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JOIN. ENGAGE. ADVANCE.
OESA AUTOMOTIVE SUPPLIER BAROMETERFOCUS ON HUMAN RESOURCES/TALENT
November 2-4, 201590 Survey Responses
The OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer is published with the support of Deloitte LLP.
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OESA AUTOMOTIVE SUPPLIER BAROMETER EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Supplier Sentiment Automotive suppliers have an optimistic outlook. November saw a 5 point increase in the sentiment index (to 55) over September’s
neutral level. Confidence in the North American market supports this sentiment improvement.
Employment Overall North American employment will grow more rapidly for suppliers relative to
revenue growth. Europe and Asia Pacific employment will grow slower relative to revenue growth. South America is cause for significant concern and employment levels may fall.
Production 58% of companies are running alternate schedules to meet production
requirements while balancing personnel workloads and preventive maintenance. Use of temporary and contract workers is another avenue suppliers are opting for in
meeting increasing production volumes.
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OESA AUTOMOTIVE SUPPLIER BAROMETER EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
3OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Hiring More than three quarters of suppliers are hiring in the areas of engineering,
technicians, skilled trades and production workers and are also having trouble finding qualified, available candidate in engineers, technicians and skilled trade workers.
Filling executive, management and engineering positions is averaging between 3 to 6 months, one month longer than 2014 survey results
Training Training is the number one priority in HR activities for 2016 with the purpose of
engaging workforce, adding skills and closing internal skills gaps. 45% of companies indicate training budgets need to increase 11 to 20 percent to
close the skills gap; up from 36% last year.
Benefits The primary areas of benefit increases are in the areas of employer healthcare
contributions, bonus pools and training resources.
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OESA AUTOMOTIVE SUPPLIER BAROMETER DETAILED SUMMARY
4
The Supplier Sentiment Index, judging the suppliers’ change in 12-month outlook jumped 5 points in the November survey from the September base survey. This was driven by a falloff of those reporting being “somewhat more pessimistic” and a very uncharacteristic jump in those reporting to be “significantly more optimistic.”
Suppliers’ attitudes continue to be buoyed by the strong North American market. As one respondent mentions, “Strong Q4 2015 volume hint at a slightly stronger start to 2016.” As always, confidence and investment is driven by new product programs and growing markets. The increasing weight on the North American market is clear as suppliers indicate that the level of salary and production employment will grow more rapidly in North America than the potential change in North American share of their company’s total revenue. On the other end of the scale is South America where employment will grow slower than any change in the South American share of companies’ global sales. As one respondent points out, “[The] North American market [is] most for stability; Asia and Europe are tanking.”
Given the vast number of customer OEM and first tier plants that are squeezing every ounce of production from existing workforces and plants, 58 percent of respondents indicate they are running their plants with alternate work schedules. This is essentially the same as last year. What has changed dramatically is the percentage of production supported by these alternative work schedules. In 2014, 14 percent of the responses noted that 76 percent or more of their production are covered under alternate work plans. In 2015 that percentage has risen to 26 percent. Page 13 describes the wide range of schedules; most of which reflect the balance to increase thru-put without jeopardizing personnel burn out, overlooking preventative maintenance and the like.
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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OESA AUTOMOTIVE SUPPLIER BAROMETER DETAILED SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
5
Another route to handle increased product development, production and other demands is through contract and temporary workforces. On average, suppliers report they are using 15 percent contract personnel in plants for hourly positions and 5 percent for salaried positions. The median value for contract/temporary workers for corporate salaried positions is 3 percent. More illustrative is the range of responses. For example, companies use from 1 to 50 percent contract employees for their plant hourly positions. This indicates contract employees are not being used only for a stop gap measure but as a strategy to manage fixed costs as contingency workers.
Over three-quarters of the respondents report they are hiring in engineering, technician, skilled trades and production workers. An equally large percentage indicate they are having difficulties finding qualified candidates: from 85 percent for engineers to 78 percent for technicians and hourly skilled trades. Fifty-one percent indicate they are having trouble finding qualified hourly production personnel.
There is not as much – but still significant – interest by suppliers to be in the market for senior executives, general management, general administration or sales and marketing personnel. This does show companies are being very cautious adding personnel to general staffs and overhead versus customer-specific program and production activities. Over all, qualified candidates are easier to find for these positions. One respondent points candidates are harder to find as all job positions are seeing skill levels moving up market; “Engineers are needed to sell, traditional sales people are obsolete without technical knowledge and state-of-the-art production knowledge.”
The shortage of qualified talent showed up clearly in the range of time needed to fill the wide range of positions. Year-over-year, no position was filled in a lesser amount of time. In fact, senior executives, general management, engineering, and hourly skilled trades positions all added one month in the time it took to fill the position.
