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    Closing the Cancer Divide:

    Strategies for ActionMay 17, 2012

    Pfizer Medical, New Yorkd

    Felicia Marie Knaul, PhDHarvard Global Equity Initiative,

    Global Task Force on Expanded Access to

    Cancer Care and Control in LMICs

    Mexican Health FoundationTmatelo a Pecho

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    Closing the Cancer Divide:A Blueprint to Expand Access in LMICs

    I: Much should be done

    II: Much could be done

    III: Much can be and

    is being done

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    From anecdote

    to evidence

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    January, 2008

    June, 2007

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    Global Task Force on Expanded

    Access to Cancer Care and

    Control in Developing Countries

    = global health + cancer care

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    10/50GTF.CCCMembers

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    Applies a diagonal

    approach to avoid

    the false dilemmasbetween disease silos

    -CD/NCD- thatcontinue to plague

    global health

    Closing the Cancer Divide:A BLUEPRINT TO EXPAND ACCESS IN LMICs

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    A) Should be done:

    B) Could be done:

    C) Can be done

    Myth 1. Unnecessary

    Myth 2. Inappropriate

    Myth 3. Unaffordable

    Myth 4: Impossible

    Expanding access to cancer

    care and control in LMICs:

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    Mirrors the overall epidemiologicaltransition

    LMICs increasingly face both cancersassociated with infection, and all other

    cancers.

    Cancers that are increasingly only of thepoor, are not the only cancers of the poor.

    The Cancer Transition

    * Frenk et al

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    The cancer transition in LMICs:

    breastand cervicalcancer

    53%

    20%19%

    -31%

    0%

    LMICs High

    income

    % Change in # of deaths1980-2010LMICs account for

    >90% of cervical

    cancer deaths and

    >60% of breast

    cancer deaths.

    Both diseases are

    leading killers

    especially of young

    women.

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    #2 cause of death in wealthy countries

    #3 in upper middle-income#4 in lower middle-income

    and # 8 in low-income countriesMore than 85% of pediatric cancer cases and 95% of

    deaths occur in developing countries.

    For children & adolescents

    5-14 cancer is

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    Cancer is a disease of both rich and poor;

    yet it is increasingly the poor who suffer:

    1. Exposure to risk factors

    2. Preventable cancers (infection)

    3. Treatable cancer death and disability4. Stigma and discrimination

    5. Avoidable pain and suffering

    The Cancer Divide:

    An Equity Imperative

    Face

    ts

    E i k f

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    Age-standardized prevalence of risk factor in adults aged 15+ years

    Men

    Women

    Both sexes

    %o

    fpopulation

    0

    20

    40

    60

    Low

    income

    Lower

    middle

    Upper

    middle

    High

    Exposure to risk factors:

    Daily Tobacco Smoking

    Source: WHO. The Global Status Re ort on Noncommunicable Diseases 2010.

    I id d li f

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    MortalityIncidence

    Incidence and mortality of

    cervical cancer(adjusted rate per 100,000 women)

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    Adults

    Leukaemia

    All cancers

    Source: Knaul, Arreola, Mendez. estimates based on IARC, Globocan, 2010.

    Children

    LOW

    INCOME

    HIGH

    INCOME

    Sur

    vival

    inequa

    lity

    gap

    LOW

    INCOME

    HIGH

    INCOME

    100%

    The Opportunity to Survive (M/I)

    Should Not Be Defined by Income

    In Canada, almost 90% of children with

    leukemia survive.

    In the poorest countries only 10%.

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    Stigma:

    Cancerespecially in

    women and children - adds a

    layer of discrimination ontoethnicity, poverty, and

    gender.

    Survivorship

    care is non-existent.

    Th t i idi i j ti

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    The most insidious injustice:

    lack of access to pain controlNon-methadone, Morphine Equivalent opioid

    consumption per death from HIV or cancer in pain:

    Poorest 10%: 54 mg per death

    Richest 10%: 97,400 mg per death

    E di t

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    A) Should be done:

    B) Could be done:

    C) Can be done

    Myth 1. Unnecessary

    Myth 2. Inappropriate

    Myth 3. Unaffordable

    Myth 4: Impossible

    Expanding access to cancer

    care and control in LMICs:

    W d h i LMIC

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    Women and mothers in LMICs

    face many risks through the life cycle

    Women 15-59, annual deaths

    Diabetes

    120,889

    Breast

    cancer

    166,577

    Source: Estimates based on data from WHO: Global Health Observatory, 2008 and Murray et al Lancet 2011.

