Fundamental of Corporate Finance,chpt5,6

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    Chapter 5,6

    Time Value of Money

    Prepared and Taught by Lecturer : YIN SOKHNG

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Tel:(855) 16889872 / 17989972

    Chapter Outline

    5.1 The One-Period Case

    5.2 The Multiperiod Case

    5.3 Compounding Periods & Continuous

    Compounding

    5.4 Valuing Level Cash Flows: Annuities and

    Perpetuities

    5.5 Loan Amortization

    2Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    3

    5.1 The One-Period Case:

    Future Value

    If you were to invest $10,000 at 5-percent interest forone year, your investment would grow to $10,500

    $500 would be interest ($10,000 .05)

    $10,000 is the principal repayment ($10,000 1)

    $10,500 is the total due. It can be calculated as:

    $10,500 = $10,000(1.05).

    The total amount due at the end of the investment iscall the Future Value (FV).

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

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    4

    In the one-period case, the formula for FV

    can be written as:

    FV= C0(1 + r)T

    Where C0 is cash flow today (time zero) and

    ris the appropriate interest rate.

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    5

    Present Value

    If you were to be promised $10,000 due in one

    year when interest rates are at 5-percent, your

    investment be worth $9,523.81 in todays

    dollars.

    05.1

    000,10$81.523,9$

    The amount that a borrower would need to set aside

    today to to able to meet the promised payment of

    $10,000 in one year is call the Present Value (PV) of$10,000.Note that $10,000 = $9,523.81(1.05).

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    6

    In the one-period case, the formula for PVcan be

    written as:

    r

    CPV

    1

    1

    Where C1 is cash flow at date 1 and

    ris the appropriate interest rate.

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

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    7

    5.2 The Multiperiod Case:

    Future Value

    The general formula for the future value of an

    investment over many periods can be written as:FV= C0(1 + r)

    T

    Where

    C0 is cash flow at date 0,

    ris the appropriate interest rate, and

    Tis the number of periods over which the cash is

    invested.

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    8

    Suppose that Jay Ritter invested in the initialpublic offering of the Modigliani company.Modigliani pays a current dividend of $1.10,which is expected to grow at 40-percent peryear for the next five years.

    What will the dividend be in five years?

    FV= C0(1 + r)T

    $5.92 = $1.10(1.40)5

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    9

    Future Value and Compounding

    Notice that the dividend in year five, $5.92, isconsiderably higher than the sum of the

    original dividend plus five increases of 40-

    percent on the original $1.10 dividend:

    $5.92 > $1.10 + 5[$1.10.40] = $3.30

    This is due to compounding.

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    Future Value and Compounding

    10

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    10.1$

    3)40.1(10.1$

    02.3$

    )40.1(10.1$

    54.1$

    2)40.1(10.1$

    16.2$

    5)40.1(10.1$

    92.5$

    4)40.1(10.1$

    23.4$

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    11

    Present Value and Compounding

    How much would an investor have to set aside today in order to

    have $20,000 five years from now if the current rate is 15%?

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    $20,000PV

    5)15.1(

    000,20$53.943,9$

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    12

    How Long is the Wait?

    If we deposit $5,000 today in an account paying

    10%, how long does it take to grow to $10,000?

    TrCFV )1(0

    T)10.1(000,5$000,10$

    2000,5$

    000,10$)10.1( T

    2ln)10.1ln( T

    years27.70953.0

    6931.0

    )10.1ln(

    2lnT

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

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    13

    What Rate Is Enough?

    Assume the total cost of a college educationwill be $50,000 when your child enterscollege in 12 years. You have $5,000 to investtoday. What rate of interest must you earn onyour investment to cover the cost of yourchilds education?

    TrCFV )1(0

    12)1(000,5$000,50$ r

    10000,5$

    000,50$)1(12 r 12110)1( r

    2115.12115.1110121 r

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    14

    5.3 Compounding Periods & Continuous

    CompoundingCompounding an investment m times a year for T

    years provides for future value of wealth:Tm

    m

    rCFV

    10

    For example, if you invest $50 for 3 years at

    12% compounded semi-annually, your

    investment will grow to

    93.70$)06.1(50$2

    12.150$ 6

    32

    FV

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    15

    Effective Annual Interest Rates

    A reasonable question to ask in the aboveexample is what is the effective annual rate of

    interest on that investment?

    The Effective Annual Interest Rate (EAR) is

    the annual rate that would give us the same

    end-of-investment wealth after 3 years:

    93.70$)06.1(50$)2

    12.1(50$ 632 FV

    93.70$)1(50$ 3 EARInstructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

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    Effective Annual Interest Rates (continued)

    So, investing at 12.36% compounded annually

    is the same as investing at 12% compounded

    semiannually.

