37
FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare Vermont ACO Vice President for Accountable Care, Fletcher Allen Health Care Clinical Associate Professor of Medicine, University of Vermont

FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment

J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977)

Chief Operating Officer, OneCare Vermont ACOVice President for Accountable Care, Fletcher Allen Health Care

Clinical Associate Professor of Medicine, University of Vermont

Page 2: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

HEALTH CARE IN VERMONT

Vermont superlatives: Small, pretty, rural & healthyFirst or second “Healthiest State” in the USA625,000 population (equals Denver or Milwaukee)Low number of uninsured—6.8% (before exchange)Low to average health care spend per personHealth care is nearly 20% of state economy

2

Page 3: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

HEALTH CARE IN VERMONT

2 academic health systems (University of Vermont and nearby Dartmouth)

14 hospitals (8 are Critical Access)1,900 physicians (65% are hospital employed)Two commercial health insurers dominate marketAll major players are non-profitsLargely non-competitive provider model

3

Page 4: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

HEALTH CARE IN VERMONT

Aggressive state reform agendaCommitted to “Single Payer” by 2017 Fueled by SIM funding—Most per capita in USAExchange required for individuals and business <100One dominant, liberal political partyClosely regulated health care systemProviders and public sector closely engaged

Page 5: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

HEALTH CARE IN VERMONT

University of Vermont (UVM, in Burlington) is:• 90 minutes south of Montreal Canada• 6 hours north of New York• 4 hours north of Boston

Dartmouth and UVM on opposite state bordersVT & NH among smallest states with Med Schools

Page 6: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

6

Top 10 University HospitalUniversity HealthSystem Consortium (UHC) ranked University of Vermont / Fletcher Allen Health Care:

1st in the nation for patient safety for 20147th for overall quality of care

Page 7: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

Vermont’s Reform Legacy• Northern New England Medical Compact (1958)• Cooperative Health Information Center of Vermont (1970)• John Wennberg’s small area variations (1970)• CON controls (since 1979); Hospital budget reviews (since 1983)• State public controls after Reagan era relaxation (1987)• Vermont Program for Quality in Health Care (1988)• Medicaid expansion (1987…)• Health insurance reforms (1991…)• Creation of statewide Health Care Authority (1992)• Howard Dean’s unsuccessful universal access attempt (1992-94)

7

Page 8: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

Vermont’s Reform Legacy• Blueprint for Health—Chronic disease and PCMH’s (2003)• Choices for Care long term care reforms (2004)• Statewide HIE mandate (2005)• Catamount Health Plan (2007)• Contribution to and capitalization on PPACA (2010 to present)• William Hsiao Report on 3 Single Payer opportunities (2011)• “Single Payer” mandate (2011)• Green Mountain Care Board (2011)• OneCare Vermont first statewide Medicare ACO (2013)• Medicaid and Commercial ACO programs (2014)• Physician Assisted Dying legislation (2014)

8

Page 9: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

9

Health Care Reform Path 2011-2017

2010-2011Legislative Action

National: PPACAVermont: Act 48

2011-2012 Early Implementation

National: MSSP ACO Program; Age 26; Exchange PlanningVermont: GMCB seated; VT

exchange legislation; Hospital NR growth limits, payment

reform pilots

2012-2014Becoming Real

National: ACA benefit plans, exchanges,

Medicaid expansion Vermont: SIM Grant, VT Health Connect, Multi-

Payer ACOs; population-based SSP on top of FFS

2014-2016Redesign and Results National: MSSP ACO risk; stabilize ACA and national

exchangeVermont: ACO Multi-Payer;

GMC Funding design; continued provider

consolidation; Start move to non-FFS

2010 2011 201420132012 20172015 2016

2017+Future Model

National: Refined national model and/or

state innovation; Medicare/Medicaid funding challenges

Vermont: GMC as right of citizenship; new

funding and provider revenue model(s)

Page 10: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

onecarevt.org

10

Vermont Public Reforms Primary public agenda elements

• “Act 48”>Commitment to “Single Payer” reforms>Public financing of system (taxes replace premiums)

• State Innovation Model grant program (SIM)>Payment reforms away from fee-for-service

• Vermont Health Connect (PPACA insurance exchange)> To become single payer enrollment tool> To access to federal exchange premium subsidies

• Insurance market changes >Individuals, most employers must purchase via exchange

10

Page 11: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

11

Key Public Priorities

PAYMENT REFORMS

COST CONTROLS

PUBLIC R.R.

