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Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

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Page 1: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Fruska gora, July 25th 2009.

Adel Abusara

Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Page 2: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Outline of the presentationPreliminary remarksHistory of the EU-NATO relations: - Pre-ESDP period- Proto-ESDP period- Move from aspiration to operationsNATO developmentsAtrophy in transatlantic relationsFuture or what is to be done

Page 3: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

HistoryPre-ESDP periodCold War – NATO vs. Warsaw Pact (+neutrality or

non-alignment)WEU – weak security attempt to contain Germany

(Brussels Treaty 1948.)Failure of different attempts to create supranational

defence arrangement (most notably EDC 1954.)

Page 4: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

History Proto-ESDP period (1)1989 – end of the bifurcation of military alliance

structures – demise of the Warsaw PactNATO side – period of self-examination, finding new

raison d’être EC/EU side – Maastricht Treaty (1992):- Creation of the CFSP(“...common defence policy

which might in time lead to common defence” TEU); - rebirth of the WEU as a European defence

organization providing a ready-made mechanism for the MS to exploit

Page 5: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

History Proto-ESDP period (2)WEU as a model for understanding the EU – “variable

geometry” (intergovernmental, complement, not alternative to NATO, kept defense provision away from the EU)

The EU-WEU relationship: European pillar of NATO – ESDI (first mentioned in 1991 NATO Strategic concept)+ defense component of the EU!

“Petersberg tasks” 1992. WEU – expanding its operations to encompass “humanitarian and rescue tasks, peace-keeping tasks, and tasks of combat forces in crisis management” + institutionalization of WEU

1994. NATO decides to make available assets and capabilities for WEU operations

Page 6: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

History Proto-ESDP period (3)Amsterdam Treaty:- Strengthening of the commitment on military security- Closer institutional relations with the WEU with a

possibility of its integration into the Union- Inclusion of the Petersberg tasks in the text (Finland,

Sweden)- High Representative for CFSP (+ Secretary General of

the WEU) symbolically J. Solana!

Page 7: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

History From Aspirations to Operations Turning point – St. Malo agreement (change of attitude of T. Blair, reason -

Kosovo) – start of the ESDP The EU should have “the capacity for autonomous action, backed up by credible

military forces, the means to decide to use them and a readiness to do so” Two means of implementing EU-led operations: with NATO assets and

capabilities, or without them Cologne meeting of the European Council 1999: EU and NATO activities should

be “complementary” and not “competitive” Helsinki meeting of the European Council 1999: formal launching of the ESDP Autonomous capacity of the EU to react when NATO as a whole is not engaged! The force: 60.000 troops operational at 2003, capable of staying in the field at least

1 year. Also, creation of institutions to support the decision (Political and Security

Committee, Military Committee, Military Stuff , etc.)

Page 8: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

History From Aspirations to OperationsWEU going to history (although it still exists, but without a

major role)European Defense Agency, European Institute for Security

Studies, EU Satellite Centre, European Security and Defense College

May 2003 – “existing operational capacity across the full range of Petersberg tasks, limited and constrained by recognized shortfalls”

June 2004 new plan “Headline Goal 2010”Operational centre of the EUFirst non-NATO military structure to emerge in post-Cold

War Europe

Page 9: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

NATO DevelopmentsEvolutionary development of NATO in contrast to

revolutionary development of ESDP4 NATO summits as staging posts: Rome 1991(new

strategic concept), Brussels 1994 (PfP), Madrid 1997 (start of the enlargement), Washington 1999 (NATO position on ESDI-accepting the autonomy of Europe)

Prague 2002 Declaration on ESDP – NATO giving EU access to NATO assets and capabilities for operations in which NATO itself is not engaged military

Page 10: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

NATO Developments (2)2003 “Berlin plus”- very important, provides for EU

access to NATO operational planning, NATO capabilities and common assets, NATO European command operations and the NATO defense planning system adapted to the needs of Europeans

Berlin-plus missions of he EU: Concordia (Macedonia), Althea (BiH-symbolic replacement of NATO’s SFOR mission)

Page 11: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Political cooperation and consultations of the EU and NATOFormally they started in 2001. with exchange of letters

between NATO Gensec and Sweden, who presided the EU at the time

May 2001. first official meeting of ministers of foreign affairs

Regular consultations on ambassadors level, level of military committees + Gensec of NATO and HR of the EU

Page 12: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Atrophy in Transatlantic RelationsQuality of US – Europeans relations as significant (the

most important) factor in “division of labor” between the EU and the NATO

Relative military weakness of the Europeans vis-à-vis US at the end of the century, and therefore incapability of sustainable Balkan diplomacy

Incomparable military budgets after September 11

Page 13: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Atrophy in Transatlantic Relations (2)US “making the dinner” and Europeans “doing the dishes” (Kagan)Despite expectations on both sides of the Atlantic (e.g.

Huntington), EU didn’t (try to) become superpower. Why?Europe has developed over the past half-century genuinely

different perspective on the role of power in IR, based on unique historical experience

Modern European culture is constant rejection of the pastEurope is trying to “multilateralise” USSo, what Europe wants? US umbrella, dealing with itself

only? “EU foreign policy is the most anemic all the products of EU integration”.

Page 14: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Atrophy in Transatlantic Relations (3)US “making the dinner” and Europeans “doing the dishes” (Kagan)US “hyperpower” (Vedrin)EU as American projectThe great paradox is that the passage to post-modern Europe

was made possible by US, and by their decision not to take the same passage

Madeleine Albright 1998 concerns about 3 Ds: “decoupling” transatlantic link, “duplicating” defence reources and “discrimination” against the non-EU European NATO members

“US must sometimes play by the rules of the Hobbesian world, even though in doing so it violates European norms”

The importance of French return in NATO

Page 15: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

Future or what is to be done?Uncertainty about the future of EU – NATO relations:

what if they want to act in different ways in certain situation? Overlapping capacities

How long will EU use Berlin-plus arrangements?Have the EU and NATO shaped themselves

completely? Is their own future certain?

Page 16: Fruska gora, July 25 th 2009. Adel Abusara Evolution of the EU-NATO relations

[email protected]

Thank you.