    93.70$)1(50$ 3 EARFV

    50$93.70$)1(

    3 EAR

    1236.150$

    93.70$31

    EAR

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    17

    Effective Annual Interest Rates (continued)

    Find the Effective Annual Rate (EAR) of an 18%

    APR loan that is compounded monthly.

    What we have is a loan with a monthly interest

    rate of 1 percent.

    This is equivalent to a loan with an annual interest

    rate of 19.56 percent

    19561817.1)015.1(12

    18.11 12

    12

    mn

    m

    r

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    18

    Continuous Compounding

    The general formula for the future value of an

    investment compounded continuously over many

    periods can be written as:FV= C0e

    rT

    Where

    C0 is cash flow at date 0,

    ris the stated annual interest rate,

    Tis the number of periods over which the cash is

    invested, and

    e is a transcendental number approximately equal to

    2.718. ex is a key on your calculator.

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    5.4 Valuing Level Cash Flows: Annuities

    and Perpetuities

    Annuityfinite series of equal payments that

    occur at regular intervals If the first payment occurs at the end of the period,

    it is called anordinary annuity

    If the first payment occurs at the beginning of the

    period, it is called anannuity due

    Perpetuityinfinite series of equal payments

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    20

    Ordinary Annuity vs. Annuity Due

    Ordinary Annuity

    Annuity starts at

    end of period

    Annuity Due

    Annuity starts

    NOW

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    21

    Annuity

    A stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a

    fixed number of periods.

    Growing annuity

    A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant

    rate for a fixed number of periods.

    Perpetuity

    A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever.

    Growing perpetuity

    A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant

    rate forever.

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

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    22

    Ordinary Annuities

    r

    rCFV

    r

    r

    CPV

    T

    T

    1)1(

    )1(

    11

    Note: C = PMT

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    23

    Annuities Due

    rr

    rCFV

    rr

    rCPV

    T

    T

    11)1(

    1)1(

    11

    Note: C = PMT

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    24

    Ordinary Annuity

    A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.

    The formula for the present value of an ordinary

    annuity is:

    Tr

    C

    r

    C

    r

    C

    r

    CPV

    )1()1()1()1(32

    Trr

    CPV

    )1(

    11

    0 1

    C

    2

    C

    3

    C

    T

    C

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    Annuity Intuition

    An annuity is valued as the difference between twoperpetuities:

    one perpetuity that starts at time 1

    less a perpetuity that starts at time T+ 1

    0 1

    C

    2

    C

    3

    C

    T

    C

    Tr

    r

    C

    r

    CPV

    )1(

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    26

    Annuity: Example

    If you can afford a $400 monthly car payment, howmuch car can you afford if interest rates are 7% on 36-month loans?

    59.954,12$)1207.1(

    1112/07.

    400$36

    PV

    0 1

    $400

    2

    $400

    3

    $400

    36

    $400

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    27

    What is the present value of a four-year annuity of

    $100 per year that makes its first payment two years

    from today if the discount rate is 9%?

    22.297$09.1

    97.327$

    0PV

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    $100 $100 $100 $100 $323.97$297.22

    97.327$)09.1(

    100$)09.1(

    100$)09.1(

    100$)09.1(

    100$)09.1(

    100$ 4321

    4

    1

    1 t tPV

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    28

    Growing Annuity

    A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.

    The formula for the present value of a growing

    annuity:

    T

    T

    r

    gC

    r

    gC

    r

    CPV

    )1(

    )1(

    )1(

    )1(

    )1(

    1

    2

    T

    r

    g

    gr

    CPV

    )1(

    11

    0 1

    C

    2

    C(1+g)

    3

    C(1+g)2

    T

    C(1+g)T-1

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    29

    Growing Annuity

    A defined-benefit retirement plan offers to pay $20,000per year for 40 years and increase the annual paymentby three-percent each year. What is the present value atretirement if the discount rate is 10 percent?

    57.121,265$10.103.11

    03.10.000,20$

    40

    PV

    0 1

    $20,000

    2

    $20,000(1.03)

    40

    $20,000(1.03)39

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    30

    PV of Growing AnnuityYou are evaluating an income property that is providing

    increasing rents. Net rent is received at the end of each year. The

    first year's rent is expected to be $8,500 and rent is expected to

    increase 7% each year. Each payment occur at the end of the year.What is the present value of the estimated income stream over the

    first 5 years if the discount rate is 12%?

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    500,8$

    2)07.1(500,8$

    095,9$ 65.731,9$

    3)07.1(500,8$

    87.412,10$

    4)07.1(500,8$

    77.141,11$

    $34,706.26

    )07.1(500,8$

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    31

    PV of a delayed growing annuityYour firm is about to make its initial public offering ofstock and your job is to estimate the correct offering price.Forecast dividends are as follows.

