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1 Georgian National Study International Republican Institute, Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization, The Institute of Polling And Marketing with funding from the United States Agency for International Development November 9 – 21, 2012

Georgian National Study - IRI

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1

Georgian National Study

International Republican Institute,

Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization,

The Institute of Polling And Marketing

with funding from the

United States Agency for International Development

November 9 – 21, 2012

2

INFORMATION ABOUT THE SURVEY The survey was conducted by the Institute of Polling and Marketing for Baltic Surveys/Gallup on

behalf of the International Republican Institute. This national representative survey was carried out from November 9 - 21, 2012. The sample consisted of 1,500 Georgian residents aged 18 and older, and eligible to vote, and is

representative of the general population by age, gender, education and religion. The sample design was a multi-stage random sample.

Stage One: Break country into official administrative regions. Stage Two: Select clusters of sampling points based on settlement population (large, medium,

small towns and villages). One sample point – approximately one percent of survey population (39-41 surveys). Sampling points in each region were selected based on the percentage of population living in the various levels of settlement in that region.

Respondents were selected by the random route method, using the next birthday rule to select a respondent from within a household.

Data was collected through face-to-face interviews with the respondents. The poll was conducted nationwide, including the capitol and all major regional centers. The margin of error does not exceed +/- 2.5 percent. The response rate was 72 percent.

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

3

ISSUES

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

4

What is the most important issue that Georgia is facing?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

5

What is the most important issue your town/village is facing?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

6

What is the most important issue your household is facing?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

7

What issue do you fear the most?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

8

What issue do you fear the most? (Tbilisi vs. other territories)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

9

Do you consider the following forms of social protest acceptable?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

10

POLITICS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

11

How would you rate your interest in politics?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

12

When considering which party to vote for, what is more important?

5651 54 54 53 53

4855 53 55

5055 54 58 58 60

53

23

21 18 18 20 19 25

23 2327

24

2622

26 26 25

26

2024 21 21

16 1915

2316

1911

2 4 5 9 7 7 6 5 5 3 2 3 5 616 14

21

2023 19

Nov

12

Mar

12

Nov

11

May

11

Oct

10

Mar

10

Sep

10

Jun

09

Feb

09

Sep

08

Feb

08

Sep

07

Feb

07

Apr

06

Oct

05

Jun

05

Oct

04

No answer

Both

Party is moreimportant

Leader is moreimportant

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

13

What are your main expectations of the new government?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

14

What do you consider as the biggest failures of the former government?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

15

In what area should the Georgian government carry out reforms in first? And second/third?

34

24

13

8

6

5

3

3

2

27

25

10

11

7

6

3

5

17

21

11

13

9

7

2

7

1

1 2

2

2

8

2

3

Economy

Healthcare

Judiciary

Education

Defense

Penitentiary

Agriculture

Local governance

Environmental protection

Energy

DK/NA

First Second Third

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

16

Do you feel the governor of your region is doing a good job and is working effectively to address the problems of your region?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

17

Do you feel the governor of your region is doing a good job and is working effectively to address the problems of your region?

(by region)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

18

INSTITUTIONS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

19

How would you describe your confidence in the following institutions?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

20

INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

21

How would you evaluate Georgia’s relations with the following?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

22

Which countries are the most important partners for Georgia? And which comprise the most political and economic threat?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

23

Do you believe the change in government will help to improve the relationship with Russia?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

24

Do you support further dialogue with Russia?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

25

Do you support Georgia joining NATO?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

26

Do you think that Russian aggression to Georgia is over or is it still going on?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

27

SOURCES OF INFORMATION

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

28

From where do you receive general political information?

95

30

53

23

15

4

5

1

0.3

0

98

30

18

27

9

4

2

1

1

0.3

TV news, programs

Newspaper articles

Internet

Relatives, friends

Radio news, programs

Magazine articles

Colleagues at work

Meetings with politicians

Leaflets and direct mail

Billboards and street stands

Tbilisi Other territories

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

29

From which of these sources did you get most of the information for the parliamentary election campaigns?

95

50

28

19

11

3

3

0.6

0.3

0

1

97

14

22

18

6

2

2

1

1

0.5

1

TV news, programs

Internet

Newspaper articles

Relatives, friends

Radio news, programs

Colleagues at work

Magazine articles

Meetings with politicians

Leaflets and direct mailings

Billboards and street stands

None

TbilisiOther territories

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

Did you benefit from the Must Offer-Must Carry Law?*

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

* The Must Offer-Must Carry Law was passed by parliament prior to the October 2012 elections, and required all cable networks to carry all television news stations, including those with prevailing viewpoints contrary to the views of the network operators.

