Fremont Unified School District January 23, 2015 · PDF fileenrollment is Graph 1 is based on the current school level configuration of ... Historical District Enrollment by Grade

Enrollment Projection Study Fremont Unified School District January 23, 2015

Prepared For: Fremont Unified School District 4210 Technology Drive Fremont, Ca 94538 T 510.627.2350 Prepared By: Dolinka Group, LLC 20 Pacifica, Suite 900 Irvine, CA 92618 T 949.250.8300 F 949.250.8301

Table of Contents Section Page I. Introduction ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 II. Overview Of Historical Enrollment ------------------------------------------------------------------ 2 A. Enrollment Trends ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2 B. Transfer Trends ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 III. Attendance Boundaries and Study Area Zones ------------------------------------------------- 8 IV. Inputs and Methodology ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 A. Cohort Survival Factors ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 B. Birth Rates --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 C. Student Generation Rates ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 D. Residential Development -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 V. Districtwide Enrollment Projection ----------------------------------------------------------------- 19 A. Elementary School Enrollment Projection ----------------------------------------------------------- 20 B. Junior High School Enrollment Projection ----------------------------------------------------------- 35 C. High School Enrollment Projection -------------------------------------------------------------------- 38 D. Summary of Enrollement Projections by High School Attendance Area --------------------- 40

Exhibits Exhibit A: Elementary School Attendance Information Exhibit B: Enrollment Projections by Attendance Area

Fremont Unified School District Page 1 Enrollment Projection Study January 23, 2015

I. Introduction Fremont Unified School District ("School District"), serves students in grades kindergarten through 12 residing in the City of Fremont and consists of 28 elementary schools serving grades kindergarten through 6, one (1) elementary school serving grades K through 2, one (1) elementary school serving grades 3 through 6, five (5) junior high schools serving grades 7 and 8, five (5) high schools serving grades 9 through 12, and one (1) continuation high school. Since the 2000/2001 school year, the enrollment of the School District has increased by more than 2,800 students, with average annual increases of more than 200 students per year over that period. In order to determine the estimated growth or decline of the student population over the next seven (7) years ("Study Period"), as well as develop an understanding of the available capacity to house such students, the School District has retained the services of Dolinka Group, LLC to prepare an Enrollment Projection Study ("Study"). In school year 2014/2015, the enrollment of the School District is 33,935 students. Based on the information contained in the Study, the enrollment of the School District is expected to continue a pattern of increase through the end of the Study Period. Using School District enrollment information as of November 2014, the School District is expected to see continued increases in enrollment in similar numbers to recent years for the first several years of the Study Period, with slower increases in the latter part of the Study Period. As is the case with any long-term projection of student enrollment, the School District should keep in mind the Study is a living document based on information gathered during the last quarter of 2014 and first quarter of 2015. Due to fluctuations in population, changes in residential development, unforeseen economic conditions, and alterations in School District enrollment policy, adjustments to this Study will be necessary as fluctuations in population, economy, and housing market take place over the Study Period. While the Study’s mission is to provide future student enrollment projections, it is also valuable to analyze historical and current trends. The following is an outline of the Study’s four (4) main sections: » Section II reviews the historical enrollment trends of the School District. » Section III identifies the current attendance boundaries and study area zones ("SAZs") of the

School District » Section IV provides the assumptions and methodologies used to project the number of

students in the School District over the Study Period. This section includes a discussion of cohort survival factors, birth rates, and the method used to project future student enrollment.

» Section V projects the student enrollment for the School District over the Study Period for

each school by attendance area.


II. Overview of Historical Enrollment To analyze the total districtwide enrollment, Dolinka Group utilized data from the California Department of Education ("CDE") for school year 2000/2001 through school year 2013/2014 and the enrollment database of the School District for school year 2014/2015. In order to analyze the enrollment trends by grade level and region, Dolinka Group utilized a database of enrolled student and addresses from the School District for school year 2011/2012 through 2014/2015. By using this information, Dolinka Group was able to locate and plot the residence of each student (for more information on this process see Section III.A.). This allows Dolinka Group to assess the concentration of where students reside within their respective attendance boundaries regardless of what school a student attends.

A. Enrollment Trends

The School District has experienced steady enrollment increases since school year 2000/2001. The historical enrollment of the School District is shown below in Graph 1 and Table 1, while the annual change of student enrollment is shown in Table 2. The enrollment is Graph 1 is based on the current school level configuration of the School District where elementary schools serve students in grades kindergarten through 6 (including transitional kindergarten), junior high schools serve students in grades 7 and 8, and high schools serve students in grades 9 through 12.

Table 1 Annual Change in Student Enrollment

School Year Districtwide Enrollment[1]

2000/2001 30,922

2001/2002 30527

2002/2003 31289

2003/2004 31659

2004/2005 31,849

2005/2006 31,911

2006/2007 31,863

2007/2008 31,700

2008/2009 31,890

2009/2010 32,050

2010/2011 32,368

2011/2012 32,585

2012/2013 33,153

2013/2014 33,661

2014/2015 33,935 [1] Based on information provided by CDE and the School District.


Graph 1 Historical District Enrollment by Grade Level

Table 2 Annual Rate of Change in Student Enrollment

School Year Growth/ (Decline)

Growth/(Decline) Percentage

2000/2001 to 2001/2002 (395) (1.28%)

2001/2002 to 2002/2003 762 2.50%

2002/2003 to 2003/2004 370 1.18%

2003/2004 to 2004/2005 190 0.60%

2004/2005 to 2005/2006 62 0.19%

2005/2006 to 2006/2007 (48) (0.15%)

2006/2007 to 2007/2008 (163) (0.51%)

2007/2008 to 2008/2009 190 0.60%

2008/2009 to 2009/2010 160 0.50%

2009/2010 to 2010/2011 318 0.99%

2010/2011 to 2011/2012 217 0.67%

2011/2012 to 2012/2013 568 1.74%

2012/2013 to 2013/2014 508 1.53%

2013/2014 to 2014/2015 274 0.81%

Average Growth/Decline 215 0.70%

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School YearHigh School Enrollment Middle School Enrollment Elementary Enrollment


As shown in Graph 1, the elementary school enrollment of the School District reached its lowest point in the last 14 years in school year 2001/2002 when there were 30,527 students. Since that time, elementary school enrollment increased by 11.94 percent, junior high school enrollment increased by 5.04 percent, and high school enrollment increased by 8.03 percent. A higher number of students per grade at the elementary school level, as exists currently at the School District, will result in increasing enrollment at the middle and high school levels in future years.

B. Transfer Trends

In accordance with Education Code, each year the School District admits a number of incoming students that reside outside of the School District boundaries. Incoming students that attend the School District but reside in another school district are referred to as interdistrict transfers ("IDTs") or as permit students. Typically IDTs are approved based on an agreement with the school district of origin or based on parental employment within the School District. Overall, the number of IDTs has remained relatively steady over the last four years, though as a percentage of total enrollment, the percentage of IDTs has declined as overall enrollment in the School District has grown. Table 3 shows the number of IDTs in each year, the total enrollment of the School District and the percentage of incoming IDTs from 2010/2011 through 2014/2015.

Table 3

Incoming Inter-District Transfers

Item 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015

IDTs 188 161 197 174

Total Enrollment 32,829 33,406 33,887 33,935

Percentage 0.57% 0.48% 0.58% 0.51%

Individual schools within the School District receive varying numbers of incoming IDTs. Table 4 shows the number of incoming IDTs by grade and the schools that they attend.


Table 4 Incoming IDTs by School

School K 01 02 03 04 05 06 Total

Ardenwood ES 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1

Azevada ES 1 7 6 3 4 0 0 21

Blacow ES 0 1 0 2 2 1 1 7

Brier ES 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 3

Brookvale ES 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1

Cabrillo ES 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 5

Chadbourne ES 0 4 3 0 0 0 0 7

Forest Park ES 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1

Gomes ES 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1

Green ES 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 3

Grimmer ES 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 3

Hirsch ES 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 3

Maloney ES 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2

Mattos ES 1 0 1 2 2 3 1 10

Millard ES 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

Niles ES 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1

Oliveira ES 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3

Patterson ES 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2

Vallejo Mill ES 2 1 2 2 5 2 0 14

Total Elementary IDTs 7 15 16 15 18 9 9 89

07 08 Total

Centerville JHS 5 1 6

Thornton JHS 5 1 6

Walters JHS 5 4 9

Total Junior High School IDTs 15 6 21

09 10 11 12 Total

American HS 3 2 2 7 14

Irvington HS 0 0 2 2 4

Kennedy HS 5 5 7 9 26

Mission San Jose HS 1 0 0 1 2

Washington HS 3 9 3 3 18

Total High School IDTs 12 16 14 22 64

In addition to students transferring into the School District who reside outside its boundaries, there are also students who attend a school outside their established attendance boundaries. These transfers are done through the intra-district transfer request process of the School District. Table 5 shows the intra-district transfer attendance percentage for each elementary school, while Exhibit A provides more information on the elementary school attendance.


Table 5 Elementary School Attendance Information

Elementary School

Enrollment Within

Attendance Boundary

Intra-district Transfer and

Overload Attendance[1]

Inter-District Transfer

Attendance Total School Enrollment

Intra-District Transfer

Percentage Ardenwood ES 916 48 1 965 5.08% Brookvale ES 470 184 1 655 28.24% Forest Park ES 1,019 9 1 1,029 0.97% Oliveira ES 521 178 3 702 25.78% Patterson ES 523 91 2 616 15.10% Warwick ES 772 89 0 861 10.34% Subtotal 4,221 599 8 4,828 12.57% Green ES 414 60 3 477 13.21% Grimmer ES[2] 220 150 3 373 41.02% Hirsch ES 475 62 3 540 12.04% Leitch ES 1,036 40 0 1,076 3.72% Warm Springs ES 835 26 0 861 3.02% Weibel ES 666 196 0 862 22.74% Subtotal 3,646 534 9 4,189 12.96% Azevada ES[3] 292 269 21 582 49.83% Blacow ES[2] 249 187 7 443 43.79% Brier ES 677 83 3 763 11.27% Durham ES 443 69 0 512 13.48% Mattos ES[4] 223 384 10 617 63.86% Millard ES 492 105 1 598 17.73% Subtotal 2,376 1,097 42 3,515 32.40% Chadbourne ES 721 114 7 842 14.37% Gomes ES 687 92 1 780 11.92% Mission San Jose ES 581 42 0 623 6.74% Mission Valley ES 583 60 0 643 9.33% Subtotal 2,572 308 8 2,888 10.94% Cabrillo ES 310 70 5 385 19.48% Glenmoor ES 571 88 0 659 13.35% Maloney ES 400 196 2 598 33.11% Niles ES 570 31 1 602 5.32% Parkmont ES 856 64 0 920 6.96% Vallejo Mill ES[2] 400 138 14 552 27.54%

Subtotal 3,107 587 22 3,716 16.39%

Total 15,922 3,125 89 19,136 16.80% [1] Includes students with active intra-district applications as well as students not able to attend their homes school due to facility overload and School District overload policy. [2] Spanish Immersion Program offered at these school sites. [3] Mandarin Immersion Program offered at this school site. [4] Science Magnet Program offered at this school site.


Table 6 shows the intra-district transfer information for the junior high school level while Table 7 shows the intra-district transfer information for the high school level. In both Tables 6 and 7, the attendance boundaries are shown in the first column and the schools of attendance for students within each boundary are shown across the rows. Reading the numbers down the columns shows the enrollment at a particular school and the boundaries where those students reside.

