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GEMS FROM THE NORTH 1

GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

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Page 1: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

GEMS FROMTHE NORTH

1

Page 2: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

About us

.

2

Incorporated in 1982, Raine & Horne International Zaki + Partners Sdn.

Bhd. is a firm of Chartered Surveyors and Registered Valuers. Our practice

covers a wide range of services including property valuation, investment and

project management, property management, real estate agency and

property consultancy.

The firm currently operates twelve (12) offices in Malaysia: Kuala Lumpur,

Petaling Jaya, Subang Jaya, Kelang, Johor Bahru, Melaka, Ipoh, Seremban,

Kuantan, Penang, Kota Kinabalu and Kuching.

Since its inception and establishment, Raine & Horne International Zaki +

Partners Sdn. Bhd. has enjoyed an outstanding and enviable reputation and

success. The firm has received wide recognition from all quarters, nationally

and internationally.

Founded in 1883, Raine & Horne is one of the world’s largest real estate

organisations with offices and affiliates all over the world, including in the

major cities of South East Asia, Europe, Canada, USA, Fiji, Australia, New

Zealand, Japan and Africa.

Raine & Horne International Zaki + Partners Sdn. Bhd. aims to provide our

clients with quality professional service. Raine & Horne International Zaki +

Partners Sdn. Bhd. is committed to the Quality Management System required by

ISO 9001:2008 Standards.

Our team comprises of highly qualified partners in various expertise which

authorize us to offer broad ranges of services in:

Professional Valuation Services

Corporate Advisory Services

Project Management

Property Management & Maintenance

Real Estate Agency

Auctioning

Market Research & Feasibility Studies

Property Investment Consultancy

Building Auditing

Bio Asset Valuation

Forensic Valuation

CYF.A8/10.14

Page 3: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Contents

3

Summary………………..........…...........4

Overview…………....…….....................7

Components of Gems…..…...................8

Basic Information……………….........12

Residents’ Data.....................................15

Property Market in Malaysia………..19

Residential Market for Gems..............26

Residential Market in Penang.............35

Residential Market in Kedah..............37

Residential Market in Perlis……........39

References………………………….....41

Contact us…………………………….42

International Affiliations…………….43

CYF.A8/10.14

Page 4: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Summary

.

4

Basic Information

The northern territories of Peninsular Malaysia consists of 3 states; which are

collectively known as “Gems from the North”. They include Penang, Kedah,

and Perlis. Two of the smallest states in Malaysia (Perlis and Penang) are

located in this region. Although geographically in proximity, the rate of

development across the region varies considerably. Penang is one the most

developed and urbanized state in the country, whereas Perlis has one of the

lowest urbanization rate in Malaysia.

These northern Gems only account for a small portion of Malaysia’s land mass

but is collectively growing in tandem with the country in many different ways.

They include productivity, healthcare, population size, concentration,

urbanization, job opportunities, income, and property market. It should be noted

that Penang is in a more advanced stage of development, whereas Perlis is

lagging. Gems’ property value made up 17% of its GDP output for 2013. The

amount of activity was higher in the area as well with greater percentile of

property transactions per 100 population. However, this rate of increment is

diminishing slowly.

Residents in Gems preferred to dwell nearer to the centre of commercial,

industrial, and agricultural activities of respective states. They include capital of

respective states such as district of Timur Laut (George Town) in Penang, and

Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other

hand, Malaysia’s population is aging slowly (but still in its early stages).

Median age was 26.2 in 2010. Higher number of the population are leaving

childhood and entering the workforce. This is the same for Gems. As for

ethnicity, Gems’ composition is similar to that of Malaysia as a whole.

The LQ/H ratio which came in at 1.18 for Gems has confirmed that there are no

current shortages of houses in this area. However, the stock availability is not

too high. An exception was noticed in the state of Penang which recorded a high

LQ/H ratio when compared to the rest of the northern territories. The reading of

1.21 suggests that this area might be showing signs of excess residential

properties.

CYF.A8/10.14

Page 5: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Summary

Property Market

The property market is highly cyclical with a high correlation between volume

and value. However, this trend was not observed in 2013. Value increased

moderately, while volume dropped considerably. Average price per transaction

had the best run in the 10 years being reviewed. Nonetheless, the residential

sector was more resilient compared to the rest of the market.

Residential sector made up the bulk of the total property market in Malaysia as

well as Gems. The combined residential number of transactions for Gems

accounted for 14% of the total transactions of Malaysia. Turnover rate was fair

at 3.37%, but has declined slightly in terms of YOY. While percentage of

unsold new launches were at the middle range of the country’s list. Within the

vicinity of Gems, a slow trend was seen emerging; where the total weightage of

agricultural sector was gradually shifting towards residential and industrial

sectors.

The state of Penang held the majority of residential transactions for Gems due

to its considerable population size, state of development, and wealth effect. The

recent YOY decline in transacted volume was extremely evident in Penang

(-24%). The entire northern territory was declining at a faster rate than the

country. Gems’ average price per transaction was increasing at a similar pace

with Malaysia; led by Perlis and Penang in Q1 2014.

Gems provide 14% of the total residential supply in Malaysia, which is quite

comparable to the number of transactions (14%) as mentioned earlier.

Collective IS/ES and PS/ES ratios for Gems were slightly higher than national

average. Both instances were led by Penang, followed by Perlis, and Kedah.

Distribution of transactions was quite balanced with slight skewness to the

right; which placed minor emphasis on lower price tags. The highest share was

captured by the price range of RM 50,001 – 100,000. Two of the most preferred

house types for Gems were terrace houses, and condominiums and apartments.

Almost all house types recorded positive YOY changes for average price per

transaction and the rate of increment seemed to be consolidating in the near

term when compared to QOQ.

5CYF.A8/10.14

Page 6: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Summary

A summary of the current residential market in Gems can be illustrated in the

volume and price chart of Figure 1.

In the most recent quarter of Q1 2014, Kedah was in the spotlight with high

average price per transaction growth rate, while prices were fairly stagnant in

Penang. Prices in Perlis depreciated rapidly. Though all states were badly hit by

decreasing volume of transactions, with Penang the least severely affected. The

performance of Gems as a whole was in a deteriorating state.

