Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    1/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    CHAPTER-1CHAPTER-1

    INTRODUCTION TO MOTILAL OSWALINTRODUCTION TO MOTILAL OSWAL

    HISTORYHISTORY MILESTIONMILESTION

    MOST GUIDING PRINCIPLES & COREMOST GUIDING PRINCIPLES & CORE

    VALUESVALUES

    1

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    2/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd.

    One of the top-ranking broking houses in India, with a dominant

    position in both institutional and retail broking, Motilal Oswal

    Securities Ltd. is amongst the best-capitalized firms in the broking

    industry in terms of net worth.

    Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. was founded in 1987 as a small sub-

    broking unit, with just two people running the show. Focus on

    customer-first-attitude, ethical and transparent business practices

    respect for professionalism, research-based value investing and

    implementation of cutting-edge technology have enabled it to

    blossom into a thousand-member team.

    The institutional business unit has relationships with several leading

    foreign institutional investors (FIIs) in the US, UK, Hong Kong and

    Singapore. In a recent media report Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. was

    rated as one of the top-10 brokers in terms of business transacted for

    FIIs.

    The retail business unit provides equity investment solutions to more

    than 1,50,000 investors through 650 outlets spanning 320 cities.

    Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. provides services like Advice-Based

    Broking, Portfolio Management Services (PMS), E-Broking Services,

    Depository Services, Commodities Trading, and IPO and Mutual

    2

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    3/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Fund Investment Advisory Services. Its Value PMS Scheme gave a

    305% post-tax return for the period of February 2003 to August 2005.

    Motilal Oswal Securities Lets equity research has been consistently

    ranked very highly in surveys conducted by leading international

    publications like Asia Money and Institutional Investor. In Asia Money

    Brokers Poll 2003 Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. has been rated as the

    Best Domestic Research House - Mega Funds, while in 2000 and

    2002 it has been rated as the Best Domestic Equity Research House

    and Second best amongst Indian Brokerage firms respectively. The

    unique Wealth Creation Study, authored by Mr Raamdeo Agrawal,

    Managing Director, is now in its tenth year. Investors keenly await the

    annual study for the wealth of information it has on how companies

    created wealth during the preceding five years.

    The organization finds its strength in its team of young, talented and

    confident individuals. Qualified professionals carry out different

    functions under the able leadership of its promoters, Mr. Motilal

    Oswaland Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal. Its stringent employee selection

    process, focus on continuous training and adoption of best

    management practices drive Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. quest to

    achieving its vision.

    One thing that sets Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. apart is its time-tested and well-recognized equity research capability. With value

    investing at the core of its investment philosophy, a strong research

    team consistently provides high-performance ideas. These are in turn

    converted to sound, personalized investment strategies, keeping in

    3

    http://www.motilaloswal.com/wc2005/wc2005.pdfhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/people.htmhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/people.htmhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/people.htmhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/people.htmhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/wc2005/wc2005.pdfhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/people.htmhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/people.htmhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/people.htmhttp://www.motilaloswal.com/people.htm
  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    4/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    view unique client needs. As a result, the Capital Market now

    recognizes Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. as synonymous to Solid

    Research and Solid Advice.

    MOST GUIDING PRINCIPLES & CORE VALUES.

    Customer interest is paramount Ethical and transparent business practices

    Respect for professionals, associates and business

    partners

    Research based value investing

    Cutting edge technology to ensure world-class customer

    service

    4

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    5/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    MOST HISTORY & MILESTONES

    The story of MOST goes back many years, when Mr. Motilal Oswal

    and Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal met each other as students in a Mumbai

    suburban hostel in the early eighties. Both the young chartered

    accountants hailing from a rural & an unpretentious background had

    a common dream viz 'to build a professional organization with strong

    value systems, to provide reliable & honest investment advice toinvestors'. Thus was born their first enterprise called "Prudential

    Portfolio Services" in 1987.

    2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1996 1995 1994

    19901987

    2004

    Presence expanded to 270 outlets in 150 cities and 20 states

    Value PMS delivers a whopping 160% post tax returns for the

    period ended April 2004

    Bulls Eye PMS - A momentum based PMS launched

    Start of the Solid Research Solid Advice campaign

    2003 MOSt Portfolio Management Services launched with Mr.

    Raamdeo Agrawal as the Portfolio Manager. Uniquely

    structured performance related fees.

    Inquire team is successful in capturing the uptrend in Banking,

    Auto and Infrastructure sectors.

    15,000 Depository clients acquired.

    9 own branches setup at 7 cities to provide Equity Advisory

    5

    http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#12http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#11http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#10http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#9http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#8http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#7http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#6http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#5http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#4http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#3http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#2http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#1http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#12http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#11http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#10http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#9http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#8http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#7http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#6http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#5http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#4http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#3http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#2http://www.motilaloswal.com/history.htm#1
  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    6/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Services. More in the pipeline.

    150 outlets in 110 cities across 18 states & one Union

    Territory in India manned by 1000 people servicing over 15,000

    Retail and Institutional Investors.

    2002

    Mr. Navin Agarwal, Head of Equity Research & Institutional

    sales, is inducted in the Board of Directors

    MOSt consolidates its retail operations & upgrades its IT /

    Back Office infrastructure to cater to its growing network of

    branches, Franchisees and Channel Partners.

    Retail network completes coverage of 100 cities in India.

    Direct servicing of HNI clients is initiated.

    10,000 Depository clients acquired.

    2001

    Legendary marketing guru Shunu Sens services taken to

    revitalise retail marketing strategy and branding efforts.

    Starts offering Derivatives products and advisory services on

    both BSE as well as NSE

    2000

    Both Mr. Motilal Oswal and Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal receive

    Rashtriya Samman Patra from Central Board of Direct Taxes for

    being amongst the top 50 tax payers in India from FY94-FY98

    Acquires its 100th Franchisee / Channel Partner and emerges

    as a leading player in the Indian Broking Sector

    Becomes a Depository Participant of Central Depository

    Services Limited (CDSIL)

    6

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    7/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    1999

    Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal starts attending legendary billionaire

    investor Warren Buffetts Annual General Meetings of

    Berkshire Hathway Inc. He still continues to attend it every

    year.

    The Wealth Creation Study started in 1996 culminates into

    Wealth Creation Seminar and Awards function in 1998.

    First Stock Broking house to brand its services as a

    research and advise based broker.

    Wealth Creation Campaign started.

    www.MotilalOswal.com launched. First broking house in

    India to go on the web.

    Becomes a Depository Participant of National Securities

    Depository Limited (NSDL).

    Inducts Mr. Ivan Mathias, former country head of Watson

    Wyatt Worldwide, on its Board to Directors to shape HR

    initiatives.

    1998 Mr. Motilal Oswal joins the Governing Board of The Stock

    Exchange, Mumbai.

    1996

    Wealth Creation Study started. First of its kind study initiated

    to identify biggest and fastest wealth creating companies in

    Indian Stock markets.

    1995 Motilal Oswal gets incorporated as Motilal Oswal Securities

    Ltd.

    1994 MOSt acquires NSE Membership and plans for majorexpansion of its retail network.

    Inquire (Indian Equity Research) is formally created at a 2500

    sq. ft office in South Mumbai with bigger and better quality

    infrastructure than the corporate office. Since then nearly 20%

    7

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    8/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    of revenue is allocated to research. First Domestic Stock

    broking house to have such a strong Research focus

    Motilal Oswal enters Institutional Broking business.

