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DISCLAIMER
The information contained herein pertaining to SIBUR (the "Company") has been provided by the Company solely for use at this presentation. By attending this
presentation, or by reading these presentation slides, you agree to be bound by the limitations set out below. This presentation does not constitute or form part of,
and should not be construed as, an offer, solicitation or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of the
Company, nor shall any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form part of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision relating thereto.
No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness, correctness or
reliability of the information contained herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. The Company accepts
no responsibility for any losses howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from this presentation or its contents. The material contained in this presentation is
presented solely for information purposes and is not to be construed as providing investment advice. As such, it has no regard to the specific investment objectives,
financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. There may be material variances between estimated data set forth in this presentation and actual results, and
between the data set forth in this presentation and corresponding data previously published by or on behalf of the Company.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including (without limitation) statements containing the words "anticipates," "expects," "intends," "may,"
"plans," “forecasts,” "projects," "will," "would", "targets,“ “believes” and similar words. These statements are based on the current expectations and projections of the
Company about future events and are subject to change without notice. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, contained herein are forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, such that future events and actual results may differ materially from those
set forth in, contemplated by or underlying such forward-looking statements. The Company may not actually achieve or realize its plans, intentions or expectations.
There can be no assurance that the Company's actual results will not differ materially from the expectations set forth in such forward-looking statements. Factors
that could cause actual results to differ from such expectations include, but are not limited to, the state of the global economy, the ability of the petrochemical sector
to maintain levels of growth and development, risks related to petrochemical prices and regional political and security concerns. The above is not an exhaustive list
of the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations set forth in such forward-looking statements. The Company and its Affiliates
are under no obligation to update the information, opinions or forward-looking statements in this presentation.
2
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Collapsed prices for oil (-47.3% y-o-y in USD terms) and majority of
derivative products (incl. LPG and naphtha)
Negative dynamics in international market prices for majority of
petrochemical products
Substantial RR depreciation against USD and EUR
RR on average lost 37.0% and 25.0% y-o-y of its value relative to
USD and EUR, respectively
3.7%(1) y-o-y GDP decline in Russia; decelerating GDP growth in
China (6.9% y-o-y); resumed growth in EU GDP (1.8% y-o-y) and
sustained growth in US GDP (2.4% y-o-y)
Accelerating inflation in Russia (CPI of 15.9% y-o-y and PPI of 10.6%
y-o-y in 2015)
Indexation of railway tariffs in Russia
10% tariff indexation by FTS(1) effective January 2015
13.4% increase in tariffs by the Russian Railways for LPG
deliveries to export markets effective August 2014
13.4% increase in tariffs by the Russian Railways for export
deliveries for all types of products effective January 2015
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
External Environment SIBUR Key Developments
China Petrochemical Corporation (“Sinopec Group”) acquired
10% in SIBUR (December 2015)
SIBUR sold Ust-Luga terminal to a consortium comprising RDIF and
international investors; access to the terminal secured with long-term
transshipment contract (November 2015);
Avg. capacity utilisation rate of PP production site in Tobolsk up to
76% in 2015 from 53% in 2014
Expansion and modernisation of Vyngapurovskiy GPP, expansion to
4.2 from 2.8 bcmpa of APG (March 2016)
Gazprom Neft and SIBUR commissioned Yuzhno-Priobskiy GPP
with processing capacity of 900 mcmpa of APG (September 2015)
External ZapSibNeftekhim (ZapSib-2) funding secured:
USD 1.96 bln from the NWF(2) and RDIF
EUR 2.1 bln Hermes and Coface ECA-backed financing
CapEx budget for 2016 expected at RR 147.5 bln; to be reviewed by
the BoD during the year
SIBUR placed RR 10 bln bonds with 10.5% pa coupon rate, tenor of
10 years and put option in 5 years (March 2016)
(1) Preliminary data.
(2) National Wealth Fund.
