Football Mastermind b 24

8/12/2019 Football Mastermind b 24

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The Football Betting Mastermind

Your bible to successful football betting

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Football Betting Mastermind 2010

Brought to ou b htt!"##betinfo2$%co%u&

'isclaimer

The author, publishers and any third parties connected to this e-book cannot be

held responsible for any loss incurred from using the information provided in

this book.

The strategies and methods outlined in the football etting !astermind havebeen developed to give you a better chance of winning money, when followed

correctly the systems should produce consistent profits, however we cannot

guarantee or promise future profitability in anyway.

"lthough every effort has been made to produce a successful system that

reduces the chance of losing, it is still classed as betting and any form of betting

insures a risk factor. #nly bet what you can afford to lose.
http://betinfo24.co.uk/http://betinfo24.co.uk/


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(ntroduction

$irst and foremost % would like to thank you for investing in this book& you have

made a very wise decision. This book will not 'ust represent a betting system

but will become your betting bible( )ou will learn e*actly how the professional

gamblers work and how they make their living through football betting. )ou

will become an e*pert at football betting and will have a defiant edge not only

over 99.+ of punters but the bookies as well.

)hat*s this all about+

#ver the past few years % have been looking at ways to make a living from

football betting. Now this may surprise you but % havent been buying every

football system on the net or subscribing to tipping services in a uest to find

/the one( No, % have been putting my time into researching what it is the very

small minority of punters are actually doing to make consists profits week after

week. %t took a while but eventually % got there, and all the time it was right in

front of me, staring me in the face.

)ou see, the reason you and the ma'ority of the betting population fail to make

any kind of profit from betting, particularly football betting, is because they bet

on the wrong events, the wrong markets and most importantly the wrong teams,

without even mentioning discipline and money management.

0eople love to bet, and every week they will go to their local bookies and fill

out a football coupon, maybe even have a scorecast or 1stgoal scorer in the

hope that they can win uite a large amount in a short period of time.

nfortunately the ma'ority of them lose, maybe 'ust 1 team has let them down

on their coupon but they still lose, well the professional gambler is sitting theircounting his money.

% am guilty of this too and % still have a coupon at the weekend, but only very

small stakes and only for entertainment value. %n no way do % e*pect to make

serious money from a football coupon, first goal scorer or any other type of bet

of this nature.


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,o -hat e.actl is it ou bet on to ma&e a living out of football+

% dont want this book to be hundreds of pages long and % dont want to waffle

on about this that and everything to make the book seem longer. % am going toget straight to the point.

$orget accumulators, doubles, trebles, first goal scorers etc2

The absolute number 1 ruleis to bet on )(/ ,(/, 3/Y% Yes4 the

most sim!le and straight fore-ord bet ou can !lace% A sim!le )(/ bet%

This is -hat the !ro*s do and this is -hat ou should be doing too% A single

bet either -ins or loses4 if ou had an accumulator and 1 team loses and the

other 5 -in4 ou still lose% (f ou had !laced a -in single on each bet then

ou -ould have 5 -inners and 1 loser% 'on*t be fooled b the !otentiall

high returns of accumulators4 the ma loo& a!!ealing but the are not%

6nless ou*re a boo&ie of course77

3&4 so -ho do ( bet on+

% am going to split this book into sections because there are a couple of differentmethods % use each week. % will e*plain each section as simple as % can3

1. % will e*plain the theory

4. % will then show you the evidence

5. % will then show you e*actly how to find the winning selections every

week and make a healthy profit

6imple22.

6ection 1 involves backing short priced, /hot and /strong teams

6ection 4 involves backing lower league teams with value odds

6ection 5 involves betting on the #ver7nder goals market


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6ection 1

/acking short priced favourites that are almost certain to win, and guaranteed

to give you a long term profit

1% The theor

efore % began my research % presumed that professional gamblers knew

something that the rest of us didnt, % believed they had large winners at high

odds, or they had inside information or they 'ust got lucky. ow wrong could %

be2

"fter spending many hours talking to people, researching and finding out

e*actly what they were doing to make consistent profits from football betting %

was uite surprised when % discovered the answer. et me ask you this22

%f you bet :1; every 6aturday would you walk into your local bookies and put

:1; on This means you would win :1.=?

@ould you do it> N#, % didnt think so. Thats not even enough to buy you apint. %t probably doesnt even cross your mind.

ut this is e*actly what the professional gamblers do and its what % have been

doing all last season, however, with higher stakes than :1;.

Avery weekend there will be a number of teams that are priced somewhere

between 17? and B7=, and 99 of punters will discard them straight away. They

include them in their accumulators in the hope of increasing their winnings

slightly, but very few will consider backing them outright, and this makes thebookie very happy, because he knows that there are certain teams that have an

almost certain chance of winning and very few people are going to bet on them,

in fact many people will be against them in the hope of a shock result and there

small stake gets them big winnings, but very rarely does this happen.

% may sound a little crude but you must place yourself in a different frame of

mind from now on, if you want to start making consistent profits from football

betting 'ust like the pros then the first 4 things you must do is to bet /win

singles and bet at /odds on prices. Cnless there is very good value to be had,

which % will e*plain about laterD 6imple(


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@ell not uite that simple, this is only the half of it. %f you 'ust went around

betting on any odds on teams then you will uickly find yourself bankrupt.

There are certain teams and certain ways in which we select our bets each week.

