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1
General
Bloomberg has provided graphs that roughly illustrate the four approaches to adjusted RFRs and
three spread adjustment methodologies described in Annexes A and B, respectively, to the ISDA
July 2018 Consultation. The graphs cover U.S. dollar (SOFR), Canadian dollar (CORRA) and
Hong Kong dollar (HONIA).
The graphs roughly illustrate the following subset of possible adjusted RFR and spread
adjustment pairs:
Compounded Setting in Arrears Rate with Forward Approach
Compounded Setting in Arrears Rate with Historical Mean/Median Approach
Spot Overnight Rate with Spot-Spread Approach
For comparative purposes only: Compounded Setting in Arrears Rate with Spot-Spread
Approach
This subset of all possible pairs should provide respondents with information to analyze the
remaining possible pairs.
Please note that the examples below are rough illustrations for informational purposes. Actual
build out and implementation of the selected approach may yield different values. However, the
graphs below should provide a good sense of how the approaches would function.
2
Additional Notes Regarding SOFR Data
Official SOFR percentiles and accompanying volumes The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a broad measure of the cost of borrowing cash
overnight collateralized by Treasury securities. SOFR is calculated as a volume-weighted
median of transaction-level tri-party repurchase (repo) data collected from the Bank of New
York Mellon (BNYM) as well as GCF Repo transaction data and data on bilateral Treasury repo
transactions (filtered to remove a portion of transactions considered “specials”) cleared through
the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation's Delivery-versus-Payment service. The GCF repo data
and bilateral Treasury repo data are obtained from DTCC Solutions LLC, an affiliate of the
Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation.
On a Bloomberg terminal press: {SOFR<GO>} and {SOFRRATE Index Des <GO>}
New York Fed Landing Page for SOFR: Secured Overnight Financing Rate
Dates used for these graphs: April 2, 2018 to March 21, 2019
New York Fed Data Excel®: Secured Overnight Financing Rate data
Use of the Secured Overnight Financing Rate is subject to important disclaimers, limitations and
indemnification obligations. See the New York Fed’s Terms of Use. The New York Fed has no
liability for publication of the rate on its webpage or in any other sources.
Indicative SOFR and accompanying volumes The New York Fed released indicative historical rates for SOFR prior to official publication of
SOFR in April 2018. These indicative, historical data only extended back to August 2014 due to
data availability issues prior to that date.
On a Bloomberg terminal press: {.SOFRHIST G Index HP<GO>} (for indicative SOFR history)
New York Fed Statement Landing Page: FRBNY Statement Introducing the Treasury Repo
Reference Rates
Dates used for these graphs: August 25, 2014 to April 1, 2018
New York Fed Data Excel: Indicative historical SOFR data
Overnight Treasury GC Repo Primary Dealer Survey Rate (%)
Since the late 1990s, the Open Market Trading Desk at the New York Fed has conducted a
survey of primary dealers each morning covering their borrowing activity in the Treasury general
collateral repurchase (repo) market on that day. On March 9, 2018, the New York Fed released a
time series of the volume-weighted mean rate of the primary dealers’ overnight Treasury general
collateral repo borrowing activity collected through the survey (the survey rate).
It is important to note that there are a number of technical differences between the survey rate
and SOFR. The survey rate is calculated as a volume-weighted mean, whereas as SOFR is
calculated as a volume-weighted median of transaction-level data. In addition, the transactions
underlying the survey rate are not as broad as those underlying SOFR; the survey collects only
the general collateral segments of the repo market and does not capture borrowing activity
conducted by non-primary dealer market participants. Nonetheless, the survey rate can play an
3
important role in providing insight into how a broad measure of repo market activity would have
behaved over a significantly longer time.
Not Available on the Bloomberg terminal.
New York Fed Statement Landing Page: FRBNY Statement Regarding the Publication of
Historical Repo Rate Data
Dates used for these graphs: June 7, 2000 to August 24, 2014
New York Fed Data Excel: FRBNY Overnight Treasury General Collateral Repo Primary Dealer
Survey Rate
4
Contents
Adjusted RFRs
• Graphs 1 through 6 illustrate the full history of SORf, CORf, ARRf, and ADRf for the 1-
month and 6-month tenors.
• For a more detailed view, the full history for each currency is broken into five shorter
periods in graphs 7 through 12.
Spread Adjustments
• Graphs 13 through 24 illustrate the forwards computed from the IBOR swap and RFR
swap curves and their spreads, in several IBOR tenors.
• Graphs 25 through 36 illustrate an average (mean) spread over the past five years for the
1-month and 6-month IBOR tenors, with linear interpolation/extrapolation over the next
year (i.e., the "transitional period"), and beyond that, constant extrapolation to the mean.
These are all based on the compounded setting in arrears rate.
