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Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th Operational Weather Squadron 22 April 2010

Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Page 1: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

Fly - Fight - Win

25th Operational Weather Squadron

LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples

Captain Brian YatesTraining Flight Commander

25th Operational Weather Squadron22 April 2010

Page 2: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Outline

Introduction

Basic concept review

Cross Section Conceptual Model

Cross Section Generation and Pattern Recognition

Cold Fronts

Cold Air Damming/Shallow cold front

Warm Front Example

Occluded Front example

Trough Example

Other Uses

2

Page 3: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Isentropic Cross Sections

Page 4: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Through a consistent analysis of isentropic vertical cross-sections several clearly identifiable patterns begin to emerge these patterns add value to what we’re analyzing through our traditional methods.

Through the years in the academic community these cross-sections were often used to point out fronts at all levels in the atmosphere, the tropopause, regions of instability, and even used to diagnose areas of ascent or descent.

With the installation of LEADS 4.2 and subsequently 4.5.1 we now have the ability to make these cross-section charts (relatively quickly) from a myriad of forecast model data and display several parameters on one display window.

Introduction

Page 5: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Thermal Wind Relationship in Isentropic Coordinates

cross sections are “cut” perpendicular to the feature being investigated.

In these areas of strong thermal contrast, look for a great tilt of the isentropic surface from high in the cold air to low in the warm air.

(1) When isentropic surfaces slope down, the thermal wind is positive; i.e., wind components into the plane of the cross section increase with height.

(2) When isentropic surfaces slope up, the thermal wind is negative; i.e., wind components out of the plane of the cross section increase with height.

(3) When isentropic surfaces are horizontal (quasi-barotropic), the thermal windis approximately zero and the normal wind component does not change withheight.

Concept Review

Page 6: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Stability inferences made from Cross Sections

Vertical separation between consecutive isentropic surfaces is a measure ofthe static stability. Viewing a cross section and noting regions of strong (weak) stability wherever isentropic surfaces are close together (far apart).

- Useful in locating upper level frontal zones, inversions, and vertical changes in stability. In many ways this is much better than using standard stability indices which are

parcel-related or only computed using certain levels of the atmosphere.

Concept Review - StabilityDr. Jim Moore, Saint Louis University

Page 7: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Page 8: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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-The slope of an isentropic surface in the vertical is directly related to the thermal wind. -A vertically sloping isentropicsurface is indicative of a strong thermal contrast, where isentropicsurfaces tilt up or down significantly one can diagnose a frontal zone and a commensuratechange in the wind speed with height. - In a cross section analysis, even inthe absence of wind data, one could diagnose regions of strong or weak wind shear.

Surface Cold Front

Concept ReviewCont – modern display

Page 9: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Results

Cross Sections take a few seconds to generate, but are well worth the time invested in generating them.

Notice on this chart the possible existence of a frontal system @ 39.13N, 86.62W

Page 10: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

Jet Stream Analysis

The rest of the storyOverlap??

Upper Air Analysis

Page 11: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

Jet Stream Analysis

The rest of the storyOverlap??

Page 12: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

Jet Stream Analysis

The rest of the storyOverlap??

Page 13: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Surface Analysis - Cold FrontsDr. Fred Sanders “Investigation of a Cold Front” circa 1955

· Frontal Analysis – Cold Front Review

10081002 1014

1020 1020 1014

FRONT

Page 14: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Surface AnalysisDr. Fred Sanders “Investigation of a Cold Front” circa 1955

· Frontal Analysis – Cold Front Review

Page 15: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Similar view of a cold front, present day

Red Circle – typical PFJ signature

Yellow Circle – “Y” Split between Tropopause and Stratosphere

Light Blue Circle – Upper Frontal zone

Black Circle – Surface and 850mb cold front

A

B

A B

Page 16: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Where is the Cold Front on this cross section?

Jet?

Page 17: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Steeply stacked cold front – note the Jet front relationship as the front crosses mountainous terrain

KFSX – Flagstaff, AZ

Page 18: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Page 19: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

Cross Section of Theta contours and shaded temperatures. Items to note in the circles are the lowering of the colder temps across both cold fronts , with the front further to the east being the stronger of the two

W E

Page 20: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Another steeply stacked cold front – Note the Jet front relationship as the front crosses mountainous terrain

Page 21: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Appalachian Cold Air Damming

Shallow Cold Front

Surface AnalysisCold Air Damming

Page 22: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Page 23: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Strong low level cold airmass from the SFC – 900mb. Evidence of another front in the area of the light blue circle.