%f you follow football already you will know that there are what % call /hotteams2

8ot teams

These are the teams that are way above the rest, and are e*pected to win every

week, although we know this is not possible we are surprised when they dont

win. The teams % am talking about are !anchester nited,


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#k, but % dont have :1;;; to bet on a football match>

Gont worry, % will cover this later and show you how to start with smaller

stakes, but now % want to show you some evidence that what % am saying is

1;; true.

2% vidence

"s % live very close to one of the countries leading bookmakers headuarters %

have a couple of friends who work there, and basically what happens is the

punters who place large bets are known by the bookie as /markers& basically

when the telephone rings and its 'o blogs who bets thousands, he will be

identified by the computer straight away and be put through to a departmentthat handles large bets. Now there are a few very wealthy people who bet

thousands of pounds on practically anything, and these people also lose

thousands of pounds and the betting company treat them very nicely. #n the

other hand there are people who bet big and win, and win consistently, and

guess what they are betting on> )ou guessed it, short odds football matches.

Now % know you only have my word for it so here is more evidence that % have

gathered. )ou may or may not be aware of a website called online betting guide,

basically its a sports betting website where anybody can sign up and share theirtips. %t also lets you place pretend bets and it keeps a record of your bets

including profit7loss. aving done a uick search of profitable tipsters, Cwhich

you can do yourself if you likeD % came across a couple that seem to make a

profit every single month. Take a look at the screen shot below3


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@here it says /twelve month profit seuence you will see a number of /green

thumbs up this indicates that this person made a profit during that month. "s

you can see in the first e*ample, this person has been giving his tips on there for

+ months and has had + profitable months. %n the second e*ample you will see

that this person has had 14 out of 14 profitable months. "nd guess what theywere betting on> )ou guessed it again( single /odds on football matches.

Take a look at some of the individual bets below. There is no way of making

these up or fi*ing the profits as #H does all of this for you.


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This guy has been doing e*actly what % have been talking about in this book,

throughout "pril and the start of !ay he has bet on 1B football matches and

won all 1B giving him a profit of :1+;4, you can see he has also placed a couple

of successful Tennis bets but we will discard them.

Take a look at the teams he has bet on and the odds. The odds dont look very

appealing do they but look how uickly the profits amount up, also look at what

teams he is betting on. )es, the /hot teams((

Thinks thats impressive, take a look at this guys below, he made :;52< from

his football bets in little over 1 month%


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% want you to take a closer look at his bets. Notice on !ay 9thhe had + single

bets on the /hot teams and all + won giving him a profit of :5++. Now if he had

an accumulator instead and placed 'ust 1 bet on all them winning he would have

won :B+9, great you maybe thinking, but this is only :1;B more than what he

won anyway, and what if 1 of the teams didnt win> e losses the lot.

Take a look at "pril 11th, he had B single bets but only 5 of them won, and heonly lost :81 Cif he was betting level stakes it would only of actually been a :+8

loss, but for some reason he bet :B;9 on Halatasaray instead of his usual :+;;D

%f he had bet an accumulator he would have lost :+;;. % hope you can see that

by betting win singles only you stand a much better chance of making long term

consistent profits.

ook at "pril 1Bth, he had B teams at very short odds. "ll B won giving him a

profit of :B4+. %f he had bet an accumulator instead he would have won an e*tra:158, but if 1 had lost he would have lost :+;;. ut as he has bet singles the


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most he stands to lose should 1 team fail to win is :4B+, if the lowest odds team

losses he would lose :1B; instead.

"s you can see, much better than losing :+;;. )ou may argue that by betting

singles he is actually staking more money therefore stands to lose more. This istrue but when we are sticking to our strict rules and betting on /hot teams the

chances of losing are very very slim.

% hope by now you can see my theory of placing single bets and that to win

consistently you need to bet on /hot teams. The big uestion now is..

8o- do -e find the 9hot* teams and -hich ones do -e avoid+

Hood uestion. %f you take a look at the weekend coupon you will notice that

there are a number of teams that have odds between 8711 F 17?, and uite

obviously these are very much favoured to win, but it doesnt mean they will.

ets say there are 8 teams that have odds shorter than 8711. #ut of these 8 teams

+ will probably win, 6o our 'ob is to make sure we find the teams that are going

to win.

)ou may be surprised to here this but we are not going to concentrate on form.

@hy not> ecause this is how the bookies compile their odds. %f team " hasshorter odds than Team it usually means that team " is a better team or has

had a better run of results over the past few games than Team . "s we are

betting on short odds on teams its obvious that they are going to be the better

team and have better form. @e will be looking a little deeper than form itself.

8ome Advantage%

%t is a well known fact that the home teams does better than away teams. Guring

the 4;;971; season in the premiership, +1 were home wins, 4+ Graws and

4B "way wins.

This is usually reflected in the odds. !anchester td will be a much shorter

price at home than they would be playing the e*act same team on the same day,

away, because looking at the stats, home teams win more often than not.

6o what does this mean for us>

@e can be even more confident in backing home teams or we can get better

value when a hot team is playing away>


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6o lets eliminate the ma'ority of teams and take a look at some /hot teams. The

obvious 4 being !an utd and


14/52

"s you can see, we have a similar story again. #ut of 19 games they have won

1= of them, and away from home they have won 'ust over half, +8

The same thing applies with "rsenal who finished 5rd

. They won 1+ out of 19home games.