• Graphs 37 through 60 illustrate the spot-spread approach over the past five years, based
upon 10-day, 5-day, and 1-day (i.e., "spot") moving averages. Graphs 37 through 48 are
based on the spot overnight rate. Graphs 38 through 60 are based on the compounded
setting in arrears rate.
5
Adjusted RFRs
Graphs 1 through 6 illustrate the full history of SORf, CORf, ARRf, and ADRf for the 1-
month and 6-month tenors.
Graph 1
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01%
MAX 6.60% 6.64% 6.49% 6.53%
AVERAGE 1.61% 1.61% 1.60% 1.60%
ST DEV 1.870% 1.879% 1.852% 1.865%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
Rat
es
Date
USD 1M Adjusted RFR Long History
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
6
Graph 2
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.04%
MAX 6.60% 6.82% 6.54% 6.76%
AVERAGE 1.61% 1.64% 1.56% 1.58%
ST DEV 1.870% 1.922% 1.781% 1.847%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
Rat
es
Date
USD 6M Adjusted RFR Long History
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
7
Graph 3
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.20% 0.20% 0.23% 0.23%
MAX 5.88% 5.91% 5.80% 5.83%
AVERAGE 2.03% 2.03% 2.02% 2.03%
ST DEV 1.520% 1.526% 1.512% 1.522%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
Rat
es
Date
CAD 1M Adjusted RFR Long History
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
8
Graph 4
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.20% 0.20% 0.24% 0.24%
MAX 5.88% 6.06% 5.85% 6.02%
AVERAGE 2.03% 2.06% 1.99% 2.03%
ST DEV 1.519% 1.559% 1.457% 1.512%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
Rat
es
Date
CAD 6M Adjusted RFR Long History
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
9
Graph 5
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
MAX 5.70% 5.73% 4.92% 4.94%
AVERAGE 0.27% 0.27% 0.26% 0.26%
ST DEV 0.656% 0.659% 0.554% 0.558%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
11/2/2007 11/2/2009 11/2/2011 11/2/2013 11/2/2015 11/2/2017
Rat
es
Date
HKD 1M Adjusted RFR Long History
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
10
Graph 6
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
MAX 5.70% 5.87% 2.45% 2.48%
AVERAGE 0.27% 0.25% 0.21% 0.18%
ST DEV 0.656% 0.658% 0.407% 0.393%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
11
For a more detailed view, the full history for each currency is broken into five shorter
periods in graphs 7 through 12.
1-month USD (SOFR)
Graph 7-A
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 2.16% 2.16% 3.50% 3.43%
MAX 5.31% 5.34% 5.26% 5.28%
AVERAGE 4.79% 4.81% 4.82% 4.79%
ST DEV 0.5639% 0.5682% 0.4897% 0.5631%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
9/2/2005 12/2/2005 3/2/2006 6/2/2006 9/2/2006 12/2/2006 3/2/2007 6/2/2007 9/2/2007
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Rates Pre-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
12
Graph 7-B
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.01% 0.01% 0.05% 0.05%
MAX 5.20% 5.22% 4.78% 4.98%
AVERAGE 1.60% 1.60% 1.51% 1.70%
ST DEV 1.5811% 1.5871% 1.4797% 1.5915%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
9/4/2007 12/4/2007 3/4/2008 6/4/2008 9/4/2008 12/4/2008 3/4/2009 6/4/2009 9/4/2009
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Rates During-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
13
Graph 7-C
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01%
MAX 0.29% 0.29% 0.23% 0.23%
AVERAGE 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13%
ST DEV 0.0708% 0.0708% 0.0633% 0.0631%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
0.35%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Rates Post-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
14
Graph 7-D
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.02%
MAX 0.28% 0.28% 0.22% 0.22%
AVERAGE 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12%
ST DEV 0.0664% 0.0665% 0.0596% 0.0586%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Rates 2011-2013
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
15
Graph 7-E
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.25% 0.25% 0.27% 0.27%
MAX 2.12% 2.12% 2.04% 1.95%
AVERAGE 1.09% 1.09% 1.12% 1.06%
ST DEV 0.5151% 0.5161% 0.5169% 0.5060%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
9/2/2016 12/2/2016 3/2/2017 6/2/2017 9/2/2017 12/2/2017 3/2/2018 6/2/2018 9/2/2018
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Rates Recent
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
16
6-month USD (SOFR)
Graph 8-A
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 2.16% 2.18% 3.85% 3.03%
MAX 5.31% 5.46% 5.29% 5.43%
AVERAGE 4.79% 4.91% 4.90% 4.72%
ST DEV 0.5639% 0.5898% 0.4034% 0.7660%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
9/2/2005 12/2/2005 3/2/2006 6/2/2006 9/2/2006 12/2/2006 3/2/2007 6/2/2007 9/2/2007
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 6M Rates Pre-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
17
Graph 8-B
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.01% 0.01% 0.10% 0.18%