6

Figure 1: Q1 2014 QOQ changes of Gems for Residential Volume and

Average Price per Transaction (NAPIC, 2014).

CYF.A8/10.14

-8.66

-25.13

-13.24-15.62

1.07

19.07

-30.45

7.68

PENANG KEDAH PERLIS TOTAL

QO

Q C

HA

NG

ES (

%)

VOLUME AVERAGE PRICE PER TRANSACTION

The immense preference for terrace houses was fairly symmetrical across Gems

with 2 -3 storey terrace houses being the main choice in Penang, while single

storey terrace houses were transacted the most in Kedah and Perlis. Heavy

weightage of strata properties was only present in Penang. A growing number of

transactions was witnessed within the price range of RM 200,000 and below in

Q1 2014. In addition, gross rental yields for strata properties were higher than

landed properties in Penang, while average gross rental yields for landed

properties were higher in Kedah and Perlis compared to Penang.

Page 7: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Overview

The northern territories of Peninsular Malaysia consists of 3 states; which are

collectively known as “Gems from the North”. They include Penang, Kedah,

and Perlis. Two of the smallest states in Malaysia (Perlis and Penang) are

located in this region. Although geographically in proximity, the rate of

development across the region varies considerably. Penang is one the most

developed and urbanized state in the country, whereas Perlis has one of the

lowest urbanization rate in Malaysia.

Penang is the only island state in Malaysia, which is prominently known as

“the Pearl of the Orient”. It was originally part of the Malay Sultanate of

Kedah. Due to the lack of land for development, a few land reclamation

projects were untaken to provide suitable low-lying land in high-demand areas

such as Tanjung Tokong, Jelutong, and Queensbay.

Ancient Kedah is one of the oldest civilization in Southeast Asia. The state’s

mainland has a relatively flat terrain, which is suitable for growing rice. Thus, it

is considered the “rice bowl” of Malaysia; accounting for about half of

Malaysia’s total production of rice. In 2008, the state government banned the

conversion of paddy fields to housing and industrial lots to protect the rice

industry. Under the 9th Malaysia Plan, the Northern Corridor Economic

Region (NCER) was implemented; in which an economic area that focuses on

automotive and aerospace industries were established in Kedah. The tourism-

renowned Langkawi island is located in Kedah as well.

The smallest state in Malaysia; is situated at the northern edge of Peninsular

Malaysia, bordered by Thailand. Similar to Penang, Perlis was originally part of

Kedah. The Coat of Arms of Perlis consists of a sturdy green of wreath of padi,

indicating the wealth of the kingdom and the chief economic activity of the

people.

7CYF.A8/10.14

Page 8: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Components of Gems

Compared to other selective regions that were being previously reviewed; such

as the Inner Valley (Klang Valley), Outer Valley, and Borneo, these northern

territories are considered relatively small and diverse.

There is no current official designation of boundaries for Gems and groupings

of selective areas could be highly subjective. For the purpose of studying the

housing market, these selective areas are grouped according to the National

Property Information Centre (NAPIC, 2014). They include:

1. Penang (5 districts)

(Island: Timur Laut, Barat Daya; Mainland: Seberang Perai Utara,

Seberang Perai Tengah, Seberang Perai Selatan)

2. Kedah (12 districts)

(Kuala Muda, Kota Setar, Kulim, Kubang Pasu, Baling, Pendang,

Langkawi, Yan, Sik, Padang Terap, Pokok Sena, Bandar Baharu)

3. Perlis

8CYF.A8/10.14

Figure 2: Georgetown (left), and Menara Alor Setar (Right).

Page 9: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Components of Gems

Figure 3: Map of Penang’s districts (2010 Population and Weightage

in brackets) (Department of Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

9

1. 510,996

(33%)

TOTAL PENANG = 1,526,324:

(42% OF GEMS)

CYF.A8/10.14

2. 362,820

(24%)

3. 288,692

(19%)

4. 197,131

(13%)

5. 166,685

(11%)

Page 10: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Components of Gems

Figure 4: Map of Kedah’s districts (2010 Population and Weightage in

brackets) (Department of Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

10

TOTAL KEDAH = 1,899,751:

(52% OF GEMS)

CYF.A8/10.14

1. 443,488

(23%)

2. 357,176

(19%)

3. 281,260

(15%)

4. 214,479

(11%)

5. 132,304

(7%)

6. 93,598

(5%)

7. 92,784

(5%)

8. 66,606

(4%)

9. 66,387

(3%)

10. 61,970

(3%)

11. 48,347

(3%)

12. 41,352

(2%)

Page 11: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Components of Gems

Figure 5: Map of Perlis’s district (2010 Population and Weightage in

bracket) (Department of Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

11

TOTAL PERLIS = 225,590:

(6% OF GEMS)

CYF.A8/10.14

1. PERLIS

225,590 (100%)

Page 12: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Basic Information

Table 1: Depiction of Gems and Malaysia (2012) (Department of

Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

According to table 1, it is worth noting that the current Gems has a combined land

area of 11,251 km2, which is only 3.41% of the country’s total land mass. However,

the subsequent data of the area is not proportional to its land size. Gems is home to

about 13% of the country’s total population, produces 10.83% of the country’s

GDP, and supplies 12.85% of Malaysia’s total labour force.

Average annual population growth rate and total fertility rate are -0.36% lower and

0.01% higher than the national readings, whereas life expectancy is -0.96% lower.

Both Kedah and Perlis had higher fertility rates, lower population growth rates, and

lower life expectancy rates; suggesting poor family planning, migration of workers,

and lesser standards of living due to lower life expectancy.

GDP growth rate of Gems is -0.28% lower than average and GDP per capita is

-5.08% higher than the country’s mean; dragged down by Kedah and Perlis but

supported by Penang. Such data illustrates the potential of Gems (namely Kedah

and Perlis) to improve on its productivity and standards of living. Job opportunities

are comparable for Gems to other parts of the nation with participation rate of

-0.77% and unemployment rate of -0.46% lower than the national average. Again,

Perlis was the main drag in both aspects.