    Cervical

    cancer

    142,744

    Mortality

    in

    childbirth

    342,900

    - 35%in 30

    years

    = 430, 210 deaths

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    The Diagonal Approach to

    Health System Strengthening

    Rather than focusing on disease-specific vertical

    programs or only on horizontal system

    constraints, harness synergies that provideopportunities to tackle disease-specific priorities

    while addressing systemic gaps.

    Optimize available resources so that the whole ismore than the sum of the parts.

    Bridge the divide as patients suffer diseases over a

    lifetime, most of it chronic.

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    Why diagonal delivery?

    Shared risk factors

    Co-morbidity

    Life cycle approach

    Efficiency: Common need for strong healthsystem platforms

    Knowledge sharing and inter-institutional

    collaborationEconomic development

    Social justice

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    Delivery: Harness platforms byintegrating breast and cervical

    cancer prevention, screening andsurvivorship care into MCH,

    SRH, HIV/AIDS, social welfareand anti-poverty programs.

    A Diagonal Strategy:

    Di l St t i

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    Diagonal Strategies:

    Positive ExternalitiesPromoting prevention and healthy lifestyles:

    Reduce risk for cancer and many other diseases

    Reducing stigma around womens cancers:

    Contributes to reducing gender discriminationPromoting access to education for children w/ cancer

    Reduces poverty, contributes to social development

    Introducing cancer treatment for childrenImproves hygiene and reduces intra-hospital infections

    Pain control and palliation

    Reducing barriers to access is essential for cancer as

    well as for for other diseases and for sur er .

    E di t

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    A) Should be done: necessary

    and appropriate

    B) Could be done:

    C) Can be done

    Myth 3. Unaffordable

    Myth 4: Impossible

    Expanding access to cancer

    care and control in LMICs:

    ` /80 i i i i

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    `5/80 cancer disequilibrium(Frenk/Lancet 2010)

    Almost 80% of the DALYs lost

    worldwide to cancer are in LMICs,yet these countries have only a very

    small share of global resources for

    cancer ~ 5% or less.

    I i I CCC

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    Investing In CCC:

    We Cannot Afford Not To

    Health is an investment, not a cost

    Tobacco is a huge economic risk: 3.6% lower GDP

    Total economic cost of cancer, 2010: 2-4% of global GDPPrevention and treatment offers potential world savings

    of $ US 131-850 billion mostly due to productivity

    gains and reducing suffering

    1/3-1/2 of cancer deaths are avoidable:

    2.4-3.7 million deaths

    - 80% in LIMCs

    Th t t l th di id

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    The costs to close the cancer divide

    may be less than many fear:

    All but 3 of 29 LMIC priority cancer chemo and hormonalagents are off-patent: many < $100 / course

    Cost of drug treatment: cervical cancer + HL + ALL(kids)

    in LMICs / year of incident cases: $US 280 mPain medication is cheap

    Prices drop: HPV 2011 from $US 100 /dose to:

    GAVI $5 and PAHO $14Market potential is underutilized and undeveloped

    Purchasing is fragmented and procurement is unstable

    Delivery innovations are unexploited

    E di t

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    A) Should be done: necessary

    and appropriateB) Could be done: affordable

    C) Can be doneMyth 4: Impossible

    Expanding access to cancer

    care and control in LMICs:

    Initial views on MDR TB

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    In developing countries,people with multidrug-

    resistant tuberculosis usually

    die, because effective treatment

    is often impossible in poor

    countries. WHO 1996

    Initial views on MDR-TB

    treatment, c. 1996-97

    Source: Paul Farmer., 2009

    MDR-TB is too expensive to

    treat in poor countries; it

    detracts attention and resources

    from treating drug-susceptible

    disease. WHO 1997

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    Outcomes in MDR-TB

    patients in Lima, Peru

    receiving at least fourmonths of therapy

    Mitnick et al, Community-based therapy for multidrug-resistanttuberculosis in Lima, Peru. NEJM 2003; 348(2): 119-28.

