From the Nexus of Forces to Digital Business – IT Trends In Brasil – 2015-2016

Donald FeinbergVP, Distinguished AnalystGartner do BrasilTwitter: @Brazingo

The NEXUS … Biggest Information Technology Inflection Point in 35 Years!

This time the challenges include the variety and velocity of data in social systems and mobility platforms.The answers are Information Management and Cloud.

• What happened the last time?- From accounting and finance to

operations management and market analysis

• What were the answers?- Client/server- Relational data- Operating systems- Server technology- Business Intelligence & DW- Not "unstructured" but different

structure

© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Digital BusinessThe creation ofnew business designsby blurringthe digital and physical worlds

© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Digital Business

© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Key Technology Families

■ Social Tools■ Mobility■ Internet of Things■ Information■ Cloud

■A collection of services and a representation of everybody's digital life.

Personal

Fam

ily

Community

Pro

fess

ion

al

Searchenginejournal.com

■Social tools support from individual interaction to modern collaborative work patterns and can, in principle, go all the way up to "direct democracy."

Key Technology Families:Social Tools

■ The experience flows to where you are and what you are doing in context.

■ Mobile devices become "always-on" extensions of our senses and of our mental processes

Key Technology Families:Mobility

■ The IoT opens infinite new digitalization opportunities, requiring new scenarios and the understanding of new possibilities.

■ In 2020, we will have over 50 billion things connected, and over 200 billion intermittent things connected.

Key Technology Families:The Internet of Things

■ What “things” do: sense, communicate, analyze, act

© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

At the end of the day, it is all

about information,

where it is, how it flows, and what you do

with it.

bits.blogs.nytimes.com

■ The new digital information domain (big data plus new analytics) grows by orders of magnitude in volume, velocity, variety – and value.

■ The new domain completely changes the rules of how to manage information – in both physical and logical senses.

Key Technology Families:Information

■ Cloud changes the economics and the logic of IT acquisition, with strong business implications over organizations and enterprises in all industries.

Isanetworks.net

■ Organizations in the future will have a hybrid architecture. Private and public cloud services will definitely be part of it.

Key Technology Families:Cloud

Enterprise’s initiatives toward digitalizationhave to cope with an

"undisciplined environment”,where too many threats and opportunities,coming too fast, from too many directions,

compete for management attention.

Let’s understand where we are.

We’re past IT as craftsmanship, focused on technology.

We are past IT industrialization, focused on processes.

We definitely move toward a new Digital Era, focused on

Business Models.

The IT organizationmust adopt new organization and management practices,

creating new modes to deliver effective solutions and

business value

This requires shared objectives, clear directions

and continuous focus.

Part of the solution is the creation of a Bimodal IT

Bimodal IT means:Two modes of delivering IT solutions, designed to address different business goals, each using

people, process and technology in different ways

Mode 1Sequential

Stable Predictable

Efficient

Mode 2ExploratoryAdaptable

FlexibleEffective

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

The New IT Reality Emerges

Intelligence Everywhere

Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

Computing Everywhere

Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

Cloud/Client Computing

The Internet of Things

3D Printing

1

2

3

Context-Rich Systems

Smart Machines

4

5

6

Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure

Web-Scale IT

Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

7

8

9

10

The Internet of Things Links to Everything

Internet of Things25B Things by 2020

Internet of Information30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013

Internet of Places3B Foursquare Check-Ins,

January 2013

Manage

Monetize

Operate

Extend

Internet of People1.11B People on Facebook,

March 2013

Identify New Patterns and Define New Technical Architectures for the Internet of Things