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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OESA AUTOMOTIVE SUPPLIER BAROMETER DETAILED SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
6
There has been no significant change year-over-year in the specific talent being sought after in the industry: electrical, quality and software engineers are at the top of every company’s list.
There also has been no change year-over-year in the top issues keeping job requisitions open: the qualifications of the candidates themselves, salary expectations of those that are qualified, and the geographic location of the job. In fact, the top six issues remained ranked in the same order as in 2014.
The importance of various HR activities have been shuffled around since 2014. Training, which ranked third last year, is now the number one priority for HR departments. While Organizational leadership, communication and empowerment slipped to second from first and Career and succession planning slipped a position from second to third. Certainly part of the emphasis for training is upskilling and closing internal gaps but it is also a way to engage the current workforce.
The elements of benefit packages are not expected to change much year-over-year. However, critical aspects including employer contributions to health care costs and bonus pools along with training resources are expected to change the greatest.
Companies are investing in core human resource development training including operational and process training. Internal training and development is rated the most effective strategy to up-skill skilled production workers
Training will continue to be a focus area as 45 percent of the respondents indicate that their company’s training budgets need to increase 11 to 20 percent to close their skills gap. This is up from last year where 36 percent of the respondents chose 11 to 20 percent increase needed to close the gap. This indicates we are slipping back rather than moving forward.
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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7%23%
52%
18%
0%1%
22%
52%
25%
0%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%Nov-15
Sep-15
IMPROVED OUTLOOK AND SENTIMENT
7
Outlook - 2 Months Sentiment – 1 Year
No. of Responses = 90
6155 53 57
5055
0102030405060708090
100
Describe the general twelve month outlook for your business. Over the past two months, has your opinion become:…?
Sentiment is an index calculated from suppliers’ outlook rating.
50 is the neutral index
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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LOOKING AT YOUR CURRENT GLOBAL FOOTPRINT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING REGIONS, HOW DO YOU ANTICIPATE YOUR REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT LEVELS SHIFTING OVER THE NEXT FIVE YEARS?
8
No. of Responses = 43-84
25%
24%
8%
10%
18%
19%
7%
9%
55%
49%
60%
58%
53%
50%
42%
26%
20%
27%
31%
31%
29%
31%
51%
65%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
Regionalemployment willgrow greater thanthe regional share ofcorporate sales
Regionalemployment willgrow equal to theregional share ofcorporate sales
Regionalemployment willgrow slower than theregional share ofcorporate sales
N America - Production
N America - Salary
Europe - Salary
Asia/Pacific - Production
Asia/Pacific - Salary
S America - Production
S America - Salary
Europe - Production
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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6%
20%
18%
25%
31%91% or more76-90%51-75%26-50%1-25%
ARE YOU RUNNING ALTERNATE SCHEDULES TO INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY OR FLEXIBILITY TO MEET CUSTOMER DEMANDS (I.E. 4-10 HOUR SHIFTS, 3 CREWS/2 SHIFTS, ETC.)?
9
No. of Responses = 87
Yes51
58%
No37
42%
If yes, what percent of your production are you running on alternate schedules (i.e. 4-10 hour shifts, 3 crews/2 shifts, etc.)?
Yes, 63,
62%
No, 39,
38%
2014
6%8%
17%
14%
55%
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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DESCRIBE THE ALTERNATE WORK ARRANGEMENTS ALONG WITH AND ANY PROS/CONS OF THE ARRANGEMENTS.
10
24/7 Operations Alternate 7 day work weeks. Some plants shift to 2-12 hour
shifts. We are running 7/24 and have been for three years. 7 days, 24 hours. We already run 24/7 four crews. 4 Shifts, 2-day crews, 2-night crews, 4 days on, 4 days off.
Allows for 24/7 production with least amount of hours required per employee.
Longer Shifts 12 hours X 2 shifts, Will help short-term; long-term can cause
turnover and low productivity. Three shifts and extended weeks are not uncommon. Primary
concerns are to provided two days off in a row for some special skill employees.
4 shift operations. Con - 2 shifts work excessive overtime. 4 shifts-12 hour days. By using 2x10 hours shifts, we have time for preventative
maintenance activities.Additional Crews 3 crews/2 shifts. Three work crews to cover 7 days per week.4-10 Hour Operations 4-10 and 3-10 split shifts. 4 -10 hour shifts: Monday-Thursday allowing for overtime to
be done on Fridays and allows for employees to have weekends off for off-shift employees.
4-10 hour shifts, and an evening shift for test service support.