%ts the same story in the 6panish league too. oth arcelona and Eeal !adrid

have only failed to win once at home all season.

6o we now know that by sticking to home teams we stand a much higherchance of winning. !ost of the bets % place are on home teams, however there

are some occasions when % bet on the away team when % feel they still stand an

e*cellent chance of winning and their price is better. % will come to this later.

B no- ( ho!e that ou understand the theor behind this

method and agree -ith the evidence that ( have sho-ed ou% ( am

no- going to sho- ou ho- to select the -inning bets over =0> of

the time77

8o- to find the -inning selections7

@ith this method % find that its a case of finding the risky bets and discarding

them rather than finding the winning bets, because lets face it. ike % saidbefore, these are well fancied teams with short odds that are e*pected to win. 6o


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its very easy to identify them. %f there are say = possible bets this weekend for

our /hot and /strong teams, we need to identify the best ones and discard the

more risky ones. %f you 'ust kept backing all of them you would eventually find

yourself in trouble.

The first thing % do each weekend is to print a copy of this $EAA football

prediction table. 6imply go to3 http377www.gyme*.com7

ere is an e*ample for the Anglish premier league and the 6panish iga.

? The first column sho-s the fi.ture

? The second column sho-s the soft-are*s !rediction @1 home -in%

dra-4 2 a-a -inC

? The third column sho-s the !redicted result4 but -e don*t reall need to

-orr about this%

? The ne.t 2 columns are for the results4 -hich -e don*t &no- et as the

games have et to be !laed%

? The se!arate column to the right sho-s the !ercentage of each outcome%

,o for e.am!le the first match sho-s that Arsenal have a chance of-inning4 and 1< > chance of a dra- and Bolton have a D> chance of

-inning.

asically thats all thats to it. )ou will notice that it sometimes predicts 4

results for the same match, e.g. $ulham v @olves it predicts a home win or a

draw.
http://www.gymex.com/http://www.gymex.com/


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#k, so you have printed out the table. )ou now need a redpen

and abluepen and you need to highlight the /ot teams in

redand the /6trong teams in blue. #nce you have done thatyou need to go to etfair.com and get the prices for the teams

you 'ust highlighted and write them ne*t to the tableC%f you

are unsure which teams are the /hot and /strong teams please

go back to page 5D


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#nce you have done this you should have a table that looks

like the one below3

#n this occasion we have identified + #Tteams and 9 6TE#NHteams. #ur'ob now is to remove the risky bets. To do this you can start by following these

set of rules.

1% 'iscard an 9strong* team @blueC if the are !laing a 98ot* team @redC

2% 'iscard an 9strong* team that is !laing a-a

;% 'iscard an 9strong* team -ith odds lo-er than 1%5

$% 'iscard an 98ot* team that is !laing another 98ot* team

5% 'iscard an 98ot* team that is !laing a-a against a 9,trong* team

E% 'iscard an 98ot* team -ith odds less than 1%15 @its ust not -orth

betting on odds lo-er than thisC


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0ut a line through any team which fall under any of the above rules.

#k, once you have done this you should now have a table that looks like the onebelow3

Eight. @e have reduced our original 1B teams down to =3

Arsenal

Ghelsea

etafe

Heal Madrid

,evilla

Ialencia


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Now its time to do a little research and see if we need to eliminate anymore

teams. 0lease make sure you have followed everything correctly up to this

point. %f you are unsure about anything then please go back a few pages.

etfair now give you a free form guide with every match so this is the first

thing we are going to look at. )ou can find the form guide by clicking on the

game that wish to see and then clicking /form stats as indicated below.

" new screen will then open like the one below3


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"s there have only been 5 games so far this season there is not much form to go

off. "s we can see, "rsenal have won their last 4 games C4-1D and C=-;D and they

have beaten olton on their last 5 occasions.

olton have decent form, they are unbeaten in their previous B games this

season, however they have not faced any strong opposition. They drew to

irmingham, beat @est am who are bottom of the league and beat

6outhampton who are not even in the same league, as this was a cup match.

6o 'ust by looking at this evidence alone suggests that "rsenal have a very good

chance of winning this match.

3ther factors to determine

" couple of other things you want to ask yourself are3

1. "re they any key players missing from the team we are backing> )ou can

check all the team news at the


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5. as either team 'ust sacked their manager or appointed a new manager>

%f so % would suggest avoiding this game.

B. @hat is there at stake> %f the weaker team needs to win to avoid

relegation then you dont want to be betting on this game.

8aving gone through this set of Juestions4 Arsenal still loo& a good bet and

( -ill be bac&ing them% You then need to do this -ith the remaining teams

that -e have selected%

Ghelsea are !laing fantastic a the minute -inning all of there !remier

league games so far ver comfortabl4 the face )est 8am -ho sit at the

bottom of the table% A no brainer even though the are a-a%

/o- on to Heal Madrid4 here is a screenshot of their form from Betfair

There has only been 1 game so far in the 6painsh league so we must be careful.

ooking at the stats here we can see that Eeal !adrid have won + of their last =

games at home, losing only to arcelona. #sasuna have lost their last = away

games. % think this is enough evidence to suggest a Eeal !adrid win here.


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Ialencia v ,antander

"gain, Ialencia are a /strong team playing at home. They have a very good

home record as you can see, winning the last =. 6antander do not have a good

away record.

% have decided that these B bets are the strongest as we can plainly see by the

evidence. % have decided to avoid the other 4 games as its only the second game

of the season so not a lot to go off and the form is not as strong as the games we

have selected.

