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From Technologies to Markets © 2019 From technology to market Stacking is becoming necessary in multiple markets & applications Mario IBRAHIM Advanced packaging, technology & market analyst [email protected] June 2019

From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

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Page 1: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

From Technologies to Markets

© 2019

From technology to market

Stacking is becoming necessary in multiple markets

& applications

Mario IBRAHIM

Advanced packaging, technology & market analyst

[email protected]

June 2019

Page 2: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

2

• Semiconductor market mutation

• 2.5D & 3D Stacking:

• 3 stacking technologies

• 2.5D & 3D platforms & market

• Where these technologies can be found?

• Stacking in High Performance Computing

• Stacking in CIS

• Embedded die stacking for automotive

• Conclusions

OUTLINE

Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

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3

• The semiconductor future is different from its past

Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

SEMICONDUCTOR MARKET MUTATION

Advanced packaging at the heart of innovation

Miniaturization &

reduced footprint

Higher performance

Advanced tech nodes

Advanced

packaging

3 players are

still in this

race. High

CAPEX

How to reach?

Requirements?

Enabling advanced

technologies &

products?

HBM

TSV

3D stacking

Page 4: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

4

Stacking technologies

Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

PACKAGING PLATFORMS – FOCUS ON STACKING

No substrate

Fan-Out WLCSP

Organic substrates

Wirebond

BGA CSP

COB

BOC

WB CSP

LGA

Flip-Chip

BGA

FC BGA

FO on Substrate

2.5D

3D

CSP LGA

Leadframe substrates

Wire Bond

QFN/QFP

SOIC

TSOP

LCC

DIP

Flip Chip

FC QFN (MIS)

Ceramic substrates

Wirebond

Hi Rel

Flip-Chip

HTCC

LTCC

Embedded Die

Page 5: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

5Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

GLOBAL STACKING MARKET

Packaging revenue per market segment

$3 374M

CAGR 20%

$18M

CAGR 31%

$2 619M

CAGR 34%

$6 221M

$1 125M

$446M

$5M

$1 578M

2018

2024

**CAGR

+25%

**CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

Telecom & Infrastructure

Mobile & Consumer

Automotive

Others

$2M

$210M

CAGR 125%

Page 6: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

6Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

WHAT ARE THE STACKING TECHNOLOGIES

3 different technologies are used for vertical integration

Em

bed

ded

die

Hyb

rid b

ondin

gTSV

Massively used in memory stacking

Massively used in 2.5D structure based on Si interposer

Massively used in 3D stacked CIS

Massively used in 3D stacked CIS

Huge potential for memory stacking

Infant technology used in:

Automotive, Mobile, Telecom & Infrastructure

Single & multiple die(s) embedded, active(s) and passive(s)

Wafer level technologiesPanel level

technology

Courtesy of Xperi

Page 7: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

7

Access semiconductor

Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

2.5D & 3D STACKING PLATFORMS

With / Without TSV

i-THOP FC-EIC EMIB

Hybrid BondingW

ith O

r

With

out T

SV

3D SoC

TSV

+ h

ybrid

bondin

g

With TSV

Without TSV

Stacked memory & CIS

TSV

Embedded die

Em

bedded in

substrate

Page 8: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

8Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

WHERE CAN WE FIND STACKING TECHNOLOGIES?

