Futures Company Future of Global Brands Walkersmith Curry Jones

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    Future Perspectives

    April 4, 2011

    The Future of Global Brands in an Uncertain World:

    The Power of Co-Creation

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    2011 The Futures Company. All rights reserved.2

    We live in a time of uncertainty. Since

    the shock of the 2008 economic

    collapse, many people feel their

    foundations have been eroded.

    The 2010 Global MONITOR report

    highlighted the fact that living with

    uncertainty has become a key

    context shaping consumer decision-

    making. Correspondingly, there

    has been profound questioning of

    things that were previously accepted

    as gospel, such as globalization.

    Now, some of the key features of

    globalization are being called into

    question, particularly those that

    affect the future of global brands.

    Although many beliefs about

    global brands feel more fragile

    than ever, there are many beliefs

    about branding and marketing that

    are increasingly sure. In 2010, the

    Credit Suisse Research Institute

    published a report documentingthe returns enjoyed by companies

    that focus on branding. Companies

    consistently spending at least 2% of

    sales revenue on brand marketing

    substantially outperformed the

    S&P 500 since 1997, according to

    Credit Suisses analysis, while the

    top one-fth of these businesses

    outperformed the market by a huge

    17% per year1. While questions

    about globalization are rife, global

    brand-building continues to deliver

    unquestionable value.

    However, the open question for

    marketers remains how to manage

    branding as part of globalization.

    Should global brand-building push

    or be pulled along? Should global

    brand-building be driven by a

    central strategy or by local markets?

    Developments in the global

    receptivity to brands demarcate a

    key pathway to the future.

    So, in this report, we will

    Look at the development of

    the idea of the global brand

    1 Credit Suisse Research Institute,

    Great Brands of Tomorrow, February

    25, 2010, http://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.

    net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_

    Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_

    Tomorrow.pdf

    1

    Introduction

    The Future

    Perspectives arethought-pieces with

    concise, focused

    insights into important

    issues of interest

    to marketing and

    business strategists.

    For more information

    please visitwww.

    thefuturescompany.

    com.

    The Future of Global Brands in an Uncertain World:

    The Power ofCo-Creation

    http://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://www.thefuturescompany.com/http://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdfhttp://wpc.186f.edgecastcdn.net/00186F/mps/Equity_Research_Test_Account/16/129/Great_Brands_of_Tomorrow.pdf
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    Explore the continuing

    tensions between the notion

    of the global and the local

    Identify brands which

    represent new trends in

    the development of global

    branding

    Suggest strategies which help

    marketers to manage global

    brands in a world of increasing

    cultural complexity

    In doing this, our approach will be to

    combine macro perspectives with

    micro insights, mixing some theory

    with some examples.

    Deconstructing Global-ness

    What does it mean to be a global

    brand? At root, of course, every

    brand is local. Yet, so, too, is every

    brand potentially global. For

    example, if a consumer discovers a

    Palestinian beer and brings six cases

    back to New York where it becomes

    a minor rage in Tribeca, that brand

    has started to globalize. As this

    simple example illustrates, for the

    consumer a brands global presence

    is, paradoxically, most tangible when

    a brand is most deeply embedded

    in a local situation. No brand has an

    exclusive monopoly on global-ness,

    at least not in the traditional way

    in which global brands have been

    understood.

    To understand where global brands

    are headed, it is useful to revisit the

    history of global branding. There

    have been four successive models of

    global branding.

    1stGeneration:

    Export Model

    This could be considered the pre-

    history of global branding. This was

    the way of thinking by which branded

    consumer goods rst found their

    way around the world. Developed

    market brands were basically

    unchanged from the manufacturing

    country as they moved to national

    colonies and beyond. The key

    business objective was to keep

    unit costs cheap enough to cover

    transportation.

    2nd Generation:

    In-Country Model

    In contrast to a branch ofce simply

    receiving goods, this approach

    involved the creation of a full-

    blown parallel company structure

    in expansion markets, including

    production facilities and, crucially,

    marketing departments to handle

    in-country marketing.