@e now have B bets that we are very confident in and now % will be placing my

bets3


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ere % am using :1+; stakes. %f there is a /ot team that is at home and has

odds of 1.4 or under then % increase my stake for this to :4;;. #bviously you

may bet as much or as little as you like but % suggest you stick to the same stake

for every bet unless the odds are between 1.1+ F 1.4 and you are e*tremely

confident.

)ith ust these $ bets -e stand to -in :1=$%


24/52

Hesults K All $ of our bets -on giving us a ma.imum !rofit of :1=$% L stri&e using

this method% Hemember4 ust follo- the ste!s above and as& ourself the

Juestions on !age 15%

(M3HTA/T K You must &ee! a record of ever bet ou !lace% B

follo-ing the methods ( have sho-n ou above -ill &ee! ou disci!lined% (f

ou seriousl -ant to ma&e mone from this ou need to treat it li&e a

business4 therefore ou must &ee! records so that ou can trac& our!rogress% To ma&e an business successful ou need to be organised and

ma&e the right decisions% .actl the same goes for this77


25/52

,ummar age for section 1"

Bet on 98ot* Teams and 9,trong* teams%

o to http377www.gyme*.com70redictions.htmland print out the weekend

fi*tures7prediction table

ighlight the /ot teams in redand the /6trong teams in blue. #nce you have

done that you need to go to etfair.com and get the prices for the teams you 'ust

highlighted and write them ne*t to the table.

Now you must follow these rules3

1% 'iscard an 9strong* team @blueC if the are !laing a 98ot* team @redC

2% 'iscard an 9strong* team that is !laing a-a

;% 'iscard an 9strong* team -ith odds lo-er than 1%5

$% 'iscard an 98ot* team that is !laing another 98ot* team

5% 'iscard an 98ot* team that is !laing a-a against a 9,trong* team

E% 'iscard an 98ot* team -ith odds less than 1%15 @its ust not -orth

betting on odds lo-er than thisC

0ut a line through any team which fall under any of the above rules.

@ith the remaining teams you need to go to etfair and do a little more

research on their stats. !ake sure that your selections are viable and you are

e*tremely confident that they will will.

"lso check to see if the tam has and ma'or in'uries, new manager, or 'ust

retuned from a Auropean match away.

Now place your bets on your selections and wait too collect your profits(

Eemember, stay disciplined and only bet if you are almost certain of a win2

% recommend you print this page and keep it as a guide((
http://www.gymex.com/Predictions.htmlhttp://www.gymex.com/Predictions.html


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,ection 2

1% The theor

@ith section 1 we concentrated on the top leagues. @e were looking to bet on

the top teams in Aurope to give us a consistent and long term profit by backing

/hot and /strong teams at odds on prices. "lthough we have a massive amount

of information available to us for each and every game in top flight football, so

do the bookies. @e cant really get an edge over them because the premier

league is that publicised in this country that everybody knows whats going on.

)ou only have to pick up a paper or watch sky sports news. This is why we

concentrated on odds on teams because there is never really much valueavailable because all of the odds are pretty accurate.

6o in this section we are going to be looking at /value bets with higher prices,

and to find these we are going to look at the lower leagues2..

@hy>

ecause we can gain a better understanding and greater knowledge about lower

teams and leagues than the bookies can. 6o basically we can have a hugeadvantage over them((

!ost odds compilers spend most of their time pricing up premiership games,

meaning less time on the lower leagues. They basically use recent form,

reputation and current league position to determine the odds, they dont actually

get to see every game and analyse every club, they dont know if certain players

are in'ured, they dont know that a certain team who has lost their last 5 games

has actually been playing very well and been very unlucky. The bookie will 'ust

continue to give this team high odds because they have been losing,, where us

on the other hand know that the team has been performing well and are very

capable of winning a game very soon. @e back them at a very nice price and

say thanks very much to the bookie((

%f you get a good feel for a lower league and you know a bit of information

about a few of the teams then you can really make big money without having to

use massive stakes. % like to call it /lower league scalping because you are

going to become an e*pert at one of the lower leagues and you are going to

bleed the bookie of a lot of money, because you know more than them.


27/52

)ou should be getting very e*cited by the prospects of this section. This is my

favourite section and this is where you should treat this 'ust like a business. )ou

can actually make a comfortable full time living if you get this right((

%m going to show you e*actly what you need to do and where to find theinformation you need to be successful at this method, but first % am going to

show you some evidence.

2% The vidence

!y specialised league is league 4. This is because % am a 0ort Iale 6upporter.

Cdont laugh(D

Now over the past few years Iale have done nothing, they have managed to

survive and thats about it. %n fact, they are usually one of the favourites to go

down. ast season they appointed a new manager and he started to turn things

around and Iale began to play well and rise up the league, they actually had an

e*cellent away record but there home form was a bit average. They missed out

on the play offs by a few points.

efore the start of this season 0ort Iale played a few friendly matches, they

played well and were winning and their new signings were looking impressive.

$rom all the speculation in the local papers and the confidence surrounding theclub and by seeing them play % new that % was onto a good thing by backing

0ort Iale, especially away from home, and having one of the best, if not the

best away record out of every team in the league last season.

