57
Forest Survey of India, Dehradun Ministry of Environment, Forest & Climate Change, Government of India FOREST FIRE RELATED INTERVENTIONS OF FSI

FOREST FIRE RELATED INTERVENTIONS OF FSI (25 years) 1992... · Forest Survey of India, Dehradun Ministry of Environment, Forest & Climate Change, Government of India FOREST FIRE RELATED

  • Upload
    lamkien

  • View
    213

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Forest Survey of India, DehradunMinistry of Environment, Forest & Climate Change,

Government of India

FOREST FIRE RELATED INTERVENTIONS OF FSI

Major Work Areas

1. Near Real Time Forest Fire Alert System

2. Pre Warning Alerts

3. Burned Area Studies

Timeline- Forest Fire related activities at FSI

2004- Forest fire alerts based on MODIS data disseminated to States

2010- SMS alerts on number of fires in State/District initiated

2012- KML alerts to nodal officers through email

2012- Forest Fire Vulnerability Report

2015- Burnt Scar assessment started

2016- Pre warning alerts piloted

2016- Automated email alerts to nodal officers using python script

2017- VIIRS data use started; Forest Fire Alert System 2.0 launched

Signals Transmitted to

Earth Station

Suppression and

Mitigation of Forest Fires

Real Time Forest

Fire Alerts

State Forest Department

Data Received at Earth

Station(NRSC)

Near Real Time Monitoring of Forest Fire Alert System

Fire Point Processing

Centre

FSIState wise Fire Alerts

Dissemination

Processing

MODIS Vs SNPP Comparison

MODIS(Moderate resolution Imaging

spectro-radiometer)

SNPP-VIIRSSuomi National Polar-orbiting

Partnership (NPP) satellite

Sensor

36 spectral bands (channel 21,22,31)

5 HR Imagery channels (I-bands), 16 moderate resolution channels (M-

bands) and a D/N Band (M13 and M15)

SatelliteAqua & Terra

Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) satellite

Launch Dec 99 & May 2002 Oct-11

AlgorithmContextual Thresholding and Contextual (Hybrid)

MODIS(Moderate resolution Imaging

spectro-radiometer)

SNPP-VIIRSSuomi National Polar-orbiting

Partnership (NPP) satellite

Equatorial Pass Terra- 10:30 am and 10:30 pm;1:30 pm and 1:30 am 1:30pm and 1:30am

Resolution 1 km X 1km 375mx 375m &750m x 750m

Night time performance Poor Good

Mapping small fires No (ideally 1000 sq m) Yes

Accuracy of mapping large fire boundaries Poor Good

under Canopy Fires detection Poor Good

MODIS Vs SNPP Comparison

Evaluation of VIIRS data for 29-30 April, 2016 of Forest Fire in Uttarakhand

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

MODIS

MODIS

SNPP WITH MODIS (1 KM BUFFER)

SNPP528

146

124

96

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

SNPP

SNPP

MODIS WITHSNPP(375 mt BUFFER)

MODIS

1705

283

MODIS WITH SNPP

MODIS WITH SNPP (375 Mt BUFFER)

TOTAL SNPP

SNPP283

(16.60%)528 (31%) 1705

SNPP WITH MODIS

SNPP WITH MODIS(1 KM BUFFER)

TOTAL MODIS

MODIS 96 (66.20%) 124 (85.52%) 145

Comparison of Fire alert polygons of 30th April 2016 in Uttarakhand

Forest Fire Alert System 2.0

Feature Old Version New Version 2.0 Remarks

Sensors used MODIS MODIS and SNPP-VIIRS Better spatial resolution (375m X 375m)

Resolution of alert Upto District level Upto Beat level in case of 10 states where info is available

Can provide RF/PF, compartment details along with every alert if RFA information is provided by states

Level of automation Only KML KML & SMS Fully automated

Info contained in alert Only no of fire points provided (SMS)

No of fire points and geo co-ordinates included in the alert (SMS and Email)

Fire points provided as weblink in SMS for Division level users and above

Updation of KML alert Point data dissemination Polygon data dissemination Using the size of the pixel having beat level information wherever applicable

Better Data Quality

Feature Old Version New Version 2.0 Remarks

Multi level SMS dissemination

Either for State or District (max 4)