MAX 5.20% 5.34% 3.89% 5.25%
AVERAGE 1.60% 1.62% 1.09% 2.25%
ST DEV 1.5811% 1.6165% 1.1156% 1.7720%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
9/4/2007 12/4/2007 3/4/2008 6/4/2008 9/4/2008 12/4/2008 3/4/2009 6/4/2009 9/4/2009
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 6M Rates During-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
18
Graph 8-C
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.06%
MAX 0.29% 0.29% 0.21% 0.21%
AVERAGE 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.14%
ST DEV 0.0708% 0.0709% 0.0565% 0.0497%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
0.35%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 6M Rates Post-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
19
Graph 8-D
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.01% 0.01% 0.04% 0.05%
MAX 0.28% 0.28% 0.19% 0.19%
AVERAGE 0.12% 0.12% 0.11% 0.12%
ST DEV 0.0664% 0.0665% 0.0571% 0.0481%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 6M Rates 2011-2013
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
20
Graph 8-E
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.25% 0.25% 0.44% 0.37%
MAX 2.12% 2.14% 2.30% 1.82%
AVERAGE 1.09% 1.09% 1.32% 0.91%
ST DEV 0.5151% 0.5211% 0.5431% 0.4459%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
9/2/2016 12/2/2016 3/2/2017 6/2/2017 9/2/2017 12/2/2017 3/2/2018 6/2/2018 9/2/2018
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 6M Rates Recent
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
21
1-month CAD (CORRA)
Graph 9-A
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 2.46% 2.47% 2.69% 2.48%
MAX 4.58% 4.60% 4.53% 4.55%
AVERAGE 3.93% 3.94% 3.97% 3.90%
ST DEV 0.5296% 0.5329% 0.5023% 0.5690%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
9/2/2005 12/2/2005 3/2/2006 6/2/2006 9/2/2006 12/2/2006 3/2/2007 6/2/2007 9/2/2007
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Rates Pre-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
22
Graph 9-B
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.20% 0.20% 0.23% 0.23%
MAX 4.57% 4.59% 4.53% 4.54%
AVERAGE 2.40% 2.41% 2.32% 2.51%
ST DEV 1.5454% 1.5513% 1.5438% 1.5419%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
9/4/2007 12/4/2007 3/4/2008 6/4/2008 9/4/2008 12/4/2008 3/4/2009 6/4/2009 9/4/2009
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Rates During-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
23
Graph 9-C
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.23% 0.23% 0.24% 0.24%
MAX 1.03% 1.03% 1.01% 1.01%
AVERAGE 0.74% 0.74% 0.76% 0.72%
ST DEV 0.3318% 0.3321% 0.3240% 0.3360%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Rates Post-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
24
Graph 9-D
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.95% 0.95% 0.99% 0.99%
MAX 1.11% 1.11% 1.03% 1.03%
AVERAGE 1.01% 1.01% 1.01% 1.01%
ST DEV 0.0156% 0.0156% 0.0091% 0.0091%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.85%
0.90%
0.95%
1.00%
1.05%
1.10%
1.15%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Rates 2011-2013
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
25
Graph 9-E
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.45% 0.45% 0.48% 0.48%
MAX 1.56% 1.56% 1.50% 1.50%
AVERAGE 0.87% 0.87% 0.89% 0.85%
ST DEV 0.3587% 0.3592% 0.3634% 0.3479%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
1.60%
1.80%
9/2/2016 12/2/2016 3/2/2017 6/2/2017 9/2/2017 12/2/2017 3/2/2018 6/2/2018 9/2/2018
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Rates Recent
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
26
6-month CAD (CORRA)
Graph 10-A
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 2.46% 2.49% 3.09% 2.53%
MAX 4.58% 4.68% 4.49% 4.46%
AVERAGE 3.93% 4.01% 4.15% 3.80%
ST DEV 0.5296% 0.5493% 0.3563% 0.6846%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
9/2/2005 12/2/2005 3/2/2006 6/2/2006 9/2/2006 12/2/2006 3/2/2007 6/2/2007 9/2/2007
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Rates Pre-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
27
Graph 10-B
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.20% 0.20% 0.24% 0.30%
MAX 4.57% 4.67% 4.36% 4.60%
AVERAGE 2.40% 2.44% 1.91% 3.00%
ST DEV 1.5454% 1.5807% 1.4396% 1.4162%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
9/4/2007 12/4/2007 3/4/2008 6/4/2008 9/4/2008 12/4/2008 3/4/2009 6/4/2009 9/4/2009
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Rates During-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
28
Graph 10-C
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.23% 0.23% 0.25% 0.24%
MAX 1.03% 1.03% 1.01% 1.01%
AVERAGE 0.74% 0.74% 0.84% 0.65%
ST DEV 0.3318% 0.3339% 0.2594% 0.3372%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Rates Post-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
29
Graph 10-D
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.95% 0.96% 1.00% 1.01%
MAX 1.11% 1.11% 1.02% 1.03%
AVERAGE 1.01% 1.01% 1.01% 1.02%
ST DEV 0.0156% 0.0158% 0.0053% 0.0046%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.85%
0.90%