" lot of people % know actually backed Iale for promotion this season, even

6toke supporters, which says a lot(

6o the season begins and Iale are playing away to ury and they are available

at a very tasty 5.4+. Now if 0ort Iale had been at home then they wouldprobably have odds more like 4, but because they are away they get higher

odds, thats 'ust how it works with the bookies Cas e*plained in the previous

section on pages 8 and 9D.

Now % know that Iale have a good side, they are playing well and are especially

good away from home. 6o this is enough to suggest a bet on 0ort Iale

They went onto win the game 1-;


28/52

The following fi*ture was away again but in the cup, this time they faced J0E.

"t the time of writing this J0E are sitting comfortably at the top of their

league, which incidentally is 4 leagues above Iale. 0ort Iale actually beat them

5-1. "gain, compelling evidence.

"t the time of writing 0ort Iale have played B league games away from home

and won all B, conceding only 1 goal.

"fter beating ury away there ne*t opponents away were 6outhend, who they

beat 5-1. There ne*t away opponents were radford, and they were still giving

very tasty odds of 4.8 for Iale to @in, which of course they did.

y following 'ust 1 club in a lower league you can gain a huge advantage over

the bookie. #nce you start to follow 1 club you will uickly gain an insight to

the other teams in the league. $or e.g. 0ort Iale have 'ust beat !acclesfield 5-;

away. Now from what % have heard from people who went to watch the game is

that !acclesfield didnt play that bad and did not deserve to be beaten 5-;, they

'ust failed to put away their chances and Iale took theres. Now the bookies will

look at this result and think2 !acclesfield have had another beating, we will

give them a higher price ne*t game. ut % know that !acclesfield are very

capable of winning at some point even though they are not doing very well in

the league.

"t the time of writing this, !acclesfields ne*t opponents are Toruay away,which will obviously be a tough game considering Toruay are Bth the in the

league and !acclesfield are 44nd. The price for a !acclesfield win is a massive

?.B on etfair, and the price for a draw is a very tasty B.4.

Kust by looking at the form stats from etfair we can see that Toruay have

drawn 5 from their last B games, and we know that !acclesfield are capable of

producing a result, so % think that B.4 for the draw is good value and ?.B for the

win is also worth a bet(

Eemember, we are looking for /good value bets, not /ded certs

8o- to find the -inning selections7

%f you already support a team in league 1 or 4 then great, you are already half

way there. %f not then you are going to start following a team from today. )ou

are going to start following the closest team to where you live that play in

league 1 or 4.


29/52

@hy>

6imply because you can get access to local newspapers, you can talk to friends

or people you know who watch the team every week. )ou can listen in on

people down the pub and you can even go to the odd game if you wish.

%ts very important that you know the ins and outs of the team you have chosen.

ere is what % suggest you do3

$irstly, have a browse around your teams official website and read the latest

news about the club, read player reviews and match reports.

Aither watch them or listen to them on the radio every week so that you get a

feel for how they are playing and what there strengths and weaknesses are.

Eead the local news paper, you can pick up some great information.

#k, it wont take you long to become familiar with your team. %ts very

important that you do this, remember, we are treating this like a business, you

wouldnt go into business without knowing anything about the market you are

going into. 6ame applies here(

Now that you are familiar with your team and you have started to follow their

results, you will need to start making notes on the opposition, like the e*ample %gave you on page 4; where % said that although Iale beat !acclesfield 5-;, they

didnt deserve to lose 5-; and that they had the ability to win games.

Therefore % made a note in my book about !acclesfield.

eres another e*ample. % went to watch 0ort Iale v


30/52

The BBG

The < is a great website for us. %t has tons of information about the lowerleagues. % recommend you visit this site every week to check on the latest team

news, fi*tures, in'uries etc..

)ou can even watch all of the highlights from the previous weeks games. %

highly recommend you do this and listen to what the commentators have to say,

you can pick up some great tips 'ust by doing this, as well as gaining a better

understanding for the league.

http377news.bbc.co.uk7sport17hi7football7engLdivL57default.stm

8o- to find out all of this informationN%

"part from speaking to people directly the best resources are for us, is without

doubt the online forums. ere you can see hundreds of people discussing all

sorts of things about football and their local team. !ost fans are honest in thatthey will tell you if there team was lucky to get a result today, or if there best

player has 'ust been suspended and they dont think they can win without him.

)ou can build up a very big picture fast, by reading the forums. ere is an

e*ample % 'ust got while uickly browsing through the etfair forum3

This was from a Eochdale fan who as obviously given his honest opinion.

MK Dons 1-1 Rochdale . . . Another great result for our lads on theroad , thats 8pts from a possible 12 and is the best in the league at thistime .Yet another game in hich e loo!ed second best for most of the"# mins , MK loo! a $er% tid% outfit and ont drop man% pts at home .&he% ga$e us the runaround for '() of the game , but , e ha$e agame plan that fits this st%le of pla% , *raig Dason as aesome atthe bac! and loo!ed e$er% inch the +remiership pla%er he ill be netseason . MK ill be $er% disappointed the% didnt get pts toda% but so

hat , /righton and 0outhampton must ha$e felt the same a% .
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_div_3/default.stmhttp://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_div_3/default.stm


31/52

*heers arren .

e has 'ust admitted that his team were second best all game and that !M Gonslooked a very good side. C"nother note in the book hereD

e said that there defender /


32/52

% hope by now that you have understood that by gaining an e*tended knowledge

on a lower league that you can take advantage of the value in price and make

yourself a nice profit.

