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FOURTH QUARTER 2017 Martin Lundstedt, President and CEO
Volvo Group Headquarters
Net sales +11% (+16% excl. currency)
Continued improved profitability for the Group - Trucks’ adjusted operating
margin 9.5% (8.7) - Construction Equipment’s
adjusted operating margin 10.9% (3.8)
Highest Net sales and Operating income so far for a Q4
Fourth quarter 2017 2
Volvo Group FOURTH QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report: Q4 2016: Gain on sale of real estate SEK 1,371 M Q4 2017: No adjustments
NET SALESSEK bn
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
12 months 335 bn
82.691.7
ADJUSTED OPERATING MARGIN*%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
12 months 8.9%
6.9%8.0%
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 3
Volvo Group VOLUME DEVELOPMENT IN THE FOURTH QUARTER
Total Change
Volvo 34,293 +6,359
UD 5,597 +441
Renault Trucks
9,949 +804
Mack 5,112 +993
Total Change
Volvo 8,749 +1,880
SDLG 7,060 +3,334
TRUCK DELIVERIESUnits HD/MD
0,000
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
+8,597+19%
12 months 186,294MACHINE DELIVERIESUnits
0,0002,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,000
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
+5,216+49%
12 months 64,127
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 4
Volvo Group SERVICE SALES DEVELOPMENT
TRUCKS BUSES VOLVO PENTA CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT
SERVICE SALESSEK bn
02468
101214161820
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
18.3
12 months 71.7 bn
+3%+8% ex FX
17.816.3
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 5
Trucks
• Good demand
• Stretched supply chain
• New trucks in NA well received – production change-over underway
• Sales start of medium-duty electric trucks in 2019
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 6
Trucks GREAT RECEPTION OF THE NEW TRUCKS IN NORTH AMERICA - CHANGE-OVER IN PRODUCTION UNDERWAY
Volvo VNL North America Mack Anthem North America
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 7
Trucks MARKET ENVIRONMENT
NORTH AMERICA HD
BRAZILHD
0
100
200
300
400
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
2017: 244’Forecast 2018: 280’
0
100
200
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
2017: 32’Forecast 2018: 45’
0
100
200
300
400
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
2017: ~307’Forecast 2018: 310’
0200400600800
1 0001 2001 4001 600
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
China
India
Japan 2017: 1 346’Forecast 2018: 1 150’
2017: 334’Forecast 2018: 340’
2017: 96’Forecast 2018: 85’
ASIAHD+MD
EUROPEHD
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 8
Trucks MARKET SHARES HD% 2017 2016
NORTH AMERICA
9,9 8,3 7,8 7,3
BRAZIL
JAPAN
17,0 19,0
16,1 15,49,4 8,5
2,0 3,3
AUSTRALIA
SOUTH AFRICA14,0 15,3
8,7 10,3
EUROPE EU28, YTD NOVEMBER
16,916,8
8,0 8,6
Volvo Mack
Volvo
Volvo Renault Trucks
UD
Volvo UD
MackVolvo UD
18,9 18,4
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 9
Trucks HD/MD: ORDERS +28% AND DELIVERIES +19%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders Deliveries
EUROPE
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders Deliveries
NORTH AMERICA
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Orders Deliveries
SOUTH AMERICA
Orders +84%Deliveries +28%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders Deliveries
AFRICA & OCEANIA
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders Deliveries
ASIA
Orders +100%Deliveries +33%
Orders -14%Deliveries -1%
Orders +22%Deliveries +14%
Orders -16%Deliveries +24%
Volvo Group Headquarters
• Market growth across all regions
• Orders up 48% and deliveries up 49%
• Transformation program continues to yield result
Fourth quarter 2017 10
Construction Equipment
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 11
Construction Equipment NEW RANGE OF VOLVO BRANDED RIGID HAULERS
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 12
Construction Equipment MARKET ENVIRONMENT
0
100
200
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Forecast 2018: 0% to +10%
NORTH AMERICA
SOUTH AMERICA
0
100
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Forecast 2018: 0% to +10%
0
100
200
300
400
500
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Forecast 2018: +10% to +20%
CHINA
0
100
200
300
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Forecast 2018: 0% to +10%
ASIA (excl. China)
0
100
200
300
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Forecast 2018: 0% to +10%
EUROPE
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 13
Construction Equipment ORDERS +48% AND DELIVERIES +49%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders DeliveriesQ4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders Deliveries
EUROPENORTH AMERICA
SOUTH AMERICA
Orders +86%Deliveries +6%
AFRICA & OCEANIA ASIA
Orders +59%Deliveries +11%
Orders +84%Deliveries +68%
Orders +8%Deliveries +14%
Orders +76%Deliveries +77%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders Deliveries
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders Deliveries
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Orders Deliveries
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 14
Buses
• Mixed market development
• Order intake +34% across regions
• Deliveries of the new 8-litre chassis platform for Asian markets started
• Largest order ever of complete electric hybrid traffic solutions to Belgium
• Order decrease by -28%, delivery increase by 1%
• 50 hybrid buses to Singapore
• Partnership to test electric autonomous buses in Singapore
Volvo Group Headquarters
• Sales growth in both industrial and marine segments
• Order increase by 17%, delivery increase by 11%
• Good inroads into the agricultural segment
Fourth quarter 2017 15
Volvo Penta
Beet harvester powered by Volvo Penta
FOURTH QUARTER 2017 Jan Gurander, deputy CEO and CFO
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 17
Volvo Group NET SALES PER MARKET
NET SALESSEK bn
Currency -3.7 bn
South America
+3.5
Q4 2016
91.7
Asia
-0.0
Africa & Oceania
Q4 2017
+0.5
Europe
+3.282.6
North America
+2.0
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 18
Volvo Group ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME PER BUSINESS AREA
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report: Q4 2016: Gain on sale of real estate SEK 1,371 M Q4 2017: No adjustments
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M
Buses
+1,322
TrucksQ4 2016
+31
Volvo Penta
7,334*
Volvo CE
+21
Financial Services
+1,042
-765+22
Q4 2017Group Functions & Other
5,660*
Currency -778 M
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 19
Volvo Group ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME CONTRIBUTORS
+ Truck and construction volumes
- Higher selling and admin. cost - R&D - Stretched supply chain
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report: Q4 2016: Gain on sale of real estate SEK 1,371 M Q4 2017: No adjustments
Cash R&D
Q4 2016
+1,655
Gross income
-362-203 -112
R&D capitaliz-
ation
-299
Selling Admin.