0.95%
1.00%
1.05%
1.10%
1.15%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Rates 2011-2013
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
30
Graph 10-E
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.45% 0.45% 0.50% 0.50%
MAX 1.56% 1.57% 1.70% 1.34%
AVERAGE 0.87% 0.87% 1.01% 0.76%
ST DEV 0.3587% 0.3620% 0.3956% 0.2976%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
1.60%
1.80%
9/2/2016 12/2/2016 3/2/2017 6/2/2017 9/2/2017 12/2/2017 3/2/2018 6/2/2018 9/2/2018
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Rates Recent
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
31
1-month HKD (HONIA)
Graph 11-A
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
MAX 3.31% 3.32% 2.63% 4.94%
AVERAGE 0.78% 0.78% 0.75% 0.89%
ST DEV 0.8728% 0.8745% 0.8232% 0.9683%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Rates Pre-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
32
Graph 11-B
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
MAX 2.76% 2.76% 1.93% 1.94%
AVERAGE 0.27% 0.27% 0.24% 0.30%
ST DEV 0.5688% 0.5697% 0.5268% 0.5693%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
7/2/2008 10/2/2008 1/2/2009 4/2/2009 7/2/2009 10/2/2009 1/2/2010 4/2/2010 7/2/2010
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Rates During-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
33
Graph 11-C
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
MAX 0.14% 0.14% 0.05% 0.05%
AVERAGE 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.01%
ST DEV 0.0180% 0.0180% 0.0118% 0.0118%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.02%
0.04%
0.06%
0.08%
0.10%
0.12%
0.14%
0.16%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Rates Post-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
34
Graph 11-D
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
MAX 0.54% 0.54% 0.14% 0.14%
AVERAGE 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04%
ST DEV 0.0353% 0.0353% 0.0223% 0.0221%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
0.60%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Rates 2011-2013
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
35
Graph 11-E
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
MAX 1.92% 1.92% 0.46% 0.46%
AVERAGE 0.09% 0.09% 0.10% 0.09%
ST DEV 0.1537% 0.1539% 0.1090% 0.0964%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Rates Recent
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
36
6-month HKD
Graph 12-A
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02%
MAX 3.31% 3.36% 1.78% 2.48%
AVERAGE 0.78% 0.79% 0.55% 0.80%
ST DEV 0.8728% 0.8827% 0.6326% 0.6999%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Rates Pre-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
37
Graph 12-B
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
MAX 2.76% 2.79% 1.05% 1.46%
AVERAGE 0.27% 0.27% 0.11% 0.43%
ST DEV 0.5688% 0.5738% 0.2408% 0.5639%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
7/2/2008 10/2/2008 1/2/2009 4/2/2009 7/2/2009 10/2/2009 1/2/2010 4/2/2010 7/2/2010
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Rates During-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
38
Graph 12-C
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
MAX 0.14% 0.14% 0.05% 0.03%
AVERAGE 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.02%
ST DEV 0.0180% 0.0180% 0.0135% 0.0077%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.02%
0.04%
0.06%
0.08%
0.10%
0.12%
0.14%
0.16%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Rates Post-crisis
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
39
Graph 12-D
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.01%
MAX 0.54% 0.54% 0.05% 0.05%
AVERAGE 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04%
ST DEV 0.0353% 0.0353% 0.0106% 0.0123%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
0.60%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Rates 2011-2013
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
40
Graph 12-E
SORf CORf ARRf ADRf
MIN 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.02%
MAX 1.92% 1.94% 0.37% 0.23%
AVERAGE 0.09% 0.09% 0.12% 0.06%
ST DEV 0.1537% 0.1546% 0.0884% 0.0470%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Rates Recent
SORF CORf ARRF ADRf
41
Spread Adjustments
Forward Approach
As this is a "forward looking" method, the input market data is based upon the market swap
quotes from only one day. Maturities and curve construction varied across the three currencies.
The graphs are based upon forward swap (or FRA) rates, obtained (calibrated) via "dual curve
stripping" of the input swap curves, using standard Bloomberg interpolation/extrapolation
methods (extrapolation beyond the final input maturity is based upon "constant forward"
extrapolation).
For more information on swap curve construction, dual curve stripping, and
interpolation/extrapolation methods, please see OIS <go> on a Bloomberg Terminal.
Graphs 13 through 24 illustrate the forwards computed from the IBOR swap and RFR
swap curves and their spreads, in several IBOR tenors.
