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7/30/2019 Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones
1/8
Future Perspectives
April 4, 2011
The Future of Global Brands in an Uncertain World:
The Power of Co-Creation
7/30/2019 Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones
2/8
2011 The Futures Company. All rights reserved.2
We live in a time of uncertainty. Since
the shock of the 2008 economic
collapse, many people feel their
foundations have been eroded.
The 2010 Global MONITOR report
highlighted the fact that living with
uncertainty has become a key
context shaping consumer decision-
making. Correspondingly, there
has been profound questioning of
things that were previously accepted
as gospel, such as globalization.
Now, some of the key features of
globalization are being called into
question, particularly those that
affect the future of global brands.
Although many beliefs about
global brands feel more fragile
than ever, there are many beliefs
about branding and marketing that
are increasingly sure. In 2010, the
Credit Suisse Research Institute
published a report documentingthe returns enjoyed by companies
that focus on branding. Companies
consistently spending at least 2% of
sales revenue on brand marketing
substantially outperformed the
S&P 500 since 1997, according to
Credit Suisses analysis, while the
top one-fth of these businesses
outperformed the market by a huge
17% per year1. While questions
about globalization are rife, global
brand-building continues to deliver
unquestionable value.
However, the open question for
marketers remains how to manage
branding as part of globalization.
Should global brand-building push
or be pulled along? Should global
brand-building be driven by a
central strategy or by local markets?
Developments in the global
receptivity to brands demarcate a
key pathway to the future.
So, in this report, we will
Look at the development of
the idea of the global brand
1 Credit Suisse Research Institute,
Great Brands of Tomorrow, February
25, 2010, http://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.
net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_
Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_
Tomorrow.pdf
1
Introduction
The Future
Perspectives arethought-pieces with
concise, focused
insights into important
issues of interest
to marketing and
business strategists.
For more information
please visitwww.
thefuturescompany.
com.
The Future of Global Brands in an Uncertain World:
The Power ofCo-Creation
http://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdf7/30/2019 Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones
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2011 The Futures Company. All rights reserved. 3
Explore the continuing
tensions between the notion
of the global and the local
Identify brands which
represent new trends in
the development of global
branding
Suggest strategies which help
marketers to manage global
brands in a world of increasing
cultural complexity
In doing this, our approach will be to
combine macro perspectives with
micro insights, mixing some theory
with some examples.
Deconstructing Global-ness
What does it mean to be a global
brand? At root, of course, every
brand is local. Yet, so, too, is every
brand potentially global. For
example, if a consumer discovers a
Palestinian beer and brings six cases
back to New York where it becomes
a minor rage in Tribeca, that brand
has started to globalize. As this
simple example illustrates, for the
consumer a brands global presence
is, paradoxically, most tangible when
a brand is most deeply embedded
in a local situation. No brand has an
exclusive monopoly on global-ness,
at least not in the traditional way
in which global brands have been
understood.
To understand where global brands
are headed, it is useful to revisit the
history of global branding. There
have been four successive models of
global branding.
1stGeneration:
Export Model
This could be considered the pre-
history of global branding. This was
the way of thinking by which branded
consumer goods rst found their
way around the world. Developed
market brands were basically
unchanged from the manufacturing
country as they moved to national
colonies and beyond. The key
business objective was to keep
unit costs cheap enough to cover
transportation.
2nd Generation:
In-Country Model
In contrast to a branch ofce simply
receiving goods, this approach
involved the creation of a full-
blown parallel company structure
in expansion markets, including
production facilities and, crucially,
marketing departments to handle
in-country marketing.
3rd Generation:
Standardization Model
In reaction to the perceived costs
of prior approaches, this model
drew on convergence theories
of development that saw global
consumers becoming alike. Hence,
consumers could be targeted with
the same products and the same
branding.
4th Generation:
Glocalization Model
This model was developed
to balance the benets of
standardization with the need for
local customization. This model
works with an idea of brand
elements that need to be held rm,
like name, logo or visual identity,
versus those that can be modied
as needed, like positioning, target
audience or communications
strategy. This is the prevailing model
today.
Figure 1: The history of global brands
1st generation:Export model
Brands exportedfrom parent countryunchanged
2nd generation:In-country model
Parallel company setup in new markets
3rd generation:Standardizationmodel
Similar products andsimilar branding inmultiple markets
4th generation:Glocalization model
Core elements arestandard, with varia-tions to suit localmodels
?
Source: The Futures Company
MacroDynamics
7/30/2019 Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones
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2011 The Futures Company. All rights reserved.4
The Coming Era ofCo-CreationA new model is now driving the
future of global brands. It is
practiced already by many brands,
though not yet recognized or spoken
of as a true branding model. But it is
coming on strong in a world hungry
for new entry points into the global
marketplace.