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FY 2015 KEY OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Operational
Results
APG processing volumes increased by 3.0% to 21.5 bcm
Raw NGL fractionation volumes increased by 23.1% to 7.8 mt(1)
LPG production increased by 27.1% to 6.5 mt(1)
Petchem production increased by 13.0% to 6.9 mt
PP production increased by 30.6% to 516 kt
Petchem sales volumes increased by 15.2% to 2.6 mt
Financial
Results
Revenue reached RR 379.9 bln, increasing by 18.9%(2)
EBITDA reached RR 135.6 bln, increasing by 32.0%, EBITDA margin up to 35.7% from 32.2%(3)
Petchem EBITDA increased 2.8x, petchem EBITDA margin up to 31.4% from 14.6%
Net cash from operating activities totaled RR 119 bln
Net Cash used in investing activities totaled RR 122 bln
CapEx totaled RR 84.4 bln(4), ZapSib-2 financing totaled RR 43.2 bln
Net Debt to EBITDA at 2.10x as of 31 Dec’15 vs. 1.74x as of 31 Dec’14
(1) Including volumes under processing arrangements.
(2) Revenue for 2014 adjusted for naphtha trading operations. Revenue including naphtha trading operations in 2014 increased by 5.2%.
(3) Adjusted for estimated value of naphtha trading operations via Ust-Luga, ceased in 2015.
(4) Includes purchase of property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and other non-current assets.
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ZAPSIBNEFTEKHIM (ZAPSIB-2) CAPEX AND FUNDING UPDATE
Project Residual Budget for 2016-2020(1)
USD 7.2 billion *
US dollars
35%
Euro
30%
Russian roubles
35%
Funding Sources Project Budget
SIBUR own funds
50%
NWF and RDIF(2)
US dollars
25%
ECA(3)
Euro
25%
(1) Data as of 31 December 2015. Numbers and respective percentages calculated based on exchange rates as of 31 December 2015; RR / USD at 72.9, RR / EUR at 79.7.
(2) Cash balances as of 31 December 2015.
(3) Undrawn amount.
Project Overview
Greenfield construction of ethylene cracking unit and polyolefin
production complex in Tobolsk within the SIBUR’s Tobolsk
petrochemical hub
Configuration:
Cracking unit: 1.5 mtpa of ethylene, 500 ktpa of propylene,
100 ktpa of crude C4 (licensor: Linde AG; EP-contractor: Linde
AG)
PE production units: 1.5 mtpa of PE (licensor: INEOS; EP-
contractor: Technip)
PP production unit: 0.5 mtpa of PP (licensor: LyondellBasell; EP-
contractor: ThyssenKrupp)
Potential to be signed in RR
HDPE and LLDPE Spreads to Feedstock
USD per tonne
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500 PE CFR China - LPG spread LPG, West Europe, CIF NWE
PE HDPE Blow Moulding CFR China PE LLDPE Film CFR China
Progress Update as of 1 March 2016, %
7
26
47
100
Construction
Procurement
Detail Engineering
FEED
Overall progress: 19%
* - estimate as of 31 December 2015
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DOMESTIC MARKET CONSUMPTION
Source:
(1) Market Report, Kortes, Alliance analytics, Customs statistics.
+10.8%
(0.6%)
(7.9%)
+13.9%
(17.0%)
Change in Domestic Consumption, % Import Substitution, kt
Δ domestic consumption
Imports replaced
PP
LDPE
PET
MEG
EPS
101.3 122.7 21.4
(3.2)
11.9 15.1
(46.8)
55.4 102.2
Additional room for local
supply
44.4 50.4 6.0
(25.0)
4.0 29.0
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38.4
61.0
2014 2015
99.4
52.5
2014 2015
5.8%
10.6%
2014 2015
0.6%
(3.7%)
2014 2015
11.4%
15.9%
2014 2015
MACRO ENVIRONMENT
Russian GDP Growth(1) Consumer Price Index (y-o-y)(1) Producer Price Index (y-o-y)(1)
Average Exchange Rate(3) Average Oil Price (Brent)
Source:
(1) Russian Federal State Statistics Service
(2) Preliminary Data
(3) CBR
+58.7%
RR / USD
32.7
56.3
72.9
31 Dec'13 31 Dec'14 31 Dec'15
EOP Exchange Rate(3)
RR / USD
+71.9%
+29.5%
(2)
USD per bbl
(47.3%)
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8
PRICING ENVIRONMENT(1)
Source: Argus, Platts, Bloomberg, ICIS, Chemease, Malaysian Rubber Board, Federal Tariff Service of Russian Federation
(1) For detailed market data statistics please refer to Appendix. Prices quoted in EUR or RR are converted to USD at average FX rates for the respective periods.