12CYF.A8/10.14

DEPICTION PENANG KEDAH PERLIS TOTAL MALAYSIA %

1. AREA (KM2) 1,031 9,425 795 11,251 330,290 3.41

2. POPULATION (MILLION) 1.63 1.99 0.24 3.86 29.52 13.083. AVERAGE ANNUAL POPULATION GROWTH

RATE (%) 1.50 1.10 0.70 1.24 1.60 -0.36

4. TOTAL FERTILITY RATE 1.60 2.50 2.40 2.11 2.10 0.01

5. LIFE EXPECTANCY (YEARS) 74.90 73.22 72.95 73.91 74.63 -0.96

6. GDP(A) GDP AT CONSTANT 2005 PRICES ( RM

MILLION) 52,530 25,307 3,535 81,372 751,471 10.83

(B) GDP PER CAPITA AT CURRENT PRICE (RM) 36,669 15,832 18,150 29,384 30,956 -5.08

(C) GDP GROWTH RATE (%) 5.00 6.10 4.50 5.32 5.60 -0.28

7. EMPLOYMENT

(A) LABOUR FORCE ('000) 786.10 809.10 90.60 1,685.80 13,119.60 12.85

(B) PARTICIPATION RATES (%) 68.80 61.70 56.40 64.73 65.50 -0.77

(C) UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (%) 2.00 2.90 4.00 2.54 3.00 -0.46

Page 13: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Basic Information

Table 2: Continuation of Economic Data (2013) (Department of Statistics

Malaysia, 2014).

Besides providing a fair share of the nation’s GDP, Gems’s property market is

slightly ahead compared to its pace of development. In 2013, the area’s combined

nominal GDP and property market value accounted for 10.83% and 12.38% of that

of the nation; with its property market growth rate and prices increasing at a faster

rate than its GDP growth rate.

Property market of the northern territories made up a significant share of the local

economy; ratio of property market value per GDP was 17.36%, which was 2.18%

higher than Malaysia. Population density and urbanization rate were 753.42 person

per km2 and 74.84% respectively. They were 771.61% and 3.84% higher than

Malaysia’s average. Such figures depict that Gems is a highly concentrated and

fairly urbanized area in the context of a nation. Kedah and Perlis deviate

substantially from Penang in this regard.

Gems’ property market was noticed to be more vibrant than the national average.

Number of property transactions per 100 population =

2013: (Gems): 1.38; (Malaysia): 1.30

2012: (Gems): 1.61; (Malaysia): 1.50

In addition, it was noticed that the transacted volume of property market in

northern territories was cooling at a faster rate than the country’s mean. Gems was

one of the more severely affected area in Malaysia (led by Penang); YOY change

for number of transaction was recorded at -14.19%, which was worse than the

country’s mean of -10.85%. Whereas value of transactions increased by 3.95% last

year, compared to a 6.67% increment for the nation (JPPH, 2014).

13CYF.A8/10.14

DEPICTION PENANG KEDAH PERLIS TOTAL MALAYSIA %

1. GDP (NOMIMAL) (RM BILLION) 65.78 31.69 4.43 101.89 940.97 10.83

2. PROPERTY MARKET VALUE (RM BILLION) 12.90 4.44 0.35 17.69 142.84 12.383. PROPERTY MARKET VALUE/GDP

(NOMINAL) (%) 19.61 14.01 7.91 17.36 15.18 2.18

4. DENSITY (PER KM2) (2010) 1,500.00 199.00 280.00 753.42 86.44 771.61

5. URBANISATION RATE (%) (2010) 90.80 64.60 51.40 74.84 71.00 3.84

Page 14: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Basic Information

Table 3: Grouping of Household and Living Quarters by State (2010)

(Department of Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

14

- Ratio of existing residential stock per 100 population =

(Gems): 17.52; (Malaysia): 16.

- Ratio of total population to number of person per household =

(Gems): 884,180 unit of houses (breakeven point); assuming household size is

held constant.

- Existing residential stock =

(Gems): 676,117 unit of houses (an additional of 208,063 units is required to

reach breakeven point); assuming household size is held constant.

As expected, Kedah recorded the highest count for both the number of household

(443,040: 50.16%) and living quarters (518,191: 49.56%). Coming in second was the

state of Penang with 387,180 households (43.84%) and 466,576 living quarters (44.62%).

Perlis only accounted a small portion of the pie; with households and living quarters at

about 6 percent of Gems.

True to the wealth effect, Kedah which has the lowest GDP per capita (lowest purchasing

power) has the highest ratio of person per household, whereas Perlis which is not too far

off has the highest ratio of person per living quarter. The overall readings for Gems were

4.13 person per household and 3.49 person per living quarters. The combined LQ/H ratio

which came in at 1.18 for Gems has confirmed that there are no current shortages of

houses in this area. However, the stock availability is not too high.

It is anticipated that there could be a high possibility of smaller household size in the

future. Such a reduction in the number of person per household would directly increase

the demand for new living quarters and strain the existing housing stock in the market. An

exception was noticed in the state of Penang which recorded a high LQ/H ratio when

compared to the rest of the northern territories. The reading of 1.21 suggests that this area

might be showing signs of excess residential properties.

CYF.A8/10.14

DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD (H)

% LIVING QUARTERS (LQ)

% PERSON / H

PERSON / LQ

LQ / H

PENANG 387,180 43.84 466,576 44.62 3.94 3.27 1.21

KEDAH 443,040 50.16 518,191 49.56 4.29 3.67 1.17

PERLIS 52,995 6.00 60,801 5.82 4.26 3.71 1.15

TOTAL 883,215 100.00 1,045,568 100.00 4.13 3.49 1.18

Page 15: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residents’ Data

Figure 6: Breakdown of Penang’s population by district (2010)

(Department of Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

Figure 7: Breakdown of Kedah’s population by district (2010)

(Department of Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

It may seem logical that most inhabitants will usually reside around the central

hub of commercial activities. In the context of Gems from the North, this area

of central activities include state capitals, industrial and agricultural areas. In

the case for Penang, the district of Timur Laut which houses the capital of

George Town; has the highest portion of the state’s population. Whereas in

Kedah, districts of Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar)

are the core of the state.