    All patients initiated therapy

    between Aug 96 and Feb 99

    Source: Paul Farmer, 2009

    Drug % Decline inprice 1997-9

    Amikacin 90%

    Ethionamide 84%

    Capreomycin 97%

    Ofloxacin 98%

    Making common

    cause with WHO:

    Reduced prices ofsecond-line TB drugs

    Cured

    83%

    Abandontherapy

    2%

    Failed

    therapy

    8%

    Died

    8%

    Ch i

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    Harvard Breast Cancer in Develo in Countries Nov 4 `09

    ChampionsNobel Amartya Sen,

    Cancer survivor diagnosed in India50 years ago

    Drew G. Faust

    President of Harvard University22+ year BC survivor

    Ch i f LMIC M i

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    Champions from LMICs: Mxico

    R l R d 0 l i

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    Rural Rwanda: 0 oncologist

    Source: Paul Farmer., 2009

    Burkitts

    lymphoma

    Embryonal

    Rhabdomyosarcoma

    St J d I t ti l

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    St. Judes International

    Outreach Program

    Twinning in 20+ countries

    El Salvador: 5-year survival for children

    with ALL increased from 10% to 60% in

    five years

    Cure4Kids/OncopediaOver 31,000 users in more than 183

    countres

    Success in treating several

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    Mexico: cervical cancer.

    Source: Knaul et al. 2008. Re roductive Health Matters and u dated b Knaul Arreola-Ornelas and Mndez based on WHO data WHOSIS 1955-1978 and Ministr o Health in Mexico 1979-2006

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    19551965

    1975

    1985

    1995

    2008

    Success in treating several

    cancers.

    Fi i i ti

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    Financing innovations:

    DomesticIntegrate CCC into national insurance and

    social security programs to

    express previously suppressed demandbeginning with cancers of women and children:

    Mexico, Colombia, Dominican

    Republic, PeruChina, India, Taiwan

    Rwanda, Kenya

    A diagonal approach to social

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    Horizontal Coverage: Beneficiaries

    A diagonal approach to socialinsurance and financing

    I i l ti

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    # of covered services

    Source: Comisin Nacional de Proteccin Social en Salud, 2012

    Increase in population coverage +

    expansion of package of services

    Households affiliated

    to Seguro Popular

    2006

    2004

    ~100%

    2012

    2005

    ~17.2

    millonesdefamilias

    9%

    30%

    20%

    42%

    1.5 3

    .5millones

    5.1millones

    7.3millo

    nes

    53%

    9.1m

    illones

    2007

    2008

    61%

    10.5

    millones

    2009

    85%

    14.7

    millones

    2010

    +113

    146

    249262

    266

    2006

    2004

    2

    012

    2005

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    275

    2011

    89%

    2011

    15.4millones

    Mexico Seguro Popular:

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    Mexico Seguro Popular:financial protection for catastrophic

    illnessAccelerated, universal, vertical coverage by disease

    with a package of interventions

    2004/5: ALL in children, cervical, HIV/AIDS

    2006: All pediatric cancers then all children and

    newborns for almost everything

    2007: Breast cancer

    2011: Testicular cancer, prostate and NHL

    Seguro Popular and cancer:

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    Seguro Popular and cancer:

    Evidence of impact

    Since the incorporation of childhood

    cancers into the Seguro Popular

    30-month survival ALL: 30% to almost 70%

    Breast cancer adherence to treatment:

    2005: 200/6002010: 10/900

    Access to medicinesan anecdote

    Horizontal and vertical

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    Horizontal and vertical

    financial protection strategies:

    Seguro Popular, Mexico

    Beneficiaries: Population covered

    Benefits:

    coveredinte

    rventions

    Catastrophic Illness

    ACCELERATED VERTICAL COVERAGE:

    Ex: childrens cancer, breast cancer

    Package of essential

    personal services

    Community Health Services eg nutrition and vaccinations

    Poor Rich

    Insurance for a new generation

    J it

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    Juanita:Advanced metastatic breast

    cancer is the result of a series

    of missed opportunities

    Program to reduce

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    Program to reducebarriers:

    Breast cancer, Mexico

    Results: promoters nurses doctors

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    Results: promoters, nurses, doctors

    Challenge: from survival to survivorship

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    Be anoptimist

    optimalist

    Expanding access to cancer care and control in

    LMICs: Should, Could, and Can be done

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    @amazonFALL: @Harvard U Press