.
Costas Spirou, Ph.D and Min Kim, Ph.DDepartment of Government and SociologyGeorgia College
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 2
TOWN SQUARE IN DALLAS
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 3
executive SummaryThe Department of Government and Sociology at Georgia College &State University has conducted its second Georgia’s State of the StatePoll to find out about key issues facing the state and information aboutour political leaders. The survey was conducted from February 9-16,2015 by Survey Sampling International (SSI), a leading national firm.The margin of error for the weighted sample is +/- 4.4 percentagepoints.
among the respondents, the key highlights are:• Georgians continue to be optimistic about the direction of the state.• Education and jobs are the two most important issues facing the state.
Transportation and taxes also emerged as important concerns thisyear. For Hispanic residents, the issue of immigration is anadditional concern.
• Georgians are more optimistic than last year about the economy.While they are still dissatisfied with the economic developmentefforts, they report slightly higher rates of satisfaction compared tolast year.
• The Federal and County governments are the most trusted levels ofgovernment.
• The majority of Georgians continue to be dissatisfied with publiceducation and, like last year, they would be willing to invest moremoney to improve the system.
• Georgians favor the creation of charter schools and support theCommon Core Standards Initiative.
• Opposition to ObamaCare: Affordable Care Act continues from lastyear.
• Georgians are evenly split on the “Safe Carry Protection Act-gunseverywhere.”
• Georgians strongly favor legalizing medical marijuana but stronglyoppose legalizing same-sex marriage.
• Georgians also favor legislation that would help rehabilitatedoffenders re-enter society by removing barriers to employment,housing and education.
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 4
TYBEE ISLAND
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 5
More than half (57.7%) ofGeorgians think that the state ismoving in the Right Direction,with 25.7% indicating that thestate is moving in the WrongDirection.
The most important issuesfacing the state are Education(21.3%), Jobs (19.8%), HealthCare (5%) and Immigration(5%). Among Other Issues,Transportation (16.9%) andTaxation (12.8%) are the mostimportant to Georgians.Residents from the middlepart of the state report thehighest concern with Jobs(24.5%). Women report greatconcern with Education(24.4%), African-Americanswith Jobs (31.6%) andHispanics with Immigration(42.2%).
overall Direction and Key issues
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
Wrong DirectionRight Direction0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
State’s Direction…
Most important issue…
57.7
25.7
16.6
19.821.3
5 53.2
0.9
32.1
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 6
Most important issue…
0
5
10
15
20
25
Women
Men
0
5
10
15
20
25
RacismCrimeImmigrationHealth CareEducationJobs
White
African-American
Hispanic
RacismCrimeImmigrationHealth CareEducationJobs0
10
20
30
40
50
15.5
24.5
22.2
19.1 18.9 18.8
23.1 22.3
4.6
7.1 7.7
3.7
13.4
2.71.4
4.1 4.2
0.8
3.1 3.5
0.5
3.4
0.9 0
18.5
21.1
24.4
7.5
2.43.9
6.2
3.4 31.4
0.4
18.2
31.6
0
21.419.6 19.1
4.3
9.2
0 1.7 0.5
42.2
3.7 0.5 0 0.4 0.6 0
17.9
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 7
THE PERGOLA, GEORGIA COLLEGE
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 8
SAVANNAH
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 9
economyGeorgians believe that a yearfrom now the state’s economywill be in about the SameCondition (42.1%); will be Better(37.4%); will get Worse (14.4%).
0
10
20
30
40
50
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
Very Dissatisfied
Somewhat Dissatified
Somewhat Satisfied
Very Satisfied0
10
20
30
40
50
economy a year from now…
economic Development efforts…
14.4
42.1
37.4
6.1
11.7
42.7
20.9 19.3
5.4
Almost a fifth (19.3%), expressStrong Dissatisfaction with theeconomic development effortstaking place in their area. Just11.7% express StrongSatisfaction. Among residents ofMiddle Georgia, 49.6% are eitherSomewhat Dissatisfied (23.8%) orVery Dissatisfied (25.8%).
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 10
economic Development efforts…
HISTORIC MILL AND WATERFALL IN MARIETTA
Metro Atlanta
South
Middle
North
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
Very Dissatisfied
Somewhat Dissatisfied
Somewhat Satisfied
Very Satisfied
8.76.1 5.8
16.5
42.9
36.6
50.2
41.5
19.423.8
13.8
23.1 23.125.8 26.4
13.7
5.87.7
3.9 5.2
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 11
Georgians trust the variouslevels of government, Federal(21.6%), County (21.9%), City(17.5%) and State (14.8%). Thelevel of trust toward theFederal government is highestamong African Americans(36.7%), among those residingin the Atlanta metropolitanarea (27.2%), among Liberals(35.3%), while forConservatives the level of trustis at just 12.8%. Hispanics(30.5%), Conservatives (27%)and South Georgians (36.6%)report the highest levels ofsatisfaction with the CountyGovernment.