15CYF.A8/10.14

TIMUR LAUT33%

SEBERANG PERAI TENGAH

24%

SEBERANG PERAI UTARA

19%

BARAT DAYA13%

SEBERANG PERAI SELATAN

11%

KUALA MUDA23%

KOTA SETAR19%

KULIM15%

KUBANG PASU11%

BALING7%

PENDANG5%

LANGKAWI5%

YAN4%

SIK3%

PADANG TERAP

3%

POKOK SENA3%

BANDAR BAHARU

2%

Page 16: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residents’ Data

Figure 8: Demographics of Malaysia by Age (2000 & 2010) (Department of

Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

33.30

62.80

3.90

27.60

67.30

5.10

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

< AGE 15 AGE 15-64 > AGE 64

WEI

GH

TAG

E (%

)

AGE GROUP

2000 2010

Age

Malaysia’s population is aging slowly (but still in its early stages); with lower

portion of children age group (< age 15) in 2010 compared to 2000. Working age

adults (age 15 - 64) and retirement segments (> age 64) have increased by 4.5%

and 1.2% respectively. Median age has increased from 23.6 (2000) to 26.2

(2010); which is still a relatively young population.

The country’s dependency ratio has dropped from 0.59 (2000) to 0.49 (2010),

reinforcing the fact that:

1. Population growth is slowing

2. Children age group is diminishing (entering the age of workforce)

3. Working age group is increasing

4. More working adults are supporting the non-working classes

(children and elders).

16CYF.A8/10.14

Page 17: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residents’ Data

Figure 9: Demographics of Gems by Age (2010) (Department of

Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

Figure 10: Dependency ratio of Gems (2010) (Department of Statistics

Malaysia, 2014).

The northern territories account for 13.08% of the total population in Malaysia and has a

dependency ratio of 0.86; which is quite high. This indicates a significant proportion of

non-working age groups (children and elders) as compared to the working age groups. It

was worth noting that Penang has the lowest dependency ratio in Gems (0.73). While

Perlis has an unusual ratio of more than 1, indicating there are more non-working age

groups (children and elders) than working age.

The overall population of Gems is very young as well; which is in tandem with the

national average. The 3 largest age groups are 0-19 (36.30%), 20-29 (17.33%), and 30-39

(13.93%). They account for 67.56% of the total population in Gems. However, the huge

gap between age group of 0-19 and 20-29 suggests that a large portion of the young

working adults are moving to possibly the Inner Valley in search of better job

opportunities. Even the highly developed state of Penang is not spared.17CYF.A8/10.14

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

0-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-75+

PO

PU

LATI

ON

AGE GROUPPERLIS PENANG KEDAH

0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

DEPENDENCY RATIO

PERLIS PENANG KEDAH

Page 18: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residents’ Data

Figure 11: Demographics of Malaysia by Ethnicity (2010) (Department of

Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

BUMI62%

CHINESE22%

INDIANS7%

OTHERS1%

NON-CITIZEN

8%

Malaysia has a total population of

28.30 million as at 2010; with

61.87% as Bumiputeras, 22.58%

as Chinese, 6.70% as Indians,

0.64% classified as others, and

8.20% as non-citizens.

Figure 12: Demographics of Gems by Ethnicity (2010) (Department of

Statistics Malaysia, 2014).

Ethnicity

Gems’ overall population composition is similar to that of Malaysia; 61.70%

Bumiputeras, 25.22% Chinese, 7.81% Indians, 0.93% others, and 4.34% non-

citizens. However, districts within Gems has significantly different ethnic

composition.

In the state of Penang, Chinese and Bumiputeras made up the bulk of the

population (42.90% and 41.18% respectively). Whereas Indians came in at 9.82%.

In Kedah, the top three ethnic groups were Bumiputeras (75.26%), Chinese

(13.09%), and Indians (6.99%). Population composition in Perlis include 86.24%

Bumiputeras, 7.77% Chinese, 2.36% others, and 1.19% Indians.18CYF.A8/10.14

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

BUMIPUTERA CHINESE INDIANS OTHERS NON-CITIZEN

PO

PU

LATI

ON

ETHNICITYPERLIS PENANG KEDAH

Page 19: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Property market in Malaysia

Figure 13: Malaysia’s overall property market (2004 – 2013) (NAPIC, 2014).

-20.00

-10.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

% C

HA

NG

E YO

Y

VOLUME (% CHANGE) VALUE (% CHANGE) AVERAGE PRICE PER TRANSACTION (% CHANGE)

The property market in Malaysia is highly cyclical. There is a high correlation

between volume and value (correlation of efficiency value of 0.75; from 2003 -

2012). 2013 proved to an excepting year, which recorded the worst decline in

amount of transaction for the last 10 years; declining by -10.85% YOY.

However, the total value of transaction recorded a decent gain of 6.67% YOY. This

led to the biggest yearly gain in the last 10 years for the average price per

transaction (rising by a staggering 19.65%). It is yet to be determined that such a

rise in average price per transaction is sustainable if volume does not exist to

support it.

19CYF.A8/10.14

Page 20: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Property market in Malaysia

Figure 14: Volume of Malaysia property market by sectors (2004 – 2013)

(NAPIC, 2014).

-20.00

-10.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

% C

HA

NG

E YO

Y

RESIDENTIAL COMMERCIAL INDUSTRIAL AGRICULTURAL DL & OTHERS

Volume

2013 saw a broad decrease over all sectors of the property market; led by the

commercial sector (-16.51%), industrial (-15.69%), agricultural (-12.37%),

residential (-9.70%), and development land and others (-6.99%).

Value

Unlike volume, the commercial sector witnessed the highest incremental in value

(27.96%), followed by the residential sector (6.34%), industrial (2.69%),

agricultural (-6.97%), and lastly development land and others (-8.89%).

For both of these instances, the residential property sector showed resilience

compared to the rest of the market.

Figure 15: Value of Malaysia property market by sectors (2004 – 2013)

(NAPIC, 2014).

-60.00

-40.00

-20.00

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

% C

HA

NG

E Y

OY

RESIDENTIAL

COMMERCIAL

INDUSTRIAL

AGRICULTURAL

DL & OTHERS

20CYF.A8/10.14

Page 21: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Property market in Malaysia

Figure 16: Malaysia’s average price per transaction by sectors (RM in million

(2004 – 2013) (NAPIC, 2014).

