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CCY Bollinger Band Commodity Channel Index Directional Movement Moving Average Conv/Div Relative Strength Index Stochastics Moving Average Moving Average Average True Range
Current Signals
EURO-USD buy 0.00 buy sell - - - - 0.01
GBP-USD buy buy sell sell - - - - 0.01
AUD-USD sell 0.00 buy 0.00 - - - - 0.01
CAD-USD buy buy sell sell - - - - 0.01
JPY-USD - - sell sell - - - - .
Values
EURO-USD 1.38 -30.29 21.23 0.00 49.04 15.60 1.39 1.38 0.01
GBP-USD 1.66 -183.58 18.19 0.00 39.33 10.41 1.66 1.66 0.01
AUD-USD 0.90 63.79 27.58 0.00 55.82 65.89 0.91 0.90 0.01
CAD-USD 0.90 -209.81 15.97 0.00 34.82 12.32 0.89 0.90 0.01
JPY-USD 0.01 -15.34 20.39 0.00 49.62 47.14 0.01 0.01 0.00
7 Days Earlier
EURO-USD sell sell buy buy - - - - 0.01
GBP-USD buy buy buy sell - - - - 0.01
AUD-USD sell 0.00 buy 0.00 - - - - 0.01
CAD-USD buy 0.00 sell 0.00 - - - - 0.01
JPY-USD sell sell buy buy - - - - .
30 Days Earlier
EURO-USD sell sell buy buy - sell - - 0.01
GBP-USD sell - buy buy - - - - 0.01
AUD-USD sell - buy - - - - - 0.01
CAD-USD buy - sell - - - - - 0.01
JPY-USD - - buy sell - - - - .
Fear and Greed William's %R Momentum Rate Of Change Hurst Exponent Trender MaxMin MovingAverageOscillator ExponentialMovingAverage
Current Signals
EURO-USD greed sell 0.00 buy buy 0.00 buy buy sell
GBP-USD fear sell 0.00 buy buy 0.00 buy sell sell
AUD-USD greed buy 0.00 0.00 buy 0.00 buy buy buy
CAD-USD fear sell 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 buy sell sell
JPY-USD fear buy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 buy buy sell
Values
EURO-USD 0.00 -71.04 -0.01 1.09 0.44 1.38 1.38 0.01 1.38
GBP-USD -0.02 -90.85 -0.02 0.59 0.66 1.67 1.67 -0.01 1.66
AUD-USD 0.00 -32.02 0.00 1.18 0.51 0.89 0.90 0.01 0.90
CAD-USD -0.02 -90.46 -0.01 -1.92 0.48 0.90 0.90 -0.01 0.90
JPY-USD 0.00 -46.06 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01
7 Days Earlier
EURO-USD greed buy 0.00 0.00 buy 0.00 buy buy buy
GBP-USD greed sell 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 buy sell buy
AUD-USD greed buy 0.00 sell 0.00 0.00 buy buy buy
CAD-USD fear sell sell 0.00 0.00 0.00 buy sell sell
JPY-USD greed buy 0.00 buy 0.00 0.00 buy sell buy
30 Days Earlier
EURO-USD greed buy 0.00 sell 0.00 0.00 buy buy buy
GBP-USD greed buy 0.00 0.00 buy 0.00 buy buy buy
AUD-USD fear buy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 buy buy buy
CAD-USD greed sell sell 0.00 buy 0.00 buy buy sell
JPY-USD greed sell 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 buy buy buy
FX Technical and Commentary
Country Period Survey Previous Revised
UK Feb -7.0B -25.4B --
UK Feb 8.6B -4.7B --
UK Feb 7.9B -6.4B --
AU Jan -- 0.80% 0.90%
FR 4Q F 0.20% 0.20% --
IT Jan -- -0.30% --
EC Jan -- 33.2B --
EC Mar A -12.3 -12.7 --
CA Jan 0.70% -1.80% --
CA Feb 1.00% 1.50% --
CA Feb 1.10% 1.40% --
Retail Sales MoM --
CPI YoY --
CPI Core YoY --
Industrial Sales MoM --
Current Account NSA --
Consumer Confidence --
Public Sector Net Borrowing --
Conf. Board Leading Index MoM 0.20%
Wages QoQ 0.20%
Indicator Actual
Public Finances (PSNCR) --
PSNB ex Interventions --
A quiet day for cable in terms of data releases today with only public borrowing data on show today. The
downword momentum should continue for the day. The resistance looks set at 1.6600 while a breather is
expected at 1.6400 with the big support being 1.6290.
AUD
Aussie continues to enjoy the upward momentum despite an upbeat in US and a slowdown in China -one of the
main trading parters of the country-. A fostering job market coupled with a recovery in housing has put
Australian Dollar in a relatively insulating position vis a vis softening oil prices and sluggishness in the main
export market for Australian Ores-China-. The currency is already trading in an expensive range and a breaking
of 0.9100 would certain temp aussie to test 0.9137- a good selling point-, On the downside, 0.9013 and then
below 0.8990
Economic Releases Calendar
CAD
CAD is being subjected to the ‘see-saw’ effect of Fed’s actions. With no other major data around the corner
except CPI coupled with BoC staying put with ‘hold’ stance, the CAD is being clearly driven by Fed’s actions.
Despite being backed by strong fundamentals (increasing Oil prices and Fiscal consolidation at federal level),
CAD has been trading in a range of 1.1000 to 1.1150 for quite some time after testing 1.1224 in January.
However, as the Fed announced a reduction in tapering off (in line with market expectations of USD 55 Bio A
month), the markets have markedly “over-reacted” to CAD by testing 1.1280. However, these levels are
unsustainable as CAD’s has adopted a ‘range-bound’ approach to depreciation vis-à-vis USD. Despite CAD
looking all set up to test 1.1300 there the developments in Ukraine are likely to support the case for a stronger
CAD. Firstly, the officials Russian Central Bank –World’s 5th largest FX reserves holder- have indicated that they
would be diversifying away from the USD and the money is likely to go into commos (CAD and AUD). Secondly,
the new finance minister Joe Oliver vowed to keep the fiscals on course for a surplus budget from 2015 onwards.
The CAD is likely to trade within the range of 1.1180-1280 with a downward breather at 1.1120. The CAD is
trading in a cheap range today since the expectations from today’s economic released are positive which would
tempt CAD to test 1.1045.
FX View
GBP
EUR
Euro took retreated as the Fed reduced its bond buying to 55 Bio a month. However, EURO is taking a breather
for the time being after testing 1.3750 yesterday. However, the news that european policymakers have decided
to grant ECB the powers to close down sick banks in Eurozone. The move should provide some comfort to falling
Euro against USD for the time being. Furthermore, A number of Fed Governors are speaking today and markets
will be looking at their interpretation about members of MPC indicating the policy rate at 0.75% by the end of
this year. On data, Italian industrial and EMU Consumer Confidence are due today. The short term immidiate
buy range looks good around <1.3720. The next big support is at 1.3480
JPY
A day off in Japan coupled with lack of data released today would likely see JPY witnessing a calm and thinly
traded market. While JPY seems to be trading in a `fair' range, levels 102.00/101.30 and 102.80/103.10 are
expected to be the soft\hard support and resistances.