Government
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
CityCountyStateFederal0
5
10
15
20
25
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
CityCountyStateFederal0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
Most Trusted level of Government…
Most Trusted level of Government…
21.6
14.8
21.9
17.5
24.2
35.3
25.2
12.8
5.2
24.1
26.9
15.8
27
14.1
24.1
18.4 18.4
22.1
17.8
12.8
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 12
Most Trusted level of Government…White
African-American
Hispanic
CityCountyStateFederal0
10
20
30
40
50
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
13.3
36.7
27.1
19.6
10.2
0
27.2
13.4
30.5
20.8
16.5
0
19.223.2
42.5
Metro Atlanta
South
Middle
North
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
CityCountyStateFederal
Most Trusted level of Government…
13.7
21.1
14.8
27.2
14.3
19.6
14.613.716.5
17.6
36.6
19.7
25.6
13.615 16.5
29.928.1
19
23
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 13
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
County/CityStateFederal0
10
20
30
40
50
Greatest return on Tax investment…
Georgians report that the Federal government (42.9%) provides them withthe greatest return on their tax investment, followed by County/City with27.6% and State government with 18.9%. African Americans (66.1%),Asians (50.8%) and Hispanics (45.4%) report the highest satisfaction withthe Federal government when it comes to return on their tax investment.
42.9
18.9
27.6
10.6
Greatest return on Tax investment…
White
African-American
Hispanic
County/CityStateFederal0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
Asian
31.8
66.1
45.450.8
23.5
8.9
34.1
0
36.6
20.8
4.2 08.1
4.2
16.4
49.2
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
NoYes0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
impact of State Cuts…
impact of State Cuts…
impact of State CutsA significant percentage of Hispanics (72.9%) have had their householdimpacted by cuts in state programs and services. Overall, 64.4% report thattheir household has not been impacted by cuts in state programs andservices. African-Americans (30.5%) and Hispanics (72.9%) report thattheir households have been impacted by these cuts.
31.4
64.4
4.2
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 14
White
African-American
Hispanic
NoYes0
20
40
60
80
100
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
Asian
27.5 30.5
72.9
0
70.3
61.3
27.1
89.2
2.38.3
010.8
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 15
CAMPUS THEATRE IN MILLEDGEVILLE
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 16
UPPER DESOTO FALLS IN THE CHATTAHOOCHEE NATIONAL FOREST
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 17
Only 11.1% of Georgians report Strong Satisfaction with public education, with 31.2%indicating Strong Dissatisfaction. About a third (29.8%), report being Somewhat Satisfied.Whites (34.9%), African Americans (26.2%), Hispanic (23.2%) and Middle Georgians (34.5%)and residents of the Metro Atlanta (30.9%) report Strong Dissatisfaction with publiceducation.
education
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
Very Dissatisfied
Somewhat Dissatisfied
Somewhat Satisfied
Very Satisfied
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
North
Middle
South
Metro Atlanta
Very Dissatisfied
Somewhat Dissatisfied
Somewhat Satisfied
Very Satisfied
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
Public education Satisfaction…
Public education Satisfaction…
11.1
29.8
23.7
31.2
4.3
1411.6
9.1
24.4
36.6
30.3
26.7
11
29
24
30.6
34.5
30.4 30.9
4.26.3
2.8 4.2
28.6
10.5
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 18
Pay More to improve Public Schools…
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
NoYes0
10
20
30
40
50
6054.8
41.5
3.7
Public education Satisfaction…White
African-American
Hispanic
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Asian
Very Dissatisfied
Somewhat Dissatisfied
Somewhat Satisfied
Very Satisfied
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
1115.4
010.8
27.5
36.1
8
65.2
21.3 18.9
64.6
12.9
34.9
26.2 23.2
11.15.3 3.4 4.2 0
When asked to consider paying more taxes to provide better educationopportunities for children, 54.8% indicate willingness to do so, while 41.5%would not pay more taxes. Women (64.1%) are more willing than men (45%) topay more taxes for public education.
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 19
More than half of respondents (55.5%) are in favor of creating charter schools,with 30.5% Strongly in Favor and 25% Somewhat in Favor. Only 10.5% StronglyOppose the creation of charter schools.
Pay More to improve Public Schools…
Women
Men
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
NoYes0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
64.1
45
32.4
51.1
3.6 3.8
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
3530.5
25
14.6
10.5
19.5
Creating Charter Schools...
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 20
When asked about the Common Core State Standards Initiative, 29.7% ofGeorgians are Strongly in Favor of establishing consistent educational standardsacross the state, with 25.2% Strongly Opposing it. Women (56.4%) were more likelyto support the Common Core State Standards Initiative.
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
0
5
10
15
20
25
3029.7
23.7
9.2
25.2
12.1
Common Core State Standards
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
Women
Men
29.2 30.2
27.2
20
9.3 9.1
23.3
27.2
10.9 13.4
Common Core State Standards
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 21
Georgians strongly oppose (46.7%) the ObamaCare: Affordable Care Act with27.1% Srongly in Favor. African Americans (58.4%) Strongly Favor and Whites(63.7%) Strongly Oppose the Act.