    1990

    After just three years in the business, Motilal Oswal isformed through acquisition of membership on The Bombay

    Stock Exchange (BSE). Three more memberships taken in later

    years.

    1987

    Mr. Motilal Oswal and Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal lay the

    foundation of a great partnership by starting a sub-broking firm.

    The venture stands out from the rest due to their approach of

    Research-based broking even when sub-brokers.

    Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal is the co-promoter of Motilal Oswal Securities

    Ltd. A member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India & an

    equity research stalwart, he is the man behind the strong research

    capability at MOST.

    He is respected by all in the research and broking industry for his

    valuable insights on issues related to equity research. His firm belief

    in Value-Investing, as practiced by the legendary Warren Buffett

    and Charlie Munger, forms the core of MOST investment philosophy.

    8

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    9/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Management Team

    MOST management team is regularly engaged in finding ways to

    improve operational efficiencies and customer satisfaction.You will find CAs, CFAs, ICWAs, CSs, MBAs and IT professionals

    managing crucial functions, to bring you best products and services -

    from research & advice to trade execution & settlement. At MOST we

    practice meritocracy and each of the team members is provided

    extensive training.

    Training & Manpower Development

    MOST conducts various training and development programs regularly

    to enhance the capabilities of its team. As much as 5% of the salary

    bill is spent on such programs, which is amongst the highest for a

    broking organization in India. MOST is truly a learning organization

    with lead being taken by the Directors, who regularly participate in top

    management learning programs like Strategic Management Program

    at Indian School of Business, Hyderabad, Strategy Summits with

    Management Gurus like Tom Peters and Dr. Lester Throw, Dean,

    Sloan School of Management, (MIT) and Brand Management

    Seminar by Al Rise etc.

    MOST Wealth Creation Study and Awards function

    MOST Wealth Creation Study and Awards function has become a

    key event in the Indian Capital Market. The Wealth Creation Study,

    initiated, in 1996 is widely appreciated in the investment community

    9

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    10/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    and the Indian Corporate Sector. This annual study identifies the

    fastest and the biggest wealth creators in the Indian markets over the

    last 5 years and felicitates them at a public event, attended by several

    leading investors and equity specialists.

    The 9th Wealth Creation Awards function was held at the Grand

    Hyatt, Mumbai on January, 2005.

    Foundation Day

    Arising from its deep respect for Knowledge & Value Addition, MOST

    celebrates its Foundation Day in a truly unique manner. Not only are

    the top performing team members and Business Partners rewarded

    for their contributions, but they are also provided training on important

    subjects like Customer Profiling, Selling, and Investment Advising etc.

    Lot of learning takes place through sharing of successful practices by

    MOST Business Partners.

    Wealth Creation Seminars

    MOST conducts Wealth Creation Seminars across the country

    regularly to educate individual investors about our research products,

    derivatives market, investment strategies and latest opportunities in

    the stock markets. Our senior executives, research analysts and

    investment strategists address the audience and personally interactwith the investors.

    10

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    11/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    CHAPTER 2CHAPTER 2

    CAPITAL MARKETCAPITAL MARKET

    11

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    12/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION

    COMPONENTS OF CAPITALCOMPONENTS OF CAPITAL

    MARKETMARKET

    INTRODUCTION

    Capital market deals with long-term funds. It supplies long-term and

    medium funds. Capital market deals with ordinary shares, debenture,bonds and stocks of corporations and securities of the government.

    The funds which flow into the capital market come from various

    institutions. Capital market provides a market mechanism for those

    who have savings and to those who need funds for productive

    12

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    13/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    investments. It diverts resources from wasteful and unproductive

    channels to productive investments. One of the prime indicators in

    the growth of capital markets is the growth of joint stock companies

    and enterprises.

    In 1951 there were 28500 companies with paid-up capital of nearly

    Rs.775 crores and as on 31-03-98 there were more than 200000

    companies with Paid-up capital of nearly Rs.137959 crores.

    COMPONENTS OF THE CAPITAL MARKET

    In a capital market, banks and financial institution are important

    companies. They act as catalysts in the economic development of

    any country. This institution mobilizes financial savings from

    households, corporate and other sector of the economy and channels

    them into productive investments. They act as a reservoir of

    recourses and from the backbone of the economic and financial

    system. The main companies of capital market in India are:

    1) Primary Market

    2) Secondary market

    Primary market

    13

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    14/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Primary market is also called as new-issue market. The New Issue

    market creates financial claims. The New Issue Market deals with

    those securities which have been made available to the public for first

    time. The new issue of shares is subscribed to the corporate sector

    through the application forms before the closing date of the issue.

    Secondary Market

    The stock exchange, are the secondary markets. They cover public,

    private and joint sector by providing facilities for the transferability of

    shares held by the public. The stock-exchanges not only effect

    purchase and sale of securities but also make a continuous valuation

    of securities traded in the market. The stock exchange is a medium of

    transfer of recourses for those securities which have already been

    issued. The brokers, the investors, mutual funds and the financial

    institution are the important constituents of the secondary market

    consisting of regional stock exchanges, BSE.

    CHAPTER-3CHAPTER-3What is script analysis & SectorWhat is script analysis & Sector

    14

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    15/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    MEANING OF SCRIP?MEANING OF SCRIP?

    MEANING OF SECTORS?MEANING OF SECTORS?

    BOMBAY STOCK EXCHANGEBOMBAY STOCK EXCHANGE

    NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGENATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE

    OTCEIOTCEI (OVER THE COUNTER

    EXCHANGE OF INDIA)

    MEANING OF SCRIP

    In language of stock market, scrip means the name of the company

    by which the company recognizes into the stock market. There were

    23 stock exchanges in security market. IN all these stock exchanges,

    there were number of scrip in the stock market. But in present these

    15

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    16/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    all stock exchanges are merged with NSE AND BSE. So that all

    scripts are listed only under two stock changes. In NSE around 1830

    scripts of equity are listed and overall 11360 scrip are listed. There is

    one another stock exchange otcel (Over the Counter Exchange of

    India). It is used only for over the counter trading.

    Before a year, when all exchange were separate; then rules and

    regulation of listing agreement were different in stock exchanges

    such as for the listing in NSE, company has to require more than RS

    10 crores net worth and also company has to paid dividend to their

    shareholder continuously for last three years. In the BSE there are

    listed those companies whose net worth across the RS 1 crore. But at

    time when BSE started, only those companies are listed, who are

    having more than RS 25000 net worth. Thus, all stock exchanges

    having difficult rules and regulations.

    These all scrip like, HLL, Infosys, Wipro, Tata Power, TISCO, Nirma,

    Reliance Industry etc., are discriminated into various group in

    accordance to their turnover, trading volume, net worth, Traders, etc.

    these are many groups like a group, B1 groups, B2 group, Z group, T

    group and in 2005 one another group is added group Severe group

    having different features for holding scrip like

    GROUP a having some features are as follow:

    The share should be fully paid up

    The companys paid up capital should be at least rs 5 crore

    16

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    17/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    The number of share holder must be more than 20000

    The companys shares should have market capitalization of at

    least rs 10 crore

    The company should be a growth potential

    GROUP Bhai shares those which are first listed will be kept in non

    specified. None specified groups split into b1 and b2 groups. The

    carry forward facility is not available to group b shares.