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
2.0
2.4
2014 2015
Natural rubber Butadiene Styrene
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
2014 2015
Brent NaphthaLPG CIF ARA (large) MTBELPG DAF Brest Natural gas (RHS)
(27.1%)
(41.6%)
(20.7%)
(32.3%)
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2014 20152-ethylhexanol Expandable polystyrene
MEG Butyl acrylate
PET
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
2014 2015
PP LDPE
Energy Products Basic Polymers
(47.3%) (44.8%) (19.0%)
(26.5%)
Synthetic Rubbers Plastics & Organic Synthesis
(24.6%)
(15.8%)
(30.0%)
(23.7%)
(33.1%)
’000 USD per tonne (avg. for the period)
’000 USD per thousand cubic metres of natural gas (avg. for the period)
’000 USD per tonne (avg. for the period)
’000 USD per tonne (avg. for the period)
’000 USD per tonne (avg. for the period)
(34.6%)
(49.0%) (51.3%)
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PRICING ENVIRONMENT IN RR TERMS(1)
Source: Argus, Platts, Bloomberg, ICIS, Chemease, Malaysian Rubber Board, Federal Tariff Service of Russian Federation
(1) For detailed market data statistics please refer to Appendix. Prices quoted in EUR or RR are converted to USD at average FX rates for the respective periods.
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
2014 2015
Natural rubber Butadiene Styrene
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
2014 2015
Brent NaphthaLPG CIF ARA (large) MTBELPG DAF Brest Natural gas (RHS)
+15.6%
(7.4%)
+25.8%
+7.4%
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
2014 20152-ethylhexanol Expandable polystyrene
MEG Butyl acrylate
PET
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
2014 2015
PP LDPE
Energy Products Basic Polymers
(16.3%) (12.4%)
+28.6%
+16.6%
Synthetic Rubbers Plastics & Organic Synthesis
+19.6%
+33.6%
+11.1%
+21.0%
+6.1%
+3.8%
(19.2%) (22.7%)
’000 RR per tonne (avg. for the period) ’000 RR per tonne (avg. for the period)
’000 RR per tonne (avg. for the period) ’000 RR per tonne (avg. for the period)
’000 RR per thousand cubic metres of natural gas (avg. for the period)
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EBITDA DYNAMICS AND STRUCTURE
EBITDA Dynamics
Increase in EBITDA by 32.0% y-o-y to RR 135.6 bln on
a threefold increase in Petchem segment EBITDA due to
(i) lower feedstock costs for petchem production on the back
of declining prices for energy products, and
(ii) ramp up of PP production in Tobolsk
…despite lower F&E EBITDA on negative dynamics of the
international energy products prices
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin by Segment
RR bln
2015 2014
– EBITDA margin x%
(1) Adjusted for estimated value of naphtha trading operations via Ust-Luga, ceased in 2015.
135.6
(2.4)
58.9
79.1
102.8
(6.4)
20.8
88.3
Total EBITDAUnallocatedPetchemF&E
41.8%(1)
37.1%
14.6%
31.4%
32.2%(1)
35.7%
102.8
135.6
(9.2)
+38.1 +3.9
EBITDA2014
F&E Petchem Unallocated EBITDA2015
+32.0%
RR bln
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8.5
4.5
2014 2015
285.6 276.2
2014 2015
361.0 379.9
2014 2015
11
9.4
6.2
2014 2015
(33.7%)
(46.6%)
2.7 2.2
2014 2015
(16.8%) 2.4
2.0
2014 2015
(17.6%)
SIBUR FINANCIAL SUMMARY(1)
EBITDA
EBITDA
Operating Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Revenue Investing Cash Flow(3)
Investing Cash Flow(3)
102.8 135.6
2014 2015
+32.0%
RR bln
USD bln
RR bln +5.2%
USD bln USD bln USD bln USD bln
(3.3%)
RR bln
Ru
ssia
n R
ou
ble
s
US
D E
qu
iva
len
ts
(ill
ustr
ati
ve
)
Revenue
2.5 2.0
2014 2015
(21.2%)
Net Operating Expenses(2)
Net Operating Expenses(2)
(1) Values in USD estimated based on average RR/USD rate of 60.9579 and 38.4217 in 2015 and 2014, respectively.
