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FROM DATA TO ELECTRICITY12th September
Jürgen Tzschoppe, Executive Vice President,
Market operations & IT, Statkraft
Scenarios show a greener energy supply and usage
2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2015. Outcome space = IEA Current Policy Scenario – IEA 450ppm Scenario
…bending emission pathways earlierEnergy supply and usage greener…
IEA New
Policy
scenario
Statkraft
Low
Emissions
scenario
20352013
12
14
16
18
10
6
0
2
4
8
Renewables
23%
Today IEA
New Policy
Coal
Natural gas
Nuclear
Bio&waste
31% 27%
Statkraft Low
Emission
29%
21%
5%10%
17%
24%
7%
11%
World’s primary energy demand (Billions toe)
15%
25%
2%1%
Oil
3% Hydro7%
11%3%
4%
23%
World’s energy-related emissions (GtCO2e)
Outcome space
remains wide
Continuing
today’s RES
trends
Allowing for
clean-tech
trends in
transport and
other end-use
sectors
Assuming
policy-makers
tighten in
accordance
with Paris
5year cycle
Norway has a unique starting point: An emission free power sector
Germany UK Sweden Norway
2025
Germany UK Sweden Norway
2005
EU reference year
Renewable
Nuclear
Fossil
Electricity production
The second half of the green transition remains:Phasing out fossil fuel consumption
4Source: Global CO” emissions: McKinsey & Company: Pathways to Low-Carbon Economy
Norway’s CO2 emissions: SSB: 18.12.2015
1
11
Waste
Power prod.
4Buildings
6Transport
6
2
3
Other industry
Cement
Oil and gas
0
2
1
16
10
5
15
Power
production and
waste
Buildings
Industry
Transport
Agriculture and
forestry
Global GtCO2e
emissions 2005
Norway’s MtCO2e
emissions 2014
6
7
Agriculture
Forestry
4
-26
Centralized Decentralized
Yesterday’s power system was straight forward
Combined
Heat and
Power (CHP)
Power plant
Boiler
Gas
storage
Electricity
demand
Transport
demand
Heat
demand
Hydro
Nuclear
Fossil fuels
(coal, gas
and oil)
Meter
Electricity
Petrol/diesel
Heat
Gas
Boiler
5
Centralized Decentralized
Energy internet
…. but tomorrow’s system is complicated
Combined
Heat and
Power (CHP)
Power plant
Boiler
Heat pump/
El-boiler
Heat
storage
Gas
storage
Electrolyzer
Electricity
demand
Transport
demand
Electricity
storage
Heat
demand
Hydro
Wind
Solar
Biomass
and waste
Nuclear
Fossil fuels
(coal, gas
and oil)
Electricity
storage
Meter
Hydrogen
Heat pump/
El-boiler
Electricity
Petrol/diesel
Micro CHP
Heat
storage
Heat
Wind
Solar
Biomass/
-gas
Biofuel
Gas
Boiler
6
Digitalisation in the energy industry affects all elements in the value chain…
7
Generation Transmission DistributionWholesale
tradingRetail
Big data improves
capability of forecasting
output and managing
intermittent renewables
Smart grids provides big
data allowing for better
monitoring and operations
Big data and algorithmic
business provides
opportunities for predictive
maintenance
Big data and algorithmic
business provides
opportunities for predictive
maintenance
Mobile and web
infrastructure give workers
access to maps, data and
work orders
"Internet of Things" enables
smarter appliances, smarter
energy use and more
informed customers
Algorithmic trading has
started and will continue to
grow
Big data and algorithms will
increase the ability to
forecast
Mobile and web
infrastructure has already
and will continue to change
interaction with customers
Digitalisation in the energy industry affects all elements in the value chain…
8
Generation Transmission DistributionWholesale
tradingRetail
Big data improves
capability of forecasting
output and managing
intermittent renewables
Smart grids provides big
data allowing for better
monitoring and operations
Mobile and web
infrastructure give workers
access to maps, data and
work orders
"Internet of Things" enables
smarter appliances, smarter
energy use and more
informed customers
Algorithmic trading has
started and will continue to
grow
Big data and algorithms will
increase the ability to
forecast
Mobile and web
infrastructure has already
and will continue to change
interaction with customers
Big data and algorithmic
business provides
opportunities for predictive
maintenance
Big data and algorithmic
business provides
opportunities for predictive
maintenance
…but also disrupts the value chain
9
Generation
Transmission
Distribution
Wholesale
trading
Retail
Distributed generation
EV charging
Wholesale & retail
roles interminglingTransmission left out?
Storage
In line with market changes we have substantial innovation activities
10
Costumers
Virtual power plant leading the way
11
Grønn kontakt
12
Tado
13
The smart energy solution for the future
14
www.statkraft.com
THANK YOU
15