NOTE1: The forward credit spreads shown have multiple points of inflection (i.e., they vary
back and forth between convex and concave shape, etc.). This could be improved with joint
curve calibration/stripping. However for the purpose of this consultation, these graphs should
suffice as a reasonable, approximate representation of forwards spreads.
NOTE2: The RFR swap forwards that are projected from this calibration of OIS market quotes,
are (implicitly) consistent with the compounded setting in arrears rate, as described in Annex A
of the ISDA July 2018 Consultation.
42
USD (SOFR)
Graph 13
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
USD 1M Forward Rates and Spreads
USD.1M OIS diff
43
Graph 14
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
USD 3M Forward Rates and Spreads
USD.3M OIS diff
44
Graph 15
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
USD 6M Forward Rates and Spreads
USD.BASIS.3M.6M OIS diff
45
Graph 16
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
USD 12M Forward Rates and Spreads
USD.12M OIS diff
46
Graph 17
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Years
USD Forward Spreads
1mo 3mo 6mo 12mo
47
CAD (CORRA)
Graph 18
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
CAD 1M Forward Rates and Spreads
CAD.1M OIS diff
48
Graph 19
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
CAD 3M Forward Rates and Spreads
CAD.3M OIS diff
49
Graph 20
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Years
CAD Forward Spreads
1mo 3mo
50
HKD (HONIA)
Graph 21
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
HKD 1M Forward Rates and Spreads
HKD.1M OIS diff
51
Graph 22
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
HKD 3M Forward Rates and Spreads
HKD.3M OIS diff
52
Graph 23
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Rat
es
Years
HKD 6M Forward Rates and Spreads
s311 OIS diff
53
Graph 24
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Years
HKD Forward Spreads
1mo 3mo 6mo
54
Historical Mean/Median Approach
Graphs 25 through 36 illustrate an average (mean) spread over the past five years for the
1-month and 6-month IBOR tenors, with linear interpolation/extrapolation over the next
year (i.e., the "transitional period"), and beyond that, constant extrapolation to the mean.
These are all based on the compounded setting in arrears rate.
55
USD (SOFR)
Graph 25
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
4/1/2012 8/14/2013 12/27/2014 5/10/2016 9/22/2017 2/4/2019 6/18/2020 10/31/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Long History View
Future Past
56
Graph 26
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
3/6/2017 9/22/2017 4/10/2018 10/27/2018 5/15/2019 12/1/2019 6/18/2020 1/4/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Short History View
Future Past
57
Graph 27
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
4/1/2012 8/14/2013 12/27/2014 5/10/2016 9/22/2017 2/4/2019 6/18/2020 10/31/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 6M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Long History View
Future Past
58
Graph 28
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
3/6/2017 9/22/2017 4/10/2018 10/27/2018 5/15/2019 12/1/2019 6/18/2020
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 6M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Short History View
Future Past
59
CAD (CORRA)
Graph 29
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
4/1/2012 8/14/2013 12/27/2014 5/10/2016 9/22/2017 2/4/2019 6/18/2020 10/31/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Long History View
Future Past
60
Graph 30
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
3/6/2017 9/22/2017 4/10/2018 10/27/2018 5/15/2019 12/1/2019 6/18/2020 1/4/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Short History View
Future Past
61
Graph 31
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
4/1/2012 8/14/2013 12/27/2014 5/10/2016 9/22/2017 2/4/2019 6/18/2020 10/31/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Long History View
Future Past
62
Graph 32
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
3/6/2017 9/22/2017 4/10/2018 10/27/2018 5/15/2019 12/1/2019 6/18/2020
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Short History View
Future Past
63
HKD (HONIA)
Graph 33
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
6/1/2008 1/22/2010 9/14/2011 5/6/2013 12/27/2014 8/18/2016 4/10/2018 12/1/2019 7/23/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Long History View
Future Past
64
Graph 34
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
12/27/2014 10/23/2015 8/18/2016 6/14/2017 4/10/2018 2/4/2019 12/1/2019 9/26/2020 7/23/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Short History View
Future Past
65
Graph 35
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
6/1/2008 1/22/2010 9/14/2011 5/6/2013 12/27/2014 8/18/2016 4/10/2018 12/1/2019 7/23/2021
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Long History View
Future Past
66
Graph 36
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
12/27/2014 10/23/2015 8/18/2016 6/14/2017 4/10/2018 2/4/2019 12/1/2019 9/26/2020
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Credit Spread (Method 2) with ARRf; Short History View
Future Past
67
Spot-Spread Approach
Graphs 37 through 60 illustrate the spot-spread approach over the past five years, based
upon 10-day, 5-day, and 1-day (i.e., "spot") moving averages.
Graphs 37 through 48 are based on the spot overnight rate.
Graphs 49 through 60 are based on the compounded setting in arrears rate. Please note
that ISDA does not contemplate implementing the compounded setting in arrears rate with
the spot-spread approach. Therefore these graphs are provided only for purposes of
comparing the spot-spread approach to the historical mean/median approach and the
forward approach (both of which are illustrated above based on the compounded in
arrears rate).