(2) Operating expenses before equity-settled share-based payment plans.
(3) Includes CapEx and M&A.
91.1
2014 2015
+30.8%
RR bln
119.1
97.4
121.7
2014 2015
+25.0%
RR bln
– Naphtha trading operations via Ust-Luga – Payments for Yugragazpererabotka acquisition
+18.9%
(25.2%)
+13.2%
(38.8%)
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132.5 175.8
2014 2015
217.2 186.5
2014 2015
361.0 379.9
2014 2015
12
22
11
8 8
17
13
9 7 5
REVENUE STRUCTURE AND DYNAMICS
56
30
8 5 1
Asia
Europe
CIS Other
Russia %
By region Revenue Split by Region Revenue Split by Product
2015
%
2015
RR bln
Total Revenue
+5.2%
(14.1%)
+32.7%
RR bln
Energy Products Petrochemical Products
RR bln
Intermediates and
other chemicals
LPG
Naphtha
Natural gas
Basic polymers
Synthetic rubbers
Plastics and organic
synthesis products
MTBE, raw NGL
and other fuels
Processing services
and other sales
+18.9%
+6.2%
– Naphtha trading operations via Ust-Luga
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2,387
1,229
2014 2015
13
KEY ENERGY PRODUCTS: SALES VOLUMES AND PRICE DYNAMICS
Sales volumes, ’000 tonnes
Change in effective avg. selling price, %
Sales volumes,’000 tonnes
Change in effective avg. selling price, %
Key Factors
LPG:
Higher sales volumes on
organic growth in production following the launch of integrated feedstock
processing and transportation infrastructure
Lower selling prices largely attributable to
substantial decrease in market prices across all products (in USD terms)
…partially compensated by substantial RR depreciation, expanded sales to
the European markets and zeroed export duties
Natural gas:
Higher sales volumes due to consolidation of 100% production at GPPs of
Yugragazpererabotka following its acquisition
Higher selling price on average 3.7% y-o-y indexation of regulated prices
Naphtha:
Lower sales volumes on termination of trading activities via Ust-Luga in 2015
Lower selling prices attributable to decrease in market prices (in USD terms),
partially compensated by substantial RR depreciation and lower export duties
Naphtha
(11.3%)
(48.5%)
Trading operations via Ust-Luga
16,005 17,625
2014 2015
+2.7%
Natural Gas
+10.1%
Sales volumes, mln cubic metres
Change in effective avg. selling price, %
3,468 4,268
2014 2015
LPG
+23.1%
(12.7%)
+15.3%
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650 705
2014 2015
14
360 411
2014 2015
Basic Polymers Key Factors Plastics & Organic Synthesis
Intermediates & Other
788
922
2014 2015
449 550
2014 2015
+22.4%
+17.0%
+14.2%
+3.9%
+10.3%
+8.5%
PETROCHEMICALS: SALES VOLUMES AND PRICE DYNAMICS
Sales volumes, ’000 tonnes
Change in effective avg. selling price, % Sales volumes, ’000 tonnes
Change in effective avg. selling price, %
Sales volumes, ’000 tonnes
Change in effective avg. selling price, %
+19.1% +22.2%
Change in effective avg. selling price, %
Sales volumes, ’000 tonnes
Decline in international market prices for majority
of products mitigated by substantial RR
depreciation
Plastics & organic synthesis:
Higher sales volumes largely due to
higher PET and BOPP-film production following
capacity expansions
higher glycols production inter alia as a result of
lengthy shutdowns in Kstovo and Dzerzhinsk in
2014
Basic polymers:
Higher sales volumes due to growth in PP
production thanks to ramp-up of PP production in
Tobolsk
…and partially offset by higher internal use for
BOPP production
Synthetic rubbers:
Increase in sales volumes primarily due to
higher production volumes on low base of 2014
due to weak market environment and completed
thermoplastic elastomers homologation
Intermediates & other chemicals:
Increase in sales volumes due to
higher ethylene sales to our JV RusVinyl
commissioned in September 2014
propylene and ethylene oxide production
following capacity expansions…
…as compared to low base of 2014 due to
