Baseline Tt Year Qtr Sales(Y) MA(4) CMA Y/CMA S-Index Deseasonalised Trend

01 Year 1 1 1552 2 2353 3 2004 4 2305 Year 2 1 1606 2 2507 3 2308 4 3209 Year 3 1 180

10 2 24011 3 23512 4 36013 Year 4 1 21014 2 28015 3 32016 4 43517 Year 5 118 219 320 4

1 Slope2 Intercept34

StIt St Yt/ St

ForecastTSt

jan 273 #N/Afeb 325 325mar 364 344.5apr 338 341.25may 313 327.125jun 370 348.5625jul 413 380.7813aug 356 368.3906sep 372 370.1953oct 423 396.5977nov 461 428.7988dec 414 421.3994jan 385 403.1997feb 458 430.5999mar 531 480.7999apr 458

jan feb maraprmayjun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan feb marapr0

100

200

300

400

500

600

273

325364

338313

370413

356372

423461

414385

458

531

458

Column BColumn C

jan feb maraprmayjun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan feb marapr0

100

200

300

400

500

600

273

325364

338313

370413

356372

423461

414385

458

531

458

Column BColumn C