6o far % have told you that you need to follow a team in league 1 or 4 that you

live near to. )ou then need do some research on that team and other teams in

the league by using the official club website and the < site % mentioned on

page 41.

)ou then need to start making notes on each of the teams. This can be

comments you heard somebody saying down the pub, other supporters, people

on the forums % mentioned. "lso watch the highlights of the leagues games on

the < site and listen to what the commentators had to say.

y doing this you will very uickly build up a picture of your chosen league.

)ou are then ready to start betting, and here is what you do3

1D Het a list of the up and coming fi*tures for your chosen league

4D $irstly, concentrate on the fi*ture that involves your team, because this is

the team that you understand the most, so it makes sense.5D Eead through the forums and see what other supporters are saying and

make notes

BD 6ee what supporters of the other team are saying. "re they playing well,

do they have in'uries, is confidence high or low2

+D $rom the evidence you have gathered and the info you know make a

decision as to what you think the outcome will be

=D


33/52

8ere is an e.am!le of -hat ou need to do"

ere are the fi*tures and prices taken from et5=+, they are not necessarily thebest prices available but ok for the time being.

"s we can see, my team, 0ort Iale are +7= to win, 147+ to draw and ?74 to lose.

% now look at my personal notes3

!ale ha"e a good team and good manager this year

#$cellent start to the season

%oberts returns to the team after suspension (!ales best player by far)

!ale &triers are in form

'onfidence is high

!ales home record is not as good as it should be, although they ha"e won their

last home games


34/52

% know take a uick look at "ccringtons current form3

layed 7 and won with * draws+hey are unbeaten this season

+heir away games ha"e all been 0-0

#k, now its time to check the forums3

ere are the comments from Iale fans3

nother tough game - got a lot of time for &tanley and the way that 'oleman

has wored relati"e wonders on a shoestring budget.

/ey, as I thin it is in so many games will be that first goal. If we can get that,

&tanley will need to come out more and that will mae it a bit easier for us to

play our way than ha"ing to try to brea down a bric wall.

If &tanley get it then itll be a "ery, "ery difficult afternoon for us.

+hese away wins were picing will count for nothing unless we match it with

our home form1 win on &aturday is a must, but certainly cant be taen for

granted1

8ere are comments from Accrington fans

the problem teams are finding against &tanley is that we seem to ha"e a really

tenacious midfield *. +hey are chasing down e"ery ball and seem able to run

lie that for 20 minutes. 3nfortunately we ha"e lost ray putterill to a 40 odd

day ban and he was part of the craft to go with the graft - the other being5immy %yan. +eams arent getting time on the ball to play pretty patterns

through us or around us, so are ha"ing to resort to trying to put it o"er us.

'entre bacs lo"e that ind of tactic1 But one day we will get caught out by it

and will be done for pace o"er the top. s far as I can see the best way to

counter us is literally that, sit deep and in"ite us to attac you then try to brea

out. But that is a dodgy tactic e"ery time and we ha"e got players who can

unloc stubborn defenses - sometimes


35/52

#k, now its time to evaluate the evidence. Hoing from what we can see % think

we can discard an away win, so that leaves us with a home win or a draw, %

think this is a tough one to choose as % think it could be close, so lets have a

look at the odds to see if this helps.

The best price available for a draw is 157+ with @illiam ill C% use

http377www.odds checker.comD to find the best prices.

The best !rice for a home -in is 5#E

oo&ing at the odds -e are getting a much higher !rice for a dra-4 and

going from our evidence this loo&s a good bet at 1;#5% (f ou -ere using

:100 sta&es -ould stand to ma&e a !rofit of :2E1

la it safe

"lternatively you could bet on both outcomes, here are a few e*amples if you

were betting :1;; stakes3

aC (f ou fancied a home -in slightl over a dra- then ou could cover

ourself so that ou brea&even if it is a dra-% ,o ou could !lace :


36/52

bC (f li&e me4 ou fancied the dra- due to the better !rice4 but didn*t

-ant to lose an mone should Iale -in the ou could bet :5; on

the -in and :$< on a dra-%

(f (t is a dra- then ou ma&e :


37/52

ort Iale -ent on to -in 2?0

Macclesfield actuall beat TorJua ;?14 so -e didn*t have to -ait long for a

Macclesfield -in77

% could sit here a write hundreds of pages of e*amples but % think that would be

unnecessary, hopefully you have grasped the idea. 0lease read through this

section a couple of times.

% hope by now that you understand the importance of gaining a bit of

information to give yourself an edge over the bookies. %f you put the effort in

you will reap the rewards.

This may not be like other systems you have used, as with this you need to

make your own 'udgement. %f like most systems you base your selections purely

on form then you will never make any money because this is what the bookies

use to price up the games. 6o if for e*ample you have a system that says

something like2 /back teams that have won their previous 5 games and are

playing against a team that is at least + places below them in the league then

you are never going to get any value and will eventually lose, because you are

'ust going on form. )ou need more than that to become a successful punter(

,ummar

@hen betting on 0remiership and other top Auropean leagues then stick to the

/ot teams and the /6trong teams. )ou wont really find much value in these

leagues so youve got to go for a high strike rate. Meep it simple and only place

single bets.

@hen you become more comfortable you can then start to bet on the lower

leagues. This is where you really need to treat it like a business and keep notes

and records of everything.