lengthy shutdowns in Kstovo and Dzerzhinsk
Synthetic Rubbers
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11.3 17.6
2014 2015
20.5 26.1
2014 2015
27.8 35.1
2014 2015
38.4
50.9
2014 2015
45.8
63.7
2014 2015
9.7 3.7
2014 2015
19.4 21.7
2014 2015
68.9
31.4
2014 2015
38.0 43.0
2014 2015
77.2 82.9
2014 2015
15
REVENUE DYNAMICS BY PRODUCT GROUP
Naphtha
Synthetic Rubbers Plastics & Organic
Synthesis
MTBE
Intermediates & Other
RR bln
+7.5%
+11.8%
+26.0%
+39.3%
LPG
Basic Polymers
Raw NGL
(62.2%)
Other Revenue
+56.0%
RR bln RR bln RR bln
RR bln RR bln RR bln RR bln RR bln
+32.6%
Natural gas
+13.1%
RR bln
(54.3%)
+15.2%
– Trading operations via Ust-Luga
+27.3%
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48.1
11.9
2014 2015
16
Decrease in goods for resale purchases on the termination of trading
activities via the Ust-Luga transshipment facility in 2015
Higher transportation & rent expenses due to RR depreciation, the
railway tariff indexation and higher transported volumes
Higher feedstock & materials on
weaker Russian rouble and higher purchasing volumes of hydrocarbon
feedstock and other feedstock & materials
compensated by lower expenses related to PP purchases
Higher D&A expenses due to
commissioning of new large-scale facilities (raw NGL pipeline, the
expansion of the cracking capacity in Kstovo, second GFU)
amortisation of intangible assets
Increase in staff costs expenses due to
changes in the perimeter
increase in the headcount of NIPIGAZ, a contractor at the Amur GPP
design and construction project of Gazprom
(1) Operating expenses before equity-settled share-based payment plans.
(2) Transportation, logistics and rent.
NET OPERATING EXPENSES STRUCTURE AND DYNAMICS
Net Operating Expenses(1)
Y-o-Y dynamics RR bln
30
24
11
11
10
4
3 3 3
Feedstock &
materials
Transportation &
rent
Energy &
utilities
Staff costs
Depreciation &
amortisation
%
Goods for resale
Structure
285.6 276.2
2014 2015
79% 73% (3.3%)
Key Factors
– % of revenue x%
2015
Repairs & maintenance Services from 3rd parties
– Naphtha trading operations via Ust-Luga
Other
78.1 83.9
2014 2015
RR bln
+7.5% 22% 22%
31.2 28.4
2014 2015
Energy & Utilities
(9.0%)
9% 7%
RR bln
2014 2015
66.8 52.0
Rent expenses
Transportation & logistics
RR bln
+28.4% 14% 18%
Depreciation & Amortisation
RR bln
26.3 31.5
2014 2015
+19.7% 7% 8%
27.2 30.7
2014 2015
Staff Costs
RR bln
+12.9%
8% 8%
Goods for Resale
RR bln
(75.2%) 13% 3%
+13.2%
Feedstock & Materials Transportation & Rent(2)
+84.3%
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Net cash from operating activities increased
by 30.8% y-o-y on
higher EBITDA
lower income tax paid
…partially offset by negative impact from
WC changes on higher trade and other
receivables
Net cash used in investing activities
increased by 25.0% y-o-y on
final tranche payment for the acquisition
of Rosneft’s 49% stake in
Yugragazpererabotka
increase in CapEx by 17.9% y-o-y
…partially compensated by proceeds
from divestment of transshipment facility
in Ust-Luga
Net cash received from financing activities
attributable to
new borrowings for ZapSib-2 financing
funding the final tranche for the
acquisition of a 49% stake in
Yugragazpererabotka
CASH FLOW STATEMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Year ended 31 December Change
% RR mln, except as stated 2015 2014
Net cash from operating activities 119,078 91,052 30.8%
Operating cash flows before WC changes 128,892 105,540 22.1%
Changes in working capital (5,509) 1,789 n/m
Income tax paid (4,305) (16,277) (73.6%)
Net cash used in investing activities, including (121,741) (97,370) 25.0%
Purchase of PPE, intangible and non-current assets (84,391) (71,550) 17.9%
Acquisition of interest in subsidiaries, net of cash
acquired (61,726) (20,666) 198.7%
Proceeds from disposal of subsidiaries, net of cash
disposed 21,278 138 n/m