Other Weekends on occasion. Extended/overlapping shifts in one area. Overtime. Temporary service. Plant efficiency prime metric, machine utilization
second, technical staff training and efficiency has improved greatly, which is the largest force multiplier. New technology in IT reducing headcount in non-engineering areas.
The weekends are always difficult for maintenance and support.
We use it sparingly, as a temporary gap filler; too much stress on the workforce and their personal lives.
Our UAW represented plants do not have the ability to enter into an alternative shift schedule based on contract language.
Contemplating furloughs for 2016. As the we try to improve capital utilization, it is
having a negative effect on our employees. Only special cases and last resort option. Typically
try to do for less than six months so new capacity or alternative ideas must be part of the plan.
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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ESTIMATE THE PERCENT USE OF CONTRACT OR TEMPORARY EMPLOYEES YOU NOW USE IN EACH OF THE FOLLOWING AREAS.
11
Number of Responses
Min. –Max.
Lower Quartile
Median Value
Upper Quartile
Contract/Temporary for corporate salary employees (%): 44 1-25% 2% 3% 5%
Contract/Temporary for plant hourly employees (%): 72 1-50% 8% 15% 20%
Contract/Temporary for plant salary employees (%): 39 1-20% 2% 5% 5%
Note: data is calculated from only suppliers using contract or temporary employees.
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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FOR NEXT YEAR, IS YOUR COMPANY PLANNING TO ADD OR CUT STAFF IN EACH OF THE FOLLOWING JOB AREAS. FOR THOSE AREAS WHERE YOUR COMPANY IS PLANNING TO ADD STAFF, INDICATE IF YOU ARE HAVING TROUBLE FINDING QUALIFIED, AVAILABLE CANDIDATES.
12
9%
5%
13%
9%
24%
26%
24%
27%
52%
47%
41%
38%
14%
23%
19%
19%
3%
6%
88%
88%
72%
51%
12%
12%
28%
49%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Engineering - hiring
- filling
Technicians - hiring
- filling
Hourly Skilled Trades -hiring
- filling
Hourly Production - hiring
- filling
Will increase significantly
Will increase moderately
Will increase slightly
No change planned
Will decrease slightly
Will decrease moderately
Will decrease significantly
Yes, we are having trouble findingqualified available candidates
No, we are not having trouble findingqualified avalable candidates
88% of companies hiring engineers are also having trouble finding candidates
88% companies hiring technicians are also having trouble finding candidates
72% of companies hiring hourly skilled trades are also having trouble finding candidates
51% of companies hiring hourly production workers are also having trouble finding candidatesNo. of Responses = 71-86
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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FOR NEXT YEAR, IS YOUR COMPANY PLANNING TO ADD OR CUT STAFF IN EACH OF THE FOLLOWING JOB AREAS? FOR THOSE AREAS WHERE YOUR COMPANY IS PLANNING TO ADD STAFF, INDICATE IF YOU ARE HAVING TROUBLE FINDING QUALIFIED, AVAILABLE CANDIDATES. (CONTINUED)
13
5%
3%
6%
15%
17%
30%
35%
36%
70%
60%
49%
41%
7%
6%
9%
3%
53%
55%
31%
56%
47%
45%
69%
44%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Senior Executives - hiring
- filling
General Management -hiring
- filling
General Administrative -hiring
- filling
Sales and Marketing -hiring
- filling
Will increase significantly
Will increase moderately
Will increase slightly
No change planned
Will decrease slightly
Will decrease moderately
Will decrease significantly
Yes, we are having trouble findingqualified available candidates
No, we are not having trouble findingqualified avalable candidates
53% of companies hiring senior executives are also having trouble finding candidates
55% of companies hiring general management are also having trouble finding candidates
31% of companies hiring general administrative are also having trouble finding candidates
56% of companies hiring sales/marketing are also having trouble finding candidatesNo. of Responses = 71-86
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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IDENTIFY THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF MONTHS TO FILL A REPRESENTATIVE JOB IN THE FOLLOWING AREAS.
14
Number of Months # of responses
Min. –Max.
Lower Quartile
Median Value
Upper Quartile
Senior Executives 52 2-20 4 6 6General Management 56 2-10 3 4 6General Administrative 62 1-6 1 2 3Engineering 72 1-18 3 4 6Technicians 70 1-12 2 3 5Sales and Marketing 61 1-12 2 3 5Hourly-Production 64 1-4 1 1 2Hourly-Skilled Trades 68 1-21 1 3 4
Note: When a respondent identified a range of time, the mid-point was used in the quartile calculation.