    GROUP C only for odd lots deal. Only standard trading units i.e.,prescribed round lots are traded on stock exchange.

    MEANING OF SECTOR

    The manufacturer of the some products is come together and

    establishes of homogeneous groups and this group is called an

    industry which is particular sector. There are many companies orscrip that manufacturer the same products provide services are

    comes and specified under the particular name that is called sector.

    E.G. HLL specified under the FMCG sector, Infoysys, Wipro under

    the IT sector.

    There are many sectors in which many types of scrip are listed. Few

    sectors among these are as follows.

    Software Sector

    Banking Sector

    FMCG Sector

    17

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    18/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Power Sector

    Garment Sector

    Automobile Sector

    Cement Sector

    Petrochemicals Sector

    Telecommunication Sector

    Pharmaceutical Sector

    Shipping Sector

    Agriculture Sector

    Steel Sector

    Fertilizer Sector

    IN all sector number of scrip are listed so it is easier to find out

    any particular scrip from the market.

    BOMBAY STOCK EXCHANGE (BSE)

    The Sock Exchange Mumbai, popularly known as BSE was

    established in 1975 as The Native Share and Stock Brokers

    18

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    19/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    association. It is the oldest one in Asia, even older than the Tokyo

    stock exchange, which was established in 1878. It is a voluntary non-

    profit marking Association of Persons (AOP) and is currently engaged

    in the process of converting itself into demutualised and corporate

    entity. It has evolved over the years into its present status as the

    premier Stock Exchange in the Country to have obtained permanent

    recognition in 1956 from the Govt. pg India under the securities

    Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956.

    The Exchange, while providing an efficient and transparent market for

    trading in securities, debt and derivatives upholds the interests of the

    investors. And ensures redressed of their grievances Board having

    20 directors is the apex body, which decides the policies and

    regulates the affairs of the exchange. The Governing Board consists

    9 elected directors, who are from the broking community (one third of

    them retire ever year by rotation), three SEBI nominees, six public

    representatives and an Executive Director & Chief Executive Officer

    and a Chief Operating Officer. The Executive Director as the Chief

    Executive Officer is responsible for day-to-day administration of the

    exchange and he is assisted by the chief operating considers judicial

    & quasi matters in which the Governing Board has powers as an

    Appellate Authority, matters regarding annulment of transactions,

    admission, continuance and suspension of member-brokers,

    declaration of a member-broker as defaulter, norms, procedures and

    other matters relating to arbitration, fees, deposits, margins, and

    other monies payable by the member-brokers to the exchange, etc.

    19

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    20/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Turnover on the Exchange

    The average daily turnover of the Exchange during the financial

    year 2000-2001 (April-March) was Rs.3984.19 crores and the

    average number of daily trades was 5.69 lakhs.

    The average daily turnover of the exchange in the subsequent

    two financial years, i.e., 2001-02 & 2002-03, has declined

    considerably to Rs. 1248.15 crores and Rs. 1251.29 crores

    respectively.

    The average number of daily trades recorded during 2001-02

    and 2002-03 numbered 5.17 lakhs and 5.63 lakhs respectively.

    NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE (NSE)

    With the liberalization of the Indian economy, it was found inevitableto lift the Indian stock market trading system on par with the

    international standards. On the basis of the recommendations of high

    powered Pertain Committee, the national Stock Exchange was

    incorporated in 1992 by Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI),

    Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India (ICICI),

    Industrial Finance Corporation of India (IFCI), all Insurance

    Corporations, selected commercial banks and others.

    Trading at NSE can be classified under two broad categories:

    20

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    21/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    (a)Wholesale market and

    (b)Capital market.

    Wholesale debt market operations are similar to money market

    operations- institutions and corporate bodies enter into high value

    transactions in financial instruments such as government

    securities, treasury bills, public sector unit bonds, commercial

    paper, certificate of deposit, etc.

    There are two kinds of players in NSE:

    (a)Trading members and

    (b)Participants.

    Recognized members of NSE are called trading members who

    trade on behalf of themselves and their clients. Participants

    include trading members and large players like banks who take

    direct settlement responsibility.

    Trading at NSE takes place through a fully automated screen

    based trading mechanism which adopts the principle of an order-

    driven market. Trading members can stay at their offices and

    execute the trading, since they are linked through a

    communication network. The prices at which the buyer and seller

    are willing to transact will appear on the screen. When the prices

    21

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    22/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    match the transaction will be completed and a confirmation slip will

    be printed at the office of the trading member. NSE has several

    advantages they are as follows:

    Investor can trade at the same price from anywhere in the

    country since inter-market operations are streamlined

    coupled with the countrywide access to the securities.

    Delays in communication, late payments and the

    malpractices prevailing in the traditional trading mechanismcan be done away with greater operational efficiency and

    informational transparency in the stock market operations,

    with the support of total computerized network.

    Unless stock markets provide professionalized service, small

    investors and foreign investors will not be interested in capital

    market operations. And capital market being one of the major

    sources of long-term finance for industrial projects, India cannot

    afford to damage the capital market path. In this regard NSE gains

    vital importance in the Indian capital market system.

    OVER THE COUNTER EXCHANGE OF INDIA (OTCEI)

    The traditional trading mechanism prevailed in the Indian stock

    markets gave way to many functional inefficiencies, such as, absence

    of liquidity, lack of transparency, unduly long settlement periods and

    22

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    23/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    benami transactions, which affected the small investors to a great

    extent. To provide improved services to investors, the countys first

    ringlets, scripless, electronic stock exchange OTCEI was created

    in 1992 by countrys premier financial institutions unit trust of India

    (UTI), industrial credit and investment corporation of India (ICICI),

    industrial development bank of India (IDBI), SBI capital markets,

    industrial finance corporation of India (IFCI), general insurance

    corporation and its subsidiaries can bank financial services.

    Trading at OTCEI is done over the centers spread across the

    country. Securities traded on the OTCEI are classified into:

    Listed securities the shares and debentures of the companies

    listed on the OTC can be bought or sold at any OTC counter all

    over the country and they should not be listed anywhere else

    Permitted securities certain shares and debentures listed on

    other exchanges and units of mutual funds are allowed to be

    traded

    Initiated debentures any equity holding at least one lakh

    debentures of particular scrip can offer them for trading on the

    OTC.

    OTC has a unique feature of trading compared to other traditional

    exchanges. That is, certificates of listed securities and initiated

    debentures are not traded at OTC. The original certificate will be

    safely with the custodian. But, a counter receipt is generated out at

    the counter which substitutes the share certificate and is used for all

    transactions.

    23

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    24/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    In the case of permitted securities the system is similar to a

    traditional stock exchange. The difference is that the delivery and

    payment procedure will be completed within 14 days.

    Compared to the traditional exchanges, OTC exchange network

    has the following advantages:

    OTCEI has widely dispersed trading mechanism across

    the country which provides greater liquidity and lesser riskof intermediary charges.

    Greater transparency and accuracy of prices is obtained

    due to the screen-based scrip less trading.

    Since the exact price of the transaction is shown on the

    computer screen, the investor gets to know the exact

    price at which s/he is trading.

    Faster settlement and transfer process compared to other

    exchanges.

    In the case of on OTC issue (new issue), the allotment

    procedure is completed in a month and trading

    commences after a month of the issue closure, whereas it

    takes a longer period for the same with respect to other

    exchanges.