Stacking technologies

Telecom & Infrastructure

Mobile & consumer

Medical & others

Automotive

iMac Pro

Gaming PC

Server

Datacenter

Switches

AI / ML

CIS MEMS & sensors

Power amplifier

Memory

SiPM

Computing unit

CIS

DC-DC converter

Page 9: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

9Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

2.5D & 3D STACKING TECHNOLOGIES

The answer for high performance computing (HPC) market segment requirements

Page 10: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

10Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

HIGH END HARDWARE USING STACKING TECHNOLOGIES, PRODUCT LAUNCHES

2011 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

GPU

Volta

V100

GPU Pascal 100

*Stratix 10

FPGA

Xeon Phi processor

based on Knight

Landing processor

2019

FPGA

GPU RX Vega

DDR4 3D 64GB

GPU Fiji

DDR4 3D 128GB

Xeon Phi based

on Knights Mill

processor

FPGA Virtex

Ultrascale + 16nm

POST

FX10

Lake Crest based

product DDR4 3D 128GB

*Kaby Lake-G

processor

Yole Développement, December 2018

GPU Radeon

instinct MI60

GPU Navi

>2020

NPU on

interposer Radeon

pro

WX9100

HGX 2

based on

V100GPU

DGX 2

Alveo U200

Jericho 2

TPU3

TPU3

SX Aurora

Tsubasa

TPU3

Fuji A64FX

To be installed

in the post-K

supercomputer

DDR4

3D

256GB

FP4

* Using EMIB no TSV

Page 11: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

11Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

EXAMPLE OF STACKING TECHNOLOGIES USAGE FOR HPC

Supply chain for Nvidia Tesla P100 GPU

• Nvidia relies on TSMC to manufacture the

P100 GPU. TSMC also provides the

interposer & assembles the module using

their CoWoS processTSMC Taiwan CoWoS process

TSMC

Taiwan

Ibiden

Japan

Samsung

Korea

TSMC

Korea

16nm node

GPU HBM2 Interposer Substrate

Page 12: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

12Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

CIS TREND IN MOBILE MARKET

Leading players add one camera per year

Source: YOLE Status of the CCM Industry report

Page 13: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

13Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION

From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors

Used in iPhone

I7+:

2 wafers

interconnected

via TSV

2016

Used in Galaxy

S7:

2 wafers

interconnected

via Hybrid

Bonding

Used in Sony

XZs:

3 wafers

interconnected

via TSV

2016

2017

4 stack high CIS

& pixel to pixel

high density

interconnection

CIS under

development.

Page 14: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

14Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

STACKING TECHNOLOGY TREND IN MOBILE

Interconnection choice depends on the required interconnection density

Backside

illumination

will

enable ~

100% fill-

factor!

Stacked

BSI - 1st-gen

Silicon bulk

TSVTSV

Interco upper-

to-lower

wafer

Backside

illumination

will

enable ~

100% fill-

factor!

Stacked

BSI - 2nd-gen

Silicon bulk

TSV

Backside

illumination

will

enable ~

100% fill-

factor!

Hybrid stacked

BSI

Silicon bulk

Interco upper-

to-lower wafer

Connection within

pixels becomes

possible

Source: YOLE Status of the CCM Industry report

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15Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

STACKED CIS USE CASES IN MOBILE

Hybrid VS TSV

Sony = Hybrid Samsung = TSV

Apple iPhone X

Xiaomi Mi8 explorer

Huawei Mate 20 Pro

Oppo Find XVivo X21UD

Samsung Galaxy S9+Huawei P20 Pro

Page 16: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

16

• In 2024, the stacked CIS market share will be around 70-80% of the global CIS production

• Switch from pure TSV stacked technology to hybrid & multi-stack technology (hybrid/fusion bonding + TSV)

• New mobile functionalities, other than slow motion, for multi-stack CIS should appear. The multi-stack CIS can beused in other applications / markets than mobile (AI, automotive, industry)

Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

CIS PACKAGING REVENUE REPARTITION BY TECHNOLOGY

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17Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

EMBEDDED DIE TECHNOLOGY

Market drivers

Embedded

Die

Cost-drivenForm factor

&

integration

driven

Performance-

driven

IC

Power / audio

amplifiers

DC-DC converter RF SiP

Power appsAC-DC inverter

CIS

Electrical performance

Signal transmission

Heat management

Reliability

Can Embedded die

compete with 2.5D & 3D

technology in term of

performance & cost

effectiveness?

Die integration

foot print

Page 18: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

18Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

AUTOMOTIVE MARKET

Where can we find embedded die in a vehicle?

DC-DC converter in Mild hybrid, 48V vehicles (hybrid & full electric)

Motor inverter

Head Lamps

Radar systems

Radar systems

CIS CISInfotainment

Voltage

regulator in

EV charger

EV

charging

station

Commercialized

R&D

Page 19: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

19Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

EMBEDDED DIE REVENUE FORECAST

**CAGR

+49%

**CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

$21M

2024

$231M

• Considered markets:• Mobile

• Automotive

• Telecom & infrastructure

• Consumer

• Medical

• Aerospace, Defense & Industry

2018

Page 20: From technology to market€¦ · Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential 13 CIS WAFER LEVEL PACKAGING EVOLUTION From FSI to BSI multi-stack TSV sensors Used in iPhone I7+:

20

• Stacking technologies are driven by high performance computing & memory markets

• CIS is the biggest market for stacking. Hybrid bonding getting market shares from stand-alone TSV.Stacked CIS will have 70-80% market share of the global CIS production in 2024

• Embedded die is still an infant stacking technology. Driven by automotive, Telecom & infrastructure,its adoption is on-going. Revenue will reach $230M in 2024

• Stacking packaging revenue to reach $6.2B in 2024 exhibiting a +25% CAGR

Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

CONCLUSIONS

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21Leti Days 2019, Yole Développement confidential

Contact:

Mario Ibrahim

[email protected]