Geography 2153 – Fall 2013 Environment, Economy and Society Our Changing Atmosphere (Ch 5) Jamie Baxter 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21531

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  • Geography 2153 Fall 2013 Environment, Economy and Society Our Changing Atmosphere (Ch 5) Jamie Baxter 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21531
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  • Outline Atmospheric concerns Climate systems Changes, atmospheric composition Greenhouse effect and climate change Ozone layer Airborne contaminants Acidic deposition Policy responses Challenges to air quality sustainability 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21532 Fires to clear for palm oil plantation in Indonesia engulf Singapore and Malaysia in particulate matter laden smog
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  • Human Activities that Alter Earths Atmosphere 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21533 ActivitySubstances with Negative Atmospheric Effect IndustrialSO 2, particulates (PM), CFCs heavy metals, reactive hydrocarbons (HCs) Burning fossil fuelsGHGs, SO 2 TransportationGHGs, smog, NO x, So x, polycyclic aromatic HCs (PAHs), carbon monoxide (CO) DeforestationGHGs, CO, PAHs, PM, loss of carbon sinks Agricultural practicesCH 4
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  • Earths Natural Climate System dynamic atmosphere + circulating ocean + changing Earth surface 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21534
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  • Natural Green House Gas Effect Natural and anthropogenic process 0.6 average global surface air increase in temperature last 100 years Accelerating in recent decades (most likely) due to anthropogenic causes Time lag - changes now may not have effects for decades 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21535 Short wave radiation in, long wave out. 90% long wave absorbed by clouds, vapour, GHGs
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  • Natural Green House Gas Effect GHGs are both natural and anthropogenic: carbon dioxide (CO 2 ); methane (CH 4 ); nitrous oxide (N 2 O); water vapour; ozone (0 3 ) What are some natural sources (pre- industrialization) of these gases? 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21536
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  • Enhanced Greenhouse Gas Effect Concentrations of: CO 2 increased 31 +/- 4% CH 4 increased 151 +/- 25% NO 2 increased 17 +/- 5% exceed any past levels detectable in fossilized air bubbles of ice cores over the past 420,000 years unprecedented rate of increase in last 20,000 years halocarbons: clearly human sources 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21537
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  • Enhanced Greenhouse Gas Effect Characteristics of changes in GHGs GWP Global Warming Potential the climate forcing potential of greenhouse gases as CO 2 eq(uivalents) changes in chlorofluorocarbons and halons: synthetic changes in aerosols: small solid or liquid particles suspended in the air, contribute to photochemical smog, acid deposition, etc. (volcanic eruptions, aircraft emissions) 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21538 Greenhouse GasFormula 100-year GWP (SAR) 100-year GWP (AR4) Carbon dioxideCO211 MethaneCH42125 Nitrous oxideN2O310298 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) in 2007 refined IPCC Second Assessment Report (SAR) values but the latter still in much of the literature
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  • Proposed Causes of Climate Change Changes in: solar intensity stratospheric and tropospheric aerosol concentrations concentrations of GHGs ozone layer thickness ocean - atmosphere systems (e.g., El-Nio) 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 21539 Which is considered by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to likely be the most important cause of accelerated climate change in recent decades?
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  • Enhanced Greenhouse Gas Effect Characteristics of changes in GHGs changes in human-made chlorofluorocarbons and halons (both derivative of methane) changes in aerosols: small solid or liquid particles suspended in the air, contribute to photochemical smog, acid deposition, etc. (e.g.,volcanic eruptions, aircraft emissions) 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215310 methane emitters aerosol + ghg emitters
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  • Enhanced Greenhouse Gas Effect 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215311
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  • 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215312
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  • Impacts of Global Climate Change 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215313 drought and flooding glacial retreat leads to flooding, erosion, and alters hydrological cycle
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  • Thinning of the (Stratospheric) Ozone Layer Ground-level ozone vs stratospheric ozone stratospheric: 15-40km, but maximum concentration 20- 25 km above the Earths surface ozone hole, polar vortex, polar stratospheric clouds 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215314
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  • Thinning of the (Stratospheric) Ozone Layer Ozone (O 3 ) depleting substances (ODS) e.g., volcanoes, chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) Sunlight breaks Cl away from various forms of CFC then... Cl + O 3 ClO + O 2 ClO + O Cl + O 2 one Cl can destroy 100,000 0 3 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215315 Short video on ozone and chlorofluorocarbons CFCs used to be common propellants in aerosol cans (now petroleum products are used GHGs)
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  • Thinning of the Ozone Layer Spatial variations in ozone depletion Antarctic - severe polar vortex polar stratospheric clouds Arctic less severe Tropical/Mid-Latitude least 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215316
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  • Temporal Variation in Stratospheric Ozone 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215317
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  • Climate Change and Ozone Depletion 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215318 Different policies address substances that contribute to ozone depletion and climate change.