    24

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    25/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Thus, with the superior trading mechanism coupled with information

    transparency investors are gradually becoming aware of the

    manifold advantages of the OTCEI.

    Debentures are not traded at OTC. The original certificate will be

    safely with the custodian. But, a counter receipt is generated out at

    the counter which substitutes the share certificate and is used for all

    transactions.

    In the case of permitted securities, the system is similar to a

    traditional stock exchange. The difference is that the delivery and

    payment procedure will be completed within 14 days.

    Compared to the traditional exchanges, OTC exchange network has

    the following advantages:

    OTCEI has widely dispersed trading mechanism across the county

    which provides greater liquidity and lesser risk of intermediary

    charges.

    Greater transparency and accuracy of prices is obtained due to the

    screen based scripless trading.

    Since the exact price of the transaction is shown on the computer

    screen, the investor gets to know the exact price at which she is

    trading.

    25

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    26/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Faster settlement and transfer process compared to other

    exchanges.

    In the case of an OTC issue the allotment procedure is completed in

    a month and trading commences after a month of the issue closure,

    whereas it takes a longer period for the same with respect to other

    exchanges.

    Thus, with the superior trading mechanism coupled with information

    transparency investors are gradually becoming aware of the

    manifold advantages of the OTCEI.

    CHAPTER-4CHAPTER-4

    Fundamental analysis of FMCG and ITFundamental analysis of FMCG and IT

    26

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    27/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Economic analysisEconomic analysis

    Industry analysisIndustry analysis

    Company analysisCompany analysis

    ECONOMIC ANAYASIS OF FMCG

    Inflation

    After remaining on a southward curve for 15 weeks, wholesale price

    index (WPI) based inflation rose to 4.95 per cent in the week ended

    27

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    28/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    26 February, as against 4.85 per cent (a 9 month low) in the previous

    week. The rise in the inflation level during the week was on account

    of costlier manufactured items including edible oils. Also, the decline

    in inflation in the corresponding week last year was responsible for a

    base effect impact on inflation. After remaining above 6 per cent in

    January and February 2004, WPI-based inflation had fallen to 5.21

    per cent in the corresponding week last year.

    Manufacturing inflation has not gone up at 4.2 per cent but inflation in

    primary articles is at 1.7 per cent and primary food is at 3.1 per cent

    during the week.

    Inflation is expected to rise in march-may 2005, because of the low

    base effect of last years inflation. In 2004-05, the government has

    taken a number of steps, including cutting excise and customs duties

    on certain products, raising the cash reserve ratio for banks and

    allowing additional supply of sugar in the market in order to curb

    inflation.

    The rise in the index for manufactured product s was driven by a rise

    in prices of food products.

    Prices of rice bran oil rose 13 per cent, salt by 8 per cent, imported

    edible oil by 3 per cent.

    Government Policy

    28

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    29/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Reduction in corporate tax help although its accomplished by

    decrease in the depreciation rates, as most companies in the FMCG

    sector nave low asset base.

    Five year tax holiday for new food processing units in fruits and

    vegetable processing along with other benefits in budget 2004-05 has

    bolstered the government resolution of encouraging growth in this

    sector.

    GDPThe GDP growth for the current year been projected at 6.9 %

    outperforming the estimates of the economic agencies. The

    agricultural production is expected to grow by a lower 1.1 % however

    the fall in agricultural production will be made up by the higher

    manufacturing growth of 8.9%.

    ECONOMIC ANALYASIS OF IT

    INDIAS STRENGTH IN IT SECTOR

    Large growth potential

    29

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    30/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Increasing outsourcing trend

    Export and global outsourcing will drive future growth

    Leveraging India advantages

    Rapidly improving infrastructure

    Indian technology production companies have demonstrated

    capabilities to compete in the global market.

    Government Policy

    The duty cuts on telecom hardware and fiber will have a minimum

    impact.

    The new fringe benefits tax has been introduced at the rate of 30 %

    of a specified portion of various benefits. Its an irritant as its parable

    by the employer.

    NASSCOM, MAIT and other research firms such as IDC that suggest

    that the industry could grow at CAGR of 40 % between now and

    2008.

    30

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    31/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    It is estimated that by March 2005 the IT industry will be worth a cool

    $ 28.2 billion (RS 12080 crore) and the industry is expected to by 25-

    30 % annually over the next year.

    IT companies are happy at the importance given to the infrastructure

    development by the government and the announcement that 7 million

    jobs will be created by the IT sector 2009.

    31

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    32/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    INDUSTRY ANALYASIS OF FMCG

    AN-OVERVIEW

    Fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies makers have

    accelerated growth rate, both urban and rural markets, with small

    towns driving growth in the markets. While the industry recorded an

    annual growth in the of 3.4% in 2004, the quarter ended November,

    2004 witnessed a growth of 6.2%. The top ten companies registered

    sales of RS 33316 crore and the net profit is RS 3969 crore. TheFMCG major reported a 1% increase in its domestic FMCG sales to

    2225 crore in the quarter ended December, 2004.

    A part from these all the top ten companies give its best performance

    sustained growth in net profit. In other way the HLL recorded a

    growth higher than that of the industry average. While the ITC, nirma,

    and nestle (I) success to hold its position in top.

    In terms of the OPM (operating profit margin) its quite good

    performance by nestle (I), ITC, and HLL and other way nirma, dabur

    are just fall in compare to other companies in the industries.

    FMCG majorITC glow again because its OPM improved significantly

    to 36.9% and net profit continuously increase and reach to RS 1371

    crore. While the nestle (I) sunshine performance in 2004 and OPM

    improved 19.5%, net profit reaches to RS 206 crore.

    32

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    33/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    The improve growth has encouraged companies like: HLL, dabur,

    nirma, nestle, P&G to hike the price of detergent because of spiraling

    inputs costs without fearing a negative impact. In calendar 2004

    heavyweight categories like, biscuits grew by 9.9 % in volume terms,

    shampoo by 7% and toothpastes by 7% while detergent grew 2.3%

    for the quarter ended nov.2004 soaps grew by 5% against an

    Annual growth of 1.3 % while biscuits grew by 11 % and shampoo

    grew by 12 % with the very good monsoon in most of the part of the

    country was helpful for Growth in the FMCG. But the effect of the

    current Year monsoon and surcharge may prove injuries to the

    tobacco companies well as increase the price of raw material is

    expected to be realized in the subsequent quarter and mainly in the

    next fiscal.

    33

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    34/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Factor affecting FMCG Industry

    Product line

    The most of the FMCG companies have shifted manufacturing

    operation to tax-exemption Zones. On an average most companies

    have cut advertising expenses, which seems to have been a focus

    area for cost reduction.

    Demand and supply conditionAccording to the analyst the innovation in the industry have been

    more in 2004 across categories compared to the previous year. For

    the sample operating profit ahs actually declined 3.4 % and margin

    have fallen to 21.8 % from 23.9%.

    Raw Material and higher input costs.

    Prices of both liner alkyl benzene (LAB) and soda ash have been

    firming up. Sugar and wheat flour prices key raw materials for food

    companies, have been increasing sharply. The prices of veritable oils

    declined during the quarter but were higher compared to the

    corresponding quarter last year. Prices of some raw materials like

    copra, safflower and sunflower have eased down. Milk prices have

    started softening from 2005 and are expected to remain flat up to

    Mar-apr 2004 but may witness some increase in the summer months.