Net cash from financing activities, including 144,802 24,093 501.0%
Net proceeds from debt 186,014 34,346 441.6%
Dividends (18,125) (14,073) 28.8%
Interest paid (14,867) (5,710) 160.4%
Payment of bank fees (9,994) (697) n/m
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash
equivalents 2,277 1,944 17.1%
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 144,416 19,719 632.4%
Key Developments Key Highlights
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25 18
79 74
45
17 7 4 2 2
126
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 After2025
31 Mar’16 RR bln
Debt Maturity Profile(2)
(3)
DEBT STRUCTURE AND MATURITY PROFILE
18
Key Highlights
(1) Interest represents accrued interest, i.e. includes interest expense and capitalised interest.
(2) Unaudited data. Loans denominated in USD and EUR are converted into RR at RR/USD and RR/EUR FX rates as of 31 March 2016.
(3) Debt maturing during Q2-Q4 2016.
Key Figures
Net debt increased by 59.6% mainly due to:
new borrowings to fund the acquisition of a 49% stake in
Yugragazpererabotka
substantial RR depreciation
Net leverage increased to 2.1x from 1.74x (1.76x from
1.19x in USD terms)
Total debt increased 2.2x y-o-y primarily due to
funding for ZapSib-2 provided by the NWF (USD 1.75 bln)
and RDIF and consortium of international investors (USD
210 mln) in the end of 2015
Borrowings raised from the NWF resulted in a respective
increase in cash balances
As of 31 December 2015, all of the debt was unsecured
USD RR EUR
RR bln, except as stated 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2014 Change, %
Total debt 457.2 206.3 121.6%
Cash & cash equivalents 172.1 27.7 522.0%
Net debt 285.1 178.6 59.6%
WA loan tenor (years) 6.3 2.5
WA Conventional debt 2.7 -
WA ZS-2 related debt 13.2 -
Available credit lines 287.7 135.3 112.7%
Debt / EBITDA 3.37x 2.01x
Net debt / EBITDA, including: 2.10x 1.74x
Conventional net debt 1.82x 1.68x
ZS-2 related net debt 0.28x n/m
Net debt / EBITDA (in $) 1.76x 1.19x
EBITDA / Interest(1) 9x 16x
RR bln, except as stated 31 Mar 2016(2) 31 Dec 2015 Change, %
Total debt 397.6 457.2 (13.0%)
Cash & cash equivalents 94.6 172.1 (45.0%)
Net debt 303.0 285.1 6.3%
Maturity profile
Short-term 28.0 47.7 (41.3%)
Long-term 369.6 409.4 (9.7%)
Currency split
USD 246.0 306.6 (19.8%)
RR 123.7 131.1 (5.6%)
EUR 27.9 19.5 43.1%
Credit lines 277.5 287.7 (3.5%)
Committed 164.1 169.9 (3.4%)
Uncommitted 113.4 117.8 (3.7%)
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FINANCIAL CALENDAR – 2016
19
Event Date
FY 2015 Operational and Financial Results 7 April 2016
Q1 2016 Limited Operational Update June 2016
H1 2016 Operational and Financial Results Early September 2016
9M 2016 Limited Operational Update December 2016
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20
Appendix
0.128.128
153.204.0
128.128.128
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192.0.0
242. 242. 242
255.192.0
229.242.242
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380
276
Currency
Nature
Currency
Nature
21
EXPOSURE TO OIL PRICES AND FX
2015
RR bln
22%
8%
LPG negative impact of lower oil prices…
somewhat compensated by lower
export duty…
and RR depreciation
Naphtha
Natural gas
MTBE and other fuels
Plastics & organic synthesis
Basic polymers
Synthetic rubbers
Intermediates & other chemicals
Other
7%
32%
11%
Feedstock & materials APG: indexed in line with FTS, some
contracts account for changes in
NGLs netbacks
NGLs priced at netbacks
Goods for resale
Transportation, logistics & rent
Energy & utilities
Staff costs
D&A
Repairs & maintenance Other
Correlation
with Oil
Correlation
with Oil
US dollar Russian rouble
ILLUSTRATIVE
Revenue Categories Revenue Net OpEx Categories
11%
7%
17%
13%
9%
6%
24%
11%
10%
4% 3% 4%
Net OpEx(1)
(1) Operating expenses before equity-settled share-based payment plans.
