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Future research agenda: making the economic case for investing in support for growing older with disabilities David McDaid
LSE Health & Social Care & European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, London School of Economics
Growing Older With A Disability Conference, Festival of International Conferences on Caregiving, Disability, Ageing and Technology (FICCDAT)June 2011
Structure
Why should we be interested in economics?
Making use of economics in the research agenda on GOWD
Some examples of how economics has been used
Moving forward
Economics is just about choice?
Budget
Supporting peopleGOWD
Support for childrenwith intellectual
difficulties
Just about economic evaluation?
The effectiveness question:
Does this intervention work?
The economic question:Is it worth it?
Two Basic Needs: (A) Costs and Outcomes; (B) 2+ Alternatives
Outcomes (e.g. Quality of Life Years (QALYs) for intervention X
Costs for intervention X; Impact on other costs
Costs for intervention Z; Impact on other costs
Outcomes (e.g Quality of Life Years (QALYs) for intervention Z
http://www.jrf.org.uk/publications/because-its-worth-it-practical-guide-conducting-economic-evaluations-social-welfare-fie
Many questions that economic research can address?
• The costs of inaction: What are the economic consequences of not supporting GOWD?
• The costs of action: What would it cost to intervene by providing a supportive measure ?
• The cost-effectiveness of action: What is the balance between what it costs to intervene and what would be achieved in terms of better outcomes, e.g. health status, improved functioning, independence, inclusion, quality of life, employment status?
• The levers for change: What economic incentives can encourage more use of those interventions that are thought to be cost-effective and less use of those interventions which are not?
Important to make economic case
Policymakers interested in cost impact as well as effectiveness
Do improvements in outcomes justify investment?
But can be improved outcomes for greater investment
Make case across sectors: impacts fall on many sectors, not just health / social welfare
Costs and benefits of GOWD
Many studies looking at the costs of living with disability
Many studies looking at the costs of old age
Limited studies looking specifically at the interface between the two
Little focus on ‘benefit’, predominantly about cost
Health System Costs of Osteoarthritis of the Knee in Italy
Drugs7%
Devices5%
Hospitalisation25%
Transport5%
Paid Carers27%
Physiotherapy9%
Diagnostics22%
Leardini et al Clin Exp Rheumatol 2004
€934 per patientper year
Total Costs of Osteoarthritis of the Knee in Italy
Other carers3%
Lost Employment
18%
Informal Primary Carer
35%
Health system44%
Total cost = €2170 per patient per year
Leardini et al Clin Exp Rheumatol 2004
Employment, unemployment and inactivity among people with disabilitiesAPPLICA & CESEP & EUROPEAN CENTRE 2007
Disability Benefits GB 200722%
40%
6%8%
18%
6%
Other Mental and Behavioural Disorders
Nervous System Circulatory and Respiratory System
Musculoskeletal System Injury, Poisoning, External Causes
Source: Department of Work and Pensions, 2007
€ 3.9 billion per annum
Plus reduced tax receipts €14 billion
Projecting economic costs of disability and ageing MAP2030
http://www2.lse.ac.uk/LSEHealthAndSocialCare/MAP2030/
Projecting economic costs of disability and ageing MAP2030
http://www2.lse.ac.uk/LSEHealthAndSocialCare/MAP2030/
Projecting economic costs of disability and ageing MAP2030
http://www2.lse.ac.uk/LSEHealthAndSocialCare/MAP2030/
But….a need to know more about the positive social, emotional and economic benefits of postive ageing and disability
Economic Benefits of ‘Made in Manitoba’ Legislation
http://www.gov.mb.ca/dio/discussionpaper/pdf/discussionpaper.pdf
Economic benefits of Disability Access Legislation Highlighted
Economic Benefits of ‘Made in Manitoba’ Legislation
Loyal, capable workforce
Hiring and accommodating older workers and persons with disabilities to help in challenge of retaining skilled workers
Increased incomes, increased tax revenues; reduced need for public support
$1 billion per annum in consumer spending power.
Eliminating barriers to employment / consumer services will expand figures and boost contribution of consumers to economy.
Market for products for people with disabilities substantial – often goes beyond people with disabilities
• Report for European Commission, DG Information and Society
• Looking at potential scope for action
• Including economic impact
Kevin Cullen, Lutz Kubitschke, David Mc Daid, Peter Blanck, William N Myhill, Gerard Quinn, Patrick O Donoghue and Rune Halverson, 2008,
Making the economic case for the accessibility of ICT products and services to disabled and older people
Valuing the socio-economic contribution of older people in the UK (2011)
• In 2010 positive net contribution to UK economy £40 billion rising to £77 billion by 2030.
• Costs: takes account of pension, welfare, health costs.
• Benefits: Tax revenues, Consumer Spending, Provision of Care, Volunteering
http://www.goldagepensioners.com/Uploads/PDF/main-report.pdf
Valuing the socio-economic contribution of older people in the UK (2011)
http://www.goldagepensioners.com/Uploads/PDF/main-report.pdf
Economic value of benefits
http://www.goldagepensioners.com/Uploads/PDF/economic-model-report.pdf
Approach could be
replicated in other settings;
adapted to specific
population sub-groups
The economic benefits of wellbeing
• Traditional focus on tackling disease.
• Health assumed to be ‘absence of illness’
• Wellbeing goes beyond absence of illness
• Issues around mental and physical capital, social cohesiveness; altruism; innovation
• All of this has potential economic benefits
To sum up
Economics can help make case for investment in support for GOWD
Research on costs of ageing/costs of disability, but less on interface or specific population groups
Opportunities for research consideration of business case/case to public purse of GOWD more positively
Opportunities to look at economic benefits of better wellbeing
Opportunities for collaboration with economists