Page 24: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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N S

Cross Section of Theta Contours and shaded lapse rates. Shaded regions of blue to purple show areas where temperature inversions are present.

Page 25: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Warm Front Example

Surface Analysis Warm Front

Page 26: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Warm Front – drawn from the warm air into the cold air. Note winds backing from southwest to east- southeast across the frontal zone. Also present is the drop in temperatures from south to north, almost a mirror image of what is present in a cold front.

A B

Note also the elevated warmlayer across Central Illinois

B

A

Page 27: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Occluded Front Example

Surface Analysis

Occluded Front

Page 28: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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A

B

Occluded Front MoC Example

Page 29: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Occlusion about to pass Fort Wayne, IN

Isentropes – solid black lines

Winds in Knots

Imaged Wind Speed

Very broad “U” shape of the warm air between the retreating cold airmass and the approaching cold airmass.

It becomes much more evident on the next slide.

A B

Page 30: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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TROWAL and Occlusion

Temperatures in degrees C

Note the Trough Of Warm-air Aloft (TROWAL) beginning at KFWA and sloping up and NE’ward evident to about 500mb.

A B

B

A

Page 31: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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TROWAL and Occlusion

Temperatures in degrees C

Zoomed in view of the TROWAL.

Below 400 mb

B

A

A B

Page 32: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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TROWAL and Occlusion

Lapse rates with the Occluded Front

Negative Lapse Rates start with the transition in shading from green to dark blue

Warm frontal inversion

B

A

A B

Page 33: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Surface AnalysisTrough or Front

· Trough or Frontal boundary???

Page 34: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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MetSat shows what could be a weak frontal system or simply a trough. Looking at the Theta and Temperature cross section there are 3 items that stand out on this chart1) Distinct warming in the upper

level temps on the left side of the chart.

2) The trough through the middle of the chart with no appreciable change in temperature

3) The remnants of what could be a weak cold front or occluded front in the black circle

Page 35: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Cross Sections used to indicate possible Orographically induced turbulence and downslope wind event.

Cross Sections other uses

Page 36: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Vertical velocity “couplet” pattern from 700 mb into the Stratosphere denotes possible terrain induced turbulence pattern. To date have not been able to find any reference trying Vertical Velocity values to turbulence intensities. But can recognize patterns that indicate possible terrain induced turbulence.

Page 37: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Cross Sectionsother uses

· Freezing precipitation at Cannon AFB, NM · Cross section shows warm layer aloft

Page 38: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Warm Layer ~2300ft thick

METAR KCVS 281155Z 00000KT 4SM -FZRA OVC008 M01/M01

Page 39: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Cross Sectionsother uses

· Possible Mountain Wave Turbulence and strong downslope winds at Malmstrom AFB, MT · Cross section shows Vertical Velocity signature and strong winds

aloft

Page 40: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Page 41: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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Summary

Previously used outside of the operational environment Isentropic Cross Sections have long been a valuable tool when looking at the 3-D aspect of the atmosphere.

As computing power continues to increase, these tools are becoming available with not only forecast data, but with real-time observed data

When employed correctly, the patterns recognized on a cross section can quickly add clarity to what may have been a confusing synoptic pattern, this is important in a work environment where time is critical

Identifiable features – Jet streams, shortwave troughs, warm, cold, occluded fronts, inversions, warm layers aloft, strong winds just above the surface, turbulent flow across mountains (inferred)

Page 42: Fly - Fight - Win 25 th Operational Weather Squadron LEADS Cross Sections Construction and Examples Captain Brian Yates Training Flight Commander 25 th

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References

AWS TN 87-002, “Isentropic Analysis and Interpretation”, 1987, pgs 37-44 , Dr. James T. Moore, August 1987

Palmen E. and Newton C.W., “Atmospheric Circulation Systems”, 1969, Academic Press

Martin, J. E., “Quasi-Geostrophic Forcing of the Assent in the Occluded Sector of Cyclones and the TROWAL Airstream”, 1999, M.W.R., 17, pgs 70-88

Saucier, Walter J., “Principles of Meteorological Analysis”,

Sanders, F., 1955: An investigation of the structure and dynamics of an intense surface frontal zone. J. Meteor., 12, 542{552.1955, Dover Phoenix Editions