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Footwear Market Overview

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Page 1: Footwear Market Overview

поиск

Footwear Market Overview

Q3 2015

Page 2: Footwear Market Overview

Contents

01 User interest in fashion category

02 Fashion brand popularity dynamics

03 Footwear assortment analytics

04 Interest seasonality in footwear

05 Footwear brand analytics

06 Regional user interest in Footwear

07 Competitive landscape

Page 3: Footwear Market Overview

User interest in Fashion

Query dynamics

User interest growth in category

User interest growth forecast

User interest on online shopping in regions

User interest in Moscow, Saint-Petersburg vs. regions

User interest in Russia vs. CIS

01

Page 4: Footwear Market Overview

User interest in Fashion

4

0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8%

2013

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2014

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2015

Feb

Mar

Apr

Category queries share in total amount of Yandex queries

62%

23%

11%

4%

Clothes Shoes Accessories Underwear

Query distribution by segments within the category

Queries related to the scope of clothing and shoe shopping make about 0,5% of the total Yandex queries.

Keywords on clothes are the most popular in the category. They made up more than 60% of all category keywords for last 12 months.

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 5: Footwear Market Overview

410,542,067 436,679,820

+6%

1 2 0

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

2013

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2014

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2015

Feb

Mar

Apr

User interest in Fashion

In the last 12 months user interest in clothing and shoe shopping went up by 6%.

May’2014 – Apr’2015 May’2013 – Apr’2014

5 Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 6: Footwear Market Overview

44,586,888 54,043,079

+21%

1 2 0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

2013

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2014

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2015

Feb

Mar

Apr

User interest in Online Shopping

Growth of interest to keywords connected with user intent to buy online reached +21%.

May’2014 – Apr’2015 May’2013 – Apr’2014

6 Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 7: Footwear Market Overview

Query Dynamics within Category

User interest in clothes and shoes experience more significant seasonal changes than accessories or underwear.

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

7 Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Clothes

Shoes

Accessories Underwear

Page 8: Footwear Market Overview

The growth rate of the amount of queries in category (Impressions by quarters)

8

There was a significant decline of user interest in the category during the 1st half of 2014. But during the Q4 impressions increased to the previous level.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Russia CIS

Mill

ions

Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015

-17% +1%

+41%

-20%

-17% -9% +51%

+19%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Moscow and St.-Petersburg Russia (except Moscow and St.-Petersburg)

Mill

ions

Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015

-18% +1%

+38%

-28%

-17% 0%

+44%

-14%

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 9: Footwear Market Overview

Interest towards Category in Regions: CIS, Russia

The fastest growth of user interest in clothes and shoes is in CIS region. The growth of the category is quite steady in Russia but more rapidly in regions.

9

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

200%

2013

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2014

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2015

Feb

Mar

Apr

CIS Russia (except Moscow and St.-Petersburg)

Moscow and St.-Petersburg

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 10: Footwear Market Overview

Interest towards Category in Russian Regions

Share of queries from users in the regions with the highest internet penetration (Moscow and Moscow region, St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region) is gradually reducing.

The audience is steadily being reallocated in favor to the regions.

10

58% 55% 56% 58% 58% 58% 61% 63%

42% 45% 44% 42% 42% 42% 39% 37%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Summer 2013 Autumn 2013 Winter 13-14 Spring 2014 Summer 2014 Autumn 2014 Winter 14-15 Spring 2015

Russia (except Moscow and St.-Petersburg)

Moscow and St.-Petersburg

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 11: Footwear Market Overview

Regional Popularity

There is a fairly large margin of interest growth in Russian regions. The majority of traffic on clothing and shoe shopping comes from Central region. Thus, in Moscow popularity rate is 131%, whereas in most other Russian regions it is 80-120%.