Table 6

Junior High School Attendance Information

Attendance Boundary

Centerville JHS

Hopkins JHS

Horner JHS

Thornton JHS

Walters JHS Total

Centerville JHS 935 2 8 10 17 972 Hopkins JHS 0 978 3 0 1 982 Horner JHS 1 5 1,008 0 7 1,021 Thornton JHS 4 0 2 1,140 11 1,157 Walters JHS 16 1 11 0 675 703 Unknown 1 1 0 0 0 2 IDT 6 0 0 6 9 21

Total 963 987 1,032 1,156 720 4,858

Table 7 High School Attendance Information

Attendance Boundary

American HS

Irvington HS

Kennedy HS

Mission San Jose

HS Washington

HS Total American HS 1,930 25 23 7 30 2,015 Irvington HS 2 2,043 27 19 10 2,101 Kennedy HS 16 86 1,286 14 58 1,460 Mission San Jose HS 0 28 10 2,077 2 2,117 Washington HS 22 61 38 12 1,713 1,846 Unknown 1 2 1 1 1 6 IDT 14 4 26 2 18 64

Total 1,985 2,249 1,411 2,132 1,832 9,609


III. Attendance Boundaries and Study Area Zones Attendance boundaries are defined as geographic areas within a school district that serve as the students assigned to a particular school. Currently, there are 28 attendance boundaries at the elementary school level (including areas currently classified as "Unassigned"), five (5) at the junior high school level, and five (5) at the high school level. Attendance boundaries allow the School District to effectively control enrollment at each facility and will be shifted as (i) new schools are constructed within the School District and/or (ii) student population distribution necessitates it. The existing elementary school, junior high school, and high school attendance boundaries are shown on Maps 1, 2, and 3 respectively. In order to more accurately project the number of students generated from existing and future residential units, the School District has been separated into Study Area Zones ("SAZs"). A SAZ constitutes a region of residential units with similar characteristics such as land use (e.g., single family detached ("SFD") units or multi-family attached ("MFA") units), elementary school attendance boundary area, access to major roads, and other characteristics. In addition to identifying the exact location of future residential units, SAZs promote a more accurate analysis of demographic trends and projections of student enrollment. Map 4 illustrates the boundaries of the School District, all 295 SAZs. Each SAZ belongs to exactly one (1) elementary school, junior high school, and high school attendance boundary.

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Fremont Unified School DistrictMap 1 - Elementary School Attendance Boundaries School Year 2014/2015

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Fremont Unified School DistrictNeighboring School Districts

n Elementary SchoolsAttendance Boundaries

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Fremont Unified School DistrictMap 2 - Junior High School Attendance Boundaries School Year 2014/2015

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n Junior High SchoolsAttendance Boundaries

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Fremont Unified School DistrictMap 3 - High School Attendance Boundaries School Year 2014/2015

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n High SchoolsAttendance Boundaries

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Fremont Unified School DistrictMap 4 - Study Area Zones School Year 2014/2015

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Study Area ZonesNeighboring School Districts


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IV. Inputs and Methodology This section identifies the components used by Dolinka Group to project student enrollment by grade level and location for the School District. Dolinka Group identified and analyzed various connections or linkages between (i) the existing housing stock and (ii) future student enrollment. The primary linkages identified by Dolinka Group include:

» Cohort Survival Factors (i.e., the percentage of students that progress from one grade level to the next),

» Birth Rates

» Student Generation Rates

» Residential Development

These enrollment projections are based on a student's school of attendance regardless of where that student may actually reside. The enrollment was calculated in this fashion due to the high rate of student movement, both from intra-district transfers as well as facility overload, currently experienced by the School District. A. Cohort Survival Factors

Cohort survival factors represent the number of students that progress from one grade to the next (e.g., the number of first graders who become second graders, etc.). In order to compute cohort survival factors, Dolinka Group analyzed the enrollment of the School District for school years 2011/2012 through 2014/2015. A cohort survival factor greater than 1.00 indicates that student enrollment is increasing from one grade to the next. Conversely, a cohort survival factor less than 1.00 indicates that student enrollment is decreasing from one grade to the next. Dolinka Group calculated the grade-to-grade progression of students over past four (4) school years within each elementary school, junior high school, and high school attendance area, which are summarized in Table 7. Please note that for students enrolled in transitional kindergarten, it was assumed that 100 percent of these students will transition to kindergarten in the following school year, and as such, cohort survival factors were not applied to these students.


Table 7 Cohort Survival Factors

School K to 1st 1st to 2nd

2nd to 3rd 3rd to 4th 4th to 5th 5th to 6th

Ardenwood ES 107.2% 97.7% 97.3% 102.7% 93.7% 94.2%

Azevada ES 97.1% 86.2% 100.1% 97.5% 102.0% 98.7%

Blacow ES 105.9% 91.9% 90.8% 95.8% 94.8% 100.1%

Brier ES 97.0% 96.9% 95.3% 96.8% 94.9% 96.4%

Brookvale ES 108.8% 103.4% 106.8% 105.3% 105.8% 103.6%

Cabrillo ES 96.9% 98.1% 104.6% 97.1% 101.2% 104.6%

Chadbourne ES 111.4% 106.8% 107.9% 103.0% 102.5% 105.2%

Durham ES 110.6% 94.4% 101.5% 102.0% 108.7% 99.9%

Forest Park ES 102.3% 98.8% 100.9% 98.8% 99.3% 90.2%

Glenmoor ES 108.0% 97.7% 100.9% 99.0% 100.3% 104.0%

Gomes ES 113.3% 110.0% 103.4% 104.3% 106.9% 99.6%

Green ES 119.4% 101.5% 100.8% 104.6% 103.3% 107.9%

Grimmer ES 102.9% 103.5% 101.5% 94.7% 106.4% 94.4%

Hirsch ES 115.0% 106.4% 107.1% 102.6% 110.0% 115.2%

Leitch ES 109.4% 102.9% 98.3% N/A N/A N/A

Maloney ES 108.8% 93.4% 87.8% 98.2% 96.1% 96.6%

Mattos ES 117.9% 109.9% 103.9% 106.7% 99.0% 100.8%

Millard ES 104.2% 102.9% 100.7% 98.4% 101.2% 93.1%

Mission San Jose ES 98.3% 104.4% 104.9% 104.8% 103.5% 103.7%

Mission Valley ES 115.3% 110.9% 103.6% 103.8% 103.3% 107.1%

Niles ES 109.1% 101.2% 102.7% 94.4% 98.5% 95.5%

Oliveira ES 105.7% 110.0% 100.4% 100.3% 99.6% 106.4%

Parkmont ES 101.1% 98.4% 98.1% 99.3% 98.0% 97.9%

Patterson ES 108.6% 95.8% 105.7% 97.4% 107.7% 98.9%

Vallejo Mill ES 114.1% 97.7% 102.0% 104.9% 98.2% 101.7%

Warm Springs ES N/A N/A 98.3% 102.6% 98.4% 100.6%

Warwick ES 100.0% 103.9% 96.2% 102.4% 95.1% 104.1%

Weibel ES 111.5% 104.9% 102.4% 101.8% 99.2% 100.8%

6th to 7th 7th to 8th Centerville JHS 96.8% 99.9% Hopkins JHS 102.3% 100.4% Horner JHS 101.7% 103.3% Thornton JHS 97.3% 99.6% Walters JHS 93.7% 98.6%

8th to 9th 9th to 10th

10th to 11th

11th to 12th

American HS 103.2% 98.3% 96.2% 99.6%

Irvington HS 107.2% 100.1% 96.3% 96.7%

Kennedy HS 101.7% 100.1% 95.5% 98.4% Mission San Jose HS 102.2% 99.2% 97.8% 99.0%

Washington HS 104.5% 98.8% 94.4% 98.8%


B. Birth Rates

In order to more accurately project the number of students enrolled in the School District for any given year, information on the total births within ZIP codes served by the School District from 2000 through 2012 was obtained from the California Department of Public Health ("CDPH").

Table 8

Actual Birth Rates as reported by CDPH

Birth Year Births[1] Kindergarten

Year Kindergarten Enrollment

Kindergarten Percent of

Births

2001 3,139 2006 2,269 66.11%

2002 3,427 2007 2,419 77.06%

2003 3,241 2008 2,455 71.64%

2004 3,172 2009 2,617 80.75%

2005 3,166 2010 2,601 82.00%

2006 2,991 2011 2,479 78.30%

2007 3,127 2012 2,695 90.10%

2008 3,048 2013 2,798 89.48%

2009 3,052 2014 2,982 97.83%

Average 82.20%

[1] Information on actual births in ZIP codes 94536, 94538, 94539, and 94555 obtained from CPDH.

In order to project kindergarten enrollment for the Study Period, information on actual births in the ZIP codes served by the School District through calendar 2012 from CDPH were reviewed and data on actual/projected births for the County were obtained from the California Department of Finance ("DOF") for calendar years 2013 through 2018. A summary of the actual and projected birth rates for the School District is shown in Table 9.


Table 9 Actual and Projected Birth Rates as reported by DOF

Birth Year School District

Births[1] County Births[2]

Kindergarten

Year Birth Rate[3]

2009 3,052 N/A 2014 N/A

2010 2,855 N/A 2015 93.55%

2011 2,869 N/A 2016 100.49%

2012 2,936 19,550 2017 102.34%

2013 N/A 19,126 2018 97.83%

2014 N/A 19,229 2019 100.54%

2015 N/A 19,304 2020 100.39%

2016 N/A 19,372 2021 100.35%

2017 N/A 19,435 2022 100.33%

2018 N/A 19,508 2023 100.38%

2019 N/A 19,525 2024 100.09% [1] Birth information from the CDPH for ZIP codes 94536, 94538, 94539, and 94555. [2] Actual and projected births documented for the County of Alameda by DOF. [3] Birth rates are based on School District births for 2008 through 2012 and based on County Births for 2013 through 2018.

C. Student Generation Rates

In order to estimate future student enrollment, Dolinka Group applied SGRs calculated for the School District to the future units. The Study utilizes student generation rates calculated by Dolinka Group for the School District's School Facilities Needs Analysis dated April 17, 2014. Table 10 shows the SGRs by unit type and school level.

Table 10

Student Generation Rates

School Level SFD Units MFA Units

Transitional Kindergarten 0.0068 0.0056

Elementary School (Grades K-6) 0.4237 0.1808

Junior High School (Grades 7-8) 0.0940 0.0327

High School (Grades 9-12) 0.1553 0.0516

Total 0.6798 0.2707


D. Residential Development

Based on information provided by the City and County, the School District currently has 10,082 residential units planned within its boundaries, excluding age-restricted residential units. Tables 11 shows the projected absorption of residential units by year, while Map 5 details the residential projects and the number of units planned with respect to each project within the School District. (Please note that residential development is expected to continue beyond the period of this Study.)