5th Generation:
Co-Creation Model
This model extends the open-
ended style of glocalization into
explicit collaboration on equal
terms between brand owners and
host markets. Its not the top-down
collaboration of customizing a global
concept to a local situation but a
deep, iterative collaboration in which
the very concept of a brand arises
bottom-up across several local
situations at once.
This sort of brand model, operating
through the progression of local
market ows, can be seen today with
several innovative global brands.
dENiZEN by Levis
dENiZEN was launched last year in
Shanghai, the rst time Levis has
launched a brand from outside the
US and the rst Levis brand to have
its headquarters outside the US. The
ve-pocket jeans are aimed at 18 to
29 year-olds in China, Singapore,
South Korea, and, in the future, India.
It is a target group Levis refers to as
Asia Rising. In style and price, these
jeans are all about this new global
consumer and the local situations
that give meaning and power to its
global strategy. More importantly,
these jeans represent a ground-up
approach to building an international
presence.
Shang Xia
Shang Xia is a new Herms luxury
brand launched last year targeting
the Chinese market. Shang Xia
pitches itself squarely into the
tension over the ultimate source
of a brands identity. Historically,
Herms expanded by buying existing
brands. But Shang Xia is being
launched from the ground up, using
local know-how and materials to
build a global presence at a lower
price point for this fast-growing
market. This brand is a stylistic
hybrid of modern European design
and Chinese craft, yet a Herms
representative has insisted that it
is a Chinese brand, developed in
China with the Chinese team, based
on Chinese craftsmanship and
broadly made in China. We dont
want any confusion. This is the
heart and soul of co-creation. The
challenge for Herms, as one scholar
of the Chinese luxury market has
noted, is that products specically
targeting the Chinese market are
often less welcomed than products
that are totally foreign in the rst
place.2 Herms co-creation model
offers a resolution to this challenge.
2Justine Lau, Herms Creates
Bespoke Brand for China, July 19, 2010,
Financial Times, http://www.ft.com/
cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-
00144feab49a.html
Figure 2: The fth generation of global branding
5th generation:Co-creation model
Collaboration betweenbrand owner and local
market to developbrand and proportion
1st generation:Export model
Brands exportedfrom parent country
unchanged
2nd generation:In-country model
Parallel company setup in new markets
3rd generation:Standardizationmodel
Similar products and
similar branding inmultiple markets
4th generation:Glocalization model
Core elements arestandard, with varia-
tions to suit localmodels
Source: The Futures Company
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.html7/30/2019 Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones
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2011 The Futures Company. All rights reserved. 5
BonVi!
Launched in Ghana in 2009 by
Amway, BonVi! was developed
through a live prototyping project
run in rural Ghana involving in-home
interviewing and village charrettes
with feedback on everything from
product samples to the proposed
color of the brand identity. BonVi!
aims at a mass market using not
only glocalization strategies to
convert existing Amway products
to t local needs, but also co-
creation strategies to identify
additional needs, learned from
local collaborators, that can be met
by new products within the global
capabilities of Amway (e.g., water
purication tablets).
From Processes to Meaning
As brands face forward, they
will nd that meaning more
than processes will be a critical
element of success. Co-creation
puts meaning in the forefront of
engagement. In the century ahead,
global brands will nd themselves
having to straddle 150 years of past
history and the legacies that has left
for the future. Though the corporate
focus on emerging markets is
largely economic (following the
shifts in global money), these verymarkets are more exposed over the
near term to resource shortages,
pollution, and other threats to their
viability. For example, Asia is highly
vulnerable to water scarcity.
Future global brands will need to be
mindful that one of the advantages
of global brands in years past
has been a tacit guarantee that
products carrying their name would
not kill or injure their consumers.
In this sense, global brands of the
future will need to be just as mindful
of the functional bottom end of
Maslows hierarchy of needs as of
its more aspirational top end.
Global supply chains make this
harder to achieve. Consumers in
afuent markets feel secure and
distanced from risk when they read
of vigilante consumers in China
turning on a brewer alleged to
have watered down beer or when
two people are tried and executed
for their part in a powdered milk
scandal. But these risks hit close to
home when lead paint renders toys
produced in China unsafe for the
American market.
MacroDynamics
7/30/2019 Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones
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2011 The Futures Company. All rights reserved.6
Brand risks are amplied by the
co-creation model which, inevitably,
creates brand divergence at the
level of national or local markets.
With consumers in different
markets increasingly connected
through digital networks and social
media, inconsistencies will be
identied quickly, then shared and
publicized. Global brands will need
to speak coherently across markets
even as they speak distinctively
within them.
