Gartner Top 10 Tech Trends

8/10/2019 Gartner Top 10 Tech Trends

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Top 10Strategic TechnologyTrends for 2015David Cearley


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Digital Business Sets the Stage

Implement nemodels relying

Improve efficiency/ef

with m

Business Process

Business Moment

Business Model

Evolve processes into newbusiness models

Extend and evolve mode

Extend and evolve procesNew models and processes


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Technology Adoption andMarket Disruption

Time

Growth

Emerging Growth Mainstream

DisruptionClarified and

StartingDisruptionUncertain

DisruptionHappening orHappened

StrateTechnTrend


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Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends fo

The New ITReality Emerges

IntelligenceEverywhere

Merging the RealWorld and the

Virtual World

Computing Everywhere

Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analyti

Cloud/Client Computing

The Internet of Things

3D Printing

1

2

3

Context-Rich Systems

Smart Machines

4

5

6

Software-Defined Applications and Infrast

Web-Scale IT

Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

7

8

9

10


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Virtual World





3D Printing

1

2

3


Smart Machines

4

5

6


Web-Scale IT


7

8

9

10


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Computing Everywhere Look Beyond Mobile Form Facto

Inside everything All around

Pocketable

Portable Desk

Touch, voice, etc.

Keyboard, mouse

Portable screenWearableConvertible

Many form factors, screen sizes,

interaction styles, platforms, architectures

Technology advances accelerate:Sensors, displays, wireless and more

Gesture

Embrace heterogeneity and l

complete control

Use containment and isolatiofoundational security strategy


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The User Experiencein a Hyper Connected World

Richer I/OModels

EmIm

Consumer-Driven

Mu


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Think "Outside in" and Focus on SoluArchitecture, Design Thinking and Develo

Exploit the natural affinity between agiledevelopment methodologies and UX Pilotand iterate

Create UX pattern libraries that guide applicatio

development teams Personas and use cases

Tool software, so usage data can be extractedand analyzed Continuous feedback

1

2

3


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The Internet of Things Links to Every

Internet 25B Thin

Internet of Information30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013

Internet 3B Foursqua

Janua

Manage

Monetize

Operate

Extend

Internet of People1.11B People on Facebook,

March 2013


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Identify New Patterns and Define New TecArchitectures for the Internet of Thin

Cloud/"Internet"

En

On-Thing Gateway

AnalytDataApplicationLogic and Rules

UserInterface

101010010101001101010101001010110101011


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ExperimentA $75 Proof of Con

Can Save $75,0

Source: http://supermechanical.tumblr.com/post/51173089463/in-an-internet-of-medical-devices-weve-got-the

"Customer down, magnet$75,000 magnet recoveryto recool the magnet.

These have really worked

monitoring our magnets ain Ohio."

and embrace the "make


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"3d printing is not new but is newly str

Enterprise Consumer

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

81.9%CAGR

Billions ofDollars


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Consumer Shipments Point toMore Pervasive Use

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Shipments

95.4%CAGR

Enterprise Consumer


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Look for Innovation Opportunities FroSimple & Mundane to the Complex and

Airbus A320

Redesigned NacelleHinge Bracket

Injection MoldsCut Tooling Costs

by Up to 97%

Courtesy of EOS

Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs


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Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Quest

Responsive Will we be able to focus more on our needs and less on our manufacturing

KnowledgeDo we need to develop our staff's addmanufacturing skills?

AgileWill we make our product developmeproduction processes more nimble?

CostHow much can we reduce product deoperating and support costs?