Do you believe Must Offer-Must Carry should be continued/renewed?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

32

Is Georgian mass media free to express various political views or is there government control over media content?

20

17

22

13

10

13

14

10

15

11

13

16

14

14

17

45

51

53

47

41

44

35

35

37

43

39

42

38

40

56

16

20

14

28

28

24

26

25

23

22

22

19

25

21

14

4

2

5

13

8

14

14

11

9

11

7

9

11

3

8

9

7

7

11

11

15

14

15

15

16

14

14

10

3 16Oct 05

Apr 06

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

May 11

Nov 11

Mar 12

Nov 12

Totally free Somewhat free Not very free Not free at all DK/NA

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

33

Why do you think that Georgian mass media is not free to express various political views? (N=256)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

34

How many times per week do you access the Internet?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

35

How many times per week do you access the Internet?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

36

Where do you access the Internet? (Internet users)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

37

How often do you use the Internet for the following activities? (Internet users, N=613)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

38

What are three main issues that the Mayor of Tbilisi needs to address? (Residents of Tbilisi, N=416)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

39

OPINIONS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

40

All things considered equal, which candidate would you vote for?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

41

What are the top five issues that the government should address? (one – highest priority and five – lowest priority)

2.67

2.81

2.97

2.98

3.02

3.11

3.12

3.20

3.25

3.26

3.27

3.35

2.61

3.28

2.80

3.01

3.04

3.42

3.12

3.32

3.16

3.41

3.19

3.58

2.60

3.22

2.70

2.98

3.01

3.30

3.22

3.40

3.15

3.54

2.98

3.42

1 2 3 4 5

Supporting business development

Court system

Return of refugees and internally displaced persons to theirhomes

Educational system

The establishment of the relations between the governmentand the population

Improving relations between ethnic groups

Road infrastructure

Fight corruption

Tax system

Environment improvement and protection

Foreign policy

Strengthening military power of the country

Nov 12

Mar 12

Nov 11

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

42

If/when Georgia becomes a member of NATO, what do you expect from membership?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

43

Do you think that the Governor of your region should be directly elected by the people? (Regions only)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

44

Do you think that mayors and gamgebelis* should be directly elected?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

45

Do you think that local governments should have more control over local budgets and programs?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

46

What are three main issues that the new parliament needs to address first?

4327

1813

121111

766

55

44

33

2222

218

EmploymentHealthcare

EconomyUtilities

AgricultureGeneral social problems

PensionsEducation

Improve legislationTerritorial integrity

JusticeInflation

Care for the peopleJudicial independence

Low wagesRussian-Georgian relations

Foreign affairsBudget

Rule of lawConstitution

OtherDK/NA

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

47

Do you think that the government and opposition should continue dialog?

88

86

81

81

85

87

88

87

72

86

77

6

4

8

7

6

3

4

3

5

4

10

6

10

11

12

9

10

8

10

23

9

12

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

May 11

Nov 11

Mar 12

Nov 12

Yes, should continue No, should not DK/NA

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

48

Do you trust Georgian nongovernmental organizations?

58

54

60

16

21

14

26

25

26

Georgia

Tbilisi

Other territories

Yes No DK/NA

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

49

If no, why you do not trust Georgian nongovernmental organizations? (N=239)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

50

POLITICS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

51

Did you vote in the parliamentary elections that were held on October 1, 2012?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

52

Do you plan to vote in the presidential election in 2013?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

53

SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

54

Male47%

Female53%

Gender

18-2919%

30-4937%

50+44%

Age groups

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

55

Primary1% Unfinished secondary

3%

Secondary38%

Vocational22%

Unfinished higher3%

University, higher33%

Education

Georgian88%

Armenian5%

Azeri4%

Other3%

Ethnicity

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

56

Attendance of religious service

A few times a week4%

Once a week16%

Once a month25%

A few times per year38%Never

17%

Orthodox86%Muslim

9%

Other4%

None1%

Religion

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

57

Occupation

Housewife16%

Unemployed33%

Self-employed3%

Student3%

Blue collar7%

Farmer3%

White collar4%

Executive10%

Retired21%

Sector of employment

Private sector20%

State sector7%

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012

Not Working 73%

58

Regions

Tbilisi29%

Mtskheta-Mtianeti2% Imereti

17% Samegrelo10%

Guria3%

Ajara8%

Samtskhe-Javakheti4%

Kvemo Kartli11%

Shida Kartli7%

Kakheti9%

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012