Health Care
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
0
10
20
30
40
50
White
African-American
Hispanic
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
obamaCare: affordable Care act approval...
obamaCare: affordable Care act approval...
27.1
8.8 6.9
46.7
10.5
12.1
58.4
4.27.5
13
08.3
4.2
12.2
63.7
11.5
68.7
8.312.9 14.9
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 22
Just under half (46.3%) of Georgian’s Favor legalizing medical marijuana with22.1% Strongly Opposing it. Hispanics (53.4%) and South Georgians (45.9%)Strongly Oppose the legalization of medical marijuana.
legalizing Medical Marijuana...
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
0
10
20
30
40
50 46.3
17.9
8.4
22.1
5.4
legalizing Medical Marijuana...
White
African-American
Hispanic
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
46.4 45.8 46.6
17.8
24.9
0
9.3 9.5
0
23.5
13.2
53.4
3.16.5
0
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 23
legalizing Medical Marijuana...North
Middle
South
Metro Atlanta
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
53.4
39.6
27.523.2
15.619.4
10.815.114.6
3.5
12.4
24.2
45.9
16.4
0.15.5
2.1
8.510
52.2
APPALACHIAN SCENE IN NORTH GEORGIA
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 24
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES CHAMBER
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 25
Obama’s executive action on immigration is opposed by 54.6% of Georgianswith 17.4% Somewhat Opposing and 37.2% Strongly Opposing the action.
immigration
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
obama’s executive action on immigration...
20
15.217.4
37.2
10.3
Georgians favor (46.5%) the state’s “Safe Carry Protection Act – guns everywhere.”A smaller percentage (37.4%) oppose it.
Gun Control
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Safe Carry Protection act - Guns everywhere
30.4
16.1
10.4
27
16
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 26
When asked about legalizing same-sex marriage in Georgia, 48.8% of Georgians oppose, with42.4% expressing support of this effort. Strong Opposition (40.6%) and Strong Support (25.3%)varied by region with the Atlanta metro (30.6%) residents strongly favoring this direction.Residents from the South (53.6%) strongly oppose legalizing same sex marriage.
Same-Sex Marriage
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
0
10
20
30
40
50
legalizing Same-Sex Marriage
25.3
17.1
8.2
40.6
8.8
North
Middle
South
Metro Atlanta
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
legalizing Same-Sex Marriage
30.5
14.8 13.6
30.6
13.5
7.7
22.819
10.613.8
3.47.5
38.5
52 53.6
33.7
711.6
6.79.6
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 27
The majority of Georgians are in favor of Senate Bill 365, legislation that removes barriers toemployment, housing and education to help rehabilitate offenders so they can successfullyre-enter society. 28.6% Strongly Favor the bill and 34.2% Somewhat Favor the legislation.
Senate Bill 365
The State’s Senate Bill 365
Did Not Know/Did Not Respond
StronglyOppose
Somewhat Oppose
SomewhatFavor
StronglyFavor
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
28.6
34.2
10.712.7 13.7
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 28
JEKYLL ISLAND
2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll | 29
The 2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll was a telephone survey of randomlyselected adults in the state of Georgia. Five hundred (500) Georgia adults wereinterviewed by landline and cellular telephone between February 9 and February16, 2015. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.4%. This survey wasconducted through the use of Random Digit Dialing (RDD). A sample of householdsin the area was selected via random digit dialing.
The random sample used in the 2015 Georgia’s State of the State Poll was providedby Survey Sampling International (SSI). SSI screens each selected telephonenumber to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and businessnumbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, thus reducing the amount of timeinterviewers spend calling non-usable numbers. Each of these randomly generatedtelephone numbers is contacted by an SSI interviewer. This selection processensures that every adult (18 years of age or older) in the household has an equallylikely chance of being included in the survey. Interviews were completed with 500randomly selected adults in Georgia from a sample of 55,790 randomly selected
telephone numbers.
The data has been weighted toaccount for known biases of telephonesurveys. The results presented herehave been weighted to reflect thecurrent population demographics asreflected in the most recent availableCensus data. The data in the 2015Georgia’s State of the State Poll areweighted by the number of adults toequalize the chances that any oneadult would be selected for inclusion.The data was also weighted byrespondent's sex, age and race.
In addition to providing results for thestate as a whole, some findings alsoare broken down by the four majorregions of the state: North, Middle,South and Atlanta metropolitan area.The maps below illustrate thecounties in each region.
Survey Methodology
State of the State GEORGIA’S
P OLL
For more information about Georgia’s State of the State Poll (GSSP) please contact:
Costas Spirou, Ph.D.Professor and Chair
Department of Government and SociologyGeorgia College
Milledgeville, GA 31061478-445-4562
University Printing Services • 4/2015