PUBLICALLY FINANCED

SINGLE PAYERHIE

UNIVERSAL ACCESS

Page 12: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

onecarevt.org

12

Vermont’s Private Reforms Primary private elements include

• Capitalize on federal and state legislative opportunities

• Explore payment reform alternatives to fee for service>shared savings > bundled payments>global budgets > pay for performance

• Explore Accountable Care Organizations and

ACO programs (Medicare, Medicaid, Commercial)

• Integrate Vermont Blueprint for Health PCMH initiative

• Structural changes (UVM Network, OneCare Vermont ACO)

• Eliminate cost shift

• Eliminate premium hikes at multiples of GDP rates

12

Page 13: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

13

Key Provider Priorities

TEMPERED COST GROWTH

WELL POPULATIONS AND COMMUNITIES

SUSTAINABLE REFORMS

PROVIDER R.R.

HEALTHIER PATIENTS

BETTER QUALIITY MORE PATIENT ENGAGEMENT

Page 14: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

14

Vermont’s Reform Landscape

THE VOCAL "CON"

"THE COALITION OF THE WILLING"

MENTAL HEALTH SUBSTANCE ABUSE

DLTSS

POST-ACUTE PROVIDERS

INSURED EMPLOYERS

SELF FUNDED EMPLOYERS

DARTMOUTH HITCHCOCK

ONECARE ACOUNIV OF VERMONT

FLETCHER ALLENVERMONT

BLUE CROSS

COMMUNITY HOSPITALS &

EMPLOYED MDs

INDEPENDENT PHYSICIANS

VERMONT STATEWIDE HIE

THE VOCAL "PRO"

VERMONT HOUSECOURTS

GOVERNORVERMONT SENATE

VERMONT SIM PROGRAM

GREEN MOUNTAIN CARE BOARD

VERMONT MEDICAID

VERMONT INSURANCE EXCHANGE

Page 15: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

15

Who Should Focus on What?

PUBLIC SECTOR (FEDERAL AND STATE) ADVANTAGESTATUTORY AUTHORITYREGULATION OF PAYERSCONTROL OVER PREMIUMSCONTROL OVER PLAN DESIGNWAIVER OF RESTRICTIVE LAW (FTC, CMS...)SENSITIVITY TO BUSINESS, CITIZEN INTERESTS

`

PRIVATE SECTOR (PROVIDERS, PAYERS) ADVANTAGEPAYMENT SYSTEMS EXPERTISEDEPTH OF SYSTEMS UNDERSTANDINGNIMBLENESSFLEXIBITYCOALITION BUILDINGSENSITIVITY TO PROVIDER, PAYER INTERESTS

THE GRAND DESIGN: CAPITALIZE ON LAW OF RELATIVE ADVANTAGE

PROVIDERSTO

INFLOWSREVENUE

OUTFLOWSCAPITAL TO INVEST IN DESIGNING REFORM

SIM FUNDS TO INVEST IN DESIGNING REFORM

Page 16: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

16

Both Pulling Together

TEMPERED COST GROWTH

PAYMENT REFORMS

COST CONTROLS

SUSTAINABLE REFORMS

PUBLIC R.R. PROVIDER R.R.

HIE

BETTER QUALIITY MORE PATIENT ENGAGEMENT

HEALTHIER PATIENTS

WELL POPULATIONS AND COMMUNITIES

UNIVERSAL ACCESS

PUBLICALLY FINANCED

SINGLE PAYER

Page 17: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

17

Filling the Funnel

OTHER STREAMS CURRENT PAYMENT SOURCES

PAY FOR NON-RESIDENTS' CARE

COMMERCIAL - SELF FUNDED * ORWORKERS COMP

TRICARE etc.