Table 11

Residential Absorption

Year

Single Family Detached

Units

Multifamily Attached

Units

Total Residential

Units

2015 126 249 375

2016 264 577 841

2017 200 953 1,153

2018 188 1,254 1,442

2019 156 1,250 1,406

2020 100 1,250 1,350

2021 0 850 850

2022 0 850 850

Total 1,034 7,233 8,267

MISSION BL

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GRIMMER BL

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T AV

OSGOOD RD

S GRIMMER BL

PERALTA BL

AUTO MALL PW

CUSHING PW

CHERRY ST

WASHINGTON BL

BOYCE RD

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DRISCOLL RD

WARM SPRINGS BL

DURHAM RD

DEEP CREEKRD

OLIVE AV

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E WARREN AV

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PALOMA RD

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59

Fremont Unified School DistrictFuture Residential Development

µ

0 0.75 1.5 2.25 30.375Miles

December 2014

Fremont Unified School DistrictNeighboring School DistrictsResidential Development

Map ID Project Unit Type Units1 Patterson Ranch SFD 5002 Terra Bella MF 633 Beachwood SFA 184 Fremont Decoto Townhomes MIX 385 Decoto Villas MF 166 Decoto Crossing SFD 107 Alder Avenue Subdivision SFD 168 Chin Subdivision SFD 29 Artist Walk MF 18510 Granite Ridge Mix 12611 Peralta Crossing MF 4612 Talamore - Warmington Group SFD 1613 Habitat @ Central MF 3014 Pepper Tree Development MF 1415 Aurora Spring Grove MF 1516 Central Avenue Townhomes MF 2717 Oracle Common MF 818 Downtown Community Plan Mix 1,97119 State Street Mixed Use Project MF 14520 Capitol Villas MF 4421 Mission Townhomes MF 1622 Niles Lux Homes - Grimmer SFD 323 Deer Road Homes SFD 1024 Niles Gateway Mixed-Use MF 9825 US Gypsum Site MIX 45126 Mission Villas Duets MF 1627 Shannon Townhomes MF 2528 Walnut Residences MF 87629 Mission Boulevard Townhomes MF 3330 Mission Stevenson MF 8031 Stevenson Place MF 6632 Stevenson PL City-Park GPA MF 6934 Warmington Connolly Center PRP MF 9235 High Town Square MF 1036 Union Street Townhomes MF 1237 Central Park Terraces SFD 14538 Mission Place Condos MF 2439 Casa Bella - TR 8119 MIX 1740 Laguna Commons MF 6441 Villas at Florio MF 2242 Montavo Townhomes MIX 1043 Lunare Townhomes MF 3844 Osgood Residences MF 10045 Washington Boulevard SFD 1446 Tract 8111 - Hirsch Property SFD 3247 Mission Olive homes SFD 648 Hobbs Residential PRP SFD 4349 Bringurst Property PD SFD 2349 Dias Planned District SFD 2250 Mission Creek NSFD Tract 8106 SFD 3951 Palm Avenue Planned District SFD 3152 Palmdale Estates SFD 7953 Mill Creek Chateau SFD 354 SVD - Bryant Street MIX 355 Traviso SFD 1656 Sabercat Neighborhood Center MF 15857 Warm Springs Community Plan MF 3,99758 Hackamore Planned District SFD 3459 Maple Commons SFD 15

10,082Total


IV. Districtwide Enrollment Projection All of the items analyzed in prior sections were employed to project the number of students within the School District in the Study Period.

Cohort survival factors were incorporated to determine the percentage of students in any given year who matriculate to enter the next grade in the following year. Secondly, birth rates and new residential development were incorporated into the projection to project new students entering the School District. Utilizing these inputs and methods, student enrollment of the School District is projected to continue to increase in school year 2021/2022. As shown below in Graph 2, the student enrollment of the School District is projected to grow by 12.56 percent to 38,198 students by the end of the Study Period.

Graph 2 Student Enrollment Projections by School Year

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

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Pro

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School Year


A. Elementary School Enrollment Projection

At the elementary school level, enrollment is projected to increase from 19,148 students in School Year 2014/2015 to 20,187 students in school year 2021/2022, equating to a 5.43 percent growth. Of the 28 elementary schools, 16 schools are projected to experience student enrollment growth by the end of the Study Period. Table 12 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade, while Exhibit B provides more detailed information on the enrollment projections by school of attendance.

Table 12 Projected Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022

Grade 2014/2015 Enrollment

2021/2022 Enrollment

Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Grade TK 450 471 21 4.66% Grade K 2,445 2,550 105 4.31% Grade 1 2,585 2,723 138 5.35% Grade 2 2,624 2,745 122 4.65% Grade 3 2,641 2,750 109 4.14% Grade 4 2,658 2,788 130 4.87% Grade 5 2,649 2,747 98 3.68% Grade 6 2,499 2,763 264 10.56% SDC 597 649 52 8.74% Grand Total 19,148 20,187 1,039 5.43%

1. Ardenwood Elementary School

The enrollment of Ardenwood Elementary School ("Ardenwood") is projected to increase from 965 students in school year 2014/2015 to 966 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected 2015/2016 FUSD Capacity Summary ("Capacity Summary") prepared by the School District, Ardenwood will have a program capacity of 1,012 seats. Table 13 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 13

Projected Ardenwood Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 24 23 (1) Grade K 143 136 (7) Grade 1 140 127 (13) Grade 2 120 127 7 Grade 3 120 130 10 Grade 4 150 159 9 Grade 5 149 139 (10) Grade 6 119 125 6 SDC 0 0 0 Grand Total 965 966 1 Percent Change 0.09%


2. Azevada Elementary School

The enrollment of Azevada Elementary School ("Azevada") is projected to increase from 580 students in school year 2014/2015 to 631 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Azevada has a current program capacity of 578 seats. Table 14 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 14

Projected Azevada Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 94 93 (1) Grade 1 110 89 (21) Grade 2 97 86 (11) Grade 3 60 90 30 Grade 4 81 94 13 Grade 5 45 69 24 Grade 6 71 87 16 SDC 22 24 2 Grand Total 580 631 51 Percent Change 8.76%

3. Blacow Elementary School

The enrollment of Blacow Elementary School ("Blacow") is projected to decrease from 443 students in school year 2014/2015 to 416 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Blacow has a current program capacity of 654 seats. Table 15 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 15

Projected Blacow Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 23 22 (1) Grade K 47 45 (2) Grade 1 55 53 (2) Grade 2 44 45 1 Grade 3 62 56 (6) Grade 4 75 64 (11) Grade 5 51 43 (8) Grade 6 56 53 (3) SDC 30 35 5 Grand Total 443 416 (27) Percent Change (6.03%)


4. Brier Elementary School

The enrollment of Brier Elementary School ("Brier") is projected to decrease from 763 students in school year 2014/2015 to 686 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Brier has a current program capacity of 812 seats. Table 16 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 16

Projected Brier Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 43 42 (1) Grade K 102 98 (4) Grade 1 111 99 (12) Grade 2 106 95 (11) Grade 3 113 99 (14) Grade 4 107 84 (23) Grade 5 97 87 (10) Grade 6 83 80 (3) SDC 1 1 (0) Grand Total 763 686 (77) Percent Change (10.07%)

5. Brookvale Elementary School

The enrollment of Brookvale Elementary School ("Brookvale") is projected to increase from 655 students in school year 2014/2015 to 797 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Brookvale has a current program capacity of 654 seats. Table 17 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 17

Projected Brookvale Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 92 90 (2) Grade K 97 93 (4) Grade 1 56 79 23 Grade 2 83 90 7 Grade 3 61 80 19 Grade 4 90 117 27 Grade 5 82 103 21 Grade 6 60 108 48 SDC 34 37 3 Grand Total 655 797 142 Percent Change 21.65%


6. Cabrillo Elementary School

The enrollment of Cabrillo Elementary School ("Cabrillo") is projected to decrease from 384 students in school year 2014/2015 to 327 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Cabrillo has a current program capacity of 488 seats. Table 18 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 18

Projected Cabrillo Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 44 42 (2) Grade 1 63 52 (11) Grade 2 50 43 (7) Grade 3 48 41 (7) Grade 4 55 40 (15) Grade 5 47 37 (10) Grade 6 40 39 (1) SDC 37 33 (4) Grand Total 384 327 (57) Percent Change (14.96%)

7. Chadbourne Elementary School

The enrollment of Chadbourne Elementary School ("Chadbourne") is projected to increase from 844 students in school year 2014/2015 to 923 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Chadbourne has a current program capacity of 862 seats. Table 19 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 19

Projected Chadbourne Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 96 106 10 Grade 1 106 127 21 Grade 2 114 141 27 Grade 3 115 132 17 Grade 4 119 130 11 Grade 5 150 139 (11) Grade 6 120 122 2 SDC 24 25 1 Grand Total 844 923 79 Percent Change 9.41%


8. Durham Elementary School

The enrollment of Durham Elementary School ("Durham") is projected to increase from 512 students in school year 2014/2015 to 754 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Durham has a current program capacity of 536 seats. Table 20 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 20

Projected Durham Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 46 46 0 Grade K 92 100 8 Grade 1 71 99 28 Grade 2 68 105 37 Grade 3 59 95 36 Grade 4 58 93 35 Grade 5 58 104 46 Grade 6 60 111 51 SDC 0 0 0 Grand Total 512 754 242 Percent Change 47.27%

9. Forest Park Elementary School

The enrollment of Forest Park Elementary School ("Forest Park") is projected to increase from 1,029 students in school year 2014/2015 to 1,050 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Forest Park has a current program capacity of 1,022 seats. Table 21 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 21

Projected Forest Park Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 120 114 (6) Grade 1 140 142 2 Grade 2 174 185 11 Grade 3 150 159 9 Grade 4 149 144 (5) Grade 5 150 152 2 Grade 6 146 154 8 SDC 0 0 0 Grand Total 1,029 1,050 22 Percent Change 2.10%


10. Glenmoor Elementary School

The enrollment of Glenmoor Elementary School ("Glenmoor") is projected to decrease from 659 students in school year 2014/2015 to 576 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Glenmoor has a current program capacity of 714 seats. Table 22 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 22

Projected Glenmoor Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 96 95 (1) Grade 1 84 79 (5) Grade 2 97 77 (20) Grade 3 90 78 (12) Grade 4 89 77 (12) Grade 5 88 66 (22) Grade 6 89 77 (12) SDC 26 27 1 Grand Total 659 576 (83) Percent Change (12.60%)

11. Gomes Elementary School

The enrollment of Gomes Elementary School ("Gomes") is projected to decrease from 780 students in school year 2014/2015 to 648 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Gomes has a current program capacity of 934 seats. Table 23 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 23

Projected Gomes Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 44 44 (0) Grade K 72 69 (3) Grade 1 80 70 (10) Grade 2 60 61 1 Grade 3 115 90 (25) Grade 4 120 96 (24) Grade 5 149 97 (52) Grade 6 118 97 (21) SDC 22 24 2 Grand Total 780 648 (132) Percent Change (16.98%)


12. Green Elementary School

The enrollment of Green Elementary School ("Green") is projected to increase from 447 students in school year 2014/2015 to 511 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Green has a current program capacity of 500 seats. Table 24 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 24

Projected Green Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 24 24 0 Grade K 48 46 (2) Grade 1 56 62 6 Grade 2 74 76 2 Grade 3 69 77 8 Grade 4 60 66 6 Grade 5 60 72 12 Grade 6 61 63 2 SDC 25 26 1 Grand Total 477 511 34 Percent Change 7.06%

13. Grimmer Elementary School

The enrollment of Grimmer Elementary School ("Grimmer") is projected to increase from 373 students in school year 2014/2015 to 374 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Grimmer has a current program capacity of 536 seats. Table 25 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 25

Projected Grimmer Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 40 44 4 Grade 1 51 54 3 Grade 2 54 52 (2) Grade 3 56 49 (7) Grade 4 46 48 2 Grade 5 48 46 (2) Grade 6 46 49 3 SDC 32 32 0 Grand Total 373 374 1 Percent Change 0.15%


14. Hirsch Elementary School

The enrollment of Hirsch Elementary School ("Hirsch") is projected to increase from 540 students in school year 2014/2015 to 578 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Hirsch has a current program capacity of 556 seats. Table 26 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 26

Projected Hirsch Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 48 48 0 Grade 1 83 81 (2) Grade 2 89 96 7 Grade 3 90 90 (0) Grade 4 89 101 12 Grade 5 60 72 12 Grade 6 60 68 8 SDC 21 22 1 Grand Total 540 578 38

Percent Change 7.09%

15. Leitch Elementary School

The enrollment of Leitch Elementary School ("Leitch") is projected to decrease from 1,076 students in school year 2014/2015 to 817 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Leitch has a current program capacity of 804 seats. Table 27 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade. Please note that the projected decrease at Leitch is primarily due the completion of the modernization of Warm Springs Elementary School ("Warm Springs") by school year 2016/2017 with third grade students returning to Warm Springs from Leitch.