Will we be able to create items that wdifficult or impossible to produce befoInnovation


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Virtual World





3D Printing

1

2

3


Smart Machines

4

5

6


Web-Scale IT


7

8

9

10


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Big Data Security Analytics at the HeNext-Generation Security Platform

Information

Knowledge

Big Data

Logs, Events, Costs, Usage, Attacks, Breaches

DataData DataData

Collect, Correlate

Analyze

Dependencies,Relationships

Patterns,Meaningful

Anomalies

ContextCommunity

Model, Simulate, Act, ProtectContinuousMonitoring

and Analytics

Context-Aware Intelligence


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ManagedTransformed

Filtered

Secured (Somewhat)

Portable

Potable (Fit for Consumpt

Data Lake or Reserv

UnmanagedOriginal

Raw

Natural Security

Not Portable

Consumption Fitness Uncertain


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Context-Rich Systems UnderstanWho, What, When, Where, How and

User-Facing

Context Content SourcesProcess Models

Environment

Community

Identity and Pref.

Location

Calendar

Etc.

History

Connectivity

Patterns

System-Fac

Context


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Mobile Context Fluid Workspace Driveby Convenience and Context

Process and workpractice innovatio

Continued loof IT contro

BYOD andBYOA

Work anywhere

at any time

Employees will own manycomputing devices

Employee autonomy inprocesses, apps, devices

Personal CloudDefines Workspace
http://content.gartner.com/core/component/getcontent?streamingMode=view&objectId=0901cd77803d6044


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Real-Time, Context-Aware, Risk-AwaActive: Adaptive Access Contro

Risk engine.

Trust elevation.

Step-up authentication.

Transaction verification.

Contextualinformation.

Get more informatio

Allow access.

STOP Deny access.

Allow access withfine-grained audit.

Other obligation.

E i T d


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Emerging Trend:The Contextual User Experience

Personal Assistants as InContextual Information:

Location Information

Available Endpoints

Human Request for Action

Relevant Services and Content

User Experience Platform:

Intermediary Between Users andContent/Capabilities

Acts for or Interacts With the User toAccomplish Goals:

- The Invisible User Interface

Dynamically Assembles UI Screens/Forms

Siri Cortana

Image MicrosoftImage Apple

Just the Begin

S t M hi C t i


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Information-Based Helpers

Machine-Focused Helpers

Sages

Doers

Autonomous Vehicles

Smart Machine CategoriesBased on What They Do

Movers

Ri Ti t


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Rio Tinto Reinventing Mining and More


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Cornell Robot Credit: Hema Koppula and Ashutosh Saxena, 2013.Robot Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, Cornell University. See http://pr.cs.cornell.edu/anticipation

Cornell's Observant, Predictive Ser

Vi t l P i t A i t t Y Wi


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Virtual Private Assistants You WiHave Just One

Image M

Image Google


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Memorial Sloan Ketteringand IBM Watson

Source: IBM


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Maturity, Adoption and Diffusion

Segment

Early Emerging

Use Cases

Adoption

Accelerates

90% AAd

Smart Advisor 2014 2017 Segm(and202

Virtual PersonalAssistant1

2013 2017

AutonomousPersonal Transport

2020(2)

2030(5)

SemiautonomousRobotic Assistants

2025(2020 to 2030)

2032(2025 to 2040)

1 Growth of use of virtual personal assistants for work purposes i n 2017 to 2018 will exceed iPad's growth i n its first 2 years.

T 10 St t i T h l T d f


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Virtual World





3D Printing

1

2

3


Smart Machines

4

5

6


Web-Scale IT


7

8

9

10

Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategie


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Unify Cloud and Mobile StrategieCloud/Client Computing

The application is in the cloud.

Cloud is the coordination point and syst Clients can be anything with varying lev

and logic.

Applications can span multiple clients.

Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble inte

The experience flows to the user in con Mobile is not about devices it is abou

UX logic

Business logic

UX logicBusiness logic

Data

Data

Shift From Cloud Application Migrati


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Shift From Cloud Application MigratiCloud "Native" Application Develop

http://www.flickr.com/photos/wscullin/3770015203

Conventional Pattern Cloud "Native" Pa

Adapted From Cloud Architecture Tutorial by Adrian Cockcroft (Netflix)

Central SQL Database

Sticky In-Memory Session

Chatty Protocols

Tangled Service Interfaces

Polled InformationFat Complex Objects

Components as Jar Files

Distributed Key/Value

Latency Tolerant Pro

Event-DrivenLightweight Serializable

Components as Ser

Layered Service Inte

Shared Memcached/Red

Java, .NET JavaScript, Python, Rub

Software Defined Applications an


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Software-Defined Applications anInfrastructure: The Future Is Software-

Networking Cloud Servic

StorageReal-Ti

Infrastruct

Security Fabric-BasComput

Data CentersService-Orien

Architect

OpenStackOpen Compute

Model-DrivArchitect

Everything

Is Programmable

The API Economy

Software Defined Architecture


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Software-Defined Architecturefor Application Services

Source: "Software-Defined Architecture for Application in Digital Business" (G00264171)

Inner View

Outer View

Inner View

Outer View

ResourceVirtualization

ManagedResources

Web-Scale IT:


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Web-Scale IT:The Foundation for the Digital Fut

Web-scale IT is a pattern ofglobal class computing thatdelivers the capabilities oflarge cloud servicesproviders to the enterprise

Infraas

WA

CollaborativeAligned

Organization

Velocity-Focused

Processes

IndustriallyDesigned Data

CentersRisk-

EmbracingCulture

Web-ScaleIT

Open

Source

Create Your Blueprint and Road M


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Create Your Blueprint and Road Mfor Web-Scale IT

API-Based Management

Velocity-Focused Processes

Collaboratively-AlignedOrganization

Risk-Embracing Culture

DevOps

1

Web-Oriented

Architecture

2

Indust

DesigInfrastr

3

All Roads to the Digital Future


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All Roads to the Digital FutureLead Through Security

Security Myth:


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Security Myth:Perimeter Defense Will Protect My App

Mobile I

InsiderAttacks

E bl A li i P Th


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Enable Applications to Protect Thems

Application Runtime

DynamicInteraction Application

Source Code

Hig

Vu

RuntimeApplication

Self-Protection

Security-AwareApplication

Design

Top 10 Strategic Technology Tren


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Top 10 Strategic Technology Trenfor 2015

Proactively analyze disruptive technology

create a vision of the future technology la

Link trend analysis to the impact on peop(employees and customers), the business

Establish strategic decision models to tak

disruptive impacts

Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an ana catalyst for disruptive trend analysis acrthe business



Merging the Real

World and theVirtual World


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Top 10 Mobile Technologies and Capabilities for 2015 and 20

Nick Jones (G00260239) Hype Cycle for the Internet of Things, 2014

Hung LeHong and Alfonso Velosa (G00264127)

Hype Cycle for 3D Printing, 2014Pete Basiliere and Michael Shanler (G00263487)

Hype Cycle for Advanced Analytics and Data Science, 2014Alexander Linden (G00262076)

Context-Aware Security and Intelligence-Sharing Concepts MCreate Intelligence-Aware Security ControlsLawrence Pingree and others (G00261239)

Recommended Gartner Researc

For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.

R d d G t R
http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2803426?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%203D%20Printing,%202014&refval=142621473http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2682616?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=context%20aware%20computing&refval=142595594http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2812517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=advanced%20analytics&refval=142595450http://www.gartner.com/document/2803426?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%203D%20Printing,%202014&refval=142621473http://www.gartner.com/document/2803426?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%203D%20Printing,%202014&refval=142621473http://www.gartner.com/document/2803426?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%203D%20Printing,%202014&refval=142621473http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2804217?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=internet%20of%20things&refval=142595329http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080http://www.gartner.com/document/2665315?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=top%2010%20mobile&refval=142595080


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Hype Cycle for Smart Machines, 2014

Kenneth F. Brant and Tom Austin (G00263827) Software-Defined Architecture for Applications in Digital Bus

Yefim V. Natis and Ross Altman (G00264171)

Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing, 2014David Mitchell Smith (G00263850)

Web-Scale IT Influences the Market and Enterprises for ClouCameron Haight (G00260838)

Runtime Application Self-Protection: A Must-Have, EmergingSecurity TechnologyJoseph Feiman (G00229122)

Recommended Gartner Researc

For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.