INFLOWS

OUTFLOWSTO

NO PREMIUMS, PUBLIC $'s ONLY BLEND OF PREMIUMS & PUBLIC $'s

* SOME COMMERCIAL SELF-FUNDED OPT IN, OTHERS DO NOT

PROVIDERS

"PURE" SINGLE PAYER "MODIFIED" SINGLE PAYER

NEW PAYROLL, EARNINGS TAX COMMERCIAL - FULLY INSURED

COMMERCIAL - SELF FUNDED *

MEDICARE VIA ALL PAYER WAIVER

MEDICAID VIA 1115 WAIVER

MEDICARE VIA 1332 WAIVER

FED SUBSIDIES VIA 1332 WAIVERMEDICAID VIA 1115 WAIVER

REVENUE

Page 18: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

18

Filling the Funnel (detail)

OTHER STREAMS CURRENT PAYMENT SOURCES

PAY FOR NON-RESIDENTS' CARE

COMMERCIAL - SELF FUNDED * OR

WORKERS COMP

TRICARE etc.

INFLOWS

NO PREMIUMS, PUBLIC $'s ONLY BLEND OF PREMIUMS & PUBLIC $'s

* SOME COMMERCIAL SELF-FUNDED OPT IN, OTHERS DO NOT

"PURE" SINGLE PAYER "MODIFIED" SINGLE PAYER

NEW PAYROLL, EARNINGS TAX COMMERCIAL - FULLY INSURED

COMMERCIAL - SELF FUNDED *

MEDICARE VIA ALL PAYER WAIVER

MEDICAID VIA 1115 WAIVER

MEDICARE VIA 1332 WAIVER

FED SUBSIDIES VIA 1332 WAIVER

MEDICAID VIA 1115 WAIVER

REVENUE

Page 19: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

19

Flowing to Providers

OTHER STREAMS CURRENT PAYMENT SOURCESPAY FOR NON-RESIDENTS' CARE

COMMERCIAL - SELF FUNDED * OR

WORKERS COMP

TRICARE etc.

FOR ALL LIVES

NON-POPULATION-BASED:

POSSIBLE ALL PAYER WAIVER

POSSIBLE GLOBAL BUDGETS

POSSIBLE COMMON FFS

AS NEGOTIATED OR BY LAW

"PURE" SINGLE PAYER "MODIFIED" SINGLE PAYER

NEW PAYROLL, EARNINGS TAX COMMERCIAL - FULLY INSURED

FED SUBSIDIES VIA 1332 WAIVER COMMERCIAL - SELF FUNDED *

OUTFLOWS

MEDICAID VIA 1115 WAIVER MEDICAID VIA 1115 WAIVER

MEDICARE VIA 1332 WAIVER MEDICARE VIA ALL PAYER WAIVER

SINGLE STREAM

NO PREMIUMS, PUBLIC $'s ONLY BLEND OF PREMIUMS & PUBLIC $'s

* SOME COMMERCIAL SELF-FUNDED OPT IN, OTHERS DO NOT

INCENTIVE PAYMENT: SELECT PROVIDERS

FOR THEIR ATTRIBUTED LIVES

TRANSITION PAYMENT: SELECT PROVIDERS

PREDOMINANTLY POPULATION-BASED:

PMPM: HOSPITALS, EE'd MDs, PCPs

COMMON FFS: ALL OTHERS

CAPACITY PAYMENT: SELECT PROVIDERS

REVENUEINFLOWS

TOPROVIDERS

FOR THEIR NON-ATTRIBUTED LIVES

NON-POPULATION-BASED:

POSSIBLE ALL PAYER WAIVER

POSSIBLE GLOBAL BUDGETS

POSSIBLE COMMON FFS

Page 20: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

20

Flowing to Providers (detail)

FOR ALL LIVES

NON-POPULATION-BASED:

POSSIBLE ALL PAYER WAIVER

POSSIBLE GLOBAL BUDGETS

POSSIBLE COMMON FFS

AS NEGOTIATED OR BY LAW

OUTFLOWS

INCENTIVE PAYMENT: SELECT PROVIDERS

FOR THEIR ATTRIBUTED LIVES

TRANSITION PAYMENT: SELECT PROVIDERS

PREDOMINANTLY POPULATION-BASED:

PMPM: HOSPITALS, EE'd MDs, PCPs

COMMON FFS: ALL OTHERS

CAPACITY PAYMENT: SELECT PROVIDERS

TOPROVIDERS

FOR THEIR NON-ATTRIBUTED LIVES

NON-POPULATION-BASED:

POSSIBLE ALL PAYER WAIVER

POSSIBLE GLOBAL BUDGETS

POSSIBLE COMMON FFS

Page 21: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

BLENDED VALUE AND VOLUME BASED REVENUE MODEL FOR ALL VERMONT HOSPITALS

PMPM FOR HSA-ATTRIBUTED LIVES

DERIVED FROM STANDARDIZED FEE FOR SERVICE

EQUIVLENT PAYMENTS

STANDARDIZED FEE FOR SERVICE FOR

CARE TO NON-ATTRIBUTED VERMONT LIVES

REVENUE FOR NON-VERMONTER CARE

REVENUE FOR NON-VERMONTER CARE

NEGOTIATED BASELINE AND INFLATOR

PLANNING SCENARIO

QUALITY & COST INCENTIVES

REMAINDER = DIMINISHING TRANSITION PAYMENT

ESSENTIAL SERVICES CAPACITY PAYMENT

CURRENT SOURCES OF PATIENT REVENUE

(CARE FOR VERMONT RESIDENTS)

Page 22: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

22

Enter the OneCare Vermont ACO

OneCare Vermont ACO

Began in 2012 as joint venture between Dartmouth and University of Vermont’s Academic Health System to:

• Explore potential for further collaboration

• Attempt a broad statewide population health strategy

• Present a unified front in politics of Vermont reforms

Structured as a Medicare SSP track one ACO

Page 23: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

23

Enter the OneCare Vermont ACO

OneCare Vermont ACO

“Discovered” by Vermont public reform authority• Adopted as a SIM program payment reform pilot

• Asked to co-design Medicaid and Commercial ACO dealsAgnostic to revenue sources including tax fundingNow providers’ lead vehicle in Vermont reform efforts Commissioned to design “flow from bottom of the funnel”Goal is a design that is

• Collaborative, cohesive and consistent

• Sustainable with reasonable growth rates

Page 24: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

24

Center Place in the Landscape

THE VOCAL "CON"

"THE COALITION OF THE WILLING"

MENTAL HEALTH SUBSTANCE ABUSE

DLTSS

POST-ACUTE PROVIDERS

INSURED EMPLOYERS

SELF FUNDED EMPLOYERS

DARTMOUTH HITCHCOCK

ONECARE ACOUNIV OF VERMONT

FLETCHER ALLENVERMONT

BLUE CROSS

COMMUNITY HOSPITALS &

EMPLOYED MDs

INDEPENDENT PHYSICIANS

VERMONT STATEWIDE HIE

THE VOCAL "PRO"

VERMONT HOUSECOURTS

GOVERNORVERMONT SENATE

VERMONT SIM PROGRAM

GREEN MOUNTAIN CARE BOARD

VERMONT MEDICAID

VERMONT INSURANCE EXCHANGE

Page 25: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

25

Vermont is a bit different…

Across the nation, ACO’s are typically business arrangements between groups of providers and one or more payers. Providers see ACO as a way to maybe make a little extra money.

In Vermont, ACOs are business arrangements between groups of providers and multiple payers. Providers see ACO as a way to maybe make a little extra money…

AND, the ACOs (particularly the OneCare ACO) are high profile leaders for statewide health care reform—private provider led efforts that complement the public sector led initiatives

Page 26: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

26

ACOs as a “platform” for reform

ACOs as a “Health Care Reform Trifecta”

Structure a broad network of linked providersContract voluntarily to mutual performance agreementsCommit to better understand community status & needsCommit to test and add new ideas into daily practiceStrive to achieve slower cost growth

(While improving clinical quality and patient satisfaction)Collaborate with insurers (Medicare, Medicaid, Blue’s)Willing to be paid differentlyWilling to assume more financial risk

Page 27: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

onecarevt.org

27

Provider-Led, Population-Based Coordination, Alignment, and Support

•Forum for Delivery System Design/Optimization

•Payment Reform Leadership•Revenue Model Design•Incentive Programs

•Care Management Design and Support•Primary Care/PCMH Alignment•HIE Facilitation•Population-Based Clinical and Analytic Systems•Quality Measurement