Table 27

Projected Leitch Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 259 248 (11) Grade 1 280 242 (38) Grade 2 270 253 (17) Grade 3 240 48 (192) Grade 4 N/A N/A N/A Grade 5 N/A N/A N/A Grade 6 N/A N/A N/A SDC 27 26 (1) Grand Total 1,076 817 (259) Percent Change (24.08%)


16. Maloney Elementary School

The enrollment of Maloney Elementary School ("Maloney") is projected to increase from 598 students in school year 2014/2015 to 618 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Maloney has a current program capacity of 612 seats. Table 28 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 28

Projected Maloney Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 23 22 (1) Grade K 72 69 (3) Grade 1 83 92 9 Grade 2 116 108 (8) Grade 3 83 93 10 Grade 4 77 77 0 Grade 5 59 66 7 Grade 6 60 66 6 SDC 25 26 1 Grand Total 598 618 20 Percent Change 3.27%

17. Mattos Elementary School

The enrollment of Mattos Elementary School ("Mattos") is projected to increase from 618 students in school year 2014/2015 to 631 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Mattos has a current program capacity of 570 seats. Table 29 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 29

Projected Mattos Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 73 72 (1) Grade 1 83 83 0 Grade 2 90 94 4 Grade 3 88 90 2 Grade 4 84 82 (2) Grade 5 84 91 7 Grade 6 58 63 5 SDC 58 55 (3) Grand Total 618 631 13 Percent Change 2.03%


18. Millard Elementary School

The enrollment of Millard Elementary School ("Millard") is projected to decrease from 599 students in school year 2014/2015 to 565 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Millard has a current program capacity of 708 seats. Table 30 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 30

Projected Millard Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 72 69 (3) Grade 1 78 76 (2) Grade 2 91 69 (23) Grade 3 88 73 (15) Grade 4 88 72 (16) Grade 5 68 79 11 Grade 6 73 86 13 SDC 41 42 1 Grand Total 599 565 (35) Percent Change (5.78%)

19. Mission San Jose Elementary School

The enrollment of Mission San Jose Elementary School ("MSJES") is projected to decrease from 622 students in school year 2014/2015 to 496 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, MSJES has a current program capacity of 702 seats. Table 31 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 31

Projected MSJES Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 21 21 (0) Grade K 68 66 (2) Grade 1 56 60 4 Grade 2 87 78 (9) Grade 3 90 67 (23) Grade 4 90 61 (29) Grade 5 90 62 (28) Grade 6 120 82 (38) SDC 0 0 0 Grand Total 622 496 (126) Percent Change (20.29%)


20. Mission Valley Elementary School

The enrollment of Mission Valley Elementary School ("Mission Valley") is projected to decrease from 643 students in school year 2014/2015 to 574 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Mission Valley has a current program capacity of 852 seats. Table 32 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 32

Projected Mission Valley Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 48 48 0 Grade 1 84 74 (10) Grade 2 60 69 9 Grade 3 90 71 (19) Grade 4 91 82 (9) Grade 5 118 88 (30) Grade 6 119 106 (13) SDC 33 35 2 Grand Total 643 574 (69) Percent Change (10.81%)

21. Niles Elementary School

The enrollment of Niles Elementary School ("Niles") is projected to increase from 601 students in school year 2014/2015 to 714 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Niles has a current program capacity of 626 seats. Table 33 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 33

Projected Niles Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 95 93 (2) Grade 1 83 109 26 Grade 2 104 111 7 Grade 3 90 98 8 Grade 4 88 110 22 Grade 5 70 101 31 Grade 6 71 92 21 SDC 0 0 0 Grand Total 601 714 113 Percent Change 18.77%


22. Oliveira Elementary School

The enrollment of Oliveira Elementary School ("Oliveira") is projected to increase from 702 students in school year 2014/2015 to 832 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Oliveira has a current program capacity of 648 seats. Table 34 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 34

Projected Oliveira Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)


23. Parkmont Elementary School

The enrollment of Parkmont Elementary School ("Parkmont") is projected to decrease from 920 students in school year 2014/2015 to 901 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Parkmont has a current program capacity of 906 seats. Table 35 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 35

Projected Parkmont Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 45 44 (1) Grade K 123 117 (6) Grade 1 111 111 0 Grade 2 120 103 (17) Grade 3 119 114 (5) Grade 4 120 133 13 Grade 5 144 138 (6) Grade 6 138 140 2 SDC 0 0 0 Grand Total 920 901 (19) Percent Change (2.10%)


24. Patterson Elementary School

The enrollment of Patterson Elementary School ("Patterson") is projected to decrease from 617 students in school year 2014/2015 to 592 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Patterson has a current program capacity of 664 seats. Table 36 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 36

Projected Patterson Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 78 76 (2) Grade 1 110 114 4 Grade 2 86 73 (13) Grade 3 83 86 3 Grade 4 90 76 (14) Grade 5 60 63 3 Grade 6 90 83 (7) SDC 20 22 2 Grand Total 617 592 (26) Percent Change (4.13%)

25. Vallejo Mill Elementary School

The enrollment of Vallejo Mill Elementary School ("Vallejo Mill") is projected to increase from 552 students in school year 2014/2015 to 655 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Vallejo Mill has a current program capacity of 672 seats. Table 37 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 37

Projected Vallejo Mill Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)



26. Warm Springs Elementary School

The enrollment of Warm Springs is projected to increase from 861 students in school year 2014/2015 to 998 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Warm Springs has a current program capacity of 1,032 seats. Table 38 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade. Please note that the projected increase at Warm Springs is primarily due the completion of the modernization of Warm Springs by school year 2016/2017 with third grade students returning from Leitch.

Table 38

Projected Warm Springs Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK N/A N/A N/A Grade K N/A N/A N/A Grade 1 N/A N/A N/A Grade 2 N/A N/A N/A Grade 3 60 211 151 Grade 4 259 267 8 Grade 5 268 238 (30) Grade 6 266 273 7 SDC 8 8 0 Grand Total 861 998 137 Percent Change 15.92%

27. Warwick Elementary School

The enrollment of Warwick Elementary School ("Warwick") is projected to decrease from 860 students in school year 2014/2015 to 842 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Warwick has a current program capacity of 996 seats. Table 39 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 39

Projected Warwick Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 0 0 Grade K 119 115 (4) Grade 1 110 109 (1) Grade 2 103 108 5 Grade 3 103 103 (0) Grade 4 120 116 (4) Grade 5 141 125 (16) Grade 6 111 114 3 SDC 53 54 1 Grand Total 860 842 (18) Percent Change (2.05%)


28. Weibel Elementary School

The enrollment of Weibel Elementary School ("Weibel") is projected to decrease from 862 students in school year 2014/2015 to 732 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Weibel has a current program capacity of 958 seats. Table 40 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 40

Projected Weibel Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 45 43 (2) Grade K 91 88 (3) Grade 1 112 88 (24) Grade 2 89 78 (11) Grade 3 119 88 (31) Grade 4 113 89 (24) Grade 5 149 130 (19) Grade 6 119 105 (14) SDC 25 24 (1) Grand Total 862 732 (130) Percent Change (15.07%)

29. Unassigned Elementary School

Currently, there are several future residential developments which have not been assigned to an elementary school (i.e., Capitol Villas, Downtown Community Plan, State Street Mixed Use Project, and the US Gypsum Site). These four residential projects will consist of 2,611 residential units and are projected to produce 554 elementary school students through 2021/2022. These students have not been assigned to any elementary school.

Table 41

Projected Unassigned Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK N/A 13 N/A Grade K N/A 72 N/A Grade 1 N/A 77 N/A Grade 2 N/A 76 N/A Grade 3 N/A 75 N/A Grade 4 N/A 74 N/A Grade 5 N/A 73 N/A Grade 6 N/A 71 N/A SDC N/A 23 N/A Grand Total N/A 554 N/A Percent Change N/A


30. New South Fremont Elementary School

The School District intends to construct an as-of-yet named new elementary school within the Warm Springs Community Plan ("New South Fremont Elementary"). The Warm Springs Community Plan will consist of 3,997 residential units and is projected to be 430 students through School Year 2021/2022. Table 42 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade. Please note that the construction of the Warm Springs Community Plan is expected to continue beyond the period of the Study and the number of elementary school students identified in Table 42 represent only a portion of the projected total enrollment to be generated from the Warm Springs Community Plan through completion.

Table 42

Projected New South Fremont Elementary School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade TK 0 13 13 Grade K 0 57 57 Grade 1 0 60 60 Grade 2 0 61 61 Grade 3 0 60 60 Grade 4 0 57 57 Grade 5 0 58 58 Grade 6 0 58 58 SDC 0 7 7 Grand Total 0 430 430 Percent Change N/A

B. Junior High School Enrollment Projection

At the junior high school level, enrollment is projected to increase from 4,875 students in school year 2014/2015 to 5,927 students in school year 2021/2022. This equates to a 21.58 percent increase in student enrollment at the junior high school level. Of the five (5) junior high schools, four (4) schools are projected to experience student enrollment growth by the end of the Study Period. Table 43 shows the projected junior high school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 43 Projected Junior High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Grade 7 2,418 2,863 445 18.40% Grade 8 2,268 2,823 555 24.47% SDC 189 241 52 27.68% Grand Total 4,875 5,927 1,052 21.58%


1. Centerville Junior High School

The enrollment of Centerville Junior High School ("Centerville") is projected to increase from 963 students in school year 2014/2015 to 1,145 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Centerville has a current program capacity of 1,128 seats. Table 43 shows the projected junior high school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 44 Projected Centerville Junior High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade 7 497 564 67 Grade 8 425 532 107 SDC 41 49 8 Grand Total 963 1,145 182 Percent Change 18.91%

2. Hopkins Junior High School

The enrollment of Hopkins Junior High School ("Hopkins") is projected to decrease from 987 students in school year 2014/2015 to 874 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Hopkins has a current program capacity of 1,140 seats. Table 44 shows the projected junior high school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 45

Projected Hopkins Junior High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade 7 481 426 (55) Grade 8 493 434 (59) SDC 13 14 1 Grand Total 987 874 (113) Percent Change (11.43%)

3. Horner Junior High School

The enrollment of Horner Junior High School ("Horner") is projected to increase from 1,032 students in school year 2014/2015 to 1,397 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Horner has a current program capacity of 1,104 seats. Table 45 shows the projected junior high school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.


Table 46 Projected Horner Junior High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade 7 511 641 130 Grade 8 474 694 220 SDC 47 62 15 Grand Total 1,032 1,397 365 Percent Change 35.37%

4. Thornton Junior High School

The enrollment of Thornton Junior High School ("Thornton") is projected to increase from 1,156 students in school year 2014/2015 to 1,506 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Thornton has a current program capacity of 1,038 seats. Table 46 shows the projected junior high school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 47

Projected Thornton Junior High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade 7 585 771 186 Grade 8 537 691 154 SDC 34 44 10 Grand Total 1,156 1,506 350 Percent Change 30.31%

5. Walter Junior High School

The enrollment of Walter Junior High School ("Walter") is projected to increase from 720 students in school year 2014/2015 to 987 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Walter has a current program capacity of 876 seats. Table 47 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 48

Projected Walter Junior High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade 7 334 450 116 Grade 8 332 466 134 SDC 54 71 17 Grand Total 720 987 268 Percent Change 37.16%


C. High School Enrollment Projection

At the high school level, enrollment is projected to increase from 9,912 students in school year 2014/2015 to 12,084 students in school year 2021/2022. This equates to a 21.91 percent increase in student enrollment at the high school level. Of the five (5) high schools, four (4) schools are projected to experience student enrollment growth by the end of the Study Period. Table 49 shows the projected high school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 49 Projected High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Grade 9 2,538 2,922 384 15.13% Grade 10 2,283 2,908 625 27.37% Grade 11 2,326 2,844 518 22.26% Grade 12 2,332 2,866 534 22.89% SDC 433 546 113 26.01% Grand Total 9,912 12,085 2,173 21.92%

1. American High School

The enrollment of American High School ("American") is projected to increase from 1,985 students in school year 2014/2015 to 2,757 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, American has a current program capacity of 1,926 seats. Table 50 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 50

Projected American High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade 9 521 729 208 Grade 10 514 646 132 Grade 11 432 636 204 Grade 12 434 634 200 SDC 84 112 28 Grand Total 1,985 2,757 772 Percent Change 38.89%

2. Irvington High School

The enrollment of Irvington High School ("Irvington") is projected to increase from 2,249 students in school year 2014/2015 to 3,022 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Irvington has a current program capacity of 2,252 seats. Table 51 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.


