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Root Causes
Georgian nationalist policies and hostility/ historical injustices to minorities
Forced reunification of Georgia and S. Ossetia
Violent Conflict 2008
Aggravating factors
South Ossetia’s demand for autonomy
Restrictive economic policy: closure of the Ergneti Market/boundary line
Political and Military interference and support (propping up) from outside actors
High militarization of boundary line and region
Biased and inflammatory media propaganda
poverty
Background
Divide and Rule by imperial powers
1996 Collapse of the Soviet Union and independence of Soviet republics
Actors Interests/Gains
Internal1. Autonomous (rebel) Government of S. Ossetia2. Georgian backed provisional government in S. Ossetia 3. S. Ossetia citizens living in S. Ossetia4. Georgian Citizens living in S. Ossetia5. Business entrepreneurs6.Security forces7.Organized crime lords
Internal1.Autonomy, identity recognition2. Security, power and control.3. Economic freedom and movement.4. Security5. Economic growth6. Control, security7. financial gains
External Russian military and aidNatoOSCEUNEUUSA
ExternalEnergy, TransitSecurity anti-contrabandAllie in the regionMilitary Occupation/ArmsMilitary/Air force basePeacekeepersFinancial
What lessons can be learned?Are the lessons meeting our goals in our theories of change.To what level were stakeholders involved in the M&E
process.Did buy-in take place because of collaborative effort or due
to media/social marketing efforts (both?). What are best practices from our project that are replicable. What were the outputs produced?Did we achieve our intended outcomes?What aspect of the project brought about the greatest
changeWhat were the unintended (positive or negative) outcomes
from the project. Is the project sustainable upon completion.