Average price per transaction

In 2013, the commercial sector recorded the biggest change in the last 10 years

(53.27%), followed by the industrial sector (21.79%), residential (17.76%), and

agricultural (6.16%). Whereas average price per transaction for development land

and others marked the steepest unusual decline in the last 10 years (-43.28%).

Abiding by the norm, the industrial sector has the highest average price per

transaction of RM 1.46 million, followed by commercial (RM 1.04 million),

development land and others (RM 0.89 million), residential (RM 0.29 million),

and agricultural (RM 0.14 million).

21CYF.A8/10.14

Page 22: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Property market in Malaysia

Figure 17: Weightage of Malaysia property market by sectors (Volume)

(2004 – 2013) (NAPIC, 2014).

Weightage of sectors

The residential market made up the bulk of the total property market in

Malaysia; with a 10 year mean value of 63.87%, followed by the agricultural

sector (19.59%), commercial (9.36%), development land and others (4.67%), and

industrial (2.47%). A decrease in weightage for all sectors except residential

(0.82%), and development land and others (0.25) was observed in 2013.

22CYF.A8/10.14

Page 23: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Property market in Malaysia

Figure 18: Number of transactions by state in Malaysia (2012 – 2013)

(JPPH, 2014).

Number of transactions

In 2013, Selangor recorded the highest amount of transactions (81,955: 22%) in

Malaysia, followed by Johor (52,779: 14%), and Perak (46,234: 12%). These 3

states made up almost half of the total transactions in Malaysia. Kedah was ranked

number 5 out of the 16 states being examined (25,389: 7%), Penang was at the 6th

spot with 24,346 number of transactions at 6%, and Perlis was third last with

3,591 transactions (1%). The combined number of transactions in Borneo made up

approximately 14% of total transactions in Malaysia.

In terms of YOY changes, all states recorded negative growth rates except for

Johor (7.07%), and Perlis (5.93%). Kedah was ranked number 8 (-8.59%), while

Penang came in at number 13 (-21.41%). Gems as a whole was worse off than the

national average. The former declined by -14.19%, compared to a decline of

-10.85% of the latter.

23CYF.A8/10.14

27,775

30,977

3,390

25,389

24,3463,591

-8.59

-21.41

5.93

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

%U

NIT

S

2012 2013 % (YOY) 2013 COUNTRY MEAN (% YOY)

Page 24: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Property market in Malaysia

Figure 19: Turnover Rate of Malaysia Residential Market by state

(2012 & 2013) (JPPH, 2014).

Turnover rate (Residential)

For the year ended 2013, the state of Perak recorded the highest turnover rate in

Malaysia; clocking in at 4.35%, coming in second was Sarawak (4.04%), then

Melaka (3.92%). The bottom 3 states were Labuan (1.60%), Kelantan (2.28%), and

Sabah (2.29%). Gems has a combined turnover rate of 3.37%. The country’s mean

turnover rate was 3.34%.

In terms of YOY changes, Perlis was the highest (0.79%), followed by Johor

(0.37%), and then Pahang (0.22%). The bottom 3 states were Putrajaya (-2.85%),

Kuala Lumpur (-1.71%), and Pulau Pinang (-1.20%). Gems as a whole recorded

YOY change of -0.76%. The country’s mean YOY reading was -0.50%.

24CYF.A8/10.14

2.84

4.60

3.563.63

3.403.31

0.79

-1.20

-0.25

-3.5

-3

-2.5

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

CH

AN

GE (%

)TU

RN

OV

ER (

%)

2012 2013 % (YOY) 2013 COUNTRY MEAN (% YOY)

Page 25: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Property market in Malaysia

Figure 20: Percentage of Unsold Residential Units (New Launches) by state in

Malaysia (2013) (JPPH, 2014).

Unsold units of New launches (Residential)

In 2013, based on individual states; Kelantan recorded the highest percentage of

unsold residential units (new launches) in Malaysia (66.70%), followed by

Terengganu (63.46%), and Sarawak (51.43%). Gems has a collective unsold

fraction of 41.75.%. The country’s mean reading was 43.90%.

In terms of YOY changes, Sarawak was the highest (11.21%), followed by

Kelantan (10.95%), and then Terengganu (5.35%). The bottom 3 states were

Perlis (-38.62%), Pahang (-8.67%), and Putrajaya (-7.74%). Gems has a mutual

YOY change of -8.36%. The country’s mean YOY reading was -3.22%.

25CYF.A8/10.14

51.99

78.15

42.15

45.92

39.5334.42

-6.07

-38.62

-7.73

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

CH

AN

GE (%

)UN

SOLD

(%

)

TOTAL UNSOLD 2012 TOTAL UNSOLD 2013

% CHANGE (1 YR) COUNTRY MEAN (1 YR)

Page 26: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Figure 21: Weightage of Gems property market by sectors (Volume) (2013)

(JPPH, 2014).

Weightage by sectors

Similar to national norm, the residential market made up the bulk of the total

property market transactions in Gems; with a share of 63.31%, followed by

agricultural (18.37%), development land and others (8.25%), commercial sector

(8.05%), and industrial (2.02%). There was a shift in weightage from agricultural to

residential and industrial sectors as a share of the total transactions.

It is worth noting that the weightage of residential, commercial, industrial, and

agricultural sectors were lower than national average. Whereas development land

and others were higher.

YOY, most sectors recorded broad decrease except for the industrial sector

(2.97%). Such cutback was led by the agricultural sector (-26.45%), commercial

(-12.23%), residential (-12.15%), and lastly development land (-1.33%). Gems’

average was -14.19%.26CYF.A8/10.14

-30.00

-25.00

-20.00

-15.00

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

CH

AN

GES (%

)N

UM

BER

OF

TRA

NSA

CTI

ON

S

SUB-SECTORS PERLIS KEDAH PENANG YOY (%)

Page 27: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Figure 22: Number of residential transactions by state for Gems (2013)

(JPPH, 2014).

Weightage by area (Residential)

Due to its population size, state of development, and wealth effect; Penang

captured the major share of total residential property transactions in the northern

territory. The state recorded 52.43% of Gems’ transaction, whereas Kedah and

Perlis account for 44% and 4% of the total transactions respectively. Gems as a

whole only possessed 13.71% of Malaysia’s total residential property market

transactions.