    34

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    35/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Total raw material costs increased by 11% during the quarter due to

    higher price of chemical and packaging material.

    The higher depreciation tag also points to new plants being

    commissioned. Thus, the profit growth of FMCG companies is being

    driven largely by their core business and other income has ceased to

    an important contributor to net profit margins. The improved growth

    has encouraged companies like HLL and P & G to hike prices of

    detergents following spiraling input costs without fearing a negative

    impact on consumer demand.

    35

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    36/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    INDUSTRY ANALYSIS OF IT

    AN-OVERVIEW

    The Indian software industry has grown rapidly since the 1980s, with

    revenues increasing from less than $ 100 million in 1985-86 to nearly

    $ 8.4 billion by 2000-01. During this period, exports grew even faster,

    with their share increasing from less than a third to nearly three

    quarters of revenues. This essay will analyze the domestic conditions

    under which this export led industry has grown.

    Although global demand for software, sustained by the PC,

    networking and internet revolutions of the 1970s, the 1980s and the

    1990s respectively, played an important role in facilitating the growth

    of the Indian industry, it was also available to other countries. Indias

    main software market, India is hardly unique in possessing such labor

    force characteristics. Indeed, global demand and the availability of

    high skill, low wage workface are necessary, but not sufficient

    condition. If they were sufficient conditions, one must explain why

    India failed to take similar advantage, unlike her East Asian

    counterparts such as Taiwan, South Korea and increasingly China, of

    the globalization of semiconductor design and manufacturing since

    the 1960s. In other words, the growth of Indias software industry

    must be explained in terms of how shifting domestic policy conditions

    allowed her to take advantage of global demand and her labor force

    36

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    37/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    characteristics to become, along with Israel, the leading software

    exporter by the end of the millennium.

    Important large software players such as Infosys Wipro, satyam

    Computer Services managed to beat the market expectation and

    continuously grow. The important thing is stay in top of the computer

    software companys current ranking. Other big fishes Patni Computer

    Systems, Emphasis BFL try to improve its position in industry and win

    the confidence of investors.

    Through the 107 large and small software companies managed to

    see an improved sales growth in compare to just 34 companies are

    under expectation and its near about 32%.

    Out of all the 8 large computer software companies managed to see

    an improved sales growth and reach to Rs. 15363.1 crore. Their

    OPM have just increase from 26.2 % to 27.0 %.

    Budget 2006 has all the ingredients for growing the domestic IT

    market faster, the government focus on rationalization of custom duty

    is positive step to stimulate domestic demand. The government

    decision to hike teledensity across all villages by 2007 will positively

    impact connectively, helping rural Indians to be part of the digital

    revolution.

    37

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    38/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Industry Structure

    The Indian software industry, a high growth sector, is fragmented,

    with the top 10 Players accounting for less than 20 percent of the

    total industry size in 2001. The IT Services industry is characterized

    by players of varying sizes, providing solutions to Myriad verticals,

    the Indian software and services industry had around 2,810

    companies Operating within its domain.

    The structure of the industry can be gauged from the followingtable:

    Annual turnover No.of

    companies

    Above Rs.1000 crore 5Rs.500 crore- Rs. 1000 crore 5Rs.250 crore- Rs . 500 crore 15Rs.100 crore- Rs . 250 crore 27Rs.50 crore- Rs . 100 crore 55Rs.10 crore- Rs . 50 crore 220Below Rs. 10 crore 2,483(Sources : www.nasscom.org)

    Sunrise Industry and the Growth for the Millennium

    38

    http://www.nasscom.org/http://www.nasscom.org/
  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    39/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    A growth of 20.4 % in rupee terms and 28 % in dollar terms

    in exports during 2003- 04

    Achieved a CAGR of 30 % in turnover and 37 % in export

    during last 5 tears.

    IT exports likely to grow by 26-28 % in dollar terms during

    2004-05.

    Indian Industry Grow at over 32 % CAGR between 1999and 2004.

    Key factors behind growth in exports are:

    US IT investment boom

    Onsite staff supplementation growth fuelled by major

    technology waves

    Offshore growth led by anchor MNC customers

    New emerging service lines (R & D services, BPO)

    Significant Strengths in R & D

    39

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    40/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    175 of the Fortune 500 companies have R&D operation in

    India

    A vast network of state-owned national research

    laboratories

    Provides world-class support

    IT R&D services currently account for more than 15 % of

    totalIT exports.

    Opportunity in Software Sector

    YEAR 2008

    Market

    IT Service Export $28-30 bnSoftware products $ 8-11 bnIT Enabled Service $21-24 bnDomestic Market $13-15 bnTotal $70-80 bnExport $57-65 bn

    (Sources : www.met.gov.in)

    Strong Performance and Growth Potential

    CAGR: 96-97 to 02-03: 24 % 02-03 to 08-09: 24 %

    40

    http://www.met.gov.in/http://www.met.gov.in/
  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    41/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    By 2008, India will build a US $ 40 billion Electronics Hardware

    Industry

    IT industry by the year 2008 IT export 35 % of Indias Total Export in

    2008 from 21.3 % during 2003-04 Share of IT Software & Services

    Industry in GDP IT Export Likely to be 7 % of GDP in 2008 From 2.64

    % of GDP during 2003-04

    Company Analysis

    FMCG COMPANIES

    ABOUT HLL

    41

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    42/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Hindustan lever ltd is the subsidiary of unlived Plc. Which holds a

    53% stake in the company? It is Indias largest FMCG Company, with

    a dominant presence in almost all consumer categories. The

    companys turnover at RS 100 bn is nearly half of the total branded

    FMCG business in India. HLLs brand equity remains unrivalled in

    India.

    The company has a diversified portfolio with products ranging from

    personal and household care to foods and beverages to specially

    chemicals. The company has a commanding market share in most

    classes it operates, such as toilet soaps, detergents, skincare, hair

    care, color cosmetics, etc. It is also the leading player in food

    products such as packaged tea, coffee, ice cream and other culinary

    products. The company divested its non core business and has

    focused on FMCG in recent years. The non-FMCG business now

    contributes only 8% to its revenues.

    The revival in the FMCG markets after two years of

    decline should augur well for HLL achieving top line growth. This

    coupled with the recent price hike should lead to marginal

    improvement in margins. The new ventures of water and salon

    business are still in their nascent stages. Therefore, any incremental

    increase in profitability will be form the HPC and beverages business.

    INTERPRITATION

    The FMCG major reported a 1 % increase in its domestic FMCG

    sales to Rs 2225 crore in the quarter ended Dec., 2004 and a 36%

    decline in profit an after tax to Rs. 357.6 Crore in the same period.

    42

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    43/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Prices in three major product segment detergent, shampoo and

    toothpaste in which HLL operates have been brought down. The

    reason was competition but the effect was quick rise in volume and a

    reduction in the volume promotion the company was offering. The

    only category that seems to have done well is that of beverage where

    both tea and coffee are doing much batter and sales have risen.

