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Forecasting Or Envisioning: National Transport Sector. Harun al Rasyid Lubis Prodi Teknik Sipil FTSL ITB FGD IPTEKS LP4 - ITB Bandung 22 Maret 2014. Background on Transport Development. Automobile industry Urbanization Challenges - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Forecasting Or Envisioning:National Transport Sector
Harun al Rasyid LubisProdi Teknik Sipil FTSL ITB
FGD IPTEKS LP4 - ITB Bandung 22 Maret 2014
Background on Transport Development1. Automobile industry Urbanization Challenges
2. Environmentalism (green transportation system and sustainable development concept)
Trend on transport technology development
3. Computer and ITS (Intelligent Transportation System)
4. Soft issue: Institutional, Legal, Market Vrs. Regulation
5. Source of fund & Financing scheme ( public, private, hybrid )
6. Railway Cases &. Challenges : Regional and National ITB direction ?
CHRONOLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS INCREASEBIGGEST CONTAINER SHIP
Range Capacity Draft
TEUs TEUs Meters1 Feeder (100-499) 322 1960 6,242 Feedmax (500-999) 735 1966 8,293 Handy (1.000-1.999) 1405 1968 10,604 Sub Panamax (2.000-2.999) 2254 1969 13,235 Panamax (3.000 +) 3075 1985 16,166 Post Panamax (4,000 +) 4625 1988 17,207 Post Panamax Plus1 (5,000 +) 5225 1995 17,588 Post Panamax Pus 2 (6,000 +) 6375 1996 18,139 Post Panamax Pus 3 (7,000 +) 7250 1997 18,92
10 Post Panamax Pus 4 (8,000 +) 8050 2001 19,5011 P. Pan Plus 5 (Clement Maersk) 9600 2002 20,8012 P. Pan Plus 5 (Axel Maersk) 9310 2003 20,9913 Suez Max (Gudrum Maersk) 10150 2005 21,8614 Post Suez Max (Emma Maersk) 15200 2006 23,7015 Corea STX (under development) 22000 2012 26,79
Class (TEUs )Year
Construction
Emma Maersk Crankshaft and Operators
Intelligent Transport System
• Air passenger transport• Toll road (depend .....)• Seaport (commercial port)• Coal train / Railway• Intercity bus ( travel ?)
• Subsidized toll-road / bridge ?• Public transport (BRT)• Passenger train (urban & Intercity)• High speed train
10
RULE of THUMBNatural Law of Transport Market
Costestable(Market)
Highly regulated(subsidized)
11
GovernmentRegional Authorities
Ministries, Central Authorities
Regulator ( safety, economic )
Service Providers: •State-Owned operator•Private Operator
•Contractors•Consultant•Industries
Infrastructure Manager
Shareholders:•State Owned Enterprise•Public Organization•Private Companies
Infrastructure Services Organizations
•State Owned Enterprises•Joint Ventures•Private Companies
Other Stakeholders
• Customers•Social Alliances•Employees
Future Organisation Structure of Railways and Interactions between Various Subsystems.
❶. The service to the customer. ❷. Multi Annual Contracts: essential for providing Public Service (2.1) and for the maintenance and development of the infrastructure (2.2). ❸. Intramodal competition. ❹. Intermodal competition.
3
Road Access Charges
Road system
Infrastructure
Operator 1, 2, etc.
Government
Customers
Railw
ay sy
stem
MACs
Track Access Charges
Road Operator 1, 2, etc.
Public Service
RailRegulatorIntramodal competition
Intermodal com
petition
Publ
ic s
pher
e
Priv
a te
sphe
re
2
4
2.1
1
2.2 Infrastructure Manager
12
ISU-ISU UTAMA YANG HARUS DICAKUP
Lochman, CER, 2012
15
CASES & CHALLENGESArah Restrukturisasi KA Dunia
Belum Ada model Bisnis KA dunia yg terunggul utk bisa ditiru, namun konvergensi sdh mulai terlihat menuju integrasi vertical (antara rel dan roda) dan regionalisasi usaha
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Railway & Universities1. Education ,2. Future Leader3. R &D APA YANG TERJADI:
KA lupa mereka butuh universitasNyaris tidak ada kerjasama
Dana penelitian hampir nihil Gangguan komunikasi ? (berhenti bicara dengan universitas)Menarik diri dan jaga jarak untuk berhubungan dgn Kampus
KAMPUS lupa akan pentingnya Kereta apiMata ajar transportasi kereta api nyaris berhenti
Berhenti melakukan penelitian relGangguan komunikasi ? (berhenti berbicara dengan KA)
Cari peluang lain ? (Jalan raya & angkutan udara)
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Strategy Technology Transfer
1. Mengalir saja, tanpa strategy
2. Lewat Mekanisme pasar
3. Takstis dan strategic transfer teknologi (terencana)
18
(SOUTH KOREA) HST TRANSFER OF TECHNOLLOGY( STRATEGI TRANSFER TEKNOLOGI KA CEPAT KOREA)
19
TRANSFER TEKNOLOGI KA CEPAT KOREA
20
PAIRING LOCAL DENGAN PEMASOK ASING
21
BAGAIMANA TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER DI CHINA ?
22
INISIATIF PEMERINTAH ADALAH KUNCI
23
• Universitas Berkomitmen untuk berinteraksi secara berkelanjutan, keterlibatan, minat ?
Dan perhatian terhadap, transportasi kereta api Mengidentifikasi dan mendukung se efektif mungkin ”champion" di kampus Mempekerjakan dan mendukung dosen yg tertarik rel Mengembangkan program dan prinsip-prinsip pengajaran, kurikulum
transportasi kereta api dan rekayasa Mendorong dan mendukung minat siswa dalam menempuh karirdi kereta api
• Industri Mengembangkan kemitraan antara kereta api, pemasok dan pemerintah Fokus pada sejumlah universitas Menjangkau dengan ajakan yang bermakna spesifik Berkomitmen pada program berkelanjutan dan mencari dukungan secara
selektif ? Agar dapat mempertahankan fokus dari universitas ' Konsisten, dalam upaya rekrutmen berkelanjutan dan program magang
APA YANG BISA KITA LAKUKAN
ITB DIRECTION ?
School ofbasic sci & tech
NewMission
School ofSoc. Sci’s & Humanities
Students have to acquire sensitivity to cultural and regional differencesThey need to appreciate the financial, political ad security forces at play internationally
Students are encouraged to understand the human past and examine social, economic, and political change over time and the cutural and institutional context in which Science and technology are rooted
SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, ECONOMY, AND THE SOCIETYReform Higher Education ( M.A. Pedju, 2012)
Solving
SegregatedBy
Tradition
Traditionallysegregated
TPPSSST HST
SegregatedBy
Tradition
Basic Sciencesand
Engineering/Technology
Humanitiesand
Social Sciences
complexreal societal
needs/problems
STS
CENTERS
• Act as point of entry for the knowledge, experience, and wisdom from the real world to university;
• Facilitate interdisciplinary approach to problem solving that is essential to solve complex problems found in development projects;
• Provide an interaction place for government, industry, and academics;
• Carry out research and studies to solve complex problems;
• Educate and incubate start-up technology based companies;
• Discover, develop, and create new theories;
• Publish and disseminate knowledge
• May become home for graduate degree programs.
27
Terima Kasih