In terms of YOY, Penang was affected the most by the recent declining trend. The

state’s transactions declined by -23.92%. While Perlis and Kedah improved by

21.07% and 4.84% respectively. This resulted in Gems’ transactions to deteriorate

by -12.15%; which was worse than the national average of -9.70%.

27CYF.A8/10.14

-30.00

-25.00

-20.00

-15.00

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

PENANG KEDAH PERLIS TOTAL MALAYSIA

CH

AN

GES (%

)N

UM

BER

OF

TRA

NSA

CTI

ON

S

AREA2013 YOY (%)

Page 28: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Figure 23: Average price per transaction of Residential Properties for Gems

(RM) (2013) (JPPH, 2014).

Average price per transaction (Residential)

Contrary to its dwindling volume, Penang has the highest average price per

transaction in the northern territory; RM 400,738 (YOY: 31.45%). Coming in

second was the minuscule state of Perlis with RM 172,564 (YOY: 49.27%). The

largest contributor in terms of land mass was last at RM 148,523 (YOY: 0.75%).

The combined average price per transaction for Gems was RM 281,616 (YOY:

16.42%). The country’s average was RM 292,661 (YOY: 17.76%). Hence the

absolute and relative values for both Gems were slightly lower than the national

average. Given the favorable conditions, there is high potential for further

development in this region (especially Kedah).

28CYF.A8/10.14

400,738

148,523

172,564

281,616292,661

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

PENANG KEDAH PERLIS AVERAGE MALAYSIA

CH

AN

GES (%

)A

VER

AG

E P

RIC

E P

ER T

RA

NSA

CTI

ON

(R

M I

N M

ILLI

ON

)

AREA2013 YOY (%)

Page 29: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Figure 24: Supply compilation of Residential Properties for Gems (2013)

(JPPH, 2014).

Supply compilation

As usual, Penang hoards the largest number of existing residential stock in Gems

(55.90%), followed by Kedah (40.87%), and Perlis (3.23%). Incoming and planned

supplies were witnessed to be increasing at a steady pace.

In terms of IS/ES ratio, all 3 states were somewhat higher than the national

average. The national reading was 14.76%. Whereas for PS/ES ratio, only the state

of Penang (15.65%) was higher than the national average (13.05%). Perlis and

Kedah were both lower at 11.60% and 10.53% respectively.

Favorable economic and employment conditions, coupled with the progressive

state of property market in Penang; reinforced the fact that this island is indeed

“The Pearl of the Orient”. However, recent setbacks such as declining volume

transacted and turnover rate were most likely part of the consolidation process.

Nonetheless, strong price appreciation and improving incoming and planned

supplies might just imply the resilience of this island state.29CYF.A8/10.14

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

PENANG KEDAH PERLIS TOTAL MALAYSIA

SUP

PLY R

ATIO

(%)

NU

MB

ER O

F U

NIT

S (S

UP

PLY

0

AREA

PLANNED SUPPLY (PS) INCOMING SUPPLY (IS) EXISTING STOCK (ES) IS/ES (%) PS/ES (%)

Page 30: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Figure 25: Supply compilation of Residential Properties for Gems (2013)

(JPPH, 2014).

Supply compilation (Cont’d)

Referring to Figure 25, near term supply growth rate was strong with Penang

leading the charge at 17.06%. Whereas supply in the mid term was in a declining

state led by Penang as well at 15.65%.

When segregating new supply into physical availability, it was observed that

majority of the launches were under construction (54.20%). YOY changes for

newly launched and not constructed projects declined sharply across the board.

Whereas YOY changes for completed projects were tremendous in Penang and

Perlis but declined slightly in Kedah. Under construction units were positive in

both Penang and Kedah but declined by a large margin in Perlis.

The YOY change for newly launched units per total transactions was negative

across the northern territories (-3.86%). YOY for completed houses per total

transactions was positive except for Kedah (3.36%). While YOY for total launches

per total transactions was positive (7.84%); supported largely by Penang.30CYF.A8/10.14

-50.00

-40.00

-30.00

-20.00

-10.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

PENANG KEDAH PERLIS TOTAL MALAYSIA

YO

Y C

HA

NG

ES (%)

RA

TIO

(%

)

STATEIS/ES (%) PS/ES (%)

NEWLY LAUNCHED/TOTAL TRANSACTIONS COMPLETED/TOTAL TRANSACTIONS

TOTAL LAUNCHES/TOTAL TRANSACTIONS

Page 31: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Figure 26: Number of residential transactions by price range for Gems

(Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

Figure 27: Number of residential transactions by house type for Gems

(Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

31CYF.A8/10.14

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

(A) 0 -50,000

(B) 50,001- 100,000

(C)100,001 -150,000

(D)150,001 -200,000

(E)200,001 -250,000

(F)250,001 -300,000

(G)300,001 -400,000

(H)400,001 -500,000

(I) 500,001-

1,000,000

(J)1,000,001- ABOVE

WEIG

HTA

GE (%

)N

UM

BER

OF

TRA

NSA

CTI

ON

S

PRICE RANGE (RM)

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 W (Q1 2013) W (Q4 2013) W (Q1 2014)

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

WEIG

HTA

GE (%

)NU

MB

ER O

F TR

AN

SAC

TIO

NS

HOUSE TYPE

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 W (Q1 2013) W (Q4 2013) W (Q1 2014)

Page 32: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Figure 28: Residential average price per transaction by house type for Gems

(RM in million) (Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

Distribution for the value of transactions in northern territories was quite balanced with

slight skewness to the right, which placed minor emphasis on lower price tags of RM

200,000 and below. The most transacted price range was RM 50,001 – 100,000

(17.33%) in Q1 2014, followed by RM 100,001 – 150,000 (13.88%), and RM 150,001

– 200,000 (12.35%). There was a redistribution of weightage from higher price range

of RM 200,001 – RM 500,000, to lower price range of RM 50,001 – RM 200,000 in

Q1 2014. However, transactions above RM 500,001 were resilient.

The most preferred house type in Gems was terrace houses which made up close to

32% of the total transactions in Q1 2014. In addition, there was a high preference for

condominiums and apartments which represent 11% of the total transactions. Single-

storey semi-detached, flats, and low-cost houses each made up 10% of Gems’ Q1 2014

transaction market. All of the other house types were less than 10% each. Number of

transactions for all strata properties was less than 27%.