No. of Responses = 61-73
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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PLEASE PROVIDE MORE DETAIL ON THE CRITICAL HR SHORTAGES YOU HAVE AND TIME IT TAKES TO FILL OPEN REQUISITIONS, BEING SPECIFIC ABOUT THE TYPES OF POSITIONS (E.G. WELDING, SOFTWARE ENGINEERING, TEST TECHNICIANS ETC.).
15
Engineering: Electrical engineers (4 responses) Quality engineers. (3 responses) Software engineers. (2 responses) Controls engineers.(2 responses) Mechanical engineers with interior experience. Systems engineers. Process engineers. Manufacturing engineers. Product engineers. Most engineering positions in the US difficult to fill. Engineers with experience in our field were difficult to get a
year ago. Now is much easier because our competitors are laying off.
Qualified engineering positions. Engineer - 4 months (we have rotated several people through
who just have not worked out) Engineering manager: 4-5 months; just haven't been happy
with candidates. Not enough qualified engineers in the area and they don't want
to work at our location Engineering positions are the most difficult to source qualified
candidates.
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Skilled Trades: Maintenance (3 responses) Experienced skilled trades in electrical, machine
repair, mechatronics. Electricians. Skilled workers - pipefitters, etc.
Technicians: Need mid-level technicians. Process technicians skilled can be a challenge to
find top talent. Programming technicians are most difficult to find. Service technician.
Purchasing: Buyers. Finding skilled talent in procurement.
Sales: Technical sales representatives are hard to find. Sales engineers.
Quality: Supplier quality assurance is the most critical
position with difficulty to fill.
Tooling: Critical shortages are in tool and die.
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PLEASE PROVIDE MORE DETAIL ON THE CRITICAL HR SHORTAGES YOU HAVE AND TIME IT TAKES TO FILL OPEN REQUISITIONS, BEING SPECIFIC ABOUT THE TYPES OF POSITIONS (E.G. WELDING, SOFTWARE ENGINEERING, TEST TECHNICIANS ETC.).
16OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Production: Qualified hourly workers. All manufacturing in Mexico. Skilled machine operators in cold heading are rarely available. Qualified hourly have trouble passing our drug test.
Other: Designers - one year to find qualified candidates. Director of human resources: 3 months General manager: 5 months Four times less job applications, harder to find good candidates, looking outside of state. Market for top talent is hot in southeast Michigan and top talent often requires more compensation than my company is
willing to pay. Developing internal "schools" to train maintenance and skilled trades. Not enough qualified candidates with experience. Competing with larger organization salaries and benefits impacts time to fill.
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2.1
4.7
5.4
5.5
5.6
6.3
6.5
6.5
6.6
7.0
RATE EACH OF THE FOLLOWING REASONS THAT YOU BELIEVE PREVENT YOU FROM FILLING THE MAJORITY OF YOUR OPEN REQUISITIONS.
17
48%
6%
10%
22%
14%
12%
9%
8%
5%
3%
4%
5%
4%
17%
20%
13%
10%
10%
6%
9%
9%
10%
4%
7%
10%
6%
9%
19%
6%
10%
6%
6%
3%
2%
19%
11%
26%
15%
22%
18%
20%
15%
13%
11%
6%
15%
11%
14%
9%
10%
11%
18%
4%
13%
10%
10%
13%
13%
11%
6%
15%
9%
11%
6%
10%
13%
15%
14%
20%
13%
6%
7%
6%
13%
18%
16%
16%
13%
2%
10%
5%
9%
8%
8%
10%
10%
18%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Lack of qualified candidates
Salary expectations
Position location
Perceived work/life balance
Advancement opportunities
Job responsibilities
Industry reputation
Company awareness/reputation
Benefit offerings
Perceived long-term employmentstability
Most Prevalent = 1 Rating = 2 Rating = 3 Rating = 4 Rating = 5Rating = 6 Rating = 7 Rating = 8 Rating = 9 Least Prevalent = 10
Weighted rating
No. of Responses = 79-83
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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AS YOU PLAN FOR 2016, PLEASE INDICATE THE LEVEL OF IMPORTANCE FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING PRIORITY AREAS THAT YOUR ORGANIZATION’S HR FUNCTION WILL FOCUS ON TO SUPPORT BUSINESS STRATEGIES AND GROWTH OBJECTIVES.
18
28%
18%
20%
22%
15%
9%
17%
11%
41%
59%
45%
39%
38%
43%
32%
27%
27%
14%
27%
24%
32%
33%
33%
37%
7%
6%
14%
13%
14%
13%
21%
5%
4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Training
Organizational leadership, communication andempowerment
Career and succession planning
Variable compensation (bonuses, incentives)
Fixed base compensation
Workforce analytics (improve people managementdecisions, control workforce costs, etc.)