Table 51 Projected Irvington High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)


3. Kennedy High School

The enrollment of Kennedy High School ("Kennedy") is projected to increase from 1,411 students in school year 2014/2015 to 1,714 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Kennedy has a current program capacity of 1,800 seats. Table 52 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 52

Projected Kennedy High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)


4. Mission San Jose High School

The enrollment of Mission San Jose High School ("MSJHS") is projected to decrease from 2,132 students in school year 2014/2015 to 1,980 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, MSJHS has a current program capacity of 2,364 seats. Table 53 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.


Table 53 Projected Mission San Jose High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Grade 9 533 410 (123) Grade 10 485 480 (5) Grade 11 543 485 (58) Grade 12 507 532 25 SDC 64 73 9 Grand Total 2,132 1,980 (151) Percent Change (7.09)%

5. Washington High School

The enrollment of Washington High School ("Washington") is projected to increase from 1,832 students in school year 2014/2015 to 2,308 students in school year 2021/2022. Based on the projected Capacity Summary prepared by the School District, Washington has a current program capacity of 2,124 seats. Table 54 shows the projected elementary school enrollment in school year 2021/2022 by grade.

Table 54

Projected Washington High School Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)


D. Summary of Enrollment Projections by High School Attendance Area

The enrollment projections have been summarized by high school attendance area in order to help the School District visualize areas of growth and decline.

1. American High School Attendance Area

The American High School Attendance Area consists of Ardenwood, Brookvale, Forest Park, Oliveira, Patterson, and Warwick elementary schools, Thornton Junior High School, and American High School. Enrollment within the American High School Attendance Area is projected to increase from 7,969 students in school year 2014/2015 to 9,330 students in school year 2021/2022. Table 55 shows the projected enrollment of the American High School Attendance Area in school year 2021/2022 by facility.


Table 55 American High School Attendance Area Projected Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Ardenwood ES 965 954 (11) (1.16%) Brookvale ES 655 797 142 21.65% Forest Park ES 1,029 1,050 21 2.04% Oliveira ES 702 832 130 18.58% Patterson ES 617 592 (26) (4.13%) Warwick ES 860 842 (18) (2.05%) Subtotal Elementary 4,828 5,067 239 4.95% Thornton JHS 1,156 1,506 350 30.31% American HS 1,985 2,757 772 38.89% Subtotal Secondary 3,141 4,263 1,122 35.73% Grand Total 7,969 9,330 1,361 17.08%

2. Irvington High School Attendance Area

The Irvington High School Attendance Area consists of Green, Grimmer, Hirsch, Leitch, Warm Springs, and Weibel elementary schools, Horner Junior High School, and Irvington High School. Enrollment within the Irvington High School Attendance Area is projected to increase from 7,470 students in school year 2014/2015 to 8,429 students in school year 2021/2022. Table 56 shows the projected enrollment of the Irvington High School Attendance Area in school year 2021/2022 by facility.

Table 56 Irvington High School Attendance Area Projected Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Green ES 477 511 34 7.06% Grimmer ES 373 374 1 0.15% Hirsch ES 540 578 38 7.09% Leitch ES 1,076 817 (259) (24.08%) Warm Springs ES 861 998 137 15.92% Weibel ES 862 732 (130) (15.07%) Subtotal Elementary 4,189 4,010 (179) (4.28%) Horner JHS 1,032 1,397 365 35.37% Irvington HS 2,249 3,022 773 34.37% Subtotal Secondary 3,281 4,419 1,138 34.68% Total 7,470 8,429 959 12.83%

3. Kennedy High School Attendance Area

The Kennedy High School Attendance Area consists of Azevada, Blacow, Brier, Durham, Mattos, and Millard elementary schools, the New South Fremont Elementary School, Walters Junior High School, and Kennedy High School. Enrollment within the Kennedy High School Attendance Area is projected to increase from 5,647 students in school year 2014/2015 to 6,814 students in school year 2021/2022. Table 57 shows the projected enrollment of the Kennedy High School Attendance Area in school year 2021/2022 by facility.


Table 57 Kennedy High School Attendance Area Projected Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Azevada ES 580 631 51 8.76% Blacow ES 443 416 (27) (6.03%) Brier ES 763 686 (77) (10.07%) Durham ES 512 754 242 47.27% Mattos ES 618 631 13 2.03% Millard ES 599 565 (35) (5.78%) New South Fremont 0 430 430 N/A Subtotal Elementary 3,516 4,113 597 16.99% Walters JHS 720 987 267 37.08% Kennedy HS 1,411 1,714 303 21.47% Subtotal Secondary 2,131 2,701 570 26.75% Total 5,647 6,814 1,167 20.67%

4. Mission San Jose High School Attendance Area

The Mission San Jose High School Attendance Area consists of Chadbourne, Gomes, Mission San Jose, and Mission Valley elementary schools, Hopkins Junior High School, and Mission San Jose High School. Enrollment within the Mission San Jose High School Attendance Area is projected to decrease from 6,008 students in school year 2014/2015 to 5,495 students in school year 2021/2022. Table 58 shows the projected enrollment of the Mission San Jose High School Attendance Area in school year 2021/2022 by facility.

Table 58

Mission San Jose High School Attendance Area Projected Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Chadbourne ES 844 923 79 9.41% Gomes ES 780 648 (132) (16.92%) Mission San Jose ES 622 496 (126) (20.29%) Mission Valley ES 643 574 (69) (10.81%) Subtotal Elementary 2,889 2,641 (248) (8.60%) Hopkins JHS 987 874 (113) (11.45%) Mission San Jose HS 2,132 1,980 (152) (7.13%) Subtotal Secondary 3,119 2,854 (265) (8.50%) Total 6,008 5,495 (513) (8.55%)

5. Washington High School Attendance Area

The Washington High School Attendance Area consists of Cabrillo, Glenmoor, Maloney, Niles, Parkmont, and Vallejo Mill elementary schools, Centerville Junior High School, and Washington High School. Enrollment within the Washington High School Attendance Area is projected to increase from 6,509 students in school year 2014/2015 to 7,244 students in school year 2021/2022. Table 59 shows the projected enrollment of the Washington High School Attendance Area in school year 2021/2022 by facility.


Table 59 Washington High School Attendance Area Projected Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Cabrillo ES 384 327 (57) (14.96%) Glenmoor ES 659 576 (83) (12.60%) Maloney ES 598 618 20 3.27% Niles ES 601 714 113 18.77% Parkmont ES 920 901 (19) (2.07%) Vallejo Mill ES 552 655 103 18.70% Subtotal Elementary 3,714 3,791 76 2.05% Centerville JHS 963 1,145 182 18.90% Washington HS 1,832 2,308 476 25.98% Subtotal Secondary 2,795 3,453 658 23.54% Total 6,509 7,244 735 11.29%

6. Other School Facilities/Unassigned

The School District provides alternative education options through its facilities and programs (i.e., College Connection, Robertson High School, and Vista Alternative). Additionally, as mentioned previously, currently there are four (4) future residential developments which have not been assigned to an elementary school attendance area yet. Projected future elementary school students from these developments are classified as having an unidentified attendance area. Lastly, non-public sectarian students are also included in this calculation. Enrollment within the Other School Facilities/Unassigned Attendance Area ("Other/Unassigned Attendance Area") is projected to increase from 332 students in school year 2014/2015 to 886 students in school year 2021/2022. Table 60 shows the projected enrollment of the Other/Unassigned Attendance Area in school year 2021/2022 by facility.

Table 60

Other/Unassigned Attendance Area Projected Enrollment through 2021/2022



Growth/ (Decline)

Percentage Change

Unassigned 0 554 554 N/A Non-Public School 12 12 0 N/A Subtotal Elementary 12 566 554 N/A College Connection 23 23 0 N/A Robertson HS 203 203 0 N/A Vista Alternative 55 55 0 N/A Non-Public School 39 39 0 N/A Subtotal Secondary 320 320 0 N/A Total 332 886 554 N/A

Exhibit A

Elementary School Attendance Information

Fremont Unified School DistrictElemenetary School Attendance InformationSchool of Enrollment vs. School of Attendance

School of Residence Ard

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Ardenwood ES 916 9 8 8 20 15 0 1 1 1 0 0 6 1 0 0 5 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 996

Brookvale ES 0 470 0 35 12 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 14 0 2 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 549

Forest Park ES 36 47 1,019 75 16 25 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 1 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 2 3 0 0 1 2 1,241

Oliveira ES 1 64 0 521 17 5 2 1 1 1 1 0 8 1 1 0 6 1 1 5 0 1 3 0 4 1 1 3 650

Patterson ES 2 25 0 11 523 28 1 3 2 0 0 3 9 4 3 1 51 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 5 0 0 4 683

Warwick ES 5 20 0 2 13 772 0 8 2 0 0 0 21 4 4 0 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 864

Green ES 0 0 0 2 0 0 414 27 12 1 5 27 10 19 5 2 2 13 4 0 2 3 1 0 1 1 0 2 553

Grimmer ES 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 220 9 2 0 10 7 1 1 2 7 3 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 279

Hirsch ES 1 0 0 2 0 0 14 17 475 14 11 45 16 15 2 6 10 5 10 4 4 7 2 0 0 0 1 2 663

Leitch/Warm Springs 0 2 0 1 0 0 10 5 4 1,036 835 93 7 0 0 3 2 2 4 8 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,024

Weibel ES 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 0 666 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 681

Azevada ES 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 1 1 0 3 292 7 5 8 50 2 2 2 0 1 0 2 4 0 0 4 389

Blacow ES 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 13 12 2 0 1 14 249 9 4 25 10 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 352

Brier ES 2 0 0 4 3 0 1 6 1 2 1 0 36 36 677 3 31 7 10 1 1 3 1 3 6 0 0 5 840

Durham ES 0 0 0 3 0 0 4 18 5 2 0 3 18 26 19 443 35 16 4 1 0 3 0 4 2 0 0 9 615

Mattos ES 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 0 1 223 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 240

Millard ES 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 8 1 1 0 4 13 15 7 5 8 492 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 563

New South Fremont ES 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6

Chadbourne ES 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 721 8 14 11 0 0 0 0 0 1 764

Gomes ES 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 15 687 6 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 724

Mission San Jose ES 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 14 20 581 9 0 0 1 0 0 0 641

Mission Valley ES 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 2 6 0 0 0 1 0 30 18 5 583 0 0 1 0 0 0 652

Cabrilo ES 0 3 0 14 6 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 12 9 2 0 27 2 2 1 0 0 310 5 5 0 2 5 413

Glenmoor ES 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 6 1 0 0 1 10 8 5 0 28 4 0 3 0 3 19 571 21 0 3 8 696

Maloney ES 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 1 0 0 6 13 0 2 46 1 0 0 0 0 6 10 400 0 7 6 505

Niles ES 1 3 0 2 1 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 10 0 1 0 5 2 3 1 1 2 2 8 4 570 7 32 660

