23
Oil Search Limited ARBN 055 079 868 Macquarie Australia Conference May 2014 For personal use only

For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    7

  • Download
    2

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Macquarie Australia ConferenceMay 2014

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 2: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Transformation» PNG LNG Project production has commenced, first LNG sales

expected soon

» PNG LNG transforms OSH into significant LNG exporter with steady 20+ year cash flow stream, sufficient to fund both growth opportunities and pay materially higher dividends

» Highlands and PRL 15 LNG expansion opportunities being matured. Potential involvement in two, possibly three, additional high returning LNG trains by end of decade

» Taza oil discovery in Kurdistan being appraised, positive results to date

» Balance sheet strengthened by recent placement to PNG Government, SPP in progress

» Strategic review underway. Will set direction for next five years2

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 3: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Core Strategies Have Delivered Steady Long-Term Share Price Appreciation

3

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14

Shar

e Pr

ice

(A$)

Acquisition of ChevronTexaco’s PNG

assets.Assume Operatorship

PNG LNG FIDManage transition to PNG

LNG Project

PRL 15 acquisition

PNG LNG production commences

% change to 5/5/14

1 year 15%

5 year 71%

10 year 640%

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 4: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

OSH Permit

Oil Search Licence Interests, PNG

4

Port Moresby

Kumul Terminal

PRL08

PDL7

PDL4PDL3

PRL09

PDL6

PDL5

PRL14

260

233

PPL234

PPL244

PRL10

PPL339

339

339

339

PPL339

339

339 339

PPL260

PRL3

PPL385

PDL1

233

PPL277

PPL277

Kerema

Juha

Moran

Agogo

SE Mananda

Uramu

P’nyang

Kimu

Kutubu

Proposed JuhaFacility

Hides

Angore

LNG Facility

SE Gobe

Mananda 6,7

Gobe Main

PNG LNG ProjectFacilities

PNG LNG ProjectGas Fields

Non PNG LNG Gas/Oil Fields

Hagana

Flinders

Juha North

Barikewa

Hides GasConditioning Plant

& Komo Airfield

PPL219

PDL9PDL8

PRL11

PDL2

PRL15

Elk/Antelope

Oil Pipeline

PNG LNGGas Pipeline

OSH Facility

PNG LNG Project Facility

Major Road

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 5: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

PNG LNG Project

5

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 6: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Project Update» PNG LNG Project ahead of schedule and within November

2012 budget of US$19 billion» LNG production from Train 1 commenced in April 2013.

First LNG cargo expected to be shipped to Asian markets shortly

» Second train expected to commence production in next several weeks

» Production targeted to ramp up to full capacity (6.9 MTPA) by year end

» Remaining activities include completion of drilling on Hides field and finalising construction of spineline linking Hides production wells to HGCP

» Associated Gas (oil fields) are supplying gas and receiving liquids from PNG LNG. Liquids being blended with oil field production and sold as Kutubu Blend

6

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 7: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

PNG LNG Plant site

March 2014

7

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 8: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Upstream Facilities

8

Hides Gas Conditioning Plant March 2014 Onshore pipeline rehabilitation March 2014

Komo Airfield November 2013

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 9: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Drilling rig 703

Hides Development Drilling

» Six wells at three wellpads (B,C and D) complete. B wells brought online late 1Q14

» Drilling ongoing at wellpad G (NW Hides) and PWD well. Will help constrain gas volume in Hides field

» Installation of final sections of pipeline gather system to HGCP underway

Hides Nogoli Camp

Hides GTE PlantPDL 1/7 – Hides Field

8 New Production Wells

Hides Gas Conditioning Plant

PDL 8 – Angore Field2 New Wells

Komo Airfield

9

Rig 703, Hides G pad, March 2014

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 10: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Gas Growth Strategy» OSH looking to leverage LNG infrastructure and skills:

– Brownfield LNG expansion offers potential high return growth opportunity

– PNG LNG site has capacity to accommodate additional trains

» Upside in 1P reserves at Hides plus substantial discovered undeveloped gas resources:– P’nyang (38.5% equity) Kimu (60.7% Equity)