Benefits
Work flexibility
Highest Priority = 1 Rating = 2 Rating = 3 Rating = 4 Lowest Priority = 5
Weighted rating
No. of Responses = 81-83
2.07
2.14
2.23
2.35
2.51
2.56
2.57
2.79
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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FOR NEXT YEAR, IDENTIFY HOW YOUR BENEFIT PACKAGES ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE COMPARED TO THIS YEAR.
19
23%
10%
4%
4%
26%
25%
28%
10%
6%
4%
7%
9%
45%
44%
54%
81%
91%
88%
84%
84%
24%
7%
4%
3%
5%
5%
4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Employer health care contribution
Bonus pools
401(K) match
Vacation/PTO days
Life insurance packages
Company vehicle programs
Tuition reimbursement
Training (internal, external,certifications, CPE, etc.)
Increase more than 5% Increase 1-5% No Change
Decrease 1-5% Decrease more than 5% Not ApplicableNo. of Responses = 80-81
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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RATE THE FOLLOWING TRAINING INITIATIVES THAT YOUR COMPANY IS INSTITUTING OR CONTINUING FOR NEXT YEAR.
20
35%
30%
4%
7%
18%
38%
42%
26%
33%
36%
24%
18%
39%
37%
30%
8%
23%
18%
14%
8%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Operational and process training
Leadership and management training
Personal skills training
Team training
Professional skills training
Highest Priority = 1 Rating = 2 Rating = 3 Rating = 4 Lowest Priority = 5
Weighted rating
• Leadership and management training (e.g. supervision, succession, etc.)• Operational and process training (e.g. health/safety, lean, core, cross, etc.)• Professional skills training (e.g. product, quality, R&D, design, engineering, FMEA, skilled trades, etc.)• Personal skills training (e.g. computer, problem solving, time management, etc.)• Team training (e.g. organizational, continuous improvement, teamwork, etc.)
Please elaborate and describe any other training initiatives you are planning. Business skills training; technical and engineering training; foreign language training. Leadership and team training are highest priorities to align business with our customers. Emphasis on problem solving. Consistent need and requests for operational and process training.
No. of Responses = 84
2.0
2.1
2.5
2.8
3.1
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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WITH RESPECT TO DEVELOPMENT OF SKILLED PRODUCTION WORKERS, PLEASE IDENTIFY THE OVERALL EFFECTIVENESS OF THE STRATEGIES THAT YOUR COMPANY UTILIZES.
21
11% 36%
23%
15%
40%
41%
52%
12%
14%
15%
25%
18%
8%
12%
12%
7%
55%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Internal employee training anddevelopment
Involvement with local schoolsand community colleges
External training and certificationprograms
Creation of new veteran hiringprograms
Extremely effective Highly effectiveModerately effective Slightly effectiveNot at all effective Not applicable, we do not utilize this strategy
No. of Responses = 76-81
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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ESTIMATE HOW MUCH YOUR TRAINING BUDGET NEEDS TO INCREASE TO CLOSE THE SKILLS GAP YOU FACE.
22
Comments: I don't see it so much as a training exercise, but one more of leadership, communication, and
organization (internally). We had to completely change the way we do training.
2732%
3745%
911%
22%
34%
34%
22%
0-10%11-20%21-30%31-40%41-50%More than 50%Not applicable
No. of Responses = 83
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
Note: For U.S. based Operations
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MORE ON OUTLOOK AND SENTIMENT
23
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SUPPLIER OUTLOOKBY COMPANY REVENUE
24
13%
5% 6% 6% 5%
40%
21%
22%
22%
11%
8%
22% 33
%
20%
26%
33%
42%
56%
44%
72%
54%
56% 42
%
50%
61%
13%
32%
17%
33%
11%
38%
22%
25%
25% 13
%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%Significantly more pessimistic
Somewhat more pessimistic
Unchanged
Somewhat more optimistic
Significantly more optimistic
<$50 million
$50-$150 million
$151-$500 million
$501 million –$1 billion
>$1 billion
Global AutomotiveRevenue
# of responses
in Nov
# of responses
in Sept
<$50 million 15 19
$50-$150 million 18 9
$151-$500 million 18 13
$501 million -$1 billion 9 12
>$1 billion 20 23
SeptNov
No. of Responses = 80
SeptNov SeptNov SeptNov SeptNov
Compared to two months ago, how has your 12 month outlook changed?
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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SUPPLIER OUTLOOK
Significantly More Optimistic Forecast is growing. Large growth projected domestically. We are entering new markets and developing new products - a lot of new opportunities. Growth globally.