Si l t f i i th l f t d ' bi
http://www.gartner.com/document/2802717?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%20Smart%20Machines,%202014&refval=142621888http://www.gartner.com/document/2821517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Software-Defined%20Architecture%20for%20Applications%20in%20Digital%20Business&refval=142621919http://www.gartner.com/document/2807621?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%20Cloud%20Computing,%202014&refval=142621944http://www.gartner.com/document/2702717?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Web-Scale%20IT%20Influences%20the%20Market%20and%20Enterprises%20for%20Cloud%20Computing&refval=142621950http://www.gartner.com/document/1994816?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Runtime%20Application%20Self-Protection:%20A%20Must-Have,%20Emerging%20%0BSecurity%20Technology&refval=142621441http://www.gartner.com/document/1994816?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Runtime%20Application%20Self-Protection:%20A%20Must-Have,%20Emerging%20%0BSecurity%20Technology&refval=142621441http://www.gartner.com/document/1994816?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Runtime%20Application%20Self-Protection:%20A%20Must-Have,%20Emerging%20%0BSecurity%20Technology&refval=142621441http://www.gartner.com/document/1994816?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Runtime%20Application%20Self-Protection:%20A%20Must-Have,%20Emerging%20%0BSecurity%20Technology&refval=142621441http://www.gartner.com/document/1994816?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Runtime%20Application%20Self-Protection:%20A%20Must-Have,%20Emerging%20%0BSecurity%20Technology&refval=142621441http://www.gartner.com/document/1994816?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Runtime%20Application%20Self-Protection:%20A%20Must-Have,%20Emerging%20%0BSecurity%20Technology&refval=142621441http://www.gartner.com/document/1994816?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Runtime%20Application%20Self-Protection:%20A%20Must-Have,%20Emerging%20%0BSecurity%20Technology&refval=142621441http://www.gartner.com/document/1994816?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Runtime%20Application%20Self-Protection:%20A%20Must-Have,%20Emerging%20%0BSecurity%20Technology&refval=142621441http://www.gartner.com/document/2702717?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Web-Scale%20IT%20Influences%20the%20Market%20and%20Enterprises%20for%20Cloud%20Computing&refval=142621950http://www.gartner.com/document/2702717?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Web-Scale%20IT%20Influences%20the%20Market%20and%20Enterprises%20for%20Cloud%20Computing&refval=142621950http://www.gartner.com/document/2702717?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Web-Scale%20IT%20Influences%20the%20Market%20and%20Enterprises%20for%20Cloud%20Computing&refval=142621950http://www.gartner.com/document/2807621?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%20Cloud%20Computing,%202014&refval=142621944http://www.gartner.com/document/2807621?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%20Cloud%20Computing,%202014&refval=142621944http://www.gartner.com/document/2821517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Software-Defined%20Architecture%20for%20Applications%20in%20Digital%20Business&refval=142621919http://www.gartner.com/document/2821517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Software-Defined%20Architecture%20for%20Applications%20in%20Digital%20Business&refval=142621919http://www.gartner.com/document/2821517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Software-Defined%20Architecture%20for%20Applications%20in%20Digital%20Business&refval=142621919http://www.gartner.com/document/2821517?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Software-Defined%20Architecture%20for%20Applications%20in%20Digital%20Business&refval=142621919http://www.gartner.com/document/2802717?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%20Smart%20Machines,%202014&refval=142621888http://www.gartner.com/document/2802717?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%20Smart%20Machines,%202014&refval=142621888http://www.gartner.com/document/2802717?ref=QuickSearch&sthkw=Hype%20Cycle%20for%20Smart%20Machines,%202014&refval=142621888


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