28
FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 Stockholm, February 7, 2019 Magnus Ahlqvist President and CEO Bart Adam CFO

FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    9

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

FY/Q4 REPORT 2018Stockholm, February 7, 2019

Magnus AhlqvistPresident and CEO

Bart AdamCFO

Page 2: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

HIGHLIGHTS 2018Strong growth throughout the year

• Good organic sales growth in all business segments, 6% (5) in FY and 5% (6) in Q4

• Wage cost increases on par with price increases

• Improved operating margin 5.2% (5.1) in FY, 5.5% (5.3) in Q4

• EPS (before IAC) 12% real change in FY

• Two major transformation programs initiated - items affecting comparability of MSEK -187 in Q4

• FY cash flow generation unsatisfactory

• Proposed dividend SEK 4.40 (4.00)

Page 3: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

3

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Security Solutions and Electronic Security

Double digit growth in all business segments

FY Security Solutions and Electronic Security

Real sales growth 21% (19)

• Sales BSEK 20.4 (16.7)

• A good number of mid-sized and strategically important solution contracts started, delivering a range of protective services

• Several electronic security companies acquired to enhance national platforms, e.g. in France and in the Netherlands

• The acquisition of the division Kratos Public Safety and Security in the US was completed in June

Page 4: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Q42016

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42017

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42018

4

Security Services North America

Solid portfolio development across the business segment

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Organic sales growth

FY: Organic sales growth 6% (5)

• Organic sales growth 5% (6) in Q4, again on a high comparative

• Good portfolio momentum and solid client retention 91% (91)

• Security solutions and electronic security represented 17% (15) of total sales

Page 5: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2016 2017 2018

5

Security Services North America

Very good improvement of operating margin both in FY and Q4

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Operating margin FY: Operating margin 6.1% (5.9)

• Operating margin 6.3% (6.1) in Q4

• The operating margin was supported by topline leverage, solid performance in risk management and good momentum of security solutions sales

Page 6: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

FY: Organic sales growth 4% (2)

• Organic sales growth 3% (4) in Q4

• Strong client retention 93% (91)

• Almost all countries supported the development, especially Belgium, Germany and the guarding business in Turkey

• Lower refugee sales, almost 1% negative impact

• Security solutions and electronic security represented 21% (20) of total sales

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Q42016

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42017

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42018

6

Security Services Europe

Strong portfolio development and new sales

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Organic sales growth

Page 7: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

FY: Operating margin 5.6% (5.6)

• Operating margin 6.3% (6.1) in Q4, an improvement deriving from topline leverage and improved cost control

• As planned, the cost savings program initiated in Q3 had a small positive impact in Q4, but the majority of the savings will be realized throughout 2019

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2016 2017 2018

7

Security Services Europe

Ending the year on a strong note

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Operating margin

Page 8: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Q4

2016

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2017

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2018

8

Security Services Ibero-America

Double-digit organic sales growth in Spain in Q4

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Organic sales growth

FY: Organic sales growth 12% (13)

• Organic sales growth 14% (11) in Q4, driven by double-digit organic sales growth in Spain

• Strong client retention 92% (91)

• Security solutions and electronic security represented 27% (24) of total sales

Page 9: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2016 2017 2018

9

Security Services Ibero-America

Weak Q4, but solid margin development in the full year

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Operating marginFY: Operating margin 4.5% (4.2)

• Operating margin 4.0% (4.5) in Q4

• Decline is due to Argentina. We are not satisfied with the situation in Argentina and have made management changes. We expect continued challenging conditions in the coming quarters.

• Spain showed strong performance throughout the year

Page 10: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

FINANCIALSBart Adam CFO

Page 11: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

Total sales 2013-2018

Reaching 100 BSEK in 2018

65 700

70 217

80 860

88 162

92 197

101 467

60 000

65 000

70 000

75 000

80 000

85 000

90 000

95 000

100 000

105 000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

MS

EK

Total sales

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Page 12: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

Operating income and margin 2013-2018

Strong increase

3 329

3 505

4 089

4 554

4 697

5 304

4,0

4,2

4,4

4,6

4,8

5,0

5,2

5,4

2 800

3 200

3 600

4 000

4 400

4 800

5 200

5 600

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

MS

EK

Operating income / Operating margin

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Page 13: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

Earnings per share 2013-2018

A solid sustainable development

5,07

5,67

6,67

7,24

7,87

9,17

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

SE

K /

Sh

are

EPS before IAC

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Page 14: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

14

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Financial Highlights

Strong EPS growth of 12% in FY*

MSEKQ4

2018 Q4

2017FY

2018FY

2017

Sales 26 824 24 024 101 467 92 197

Organic sales growth, % 5 6 6 5

Operating income before amort 1 475 1 269 5 304 4 697

Operating margin, % 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1

Amort of acq related intang assets -65 -72 -260 -255

Acquisition related costs -79 -28 -120 -48

Items affecting comparability -187 - -455 -

Operating income after amort 1 144 1 169 4 469 4 394

Financial income and expenses -154 -94 -441 -376

Income before taxes 990 1 075 4 028 4 018

Taxes -247 -427 -1 007 -1 267

Tax, % 25.0 39.8 25.0 31.5

Net income for the period 743 648 3 021 2 751

EPS, SEK 2.02 1.77 8.26 7.53

EPS, SEK before IAC 2.39 2.11 9.17 7.87

• As of July 1, 2018, adoption of IAS 29 Hyperinflation accounting

• Acquisition related costs for Kratos MSEK -80 in FY

• Items affecting comparability of MSEK -187 in Q4, relating to the transformation programs