68
USD (SOFR)
Graph 37
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-80.00
-60.00
-40.00
-20.00
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
21
-Au
g-1
3
21
-No
v-1
3
21
-Fe
b-1
4
21
-May
-14
21
-Au
g-1
4
21
-No
v-1
4
21
-Fe
b-1
5
21
-May
-15
21
-Au
g-1
5
21
-No
v-1
5
21
-Fe
b-1
6
21
-May
-16
21
-Au
g-1
6
21
-No
v-1
6
21
-Fe
b-1
7
21
-May
-17
21
-Au
g-1
7
21
-No
v-1
7
21
-Fe
b-1
8
21
-May
-18
21
-Au
g-1
8
21
-No
v-1
8
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateUSD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
69
Graph 38
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-80.00
-60.00
-40.00
-20.00
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateUSD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
70
Graph 39
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
21
-Au
g-1
3
21
-No
v-1
3
21
-Fe
b-1
4
21
-May
-14
21
-Au
g-1
4
21
-No
v-1
4
21
-Fe
b-1
5
21
-May
-15
21
-Au
g-1
5
21
-No
v-1
5
21
-Fe
b-1
6
21
-May
-16
21
-Au
g-1
6
21
-No
v-1
6
21
-Fe
b-1
7
21
-May
-17
21
-Au
g-1
7
21
-No
v-1
7
21
-Fe
b-1
8
21
-May
-18
21
-Au
g-1
8
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateUSD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
71
Graph 40
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateUSD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
72
CAD (CORRA)
Graph 41
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
12
-Au
g-1
3
12
-No
v-1
3
12
-Fe
b-1
4
12
-May
-14
12
-Au
g-1
4
12
-No
v-1
4
12
-Fe
b-1
5
12
-May
-15
12
-Au
g-1
5
12
-No
v-1
5
12
-Fe
b-1
6
12
-May
-16
12
-Au
g-1
6
12
-No
v-1
6
12
-Fe
b-1
7
12
-May
-17
12
-Au
g-1
7
12
-No
v-1
7
12
-Fe
b-1
8
12
-May
-18
12
-Au
g-1
8
12
-No
v-1
8
12
-Fe
b-1
9
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateCAD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
73
Graph 42
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateCAD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
74
Graph 43
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
13
-Au
g-1
3
13
-No
v-1
3
13
-Fe
b-1
4
13
-May
-14
13
-Au
g-1
4
13
-No
v-1
4
13
-Fe
b-1
5
13
-May
-15
13
-Au
g-1
5
13
-No
v-1
5
13
-Fe
b-1
6
13
-May
-16
13
-Au
g-1
6
13
-No
v-1
6
13
-Fe
b-1
7
13
-May
-17
13
-Au
g-1
7
13
-No
v-1
7
13
-Fe
b-1
8
13
-May
-18
13
-Au
g-1
8
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateCAD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
75
Graph 44
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateCAD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
76
HKD (HONIA)
Graph 45
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-200.00
-150.00
-100.00
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
15
-Oct
-09
15
-Jan
-10
15
-Ap
r-1
01
5-J
ul-
10
15
-Oct
-10
15
-Jan
-11
15
-Ap
r-1
11
5-J
ul-
11
15
-Oct
-11
15
-Jan
-12
15
-Ap
r-1
21
5-J
ul-
12
15
-Oct
-12
15
-Jan
-13
15
-Ap
r-1
31
5-J
ul-
13
15
-Oct
-13
15
-Jan
-14
15
-Ap
r-1
41
5-J
ul-
14
15
-Oct
-14
15
-Jan
-15
15
-Ap
r-1
51
5-J
ul-
15
15
-Oct
-15
15
-Jan
-16
15
-Ap
r-1
61
5-J
ul-
16
15
-Oct
-16
15
-Jan
-17
15
-Ap
r-1
71
5-J
ul-
17
15
-Oct
-17
15
-Jan
-18
15
-Ap
r-1
81
5-J
ul-
18
15
-Oct
-18
15
-Jan
-19
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
77
Graph 46
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-200.00