Somewhat More Optimistic We have a lot of new product launching; so far it has been smooth. Volumes are stronger than anticipated for 2015. Some of this enthusiasm is reflected now in 2016. A few conversations with key customers that show some big potential projects in the near-term. New business growth, additional customer in future. Strong Q4 2015 volume hints at a slightly stronger start to 2016.
Unchanged Still see the planned growth. Automotive remains positive, seeing signs of weakening on heavy duty diesel. Business outlook for the next five years remains high. Continued strong demand, stretching capacities. I already felt optimistic about the next 12 to 24 months. Based on our organic growth, we know that our business will continue to expand through 2020.
25OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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SUPPLIER OUTLOOK
Unchanged (continued) Auto OEMs continue to invest capital in new engine programs. The growth trajectory over the last six months has been impressive. We are cautious in our belief
that this will be sustained for a long period of time. Although the North American economy is solid and all indications seem healthy - consumers are still
to jumpy. While there seems to be slower growth in China, volumes are steady in the U.S. Continued challenge to retain talent and control costs in rapidly changing industry and competitive
talent market. I am still optimistic. Still positive. Already assuming impact of China slowdown in 2016. Sales forecasts are positive, but the capacity issues (Tier1 and Tier2)in the industry continue.
Somewhat More Pessimistic The automotive market will continue to be strong but our business will have challenges as the
industry to continues to move toward lighter materials. Specific roles are becoming more difficult to fill and develop internally. The strong dollar along with the slowdown in China is having a negative impact on the
manufacturing sector.
26OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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SUPPLIER OUTLOOK
Somewhat More Pessimistic (continued) Purchases remain stable. VW scandal. More competitive price pressures than last several years. With the slowing of the industrial markets we are anticipating a trickle down effect to automotive. Pricing pressures. Macro-economic headwinds and potential interest rate hikes. Recent economic indicators starting to show weakness. Our customers are starting to take days out
and new vehicle demand is weakening driving inventories.
Significantly More Pessimistic No responses in this outlook.
27OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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OESA AUTOMOTIVE SUPPLIER SENTIMENT INDEX
28
Pos
itive
Neg
ativ
e
7166
50 51
37
52
66 6460
55
4651
55 5562 60
6660 60
56 59 6156 56
6155 53
5750
55
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
No. of Responses = 90
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2015Published with the support of
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APPENDIX- PRIOR YEAR COMPARATIVE DATA
29
JOIN. ENGAGE. ADVANCE.
LOOKING AT YOUR CURRENT GLOBAL FOOTPRINT, FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING REGIONS, HOW DO YOU ANTICIPATE YOUR REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT LEVELS SHIFTING OVER THE NEXT FIVE YEARS?
30
No. of Responses = 66-100
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer-November 2012Published in partnership with
20%7%
14%
13%11%15%
9%13%
7%
13%15%
2%
32%48%
58%
38%53%53%
14%12%
27%
12%13%
23%
65%64%
60%
49%39%
40%
34%40%
46%
27%21%
37%
53%39%
35%
41%31%
28%
55%57%
59%
49%56%
54%
15%28%26%
37%49%
45%
57%47%48%
60%63%62%
15%13%
7%
21%16%
19%
32%31%
14%
39%31%
23%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
201220112010
201220112010
201220112010
201220112010
201220112010
201220112010
201220112010
201220112010
Regionalemployment willgrow greater thanthe regional share ofcorporate salesRegionalemployment willgrow equal to theregional share ofcorporate salesRegionalemployment willgrow slower than theregional share ofcorporate sales
N America - Production
N America - Salary
Europe - Salary
Asia/Pacific - Production
Asia/Pacific - Salary
S America - Production
S America - Salary
Europe - Production
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ESTIMATE YOUR FIRST HALF YEAR VOLUNTARY TURNOVER RATE FOR SALARY AND HOURLY PERSONNEL.
31
2014 No. of Responses = 73-772013 No. of Responses = 90-962012 No. of Responses = 90
Note: The OESA 2012 survey did not ask about hourly turnover rates
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
2014 2013 2012
Salary 4653%28
32%
89%
45%
11%
2022%
1416%
2629%
89%
2224%
3033%
1719%
1517%
78%
2123%
2532%
1317%
1520%
912%
1519%
Hourly
1014%
1723%
1318%
79%
2636%
JOIN. ENGAGE. ADVANCE.
FOR NEXT YEAR, IS YOUR COMPANY PLANNING TO ADD OR CUT STAFF IN EACH OF THE FOLLOWING JOB AREAS? FOR THOSE AREAS WHERE YOUR COMPANY IS PLANNING TO ADD STAFF, INDICATE IF YOU ARE HAVING TROUBLE FINDING QUALIFIED, AVAILABLE CANDIDATES.