• Financial income and expenses negatively impacted by one-off of MSEK -46 in Q4, related to Argentina

• Our estimate is that the full year Group tax rate in 2019 will increase to around 28.5 percent, mainly due to reversed effects from the US tax reform

* EPS before items affecting comparability, real change

Page 15: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

15

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Securitas Group

Financial highlights 2018

MSEK 101 467 (92 197)

• Total change 10%

• Real change 8% (incl. acq. and adj. F/X)

MSEK 5 304 (4 697)

• Total change 13%

• Real change 9%

SEK 8.26 (7.53)

• Total change 10%, real 5%

SEK 9.17 (7.87) before IAC

• Total change 17%, real 12%

SALES OPERATING INCOME F/X SEK END RATESEARNINGS PER SHARE

Q418 Q417 %

USD 8.94 8.25 +8.3

EUR 10.25 9.85 +4.0

ARS 0.23 0.45 -47.9

Page 16: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

16

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Cash Flow Highlights

Good Q4, but weak cash flow generation in the full year

• Net investments include capex in equipment for solution contracts

• Capital expenditure approximately 2% of Group sales on an annual basis

• AR - a few negative impacts: the increase of DSO in primarily SSNA, change of invoicing system in Netherlands, and payment delays in Argentina

• Unsatisfactory development –analysis ongoing

• Prepared for IFRS 16 implementation

MSEKQ4

2018 Q4

2017FY

2018 FY

2017

Operating income before amortization

1 475 1 269 5 304 4 697

Net investments in non-current assets

-120 -163 -495 -363

Change in accounts receivable -387 57 -1 575 -449

Change in other operating capital employed

914 650 -62 -48

Cash flow from operating activities

1 882 1 813 3 172 3 837

Cash flow from operating activities, %

128 143 60 82

Financial income and expenses paid -99 -40 -432 -425

Current taxes paid -216 -267 -856 -1 122

Free cash flow 1 567 1 506 1 884 2 290

Free cash flow/net debt (annual target 0.20)

- - 0.13 0.19

Page 17: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

MSEK

Net debt Jan 1, 2018 -12 333

Free cash flow 1 884

Acquisitions -1 755

IAC -117

Dividend paid -1 460

Change in net debt -1 448

Revaluation 26

Translation -758

Net debt Dec 31, 2018 -14 513 0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018

Net debt EBITDA

2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3

MSEK

Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line

2.3

17

FULL YEAR REPORT JANUARY-DECEMBER 2018

Net debt development

Increased net debt, mainly related to acquisitions

Page 18: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

TWO MAJOR TRANSFORMATION PROGRAMS INITIATED• Program one: Modernizing our global

IS/IT foundation and organization

IT costs in the Group expected to be reduced by MSEK 300 upon completion in 2022

• Program two: Business transformation in Security Services North America

The operating margin in Security Services North America is expected to be supported up to 0.5 percentage points by 2022

• Future items affecting comparability of app. MSEK -650 and capex of app. MSEK 550 to be recognized in 2019-2020

Page 19: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

STRATEGYMagnus AhlqvistPresident and CEO

Page 20: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

On the journey of becoming the leader in Intelligent Security Services…

2020 and beyond2015 onwards1990 onwards

Leader in Protective servicesIntegration of solutions

Leader in Intelligent Services Data-driven innovation

Leader in Security servicesGuarding and security capability

We will take the position as the globalintelligent security company, leading the transformation of the security industry from low-tech to high-tech

Page 21: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

Program one: A multi-year roadmap to consolidate, rationalize and modernize our IS/IT delivery

– Global IS/IT organization and collaboration platform

– Shared data centers and cloud platforms

– IT costs in the Group is expected to be reduced by MSEK 300 upon completion in 2022

Program two: A business transformation in Security Services North America

– A modern platform for people management, workforce management and finance

– Streamlined core operational processes and modernized ways of working

– The operating margin in Security Services North America is expected to be supported up to 0.5 percentage points by 2022

… we are launching two core programs to accelerate the transformation

Page 22: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

Why is intelligent security relevant?

By generating and capturing large data sets from multiple sources and transforming this information into intelligence we will enhance existing operations and create new business opportunities

The officer of tomorrowTechnology enhances officers capabilities

The future of sensorsBuilt in intelligence to analyze complex situations

Crime predictionAdvanced analysis of real-time data from a multitude of sources

The intelligent Securitas Operations Center (SOC)Machine learning to automate the best response to an incident

Page 23: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

We now add our first intelligent products to our portfolio of security services

A first step, leveraging our size and access to relevant data

Page 24: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

24

Page 25: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

345,000

Leveraging our presence and scale- to data-driven intelligent products

NORTH AMERICA#2 position

EUROPE#1 position

LATIN AMERICA#2 position

AMEAGrowing presence employees

58markets

THE POWER OF PRESENCE

150,000customers

Page 26: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

Key focus areas right now

Customer value

proposition

Protective services

leadership

Modernization and

efficiency

Page 27: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

SUMMARY FY 2018

• Strong organic sales growth: +6%

• EPS improvement: +12%

• Delivery of strategy – solutions and electronic security = 21% real sales growth, 20% of Group sales

• Important transformation programs initiated

Page 28: FY/Q4 REPORT 2018 - Securitas · FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 Net debt EBITDA 2.3 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 MSEK Net debt to EBITDA ratio well in line 2.3 17 FULL YEAR REPORT

THANKYOU