    About Nirma Limited

    In scorching heat of 1969, a son of small-time farmer was trying tomix Soda Ash and few other intermediaries, to make a detergent

    produce. He was a qualified Science graduate and was working as

    junior chemist in government laboratory. As a moonlighting activity,

    he was making detergents in the 100 sq. ft back yard of his home,

    using bare hands and bucket. Once the mixture is ready, he used to

    pack them in polythene bag and was selling door-to-door. Gradually,

    the product become well accepted in the consumer community, and

    the rest is known to one and all this is a success saga of a first

    generation entrepreneur, on his way to create history in the Indian

    marketplace that was dr. karsanbahi Patel.

    In a short span, he captured the domestic market, with a quality

    product. He swiftly crafted low-to-medium consumer pockets a

    whole new consumer segment for detergent category. He took on

    mighty multi-nationals and rewrote the marketing rules. In true sense,

    he spearheaded the market revolution by offering innovative, value-

    43

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    44/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    for-money products, and changed the cloth-washing habit of Indian

    housewives-the revolution called nirma

    Nirma, the proverbial rags to riches saga of dr. karsanbahi Patel, is a

    classic example of the success of Indian entrepreneurship in the face

    of stiff competition. Starting as one-man operation in 1969, today, it

    has about 14,000 employee-base annual turnover is above Rs 25, 00

    crore.

    In a short apan, nirma created an entirely new market segment in

    domestic marketplace, which is, eventually the largest consumer

    pocket and quickly emerged as dominating market player a position

    it has never since relinquished.

    The performance of Nirma during the decade of 1980s has been

    lapelled as Marketing Miracle of an era. During this period, the

    brand surged well ahead its nearest rival Surf, which was well

    established detergent product by Hindustan Lever. It was a severing

    battering for MNC as it records a sharp drop in its market value.

    Nirma literally captured the market share by offering value based

    marketing mix of four ps that is Perfect match of product, Price,

    Place and Promotion.

    IT COMPANIESDreamt by a diminytive gentlement from IIT Kanpur and cofounded by

    six other bodies in pune, the company is the epitome of excellence

    44

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    45/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    and still continuing dreamj run of Indian companies in market all over

    the world.

    Mr N.R. Narayanmurthy dreamt by delivering world-class software

    from Indian to clients worldwide. Mr Murthy six other colleagues

    including the current CEO Nandan Nilekani strated Infosys in 1981.

    The decade still 1991 was through although Infosyss first

    international; offices was opened in 1987 in USA. But in the early

    nineties with liberalization of Indian economy. Infosys get the real

    opportunity to grow globally . It grabbed the opportunity with alacrity

    and never looked back since. Even during the last two years IT

    meltdown, Infosys continued to grow.

    It will be unrelieved by to Know that in 1991 after ten years in

    existence , gross revenue of Infosys stood at a mere Rs 5 crore all of

    ot of it came from really low-end piecemeal work. The suddenly the

    company went public in 1992. The twelve year since have seen

    Infosys growing from Rs 5 crore to Rs 3622 crore. And they have to

    prove that shown how business should be done in India. In 1993, the

    company heads its IPO of Rs 1.37 million shares at premium of rs

    120.85. The fund was used to set up a new software development

    facility at the Banglore city Financial Institution and Corporation.

    Today more then 17000 employees in organization with rank no 1 the

    Best Employer in Indian 2002 survey conducted by Hewitt

    Associates for the Second consecutive year and first rank in

    Business Worlds survey of Indias most respected Company.

    45

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    46/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    This is Infosys. A faith that Indian also can make MNCs.

    Infosys is the first Indian company to be listed on NASDAQ. Infosys

    entered NASDAQ at $34 shooting up to an amazing $250 by the end

    of the day.

    For the future expansion , Infosys is focusing on financial products

    and Avionics among other areas. The companys product-FINACLE is

    an intergrated core banking solution which is centralized multi-

    currency and multi lauguage enabled software.

    INTERPRITATION

    In the software Industry the Infosys Tech. Ltd Is big name and

    its directly and indirectly. In 2003 the net sales of the company wae

    Rs 362226.90 million and in 2002 it was Rs 26035.90 it is clearly

    shown that companys net sales increase in 39.14% compare to the

    last year. Equity Dividend Rate Was also increased to 400% to 540%

    . The net profit of the company in 2003 also increased to 18.56%.

    Abount Satyam Computer Service Ltd.

    Satyam Computer Service Ltd (SCSL) is a leading global service

    company , offering a wide a wide array of solution customized for a

    46

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    47/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    key vertical and horizontals. From strategy consulting right through to

    Implementing IT solution for customer , Satyam straddles the entire

    IT space. It has excellent domin competencies in verticals such as

    Automotive, Banking and Financial Service, Insurance and Helthcare,

    Manufacturing , Telecom-Infrastructure-Media-Entertainment-

    Semiconductors(TIMES). As a driverse end-to-end IT Solutions

    provided, satyam offers a range of expertise aimed at helping

    customers re-engineer and re-invent their business to compete

    successfully customers ever-changing marktplace.

    SCSL to report that the company has achieved Net Sales of Rs

    20236.51 million in corporate to the one year before it was 17319.43

    million . The company growth was driven by a double digit offshore

    volume increase and stable prices. Revenue for quarter three in 2004

    of Rs 891.26 crore was better than the guidencde of Rs 886 crore

    EPS AT Rs 5.49 was highest than the guidance of Rs 5.47.

    At Present , company have 372 active customer including 139

    Fortune Globle 500 and forture US 500 corporations. Company

    believe that the proporation of such customer to our total customer

    base is one of the highest in the industy, reflectinthe strong brand.

    Satyam has been ranked amongst the top 10 employers in India by

    the CNBC.

    INTERPRETATION

    47

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    48/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    With customer IT Budgets expected to grow at a rate higher than last

    year, the company believes that they are in a strong position to

    garner a larger share of their IT spending . In light of the improved

    prospects and better-than-expected performance for the current

    year . Company revising revenue guidance upwards for fiscal 2005.

    Company expectes revenue between Rs 3429 crore and Rs 3433

    crore , implying an annual growth of Rs 34.9% to 35.1%.

    48

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    49/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    CHAPTER -CHAPTER - 5

    TECHNICINAL ANALYSIS OF FMCG & ITTECHNICINAL ANALYSIS OF FMCG & IT

    COMPANIESCOMPANIES

    49

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    50/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS OF HLL

    Year 2002 2003 2004

    Gross Sales (Rs. Millions)

    By segment % of Sale

    11781 10952 11096

    Soap ,Det Hou.hold care 40 45 44Per. Prod 21 22 24Food 33 30 29Cham. , Agri., Fer. 3 2 2

    Others 3 1 1EBIT as % of Sales 14.0 17.6 18.4Fixed Assents Turn Over 8.9 8.3 8.1E.P.S of Rs. 1 @ 7.46 8.04 8.05D.P.S of Rs 1 @ 5.0 5.5 5.5PAT/Net Sales (%) 13.1 15.8 16.3R.O.C.E (%) 62.4 59.4 60.2R.O.N.W. (%) 53.9 48.4 82.8

    INTERPRETATION

    Looking at the growth pattern, the year 2001 was excellent , but year

    2002 looks in is unfortunate for company because of poor economic

    performance of country in that year but now FMCG company HLL

    continuous grow and achieve its objective successfully. The

    companys Gross Sales grow just 1 % in 2003. However PAT is

    Continuous to grow regardless sales effect which sounds good for

    company. The personal care product sales increase near about 9 %

    in the year 2003. EPS of the company was just fall 0.01% in 2002

    50

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    51/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    EPS increased in 0.58 %. RONW increase 82.8 5 to 48.4%, it means

    71.07 % in year 2003.