-150.00
-100.00
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
26
-No
v-1
52
6-D
ec-1
52
6-J
an-1
62
6-F
eb
-16
26
-Mar
-16
26
-Ap
r-1
62
6-M
ay-1
62
6-J
un
-16
26
-Ju
l-1
62
6-A
ug-
16
26
-Se
p-1
62
6-O
ct-1
62
6-N
ov-
16
26
-Dec
-16
26
-Jan
-17
26
-Fe
b-1
72
6-M
ar-1
72
6-A
pr-
17
26
-May
-17
26
-Ju
n-1
72
6-J
ul-
17
26
-Au
g-1
72
6-S
ep
-17
26
-Oct
-17
26
-No
v-1
72
6-D
ec-1
72
6-J
an-1
82
6-F
eb
-18
26
-Mar
-18
26
-Ap
r-1
82
6-M
ay-1
82
6-J
un
-18
26
-Ju
l-1
82
6-A
ug-
18
26
-Se
p-1
82
6-O
ct-1
82
6-N
ov-
18
26
-Dec
-18
26
-Jan
-19
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
78
Graph 47
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-150.00
-100.00
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
15
-Oct
-09
15
-Jan
-10
15
-Ap
r-1
01
5-J
ul-
10
15
-Oct
-10
15
-Jan
-11
15
-Ap
r-1
11
5-J
ul-
11
15
-Oct
-11
15
-Jan
-12
15
-Ap
r-1
21
5-J
ul-
12
15
-Oct
-12
15
-Jan
-13
15
-Ap
r-1
31
5-J
ul-
13
15
-Oct
-13
15
-Jan
-14
15
-Ap
r-1
41
5-J
ul-
14
15
-Oct
-14
15
-Jan
-15
15
-Ap
r-1
51
5-J
ul-
15
15
-Oct
-15
15
-Jan
-16
15
-Ap
r-1
61
5-J
ul-
16
15
-Oct
-16
15
-Jan
-17
15
-Ap
r-1
71
5-J
ul-
17
15
-Oct
-17
15
-Jan
-18
15
-Ap
r-1
81
5-J
ul-
18
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
79
Graph 48
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-150.00
-100.00
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
26
-No
v-1
52
6-D
ec-1
5
26
-Jan
-16
26
-Fe
b-1
62
6-M
ar-1
6
26
-Ap
r-1
62
6-M
ay-1
6
26
-Ju
n-1
62
6-J
ul-
16
26
-Au
g-1
6
26
-Se
p-1
62
6-O
ct-1
6
26
-No
v-1
62
6-D
ec-1
6
26
-Jan
-17
26
-Fe
b-1
72
6-M
ar-1
7
26
-Ap
r-1
72
6-M
ay-1
7
26
-Ju
n-1
72
6-J
ul-
17
26
-Au
g-1
7
26
-Se
p-1
72
6-O
ct-1
7
26
-No
v-1
72
6-D
ec-1
7
26
-Jan
-18
26
-Fe
b-1
82
6-M
ar-1
8
26
-Ap
r-1
82
6-M
ay-1
8
26
-Ju
n-1
82
6-J
ul-
18
26
-Au
g-1
8
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with SORf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
80
USD (SOFR)
Graph 49
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
21
-Au
g-1
3
21
-No
v-1
3
21
-Fe
b-1
4
21
-May
-14
21
-Au
g-1
4
21
-No
v-1
4
21
-Fe
b-1
5
21
-May
-15
21
-Au
g-1
5
21
-No
v-1
5
21
-Fe
b-1
6
21
-May
-16
21
-Au
g-1
6
21
-No
v-1
6
21
-Fe
b-1
7
21
-May
-17
21
-Au
g-1
7
21
-No
v-1
7
21
-Fe
b-1
8
21
-May
-18
21
-Au
g-1
8
21
-No
v-1
8
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
81
Graph 50
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
82
Graph 51
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
21
-Au
g-1
3
21
-No
v-1
3
21
-Fe
b-1
4
21
-May
-14
21
-Au
g-1
4
21
-No
v-1
4
21
-Fe
b-1
5
21
-May
-15
21
-Au
g-1
5
21
-No
v-1
5
21
-Fe
b-1
6
21
-May
-16
21
-Au
g-1
6
21
-No
v-1
6
21
-Fe
b-1
7
21
-May
-17
21
-Au
g-1
7
21
-No
v-1
7
21
-Fe
b-1
8
21
-May
-18
21
-Au
g-1
8
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
USD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
83
Graph 52
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateUSD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
84
CAD (CORRA)
Graph 53
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
12
-Au
g-1
3
12
-No
v-1
3
12
-Fe
b-1
4
12
-May
-14
12
-Au
g-1
4
12
-No
v-1
4
12
-Fe
b-1
5
12
-May
-15
12
-Au
g-1
5
12
-No
v-1
5
12
-Fe
b-1
6
12
-May
-16
12
-Au
g-1
6
12
-No
v-1
6
12
-Fe
b-1
7
12
-May
-17
12
-Au
g-1
7
12