32
No. of Responses = 79
61
59
54
54
0
3
17
20
25
22
53
47
45
26
7
8
8
27
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Engineering - hiring
- filling
Technicians - hiring
- filling
Hourly Skilled Trades -hiring
- filling
Hourly Production - hiring
- filling
Will be adding staff
Will be cutting staff
No change planned
Yes, we are havingtrouble finding qualifiedavailable candidates
No, we are not havingtrouble finding qualifiedavalable candidates
Note: Data labels show number of respondents
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
87% of companies hiring engineers are also having trouble finding candidates
80% of companies hiring technicians are also having trouble finding candidates
83% of companies hiring hourly skilled trades are also having trouble finding candidates
JOIN. ENGAGE. ADVANCE.
FOR NEXT YEAR, IS YOUR COMPANY PLANNING TO ADD OR CUT STAFF IN EACH OF THE FOLLOWING JOB AREAS? FOR THOSE AREAS WHERE YOUR COMPANY IS PLANNING TO ADD STAFF, INDICATE IF YOU ARE HAVING TROUBLE FINDING QUALIFIED, AVAILABLE CANDIDATES. (CONTINUED)
33
No. of Responses = 79
12
20
22
36
2
3
6
0
66
56
52
43
7
10
2
16
4
5
18
18
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Executives - hiring
- filling
General Management -hiring
- filling
General Administrative -hiring
- filling
Sales and Marketing -hiring
- filling
Will be adding staff
Will be cutting staff
No change planned
Yes, we are havingtrouble finding qualifiedavailable candidates
No, we are not havingtrouble finding qualifiedavalable candidates
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
Note: Data labels show number of respondents
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IDENTIFY THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF MONTHS TO FILL A REPRESENTATIVE JOB IN THE FOLLOWING AREAS.
34
Number of Months # of responses
Min. –Max.
Lower Quartile
Median Value
Upper Quartile
Executives 36 2-12 4 5 6General Management 36 1-9 2 3 5General Administrative 38 1-5 1 2 2Engineering 60 1-12 3 3 5Technicians 54 1-12 2 3 4Sales and Marketing 48 1-10 2 3 4Hourly-Production 50 0-5 1 1 2Hourly-Skilled Trades 53 0-9 2 2 4
Note: When a respondent identified a range of time, the mid-point was used in the quartile calculation.
No. of Responses = 67
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
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RATE EACH OF THE FOLLOWING REASONS THAT YOU BELIEVE PREVENT YOU FROM FILLING THE MAJORITY OF YOUR OPEN REQUISITIONS.
35
38%
5%
3%
3%
3%
28%
20%
8%
7%8%
9%
5%
3%
12%
24%
24%
13%
9%
11%
15%
9%
7%
7%
5%
15%
9%
13%
14%
9%
12%
11%
9%
5%
9%
11%
19%
24%
22%
17%
16%
8%
11%
15%
3%
1%
12%
9%
7%
7%
7%
9%
7%
5%
14%
5%
11%
13%
8%
8%
13%
12%
7%
8%
15%
9%
12%
15%
25%
13%
20%
3%
4%
11%
11%
16%
8%
13%
19%
15%
3%7%
4%
7%
5%
4%
13%
15%
15%
15%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Lack of qualified candidates
Salary expectations
Position location
Perceived work/life balance
Advancement opportunities
Job responsibilities
Benefit offerings
Industry reputation
Company awareness/reputation
Perceived long-term employment…
Most Prevalent = 1 Rating = 2 Rating = 3 Rating = 4 Rating = 5Rating = 6 Rating = 7 Rating = 8 Rating = 9 Least Prevalent = 10
No. of Responses = 74-76
Weighted rating
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
2.7
4.4
5.3
5.4
5.7
5.9
6.0
6.8
6.9
6.9
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AS YOU PLAN FOR 2015, PLEASE INDICATE THE LEVEL OF IMPORTANCE FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING PRIORITY AREAS THAT YOUR ORGANIZATION’S HR FUNCTION WILL FOCUS ON TO SUPPORT BUSINESS STRATEGIES AND GROWTH OBJECTIVES.
36
39%
29%
26%
21%
13%
9%
11%
10%
44%
50%
50%
40%
46%
54%
39%
19%
11%
15%
21%
31%
36%
30%
38%
49%
6%
6%
3%
8%
5%
8%
9%
19%
3%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Organizational leadership, communication andempowerment
Career and succession planning
Training
Workforce analytics (improve people managementdecisions, control workforce costs, etc.)