Any level (max 3) Choosing one option is independent of other options

Feedback Only available for nodal officers through email

Available as a weblink to all registered through SMS and email

Feedback on occurrence of fire, area burnt in Ha can be provided by multiple users

Option to edit registration details

Only through email to FSI Users can modify their options multiple times and also delete

OTP sent to mobile number as wellas email

DND over ride No Yes Registered as a service

Daily map on website Static Map Dynamic KML view of fire points from both sensors

Fire Portal is under updation

Fire point search Upto State level only Upto Beat level

Customised Pages for States

No Yes; enable mass registration; feedback module

Enhanced User experience

Malakondapenta West Beat

MODIS Fire Alerts

VIIRS Fire Alerts

MODIS & VIIRSFire Alerts

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

State District Circle Division Range Block Beat

User Subscriptions at different Levels

Total Registered Users -11,446; No of subscriptions – 12,960

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000

Offline

Online

Registration Mode

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

State wise Users and MODIS Fire Alert Details

No of User Modis2017

Limitations

• Technological limitations of resolution, detection thresholds

• Low Temporal frequency (Although its improving)

• Highly dependent on mobile network coverage

• Technology intensive (but not cost intensive! Open source options!)

Focus Areas for future

• Use of Direct Readout data (Both the platform and algorithm are free for Government users)

• Use of Geostationary data (currently evaluating INSAT 3D and 3DR; Himawari is another option)

• Reach to more users ; improve user awareness

• Encourage digitization and geo referencing of forest boundaries

• Long term characterization of fires using science quality MODIS data

• Establish national forest fire database

II. BURNT AREA MAPPING

• Country wide burned area mapping carried out since 2015

• IRS – P6- AWiFS data used (56 m resolution)

• Results communicated to SFDs

• Methodology to be validated before mainstreaming

• Use of MODIS MCD64A1 product for generation of data for previous years

Methodology

AWiFS imagery -26 February 2015 AWiFS imagery - 01 April 2015

Burnt Areas in a Satellite image

AWiFS imagery of 17 March 2015

FCC Band Combination 432 FCC Band Combination 321

Severely Burnt Polygons

Moderately Burnt Polygons Low Burnt

Polygons

Burnt scar Generation

Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI)

NDVI =ρNIR−ρR

ρNIR+ρR

Where ρNIR = Reflectance in NIR Band

ρR = Reflectance in RED Band

AWiFS Data Normalized Differential Vegetation Index Classified NDVI

Burnt Area Index (BAI)

BAI =1

(ρcNIR − ρNIR)2+(ρcSWIR − ρSWIR)2

Where ρcNIR = Reference Reflectance in NIR Band

ρcSWIR = Reference Reflectance in SWIR Band

ρNIR = Reflectance in NIR Band

ρSWIR = Reflectance in SWIR Band

AWiFS Data Burned Area Index Classified BAI

Normalized Burned Ratio (NBR)

NBR =ρNIR − ρSWIR

ρNIR + ρSWIR

Where ρNIR = Reflectance in NIR Band

ρSWIR = Reflectance in SWIR Band

AWiFS Data Normalized Burned Ratio Classified NBR

Spectral Curve of Forest

Spectral Curve of Shadow

Spectral Curve of Habitation

Spectral Curve of Burnt Scar

Spectral Curve of Water

Spectral curve of different classes

Challenges

• Acceptance of burnt area statistics by State Forest Departments

• Short duration of Burnt scar visibility on satellite data

• Burnt severity classification and ground validation

• Estimation of loss due to burning

• Lack of integration with planning and policy making

Focus Areas for future

• Integrate with MODIS MCD64A1 product and the upcoming VIIRS product

• Better communication with stakeholders

• Periodic monitoring of Burnt Areas to ascertain rehabilitation of affected areas

• Create a national database of fire affected areas

• More Ground validations

Pre-warning Alert System

❖Identify vulnerable areas to alert forest field staff to enable

- Risk reduction

- Resource allocation, Co-ordination

- Risk mitigation

- Input for future planning (CMP)

Objective is not to predict forest fires but to identify areas which are more

vulnerable to severe forest fires

Early Warning Basic FDRS Comprehensive FDRS

Pre-warning Alert System – parameters used

❖ Forest Type & Cover (fuel load)