    3rd Generation:

    Standardization Model

    In reaction to the perceived costs

    of prior approaches, this model

    drew on convergence theories

    of development that saw global

    consumers becoming alike. Hence,

    consumers could be targeted with

    the same products and the same

    branding.

    4th Generation:

    Glocalization Model

    This model was developed

    to balance the benets of

    standardization with the need for

    local customization. This model

    works with an idea of brand

    elements that need to be held rm,

    like name, logo or visual identity,

    versus those that can be modied

    as needed, like positioning, target

    audience or communications

    strategy. This is the prevailing model

    today.

    Figure 1: The history of global brands

    1st generation:Export model

    Brands exportedfrom parent countryunchanged

    2nd generation:In-country model

    Parallel company setup in new markets

    3rd generation:Standardizationmodel

    Similar products andsimilar branding inmultiple markets

    4th generation:Glocalization model

    Core elements arestandard, with varia-tions to suit localmodels

    ?

    Source: The Futures Company

    MacroDynamics

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    The Coming Era ofCo-CreationA new model is now driving the

    future of global brands. It is

    practiced already by many brands,

    though not yet recognized or spoken

    of as a true branding model. But it is

    coming on strong in a world hungry

    for new entry points into the global

    marketplace.

    5th Generation:

    Co-Creation Model

    This model extends the open-

    ended style of glocalization into

    explicit collaboration on equal

    terms between brand owners and

    host markets. Its not the top-down

    collaboration of customizing a global

    concept to a local situation but a

    deep, iterative collaboration in which

    the very concept of a brand arises

    bottom-up across several local

    situations at once.

    This sort of brand model, operating

    through the progression of local

    market ows, can be seen today with

    several innovative global brands.

    dENiZEN by Levis

    dENiZEN was launched last year in

    Shanghai, the rst time Levis has

    launched a brand from outside the

    US and the rst Levis brand to have

    its headquarters outside the US. The

    ve-pocket jeans are aimed at 18 to

    29 year-olds in China, Singapore,

    South Korea, and, in the future, India.

    It is a target group Levis refers to as

    Asia Rising. In style and price, these

    jeans are all about this new global

    consumer and the local situations

    that give meaning and power to its

    global strategy. More importantly,

    these jeans represent a ground-up

    approach to building an international

    presence.

    Shang Xia

    Shang Xia is a new Herms luxury

    brand launched last year targeting

    the Chinese market. Shang Xia

    pitches itself squarely into the

    tension over the ultimate source

    of a brands identity. Historically,

    Herms expanded by buying existing

    brands. But Shang Xia is being

    launched from the ground up, using

    local know-how and materials to

    build a global presence at a lower

    price point for this fast-growing

    market. This brand is a stylistic

    hybrid of modern European design

    and Chinese craft, yet a Herms

    representative has insisted that it

    is a Chinese brand, developed in

    China with the Chinese team, based

    on Chinese craftsmanship and

    broadly made in China. We dont

    want any confusion. This is the

    heart and soul of co-creation. The

    challenge for Herms, as one scholar

    of the Chinese luxury market has

    noted, is that products specically

    targeting the Chinese market are

    often less welcomed than products

    that are totally foreign in the rst

    place.2 Herms co-creation model

    offers a resolution to this challenge.

    2Justine Lau, Herms Creates

    Bespoke Brand for China, July 19, 2010,

    Financial Times, http://www.ft.com/

    cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-

    00144feab49a.html

    Figure 2: The fth generation of global branding

    5th generation:Co-creation model

    Collaboration betweenbrand owner and local

    market to developbrand and proportion

    1st generation:Export model

    Brands exportedfrom parent country

    unchanged

    2nd generation:In-country model

    Parallel company setup in new markets

    3rd generation:Standardizationmodel

    Similar products and

    similar branding inmultiple markets

    4th generation:Glocalization model

    Core elements arestandard, with varia-

    tions to suit localmodels

    Source: The Futures Company

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31274bdc-9351-11df-bb9a-00144feab49a.html
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    BonVi!