Cloud/"Internet"Enterprise/

On-PremisesThing Gateway

AnalyticsDataApplication Logic and Rules

User Interface

101010010101001101010101001010110101011

3D Printing — An Emerging, Growth and Mature Technology

Innovation Trigger

Peak ofInflated

Expectations

Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment

Plateau of Productivity

time

expectations

Plateau will be reached in:less than 2 years 2 to 5 years 5 to 10 years more than 10 years

obsoletebefore plateau

As of July 2014

3D Bioprinting Systems

Consumer 3D Printing

Enterprise 3D Printing

… but Is Newly Strategic Reaching An Inflection Point for the Enterprise Market

Enterprise Consumer

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20170

1,000,000,000

2,000,000,000

3,000,000,000

4,000,000,000

5,000,000,000

6,000,000,000

7,000,000,000

Axis Title

Billions of Dollars

81.9%CAGR

Look for Innovation Opportunities From the Simple & Mundane to the Complex and Critical

Airbus A320Redesigned Nacelle

Hinge Bracket

Injection MoldsCut Tooling Costs

by Up to 97%

M1 Abrams Tank EngineMaterial Added to Worn Components

Not Impossible Labs"Project Daniel" Prosthetic Limbs

Courtesy of EOS

Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs

Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Questions

ResponsiveWill we be able to focus more on our customers' needs and less on our manufacturing processes?

Knowledge Do we need to develop our staff's additive manufacturing skills?

Agile Will we make our product development and production processes more nimble?

CostHow much can we reduce product development, operating and support costs?

Will we be able to create items that were difficult or impossible to produce before?Innovation

Managed

Transformed

Filtered

Secured (Somewhat)

Portable

Potable (Fit for Consumption)

Data Lake … … or Reservoir?

Unmanaged

Original

Raw

Natural Security

Not Portable

Consumption Fitness Uncertain

Processdata

But Not All Information Requires a Big Data Approach

Gen

eric

val

ue,

pers

iste

nce

Information of record

Informationof differentiation

Informationof innovation

Fluidity, rate of change, number of systems

Financialconsolidation

data

Masterdata

Managementinformation

Customerinteraction

Masterdata

Social mediadata

Emerging Analytic Linkages

Analysis

Information

Structured ContentHybrid

PrescriptivePredictive

What Should I Do About It?

What Is Likely to Happen?

Why Did It Happen?

What Is Happening?

Descriptive Diagnostic

The Data and DBMS Explosion — How Do We Manage Data in the Digital

Business?

Big Data

Observational Data

Interaction Data

Unstructured Data

Streaming Data

IoT Data

Columnar

In-MemoryFlash

Disk (HDD)

NoSQL

Hadoop

Streaming

IMDG

Relational

Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategies:Cloud/Client Computing

• The application is in the cloud.

• Cloud is the coordination point and system of record.

• Clients can be anything with varying levels of data and logic.

• Applications can span multiple clients.

• Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble interactions.

• The experience flows to the user in context.

• Mobile is not about devices … it is about people.

UX logic

Business logic

UX logic

Business logic

Data

Data

Shift From Application Migration, to the Cloud, to Cloud "Native" Application Development

http://www.flickr.com/photos/wscullin/3770015203

Conventional Pattern Cloud "Native" Pattern

Adapted From Cloud Architecture Tutorial by Adrian Cockcroft (Netflix)

Central SQL Database

Sticky In-Memory Session

Chatty Protocols

Tangled Service Interfaces

Polled Information

Fat Complex Objects

Components as Jar Files

Distributed Key/Value NoSQL

Latency Tolerant Protocols

Event-Driven

Lightweight Serializable Objects

Components as Services

Layered Service Interfaces

Shared Memcached/Redis Session

Java, .NET JavaScript, Python, Ruby, Node.js

The New IT Reality Emerges

Intelligence Everywhere

Merging the Real World and the

Virtual World

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

Proactively analyze disruptive technology trends and create a vision of the future technology landscape

Link trend analysis to the impact on people (employees and customers), the business and IT

Establish strategic decision models to take action on disruptive impacts

Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an analyst and a catalyst for disruptive trend analysis across IT andthe business

From the Nexus of Forces to Digital Business – IT Trends In Brasil – 2015-2016

Donald Feinberg

VP, Distinguished Analyst

Gartner do Brasil

Twitter: @Brazingo