North-West – 11% of queries Saint-Petersburg – 7% of queries Reg. popularity – 106%, 110%

Volga reg. – 13% of queries Reg. popularity – 83%

CIS – 18% of queries, Reg. popularity – 129%

South – 6% of queries Reg. popularity – 84%

Central district – 36% of queries Moscow – 26% of queries, Reg. popularity – 119%, 131%

Ural – 7% of queries Reg. popularity – 92%

Siberia – 8% of queries, Reg. popularity – 91%;

Far East – 2% of queries Reg. popularity – 114%

Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Jan 2015

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 12: Footwear Market Overview

Fashion Brand popularity dynamics

User interest in Russian online fashion retailers

User interest in International online fashion retailers

02

Page 13: Footwear Market Overview

User interest Dynamics (based on retailers brands statistics)

13

For the last 12 months, interest in local online retailers has remained at the same level while the interest in international online stores has fallen by -9%. As a result, in January, their share has exceeded the share of interest in international retail sites (54% vs. 46%).

Online retailers share, January 2014

0

4,000,000

8,000,000

12,000,000

16,000,000

20,000,000

24,000,000

28,000,000

Russian online stores International online stores

May 2013 – Apr 2014 May 2014 – Apr 2015

0% -11% 60%

40%

Russian International

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 14: Footwear Market Overview

14

Online fashion retailers brand dynamics

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Wildberries

Lamoda

Bonprix

Asos

Otto

Quelle

Witt

Sapato

Kupivip

La Redoute

Butik.ru

Tommy Hilfiger

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 15: Footwear Market Overview

15

Online fashion retailers popularity (Top-15 brands)

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

Russian online retailers

International online retailers

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 16: Footwear Market Overview

16

Online fashion retailers popularity (Positions 15-29)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

Russian online retailers

International online retailers

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 17: Footwear Market Overview

17

Brand dynamics of Russian online retailers

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Wildberries

Lamoda

Sapato

Kupivip

Butik.ru

Z95

Brand-in-trend (Names.ru) Boutique.ru

Trendsbrands

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 18: Footwear Market Overview

18

Variation in user interest in Russian online retailers

+13%

-2%

-50% -2% +3%

+22% -22% -16% -14%

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

Wildberries Lamoda Sapato Kupivip Butik.ru Z95 Brand-in-trend (Names.ru)

Boutique.ru Trendsbrands

May 2013 – Apr 2014 May 2014 – Apr 2015

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 19: Footwear Market Overview

19

Brand dynamics of international online retailers (Top-10 brands)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Bonprix

Otto

Quelle

Asos

La Redoute

Witt

Tommy Hilfiger

Yoox

Klingel

NET-A-PORTER

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 20: Footwear Market Overview

20

Brand dynamics of international online retailers (Positions 10-20)

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

NET-A-PORTER

Shopbop

Wenz

3suisses

Zappos

Luisaviaroma

Matches Fashion

Farfetch

Saks Fifth Avenue

Revolveclothing

Mytheresa

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 21: Footwear Market Overview

21

Variation in user interest in international online retailers (Top-10 brands)

-9%

-30%

-16% -10%

0% +5% +2% +11%

-18% -18%

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

Bonprix Otto Quelle Asos La Redoute Witt Tommy Hilfiger Yoox Klingel NET-A-PORTER

May 2013 – Apr 2014

May 2014 – Apr 2015

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 22: Footwear Market Overview

22

-18%

-2%

-10% -43%

-22%

-7% 0% +116%

-34%

+3% +23%

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

NET-A-PORTER Shopbop Wenz 3suisses Zappos Luisaviaroma Matches Fashion

Farfetch Saks Fifth Avenue

Revolveclothing Mytheresa

May 2013 – Apr 2014

May 2014 – Apr 2015

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Variation in user interest in international online retailers (Positions 10-20)

Page 23: Footwear Market Overview

Assortment Analytics: Footwear

User interest dynamics in shoes for men, women and kids

Interest distribution by types of shoes

Interest seasonality

03

Page 24: Footwear Market Overview

Shoes query dynamics

The biggest interest to the shoes is observed in spring and autumn. Number of search queries on children’s and women’s shoes is two times higher than on the men’s.

24

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Kids’ shoes

Women’s shoes

Men’s shoes

Page 25: Footwear Market Overview

Interest distribution by type of shoe

Top-3 the most popular search queries are for sneakers, high boots and pumps, which make up almost 70%.