❖ Temperature, Relative Humidity, Rainfall, wind speed (Drought/Weather)

❖ Social factors ?? (population density, analyse past forest fire trends)

❖ Topography ?? (slope, aspect)

Weather Guide for the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System (Page 7)

Data Used

❖ 5Km X 5Km Grid

❖ Forest Type data (FSI,2011)

❖ Forest Cover data (FSI,2015)

❖ Temperature Data (From MOSDAC)

❖ Relative Humidity (From MOSDAC)

❖ Current fire season data (SNPP 750m & MODIS 1km)

❖ Rainfall data

-Actual Rainfall (CRIS-IMD)

-Rainfall Forecast (IITM)

Filtration withFCM + Other data

Knowledge base Decision

Intersect

MODIS Data

Dissemination of Fire Alert

Reference Data

IMD Data Forest Type Map Forest Cover Map Admin Boundaries

Rectangle Buffer (1Km x 1Km)

Methodology used in 2016

Grid based Pre-Warning Alert System - 2017

Forest Type Map

-Vulnerable Forest types

✓Rainfall Area

✓Fire Point Data to identify grids that are already depleted of fuels-High FRP Value

Temperature Data

Drought

Relative Humidity

Intersect

- Knowledge base Decision on the basis of Forest cover density & Forest/ Admin Boundary

- Selection of Pre-Warning Alert Grids

Pre-warning email Alerts (KML format)

- Weekly Exercise- Alerts on Friday- Validity of 7 days

Grid 5Km X 5Km

Mask out

Forest Cover

Forested grid

Drought Determination (Application of KBDI)

Keetch Byram Drought Index is a popular drought index for forest fire control - Lookup tables published in 1968- Forecasts daily drought conditions based on daily rainfall and max

temperature- Good indicator of drought buildup- Useful for early warning

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29

KBDI_2016No. of Fires

Week No.

2016

No. of FIRES

Weekly_Avg_KBDI

1 1 1 2 3 1 0 1 3

23

15

39

18

58

5

13

38

18

13

7 40

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25

No. of Fires

Weekly Trends (2001-2016)

No. of FIRES

MARCH APRIL MAY JUNE

Week

Peak Season

FEBRUARY

Total Fire Incidences = 624

PAST FIRE TRENDS AS INDICATOR OF SOCIAL FACTORS

2 13

14

52

2 26

3

17

40

18

2 20

15

52 2 1

43

810

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

14136 14137 14138 14139 14140 14277 14278 14279 14280 14281 14421 14422 14423 14424 14425 14568 14569 14570 14571 14572 14718 14719 14720 14721 14722

No. of FIRES

GRID I.D.

Grid wise Fire incidence Most-Prone Grids

Grid 5km X 5Km

Forested Grid 5km X 5Km

Forest Cover (FSI)

Forested - 1681

Grid 5Km x 5Km - 2312

Vulnerable Forest Types in Uttarakhand Forest Types in Uttarakhand

Total No of Forest types - 37 Total No of vulnerable Forest types - 17

Forested Grids 5kmx5km

in Uttarakhand

Forested Grids 5kmx5km with low FRP fires

or no fires in current fire season

in Uttarakhand

low FRP fires and no fires in current fire season - 1663Forested - 1681

Weather data

400+ stations of IMD (MOSDAC)

Interpolated Drought Map(RH- T Max daily)

Actual Rainfall (CRIS-IMD)

Rainfall Forecast (From IITM Pune)

Final Grids overlaid on drought Final Grids overlaid on Forest Cover Density Map

Selected grids for Weekly Alert

KML disseminated to nodal officer through e-mail

❖ Use of additional parameters such as wind speed & direction and topographical

parameters like slope & aspect, soil parameters(NBSS & LUP) layers

❖ Use Drought Index (KBDI?)

❖ Use of real-time weather data for drought detection (IITM/IMD)

(Observational/Modelled?)

❖ Statistical Modelling based on past fire data

❖ Shifting from Grid system to Forest Compartments

❖ Automation of the Pre-warning alert system and dissemination through

customizable web interface (Mobile App)

Future Plans for Pre-warning

THANK YOUE.Vikram

[email protected]