    Year: 1 2 3 4

    Dividends pershare

    $1.50 $1.65 $1.82 5% growththereafter

    If investors demand a 10% return on investments of this risk

    level, what price will they be willing to pay?

    Year 0 1 2 3

    Cash flow $1.50 $1.65 $1.82

    4

    $1.821.05

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    32

    PV of a delayed growing annuity

    Year 0 1 2 3

    Cash flow $1.50 $1.65 $1.82 dividend + P3

    PV of cash flow $32.81

    22.38$05.10.

    05.182.13

    P

    81.32$)10.1(

    22.38$82.1$

    )10.1(

    65.1$

    )10.1(

    50.1$320

    P

    = $1.82 + $38.22

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    33

    Perpetuity

    A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever.

    0

    1

    C

    2

    C

    3

    C

    The formula for the present value of a perpetuity is:

    32)1()1()1( r

    C

    r

    C

    r

    CPV

    r

    CPV

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    34

    Perpetuity: Example

    What is the value of a British consol that promises topay 15 each year?

    The interest rate is 10-percent.

    0

    1

    15

    2

    15

    3

    15

    15010.

    15PV

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    35

    Growing Perpetuity

    A growing stream of cash flows that lasts forever.

    0

    1

    C

    2

    C(1+g)

    3

    C(1+g)2

    The formula for the present value of a growing perpetuity is:

    3

    2

    2 )1(

    )1(

    )1(

    )1(

    )1( r

    gC

    r

    gC

    r

    CPV

    gr

    CPV

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    36

    Growing Perpetuity: Example

    The expected dividend next year is $1.30 and dividendsare expected to grow at 5% forever.

    If the discount rate is 10%, what is the value of thispromised dividend stream?

    0

    1

    $1.30

    2

    $1.30(1.05)

    3

    $1.30(1.05)2

    00.26$05.10.

    30.1$

    PV

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    37

    5.5 Loan Amortization

    1. Interest only loan, the principal is repaid all at once.

    e.g. corporate bond, T-note, T-bond

    2. Principal and Interest Loans: Interest declines as youroutstanding principal declines (principal fixed).e.g.

    small, smallest , and medium loan

    3. Fixed payment loan:loan is repaid with equal (monthly) paymentseach payment is combination of principal and interest

    e.g. car loan, mortgage loan

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    38

    Amortization Table:

    Principal and Interest Loan

    . Interest declines as your outstanding

    principal declines (principal fixed).

    . Suppose we borrow $5,000 to be repaid in 5

    annual payments with a 9% annual interest

    rate.

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    39

    Amortization Schedule

    Year BeginningBalance

    TotalPayment

    InterestPaid

    PrincipalPaid

    EndingBalance

    1 $5,000 $ 1,450 $ 450 $ 1,000 $ 4,000

    2 $ 4000 $ 1,360 $ 360 $ 1,000 $ 3,000

    3 $ 3000 $ 1,270 $ 270 $ 1,000 $ 2,000

    4 $ 2000 $ 1,180 $ 180 $ 1,000 $ 1,000

    5 $ 1000 $ 1,090 $ 90 $ 1,000 $--0--

    Total $ 6,350 $ 1,350 $ 5,000

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    40

    Amortization Table:

    Fixed Payment Loan

    Show breakdown of the payment into interest and

    principal

    Step 1: Determine the amount of each loan payment.

    Solve for present value of annuity

    Step 2: Determine how much of each payment is

    interest versus principal.

    Suppose our 5 years, 9 percent, $5,000 loan (car

    loan) was amortized. How would the amortization

    schedule look?

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    41

    Fixed Payment Loan

    )1()1(

    11

    )1(

    11

    rr

    r

    PVPMT

    r

    r

    PVPMT

    T

    T

    (Ordinary Annuities)

    (Annuities due)

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance

    42

    Amortization ScheduleYear Beginning

    BalanceTotal

    Payment(PMT)Interest

    PaidPrincipal

    PaidEndingBalance

    1 $5,000.00 $ 1,285.46 $ 450.00 $ 835.46 $ 4,164.54

    2 $ 4,164.54 $ 1,285.46 $ 374.81 $ 910.60 $ 3,253.88

    3 $ 3,253.88 $ 1,285.46 $ 292.85 $ 992.61 $ 2,261.27

    4 $ 2,261.27 $ 1,285.46 $ 203.51 $ 1,081.95 $ 1,179.32

    5 $ 1,179.32 $ 1,285.46 $ 106.14 $ 1,179.32 $--0--

    Total $6,427.30 $1,427.31 $5,000.00

    Instructed by YIN SOKHENG, Master in Finance