25

32%

19% 15%

13%

5% 4%

3%

2% 2% 1%

4%

Sneakers - 31,8% High boots - 19,6% Pumps - 14,6% Boots - 13% Sandals - 5,3% Flats - 4% Uggs - 2,9% Ballet flats - 1,8% Ballet flats - 1,8% Felt boots - 1,5% Other - 3,6%

(based on statistics for the last 12 months)

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 26: Footwear Market Overview

Interest seasonality in Footwear

04

Seasonal popularity of shoe types

Main growing segments by season

Page 27: Footwear Market Overview

Seasonal popularity of shoes

27

Demi-season Summer

Demi-season Winter

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Sneakers

Pumps

Flats

Ballet flats

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

High boots

Ankle boots

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Sandals

Flip Flops

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Boots

Uggs

Hessian boots Felt boots

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 28: Footwear Market Overview

Main growing segments (by seasons): Shoes

28

Growth of Interest in Spring Growth of Interest in Summer

Growth of Interest in Autumn Growth of Interest in Winter

© Yandex 2015

There is the decline of interest almost of all types of shoes in winter.

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

Uggs Felt boots Flip Flops

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

Sandals Flip Flops Clogs

0 500,000

1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000

0 500,000

1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000

Page 29: Footwear Market Overview

Footwear brand analytics

Dynamics and distribution of brand queries:

•  in luxury-segment

•  in mass-segment

Geography of brand interest

TOP popular brands: dynamics and change of interest

05

Page 30: Footwear Market Overview

Brands’ dynamics

Dynamics of brands’ query corresponds the generic queries in the category. However, the interest towards luxury brands is higher in pre-new year period.

30

0

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,000

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

TOP-40 mass brands TOP-40 luxury brands Generic category queries

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 31: Footwear Market Overview

Brand interest distribution

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015 31

64%

36% TOP-40 mass brands TOP-40 luxury brands

(based on statistics for the last 12 months)

25%

23%

6% 5% 4%

37% Adidas Nike Reebok Incity Ecco Other

(based on statistics for the last 12 months)

Interest in mass brands is almost 2 times higher than the interest towards luxury brands, according to the Top-40 of both groups.

First and second places divided between sports brand Nike and Adidas, their total share make up almost 50% of Mass Brands interest.

Luxury vs. Mass brands Top-5 brands

Page 32: Footwear Market Overview

Top-20 popular mass brands

(based on statistics for the last 12 months)

32

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 33: Footwear Market Overview

Query dynamics of Top-10 mass brands

Undisputed leaders over the last 2 years are Nike and Adidas. 3rd place, depending on the month, divided between brands Incity, Reebok and Ecco.

33

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2013 Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Adidas

Nike

Reebok

Incity

Ecco

Puma

Mango

Oodji

Zara

Converse

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 34: Footwear Market Overview

Change of interest to mass brands

34

+7%

+2%

+4% -16% -14%

+1% +1% -17%

+28% +35%

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

Adidas Nike Reebok Incity Ecco Puma Mango Oodji Zara Converse

May 2013 - Apr 2014

May 2014 - Apr 2015

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 35: Footwear Market Overview

Regional user interest in Footwear

06

Page 36: Footwear Market Overview

Regional popularity: Shoes

36

Top 20 cities with the biggest number of queries for shoes.

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Num

ber o

f que

ries

(per

mon

th)

Regional affinity

High regional popularity is observed in the cities of the CIS, especially in Ukraine.

Page 37: Footwear Market Overview

82% 90% 89% 88% 88% 84% 83% 83% 83% 81% 81% 80% 80% 78% 77% 75%

18% 10% 11% 12% 12% 16% 17% 17% 17% 19% 19% 20% 20% 22% 23% 25%

TOTAL Low Boots Low Shoes

Felt boots Clogs Ankle boots

Boots Uggs High boots

Pumps Flats Sneakers Hessian boots

Ballet flats Sandals Flip Flops

Russia CIS

Russia vs. CIS: Shoes

37

Russia CIS

31%

20% 14%

13%

5% 4%

3%

2% 2%

2% 4%

Sneakers High boots Pumps Boots Sandals Flats Uggs Ankle boots Ballet flats Felt boots Other

34%

18% 15%

12%

7% 4%

3%

2% 1%

1% 3%

Sneakers High boots Pumps Boots Sandals Flats Uggs Ballet flats Ankle boots Flip Flops Other

