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Transportation leadership you can trust. presented to presented to TRB Conference TRB Conference Meeting Federal Surface Transportation Requirements Meeting Federal Surface Transportation Requirements in Statewide and Metropolitan Transportation Planning in Statewide and Metropolitan Transportation Planning presented by presented by Dan Beagan Dan Beagan Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Cindy Van Dyke Cindy Van Dyke Georgia Departement of Transportaion Georgia Departement of Transportaion September 3, 2008 September 3, 2008 Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization Process Study Overview of Tools and Modeling Process

Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Page 1: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

Transportation leadership you can trust.

presented topresented to

TRB ConferenceTRB ConferenceMeeting Federal Surface Transportation Requirements Meeting Federal Surface Transportation Requirements in Statewide and Metropolitan Transportation Planningin Statewide and Metropolitan Transportation Planning

presented bypresented byDan BeaganDan BeaganCambridge Systematics, Inc.Cambridge Systematics, Inc.Cindy Van DykeCindy Van DykeGeorgia Departement of TransportaionGeorgia Departement of TransportaionSeptember 3, 2008September 3, 2008

Georgia Department of TransportationProject Prioritization Process StudyOverview of Tools and Modeling Process

Page 2: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

11

Project Prioritization Study

Review existing GDOT process and IT systems to evaluate and prioritize projects

Review related planning partners processes and rules

Work with stakeholders to develop new process

Develop new tools to support more objective, transparent prioritization process

Tools to support GDOT in evaluation and prioritization of projects in Construction Work Program and Long Range program

Page 3: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Prioritization Process

Initial focus on Roadway New Capacity projects (widenings, extensions, etc.)

Currently working to expand system to include two other project categories– Roadway Operations and Economic

Project prioritization based on clearly defined performance measures, linked to statewide goals

2

Page 4: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Performance Measures Framework

33

SWTP GoalsSWTP Goals

ProgramProgramPreservationPreservation SafetySafety

CongestionCongestion(70%)*(70%)*

Connectivity Connectivity Access and Access and

MobilityMobilityEconomic Economic

GrowthGrowthTotal Total ScoreScore

BenefitBenefit/ Cost/ Cost

Other Other FactorsFactors

Roadway Capital Roadway Capital MaintenanceMaintenanceRoadway New Capacity

1. Structural Deficiency

2. PACES Rating

3. Crash Reduction (by severity)

4. Delay Reduction

5. Travel Time:Truck Route/ IMConn./STRAHNET

6. Activity Center 7. Land Use Plan8. Access Mgmt.

9. Gross State Product

10. Economic Development Policy Area

B/C Deliverability, Funding Sources, Readiness, etc.

Roadway Traffic Operations

1. CrashReduction

(by severity)

2. Delay Reduction

3. Travel Time:Truck Route/ IMConn./STRAHNET

4. Activity Center

5. Gross StateProduct

6. Economic DevelopmentPolicy Area

B/C Deliverability, Funding Sources, Readiness, etc.

Roadway SafetyRoadway SafetyTransitTransitIntermodalIntermodalDemand Mgmt.Demand Mgmt.EconomicDevelopment

1. StructuralDeficiency

2. PACES Rating

3. Crash Reduction

(by severity)

4. Delay Reduction

5. Travel Time:Truck Route/ IMConn./STRAHNET

6. Activity Center 7. Land Use Plan8. Access Mgmt.

9. Gross StateProduct

10. Economic DevelopmentPolicy Area

B/C Deliverability, Funding Sources, Readiness, etc.

EnhancementEnhancement

* Atlanta region only.

Page 5: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Performance MeasuresPreservation

Bridges – Percent structurally deficient deck area of existing bridges along project

Pavement – Percent lane miles along project with PACES rating below 70

Roadway New Capacity and Economic Development projects only

4

Page 6: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Performance MeasuresSafety

Reduction in Crash Rates (by Crash Severity)

Roadway New Capacity, Roadway Traffic Operations, and Economic Development projects

5

Page 7: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Performance MeasuresDelay Reduction

Roadway New Capacity and Economic Development• In Atlanta

− Recurring Delay Reduction (VHT)− Delay data from ARC travel demand model

• Outside of Atlanta − Recurring and Non-Recurring Delay Reduction (VHT)− For widening projects, Build and No-Build VHT are calculated

with equations from HERS-ST− For other capacity expansion projects, statewide model is used

Roadway Traffic Operations• Reduction in Recurring and Non-Recurring Delay (VHT)• HERS-ST

6

Page 8: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

7

HERS-ST

Highway Economic Requirements System – State Version (HERS-ST)

Originally, used by the FHWA to estimate highway investment needs for the U.S. in a biennial report to Congress – adopted for state use

Relies on HPMS data

Estimate performance for different funding scenarios

Page 9: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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HERS-ST Comparison to ARC Model

Results vary between HERS-ST and ARC model

Variance can be attributed to different modeling approaches

Different vehicle types SOV, HOV trucks, assigned differently and considered differently in delay calculations

Autos and trucks modeled separately

Vehicle types

Travel data can be extracted at link level or in “impact area”.

Only considers VHT changes on the project link

Impact Area

Recurring delay only - calibrated to observed local speed/travel time data.

Empirically fit to national observed speeds - reflects both recurring and nonrecurring delay

Congested VHT

Default capacity / lane values developed by area type and facility type.