-No
v-1
7
12
-Fe
b-1
8
12
-May
-18
12
-Au
g-1
8
12
-No
v-1
8
12
-Fe
b-1
9
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
85
Graph 54
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
86
Graph 55
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
13
-Au
g-1
3
13
-No
v-1
3
13
-Fe
b-1
4
13
-May
-14
13
-Au
g-1
4
13
-No
v-1
4
13
-Fe
b-1
5
13
-May
-15
13
-Au
g-1
5
13
-No
v-1
5
13
-Fe
b-1
6
13
-May
-16
13
-Au
g-1
6
13
-No
v-1
6
13
-Fe
b-1
7
13
-May
-17
13
-Au
g-1
7
13
-No
v-1
7
13
-Fe
b-1
8
13
-May
-18
13
-Au
g-1
8
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
87
Graph 56
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
CAD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
88
HKD (HONIA)
Graph 57
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
15
-Oct
-09
15
-Jan
-10
15
-Ap
r-1
01
5-J
ul-
10
15
-Oct
-10
15
-Jan
-11
15
-Ap
r-1
11
5-J
ul-
11
15
-Oct
-11
15
-Jan
-12
15
-Ap
r-1
21
5-J
ul-
12
15
-Oct
-12
15
-Jan
-13
15
-Ap
r-1
31
5-J
ul-
13
15
-Oct
-13
15
-Jan
-14
15
-Ap
r-1
41
5-J
ul-
14
15
-Oct
-14
15
-Jan
-15
15
-Ap
r-1
51
5-J
ul-
15
15
-Oct
-15
15
-Jan
-16
15
-Ap
r-1
61
5-J
ul-
16
15
-Oct
-16
15
-Jan
-17
15
-Ap
r-1
71
5-J
ul-
17
15
-Oct
-17
15
-Jan
-18
15
-Ap
r-1
81
5-J
ul-
18
15
-Oct
-18
15
-Jan
-19
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
89
Graph 58
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
26
-No
v-1
52
6-D
ec-1
52
6-J
an-1
62
6-F
eb
-16
26
-Mar
-16
26
-Ap
r-1
62
6-M
ay-1
62
6-J
un
-16
26
-Ju
l-1
62
6-A
ug-
16
26
-Se
p-1
62
6-O
ct-1
62
6-N
ov-
16
26
-Dec
-16
26
-Jan
-17
26
-Fe
b-1
72
6-M
ar-1
72
6-A
pr-
17
26
-May
-17
26
-Ju
n-1
72
6-J
ul-
17
26
-Au
g-1
72
6-S
ep
-17
26
-Oct
-17
26
-No
v-1
72
6-D
ec-1
72
6-J
an-1
82
6-F
eb
-18
26
-Mar
-18
26
-Ap
r-1
82
6-M
ay-1
82
6-J
un
-18
26
-Ju
l-1
82
6-A
ug-
18
26
-Se
p-1
82
6-O
ct-1
82
6-N
ov-
18
26
-Dec
-18
26
-Jan
-19
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 1M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
90
Graph 59
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
15
-Oct
-09
15
-Jan
-10
15
-Ap
r-1
01
5-J
ul-
10
15
-Oct
-10
15
-Jan
-11
15
-Ap
r-1
11
5-J
ul-
11
15
-Oct
-11
15
-Jan
-12
15
-Ap
r-1
21
5-J
ul-
12
15
-Oct
-12
15
-Jan
-13
15
-Ap
r-1
31
5-J
ul-
13
15
-Oct
-13
15
-Jan
-14
15
-Ap
r-1
41
5-J
ul-
14
15
-Oct
-14
15
-Jan
-15
15
-Ap
r-1
51
5-J
ul-
15
15
-Oct
-15
15
-Jan
-16
15
-Ap
r-1
61
5-J
ul-
16
15
-Oct
-16
15
-Jan
-17
15
-Ap
r-1
71
5-J
ul-
17
15
-Oct
-17
15
-Jan
-18
15
-Ap
r-1
81
5-J
ul-
18
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
Date
HKD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Long History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot
91
Graph 60
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
26
-No
v-1
52
6-D
ec-1
5
26
-Jan
-16
26
-Fe
b-1
62
6-M
ar-1
6
26
-Ap
r-1
62
6-M
ay-1
6
26
-Ju
n-1
62
6-J
ul-
16
26
-Au
g-1
6
26
-Se
p-1
62
6-O
ct-1
6
26
-No
v-1
62
6-D
ec-1
6
26
-Jan
-17
26
-Fe
b-1
72
6-M
ar-1
7
26
-Ap
r-1
72
6-M
ay-1
7
26
-Ju
n-1
72
6-J
ul-
17
26
-Au
g-1
7
26
-Se
p-1
72
6-O
ct-1
7
26
-No
v-1
72
6-D
ec-1
7
26
-Jan
-18
26
-Fe
b-1
82
6-M
ar-1
8
26
-Ap
r-1
82
6-M
ay-1
8
26
-Ju
n-1
82
6-J
ul-
18
26
-Au
g-1
8
Spre
ad (
bp
s)
DateHKD 6M Credit Spread (Method 3) with ARRf Short History View
5day moving avg 10day moving avg Spot