Generally, almost all house types recorded positive YOY changes for average price per

transaction except for housing classified under others. When compared with QOQ

changes, the rate of increment seemed to be consolidating in the near term.

32CYF.A8/10.14

0.12 0.16

0.450.24

0.650.88

0.60

0.20

0.490.22

0.08 0.08

1.32

-100.00

-50.00

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

CH

AN

GES (%

)A

VER

AG

E P

RIC

E P

ER T

RA

NSA

CTI

ON

(R

M I

N M

ILLI

ON

)

HOUSE TYPE

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 YOY (%) QOQ (%)

Page 33: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Figure 29: Average gross rental yield of Residential Properties in Penang

(2013) (JPPH, 2014).

33

Figure 30: Average gross rental yield of Landed Residential Properties in

Kedah (2013) (JPPH, 2014).

CYF.A8/10.14

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00

SINGLE-STOREY TERRACED (%)

DOUBLE-STOREY TERRACED (%)

SINGLE-STOREY SEMI-DETACHED (%)

CONDOMINIUMS (%)

1.91

1.98

3.82

12.00

AVERAGE GROSS RENTAL YIELD (%)

4.60

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

KEDAH

GR

OSS

REN

TAL

YIE

LD (

%)

AREA

UPPER CASE (%) LOWER CASE (%) AVERAGE (%)

Page 34: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market for Gems

Gross Rental Yield

It was observed that the average gross rental yield for Penang was higher for the

strata segment compared to the landed sector. Whereas within the landed

property segment, single-storey semi-detached houses recorded a higher

average gross rental yield compared to terraced houses.

Average gross rental yields for landed properties in Kedah and Perlis were

noticed to be higher than Penang. This may be attributed to the faster

appreciation rate of house prices in Penang compared to the other 2 states in

recent times; in which the incremental in rental yields has not caught up with

the appreciation rate of house prices. While single-storey terraced houses in

Perlis had a higher average gross rental yield than semi-detached houses.

34CYF.A8/10.14

Figure 31: Average gross rental yield of Residential Properties in Perlis

(2013) (JPPH, 2014).

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00

SINGLE-STOREY TERRACED (%)

SEMI-DETACHED (%)

3.53

2.67

AVERAGE GROSS RENTAL YIELD (%)

Page 35: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market in Penang

Figure 32: Number of residential transactions by price range in Penang

(Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

Figure 33: Number of residential transactions by house type in Penang

(Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

35CYF.A8/10.14

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

(A) 0 -50,000

(B) 50,001- 100,000

(C)100,001 -150,000

(D)150,001 -200,000

(E)200,001 -250,000

(F)250,001 -300,000

(G)300,001 -400,000

(H)400,001 -500,000

(I)500,001 -1,000,000

(J)1,000,001- ABOVE

WEIG

HTA

GE (%

)N

UM

BER

OF

TRA

NSA

CTI

ON

S

PRICE RANGE (RM)

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 W (Q1 2013) W (Q4 2013) W (Q1 2014)

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

WEIG

HTA

GE (%

)NU

MB

ER O

F TR

AN

SAC

TIO

NS

HOUSE TYPE

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 W (Q1 2013) W (Q4 2013) W (Q1 2014)

Page 36: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market in Penang

Figure 34: Residential average price per transaction by house type in Penang

(RM in million) (Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

In this finale, the number of transactions for Gems will be further broken down into individual

states; mainly Penang, Kedah, and Perlis.

Penang

The highest number of transactions was recorded in the price range of RM 500,001 – 1,000,000;

which accounts for 18% of the total transactions in Penang. The second was RM 50,001 –

100,000 at 14%. Mid-price range of RM 300,001 – 400,000 was at third with 12%. The price

range of RM 100,001 – 150,000 came in at 4th with 11%. As for other categories, every single

one of these price range has less than 10% each from the total transactions in Penang. In previous

quarters, it was noticed that the price range was slightly skewed to the left, which put more

emphasis on upper-mid price range. However, in Q1 2014; this trend was reversed, which put

more weightage on lower price range.

The most preferred house type in Penang was terrace houses which made up more than 30% of

the total transactions in Q1 2014. This was followed by condominiums and apartments which

represents 19% of the total transactions. Flats were third with 18%. All of the other house types

were less than 10% each. Number of transactions for all strata properties was capped at 44%.

Generally, almost all house types recorded positive YOY changes for average price per

transactions. Some of the biggest advancers were cluster and detached houses. QOQ, half of the

house types recorded positive growth. One of the notable gainer was cluster houses. However,

when compared with QOQ changes, the rate of increment seems to be slowing down in the near

term for all house types except for cluster houses.36

0.30 0.21 0.51 0.330.79

1.27

0.61

0.200.52 0.22 0.10

0.08

1.89

-100.00

0.00

100.00

200.00

300.00

400.00

500.00

600.00

700.00

800.00

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

CH

AN

GES (%

)A

VER

AG

E P

RIC

E P

ER T

RA

NSA

CTI

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(R

M I

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ILLI

ON

)

HOUSE TYPE

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 YOY (%) QOQ (%)

CYF.A8/10.14

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Residential market in Kedah

Figure 35: Number of residential transactions by price range in Kedah

(Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

Figure 36: Number of residential transactions by house type in Kedah

(Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

37CYF.A8/10.14

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

(A) 0 -50,000

(B) 50,001- 100,000

(C)100,001 -150,000

(D)150,001 -200,000

(E)200,001 -250,000

(F)250,001 -300,000

(G)300,001 -400,000

(H)400,001 -500,000

(I) 500,001-

1,000,000

(J)1,000,001- ABOVE

WEIG

HTA

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BER

OF

TRA

NSA

CTI

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S

PRICE RANGE (RM)

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 W (Q1 2013) W (Q4 2013) W (Q1 2014)

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

WEIG

HTA

GE (%

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UM

BER

OF

TRA

NSA

CTI

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HOUSE TYPE

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 W (Q1 2013) W (Q4 2013) W (Q1 2014)

Page 38: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market in Kedah

Figure 37: Residential average price per transaction by house type in Kedah

(RM in million) (Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

Kedah

Most transactions in this state was concentrated within the price range of RM

200,000 and below (77%); with the most under RM 50,001 – 100,000 (23%). Other

categories were less significant. As such, the price range was somewhat skewed to

the right, which put more emphasis on lower price range.