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 38: Footwear Market Overview

49% 63% 63% 63% 58% 57% 56% 54% 54% 52% 49% 49% 48% 47% 45% 45%

51% 37% 37% 37% 42% 43% 44% 46% 46% 48% 51% 51% 52% 53% 55% 55%

TOTAL Uggs Low Boots Clogs Flip Flops Hessian boots

Low Shoes

Flats Felt boots Ballet flats Sandals Boots Sneakers High boots Ankle boots

Pumps

Moscow & St.Petersburg Russian Federation: regions

Regions vs. Capitals: Shoes

38

Moscow, St. Petersburg (with regions) Russian Federation: regions

31%

19% 13%

13%

5% 4%

4% 2%

2%

2% 5%

Sneakers High boots Pumps Boots Sandals Flats Uggs Ballet flats Clogs Felt boots Other

32%

21% 16%

13%

5% 3% 2%

2% 2%

1% 3%

Sneakers High boots Pumps Boots Sandals Flats Uggs Ankle boots Ballet flats Felt boots Other

Wordstat.yandex.ru, May 2014 - Apr 2015, World © Yandex 2015

Page 39: Footwear Market Overview

Competitive landscape Footwear segment

07

Page 40: Footwear Market Overview

© Yandex 2015 40

Segment dynamics

Yandex data. April, 2015.

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

0.45

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

2011 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2012 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2013 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Ad spend Number of advertisers CPC

Page 41: Footwear Market Overview

© Yandex 2015 41

Ad spend dynamics, units

Yandex data. April, 2015.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2011 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2012 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2013 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Thou

sand

s

Page 42: Footwear Market Overview

© Yandex 2015 42

Click volume dynamics on Search sites

Yandex data. April, 2015.

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2011 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2012 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2013 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Thou

sand

s

Page 43: Footwear Market Overview

© Yandex 2015 43

Click volume dynamics on Content sites

Yandex data. April, 2015.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2011 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2012 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2013 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Thou

sand

s

Page 44: Footwear Market Overview

© Yandex 2015 44

Average CPC, units

Yandex data. April, 2015.

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

0.45

0.50

2011 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2012 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2013 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Page 45: Footwear Market Overview

Click share – Search vs Content traffic compared to Category average

© Yandex 2015 45

30.2%

SHOES

Clicks from Content Sites Clicks from Search Sites

Data for the period: Q1'15.

Page 46: Footwear Market Overview

© Yandex 2015 46

Traffic from Content sites – dynamics

Yandex data. April, 2015.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2011 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2012 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2013 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2014 Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2015 Mar

Page 47: Footwear Market Overview

© Yandex 2015 47

Click share by regions

Yandex data. April, 2015.

Advertiser 1, 29% Advertiser 1, 31% Advertiser 1, 33%

Advertiser 2, 20% Advertiser 2, 21%

Advertiser 2, 27% Advertiser 3, 6%

Advertiser 3, 8%

Advertiser 3, 6%

Other Advertisers, [VALUE] Other Advertisers, 19% Other Advertisers, 14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Moscow Saint Petersburg Other areas

Page 48: Footwear Market Overview

Advertiser 1, 28% Advertiser 1, 17%

Advertiser 1, 24%

Advertiser 2, 22%

Advertiser 2, 14%

Advertiser 2, 20%

Advertiser 3, 6%

Advertiser 3, 7%

Advertiser 3, 6%

[SERIES NAME], [VALUE]

[SERIES NAME], [VALUE] [SERIES NAME], [VALUE]

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Search Content sites Direct - all sites

© Yandex 2015 48

Click share by sites

Page 49: Footwear Market Overview

Moscow

Saint Petersburg

Other areas

Click distribution by regions

© Yandex 2015 49

Yandex data. April, 2015.

SHOES

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr

Page 50: Footwear Market Overview

© Yandex 2015 50

CPC by ad blocks compared to category average, units

Yandex data. April, 2015.

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr

SHOES(Premium placement)

SHOES (Guaranteed placement)

Page 51: Footwear Market Overview

Thank you!

Yandex International Business Development [email protected] +1 617.398.7870