    HLL STOCK PRICE INDEX

    INTERPRETATION

    Hindustan Lever (HLL)s face value of the share Rs 1. The average

    Capitalization of the company is Rs.32171 crore. The current price of

    the one share is Rs 248. The average daily trading volume of share in

    T+2 bases is 590955, the EPS of the 2003 is Rs 2.33 in Q2-2004 it

    was decreased to Rs 40.36 % and again Q3-2004 it was decline to

    Rs 0.66 but after that period now in company make profit and EPS

    increase to Rs 1.42 it means increase in 115.15% in last quarter in

    2004. The FII holding in company because FII play vital role in the

    market and continuously buying the share.

    NIRMA FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

    (Rs Millions)

    PARTICULARS 2004 2003 2002

    Sales 22,067.20 20,505.50 19302.00Stock Adjustment 113.00 213.00 165.10Raw Material Consumed 12,387.60 11,571.20 10,709.70

    51

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    52/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Power And Fuel 1,812.10 1,795.60 0.00Employee Expenses 409.90 410.30 376.60Other Expenses 1,841.30 1,614.60 3,065.80Total Expenses 16,563.90 15,604.80 14,317.20

    Operating Profit 5,503.30 4900.70 4984.80Other Income 260.90 239.60 183.90Total Interest 438.20 559.10 1,057.30Net Depreciation 1,555.70 1,250.30 1222.90Tax 1320.30 1038.60 1036.80Net Profit/Loss 2468.00 2292.30 1853.70Extra Ordinary item 0.00 -139.80 0.00Prior Year Adjustment 0.00 0.00 -6.60Adjustment Net Profit/Loss 2468.00 2152.50 1847.10Equity Capital 793.80 793.80 793.80EPS (Rupees) 31.09 27.12 23.27Equity Dividend Rate (%) 40.00 0.00 35.00OPM (%) 24.93 23.89 25.82NPM (%) 11.18 10.49 9.56

    INTERPRETATION

    From the above companys sales in RS 22067.20 millions in 2004,Last year it was Rs 20505.50 millions. The Increase in compare to

    last year is 7.61 %. The total expenses of the company are increase

    6.15 % in 2004 in compare to the next year. The total net profit of the

    company is 2468.00 millions it is increase to 14.66%. The EPS of the

    company is increase to Rs 3.97 in 2004. So we are see that in future

    the companys net Profit is increase with the same the EPS Rate is

    also increases and investor get more benefit from the company.

    NIRMA LTD. STOCK PRICE INDEX

    52

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    53/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    INTERPRETATION

    Nirma ltd was value of the share is Rs 10. The average Capitalization

    of the company is Rs 2658.83 crore. The current price of the one

    share is 344.95. The average daily trading volume of share in T+2

    bases and it is 2993, the difference of the one year 128 points. EPS

    of the Q1-2004 was Rs 8.31 in Q-3-2004 it was Rs 5.73 it means

    decrease in 45.02 % during six months. The Beta of the company is

    0.29. Looking at the graph pattern stock look very range bound and

    as FMCG entertaining rural market, Nirma share has high potential to

    grow.

    53

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    54/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Dabur Financial Highlight

    (Rs. Millions)

    PARTICULARS 2004 2003 2002

    Sales 11,479.80 12,323.00 11,631.90Stock Adjustment 257.80 35.90 -168.60Raw Material Consumed 2,147.80 2,328.40 2,234.70Power And Fuel 0.00 0.00 0.00Employee Expenses 703.10 882.60 774.60Admin And Selling

    Expenses

    1,549.50 1,549.40 0.00

    Other Expenses 5,571.20 6,263.20 7,725.40Total Expenses 10,229.40 11,059.50 10,566.10

    Operating Profit 1,250.40 1,263.50 1,065.80Other Income 110.50 83.00 138.70Total interest 69.00 170.80 239.50Net depreciation 157.50 220.40 209.90Tax 122.40 104.30 110.70Net Profit/Loss 1,012.00 851.00 644.40Extra ordinary item 0.00 0.00 0.00Prior Year Adjustments 0.00 0.00 0.00Adjusted Net Profit/Loss 1,012.00 851.00 644.40

    Equity capital 286.20 285.70 285.60EPS(Rupees) 3.54 2.98 2.26Equity Dividend Rate (%) 200.00 140.00 0.00OPM (%) 10.89 10.25 9.16NPM (%) 8.81 6.90 5.53

    INTERPRETATION

    From above financial performance we can see that the sales of thecompany decrease of Rs. 11479.8millions Due to very sharp

    competitive market. The sales decrease by 6.85% as compare to the

    text year. The EPS of the Company in 2004 increase Rs.3054. Even

    though the company sales decline the other side the companys EPS

    54

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    55/72

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    56/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    4.57%. The beta of the company is 0.54.Sine 6-04 stock has long ball

    run e.g. share is steadily growing which show good prospects of

    company in market.

    INFOSYS FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHT

    (Rs. Millions)

    PARTICULAR 2003 2002 2001

    Sales 36,226.90 26,035.90 19,005.60Stock Adjustment 0.00 0.00 0.00Raw Material Consumed 0.00 0.00 0.00Employee Expenses 16,771.20 11,178.70 0.00

    56

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    57/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    Admin And Selling

    Expenses

    5,373.50 3,441.40 2,648.90

    Other Expenses 1,361.80 1,069.50 8,708.30Total Expenses 23,744.20 15,659.60 11,510.10

    Operating Profit 12,482.70 10,376.30 7,495.50Other income 996.10 664.10 593.70Total interest 0.00 0.00 0.00Net depreciation 1,889.50 1,606.50 1,128.90Tax 2,010.00 1,354.30 727.10Net Profit/Loss 9,579.30 8,079.60 6,233.20Extra ordinary item 0.00 0.00 54.90Adjusted Net Profit/Loss 9,579.30 8,079.60 6,288.10Equity capital 331.20 330.90 330.80

    EPS(Rupees) 144.62 122.09 95.04Equity Dividend Rate (%) 540.00 400.00 200.00OPM (%) 34.45 39.85 39.43NPM (%) 26.24 31.03 33.08INTERPRETATION

    From the above financial Performance the company s sales

    increase to Rs. 36226.9 millions in 2004 which shows net addition

    Rs. 10191 mn, last year it was increase top Rs.70303 millions. The

    company s net profit reached to Rs. 9579.3 millions in 2004.The EPE

    of the company in 2003 was 144.62.The future of the company

    looking good because it care the investors and regularly give the

    dividend to the holder.

    INFOSYS TECH. STOCK PRICE INDEX

    57

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    58/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    (Sources: www. Indiainfoline.com)

    INTERPRETATION

    Infosys Teach. Face value of the share is RS. 5. The average

    Capitalization of the company is RS.58775.14 crore. The Current

    price of the one share is RS.2960. The average daily trading volume

    of shares in T+2 bases and it is 158340, The EPS of the Q1-2004

    was increase RS.2.16 Q4 -2004 it was increasing sharply RS.5.97, it

    means after nine months The EPS increasing 47.23 %. Total share

    issued by the company is 41.75% it is crucial for the company

    because the FLL continue played role in market and buying the share

    of the company so that ultimately price of the share increase And the

    investors get the benefit of that buzzing.