+995
Other Q4 2017
5,660*
7,334*
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M
Currency -778 M
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 20
Volvo Group – Industrial Operations CASH FLOW
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2.2
OPERATING CASH FLOWSEK bn
12 months SEK 28.4 bn
INVESTMENTS IN PPE SEK bn
12 months SEK 5.7 bn
2.51.9
CASH FLOW EFFECT FROM CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITALSEK bn
Acc
ount
sre
ceiv
able
Inve
ntor
ies
Trad
e pa
yabl
es
Oth
er
Tota
l cha
nge
-2.9 0.5
7.6
1.4
6.614.7
4.9
14.4
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 21
Trucks NET SALES
• Delivered HD/MD trucks +19%:
- North America +28% - Europe +14%
• Net sales currency-adjusted +16%:
- vehicles +18% - services +9%
Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417
60.854.555.1
+12%
NET SALESSEK bn
12 months 216.5 bn
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 22
Trucks ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK bn
4.45.84.8
12 months 20.4 bnCurrency -377 M
ADJUSTED OPERATING MARGIN*%
9.5%8.7%7.9%
12 months 9.4%
+ Higher volumes
- Selling cost- Higher R&D cost- Stretched supply chain
Q4 2016 Q4 2017
4,754
5,796
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report: Q4 2016: Gain on sale of real estate SEK 71 M Q4 2017: No adjustments
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 23
Construction Equipment NET SALES
• Delivered machines +49%: - Volvo +27% - SDLG +89% - large and medium +51% - compact +41%
• Net sales currency-
adjusted +34%: - machines +39% - services +11%
Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417
16.7
13.1
11.0
+28%
NET SALESSEK bn
12 months 66.5 bn
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 24
Construction Equipment ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M 12 months 7,917 M
Currency -324 M
ADJUSTED OPERATING MARGIN*% 12 months 11.9%
Q4 2016 Q4 2017
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M
-191
1,816
494
10.9%
3.8%
-1.7%
494
1,816
+ Higher volumes+ Capacity utilization
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report: Q4 2016: No adjustmentsQ4 2017: No adjustments
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 25
Buses NET SALES & ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME
• Net sales currency-adjusted -8%:
- vehicles -11% - services +8%
• Adjusted operating
income: + service sales + operational efficiency - S&A
• Adjusted operating margin* 4.1% (3.3)
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M
294 288266
12 months 928 MCurrency -89 M
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
NET SALES SEK bn 12 months 26.1 bn
7.38.0
7.0
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report: Q4 2016: Gain on sale of real estate SEK 41 MQ4 2017: No adjustments
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 26
Volvo Penta NET SALES & ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME
• Net sales currency-adjusted +14%:
- engines +17% - services +6%
• Adjusted operating
income: + Higher sales + Product mix
• Adjusted operating margin* 7.0% (6.5)
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
NET SALES SEK bn 12 months 11.1 bn
2.2 2.42.7
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M
140 187156
12 months 1,439 MCurrency -30 M
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report: Q4 2016: No adjustmentsQ4 2017: No adjustments
Volvo Group Headquarters
Financial Services NEW FINANCING AND PROFITABILITY
Fourth quarter 2017 27
ROE12 months, %
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
14.3%13.7%13.4%
12 months 57.9 bnADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
534588567
12 months 2,192 M
NEW FINANCINGSEK bn
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
14.9 15.6 17.1
1
1) Excluding positive revaluation effect in Q4 2017 ofSEK 897 M related to new tax rates in USA. ReportedROE including revaluation effect was 22.6%.
Full Year 2017
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 29
Volvo Group ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME FY2017
+ Higher volumes in Volvo CE + Higher truck volumes + Higher service sales + JV profitability
- Higher S&A expenses - R&D - Stretched supply chain
FY2016 OtherCash
R&DAdmin.
+9,855
R&D capitaliz-
ation
Gross income
-502 -965 -1,715
Selling
-521+2,681
FY2017
21,094*
29,928*
ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME*SEK M
Currency -362 M
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report: 2016: Gain on sale of IT operation 885, Provision for EU investigation -2,524, Gain on sale of real estate SEK 1,371 M2017: Capital gain on sale of shares in Deutz SEK 400 M
Volvo Group Headquarters Fourth quarter 2017 30
Volvo Group FY2017 HIGHLIGHTS
Highest Net sales and EBIT so far:
- Net sales: SEK 335 bn - EBIT: SEK 30 bn
Operating cash flow: SEK 28 bn
Net cash position: SEK 26 bn
Proposed dividend of SEK 4.25 (3.25)
NET SALESSEK bn
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
335273
ADJUSTED OPERATING MARGIN*%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
8.9%
3.4%
*Adjustments, see note 6 in Q4 report 2017 and 2016 annual report.