Parkmont ES 0 4 1 7 2 1 0 10 0 2 0 0 6 12 5 26 18 18 6 1 0 0 28 44 126 17 856 41 1,231

Vallejo Mill ES 0 2 0 6 0 1 1 4 3 2 0 0 19 10 1 4 20 6 2 2 0 2 1 3 4 9 3 400 505

Unassigned 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 10 1 2 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 38 2 63

IDT 1 1 1 3 2 0 3 3 3 0 0 0 21 7 3 0 10 1 7 1 0 0 5 0 2 1 0 14 89

Unknown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 5

Total 965 655 1,029 702 616 861 477 373 540 1,076 861 862 582 443 763 512 617 598 842 780 623 643 385 659 598 602 920 552 19,136

Elementary School of Attendance

Page 1 of 1

Exhibit B

Enrollment Projections by Attendance Area

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 92014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

Ardenwood ES 965 962 952 961 969 973 959 954Azevada ES 580 592 614 627 657 652 633 631Blacow ES 443 435 430 421 418 421 418 416Brier ES 763 756 746 728 711 701 690 686Brookvale ES 655 687 711 739 762 769 802 797Cabrillo ES 384 384 374 359 350 342 329 327Chadbourne ES 844 834 823 838 879 915 925 923Durham ES 512 566 623 671 706 738 758 754Forest Park ES 1,029 1,042 1,047 1,039 1,046 1,057 1,059 1,050Glenmoor ES 659 647 626 624 613 588 579 576Gomes ES 780 756 712 693 665 666 652 648Green ES 477 478 490 496 504 508 514 511Grimmer ES 373 379 387 391 389 380 376 374Hirsch ES 540 555 577 587 584 586 581 578Leitch ES 1,076 1,042 835 816 815 817 815 817Maloney ES 598 605 614 610 617 615 621 618Mattos ES 618 625 628 630 632 634 635 631Millard ES 599 614 625 607 593 573 569 565Mission San Jose ES 622 593 565 534 508 496 500 496Mission Valley ES 643 634 614 608 582 592 578 574Niles ES 601 621 669 684 693 696 718 714Oliveira ES 702 740 772 820 824 827 838 832Parkmont ES 920 920 917 934 930 903 908 901Patterson ES 617 618 624 610 613 595 595 592Vallejo Mill ES 552 548 559 557 593 620 655 655Warm Springs ES 861 904 1,076 1,108 1,066 1,050 1,014 998Warwick ES 860 866 849 849 847 850 849 842Weibel ES 862 843 830 805 778 765 737 732Unassigned[1] 0 13 43 114 227 358 490 554New South Fremont [1] 0 0 0 55 131 226 323 430N.P.S. 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12Total 19,148 19,270 19,343 19,525 19,714 19,926 20,131 20,187

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Centerville JHS 963 1,008 1,017 1,063 1,094 1,178 1,192 1,145Hopkins JHS 987 979 1,043 1,045 986 902 845 874Horner JHS 1,032 1,167 1,285 1,301 1,366 1,400 1,396 1,397Thornton JHS 1,156 1,218 1,299 1,375 1,366 1,407 1,457 1,506Walters JHS 720 730 729 822 883 878 928 987Vista Alternative 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5N.P.S. 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12Total 4,875 5,119 5,391 5,624 5,714 5,782 5,836 5,927

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022American HS 1,985 2,080 2,213 2,315 2,467 2,597 2,663 2,757Irvington HS 2,249 2,289 2,353 2,540 2,619 2,781 2,967 3,022Kennedy HS 1,411 1,395 1,408 1,417 1,435 1,558 1,630 1,714Mission San Jose HS 2,132 2,098 2,048 2,049 2,086 2,081 2,075 1,980Washington HS 1,832 1,821 1,903 1,988 2,033 2,143 2,194 2,308College Connection 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23Robertson HS 203 203 203 203 203 203 203 203Vista Alternative 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50N.P.S. 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27Total 9,912 9,987 10,228 10,612 10,943 11,463 11,832 12,084

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Grades TK-3 11,057 10,973 10,962 11,054 11,089 11,273 11,476 11,568Grades 4-6 8,091 8,297 8,381 8,471 8,625 8,653 8,655 8,619Grades 7-8 4,875 5,119 5,391 5,624 5,714 5,782 5,836 5,927Grades 9-12 9,912 9,987 10,228 10,612 10,943 11,463 11,832 12,084Total 33,935 34,376 34,962 35,761 36,371 37,171 37,799 38,198

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Elementary School 19,148 19,270 19,343 19,525 19,714 19,926 20,131 20,187Junior High School 4,875 5,119 5,391 5,624 5,714 5,782 5,836 5,927High School 9,912 9,987 10,228 10,612 10,943 11,463 11,832 12,084Total 33,935 34,376 34,962 35,761 36,371 37,171 37,799 38,198

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Transitional Kindergarten 463 435 442 459 458 468 477 484Kindergarten 2,519 2,401 2,409 2,494 2,504 2,547 2,596 2,6271st Grade 2,662 2,709 2,599 2,617 2,715 2,724 2,767 2,8052nd Grade 2,697 2,702 2,768 2,664 2,689 2,786 2,792 2,8203rd Grade 2,716 2,725 2,744 2,821 2,723 2,748 2,843 2,8324th Grade 2,753 2,756 2,778 2,808 2,893 2,793 2,815 2,8955th Grade 2,740 2,772 2,792 2,819 2,856 2,945 2,840 2,8466th Grade 2,598 2,769 2,811 2,844 2,876 2,915 3,000 2,8797th Grade 2,520 2,592 2,777 2,821 2,864 2,887 2,925 2,9898th Grade 2,355 2,527 2,614 2,803 2,849 2,895 2,911 2,9399th Grade 2,645 2,464 2,655 2,753 2,952 2,997 3,046 3,05210th Grade 2,392 2,652 2,481 2,674 2,773 2,970 3,013 3,05211th Grade 2,431 2,381 2,640 2,478 2,665 2,760 2,947 2,97812th Grade 2,444 2,491 2,452 2,707 2,553 2,736 2,826 3,002Total 33,935 34,376 34,962 35,761 36,371 37,171 37,799 38,198

School Level Summary

Grade

Fremont Unified School DistrictEnrollment Projection (Existing Residential Units and New Development)

School of Attendance

Elementary School

Junior High School

High School

[1] Enrollment from new residential development only

Grade Level Summary

Page 1 of 21

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Ardenwood ES 965 962 952 961 969 973 959 954Brookvale ES 655 687 711 739 762 769 802 797Forest Park ES 1,029 1,042 1,047 1,039 1,046 1,057 1,059 1,050Oliveira ES 702 740 772 820 824 827 838 832Patterson ES 617 618 624 610 613 595 595 592Warwick ES 860 866 849 849 847 850 849 842Total Elementary School 4,828 4,915 4,955 5,018 5,062 5,071 5,101 5,067Thornton JHS 1,156 1,218 1,299 1,375 1,366 1,407 1,457 1,506Total Junior High School 1,156 1,218 1,299 1,375 1,366 1,407 1,457 1,506American HS 1,985 2,080 2,213 2,315 2,467 2,597 2,663 2,757Total High School 1,985 2,080 2,213 2,315 2,467 2,597 2,663 2,757Total Enrollment 7,969 8,213 8,467 8,708 8,895 9,075 9,221 9,330

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Green ES 477 478 490 496 504 508 514 511Grimmer ES 373 379 387 391 389 380 376 374Hirsch ES 540 555 577 587 584 586 581 578Leitch ES 1,076 1,042 835 816 815 817 815 817Warm Springs ES 861 904 1,076 1,108 1,066 1,050 1,014 998Weibel ES 862 843 830 805 778 765 737 732Total Elementary School 4,189 4,201 4,195 4,203 4,136 4,106 4,036 4,010Horner JHS 1,032 1,167 1,285 1,301 1,366 1,400 1,396 1,397Total Junior High School 1,032 1,167 1,285 1,301 1,366 1,400 1,396 1,397Irvington HS 2,249 2,289 2,353 2,540 2,619 2,781 2,967 3,022Total High School 2,249 2,289 2,353 2,540 2,619 2,781 2,967 3,022Total Enrollment 7,470 7,658 7,833 8,044 8,121 8,287 8,399 8,429

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Azevada ES 580 592 614 627 657 652 633 631Blacow ES 443 435 430 421 418 421 418 416Brier ES 763 756 746 728 711 701 690 686Durham ES 512 566 623 671 706 738 758 754Mattos ES 618 625 628 630 632 634 635 631Millard ES 599 614 625 607 593 573 569 565New South Fremont [1] 0 0 0 55 131 226 323 430Total Elementary School 3,516 3,588 3,666 3,739 3,848 3,945 4,026 4,113Walters JHS 720 730 729 822 883 878 928 987Total Junior High School 720 730 729 822 883 878 928 987Kennedy HS 1,411 1,395 1,408 1,417 1,435 1,558 1,630 1,714Total High School 1,411 1,395 1,408 1,417 1,435 1,558 1,630 1,714Total Enrollment 5,647 5,713 5,803 5,978 6,167 6,381 6,584 6,814

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Chadbourne ES 844 834 823 838 879 915 925 923Gomes ES 780 756 712 693 665 666 652 648Mission San Jose ES 622 593 565 534 508 496 500 496Mission Valley ES 643 634 614 608 582 592 578 574Total Elementary School 2,889 2,817 2,714 2,673 2,634 2,670 2,655 2,641Hopkins JHS 987 979 1,043 1,045 986 902 845 874Total Junior High School 987 979 1,043 1,045 986 902 845 874Mission San Jose HS 2,132 2,098 2,048 2,049 2,086 2,081 2,075 1,980Total High School 2,132 2,098 2,048 2,049 2,086 2,081 2,075 1,980Total Enrollment 6,008 5,894 5,806 5,767 5,706 5,652 5,574 5,495

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022Cabrillo ES 384 384 374 359 350 342 329 327Glenmoor ES 659 647 626 624 613 588 579 576Maloney ES 598 605 614 610 617 615 621 618Niles ES 601 621 669 684 693 696 718 714Parkmont ES 920 920 917 934 930 903 908 901Vallejo Mill ES 552 548 559 557 593 620 655 655Total Elementary School 3,714 3,725 3,759 3,768 3,796 3,764 3,810 3,791Centerville JHS 963 1,008 1,017 1,063 1,094 1,178 1,192 1,145Total Junior High School 963 1,008 1,017 1,063 1,094 1,178 1,192 1,145Washington HS 1,832 1,821 1,903 1,988 2,033 2,143 2,194 2,308Total High School 1,832 1,821 1,903 1,988 2,033 2,143 2,194 2,308Total Enrollment 6,509 6,554 6,679 6,819 6,924 7,084 7,196 7,244

2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

Unassigned[1] 0 13 43 114 227 358 490 554N.P.S. 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12Total Elementary School 12 25 55 126 239 370 502 566Vista Alternative 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5N.P.S. 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12Total Junior High School 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17College Connection 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23Robertson HS 203 203 203 203 203 203 203 203Vista Alternative 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50N.P.S. 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27Total High School 303 303 303 303 303 303 303 303Total Enrollment 332 345 375 446 559 690 822 886

Washington High School Attendance Area School

Other School Facilities/Unidentified Attendance Areas School

Irvington High School Attendance Area School

Kennedy High School Attendance Area School

Mission San Jose High School Attendance Area School

American High School Attendance Area School

Fremont Unified School DistrictEnrollment Projection (Existing Residential Units and New Development)

School of Attendance

Page 2 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 24 22 23 23 23 23 23 23