    Launched in Ghana in 2009 by

    Amway, BonVi! was developed

    through a live prototyping project

    run in rural Ghana involving in-home

    interviewing and village charrettes

    with feedback on everything from

    product samples to the proposed

    color of the brand identity. BonVi!

    aims at a mass market using not

    only glocalization strategies to

    convert existing Amway products

    to t local needs, but also co-

    creation strategies to identify

    additional needs, learned from

    local collaborators, that can be met

    by new products within the global

    capabilities of Amway (e.g., water

    purication tablets).

    From Processes to Meaning

    As brands face forward, they

    will nd that meaning more

    than processes will be a critical

    element of success. Co-creation

    puts meaning in the forefront of

    engagement. In the century ahead,

    global brands will nd themselves

    having to straddle 150 years of past

    history and the legacies that has left

    for the future. Though the corporate

    focus on emerging markets is

    largely economic (following the

    shifts in global money), these verymarkets are more exposed over the

    near term to resource shortages,

    pollution, and other threats to their

    viability. For example, Asia is highly

    vulnerable to water scarcity.

    Future global brands will need to be

    mindful that one of the advantages

    of global brands in years past

    has been a tacit guarantee that

    products carrying their name would

    not kill or injure their consumers.

    In this sense, global brands of the

    future will need to be just as mindful

    of the functional bottom end of

    Maslows hierarchy of needs as of

    its more aspirational top end.

    Global supply chains make this

    harder to achieve. Consumers in

    afuent markets feel secure and

    distanced from risk when they read

    of vigilante consumers in China

    turning on a brewer alleged to

    have watered down beer or when

    two people are tried and executed

    for their part in a powdered milk

    scandal. But these risks hit close to

    home when lead paint renders toys

    produced in China unsafe for the

    American market.

    MacroDynamics

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    Brand risks are amplied by the

    co-creation model which, inevitably,

    creates brand divergence at the

    level of national or local markets.

    With consumers in different

    markets increasingly connected

    through digital networks and social

    media, inconsistencies will be

    identied quickly, then shared and

    publicized. Global brands will need

    to speak coherently across markets

    even as they speak distinctively

    within them.

    Global brands will be forced to

    shift much of the emphasis in their

    brand communications from rules

    to values and from processes to

    meaning, putting more pressure on

    the ways in which corporate culture

    is created, communicated and

    internalized. This is a lesson Mattel

    learned from its toy recalls. Its rst

    attempts focused on procedure, but

    this was not enough. Its subsequent

    efforts approached the problem by

    looking at the values of integrity

    and safety around its productions

    processes.3

    3 Jonathan Dee, A Toy Makers

    Conscience. New York Times, December

    23, 2007, http://www.nytimes.

    com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t

    html

    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/23/magazine/23Mattel-t.html
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    The Future of Global Brands

    Looking across the trends which

    are shaping the global landscape

    in which transnational businesses

    operate, it is possible to pick

    out some clear implications for

    executives.

    Emerging brands from

    emerging nations

    Developing markets that weathered

    the global downturn better than other

    markets are showing their resilience

    through a urry of M&A activity.

    As the BRIC countries continue to

    expand, with more afuent nations

    trapped in the debt overhang of the

    economic crisis, we will see BRIC-

    based businesses add brand assets

    to their existing portfolios of natural

    assets, production capacity and

    manpower. March 2011 data show

    that 44% of privately held businesses

    in Brazil, Russia, India, and China are

    planning to grow by acquisition in

    2011, up from 27% last year.4

    Authentic local brands from

    afuent nations

    Many of the brand stories mentioned

    in this report have been about how

    brands from the afuent world

    responded to the challenges of newmarkets. The historically strong

    4 Grant Thornton, BRICs lead the way

    in M&A. International and Emerging

    Markets Blog, March 3, 2011, http://

    www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/

    emergingmarkets/index.php/article/

    brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/

    brand skills of existing global brands

    will not vanish, even in this business

    environment. However, global brands

    will need to be more responsive

    to their local circumstances,

    understanding more deeply why

    consumers in each particular market

    seek out their brands or disregard

    them. In the competitive context

    of these various marketplaces,

    the imperative of adaptation and

    indigenization will play out as a race

    against time and capital between

    established brand owners and new,

    acquisitive brand owners to co-create

    brands that will win the loyalty of

    emerging market consumers. This is

    the race that will decide control of the

    brand wealth of nations in the years

    to come.