Global brands will be forced to
shift much of the emphasis in their
brand communications from rules
to values and from processes to
meaning, putting more pressure on
the ways in which corporate culture
is created, communicated and
internalized. This is a lesson Mattel
learned from its toy recalls. Its rst
attempts focused on procedure, but
this was not enough. Its subsequent
efforts approached the problem by
looking at the values of integrity
and safety around its productions
processes.3
3 Jonathan Dee, A Toy Makers
Conscience. New York Times, December
23, 2007, http://www.nytimes.
com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t
html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.html7/30/2019 Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones
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The Future of Global Brands
Looking across the trends which
are shaping the global landscape
in which transnational businesses
operate, it is possible to pick
out some clear implications for
executives.
Emerging brands from
emerging nations
Developing markets that weathered
the global downturn better than other
markets are showing their resilience
through a urry of M&A activity.
As the BRIC countries continue to
expand, with more afuent nations
trapped in the debt overhang of the
economic crisis, we will see BRIC-
based businesses add brand assets
to their existing portfolios of natural
assets, production capacity and
manpower. March 2011 data show
that 44% of privately held businesses
in Brazil, Russia, India, and China are
planning to grow by acquisition in
2011, up from 27% last year.4
Authentic local brands from
afuent nations
Many of the brand stories mentioned
in this report have been about how
brands from the afuent world
responded to the challenges of newmarkets. The historically strong
4 Grant Thornton, BRICs lead the way
in M&A. International and Emerging
Markets Blog, March 3, 2011, http://
www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/
emergingmarkets/index.php/article/
brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/
brand skills of existing global brands
will not vanish, even in this business
environment. However, global brands
will need to be more responsive
to their local circumstances,
understanding more deeply why
consumers in each particular market
seek out their brands or disregard
them. In the competitive context
of these various marketplaces,
the imperative of adaptation and
indigenization will play out as a race
against time and capital between
established brand owners and new,
acquisitive brand owners to co-create
brands that will win the loyalty of
emerging market consumers. This is
the race that will decide control of the
brand wealth of nations in the years
to come.
The decline of the iconic brand
There will be too many brands
chasing too few possibilities for
iconic brands to dominate consumer
relationships as they have in years
past. No matter how good a strategy
may be, it dunks a brand into the
red ocean of undifferentiation if
every brand adopts it. The ultimate
challenge for brands has always been
to overcome consumer indifference,
and this challenge will grow in the
global marketplace to come. In
response, brands will have to deliverever greater value to consumers who
favor them, even as brands fragment
their identities through greater locally
driven co-creation.
MacroDynamics
http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/7/30/2019 Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones
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2011 The Futures Company. All rights reserved.8
the marketplace. Uncertainty is
bringing together a conuence
of perspectives that is redening
global brands from the bottom up.
The hierarchy of established global
brands will be challenged by new, co-
created global brands.
Established brand owners have the
skill and experience to navigate
these tricky marketing waters,
and should feel condent about
their ability to create authentic
new brands of their own, thereby
appropriating some of the cultural
authority that new brands might
otherwise enjoy. Such adaptation
can be a rich source of innovation,
and thus, even as a new marketplace
unfolds, the dominion of Western
brands is not likely to be wholly
overturned by the future market
forces of co-creation.
The end of grand strategy in
global branding
An era of mixed strategies in global
branding is emerging in which what
happens at the center will be equally
matchedif not overpoweredby
what happens in local situations.
The glocalization models of the
fourth generation will be challenged
increasingly by global brands that
are co-created from the bottom up.
Local customization will give way to
local co-creation as the underpinning
of global success. A movement is
underway to shift toward toolkits to
support a mix-and-match approach
in which different elements can be
woven together to respond to locally
unique branding challenges.
The rise of the contextual
brand manager
In the marketplace ahead,
successful global brand managers
will be culturally and contextually
adept, listening to markets in order
to master and understand multiple
cultures. Increasing numbers of
global brand managers will move
from emerging nations to work
in all of a brands markets, not
just the home market. A key skill
will be assessing local factors
accurately and judging the correctelements to deploy. In todays global
marketplace, whats required is an
expedient, experimental mindset
that is open to all possibilities. Brand
judo, not brand brawn, will determine
which brands win.
Brands will have to build new
narratives
With many trades in ownership
and the invention or reinvention
of co-created brand propositions,
national or local origin will no
longer be a sufcient basis for
brand authenticity. In an age of
ever-smarter consumers, the
battle of the brands will become
a battle of narratives. Competing
brands will attempt to tell more
compelling stories about their
values and purpose, from product to
provenance to social and corporate
commitment.
Conclusion
Notwithstanding the push of market
forces to co-creation, there are
counter-forces at work as well.
Todays global brands got there rst,
giving them a huge order-of-entry
advantage which new co-created
brands will have to spend heavily
to overcome. This challenge is
intensied by the status enjoyed
by many foreign brands among
emerging market consumers.
Indeed, as developing nations
grow more prosperous, consumers
there may spend even more on
established brands.
The future of global brands of
every sort will require a new
approach to global brand-building.
The intersection of interests that
denes global market opportunities
now demands a fresh look at