00 143 135 134 137 135 135 136 136

01 140 134 126 125 128 126 126 127

02 120 141 134 127 126 129 127 127

03 120 120 141 135 127 126 129 127

04 150 146 146 169 163 154 153 156

05 149 132 129 129 151 145 137 136

06 119 133 118 116 116 135 129 122

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 965 962 952 961 969 973 959 954

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 92 87 88 91 89 89 90 90

00 97 92 92 94 92 93 93 93

01 56 83 78 78 80 79 79 79

02 83 63 95 90 89 91 90 90

03 61 74 57 84 80 79 81 80

04 90 91 109 86 122 115 115 117

05 82 77 80 96 74 109 103 103

06 60 86 80 83 100 76 114 108

SDC 34 34 34 36 36 37 37 37

Total 655 687 711 739 762 769 802 797

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 120 114 113 115 113 113 114 114

01 140 150 142 141 143 141 141 142

02 174 184 196 185 184 188 185 185

03 150 150 157 168 159 158 161 159

04 149 134 134 141 150 142 141 144

05 150 161 145 144 152 162 154 152

06 146 150 161 145 144 152 162 154

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 1,029 1,042 1,047 1,039 1,046 1,057 1,059 1,050

Forest Park Elementary School

American High School Attendance Area

Ardenwood Elementary School

Fremont Unified School DistrictEnrollment Projections by School of Attendance

Brookvale Elementary School

Page 3 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 129 125 125 131 130 130 130 131

01 110 124 120 122 125 123 123 124

02 102 96 111 110 109 111 110 110

03 102 109 103 122 116 115 118 117

04 76 88 94 90 102 98 97 99

05 84 91 104 113 104 119 114 113

06 77 84 91 105 113 103 118 112

SDC 22 23 24 26 25 28 28 27

Total 702 740 772 820 824 827 838 832

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 78 75 75 77 76 76 76 76

01 110 118 112 112 115 113 113 114

02 86 72 76 73 72 74 73 73

03 83 101 85 91 86 85 87 86

04 90 75 90 75 78 74 74 76

05 60 76 63 77 63 67 63 63

06 90 80 100 84 100 84 87 83

SDC 20 21 21 22 22 22 22 22

Total 617 618 624 610 613 595 595 592

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 119 113 113 115 114 114 114 115

01 110 114 108 108 110 108 108 109

02 103 110 114 108 107 109 108 108

03 103 98 105 109 103 102 104 103

04 120 114 110 117 121 114 113 116

05 141 135 126 124 128 133 126 125

06 111 127 119 114 110 115 120 114

SDC 53 55 54 55 54 55 54 54

Total 860 866 849 849 847 850 849 842

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

07 585 606 663 678 656 719 705 771

08 537 576 598 656 669 647 709 691

SDC 34 36 38 41 41 41 43 44

Total 1,156 1,218 1,299 1,375 1,366 1,407 1,457 1,506

Warwick Elementary School

Thornton Junior High School

Oliveira Elementary School

Patterson Elementary School

Page 4 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

09 521 556 597 622 679 691 670 729

10 514 506 541 583 604 659 671 646

11 432 490 483 519 555 576 628 636

12 434 441 500 495 528 565 586 634

SDC 84 87 92 96 101 106 108 112

Total 1,985 2,080 2,213 2,315 2,467 2,597 2,663 2,757

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 116 109 111 114 112 112 113 113

00 686 653 651 669 660 660 663 665

01 666 722 687 687 701 691 691 694

02 668 665 725 692 688 702 692 692

03 619 651 648 708 671 667 681 671

04 675 647 683 678 737 698 694 708

05 666 673 647 684 672 735 696 691

06 603 660 669 646 683 664 731 692

SDC 129 133 133 139 138 142 141 140

Total ES 4,828 4,915 4,955 5,018 5,062 5,071 5,101 5,067

07 585 606 663 678 656 719 705 771

08 537 576 598 656 669 647 709 691

SDC 34 36 38 41 41 41 43 44

Total JHS 1,156 1,218 1,299 1,375 1,366 1,407 1,457 1,506

09 521 556 597 622 679 691 670 729

10 514 506 541 583 604 659 671 646

11 432 490 483 519 555 576 628 636

12 434 441 500 495 528 565 586 634

SDC 84 87 92 96 101 106 108 112

Total HS 1,985 2,080 2,213 2,315 2,467 2,597 2,663 2,757

Total 7,969 8,213 8,467 8,708 8,895 9,075 9,221 9,330

American High School

Total

Page 5 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 24 23 23 24 24 24 24 24

00 48 46 45 46 45 45 46 46

01 56 65 62 62 63 62 62 62

02 74 71 80 76 75 76 76 76

03 69 75 71 81 77 76 78 77

04 60 55 63 58 69 65 64 66

05 60 67 62 70 65 77 73 72

06 61 51 58 54 60 56 66 63

SDC 25 25 26 25 25 26 26 26

Total 477 478 490 496 504 508 514 511

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 40 39 40 42 44 44 44 44

01 51 51 50 51 54 54 54 54

02 54 50 51 50 51 52 52 52

03 56 53 50 50 49 48 49 49

04 46 55 51 48 49 47 47 48

05 48 50 59 56 51 48 46 46

06 46 50 53 61 57 53 51 49

SDC 32 32 33 32 33 33 32 32

Total 373 379 387 391 389 380 376 374

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 48 46 47 48 48 48 48 48

01 83 81 79 79 81 80 80 81

02 89 101 100 96 95 97 96 96

03 90 83 96 94 90 89 91 90

04 89 102 95 107 104 99 99 101

05 60 64 76 70 79 76 73 72

06 60 57 62 71 65 74 72 68

SDC 21 21 21 21 22 22 22 22

Total 540 555 577 587 584 586 581 578

Hirsch Elementary School

Grimmer Elementary School

Irvington High School Attendance Area

Green Elementary School


Page 6 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 259 246 244 249 246 246 247 248

01 280 255 242 240 245 242 241 242

02 270 293 268 254 252 257 253 253

03 240 221 56 48 48 48 48 48

04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SDC 27 26 25 25 25 25 26 26

Total 1,076 1,042 835 816 815 817 815 817

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

03 60 55 244 226 212 209 215 211

04 259 307 281 305 279 265 262 267

05 268 234 278 255 277 253 240 238

06 266 300 264 313 289 313 288 273

SDC 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8

Total 861 904 1,076 1,108 1,066 1,050 1,014 998

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 45 42 42 43 42 43 43 43

00 91 86 86 88 87 87 87 88

01 112 93 88 87 89 88 88 88

02 89 102 82 78 77 79 78 78

03 119 101 114 93 88 87 89 88

04 113 116 99 112 93 88 87 89

05 149 156 164 144 160 138 131 130

06 119 122 130 135 117 131 111 105

SDC 25 25 24 25 24 24 23 24

Total 862 843 830 805 778 765 737 732

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

07 511 592 621 608 684 641 681 641

08 474 523 608 635 622 697 653 694

SDC 47 52 56 58 60 62 62 62

Total 1,032 1,167 1,285 1,301 1,366 1,400 1,396 1,397

Horner Junior High School

Weibel Elementary School

Warm Springs Elementary School

Leitch Elementary School

Page 7 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

09 633 529 587 673 704 692 771 726

10 507 655 551 608 695 726 715 794

11 533 492 635 536 590 673 703 693

12 476 513 474 613 515 567 648 677

SDC 100 100 106 110 115 123 130 132

Total 2,249 2,289 2,353 2,540 2,619 2,781 2,967 3,022

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 69 65 66 67 66 67 67 67

00 486 463 462 474 470 470 472 474

01 582 546 522 520 532 525 525 528

02 576 616 580 553 551 561 554 554

03 634 589 631 592 564 559 570 563

04 567 635 589 631 594 564 560 571

05 585 570 640 594 633 592 562 558

06 552 581 566 634 588 627 588 558

SDC 138 138 139 137 139 139 138 137

Total ES 4,189 4,201 4,195 4,203 4,136 4,106 4,036 4,010

07 511 592 621 608 684 641 681 641

08 474 523 608 635 622 697 653 694

SDC 47 52 56 58 60 62 62 62

Total JHS 1,032 1,167 1,285 1,301 1,366 1,400 1,396 1,397

09 633 529 587 673 704 692 771 726

10 507 655 551 608 695 726 715 794

11 533 492 635 536 590 673 703 693

12 476 513 474 613 515 567 648 677

SDC 100 100 106 110 115 123 130 132

Total HS 2,249 2,289 2,353 2,540 2,619 2,781 2,967 3,022

Total 7,470 7,657 7,833 8,044 8,121 8,287 8,399 8,429

Irvington High School

Total

Page 8 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 94 90 90 92 91 92 93 93

01 110 90 86 86 88 88 88 89

02 97 107 89 85 85 87 86 86

03 60 99 107 92 90 90 91 90

04 81 64 105 111 96 93 93 94

05 45 55 39 79 87 70 69 69

06 71 64 75 58 97 108 89 87

SDC 22 23 23 23 24 24 24 24

Total 580 592 614 627 657 652 633 631

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 23 22 22 22 22 22 22 22

00 47 45 44 45 45 45 45 45

01 55 55 52 52 53 52 52 53

02 44 49 47 45 44 46 45 45

03 62 54 61 58 56 56 57 56

04 75 66 59 67 66 63 63 64

05 51 57 49 42 48 46 44 43

06 56 57 64 57 50 57 56 53

SDC 30 31 32 32 34 35 35 35

Total 443 435 430 421 418 421 418 416

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 43 40 41 42 41 41 42 42

00 102 97 96 98 97 97 98 98

01 111 104 98 98 100 98 98 99

02 106 108 101 95 95 96 95 95

03 113 109 112 105 100 99 101 99

04 107 99 95 98 88 83 83 84

05 97 111 103 98 101 93 88 87

06 83 87 99 93 89 91 85 80

SDC 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Total 763 756 746 728 711 701 690 686

Brier Elementary School

Blacow Elementary School

Kennedy High School Attendance Area

Azevada Elementary School


Page 9 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 46 44 44 46 46 46 46 46

00 92 91 94 99 99 99 100 100

01 71 95 94 96 100 99 99 99

02 68 81 105 104 104 106 105 105

03 59 61 74 97 95 94 96 95

04 58 60 63 76 96 92 92 93

05 58 68 72 74 87 110 105 104

06 60 65 77 79 79 92 116 111

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 512 566 623 671 706 738 758 754

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 73 70 69 71 71 71 72 72

01 83 85 81 81 83 82 83 83

02 90 92 97 93 93 95 94 94

03 88 89 91 95 90 89 91 90

04 84 80 78 82 84 80 80 82

05 84 93 90 88 92 96 91 91

06 58 58 64 64 61 63 67 63

SDC 58 58 57 57 58 57 56 55

Total 618 625 628 630 632 634 635 631

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 72 68 68 69 68 68 69 69

01 78 80 76 75 77 76 76 76

02 91 72 72 69 68 69 69 69

03 88 95 77 77 73 72 74 73

04 88 86 93 75 74 71 70 72

05 68 95 92 99 82 83 79 79

06 73 77 105 103 110 91 90 86

SDC 41 41 43 41 42 42 43 42

Total 599 614 625 607 593 573 569 565

Millard Elementary School

Mattos Elementary School

Durham Elementary School

Page 10 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 2 4 7 9 13

00 0 0 0 8 17 30 43 57

01 0 0 0 7 18 31 45 60

02 0 0 0 8 18 32 45 61

03 0 0 0 8 18 31 45 60

04 0 0 0 7 17 30 43 57

05 0 0 0 8 18 31 44 58

06 0 0 0 8 18 31 44 58

SDC 0 0 0 1 2 4 5 7

Total 0 0 0 55 131 226 323 430

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

07 334 322 332 404 385 396 432 450

08 332 353 341 356 434 417 427 466

SDC 54 55 56 62 64 65 69 71

Total 720 730 729 822 883 878 928 987

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

09 355 324 345 338 356 431 415 425

10 334 344 315 338 334 352 424 408

11 319 329 339 315 341 338 355 424

12 318 314 323 338 316 341 339 355

SDC 85 84 86 88 88 96 97 102

Total 1,411 1,395 1,408 1,417 1,435 1,558 1,630 1,714

[1] Please note that the construction of the Warm Springs Community Plan is expected to continue beyond the period of the Study and the number of elementary school students above represent only a portion of the projected total enrollment to be generated from the Warm Springs Community Plan through completion.