)ou should be e*cited at the fact that you are going to become an e*pert at your

chosen league& you will have more knowledge than the bookie does and you

will be able to spot value when you see it. Hive yourself target but never chase

losses. )ou will encounter losing bets but you will also encounter a lot ofwinning bets.


38/52

,ection ;

This section involves betting on the over7under market. asically we are bettingon their being under 4.+ goals or over 4.+ goals in a game.

The theory

%n recent years, a new football betting market has evolved. The under7over 4.+

goals market has become increasingly popular among sports betting enthusiasts

and soccer fans. This kind of football betting allows punters to try to predict

whether or not there will be less than 4.+ goals scored in a match or more than4.+ goals.

Newcomers to football betting can be confused by the 4.+ figure after all it is

not possible to score this number of goals in a match. The 4.+ figure is 'ust an

imaginary one that sits in between the 4 goal and 5 goal marks allowing bettors

to bet on both scenarios.

The reason this market has become so popular is that people find it easier to

predict how many goals will be scored in a match rather than the eventual

result. $or e*ample, in a match featuring two very low scoring teams the

likelihood is that this trend would continue and goals would be scarce. %n

contrast games that feature two free scoring teams would be far more likely to

see more than 4 goals scored.

%f you can spot a team that is consistently involved in games which feature less

than 4.+ goals, it is possible to en'oy a high success rate with this form of soccer

betting. There have been many e*amples of outstanding teams who win most of

their matches yet still be involved in low scoring encounters.

$inding a team who is a good bet for the under7over 4.+ goals markets is not

'ust about how many goals they score. The defensive aspect is eually

important because how many goals a team concedes also plays a large part in

whether or not they are regularly involved in low scoring matches


39/52

8o- to select -inning bets"

@e are going to concentrate on under 4.+ goals, why> ecause when we bet on

under 4.+ goals we are in a winning position right from the off, as a game starts

;-;. %f we back over 4.+ goals then we have to wait for at least 5 goals to bescored, which we dont really want to do.

The under 2%5 goals sstem3

The key to finding consistent winning bets with the over7under goals market is

to find out what a teams defence is like. % know scoring goals also has a great

effect but to start with we are looking at the defence of a team.

y now you have been placing bets on premier league games and have been

studying a lower league and following a lower ranked team, so straight away

you should know if your team has a good defensive record or a poor one.

There is also lots of stats that are available too us to determine if a team has a

good defensive record or not. )ouve only got to look at the league table and it

tells you how many goals each team has scored and conceded.

% have come up with a formula to work from3

For under 2%5 goals -e are loo&ing forone these3

ome team poor goal scorers 7 "way team Hood defensive record

ome team and away team both have good defensive record

ome team have a very strong defensive record at home but not a good goal

scoring record.

" neither team wants to lose situation, e.g. two teams near the bottom of the

table. " local derby match, high pressured games(


40/52

8ere*s -hat to do"

Ho to www.bet5=+.comand find the weekends fi*tures3

ere are the premier league fi*tures3

Now click on the small image of a graph on the right hand side and you will be

shown a page with recent form, league table etc.. )ou want to click the link at

the top which says over7under and you will be presented with a table like the

one below
http://www.bet365.com/http://www.bet365.com/


41/52

This shows us the over7under stats for every team in the league. 6o as we can

see, !anchester utd have played ? games in total and = games have gone over

4.+ goals.

!anchester utd obviously have the goal scoring power but so far this seasonhave showed a rocky defence, which is why all of their games have been over

4.+ goals.

lackpool are top of this chart with as they also have had = games out of ? go

over 4.+goals.

6itting at the bottom are Averton, with 'ust 1 game out of ? that has gone over

4.+ goals. This shows that they are very tight at the back but are struggling to

score at the minute.

%f we look a little closer we can see that "ston Iilla and irmingham both have

over 4.+ goals in all of there away games.

#k, so you by now you understand the over7unders table and know where to

find it.

"nother thing you can look at is the league table. % use the < site3

http377news.bbc.co.uk7sport17hi7football7engLprem7table7default.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/table/default.stmhttp://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/table/default.stm


42/52

This shows us how many goals each team has scored and conceded both home

and away all season.

Kust by looking at these 4 tables you should get an idea of which teams score

goals, who has the tightest defence etc..

#k, now we need to find games that are not going to produce many goals. )ou

should be able to identify a few possible games 'ust by looking at the fi*tures

and then looking at the tables above.

8ere is an e.am!le for the fi.tures on the -ee&end of 3ct 1E th4 @( am

currentl -riting this 2 -ee&s before these games ta&e !laceC% ( -ant to

sho- ou this for real and not ust ma&e u! results or fi. it so that ( sho-

ou e.am!les of onl the -inning bets% ( have no idea if the -ill -in or all

lose4 and this boo& -ould have been released before 3ctober 1E thso it*s

im!ossible for me to change this no-%

6o here goes2


43/52

ere are the fi*tures for the 1=th, 1?thand 18th#ctober for the Anglish 0remier

eague

Kust by having a uick look through it there are some games we can dismiss.

Eemember, we are looking at tight games that wont produce many goals.

"rsenal v irminghamF "rsenal are uite capable of putting half a doOen goals

past anybody on their day, especially at home, and 'ust by looking at the

over7under table we can see that 5 out of 5 of irminghams away games havegone over 4.+ goals. @e will definitely avoid this one.

olton v 6tokeF $irst thoughts are that they are 4 physical teams, both capable

of grinding out results and keeping clean sheets. @e will look further into this

match to see if there is a possible bet.