– Juha North (24.4% Equity) Flinders (40% Equity)

– Uramu (100% Equity) Hagana (40% Equity)

– Barikewa (45.1% Equity) Elk/Antelope (22.8% Equity)

– PNG exploration

» Oil Search well positioned to realise value from next and future phases of development:– Significant acreage/ resource/ infrastructure owner and proven delivery

– Operator of ~ 1/5th of PNG LNG Project gas supply / all condensate export

» PNG remains an attractive investment location:– Competitive fiscal terms anticipated for LNG expansion options

– Continued strong regional demand for LNG supply from PNG

10

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 11: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

P’nyang - PRL 3» Key resource to support potential growth from

PNG LNG:– Total 2C recoverable gas resources in P’nyang

field of 2.5 tcf

» Concept selection work well advanced –engineering, environmental and social mapping

» Development work to continue through to submission of PDL application in early 2015

PRL 3 WI %

ExxonMobil affiliates (operator Esso PNG P’nyang Ltd) 49.0

Oil Search 38.5

JX Nippon 12.5

11

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 12: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Hides 5 – PDL 1

» Hides 5 to explore Koi-Iange reservoir» Simple well-constrained anticline - 30km x 5km

– >1,200m proven gas column in Toro

– Koi-Iange target mapped ~700m below Toro

» Site construction complete» Drilling provisionally scheduled for 4Q14, subject to JV

approval

PDL 1 WI %

Esso Highlands Limited (operator) 36.8

Oil Search 16.7

Santos 24.0

NPCP 20.5

Gas Resources Gigira 2.0

Hides 4

Hides 3Hides 2Hides 1

Hides 5Hides G

Toro

Koi-Iange

NW SE

Ieru

5km

PDL 9

Hides Field

PDL 1

PDL 7

PDL 8 PRL 11 PPL 277

PPL 219 PPL 233

PDL 7

JUHANORTH

ANGORE

PDL 8

12

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 13: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Elk/Antelope - PRL 15

13

» 22.835% interest in PRL 15, containing Elk/Antelope gas discoveries

» Gross Elk/Antelope 2C contingent resources estimated by OSH at 5.3 tcf of raw gas including 75 mmbbl condensate

» Independent assessment by Gaffney Cline & Associates (Dec 2013) estimates P50 raw gas resource of 7.0 tcf including 96 mmbbl condensate1

» Up to three wells to be drilled on PRL 15, designed to prove up sufficient gas resources to support LNG development. First well expected to spud in July

» Range of material prospects and leads identified in PRL 15 – provide additional upside

» JVOA dispute resolution process underway relating to sale of 40% interest in PRL 15 from InterOil to Total SA in March. Negotiations to achieve commercial resolution also ongoing

» PNG Government has expressed desire that Elk/Antelope be developed in earliest practical timeframe

1 Raw gas is natural gas recovered at the wellhead consisting of wet gas volumes (unprocessed) before reductions for shrinkage due to recovery of 75 million barrels of condensate, removal of non-hydrocarbon compounds and losses from fuel and flare. The reference point is taken at the wellhead because the detailed development plan has not yet been agreed.

Port Moresby

Kumul Terminal

PRL08

PDL7

PDL4PDL3

PRL09

PDL6

PDL5

PRL14

260

233

PPL234

PRL10

PPL244

PPL339

339

339

339

PPL339

339

339 339

PPL260

PRL3

PPL385

PDL1

233

PPL277

PPL277

Kerema

Juha

MoranA

oAgog

o

SE Mananda

Uramu

P’nyang

Kimu

Kutubu

Proposed JuhaFacility

Hides

Angore

LNG Facility

SE Gobe

Mananda 6,7

Gobe Main

PNG LNG ProjectFacilities

PNG LNG ProjectGas Fields

Non PNG LNG Gas/Oil Fields

Hagana

Flinders

Juha North

Barikewa

Hides GasConditioning Plant

& Komo Airfield

PPL219

PDL9PDL8

PRL11

PDL2

PRL15

Elk/Antelope

Triceratops

Source: InterOilFor

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 14: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Strong production from PNG oil fields» Reservoir performance from key

oil fields remains strong

» Continued success of development drilling and field management activities

» Commissioning gas successfully delivered from Kutubu to PNG LNG Plant (September) and HGCP (December)