    58

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    59/72

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    60/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    EPS (rupees) 9.77 14.29 17.29Equity dividend rate (%) 150.00 60.00 0.00OPM (%) 30.56 33.55 3.47NPM (%) 15.19 25.94 39.86

    (Sources: www.indiainfoline.com)

    INTERPRETATION

    From above financial performance we can see that the sales of the

    company grow in 2004 of Rs.2917.08 millions. The sales grew 17.84

    % as compare to the previous year. The EPS of the company in

    decline Rs. 4.52 in compare to 2002.it just because of ESP was

    decreased sharply over 32% despite sales growth of 17%.

    SATYAM COM.LTD.STOCK PRICE INDEX

    60

    http://www.indiainfoline.com/http://www.indiainfoline.com/
  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    61/72

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    62/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS OF WIPRO LTD.

    (Rs. Millions)

    PARTICULARS 2004 2003 2002SALES 51,685.00 40,327.00 34,677.00

    Stock Adjustment 0.00 0.00 0.00Raw Material

    Consumed

    8,209.00 7,243.00 7,896.00

    Employee Expenses 20,495.00 6,424.00 5,084.00Admin And Selling

    Expenses

    7,223.00 5,506.00 4,211.00

    Other Expenses 4,296.00 10,844.00 7,412.00Total interest 35.00 29.00 29.00

    Net depreciation 1,516.00 1,380.00 1,419.00Tax 1,674.00 1,211.00 840.00Net Profit/Loss 9,149.00 8,395.00 8,661.00Extra ordinary item 0.00 0.00 0.00Adjusted Net

    Profit/Loss

    9,149.00 8,395.00 8,661.00

    Equity capital 1,398.00 465.00 465.00EPS(Rupees) 13.09 34.98 37.25Equity Dividend Rate

    (%)

    1,450.00 50.00 50.00

    OPM (%) 22.17 25.56 29.05NPM (%) 17.70 20.16 24.97(Sources: www.indianinfoline.com)

    INTERPRETATION

    62

    http://www.indianinfoline.com/http://www.indianinfoline.com/
  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    63/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    From above financial performance we can see that the sales of the

    company grow in 2004 of Rs.51685 millions. The net sales grew

    28.16%as compare to next year. The EPS of the company in 2004

    decline Rs.21.89. The company is habited to put good growth in its

    financial statement because of its well diversified product portfolio

    e.g. from Agriculture to IT.

    WIPRO LTD. STOCK PRICE INDEX

    (SOURCES: www.Indiainfoline.Com)

    63

    http://www.indiainfolune.com/http://www.indiainfolune.com/http://www.indiainfolune.com/
  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    64/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    INTERPRETATION

    Wipro Ltd. Share faces value of Rs. 10. The average

    Capitalization Of the company is Rs.4824.38 crore. The

    current price of the one share is Rs 541.The average daily

    trading volume of shares in T+2 bases and it is 124208, the

    EPS of the Ql-2004 was Rs. 3.68 in Q2-2004 it was increase to

    21.20 % and again Q3-2004 it was increase to Rs.5.59 it

    means 25.33 % increase compare to last quarter but after that

    period now company's EPS decrease to Rs. 0.88. The FII

    holding in company is 11.25 %.

    64

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    65/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    CHAPTER CHAPTER 6FINDINGS & LIMITATIONFINDINGS & LIMITATION

    FMGC INDUSTRY

    65

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    66/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    With two successive years of under Performance there

    emerges an element of circumspection while building expectations

    for 2005. Nevertheless, we believe that the pricing environment is

    gradually improving for detergent companies.

    While the companies suffered in terms of profitability, the price

    war did manage to grow volumes in these categories. The

    companies continue to attack costs by either relocating to tax free

    zones or looking at various productivity improvement measures.

    Another important development that took place in 2004 wasthat most FMCG majors undertook capacity expansion plans. This

    has not happened over the past 5 to 7 years. It does point to

    improved demand expectation by the sector majors.

    For investors, a key thing to note is that with markets at all time

    highs and interest rates looking to strengthen, the equity risk profile

    has increased over the short term. In such a scenario, FMCG is likely

    to be a good defensive bet. More importantly, expectations of a

    demand revival are not factored into most forward projections.

    It is a given that the consuming class pie in India is growing.

    While consumer durables and housing have clearly taken a front

    seat in the mirror the GDP growth trend over the long term. The

    environment will no doubt, continue to be competitive, but volume

    growth may more than make up for it for stronger companies.

    FINDINGS FORMOTILAL OSWAL

    66

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    67/72

    FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SCRIPS & SECTOR

    In Motilal Oswal the computers which is installed by company is

    very old so that speed of the computer is very less that's why

    the work load of staff is continuous increase.

    The facility which is provided by to client is excellent and it is

    found that in annual meeting of broker there is no complaints

    was registered by anyone.

    LIMITATION

    This project report is prepared for limited two months period. This project is concerned with only five companies of both the

    Sectors e.g., FMCG & IT.

    Scripts Analysis of this report considers the price fluctuation of

    Price only one year.

    Financial data are considered on the base of just last three

    Years information. Whatever assumptions have been taken for scrip analysis may

    differ from actual result.

    Market is ultimately driven by sentiments of investors, so even

    Good story suggested in report May not work in market.

    67

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    68/72

    CHAPTER CHAPTER 7

    SUGGESTIONSUGGESTION

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    69/72

    SUGGESTIONS FOR MOTILAL OSWAL

    There should be reducing wastage of manpower and also office appliance

    There should be given proper attention of the brokers and other Sta

    member's problem and try to reduce it immediately.

    There is no proper department head for watching the activity of the Broke

    and staff member so keep one head for monitoring the Activity.

    There should be reducing wastage of manpower and also office appliance

    There should be given proper attention of the brokers and other Sta

    member's problem and try to reduce it immediately.

    There is no proper department head for watching the activity of the Broke

    and staff member so keep one head for monitoring the Activity.

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    70/72

    SUGGESTION FOR INVESTORS

    The investor should be clear in his objectives of income, capita

    Appreciation, short-term or long-term gains etc.

    The success of investors depends on personal preparation, hard Wor

    involved in the collection of relevant information, Knowledge and researc

    and analysis.

    After sufficient study and preparation, the investor should act like Rag

    pickers in the market, picking up scrip on a selective basis.

    Investors should as far as possible deal with registered members o

    recognized stock exchanges.

    Investors should examine carefully the detailed prospectus befor

    Subscribing to the new issue of companies.

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    71/72

    CHAPTER CHAPTER 8

    BIBILIOGRAPHYBIBILIOGRAPHY

  • 8/9/2019 Fundamental Analysis of Scrips & Sector

    72/72

    BIBILIOGRAPHY

    BOOKS

    Prof.V.Gangadhar,Investment Management,1st Edition

    V.K.Bhalla, Investment Management,10th Edition

    Magazines & News Papers

    Capital Market-2005

    Economic Times

    Financial Express

    Websites

    www.indiainfoline.com

    www.nseindia.com

    www.met.gov.in

    www.nasscom.com

    http://www.indiainfoline.com/http://www.nseindia.com/http://www.met.gov.in/http://www.nasscom.com/http://www.indiainfoline.com/http://www.nseindia.com/http://www.met.gov.in/http://www.nasscom.com/