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  • Effects of Ozone Depletion Increased ultraviolet (UV) radiation decreased phytoplankton production (primary producers!) biological damage human health threats Canadas UV Index Minimizing Risks of UV Exposure Predictive model based on: sun altitude, ozone concentration, ground altitude, the surface albedo, and cloud cover (not actual radiation) 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215319 Long wave penetrates more but short wave tends to do more damage protect against both!
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  • Ground-Level Ozone Human health risk Component of smog Respiratory problems VOCs volatile organic compounds paints, pesticides, gas vapour, glues, markers 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215320 The baking involves chemistry way beyond the scope of this course, NOx can also combine with carbon monoxide (CO) to form O 3
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  • Smog Mainly particulate matter and ground-level ozone along with their precursors 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215321
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  • Smog and PM 2.5 Penetrates deep into the lungs Impairs lung function Sources (combustion): motor vehicles, power plants (coal!), residential wood burning, forest fires, agricultural burning, industrial processes 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215322
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  • Responses to Atmospheric Changes National Canada-Wide Acid Rain Strategy for Post 2000 Climate Change Action Fund Ozone Layer protection program National Action Program on Climate Change Canada Wide Standards for O 3 and PM 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215323 International Framework Convention on Climate Change Earth Summit Kyoto Protocol (Canada withdrew in 2011 why?) Montreal Protocol Canada-US Air Quality Agreement
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  • Trends in Criteria Air Contaminants over Time Criteria air contaminantsCriteria air contaminants: Sulphur Oxides (SO x ); Nitrogen Oxides (NO x ); Particulate Matter (PM); Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC); Carbon Monoxide (CO); Ammonia (NH 3 ) Ground level ozone (O 3 ) 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215324
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  • Trends in Criteria Air Contaminants over Time 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215325
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  • Trends in Criteria Air Contaminants over Time 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215326 Ground Level Ozone Emissions Canada
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  • Acid Deposition SO 2 +/or NO x + H 2 O vapor H 2 SO 4 orHNO x (sulfuric acid) (nitrate acids) Sources : long range transport of air pollutants (LRTAP) Negative impacts: acidification of water bodies, plants e.g. sugar maples, limestone structures 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215327
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  • Trends in Canadas GHG Emissions 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215328
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  • Exercise: Speed Search and Summarize Policy Levers for Regulating GHGs Sort yourselves into groups of 4 but ensure at least one member has a web-enabled device preferably a laptop Each group come up with 4 key factual bullet points and your groups opinion on the following topic: Cap and trade (all groups on left half of room) Carbon tax (all groups on right half of room) You have about 10 minutes then we will share what you found See slides here after the discussion.slides here 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215329
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  • Future Challenges Predicting Climate Change: General Circulation Models (GCMs) Incomplete knowledge base Canadas reliance on fossil fuels Canadians and cars What do you see as the most significant challenge and why? 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215330
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  • Review Which of the following is not a criteria air contaminant? 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215331 Text a code to 37607 a)Sulphur Oxides (SO x ) 82012 b)Particulate Matter (PM) 82013 c)Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) 82014 d)Carbon Monoxide (CO) 82018 e)Ammonia (NH 3 ) 82034 Or Respond at this linkthis link poll results here No peeking back up the notes
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  • Review Stratospheric O3 is generally considered good while tropospheric O3 is generally considered bad? 10/14/2013 20:05 Baxter Geog 215332 Text a code to 37607 a)True 106560 b)False 106571 Or Respond at this linkthis link poll results here No peeking back up the notes