Default capacity/lane values developed by functional class

Capacity

AM, PM, Off-Peak, Mid-DayPeak and non-peakTime of Day

User equilibrium diversion / network assignment

Not considered Diversion

ARC ModelHERS-ST Method, as Implemented for GDOT

Key Factor

8

Page 10: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Performance MeasuresConnectivity

Change in Travel Time on a Non-Interstate Truck Route, an NHS Intermodal Connector, and/or the STRAHNET

Roadway New Capacity, Roadway Traffic Operations, Economic Development projects

9

Page 11: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Performance MeasuresAccess and Mobility – Activity Center

Project impact to an activity center area• In Atlanta

− Centers defined by Unified Growth Policy Map

• Outside of Atlanta− Statewide activity generators were based on FHWA definition of activity centers − Updated by MPO at their request, if data provided in GIS format by requested

deadline

Roadway New Capacity, Roadway Traffic Operations, and Economic Development projects

10

Page 12: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Performance MeasuresAccess and Mobility – Local Land Use

Is project consistent with local/regional transportation and land use plan?

Does project exceed required minimum access management standards and/or is the project subject to the requirements of a local access management plan?

Roadway New Capacity and Economic Development projects

11

Page 13: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Performance MeasuresEconomic Impact

Change in Gross State Product• Resulting from VHT savings in 2035

• Calculated with GA HEAT equations

Roadway New Capacity, Roadway Traffic Operations, and Economic Development projects

12

Page 14: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Weighting System

Three unique weighting systems developed• Atlanta MPO• Non-Atlanta MPO• Rural

Weights vary by level of significance for each performance measure within particular SWTP goal

Developed with extensive stakeholder input

Page 15: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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All Program CategoriesWeighting System – Atlanta Area

14

SWTP GoalSWTP Goal Performance MeasurePerformance MeasureNew New

CapacityCapacityTraffic Traffic

OperationsOperationsEconomic Economic

DevelopmentDevelopment

PreservationBridge – SD 2.5 0.0 2.0

Pavement – PACES 2.5 0.0 2.0

Safety Crash Reduction 5.0 10.0 2.0

CongestionCongestion Delay Reduction Delay Reduction –– VHTVHT 70.070.0 70.070.0 70.070.0

Connectivity, Access and Mobility

Travel Time –– Intermodal Connector, Truck Route, STRAHNET

4.0 2.5 2.0

Activity Center 4.0 10.0 2.0

Land Use Plan 3.0 0.0 2.0

Access Management 4.0 0.0 3.0

Economic Development

Gross State Product 2.5 2.5 7.5

Economic Policy Area 2.5 5.0 7.5

Benefit/Cost 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total Weight 100.0 100.0 100.0

Page 16: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

1515

Scoring System

100 point score

Delay points based on absolute delay reduction provided by project using threshold scoring approach

All other quantifiable measures scored relative to one another within each geographic area• Projects are compared relative to the best performer within each

performance measure category

• Geographic weightings are applied for each performance measure

For other qualitative measures, points assigned based on Y/N designation

Points summed across all measures to produce individual project scores

Page 17: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Other Quantifiable MeasuresScoring System Example

Project ListingProject ListingCrashes Crashes ReducedReduced

Relative Relative ComparisonComparison

Assigned Assigned WeightWeight Crash PtsCrash Pts

Project 1 (Atlanta) 52 52/52 = 1.00 5 (1.00)*5 = 5.0

Project 2 (Atlanta) 25 25/52 = 0.48 5 (0.48)*5 = 2.5

Project 3 Project 3 (Atlanta)(Atlanta) 33 3/52 = 0.063/52 = 0.06 55 (0.06(0.06)*5)*5 = = 0.30.3

Project 4 (Atlanta) 13 13/52 = 0.25 5 (0.25)*5 = 1.3

Project 5 (Atlanta) 45 45/52 = 0.87 5 (0.87)*5 = 4.4

Page 18: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Project Prioritization System Requirements

Prototype is web-based application

Study team still discussing best method to make this a full production system• Best way to run Prioritization system internally and

externally

GDOT IT will be maintaining final system

17

Page 19: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Full System Run

Statewide: Three program categories

• Roadway New Capacity = 837 projects

• Roadway Traffic Operations = 47 projects

• Economic Development (GRIP) = 186 projects

18

Page 20: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

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Next Steps

Public outreach – Sept / Oct 2008

• Process, not projects

Final run – Fall 2008

Final documentation and software prototype – Dec 2008

Page 21: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

2020

Ongoing Project Prioritization Process

Considerations for future GDOT project programming:• Project score and evaluation using Prioritization Tool

• Local match – level of local funding commitment• Project origin – emphasis on projects derived from completed

local or GDOT planning studies• Environmental impacts• Financial risks• Public and political input• Project readiness and deliverability

Page 22: Georgia Department of Transportation Project Prioritization …onlinepubs.trb.org/.../2008/statewide/pdf/beagan-ppr.pdf · New Capacity 1. Structural Deficiency 2. PACES Rating 3

Transportation leadership you can trust.

presented topresented to

TRB ConferenceTRB ConferenceMeeting Federal Surface Transportation Requirements Meeting Federal Surface Transportation Requirements in Statewide and Metropolitan Transportation Planningin Statewide and Metropolitan Transportation Planning

presented bypresented byDan BeaganDan BeaganCambridge Systematics, Inc.Cambridge Systematics, Inc.Cindy Van DykeCindy Van DykeGeorgia Departement of TransportaionGeorgia Departement of Transportaion

September 3, 2008September 3, 2008

Georgia Department of TransportationProject Prioritization Process StudyOverview of Tools and Modeling Process