Benefits
Variable compensation (bonuses, incentives)
Fixed base compensation
Work flexibility
Highest Priority = 1 Rating = 2 Rating = 3 Rating = 4 Lowest Priority = 5
No. of Responses = 78-79
Weighted rating
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
1.85
1.99
2.00
2.25
2.34
2.36
2.52
2.85
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FOR NEXT YEAR, IDENTIFY HOW YOUR BENEFIT PACKAGES ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE COMPARED TO THIS YEAR.
37
16%27%
12%9%
4%
5%
5%5%
25%
32%31%
28%23%
13%
5%4%
9%4%
6%8%
10%10%
35%
43%36%
55%63%
77%79%
95%95%
84%94%
84%83%
82%82%
39%
8%5%
2%
3%2%
3%
2%
2%
5%
6%5%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
20142013
20142013
20142013
20142013
20142013
20142013
20142013
20142013
Increase more than 5% Increase 1-5% No ChangeDecrease 1-5% Decrease more than 5% Not Applicable2014 No. of Responses = 76-77
2013 No. of Responses = 92-95
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
Employer healthcare contribution
Bonus pools
401(K) match
Vacation/PTO days
Life insurance packages
Company vehicle programs
Tuition reimbursement
Training (internal, external, certifications, CPE, etc.) Training was not a sub-question in 2013
JOIN. ENGAGE. ADVANCE.
RATE THE FOLLOWING TRAINING INITIATIVES THAT YOUR COMPANY IS INSTITUTING OR CONTINUING FOR NEXT YEAR.
38
37%
26%
14%
10%
4%
37%
41%
40%
34%
22%
21%
23%
32%
36%
42%
3%
5%
14%
14%
23%
3%
5%
5%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Operational and process training
Leadership and management training
Professional skills training
Team training
Personal skills training
Highest Priority = 1 Rating = 2 Rating = 3 Rating = 4 Lowest Priority = 5
No. of Responses = 76
Weighted rating
• Leadership and management training (e.g. supervision, succession, etc.)• Operational and process training (e.g. health/safety, lean, core, cross, etc.)• Professional skills training (e.g. product, quality, R&D, design, engineering, FMEA, skilled trades, etc.)• Personal skills training (e.g. computer, problem solving, time management, etc.)• Team training (e.g. organizational, continuous improvement, teamwork, etc.)
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
2.0
2.2
2.5
2.7
3.1
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WITH RESPECT TO DEVELOPMENT OF SKILLED PRODUCTION WORKERS, PLEASE IDENTIFY THE OVERALL EFFECTIVENESS OF THE STRATEGIES THAT YOUR COMPANY UTILIZES.
39
12%
4%
1%
33%
18%
18%
5%
38%
41%
46%
11%
12%
18%
17%
11%
1%
5%
5%
11%
4%
13%
12%
63%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Internal employee training anddevelopment
Involvement with local schoolsand community colleges
External training and certificationprograms
Creation of new veteran hiringprograms
Extremely effective Highly effectiveModerately effective Slightly effectiveNot at all effective Not applicable, we do not utilize this strategy
No. of Responses = 76
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
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ESTIMATE HOW MUCH YOUR TRAINING BUDGET NEEDS TO INCREASE TO CLOSE THE SKILLS GAP YOU FACE.
40
4648%
2829%
89%
44%
11%
22%
77%
2014 No. of Responses = 772013 No. of Responses = 96
OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer- November 2014Published with the support of
2013
3039%
2836%
810%
23%
34%
34%
34%
2014
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THANK YOU FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION
41
The OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer is a bi-monthly survey of the top executives of OESA regular member companies. The OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer takes the pulse of the suppliers' twelve month business sentiment. In addition, it provides a snapshot of the industry commercial issues, business environment and business strategies that influence the supplier industry. The next survey will be launched on Monday, January 4, 2016 and will be released Monday, January 11, 2016.
For media questions For content questionsand comments, contact: and comments, contact:Dave Andrea Kathy ReissSenior Vice President DirectorIndustry Analysis and Economics Research and Industry Analysis248.952.6401 ext 228 248.952.6401 ext [email protected] [email protected]
OESA25925 Telegraph RoadSuite 350Southfield, MI 48033www.oesa.org
Please note: The information and opinions contained in this report are for general information purposes. Comments are edited only for spelling and may contain grammatical errors due to their verbatim nature. Responses to this survey are confidential. Therefore, only aggregated results will be reported and individual responses will not be released or shared.
Antitrust Statement: This survey content is exclusively about historical data, and respondents/participants should not contact each other to discuss responses, or to discuss the issues dealt with in the survey. It is an absolute imperative to consult legal counsel about any contacts with competitors. All pricing decisions and negotiating strategies should be handled on an individual company basis.