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Aeroflex Proprietary
From TD-SCDMA to TD-LTEFrom TDFrom TD--SCDMA to TDSCDMA to TD--LTELTE
Stephen HireStephen Hire
Aeroflex AsiaAeroflex Asia
Leadership in LTE TestLeadership in LTE Test
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
TopicsTopics
Next steps
3G licensing and rollout plans
Evolutionary paths
Where we are today
Market data
Leaders or followers?
Looking forward
The Chinese mobile landscape
TDD globally
The role of TD-LTE
TD-SCDMA vs 3GPP perspectives
Aeroflex Proprietary
Where we are todayWhere we are todayWhere we are today
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
Market dataMarket data
National1.33bn population48% cellular penetration
China Mobile496.6m GSM subscribers360,000 base stations
China Unicom141.1m GSM subscribers170,000 base stations
China Telecom41.7m CDMA subscribers40,000 base stations
Sources: China Mobile, China Unicom, China Telecom,
Aeroflex research and public data
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
Leaders or followers?Leaders or followers?
• State-owned enterprises
– China Mobile
– China Unicom
– China Telecom
• Government direction not to be underestimated
– Don’t write off TD-SCDMA…
… especially with 497m subs in the game
• DoCoMo/Verizon vs MVNO model
– Industry leader versus fast follower business
strategy?
Aeroflex Proprietary
Next stepsNext stepsNext steps
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
3G licensing and rollout plans3G licensing and rollout plans
• TD-SCDMA
• 60,000 BTS in 238 cities in 2009
• 140,000 BTS 2009-2011
• 2m handset purchases
• WCDMA
• 80,000 BTS, 70,000 indoor solutions
covering 334 cities by end of 2009
• Exclusive iPhone deal
• CDMA 1xEV-DO Rev A
• 500 cities covered by end of 2009
• 20m handset purchases
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
3G market shares 3G market shares
Motorola
2.7%
Huawei
21.9%
Nortel
2.3%Ericsson
10.9%
Alcatel-
Lucent
6.8%
ZTE
29.3%
NSN
6.8%
Da Tang
12.6%Others
6.7%
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
Evolutionary pathsEvolutionary paths
2008-09 2009-12 2013
Aeroflex Proprietary
The role of TD-LTEThe The role ofrole of TDTD--LTELTE
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
TD-SCDMA and TD-LTETD-SCDMA and TD-LTE
• TD-LTE positioned as next evolution in TD-
SCDMA family
• Estimates for TD-SCDMA market share unclear
– 1,000,000 subscribers as of July 09
• TD-SCDMA likely to be China-only
– Look at vendor investment as an indicator
• TD-LTE trials under way
– Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and
multimode devices
– Several vendors already demonstrated working
network hardware to CMCC
• Trials against Aeroflex TM500 Test Mobile
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
FDD v TDD top level differencesFDD v TDD top level differences
• Going from FDD to TDD
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
The TD-LTE ecosystemThe TD-LTE ecosystem
Joint trials with
Network Equipment Vendors
Test LabsTest Equipment
UE Vendors
Operators UsersCouplers RepeatersAntennas eNodeB
Motorola
NSN
Huawei
Potevio
Ericsson
ZTE
ASB
DaTang
eNB Test
Test Mobiles
Functional
Capacity
UE Test
Protocol
RF
Performance
CTTL
TMCRITT 7 Layers
SGS
Re-use of technology from TD-SCDMA
Many of same suppliers will be well
positioned for TD-LTE
Chipset
T3G
Leadcore (DaTang)
Spreadtrum
Chinese UE
ZTE
Huawei
DaTang
Foreign UE
Tier 1 vendors
Internet Access
Mobile TV
Telephony
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
The role of TD-LTEThe role of TD-LTE
• TD-SCDMA perspective
– Natural progression
• 3GPP perspective
– Commonality with FDD
• Vendor perspective
– Increasing use of software defined radio techniques
• Operator perspective
– Spectrum availability
– Flexible base stations
• Conclusion
– TD-LTE will be widely adopted in China and
internationally
Aeroflex Proprietary
Looking forwardLooking forwardLooking forward
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
Operator projections for 3GOperator projections for 3G
• 3m subs by end of 2009
• 50-80m subs by end of 2011
– Figures reduced from earlier in year
– Achieved 25% 3G market share in Q2
• 1.3m subs June 09
• 100m subs by 2010
• Official launch 1st August
• 200,000 subs by end Oct target
• 20m subs in first full year
– 2-3m iPhones potential in 2010
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
The LTE Chinese Mobile LandscapeThe LTE Chinese Mobile Landscape
2008/09 GSM continues to middle of next decade;
increasing rural westward focus
GSM
TD-SCDMA/WCDMA
LTE
2009/10 TD-SCDMA/WCDMA rolls out;
progressively penetrates most of population
2012/13 LTE starts; focus on eastern and major cities
• Technology is often first adopted on the east
coast and progresses west over time
• Old standards co-exist with new
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
One global standardOne global standard
• There is only one LTE
– Clear statement and drive from alliance of
Vodafone/Verizon/China Mobile
– Commonality of specifications and standards activity
– Vendors adopting software defined radio to make it a
reality
• But …
– … don’t forget about multiple spectrum allocations,
bandwidths and legacy handover requirements
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
Summary and final thoughtsSummary and final thoughts
TD-SCDMA
Here to stay
Will find a definite
role
TD-LTE
The next step for
CMCC…
…and for TD-
SCDMA
LTE
TDD vs FDD to
disappear
Both achieve
widespread use
What else?
CMCC Applications
Store
The world’s biggest
market?
Aeroflex Proprietary
Thank youThankThank youyou
Aeroflex Proprietary
Appendix – not for presentationAppendix Appendix –– not for presentationnot for presentation
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
FDD v TDD UL PHY differencesFDD v TDD UL PHY differences
PUCCH PUSCH
PUCCH PUSCHReference
Signals
PUCCH PUSCH
PRACH
Reference
SignalsPRACH
Sounding
Sounding
Timing / Control / Frame Structure
UL Channels
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
FDD v TDD DL PHY differencesFDD v TDD DL PHY differences
HKSTP 2009 Aeroflex - Leadership in LTE Test Aeroflex Proprietary
Frame StructureFrame Structure
• FDD frame structure
#0
Subframe =
1ms
Frame = 10ms
#2 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #9
DwPTS
GPUpPTS
GPUpPTSDwPTS
• TDD frame structure