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LOWER EXPORT DUTIES AND RR DEPRECIATION SUPPORT ENERGY
PRODUCT REVENUES ON DECREASING OIL
22
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
LPG CIF ARA (large) LPG price net of duty Brent (RHS)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
LPG DAF Brest LPG price net of duty Brent (RHS)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Naphtha CIF NWE Naphtha price net of duty Brent (RHS)
RR / USD – oil price negative correlation
Oil price and export duties impact on product price Oil price and export duties impact on product price
LPG DAF Brest case
Oil price and export duties impact on product price
LPG CIF ARA case
Naphtha CIF ARA case
USD per bbl USD per tonne
USD per tonne USD per bbl USD per bbl USD per tonne
20
40
60
80
100
120
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
RR/USD (LHS) Brent (RHS)
USD per bbl
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153.204.0
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0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Natural Rubber Butadiene Styrene Brent
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Brent Naphtha CIF NWE
LPG CIF ARA (large) LPG DAF Brest
MTBE Natural gas
Energy Products
MARKET PRICES VS OIL PRICE
Rebased to 100
Synthetic Rubbers
Rebased to 100
Plastics & Organic Synthesis Products
Rebased to 100
Basic Polymers
Rebased to 100
Source: Argus, Platts, Bloomberg, ICIS, Malaysian Rubber Board, Chemease, Federal Tariff Service of Russian Federation
23
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
LDPE CFR China film, Spot
PP rafia China Main Port, Spot
Brent
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Polystyrene, EPS block FOB KoreaMEG Contract, FD NWE T22-ethylhexanol Spot, FD NWEButyl acrylate Spot, FD NWEPET FOB China, SpotBrent
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MARKET PRICES
PRODUCT QUOTE SOURCE
ENERGY PRODUCTS
Oil Brent (USD per bbl) Bloomberg
Naphtha Naphtha CIF NWE Argus
LPG LPG CIF ARA (large) Argus
LPG DAF Brest Argus
MTBE MTBE FOB Rotterdam / FOB ARA Platts
Natural gas Natural gas wholesale price (for population) Federal Tariff Service of Russian Federation
BASIC POLYMERS
LDPE LDPE CFR China film, Spot ICIS
PP PP rafia China Main Port, Spot ICIS
SYNTHETIC RUBBERS
Natural rubber NR SMR 20 Malaysian Rubber Board
Butadiene Butadiene Contract, FD NWE ICIS
Styrene Styrene Spot, FOB Rotterdam ICIS
PLASTICS & ORGANIC SYNTHESIS PRODUCTS
PET PET FOB China, Spot ICIS
Monoethylene glycol (MEG) MEG Contract, FD NWE T2 ICIS
2-ethylhexanol (alcohol) 2-ethylhexanol Spot, FD NWE ICIS
Butyl acrylate Butyl acrylate Spot, FD NWE ICIS
Expandable polystyrene Polystyrene, EPS block FOB Korea ICIS
24