Unlike Penang, landed properties were dominant in the state of Kedah. The most

transacted house type in Kedah was single storey terrace houses (25%), followed

by low-cost and single storey semi-detached houses (20% each). Within the state,

there was an enlarged appetite for single storey terrace, single storey semi-

detached, and low-cost houses.

YOY changes for average price per transactions were mixed. Some of the biggest

advancers were vacant plots, flats, and low-cost houses. QOQ, all house types

recorded positive growth except for town houses, flats, and low-cost flats. None of

the gainers recorded outstanding growth. When compared with QOQ changes, the

rate of change seems to be subdued in the near term for all house types.

38CYF.A8/10.14

0.06 0.12 0.22 0.21 0.33 0.310.17

0.000.18 0.11 0.08 0.03 0.00

-150.00

-100.00

-50.00

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

CH

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RA

NSA

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M I

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ILLI

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)

HOUSE TYPE

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 YOY (%) QOQ (%)

Page 39: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market in Perlis

Figure 38: Number of residential transactions by price range in Perlis

(Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

Figure 39: Number of residential transactions by house type in Perlis

(Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

39CYF.A8/10.14

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

(A) 0 -50,000

(B) 50,001- 100,000

(C)100,001 -150,000

(D)150,001 -200,000

(E)200,001 -250,000

(F)250,001 -300,000

(G)300,001 -400,000

(H)400,001 -500,000

(I) 500,001-

1,000,000

(J)1,000,001- ABOVE

WEIG

HTA

GE (%

)N

UM

BER

OF

TRA

NSA

CTI

ON

S

PRICE RANGE (RM)

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 W (Q1 2013) W (Q4 2013) W (Q1 2014)

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

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GE (%

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MB

ER O

F TR

AN

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HOUSE TYPE

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 W (Q1 2013) W (Q4 2013) W (Q1 2014)

Page 40: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

Residential market in Perlis

Figure 40: Residential average price per transaction by house type in Perlis

(RM in million) (Q1 2014) (NAPIC, 2014).

Perlis

Similar to Penang and Kedah, price concentration for Perlis was within the lower to

middle ranges. Distribution of the value of transactions within Perlis was focused

on the range of RM 400,000 and below (97%). The shape of the entire distribution

was somewhat skewed to the right. There was a weightage redistribution from the

range of RM 400,001 – 500,000 to RM 150,001 – 200,000 in Q1 2014.

The most preferred house type in Perlis was single storey terrace houses which

made up close to 30% of the total transactions in Q1 2014. This was followed by

single storey semi-detached which represents 20% of the total transactions. Low-

cost houses were third at 17%. Vacant plots and 2 – 3 semi-detached houses each

account for 10% respectively. All of the other house types were less than 10% each.

Number of transactions for all strata properties was nil in Q1 2014.

Generally, YOY changes for average price per transactions were positive for all

house types. Notable advancers include cluster, low-cost, and 2 – 3 storey terrace

houses. However, when compared with QOQ changes, the rate of increment seems

to be diminishing in the near term.

40CYF.A8/10.14

0.06 0.15 0.28 0.26 0.36 0.32 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.19

-150.00

-100.00

-50.00

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

350.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

CH

AN

GES (%

)A

VER

AG

E P

RIC

E P

ER T

RA

NSA

CTI

ON

(R

M I

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ILLI

ON

)

HOUSE TYPE

Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 YOY (%) QOQ (%)

Page 41: GEMS FROM THE NORTH - Raine & Horne. Gems from the North.pdf · Kuala Muda (Sungai Petani) and Kota Setar (Alor Setar) in Kedah. On the other hand, Malaysia’s population is aging

References

Department of Statistics Malaysia. (2014) Statistical Releases, [Online],

Available: http://www.statistics.gov.my/portal/index.php?option=

com_content&view=article&id=472&Itemid=111&lang=en&negeri=Malaysia

[15 Sep 2014].

JPPH. (2014) Property Market Report 2013, Putrajaya: Valuation and Property

Services Department.

NAPIC. (2014) Key Statistics, [Online], Available:

http://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal [15 Sep 2014].

41CYF.A8/10.14

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Contact us

42

OFFICE EMAIL TELEPHONE

HQ (KL) [email protected] 603 26980911

Petaling Jaya [email protected] 603 78806542

Subang Jaya [email protected] 603 56319668

Klang [email protected] 603 33420193603 33420182

Ipoh [email protected] 605 2532804605 2413888

Seremban [email protected] 606 6333211

Melaka [email protected] 606 2860017606 2840017

Penang [email protected] 604 2638093604 2612032

Johor Bahru [email protected] 607 3863791607 3863795

Kuantan [email protected] 609 5157100

Kuching [email protected] 6082 235236

Kota Kinabalu [email protected] 6088 266520

CYF.A8/10.14

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International Affiliations

43

Country Affiliates

Australia

Corporate Office – SydneyNew South Wales – Sydney

Queensland –BrisbaneVictoria - Melbourne

South Australia – Kent TownTasmania – Hobart

Western Australia – South PerthNorthern Territory – Parap

Austria DMH Vienna

Belgium Activia Belgium SA

Czech Republic Huber Holdings Prag s.r.o

Fiji Raine & Horne Fiji

Hong Kong Raine & Horne Projects Hong Kong

Hungary Dr. Max Huber Kft.

India Arora & Associates Realty Ltd.

Italy GC International S.R.L.

JapanKiuchi Property Counselors & Valuers

Inc

United Kingdom Raine & Horne Crossgates

UAE Raine & Horne Dubai

Vanuatu Raine & Horne Vanuatu

CYF.A8/10.14

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Raine & Horne International Zaki + Partnerswww.raineandhorne.com.my

Perpetual 99, Jalan Raja Muda Abdul Aziz, 50300 Kuala Lumpur

Tel: 03-2698 0911 Fax: 03-2691 1959 Email: [email protected]

Company No. 99440-T, VE (1) 0067

44