ACOACO

Regulator(s)

Payer(s)

Legislators

Physicians

Hospitals

Other Providers

OneCare Vermont Roles

Page 28: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

28

OneCare Vermont

Multi-payer, private/public collaboration

•Credentialed by Vermont reform authority as a SIM payment reform program

•100,000 attributed beneficiaries (16% of statewide population)•$750,000,000 accountable spend (17% of statewide health care spending)

•MSSP began January 2013•Medicaid (VMSSP) began January 2014•Commercial (XSSP) began January 2014

•Quality measures: CMS-33 plus others for Medicaid and Commercial ACO programs

•Preparing for two-sided risk starting in 2016

Page 29: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

OneCare Vermont

Statewide ACO Provider Network

•Two Academic Medical Centers (University of Vermont and Dartmouth)

•Every hospital in the state

•550 Primary Care clinicians 90% are NCQA medical home practices•1,400 Specialist physicians

•4 Federally Qualified Health Centers•5 Rural Health Clinics

•Broad network model:Nearly every VNA, Hospice, SNF and Community Mental Health and Substance Abuse agency statewide

•Links to other large ACOs in upstate New York, New Hampshire and MaineHospitals with Employed Attributing Physicians

Significant Attribution from Community Physicians29

Page 30: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

Some OneCare Notable Notes

• Central role in Vermont statewide health care system reform • Credentialed by state regulators as payment reform program• One of very few statewide ACOs in nation• One of few ACOs sponsored by two academic health centers• One of largest rural ACO’s—now at over100,000 attributed lives • Now accountable for $750,000,000 in health care costs and growing• One of relatively few multi-payer ACOs • Unusually broad-spectrum provider network strategy• Linked to ACOs from St Lawrence valley in New York to coastal Maine• Close collaboration with Vermont ‘s statewide medical home model• Designed to be compatible with Vermont’s plans for “Single Payer”

Page 31: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

31

The Future of Vermont Reforms

Opportunities• Providers are engaged and collaborative

>Population-based approach is being widely embraced

• Broad physician alignment>65% of MDs work for hospitals or FQHCs>All hospitals and FQHCs are in multipayer ACOs

• Data infrastructure is approaching maturity>Statewide HIE>All-payer claims databases>Northern New England Accountable Care Collaborative

• OneCare provides statewide framework for real change

Page 32: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

32

The Future of Vermont Reforms

Challenges• How do you improve on our high-performing system?• Ongoing tension about who should lead reform

>Best public-private balance?>Best locus for public leadership—political or policy centric>Best roles for providers / payers / ACOs / state agencies?

• Providers’ concerns about their future sustainability • Wariness about Vermont state intensions• Wariness about Dartmouth and UVM intensions• The heaviest lifting has yet to come

Page 33: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

33

Some Key Unknowns

Will Vermont receive its required federal waivers?

Will the Vermont legislature approve public financing? “The largest tax increase in state history” “Substituting payroll taxes for private insurer premiums”

Where will “Single Payer” risk be held?

Will state or providers control key reform infrastructure?

What role will commercial payers continue to play?

Will ERISA plan employers successfully sue Vermont?

Page 34: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

34

Some Key Unknowns

How will Vermont reforms impact out of state providers?

(Dartmouth Hitchcock, Boston Children’s…)

Will the reforms adversely impact the state economy?

Will Vermont’s high performing system be maintained?

What will the changes mean for Vermont providers?

Will changes result from the Nov 4 Vermont elections? Will changes result from the Nov 4 federal elections?

Page 35: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

FletcherAllen.org

35

A Closing note—Then…and now!

Then: C. Rufus Rorem

visited us at Iowa and spoke

about his work on the CCMC

1969 -1925 = It was 44 years ago!

“None of us were born then!”

“What an old codger!”

Now: J. Churchill Hindes came to

Iowa in 1969, back speaking today

2014 -1969 = It’s been 45 years!

“None of us were born then!”

“OMG! Who? Me? Old?!”

Page 37: FletcherAllen.org Successful Switch Hitting in a Combined Volume and Value Environment J. Churchill Hindes PhD (Iowa 1977) Chief Operating Officer, OneCare

37