Kennedy High School

Walters Junior High School

New South Fremont Elementary School[1]

Page 11 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 112 105 107 112 113 116 119 123

00 480 460 461 482 489 503 519 534

01 508 508 488 495 518 526 541 558

02 497 509 511 498 507 531 540 555

03 470 507 522 532 522 531 554 564

04 493 456 493 516 522 514 524 547

05 403 479 444 487 514 529 520 530

06 401 409 484 462 503 533 546 538

SDC 152 155 156 155 161 163 164 164

Total ES 3,516 3,588 3,666 3,739 3,848 3,945 4,026 4,113

07 334 322 332 404 385 396 432 450

08 332 353 341 356 434 417 427 466

SDC 54 55 56 62 64 65 69 71

Total JHS 720 730 729 822 883 878 928 987

09 355 324 345 338 356 431 415 425

10 334 344 315 338 334 352 424 408

11 319 329 339 315 341 338 355 424

12 318 314 323 338 316 341 339 355

SDC 85 84 86 88 88 96 97 102

Total HS 1,411 1,395 1,408 1,417 1,435 1,558 1,630 1,714

Total 5,647 5,713 5,803 5,978 6,166 6,381 6,584 6,814

Total

Page 12 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 96 91 93 99 102 106 106 106

01 106 117 113 116 124 126 127 127

02 114 122 133 129 135 141 140 141

03 115 106 114 128 126 130 134 132

04 119 111 105 112 129 126 127 130

05 150 130 124 118 129 145 138 139

06 120 133 116 111 109 116 129 122

SDC 24 25 24 25 26 26 25 25

Total 844 834 823 838 879 915 925 923

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 44 41 42 43 43 43 44 44

00 72 68 68 70 69 69 69 69

01 80 73 69 69 70 69 69 70

02 60 70 64 61 60 61 61 61

03 115 89 104 95 90 89 91 90

04 120 123 96 110 100 96 95 96

05 149 122 126 98 113 103 98 97

06 118 148 121 124 96 111 102 97

SDC 22 22 22 24 24 24 24 24

Total 780 756 712 693 665 666 652 648

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 21 20 20 21 21 21 21 21

00 68 65 65 66 65 65 66 66

01 56 63 59 59 60 60 60 60

02 87 75 81 77 77 78 77 78

03 90 78 64 70 67 66 67 67

04 90 82 71 58 64 60 60 61

05 90 95 86 74 60 66 63 62

06 120 115 119 109 94 79 86 82

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 622 593 565 534 508 496 500 496

Gomes Elementary School

Mission San Jose Elementary School

Mission San Jose High School Attendance Area

Chadbourne Elementary School


Page 13 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 48 45 47 49 48 48 48 48

01 84 74 72 73 74 73 73 74

02 60 79 71 68 68 70 69 69

03 90 62 84 74 71 71 72 71

04 91 102 73 95 84 80 80 82

05 118 101 114 82 104 93 88 88

06 119 139 120 134 98 124 112 106

SDC 33 33 33 33 34 34 36 35

Total 643 634 614 608 582 592 578 574

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

07 481 479 541 480 482 398 429 426

08 493 487 487 550 489 489 402 434

SDC 13 13 15 15 15 14 14 14

Total 987 979 1,043 1,045 986 902 845 874

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

09 533 503 499 499 563 500 499 410

10 485 515 488 484 484 545 482 480

11 543 486 519 492 488 488 546 485

12 507 530 478 508 483 478 476 532

SDC 64 64 64 66 68 70 72 73

Total 2,132 2,098 2,048 2,049 2,086 2,081 2,075 1,980

Mission San Jose High School

Hopkins Junior High School

Mission Valley Elementary School

Page 14 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 65 61 62 64 63 64 64 65

00 284 270 274 283 284 288 289 290

01 326 326 313 316 329 328 329 330

02 321 346 349 335 340 351 347 348

03 410 335 365 367 353 356 365 360

04 420 418 344 375 377 362 361 370

05 507 448 451 372 406 407 387 386

06 477 535 476 478 397 431 428 407

SDC 79 80 79 82 84 83 85 84

Total ES 2,889 2,817 2,714 2,673 2,634 2,670 2,655 2,641

07 481 479 541 480 482 398 429 426

08 493 487 487 550 489 489 402 434

SDC 13 13 15 15 15 14 14 14

Total JHS 987 979 1,043 1,045 986 902 845 874

09 533 503 499 499 563 500 499 410

10 485 515 488 484 484 545 482 480

11 543 486 519 492 488 488 546 485

12 507 530 478 508 483 478 476 532

SDC 64 64 64 66 68 70 72 73

Total HS 2,132 2,098 2,048 2,049 2,086 2,081 2,075 1,980

Total 6,008 5,894 5,806 5,767 5,706 5,653 5,575 5,495

Total

Page 15 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 44 42 41 42 42 42 42 42

01 63 55 52 52 53 52 52 52

02 50 54 45 43 42 43 43 43

03 48 47 51 43 41 41 41 41

04 55 48 46 51 42 39 39 40

05 47 54 46 44 50 40 37 37

06 40 49 56 48 46 51 41 39

SDC 37 36 37 36 35 34 33 33

Total 384 384 374 359 350 342 329 327

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 96 91 91 95 94 95 95 95

01 84 79 76 78 80 79 79 79

02 97 83 78 76 76 78 77 77

03 90 98 84 82 78 77 79 78

04 89 88 97 84 80 75 75 77

05 88 80 80 88 75 70 66 66

06 89 102 93 94 103 87 82 77

SDC 26 26 26 27 27 27 27 27

Total 659 647 626 624 613 588 579 576

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 23 22 22 23 22 22 22 22

00 72 69 68 69 68 68 68 69

01 83 96 92 91 92 91 91 92

02 116 100 113 108 107 109 108 108

03 83 100 87 98 93 92 94 93

04 77 66 81 70 81 77 76 77

05 59 69 57 70 60 70 66 66

06 60 59 68 57 69 60 69 66

SDC 25 26 26 26 26 26 27 26

Total 598 605 614 610 617 615 621 618

Maloney Elementary School

Glenmoor Elementary School

Washington High School Attendance Area

Cabrillo Elementary School


Page 16 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 95 90 92 94 92 93 93 93

01 83 112 108 108 110 109 109 109

02 104 84 116 109 109 112 110 111

03 90 92 76 104 98 98 100 98

04 88 98 104 84 113 107 107 110

05 70 84 95 98 81 106 101 101

06 71 62 78 87 88 71 97 92

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 601 621 669 684 693 696 718 714

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 45 42 43 44 43 43 44 44

00 123 116 116 118 116 116 117 117

01 111 117 111 110 113 111 111 111

02 120 102 109 103 102 104 103 103

03 119 135 113 121 114 113 116 114

04 120 135 155 130 139 131 130 133

05 144 126 142 164 138 147 139 138

06 138 145 129 144 165 138 148 140

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 920 920 917 934 930 903 908 901

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 20 19 20 20 21 23 25 25

00 74 70 72 74 80 86 93 93

01 78 69 68 69 77 84 91 92

02 74 67 62 60 65 72 78 78

03 77 90 82 76 79 85 93 93

04 71 65 77 71 68 71 76 78

05 79 91 88 101 98 98 100 100

06 68 65 78 72 91 88 85 82

SDC 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 14

Total 552 548 559 557 593 620 655 655

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

07 497 480 501 524 529 603 545 564

08 425 486 473 494 518 524 597 532

SDC 41 42 43 45 47 50 50 49

Total 963 1,008 1,017 1,063 1,094 1,178 1,192 1,145

Centerville Junior High School

Vallejo Mill Elementary School

Parkmont Elementary School

Niles Elementary School

Page 17 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

09 488 445 512 498 522 550 556 624

10 420 488 449 514 503 528 555 556

11 403 385 450 414 476 466 489 510

12 421 403 388 453 420 482 473 491

SDC 100 100 104 109 112 117 121 127

Total 1,832 1,821 1,903 1,988 2,033 2,143 2,194 2,308

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 88 82 84 87 86 89 91 91

00 504 478 480 493 493 500 508 510

01 502 529 507 507 525 525 532 535

02 561 490 523 499 502 518 518 519

03 507 562 494 523 503 506 523 517

04 500 501 560 490 523 501 504 514

05 487 504 508 565 502 530 511 508

06 466 481 501 502 561 495 523 496

SDC 99 99 101 102 102 102 101 101

Total ES 3,714 3,725 3,759 3,768 3,796 3,764 3,810 3,791

07 497 480 501 524 529 603 545 564

08 425 486 473 494 518 524 597 532

SDC 41 42 43 45 47 50 50 49

Total JHS 963 1,008 1,017 1,063 1,094 1,178 1,192 1,145

09 488 445 512 498 522 550 556 624

10 420 488 449 514 503 528 555 556

11 403 385 450 414 476 466 489 510

12 421 403 388 453 420 482 473 491

SDC 100 100 104 109 112 117 121 127

Total HS 1,832 1,821 1,903 1,988 2,033 2,143 2,194 2,308

Total 6,509 6,554 6,679 6,819 6,924 7,084 7,196 7,244

Total

Washington High School

Page 18 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 1 2 5 8 11 13

00 0 2 6 15 30 47 65 72

01 0 2 6 16 32 50 68 77

02 0 2 6 15 31 49 67 76

03 0 2 6 15 30 48 66 75

04 0 2 6 15 30 48 66 74

05 0 2 6 15 30 47 65 73

06 0 2 6 15 29 46 63 71

SDC 0 1 2 5 9 15 20 23

Total ES 0 13 43 114 227 358 490 554

07 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A


SDC N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Total JHS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0





SDC N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Total HS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 0 13 43 114 227 358 490 554

Unassigned Attendance Boundary

Enrollment Projections by School of AttendanceOther School Facilities/Unassigned

Fremont Unified School District

Page 19 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

00 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

01 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

02 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

03 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

04 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

05 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total ES 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12

07 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

08 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total JHS 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12

09 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

11 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

12 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total HS 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27

Total 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

07 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

08 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total JHS 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

09 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

11 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17

12 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total HS 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50

Total 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

12 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23

Non-Public School

Vista Alternative

College Connection

Page 20 of 21

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

11 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72

12 116 116 116 116 116 116 116 116

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 203 203 203 203 203 203 203 203

Grade 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2018/2019 2019/2020 2020/2021 2021/2022

TK 0 0 1 2 5 8 11 13

00 5 7 11 20 35 52 70 77

01 1 3 7 17 33 51 69 78

02 1 3 7 16 32 50 68 77

03 1 3 7 16 31 49 67 76

04 3 5 9 18 33 51 69 77

05 1 3 7 16 31 48 66 74

06 0 2 6 15 29 46 63 71

SDC 0 1 2 5 9 15 20 23

Total ES 12 25 55 126 239 370 502 566

07 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

08 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total JHS 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17

09 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

10 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23

11 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 96

12 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176

SDC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total HS 303 303 303 303 303 303 303 303

Total 332 345 375 446 559 690 822 886

Robertson High School

Total

Page 21 of 21

Documents

Fremont Unified School District January 23, 2015 · PDF fileenrollment is Graph 1 is based on the current school level configuration of ... Historical District Enrollment by Grade