    The decline of the iconic brand

    There will be too many brands

    chasing too few possibilities for

    iconic brands to dominate consumer

    relationships as they have in years

    past. No matter how good a strategy

    may be, it dunks a brand into the

    red ocean of undifferentiation if

    every brand adopts it. The ultimate

    challenge for brands has always been

    to overcome consumer indifference,

    and this challenge will grow in the

    global marketplace to come. In

    response, brands will have to deliverever greater value to consumers who

    favor them, even as brands fragment

    their identities through greater locally

    driven co-creation.

    MacroDynamics

    http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/http://www.grant-thornton.co.uk/thinking/emergingmarkets/index.php/article/brics_lead_the_way_in_ma/
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    the marketplace. Uncertainty is

    bringing together a conuence

    of perspectives that is redening

    global brands from the bottom up.

    The hierarchy of established global

    brands will be challenged by new, co-

    created global brands.

    Established brand owners have the

    skill and experience to navigate

    these tricky marketing waters,

    and should feel condent about

    their ability to create authentic

    new brands of their own, thereby

    appropriating some of the cultural

    authority that new brands might

    otherwise enjoy. Such adaptation

    can be a rich source of innovation,

    and thus, even as a new marketplace

    unfolds, the dominion of Western

    brands is not likely to be wholly

    overturned by the future market

    forces of co-creation.

    The end of grand strategy in

    global branding

    An era of mixed strategies in global

    branding is emerging in which what

    happens at the center will be equally

    matchedif not overpoweredby

    what happens in local situations.

    The glocalization models of the

    fourth generation will be challenged

    increasingly by global brands that

    are co-created from the bottom up.

    Local customization will give way to

    local co-creation as the underpinning

    of global success. A movement is

    underway to shift toward toolkits to

    support a mix-and-match approach

    in which different elements can be

    woven together to respond to locally

    unique branding challenges.

    The rise of the contextual

    brand manager

    In the marketplace ahead,

    successful global brand managers

    will be culturally and contextually

    adept, listening to markets in order

    to master and understand multiple

    cultures. Increasing numbers of

    global brand managers will move

    from emerging nations to work

    in all of a brands markets, not

    just the home market. A key skill

    will be assessing local factors

    accurately and judging the correctelements to deploy. In todays global

    marketplace, whats required is an

    expedient, experimental mindset

    that is open to all possibilities. Brand

    judo, not brand brawn, will determine

    which brands win.

    Brands will have to build new

    narratives

    With many trades in ownership

    and the invention or reinvention

    of co-created brand propositions,

    national or local origin will no

    longer be a sufcient basis for

    brand authenticity. In an age of

    ever-smarter consumers, the

    battle of the brands will become

    a battle of narratives. Competing

    brands will attempt to tell more

    compelling stories about their

    values and purpose, from product to

    provenance to social and corporate

    commitment.

    Conclusion

    Notwithstanding the push of market

    forces to co-creation, there are

    counter-forces at work as well.

    Todays global brands got there rst,

    giving them a huge order-of-entry

    advantage which new co-created

    brands will have to spend heavily

    to overcome. This challenge is

    intensied by the status enjoyed

    by many foreign brands among

    emerging market consumers.

    Indeed, as developing nations

    grow more prosperous, consumers

    there may spend even more on

    established brands.

    The future of global brands of

    every sort will require a new

    approach to global brand-building.

    The intersection of interests that

    denes global market opportunities

    now demands a fresh look at