$ulham v TottenhamF ondon derby, both teams have had a few games under

4.+ goals already this season and are uite low down in the over7unders table.

@e will look into this further.


44/52

!an utd v @est bromF ike "rsenal, !an are capable of scoring a lot of

goals past anybody, and their defence has not been brilliant so far this season,

we can tell 'ust by looking at the over7under table as they currently sit second.

@e can dismiss this match

Newcastle v @iganF @igan have not actually conceded away from home yet

and both of there away games have been under 4.+ goals. @e will look further

into this game

@olves v @est amF This is a bottom of the table clash. Eemember the

formula % showed you, and 1 of them was /neither team wants to lose. @ell this

is one of them situations. @e will look into this game further

"ston Iilla v


45/52

ets start with Bolton v ,to&e"

#n the et5=+ page you need to click on the small graph to the right of the

fi*ture, this will bring up the following screen3

ere we can see the last = results for both olton and 6toke. "s we can see,

stoke are pretty consistent with no games showing more than 5 goals and B of

the = games have been under 4,+ goals, they have also had a couple of clean

sheets. oltons results are a little more inconsistent with a couple of high

scoring games, but look who they were against2. "rsenal and !anchester utd,

4 very good teams who we have said earlier, can score a lot of goals past

anybody. 6o if we ignore these 4 matches we can safely say that olton, like

6toke are uite a tight defensive team.

$rom the evidence we have here % will be backing olton v 6toke to be under

4.+ goals.

rice ;#$

:100 sta&e -ill return :1


46/52

Hame 43

$ulham v Tottenham F

@e can see that $ulhams last B games have been under 4.+ goals, so thats a

good sign, and there only high scoring game was against lackpool, who as we

know sit top of the over 4.+ goals table.

Tottenhams form is difficult to sum up because there are 4 champions league

games and a


47/52

ame ; K

Newcastle v @igan

"s we can see, Newcastles last 5 games have been over 4.+ goals, however, we

can discard the


48/52

Hame B3

@olves v @est am F They sit pretty even in the over7under table.

@est hams last 5 premier league games have been under 4.+ goals and the 4

games which went over 4.+ goals were against !an and


49/52

Hame +3

Averton v iverpool

" big local derby which neither team wants to lose3

"part from their game against !an td, Averton havnt really scored or

conceded many goals and sit bottom of the over7under table, which means they

have had the most games under 4.+ goals so far this season.

iverpools for is a bit difficult to read as there is a carling cup match and 5

Auropean matches in there.

sually % would probably leave this match due to iverpools eratic goal

scoring7conceding, but this is definitely a game neither team wants to lose. Not

only because of the rivalry between the two teams but they are both near thebottom of the table. 6o because of this, % will back under 4.+ goals.

rice ;#$

:100 ,ta&e returns :1


50/52

Hame =3

lackburn v 6underland

%ts one of them matches where both teams have had a lot of under 4.+ goalgames, but most of them have seen 4 goals with only 6underland managing a

clean sheet.

lackburn are not prolific goal scorers and 6underland have a good defensive

record, so you would favour under 4.+ goals. ut at 8711 % think % will leave this

alone.

N# AT

#k, so there we have it. @e have B bets and we are backing them to finish under

4.+ goals.

ike % said earlier, % have no idea what the outcomes will be and % have not

fi*ed it in anyway. They may all win or they may all lose. ut if you stick to

this method every week you will definitely see more winners than losers.


51/52

6o there you have it, 5 very practical methods for making consistent profits

from football betting.

(m!ortant

To make this successful you are going to need a betting bank, now to make the

best use of section 1 you are going to need a large betting bank. 6o if you dont

have a large betting bank then you will 'ust have to be patient and build your

bank gradually. "lternatively you can take advantage of the bookies offers.

"lmost all online bookies offer incentives when you open a new account, such

as bet :1;; and get a free :1;; bet. This is a great way to build yourself a

betting bank. ere is a great system that guarantees you win( %ts called

ookieoopholeand % highly recommend it

NAIAE AIAE chase losses2

%f you 'ust lost 1 of your bets, dont place more money on the ne*t bet. This is a

definite N# N#.

)ou should decide on a stake that you feel comfortable with. ike in the

e*amples % showed you in sections 1, % bet :1+; stakes on the /hot and /strong

teams and :4;; stakes if the odds were below 1.4. % stick to this no matter what.

%ts like a business remember2.

% recommend you open an account with 0addy0oweras they are one of the best

online bookies.


52/52

ave belief in yourself, make a change. %f you really want to make this work for

you then it will. %f you cant be bothered to put in the effort then you will fail

like the ma'ority of punters, the decision is yours(

An'oy your profits((((((((((((((

All men dream but not equally. Those who dream by night in the dustyrecesses of their minds wake in the day to find that it was vanity; but the

dreamers of the day are dangerous men, for they may act their dreamwith open eyes to make it possible.

T.E. Lawrence

http377betinfo4B.co.uk

P$ootball etting !astermind 4;1;

Het a :+; $EAA bet now by opening a 0addy0ower account
http://betinfo24.co.uk/http://www.paddypower.com/racing?btag=10055825_21659620&AFF_ID=10055825http://betinfo24.co.uk/http://www.paddypower.com/racing?btag=10055825_21659620&AFF_ID=10055825

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Football Mastermind b 24