14

PRL8

PRL11

PDL7

PDL1

PPL233

PPL219

PDL2

PDL5PDL6

PRL9

PRL14

PPL260

PDL4

PDL3

PDL4

PDL7

PPL233

PPL277PDL8

PDL9

PRL11

Kutubu

Moran

Cobra

Iehi

BarikewaKimu

SE Gobe

Gobe Main

Agogo

SE Mananda

Mananda 5,6 & 7

JuhaHides

Angore

Juha North

Oil FieldGas Field

Oil PipelinePNG LNGGas PipelineOSH FacilityPNG LNG Project Facility

14

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 15: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Production Outlook» Production guidance for 2014 increased

from 13 – 16 mmboe to 14.5 – 17.5 mmboe:

– Driven by Project operator update of first LNG from Train 1 ahead of schedule, good progress by Train 2

» Production from oil fields of 6.4 – 6.9 mmboe (unchanged), up slightly from 2013

» In first full year (2015), PNG LNG will add ~21 mmboe net to OSH production

15

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F

Kutubu(2)Moran(2)

GobeSE ManandaHides GTE(3)PNG LNG (T1+T2)(1,3)

Net Production (mmboe)

6.386.69

14.5 – 17.5

6.74 6.4 – 6.9

1 LNG sales products at outlet of plant, post fuel and flare2 Oil forecast assumes planned new development wells beyond 20133 Gas:oil conversion rate used in 2014/15: 5,100 scf = 1 barrel of oil equivalent (prior years 6,000 scf/boe)

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 16: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

SE JamburLead

Pulkhana

Jambur Kor Mor

Taza D Possible

Taza 2

Taza F PossibleTaza E Possible

TazaTaza 1ST2

Oil Discovery at Taza, Kurdistan:Appraisal Underway» Appraisal programme on Taza oil discovery underway

» Taza 2, spudded 25 December, to appraise upper intervals and explore deeper Tertiary and Cretaceous targets: – Jeribe Formation recently penetrated. Initial analysis confirms entire

interval is oil-bearing

– Setting casing, prior to drilling ahead into Euphrates/Kirkuk and Shiranish and testing of key intervals

» Taza 3, to appraise southern part of field planned for 3Q14, plus two more wells and 3D seismic

» Early Production Facility (EPF) on one well» 3D seismic acquisition underway,

including over SE Jambur lead » New export pipeline through Kurdistan

to Turkey complete. Fiscal issues between Kurdistan and Iraq being steadily resolved

NOTE: Proposed well locations subject to change

16

IRAN

TURKEY

IRAQ

Taza PSC

KURDISTAN

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 17: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Taza 2 Well – Multiple Objectives

17

-

K42-10-06K42-10-04K42-10-02

L. Bakhtiari

NESW

U. Fars

L. FarsSaliferous

JeribeEuphrates

Shiranish

Jurassic

Taza 2

Qamchuqa

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 18: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Positioning for Next Phase of Growth» Corporate transformation underway:

– First LNG sales will change production and cash flows radically

» Strategic plan to maximise value from the existing portfolio

» New strategic review will set plan for the next five years. Focus areas include:

– Review of Company structure, cost base and operating model

– Reinvestment opportunities and investment criteria:

• Reinvestment is vital for long term growth but disciplined approach is essential

– Capital management:

• Quantum, optimal structure

– Developing our people capability, including augmenting skills in key areas: right skills – right place

» Changes in share register:

– IPIC now OSH’s largest holder with 13.1% – reputation as long term, supportive shareholder

– Government remains key shareholder with 10.0% – ongoing alignment

18

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 19: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Summary» PNG LNG nearly complete, with first LNG deliveries expected before mid-2014 within revised budget:

– Transformational for OSH’s production and cashflow profile

» Moving forward on LNG expansion plans:

– Proven P’nyang resource

– Drilling to determine size and shape of Hides underway

– Acquisition of PRL 15 interest provides exposure to potential new LNG development underpinned by Elk/Antelope. Commercially attractive on both a standalone or expansion basis

» High potential Taza appraisal underway:

– Includes drilling multiple wells, seismic, EPF

– Kurdistan-Iraq issues being resolved

» Active programmes to mitigate natural decline from PNG oil fields will continue into 2014

» Sound balance sheet

19

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 20: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Appendix 1: Key metrics

20

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

8.1 7.76.7 6.4 6.7

Production (mmboe)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

133.7185.6 202.5 175.8

205.7

NPAT (US$m)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

65 76

116 114 111

Oil Price (US$/bbl)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

4 4 4 4 4

DPS (US cents)

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 21: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Appendix 2: Treasury Update» Total liquidity of US$711.2 million at end 1Q14

comprising US$411.2 million cash and US$300 million available under non-amortising corporate revolving facility

» US$200 million remaining equity contribution to PNG LNG Project

» Additional credit lines, including L/C facilities to access cash in LNG Project secured accounts, being established to provide near-term funding flexibility

» US$3.91 billion (OSH share) drawn down under PNG LNG Project finance facility at end 1Q14

» 2013 final unfranked dividend of two US cents per share, fully funded via underwritten DRP

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1,289 1,2651,047

488210

Cash (US$m)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

363304

247

500

300

Corporate Facility Available (US$m)

21

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 22: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Appendix 3: 2014 Guidance Summary

22

ProductionCurrent operations (oil and GTE) 6.4 – 6.9 mmboe1

PNG LNG Project

LNG 34 – 43 bcf

Liquids 1.5 – 2.1 mmbbl

Total PNG LNG Project 8.1 – 10.6 mmboe1

Total Production 14.5 – 17.5 mmboeOperating Costs (subject to review)Normalised cash opex (incl corporate costs) US$21 – 26 / boe

Hides GTE gas purchase costs US$37 – 40 million

Business development US$10 – 15 million

Depreciation, amortisation and site restoration US$13 – 15 / boeNumbers may not add due to rounding1 Gas volumes have been converted to barrels of oil equivalent using an Oil Search specific conversion factor of 5,100 scf per boe, which represents a weighted average, based on Oil Search’s reserves portfolio, using the actual calorific value of each gas volume at its point of sale. The change to a specific boe conversion factor more closely reflects the energy content of the Company’s gas reserve portfolio compared to the previous conversion factor of 6,000 scf per boe.

22

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y

Page 23: For personal use only · Gas Field Oil Pipeline PNG LNG Gas Pipeline OSH Facility PNG LNG Project Facility 14 For personal use only. Production Outlook ... Jambur Kor Mor Taza D Possible

Disclaimer

While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Oil Search Limited does not warrant that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for its intended use. Subject to any terms implied by law which cannot be excluded, Oil Search Limited accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in information in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice.

This presentation also contains forward-looking statements which are subject to particular risks associated with the oil and gas industry. Oil Search Limited believes there are reasonable grounds for the expectations on which the statements are based. However actual outcomes could differ materially due to a range of factors including oil and gas prices, demand for oil, currency fluctuations, drilling results, field performance, the timing of well work-overs and field development, reserves depletion, progress on gas commercialisation and fiscal and other government issues and approvals.

Oil Search's estimates of petroleum reserves, contingent resources and prospective resources are based on information prepared by Dr Jon Rowse, Oil Search’s General Manager - Subsurface, who is a full-time employee of the Company and a member of the Society of Petroleum Engineers. Dr Rowse is qualified in accordance with ASX Listing Rules 5.41-5.44, and confirms that the statements are based on and fairly represents information and supporting documentation which has been prepared by him. He has consented to publish this information in the form and context in which it is presented in this presentation.

23

For

per

sona

l use

onl

y